Bitcoin September 17th 20241. Price Action (Candlesticks):
Current Price: The price is hovering around $60,141.67, as indicated by the highlighted value.
Recent Trend: The candlesticks suggest that Bitcoin has been in a sideways trend for the past few weeks. The price seems to be bouncing between support at around $52,500 and resistance at $66,000.
Downward Correction: After hitting the recent high around $66,000, a correction seems to have taken place, as indicated by multiple bearish candles. However, Bitcoin hasn't broken down into lower support levels, suggesting a consolidation phase.
2. Moving Averages (MAs):
White Line: The white line appears to be a long-term moving average (likely a 200-week moving average), which is far above the current price. This implies that Bitcoin's price is still significantly below its all-time highs and could indicate a potential upward target if a bullish trend resumes.
Yellow Line: The yellow line could be a shorter moving average (possibly 50-week), which is closer to the current price and appears to be acting as resistance in recent weeks.
Interaction with MAs: The current price is struggling to stay above the shorter MA (yellow), which suggests that Bitcoin may face more selling pressure if it fails to hold support above it.
3. Indicators:
MACD/RSI at the Bottom: The red and green indicator at the bottom seems to be either an RSI (Relative Strength Index) or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
The red shaded area indicates a bearish trend, while the green shows a bullish trend. Since the red is dominant and the indicator is trending downward, this points to a period of bearish momentum.
The RSI, if that's what the indicator represents, looks to be below the midpoint (around 50), suggesting that Bitcoin is not in overbought territory, but also not deeply oversold. It signals weak momentum in the recent period.
4. Support and Resistance:
Support: There is solid support around the $52,500 level, as seen in previous price action where Bitcoin bounced several times.
Resistance: The $66,000 level seems to be a significant resistance, as price has failed to close above it in recent weeks.
Breakout/Breakdown Potential: If the price breaks below $52,500, we could see a deeper correction, potentially testing lower support levels (around $40,000 or even lower). Conversely, if it breaks above $66,000 with strong volume, Bitcoin could head toward $74,000 or beyond.
5. Volume:
The volume data is not visible in this screenshot, but low volume during this consolidation phase would indicate indecision or a lack of strong buying interest, while increasing volume on upward moves would signal potential breakouts.
6. Longer-Term Outlook:
The long-term moving average (white line) remains above the current price, indicating that Bitcoin's overall long-term trend is still upward, even though there's short- to medium-term bearish pressure.
If Bitcoin can hold the $60,000 range and break the $66,000 resistance, it could retest the highs and continue its uptrend. However, failing to do so might signal a longer consolidation period or even a deeper correction.
Summary:
Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase after a recent correction, with key support at $52,500 and resistance at $66,000.
Momentum indicators suggest the trend is currently weak and slightly bearish.
A breakout above $66,000 could lead to a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $52,500 would signal further bearish action.
This chart presents a critical moment for Bitcoin, where the market is waiting for a decisive move in either direction.
Bitcoinprediction
I am ALL IN BITCOIN BTCUSDTSignal:
Green on 1st Ribbon for the second time
Green on Background Ribbons
High Probability to see New High of all time, so I have invested all of available fund - I am ALL IN.
As expected on my last post - 1ST signal, #BTCUSDT has done the 1st wave, now the 2nd signal appears.
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.
Sep 17, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysis Bitcoin has broken the falling trend channel in the short term and reacted strongly up. For the time being, it is difficult to say anything about the future trend direction. The currency is testing support at points 58000. This could give a positive reaction, but a downward breakthrough of points 58000 means a negative signal. The currency is assessed as technically neutral for the short term.
BTC Bitcoin In-Depth Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 Navigating Key Market Levels with Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) has broken market structure to the upside. On both the daily and 4-hour charts, we see a pullback into equilibrium, offering a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we dive into market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also discuss how smart money has been targeting stop losses recently. The goal is to set up a trade that minimizes the risk of a stop run without compromising our risk-to-reward ratio.
*Disclaimer: The information shared in this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.* 📊✅
Bitcoin Breaks $60k: How Rising Global Liquidity is Fueling the Good Morning Crypto Friends and Investors,
It's an exciting time in the market—Bitcoin (BTC) is back over $60k and has successfully reclaimed the 200-day EMA. The price is following the bar pattern we discussed last time, maintaining a steady trajectory for continued upward momentum through the end of the year, especially with global liquidity levels on the rise, as illustrated in the chart below.
