Signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior!Bitcoin (BTC) is currently approaching a key support level on the chart. This support zone is an area where price has historically shown a tendency to hold or bounce back upward due to increased buying interest. At this stage, there is a possibility that BTC could initiate a bullish move or a price pump from this level. However, it’s important to be cautious, as the market could also exhibit signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior.
In such scenarios, what often happens is that before making an actual upward move, the market might perform a ‘fake move’—this means it could temporarily dip below the support level or show some downward pressure to shake out weak hands or trigger stop-losses. This false breakdown creates panic and uncertainty, only for the price to reverse and then begin moving upward shortly afterward.
If the support holds and buyers step in with enough strength, BTC could gain bullish momentum and head toward the upper liquidity areas. These zones typically have a high concentration of pending orders (such as stop-losses or take-profits), which can attract the price like a magnet. This liquidity often sits just above recent highs or resistance levels, and reaching this area could result in further volatility.
However, traders are strongly advised to remain vigilant and not rely solely on assumptions. The crypto market is highly unpredictable, and price action can be deceptive. Always perform your own in-depth analysis, consider various technical and fundamental factors, and manage your risk wisely.
This is not financial advice please Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoinprediction
BTC/USDT Analysis: Local Downtrend
Hello everyone! This is a daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, despite a positive chart structure, Bitcoin broke out of the accumulation zone to the downside. This move was influenced by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and extreme FOMO among retail traders.
The main expectation is a decline toward the nearest buyer zone at $105,800–$104,500 (accumulated volumes), where we will look for long entry opportunities. This zone is very strong and is likely to hold with a 90% probability. An additional confirmation is the presence of predictive liquidations of long positions within this zone, which could serve as fuel for a reversal.
During the decline, two new resistance zones were formed. In the short term, short positions from these areas can be considered until the support is tested.
Sell Zones:
$107,900–$108,500 (strong seller activity)
$109,000–$110,000 (accumulated volumes)
Buy Zones:
$105,800–$104,500 (accumulated volumes)
$101,600–$100,000 (zone of previous pushing volumes + current buyer defense)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
Level at $93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
₿ Bitcoin: Further Upside ExpectedBitcoin (BTC) pulled back slightly in yesterday’s session but remains on track to continue its corrective rally within green wave B. In line with our primary scenario, this advance is expected to reach the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Afterward, we anticipate the onset of wave C, which should initiate a substantial decline—driving the price down into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This is also where we expect orange wave a to conclude. From there, wave b should provide a temporary rebound before wave c resumes the broader downtrend, ultimately completing blue wave (ii). That said, there’s still a 30% probability that blue wave alt.(i) has not yet topped. In this alternative scenario, BTC would extend higher, potentially breaking above resistance at $130,891 before the corrective phase resumes. The daily chart illustrates the entire five-wave blue sequence and shows our expected low for wave (ii) within the blue zone between $37,623 and $26,082.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Unproductive Selling Pressure
Hello everyone! This is a daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin once again tested the sell zone at $110,000–$110,600 (profit-taking by a large player) and moved into another correction.
Looking at the current accumulation, we’ve noticed strong market selling pressure that so far hasn't led to any significant result. The seller’s momentum is weak, so most likely we’ll see another upward impulse and a test of the all-time high (ATH).
Buy Zones:
$105,800–$104,500 (accumulated volumes),
$101,600–$100,000 (zone of previous pushing volumes + current buyer defense),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
Level at $93,000,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance).
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Near Breakout – CPI Miss Could Be the Catalyst?Just Released: Key U.S. Inflation Data:
Core CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast)
CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast)
CPI y/y: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast)
Market Reaction & Outlook:
The softer-than-expected inflation figures suggest easing price pressures in the U.S. economy — a potential bullish signal for risk assets, such as Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
-----------------------------
Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame .
Bitcoin is trading in the upper part of a Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) and is trying to break through this zone. The announcement of US indexes could be a trigger for a breakout of this zone .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . The structure of microwave 4 is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support line again and rise to at least $110,670 and if the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) is broken we should expect new ATHs in the coming days .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $108,791-$107,887
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,840-$105,457
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,381-$110,568
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $105,700(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
If you want to know my weekly analysis about BTC , I suggest you check out the following idea:
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN SHORT TERM UPDATE!!! Recently we have seen a great price move from 100K to 110K. We got clear Change Of Character , which indicates a sign of strength. Also we got bearish cypher harmonic pattern formed. So now we can expect a slight pullback up to 106-103k region from there we may see price reversing. But price should hold 100.3K region to remain bullish in short term.
