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Bitcoinprediction

Altcoin/Bitcoin AnalysisAs I always say, when I look at the ALT/BTC parity, not the Bitcoin price, I see a downward break in the 40th week of 2019. This breakdown may happen again, it is possible. After this breakout, I expect to see a scenario in which Bitcoin becomes in a channel. (70 - 50k) This scenario would also not be contrary to the macro perspective of the markets globally. Another chart that supports this scenario is the USDT dominance chart. We can think that this chart will reduce the price of Bitcoin as it rejects the uptrend and rises to decide the continuation of the trend. Seeing the rise of Bitcoin dominance in this process signals to me that some altcoins in particular will be hit hard. Therefore, there will be great bleeding in the altcoin market, except for the solid altcoins. However, the altcoins that survive this process will make ATH much more performant as Bitcoin reaches its 100k target.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by YavuzAkbay
Bitcoin Bull Flag: Last Hurdle for a Major Rally Over six weeks ago, Bitcoin start forming a Bull Flag pattern. The breakout above the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) confirmed a low, setting the stage for a potential rally towards the Bull flag's target of approximately $100K. Fast forward to today, BTCUSD has not only surpassed these SMAs but also cleared the Ichimoku Cloud, positioning the price above the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day SMAs. This alignment signals a bullish outlook. Recent Price Action Recently, Bitcoin has surged past the $71,600 mark, showing a 3.30% increase in the last 4 days. This rise is driven by renewed enthusiasm from both new and short-term investors. According to GlassNode’s latest report, the market is seeing a resurgence in speculative interest. Long-term holders (LTHs), considered the most experienced market participants, are maintaining their positions and continue to accumulate Bitcoin, indicating strong confidence in its long-term growth potential. Technical Resistance and Support Since its all-time high in March, Bitcoin has faced resistance at the Bull flag's upper trend line, with three failed breakout attempts in April an May. As of June 7, BTCUSD is testing this critical resistance again. A successful breakout could lead to a significant rally to $100K, while failure to clear this trend line might result in a correction towards the $54-55K range — watch carefully on SMAs an Ichimoku Cloud. Market Sentiment The "Sell-Side Risk Ratio" suggests that most profit-taking has already occurred within the current price range, pointing to the potential for volatile movements soon. Despite recent market consolidation, long-term holders have shown minimal selling activity, reinforcing their confidence in Bitcoin's future appreciation. Conclusion Bitcoin’s market outlook remains optimistic. The alignment of key SMAs and the Ichimoku Cloud supports a bullish scenario, with further gains likely as speculative interest increases and long-term holders remain steadfast. The next critical test is the $71,300 resistance level, which, if cleared, could pave the way for a substantial rally.
Long
by Vestinda
Price Psychology and Game TheoryMarkets move in cycles and based on game theory . Everyone is risk averse and everyone jumps in when it appears "risk free". This is how prices would be bid up. Stocks work like auction . During Bull runs -> Highest payer - bids up the prices and the averages increase. During Bears -> it's a fire sale. BUYER has an upper hand and takes the lower prices available. It's human nature... Game theory states you buy whilst you can else you will be left behind. during "ATH" prices fly because prices are relative . Where the driver is the credit condition cycle (loose is good) and ofcourse ETFs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by citsvar
1
Bitcoin Must Show Decisive in its Move before im excitedHi guys. So i posted recently some crypto related stock ideas. I felt like i should do a BTC update as they are directly related. When BTC goes up, all related crypto assets move up. So lets jump right in. This is a 1 week analysis. So we have established a consolidation range. Consolidation ranges is just a price range between which an asset moves up and down in. The key is to observe a confirmation of a breakout either ABOVE or BELOW it. The Key lvls are: 1. $61,000 as support 2. $71,000 as Resistance FOr our Bull market to continue and move into the final supercycle phase of the crypto market we need a DECISIVE BREAK ABOVE 71,000. This will in a short time print a blowoff top and end Bull market. I have up a bunch of Moving averages in different colors. What i'd love to see is from ascending order: Purple 1st Green 2nd Blue 3rd Red at the bottom This order signifies that a Bull market is going on. STOCH RSI has also crossed BUllish above the 20 lvl. If you look left, everytime we've done so We've moved higher. _________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on BTC in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SafofAllTrades
Bitcoin Price Approaches $72,000: A Potential Fuse for New ATHThe price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily climbing in recent weeks, inching closer to a critical resistance level: $72,000. This price point holds more significance than just another round number on the chart. Analysts believe that surpassing $72,000 could trigger a chain reaction that propels Bitcoin toward new all-time highs. The Squeeze is On: Liquidations and Momentum One of the key factors fueling the significance of $72,000 lies in leveraged short positions. In the world of cryptocurrency trading, some investors use leverage to amplify their potential gains (and losses). Leveraged short positions essentially bet on the price of Bitcoin going down. However, if the price goes up instead, these positions get liquidated, meaning the investor is forced to buy Bitcoin to cover their short bet. According to data from CoinGlass, a staggering $800 million worth of leveraged short positions would be liquidated if Bitcoin surpasses $72,000. This sudden surge in buying pressure from forced liquidations could act as a powerful catalyst, pushing the price even higher. Imagine a domino effect: rising price triggers short liquidations, which in turn creates more buying pressure, further driving up the price. This positive feedback loop could propel Bitcoin towards uncharted territory. Breaking Through Resistance: Psychological and Technical Hurdles The $72,000 mark also represents a significant psychological resistance level. Previous price movements have often stalled around this point, creating a barrier in the minds of traders. Overcoming this