The global liquidity trend is visible on both daily and weekly charts, with indicators like the Hull Suite, Donchian, and the Rate of Change (ROC) all trending upward.
What Typically Happens When Global Liquidity Rises?
Historically, when global liquidity rises, it often sparks upward trends in financial markets, particularly in assets such as stocks, commodities, and real estate. Increased liquidity means more capital is available, and central banks or financial institutions may inject funds into the economy, often by lowering interest rates or implementing quantitative easing (QE).
Key Market Trends Associated with Rising Liquidity:
- Asset Price Inflation : As liquidity increases, investors typically move capital into higher-yielding assets such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, or real estate. This capital influx drives up the prices of these assets, sometimes creating asset bubbles.
- Lower Interest Rates: Central banks may lower interest rates to stimulate economic activity, making borrowing cheaper for businesses and consumers. Lower rates also make bonds and other fixed-income assets less attractive, pushing investors toward riskier assets like equities. Globally, this trend is already in motion, and it's anticipated that on September 18th, the U.S. Central Bank will follow suit with a rate cut, expected to fall between 475-525 basis points (bps).
- Weakening of Currency Value : With more money circulating, currencies can weaken, particularly during aggressive QE periods. As currency values decline, inflation may rise, reducing your purchasing power. I highly recommend reading my article, "Why You Need to Invest," or watching my corresponding YouTube video for more information. Remember, when fiat currencies lose value, hard assets like real estate, Bitcoin, and gold tend to increase in value, so it's wise to plan accordingly.
- Increased Risk Appetite: Rising liquidity and falling interest rates encourage investors to take on more risk, driving up stock market valuations at a rapid pace. If you're looking to capitalize on this risk appetite, platforms like Robinhood and ByBit offer margin accounts that allow you to borrow within your investment portfolio, increasing your exposure to both growth and potential loss. Be cautious when using margin or leverage, as global liquidity is cyclical. Eventually, QE will give way to quantitative tightening (QT), and you could risk losing your gains.
- Commodities Rally: Commodities, such as oil, precious metals, and even Bitcoin, often rise in response to increased liquidity. Investors view these as a hedge against currency devaluation and inflation. Bitcoin, with its dual role as both a commodity and a tech-like asset, tends to perform well in both risk-on and risk-off environments. In my opinion, having some Bitcoin in your portfolio is always a good strategy.
Risk Update:
I'll be honest—during the last cycle, I convinced too many people to invest in cryptocurrency and Bitcoin because I, like many others, believed in the supercycle theory and anticipated even higher prices. This time around, I’m taking a more measured approach. As long as prices and indicators support a bullish case, I’ll continue to advise my friends and followers accordingly. However, as we approach the market’s peak, I will be sharing strategies for taking profits. You can read more in my article, "A Strategic Approach to Bitcoin," (substack.com) or watch my YouTube video, “Bitcoin's Next Big Move: My Strategy Revealed!” I’ll revisit this topic when it's more immediately relevant, but for now, fear and greed indices remain borderline fearful—this is the time to buy. A few months from now, the risks will be higher, and potential gains will be smaller.
Indicator Update:
Risk Level: Zero (Bullish)
Puell Multiple: 1 (Bullish)
Mayer Multiple: 2 (Bullish)
Bollinger Bands % (BB%): 0.35 (Bullish)
Hash Ribbon: Still trending higher (Bullish)
In Summary:
Global liquidity is on the rise, rate cuts are looming, and historically, these factors lead to significant earnings potential. Don’t wait for the FOMO to set in—our indicators and projections are tracking well, and there's substantial profit to be made if you act according to your risk tolerance and financial plan. Always consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions, and discuss your strategy to see what aligns best with your long-term goals.
Godspeed, and good fortune.
--Complete article found here: substack.com --
For more insights, please visit my webpage at linker.ee/pcalzolaio. I look forward to sharing this journey with you all.