Do technical signals show Bitcoin’s path to $130K? Do technical signals show Bitcoin’s path to $130K?
Bitcoin briefly pushed above $110,000 for the second time this month, before pulling back slightly to trade around $109,500. The market consolidating just below the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level could be suggesting strong resistance is being tested near current levels.
Bitcoin remains within reach of its all-time high at $111,965, set on May 22.
The latest upward move may have been supported by comments from U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who said trade talks with China in London were progressing well and likely to extend for a third day.
CNBC analyst Todd Gordon expects a breakout toward $130,000 according to his weekly chart analysis. According to our chart, A breakout above 111,897 could open the path to the 78.6% extension around $122,093, followed by the 100% extension target at $135,081
₿ Bitcoin: Push to the Upside! Bitcoin has made a significant push to the upside, which brought it closer to the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, where we primarily expect the corrective rise of green wave B to conclude. We consider this price range an opportunity to take partial profits or to open short hedges for tactical protection of existing long positions — thus, we don't plan to sell all our Bitcoin holdings there. Potential short hedges could be secured with a stop 1% above the upper edge of the zone since there's a 30% chance that price could exceed this zone to develop a new high for blue wave alt.(i) before reversing later. Primarily, however, green wave C should commence in the upper blue zone and drive BTC down into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323—and thus to the low of orange wave a.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
$BTC - Top Down BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P Top Down (10/06/25)
V-Levels Bias
Weekly = Bullish
Daily = Bullish
10-Hour = Bullish
1-Hour = Bullish
V-Levels Momentum
Weekly = Bullish
Daily = Bullish
10-Hour = Neutral
1-Hour = Neutral
Analysis & Insights
DeCode Market Breakdown
Macro Context
Overall, the Weekly structure remains bullish — both in bias and momentum. We’re trading below a key level at $111,968.0, and continuation is likely unless we see a clear Failed Auction at that level.
That would trigger some serious red flags and force a reevaluation of the directional bias.
Daily Chart
Daily structure is extremely bullish at the moment.
The price recently showed a Failed Auction around the $102,000.0 V-structure Higher Low — indicating aggressive absorption and buyer strength.
As long as price holds above that area, the priority is to stay on the long side.
⸻
10-Hour Chart
Still holding a bullish structure overall.
One thing I’ll be watching closely: the price reacting to the previous High at $110,660.8.
If we get a rejection + Failed Auction at that level, that opens up the possibility for intraday shorts; as a short-term shift in momentum and local resistance kicks in.
1-Hour Chart
📈 Long Setup: Waiting for a clean entry from an OTE / Fib zone + Over/Under structure.
📉 Short Setup: Watching for a sweep of the current highs + a clear Failed Auction (ideally with footprint confirmation).
There’s visible compression between $104k and $105k, so price might look to grab liquidity there first before any real move upward.
10-Min Chart
Currently, no clear trade setups on the 10M.
The 1H hasn’t reached optimal trade zones yet. I’ll be watching closely for any structure shifts or setups aligning with the macro bias.
⸻
🔍 Trading Plan Summary
Bias: Bullish (Weekly + Daily)
Look for longs aligned with HTF support + intraday confirmation
Short opportunities only if we get clear rejection from $110,660.8 + footprint signals
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Two Targets First $130,000 And Then $150,000Bitcoin is poised for significant distribution, with a potential price surge to $130,000, followed by a swing target of $150,000. The current accumulation phase is poised to transition into a substantial bullish move. We anticipate a surge in bullish volume in the coming days or weeks. Our analysis anticipates this transition to be completed by the end of the year or sooner.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a specific price movement and is provided solely for educational purposes.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. If our analysis has been of assistance, we would appreciate it if you could express your gratitude by liking and commenting.
For further insights, please follow our account.