psychological hurdle can be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Once investors become convinced that Bitcoin can break above $72,000, it can become a reality due to increased buying pressure. Beyond the psychological aspect, $72,000 also presents a technical challenge. Technical analysis, which studies historical price patterns and indicators, can reveal potential resistance and support levels. If there's a concentration of sell orders around $72,000, it can create temporary resistance, making it harder for the price to break through. However, a decisive break above this level could signal a shift in the technical landscape, potentially leading to a sustained uptrend. Investor Confidence and Market Sentiment The bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is not solely driven by technical factors. Increased investor confidence and a positive overall market environment are also playing a role. Several developments are contributing to this optimism: • Institutional Adoption: More and more institutional investors, such as hedge funds and investment firms, are entering the cryptocurrency space. This influx of capital can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. • Growing Recognition: Bitcoin is increasingly being recognized as a legitimate asset class. This growing acceptance is attracting new investors and fostering a sense of stability. • Limited Supply: Unlike traditional fiat currencies, Bitcoin has a finite supply of 21 million coins. This scarcity can drive up its value over time, especially with increasing demand. A Word of Caution: Volatility and Risk Management While the current outlook for Bitcoin is positive, it's important to remember the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Sudden shifts in sentiment or unforeseen events can lead to sharp price corrections. Investors should always approach the market with caution and implement sound risk management strategies. Conclusion: The $72,000 price point for Bitcoin is more than just a number. It represents a potential tipping point that could ignite a surge towards new all-time highs. The combination of short liquidations, overcoming psychological resistance, and positive market sentiment creates an intriguing scenario. However, investors should be aware of the inherent risks involved in cryptocurrency trading and act with a well-defined risk management plan. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can indeed break through the $72,000 barrier and ignite a new bull run.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Where bitcoin goes MARA follows - Current Macro developmentsHi guys! As usually i keep my eye open for macro changes or signals that may lead to major moves. Of which Marathon (MARA) has been on my radar. This analysis is done on the 1 week timeframe. We are currently attempting to get Above our Major level/ area around $18-20. This area also coincides with the 21 EMA. Which we are also ABOVE as we speak. However, remember it has not yet confirmed that we managed to get Support from 21 EMA. Also note that we recently tested Support on 50 SMA and have maintained it 6 weeks in a row. This fact makes me think, we will continue UP -> At the very least to the Upper range of the consolidation orange rectangle at $28.00 We have not yet printed a death cross which is a good sign indicating probabilities pointing towards continuation of Uptrend. Pay attention to next weeks candle close for more clues. Ive also highlighted our current price action to be part of a Consolidation range, from $15.00 to $28.00 I think it makes sense for us to be consolidating as we are making our way out of the bottom of the market for MARA. (around the 3.50 area) Since then we've already climbed roughly 1000% to our top around $34. 21 EMA and 50 SMA flattening out also supports the Consolidation occuring. Consolidation is basically when an asset tries to digest rallies, trying to catch its breath. And now we have to assess whether theres further momentum left to continue our Bull market or make our way back down. If Bull market continues, we can make our way back to this Major Resistance lvl labeled. We have touched this line 3 times in history previously and it marks Blow off tops of Bull markets for MARA. If we get rejected from this Major level, we can make our way back to the sloping Support trendline labeled below. So to find a sense of whether or not MARA will continue or come down to test the lows, we look to 2 indicators that i love using to assess "momentum". Notice the STOCH RSI. Everytime we come down to the 20 lvl, we stay Below for extended periods ranging from 57 days to as much as 126 days. When we cross Bullish and move UP Above 20 lvl, we tend to have Rallies UP. 1 pattern though, with STOCH is its relationship with Moving Averages 21 EMA and 50 SMA. When Purple (21 EMA) crosses Below Green (50 SMA) Moving Average and there is a STOCH Bull cross, sometimes it doesn't impact big rallies. BUT When Purple is on top of the Green Moving Average and STOCH crosses BUllish Above 20 lvl. This is a pattern seen in relation to big rallies UP So if we can get a STOCH Bullish CROSS Above 20 level, while our 21 EMA is Above our 50 SMA, we can expect to see a continuation rally. Watch also for a break Up and confirmation out of the consolidation zone. The MACD is currently ABOVE the 0 level, with waning or decreasing Bearish sentiment. This is seen from the print of the lighter red bar of the histogram. The Blue/Orange lines are also attempting to Curve Up and try to Cross Bullish. If we continue to print smaller lighter Red bars, and then see a Green bar print, it is likely momentum has turned Bullish. Bullish Crosses ABOVE 0 level, tend to rally Upwards. A MACD and STOCH CROSS together would be even better sign of uptrend to be PROBABLE. ANd if we Breakout of the consolidation rectangle we are currently in -> its likely we test "Major Resistance" at around $60. Keep observing and paying attention. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on MARA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:MARALong
by SafofAllTrades
2
GOLD to zero vs BITCOIN What an awesome chart (For Bitcoin maxi's that is) here this shows Gold in relation to Bitcoin.... Here we can see the halvening (blue vertical lines) and the decline in gold value respective to Bitcoin, we can see an 80%+ decline each cycle. The next halvening date is April 2024, (Red vertical line) After the move has moved to a new low, we can see that a retracment has come in to the upside each cycle into and around the golden pocket (61.8% - 80%) . This area has already been tagged... another pattern is the influx of Volume regarding the start of 2023, dwarfing any other previous volume... I shall continue to update this thread moving forwards.