#FIRE #FREEDOM #BITCOIN
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
BTCUSD - BULLISH.Bitcoin looks interesting (well at least to me). It seems that it is ready to go in a bullish run. Waiting for opportunity to go bullish once price pullback to the 58,800 area. Immediate target is around 61,200 area and larger target is around 65,000.
Like and follow if you agree with this idea. Happy profit day!
Crypto Marketcap PredictionI believe we will have one more flush down to the green line I have marked. That line/zone is the correlation between the 618 fib level and the previous high of my Algo/Rsi.
Once we bounce off that level, we should re-break the marketcap high, and then the sign to sell will likely be a double top with bearish divergence.
BITCOIN could see a price @ 80,000 in the next couple of weeks.
I know some have written-off Bitcoin at least in 2024. I never did because what you often see on Wall-street when banks and financial institutions have a bad day with their share price, its's the cryptocurrency sector that usually shines.
Bitcoin has been helped along in its price by a head 'n' shoulders pattern on the daily chart & in the past couple of days has pushed higher in it's price considerably. At the moment 60,400.
Bitcoin's 4 year in the making weekly-chart cup 'n' handle pattern is ready to pop, price now only 20% below the neckline.
Now, if the US-Dollar breaks out next week as measured by the USDX-index, and I still have this compulsive urge that it will happen prior to FOMC next Thursday, after which the USD could seriously tank under $1 on an interest rate cut, well I believe that assets like Gold would initially sell-off on an interest rate reduction but I am not so sure about Cryptocurrency, in fact I think it could shine.
Some are saying it's going to sell from here. I see 80,000 in a short space of time.
* My own views and not to be taken as financial advice. At time of writing I have long positions in Bitcoin, ZRXUSD and DOGEUSD.
Bitcoin is Ready to PumpBitcoin has managed to break the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550) and the Descending Channel .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) in the descending channel .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the First Target and the width of the broken-descending channel .
Note: If Bitcoin goes below the Resistance zone($55,720-$54,550), we should expect Bitcoin to dump to $51,000(at least).
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
LINK Long IdeaLINK
Entry: 11-10.5
TP: 11.4- 11.8- 12.0 - 12.2
SL: 10.35
I'm bullish on LINK monthly chart being in the golden ratio zone, its great to accumulate some here in spot and TP at 30-40% in 1-2 months but here's a setup for short term scalpers. Despite being a bit bearish on BTC, remember to stick to your SL
BITCOIN BLUEPRINT 2.0 - MACRO MATRIXThis is a refined / updated version of my old 'BITCOIN BLUEPRINT' Macro Matrix.
I struggle with finding the right display format for the charts on publishing tradingview ideas. Here is the chart organised so everything is visible.
We are now seeing bitcoin story develop from its negative bias, into a positive one. ETFs have now been approved, aswell as other crypto ETFs. We are 150days post halvening, coming to a potential end for this period and start to move up into the upper Powerlaw band (Red).
The important note is to realise we have 365days+ of Bull Run ahead of us. Anywhere around Mid Sept 2025 could potentially signal a Peak in Price, which precedes approx 1year in declining price actin (Bear Drop).
All time highs & Lows by Cycle:
CYCLE 1: Bull High = $31.50 / Bear Low = $1.85
CYCLE 2 : Bull High = $1140 / Bear Low = $145.5
CYCLE 3 : Bull high = $19170 / Bear Low = $3148
CYCLE 4 : Bull high = $68944 / Bear Low = $15495
---------------------------------------------------
Potential Forecasted Targets:
CYCLE 5 :
Bull High = $300000 - $325000
Bear Low = $58000 - $65000
CYCLE 6:
Bull High = $1000000 - 1150000
Bear Low = $300000 - $325000
---------------------------------------------------
*Note - This is not financial advice, just finding from my own analysis work. The future targets based on forcasts will become more clear once previous cycles have completed. Therefore its best to focus on the next cycle, rather than jumping ahead one cycle. Seeing MIL:1M in CYCLE 6 is exciting!
-------------------------------------------------
CONTEXT:
As noted prior - we are seeing dveelopments in the BTC space. Most notably, the programability of BTC. With projects such as Fractal Bitcoin, TAPROOT, RUNES, BRC20, CAT20, OPNET, OPCAT and many many others paves the way for a fresh narrative other than digital gold.