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Bitcoin Rally Overextended: Patience is Key for the Next Move💹 BTC/USDC – Bullish Outlook, heres my Trade Plan.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDC) is currently maintaining a strong bullish trajectory 🚀, showing impressive momentum after breaking through recent resistance levels 🔓.
However, price is now overextended from the last swing low, and I’m anticipating a pullback into value 🔄 — specifically targeting the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone drawn from the latest swing low to swing high 📐. This zone often acts as a rebalancing point for institutional traders and provides confluence for smart entries 🎯.
I’ll be closely watching this retracement area for signs of support forming, and more importantly, a bullish break in market structure 🧠📊. Only after that confirmation, would I consider executing a long position — no structure break, no trade ✅.
This isn’t about predicting — it’s about reacting with discipline.
Bitcoin: The Final Distribution Phase BeginsBTC - "beta test coin" was a great success. Time to release the real true currency.
📊 The chart tells the story, Bitcoin has reached its peak cycle, and the mainstream distribution is underway. 📉 MACD flipping bearish, RSI divergence, and key market phases indicate the shift. 💰 The next evolution of money is coming. Are you ready?
NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MARA NYSE:CRCL TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Approaches Resistance as Momentum Cools: What’s Next?Bitcoin has been on a strong upward trend 🚀, but recent moves show signs of exhaustion as it approaches major resistance zones 🛑. The appearance of a three-drive pattern on the 4-hour chart, suggests the market could be due for a healthy correction 🔄. While the broader trend remains bullish, I'm watching for a potential pullback and then looking for renewed strength (bullish BoS) before considering new long positions. Patience and confirmation are key in these conditions! 👀✨
Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions :
Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!?
At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!?
When can we expect the uptrend to end!?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken).
In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction .
What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin is Super Bullish Right Now - Here is my BTC trade planSince Bitcoin is super bullish on monthly and weekly time frame, my focus is to trade trend continuation pull backs on the 4HR time frame.
For this particular trade, I want to see a pull back to a key level of either imbalance or the old high serving as new support for price.
I will be taking a bullish trend continuation setup on that 4HR pull back.
Target:
I expect to see Bitcoin break that all time high of 111k level and go as high as 150k per one.
Bitcoin Price: HODL Mode Fuels $140K ATH PushBitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, is once again at the forefront of financial discussions, exhibiting a remarkable display of resilience and strength that points towards an imminent surge to uncharted price territories. The current market narrative is dominated by several compelling indicators: a significant increase in long-term holders, a climbing realized capitalization, the inherent stability provided by its difficulty adjustment mechanism, and a pervasive return to "HODL mode" among investors. These factors, combined with recent price action and expert analyses, suggest that Bitcoin is not just preparing for new all-time highs but is solidifying its position as a mature and indispensable asset in the global financial landscape.
Long-Term Holders Strengthen Their Grip: A Foundation for Future Growth
One of the most telling indicators of Bitcoin's underlying strength and investor conviction is the behavior of its long-term holders (LTHs). These are addresses that have held their Bitcoin for an extended period, typically over 155 days, signaling a strong belief in its future value rather than short-term speculation. Recent data reveals a significant uptick in the number of these steadfast investors, indicating a profound shift in market sentiment. This trend is critical because it removes a substantial portion of the circulating supply from immediate selling pressure, creating a scarcity that naturally supports price appreciation.
The "HODL mode" phenomenon, a term coined from a misspelling of "hold" in a 2013 forum post, perfectly encapsulates this behavior. It describes the strategy of buying and holding cryptocurrencies regardless of price fluctuations, driven by a long-term bullish outlook. The return of this "HODL mode" is not merely anecdotal; it is quantifiable through on-chain metrics. When long-term holders accumulate and resist selling, it signifies a collective conviction that current prices do not reflect Bitcoin's true intrinsic value or future potential. This behavior creates a strong psychological floor for the price, as fewer coins are available for sale on exchanges, making it harder for large sell-offs to occur.