TVC:XAUBTCShort
by TraderE9
3
Bitcoin 300% more.Bitcoin bull markets have historically seen significant price increases, but the percentage gain can vary widely between different bull markets. Here’s a summary of the percentage increases during major Bitcoin bull markets: 1. **2011 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $0.30 (January 2011) - Peak: Around $32 (June 2011) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 10,500% 2. **2013 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $13 (January 2013) - Peak: Around $1,100 (December 2013) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 8,300% 3. **2017 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $1,000 (January 2017) - Peak: Around $20,000 (December 2017) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 1,900% 4. **2020-2021 Bull Market**: - Start: Around $10,000 (October 2020) - Peak: Around $64,000 (April 2021) - Percentage Increase: Approximately 540% ### Average Percentage Increase To find the average percentage increase of these bull markets, we can calculate the mean of the individual percentage increases. \ Let's compute that: \ So, the average percentage increase during Bitcoin bull markets is approximately **5,310%**. Note that this is a rough average and the actual performance in future bull markets can vary significantly due to a wide range of factors including market maturity, regulatory changes, macroeconomic conditions, and technological developments.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
Short bitcoin from 73k . scalp only ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level. hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below. Disclaimer
Short
by bullstraders7
Bitcoin's Bullish Surge Supported by Rising Open InterestBitcoin's Bullish Surge Supported by Rising Open Interest: $80K Next? Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a bullish surge, fueled by rising Open Interest (OI) in the derivatives market. This strong showing indicates a growing optimism among traders, with long positions dominating the market. Let's delve deeper into this trend and explore what it might mean for the future price of Bitcoin. Strong Hands in Control: The Rise of Open Interest The derivatives market offers a glimpse into investor sentiment through Open Interest (OI). OI refers to the total amount of outstanding futures contracts that haven't been settled yet. In simpler terms, it reflects the future price movement. total value of bets placed on Bitcoin's A recent surge in OI signifies a rise in trading activity and growing confidence among investors. This is precisely what we're witnessing in Bitcoin's market. As of June 4, 2024, OI has reached 17.89 billion, demonstrating a significant increase over the past week (5.98%) and even within the last 24 hours (0.06%). Bullish Sentiment: Longs Take the Lead The dominance of long positions in the derivatives market is another key indicator of bullish sentiment. Long positions represent traders who believe the price of Bitcoin will increase. Their willingness to pay premiums to short sellers (those betting on a price decrease) further strengthens the bullish case. This current trend suggests that investors are generally optimistic about Bitcoin's future prospects. They are placing their bets on a price rise, injecting confidence into the market and potentially propelling the price upwards. Increased Liquidity, Volatility, and Attention The rise in OI is accompanied by a rise in liquidity, volatility, and market attention. Increased liquidity makes it easier for traders to enter and exit positions, promoting smoother price movements. Volatility, while it can be risky, also indicates market vibrancy and can attract new investors seeking potential gains. More importantly, the surge in OI reflects heightened market attention towards Bitcoin. This increased scrutiny places Bitcoin in the spotlight, potentially attracting a wider range of investors and further fueling the bullish momentum. Can Bitcoin Touch $70,000? With the current bullish trend and rising OI, Bitcoin appears poised to break through key resistance levels. The $70,000 mark, once a distant target, now seems within reach. However, it's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and unforeseen events can trigger price corrections. A Word of Caution While the current market conditions are encouraging for Bitcoin bulls, investors should always exercise caution. The cryptocurrency market remains unpredictable, and past performance does not necessarily indicate future results. Conducting thorough research, employing sound risk management strategies, and maintaining a long-term perspective is crucial before entering the Bitcoin market. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent surge, coupled with rising Open Interest in the derivatives market, paints a bullish picture. The dominance of long positions increased liquidity, and heightened market attention are positive signs for the world's leading cryptocurrency. While the $70,000 target appears achievable, cautious optimism is warranted due to the market's inherent volatility. By carefully evaluating market conditions and implementing strong risk management practices, investors can position themselves to potentially benefit from this exciting chapter in Bitcoin's ongoing story.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
🔥BTC might be ready to target 75k: Update and multitimeframe🔥Please see previous ideas for more context ☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!! The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Yelli_trades
7
💡BTCUSD Multitimeframe Analysis💡☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!! The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Yelli_trades
6