Bitcoin Daily TargetHere is the daily target to reach for BTC. I expect a possible range with a fake pump to let retails to long. Then, we will probably see a drop until the $57.200 area, where there is enough liquidity for Bitcoin. This is a magnet level, and I will DCA a short entry with an easy invalidation above $59.500
BTC Bitcoin Chart PredictionIf you haven`t sold the BTC top:
Now you need to know that the summer decline in Bitcoin's price, despite multiple ETF filings, can largely be attributed to the massive selling pressure from several key sources like Mt. Gox, Silk Road, FTX, and Germany.
This influx of supply overwhelmed the market, and there simply wasn't enough demand to absorb it.
I think that the purpose of these ETFs is likely to stabilize Bitcoin rather than drive its price up dramatically. They're designed to bring more legitimacy and structure to the market.
As for the technical outlook, the current formation of a falling wedge could indicate a short-term price increase. However, the expected retracement suggests that any near-term rally might be temporary.
Longer term, I think Bitcoin has the potential to break higher, especially with more regulatory clarity and broader adoption. Reaching $80K by the end of the year seems possible, but a lot will depend on macroeconomic factors and the broader risk appetite in the crypto space.
when moon sir? 69k when bear sir? 37666.33red lines - sell or watch zone for bull trend continuation
orange lines - touch already
green lines - accumulation zone (with DCA)
BULLRUN confirmation after 69000 retest (at least on small tf).
BEARMARKET? we don`t talk things like this here :)
But personally i think that we have around 40% chance for a new low under 47000.
Altcoins? other story...NOV or next year
$IBIT 4-Hour Chart Gaps Continue to Fill and Leave Clues for BTCThis new leading 'indicator' for lack of a better term, continues to be accurate and 100% since the NASDAQ:IBIT inception. Every single gap has filled, except one recent one which I believe will resolve to the downside at some point below.
The 2nd IBIT Gap just filled on this mini-rally today, so I think we head lower to fill the other lower unfilled gap as noted.
Although it's showing a nice hammer reversal candle and Bullish Engulfing candle here.
So If it breaks and holds above $33, then we likely push higher for a time.
There's no time limit for filling these gaps unfortunately.
But I think we'll re-test recent price action on Bitcoin around GETTEX:54K , which would be a nice buying opportunity.
Unless the markets continue to get spooked with election / econonomy fears.
Also, since the CPI came in as expected there's less reason for the FED to drop rates .50 basis points which is what I thought could be a short term catalyst to rally prices. As of today's CPI news, there's an 85% chance of just a .25 basis point cut.
I can't foresee any positive bullish news in the short term, so I'm expecting September to continue to be rangebound, choppy, and re-test recent lows.
BTC.D does look bullish here, so I'm focusing attention on Bitcoin and SOL buying zones mostly.
Really curious to see if and how long this 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT chart and 'gap trading' continues to work...
Shhhhh, for now I've found something new that's working :)
Feel free to like and share.
More info in my bio.
- Brett
Bitcoin BTCUSDT Long Opportunity when Breaks Through 58000Signal:
Green on 1st Ribbon
Green on Background Ribbons
Bitcoin may have found strong support, High Probability for a good Long Opportunity if it breaks through 58000 - a valid breakout
Target-1: 63500
Stop-Loss: 56300
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.
BTCUSDT: IDEA THAT MIGHT RESONATE SOONHello All,
Welcome to the quick update of BTCUSDT . We have seen BTC touch the levels of $ 52500 and retrace a bit until $ 58000 but couldn't hold it.
We can see it dumping and is currently trading around $56100.
The next levels to watch out for are $54700 and $53800 . If this holds, we can see BTC pump again and might make a new high in a few months.
Support levels: $54700. $53900, $49600 in the long run.
Resistance levels: $58027, $61100, $64000, and $72000 in the long run.
Let's wait and see how this pans out. Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES !!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
ScramblerG is always there to help and trade with caution but DYOR.
Bitcoin Daily TargetPerfect execution on yesterday's setup. Today's plan is very simple. I expect to see BTC above $57.000 today. It's still early to see if now is the perfect time to entry for a long, but doesn't matter. I start now to build a long entry and I will DCA targeting $57.000. As of now, we have liquidity at that level