Complementing this, Bitcoin's Realized Cap has been climbing to uncharted territory. The Realized Cap is a variation of market capitalization that values each Bitcoin at the price it was last moved on-chain, rather than its current market price. It essentially represents the aggregate cost basis of all coins in circulation. When the Realized Cap climbs, especially to new all-time highs, it indicates that a significant amount of Bitcoin has been acquired at higher prices and is being held, suggesting that the overall market is holding onto its coins with stronger conviction. This metric serves as a robust measure of the network's fundamental value and the collective cost basis of its investors. Its ascent to new peaks underscores the increasing capital flowing into Bitcoin and the growing confidence among those holding it. This phenomenon is often observed during bull markets, as new capital enters the ecosystem and existing holders refuse to sell, signaling a healthy and maturing market.
The strengthening grip of long-term holders and the rising Realized Cap collectively paint a picture of a market that is fundamentally sound and poised for sustained growth. It suggests that Bitcoin is moving from a speculative asset to a more mature store of value, attracting investors who are less concerned with short-term volatility and more focused on its long-term potential as a digital asset.
Bitcoin's Difficulty Adjustment: The Engine of Predictable Monetary Policy
One of Bitcoin's most ingenious and often underestimated features is its difficulty adjustment mechanism. This self-regulating system ensures that new blocks are found, and thus new Bitcoin are mined, at a remarkably consistent rate of approximately every 10 minutes, regardless of the total computational power (hash rate) dedicated to the network. Every 2,016 blocks, or roughly every two weeks, the network automatically adjusts the difficulty of the mining puzzle. If more miners join the network, increasing the hash rate, the difficulty increases, making it harder to find the next block. Conversely, if miners leave, the difficulty decreases.
This mechanism is the bedrock of Bitcoin's predictable monetary policy. Unlike traditional fiat currencies, whose supply can be arbitrarily increased by central banks, Bitcoin's supply schedule is immutable and transparent. The difficulty adjustment ensures that the issuance of new Bitcoin remains consistent until the total supply of 21 million coins is reached. This predictability is a cornerstone of Bitcoin's value proposition as a sound money alternative. It eliminates the uncertainty and potential for inflation that plagues fiat currencies, making Bitcoin a reliable store of value over the long term.
The consistent block time and predictable supply schedule, enforced by the difficulty adjustment, contribute significantly to Bitcoin's appeal as a deflationary asset. Investors are drawn to assets with a finite and transparent supply, especially in an era of unprecedented global monetary expansion. This mechanism not only secures the network from external attacks by making it prohibitively expensive to manipulate but also instills confidence in its long-term scarcity and value. It is this algorithmic certainty that underpins Bitcoin's potential to become a global reserve asset, providing a stark contrast to the discretionary policies of central banks.
Why are Bitcoin and Crypto Prices Going Up Today?
The recent surge in Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency prices can be attributed to a confluence of factors, many of which are interconnected with the underlying strength discussed above. Bitcoin's impressive climb past $107,000 and its break above $108,000 at the start of the week are not isolated events but rather manifestations of building bullish sentiment.
One primary driver is the return of institutional interest and capital inflows. As Bitcoin matures and gains regulatory clarity in various jurisdictions, traditional financial institutions are increasingly comfortable allocating capital to the asset class. This institutional adoption provides significant buying pressure and lends legitimacy to the market. The establishment of Bitcoin ETFs in various regions, for instance, has opened new avenues for institutional investors to gain exposure without directly holding the underlying asset.
Secondly, the macroeconomic environment continues to play a pivotal role. Persistent inflation concerns, coupled with the potential for further quantitative easing by central banks, drive investors towards scarce assets like Bitcoin as a hedge against currency debasement. The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" gains traction during periods of economic uncertainty, attracting both retail and institutional capital seeking to preserve purchasing power.
Thirdly, technical indicators are flashing strong buy signals. Bitcoin's weekly chart, for instance, is flexing significant strength. A sustained break above key resistance levels, such as the $108,000 mark, often triggers further buying as traders and algorithms recognize the bullish momentum. The return of "HODL mode," as evidenced by the behavior of long-term holders, further reduces selling pressure, allowing prices to climb with less resistance. This combination of fundamental strength and technical breakouts creates a powerful upward spiral.
Finally, anticipation of future events also fuels price rallies. The upcoming June 11 CPI report, for example, is being closely watched by analysts. Inflation data can significantly impact market sentiment, and a favorable report (e.g., lower-than-expected inflation) could signal a more dovish stance from central banks, potentially leading to increased liquidity and risk-on appetite, which benefits Bitcoin. An analyst has even suggested that the Bitcoin price could "explode" after the CPI report, indicating the market's sensitivity to such macroeconomic releases.
Bitcoin Chart Pattern, Return of ‘HODL Mode’ Point to Imminent All-Time BTC Price High
The technical analysis of Bitcoin's price charts, combined with on-chain data indicating a return to "HODL mode," strongly suggests that an imminent all-time high (ATH) is on the horizon. Chart patterns are crucial tools for traders and investors to identify potential future price movements based on historical data. When Bitcoin breaks above significant resistance levels, especially after a period of consolidation, it often signals the start of a new upward trend. The recent break above $108,000 is a prime example of such a breakout, indicating that the market has absorbed previous selling pressure and is now ready for higher valuations.
The "HODL mode" phenomenon, as discussed earlier, is a powerful fundamental indicator that reinforces technical signals. When a large proportion of the circulating supply is being held by long-term investors who are unwilling to sell, it creates a supply shock. This reduced selling pressure means that even moderate buying interest can lead to significant price increases. This is particularly true when new capital enters the market, as it encounters a much thinner order book on the sell side. The confluence of a bullish chart pattern and the return of "HODL mode" creates a self-reinforcing cycle: technical breakouts encourage more HODLing, which in turn reduces supply and facilitates further breakouts.
Analysts are increasingly confident that these combined factors point to an imminent all-time high for BTC. The previous all-time high serves as a psychological and technical barrier, but once breached, it often transforms into a new support level, paving the way for further price discovery. The current market structure, characterized by strong accumulation by long-term holders and a clear upward trajectory on the charts, suggests that the path of least resistance for Bitcoin is upwards.
Bitcoin Weekly Chart Flexes Strength—Is The Moonshot Just Getting Started?
Looking at Bitcoin's weekly chart provides a broader perspective on its long-term trend and current momentum. The weekly chart smooths out daily volatility, revealing more significant patterns and trends. Currently, Bitcoin's weekly chart is indeed flexing considerable strength, characterized by consistent higher lows and higher highs, strong closing prices, and increasing trading volume during upward movements. This sustained bullish momentum on a longer timeframe suggests that the current rally is not a fleeting pump but potentially the beginning of a more substantial "moonshot."
The term "moonshot" in crypto parlance refers to a rapid and significant price increase, often to unprecedented levels. While such parabolic moves can be speculative, the current strength on Bitcoin's weekly chart appears to be fundamentally driven. The accumulation by long-term holders, the predictable supply schedule enforced by the difficulty adjustment, and the increasing institutional adoption all contribute to a more sustainable upward trajectory. This is not just about short-term trading gains; it's about a fundamental revaluation of Bitcoin's role in the global financial system.
The question of whether the "moonshot" is just getting started implies that the current price levels are merely a stepping stone to much higher valuations. This perspective is supported by the fact that Bitcoin is still in its relatively early stages of global adoption compared to traditional asset classes. As more individuals, corporations, and even nation-states begin to integrate Bitcoin into their financial strategies, the demand will continue to outstrip the limited supply, fueling further price appreciation. The weekly chart's strength provides a visual confirmation of this underlying bullish narrative, suggesting that the journey to new price frontiers is indeed well underway.
Bitcoin Price Could Explode After June 11 CPI Report, Says Analyst
The highly anticipated June 11 CPI (Consumer Price Index) report is poised to be a significant catalyst for Bitcoin's price action. The CPI is a key economic indicator that measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. It is a primary gauge of inflation, and its release often triggers significant market reactions across all asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
An analyst's prediction that Bitcoin's price could "explode" after the CPI report highlights the market's sensitivity to inflation data. If the CPI report comes in lower than expected, it could signal that inflationary pressures are easing, potentially leading central banks to adopt a more dovish monetary policy (e.g., interest rate cuts). Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin, making them more attractive to investors. Conversely, if inflation remains stubbornly high, it could reinforce Bitcoin's narrative as an inflation hedge, also potentially driving its price up as investors seek refuge from fiat currency debasement.
The market's reaction to such reports is often driven by expectations. If the report aligns with or exceeds dovish expectations, it could lead to a surge in liquidity and risk appetite, benefiting Bitcoin. Conversely, an unexpectedly hawkish report could lead to short-term volatility. However, the overarching sentiment among many analysts is that even in a hawkish scenario, Bitcoin's role as a hedge will continue to attract capital. The June 11 CPI report is therefore a critical event that could provide the immediate impetus for Bitcoin's next major price movement, potentially validating the "moonshot" thesis.
Bitcoin Price Will See ‘Short-Term Correction’ Before $140K: Analysts
While the overall sentiment for Bitcoin is overwhelmingly bullish, some analysts predict a "short-term correction" before the price initiates a rally to all-time highs above $140,000. This perspective is not necessarily bearish; rather, it reflects a healthy market dynamic. Corrections are a natural part of any asset's price discovery process, allowing the market to consolidate gains, shake out overleveraged positions, and attract new buyers at slightly lower price points.
A short-term correction typically involves a temporary pullback in price after a significant upward move. This can be triggered by profit-taking from early investors, macroeconomic news, or technical resistance levels. Analysts who foresee such a correction often view it as a necessary reset that builds a stronger foundation for the next leg of the rally. For instance, a drop could see Bitcoin retest key support levels that were previously resistance, confirming their strength before moving higher.
The prediction of a correction before reaching $140,000 suggests that while the long-term outlook is incredibly strong, the path to new all-time highs may not be a straight line. Such a correction could present an excellent buying opportunity for those who missed the initial surge or wish to increase their holdings. It also aligns with the idea of a healthy market that allows for organic growth rather than unsustainable parabolic pumps. The $140,000 target itself is a significant psychological and technical level, and reaching it would mark a substantial milestone for Bitcoin, further solidifying its position as a premier digital asset.
The Return of Altcoin Season: Why Bitcoin Dominance Must Fall To 62%
As Bitcoin continues its ascent, the conversation often shifts to the broader cryptocurrency market, specifically the potential for an "Altcoin Season." Altcoin Season refers to a period when altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) experience significant price appreciation, often outperforming Bitcoin. For an Altcoin Season to truly kick off, analysts often point to a crucial prerequisite: a decrease in Bitcoin's dominance.
Bitcoin dominance (BTCD) measures Bitcoin's market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. Currently, Bitcoin's dominance is relatively high, reflecting its recent strength and the capital flowing into it. However, for altcoins to flourish, capital needs to flow from Bitcoin into other cryptocurrencies. This typically happens when Bitcoin has made significant gains, and investors begin to seek higher returns in riskier, smaller-cap altcoins.
The specific threshold of Bitcoin dominance falling to 62% is often cited as a key indicator for the start of Altcoin Season. When Bitcoin's dominance drops to this level or lower, it suggests that a substantial amount of capital is rotating out of Bitcoin and into altcoins, signaling a broader market rally. This rotation is a healthy sign of market maturation, as it indicates that investors are diversifying their portfolios and recognizing the value proposition of other blockchain projects.
The return of Altcoin Season would signify a broader bullish trend across the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem. It would mean that the value proposition of decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and various Layer 1 and Layer 2 solutions built on other blockchains is gaining traction. While Bitcoin remains the undisputed king, a thriving altcoin market indicates a robust and diversified digital economy. The anticipation of this shift further underscores the dynamic and evolving nature of the cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin's strength often paves the way for the growth of the entire ecosystem.
In conclusion, Bitcoin stands on the precipice of a new era of growth, driven by a powerful synergy of fundamental strength, technical indicators, and evolving market dynamics. The unwavering conviction of long-term holders, evidenced by a climbing Realized Cap and a pervasive "HODL mode," forms a robust foundation. The predictable monetary policy enforced by the difficulty adjustment mechanism instills unwavering confidence in its scarcity. Recent price surges, fueled by institutional interest and macroeconomic tailwinds, underscore its immediate bullish momentum. While a short-term correction may be on the cards, it is viewed as a healthy precursor to an explosive rally towards and beyond the $140,000 mark. Furthermore, Bitcoin's continued strength is expected to eventually pave the way for an "Altcoin Season," signaling the maturation and diversification of the broader crypto market. For investors and
enthusiasts alike, ignoring Bitcoin's current trajectory would be to miss a pivotal moment in the ongoing digital revolution, as it solidifies its grip on the financial future.
Bitcoi 4 hour - Volatile Zone near bu = CAUTION
PA nearly at that Circle I posted
MACD near the Neutral line
Possible rejection from Both
Lets see how this plays out. I do ecpect PA to follow that arrow BUT Bulls could step in and take PA Above the upper trendline and then wait for the inflation data in the USA on the 11th
Watch BTC Dominance for Clues about how this all effects ALT coins
Bitcoin B-Wave Trap? Major C-Wave Down Correction Incoming!Bitcoin’s recent bounce has all the signs of a classic B-wave in an ABC corrective structure. After the impulsive A-wave down from the highs, this current rally appears more like a corrective relief move rather than the start of a new bullish impulse. Volume remains weak and the structure looks choppy — not the kind of strength you’d expect from a sustainable uptrend.
I believe we are now completing the B-wave, luring in late bulls before the real drop — the C-wave — begins. This next leg down could be sharp and painful, targeting key support zones and possibly wiping out the complacency that’s built up in the market.
🧠 Watch for signs of exhaustion in this rally.
📉 Potential C-wave targets: 98k 97k
⏳ Timing and structure suggest we’re close to the turning point.
Stay cautious. This could be the calm before the real storm.
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BITCOIN ROAD TO 300K !!! ELLIOTT WAVE CASE STUDYThere are three possible cases for Bitcoin which we can now consider according to Elliot wave count on big picture:
Case I: According to this count if we hold above 74.5k , recent low, we may see major shift in BTC. Retracement Up to 92-79k is good which will form inverse head & shoulders, potentially breaking ATH up to 170K, if things goes well & 74.5K region remains on hold.
Case II: If in case 74.5K region breaks, then it will invalidate minor count causing BTC to retrace more up to 64-52K major reversal zone region. If such thing happens, bullish shark pattern will be formed causing major reversal from that region BUT 49K region should remained hold!!!
Case III: Worst case scenario if 49K region breaks, then it will cause major count invalidation dropping BTC further up to 45-33K region.
₿ BTC: Upside Potential Remains IntactBTC posted modest gains over the weekend, but more upside is expected in our primary scenario. We continue to track a corrective advance in green wave B, with the potential to extend into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. From that top, wave C should initiate a downward move into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323—completing orange wave a. Subsequently, we anticipate a bounce in wave b, followed by another decline in wave c, which should conclude the larger correction of blue wave (ii). There is still a 30% chance that blue wave alt.(i) could make a new high, extending beyond the Target Zone and delaying the broader corrective sequence.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, after fluctuating in a sideways range, bitcoin began to decline. Only $300 wasn’t enough to reach the level of $100,000 — there was a strong absorption of market sales, and a rebound occurred.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We tested the $104,500–$105,800 zone (accumulated volumes). There is no abnormal activity or strong sales within it, which increases the likelihood of continued upward movement to the next sell zone. After that, the current volumes may go long, forming a new support zone in the range of $105,800–$104,500.
This week, we can consider a long retest of the support of $104,500–$105,800 with confirmation of the buyers' reaction. However, low volumes in the upward wave keep the risk of a sharp resumption of sales. In this case, the key entry level will shift to the psychological mark of $ 100,000.
Supply Zone:
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes)
Demand Zones:
$101,600–$100,000 (previous push-volume zone + current buyer defense)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Wednesday, June 11, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for May, as well as in comparison with May 2024;
• Thursday, June 12, 06:00 (UTC) — UK GDP for April is published;
• Thursday, June 12, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits and the US producer price index for May;
• Friday, June 13, 06:00 (UTC) — German consumer price index for May is published.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin: Weekly Bullish Continuation🟠 The weekly divergence between the March 2024 and January 2025 peaks has driven the recent 3-month decline.
🔴 BTC is expected to make a weekly move higher, creating another divergence in the way.
🔵 BTC held above the 2024 peak range 73K without overlap, while the Stock RSI has completed a full reset, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
🟢 Outlook: Over the next 6 months, Bitcoin CRYPTO:BTCUSD is expected to rally into new ATH, with a potential target around 127K by October 2025.