BTC & ALTCOINSIn this chart we can see Bitcoin historical Highs , lows , halving years (green->green) and halvings ... we can see some patterns here , not price patterns but sessionality patterns .. for example .. strong probabilty next btc HIGH will be in November/December this year , or we can also see on chart of BTC.D .. we are close to date when BTC.D breaks and fall as much as alts shine .. But all of this was history what about today ? What if , in this one cycle is something different , for example players ... Old good BTC and Crypto OG players now have less power as manipulators , we have some guys from wallstreet also here , Trump and much more .. Macroeconomic was totaly changed ... so what do you think guys ?
Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats
Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn.
Key Support Level Identified
Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound.
U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge
Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation.
The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point
The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include:
• Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price.
• Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment.
• Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market.
Risks to Watch Out For
Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include:
• Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn.
• Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility.
• Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm.
Balancing Act
Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
Feb 2024 set up repeating? Bitcoin has been moving in the range bound for a few months now. The market is very volatile and many inexperienced traders are liquidated. Some are starting to talk about the end of the bull market, but I can see a very bullish price set up in the weekly chart.
The current set up in the weekly chart is very similar to that in Jan/Feb 2024 (see the blue boxes and vertical lines in the chart).
1) The price is still closing above EMA 21.
2)MACD momentum is weakening and MACD lines about touching but haven't crossed to the downside. Also MACD is clearly in the bull zone.
3) RSI has reached the overbought territory and the purple line (signal line?) has come down, but the slope of the orange line (signal line or slow MACD line? sorry I forgot what it is called!) is still up. As I said in the previous analysis, RSI orange line tends to remove the market noises and shows the general direction of the price.
4)Stochastic is moving to the downside, however, they are still in the bull zone and it is the fastest reacting momentum indicator, so the direction can shift quite quickly.
If the price action of the Feb 2024 repeats, a parabolic leg up is coming soon. It is not a guaranteed move, so you need to respond accordingly to the price action of today, not that of Feb 2024!
If a daily candle decisively moves and closes above $98,000 area and 4H MACD crosses to the upside and enters the bull zone, it might be a good opportunity to buy spot or open a long position for swing trade (with low leverage!)
BTC / USDT: Gearing up for a breakout above trendline resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USDT): Gearing Up for a Breakout Above Trendline Resistance
Bitcoin is setting up for a major move 📈 as it approaches a critical trendline resistance zone 📊. The price has been consolidating tightly, forming the perfect setup for a potential breakout 💥. If BTC successfully clears this resistance, we could see a strong bullish trend unfold 🚀. Keep a close eye 👀 and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Trendline Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing a long-standing trendline that has repeatedly acted as a barrier. A decisive break above this level could mark the start of a significant upward move.
2️⃣ Volume Surge: Watch for a notable increase in trading volume during the breakout to confirm strong buying pressure 🔥.
3️⃣ Bullish Signals: Indicators like RSI and MACD are showing strength ⚡, further supporting the potential for a bullish breakout.
Steps to Confirm the Breakout:
✅ Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍.
✅ A noticeable spike in volume during the breakout can signal strong buying activity 📊.
✅ A retest of the broken resistance as a new support zone adds credibility to the move.
⚠️ Be cautious of fake breakouts, such as sharp reversals or wicks above the trendline.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital.
🎯 Ensure position sizing aligns with your overall trading strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 before making investment decisions.
BTC/USDT at a Make or Break Moment Analysis Bitcoin is currently forming an inverse cup and handle pattern on the hourly timeframe, signaling potential bearish continuation. The price is testing the neckline support around 96,480 USDT, and a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger further downside momentum. However, the most critical support level to watch is 92,000 USDTit is essential for Bitcoin to hold this level to maintain any bullish momentum. If BTC closes below 92K, we can expect further declines, possibly towards 88,500–89,000 USDT or even lower. On the upside, 97,500 USDT remains a key resistance, and only a sustained recovery above this level would invalidate the bearish structure. For now, all eyes are on the 92K support zone, as losing this level could lead to a deeper correction in the market.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Rebound Setup
Market Context: BTC is currently trading near a 4H Fair Value Gap, with multiple wicks indicating buyers are stepping in. The 4H Kijun and the FVG overlap provide a strong confluence area for a potential bounce. Despite recent bearish pressure, a range-bound environment suggests a bullish bias could play out if price holds above this support region.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Look to buy on a retest of the 4H FVG or once the 4H Kijun confirms support.
– Stop: Place just below the recent wicks or the lower boundary of the FVG.
– Risk: 1% of account (or per your risk plan).
– Target: Aim for a minimum of 1:2 RRR, targeting the next key structure high or daily supply zone.
Risk Management: If price decisively breaks below the FVG and invalidates the Kijun support, exit the trade and wait for another setup. Remain watchful of macro news as it can spark sudden volatility.
BTCUSD I Potential for downside but growth expected Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round”
you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market!
at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins
so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day
2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies.
If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles:
3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn.
This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far.
The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze.
Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one.
Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves)
In this idea, we gonna talk about :
- Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025
- Expected pullbacks during the year
- Sell strategy for this cycle
The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors.
Short Term Expectations & Probabilities
Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes”
there is a chance for market pullback in early January
This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th.
Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21
look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market.
In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle.
The Role of Seasonality in Markets
Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making.
Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency.
January Pullbacks
In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead?
Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due.
In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks.
March Pullbacks
Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March:
- March 8, 2017
- March 14, 2021
Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations.
Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality.
While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons.
May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away”
Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well.
Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump
When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch!
This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results.
Why Does This Happen?
The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring.
After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations.
In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down.
Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October.
Even in Bullish Markets!
This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th.
Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period.
The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump
A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities.
H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle.
The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn:
- 2013: Top in November
- 2017: Top in December
- 2021: Top in November
If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction.
Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025
The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years
Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment
Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging.
If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore.
2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
Bitcoin Price Surges Despite US-China Trade TensionsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has seen a surge in price in recent weeks, despite ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Bitcoin's price has risen by over 20% in the last few months, and some analysts believe that it could reach a new all-time high in the near future.
There are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. One factor is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as Tesla and MicroStrategy, have announced that they have purchased Bitcoin as part of their treasury reserves.2 This has helped to legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset and has attracted more institutional investors to the market.
Another factor that is driving Bitcoin's price growth is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as PayPal and Visa, have announced that they will allow their customers to use Bitcoin to make payments.3 This has made it easier for people to use Bitcoin in their everyday lives and has helped to increase demand for the cryptocurrency.
Despite the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, Bitcoin has continued to perform well. This suggests that Bitcoin is becoming increasingly decoupled from traditional financial markets. This is likely due to the fact that Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that is not controlled by any central bank or government. As a result, Bitcoin is not as susceptible to the same economic and political risks as traditional currencies.
However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is still volatile and can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. As a result, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
Other factors driving Bitcoin's price
In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a number of other factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors include:
• The increasing scarcity of Bitcoin. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in existence. This scarcity is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is seen as a store of value.
• The increasing adoption of Bitcoin by developing countries. In many developing countries, Bitcoin is seen as a more stable and reliable currency than the local currency. This is driving demand for Bitcoin in these countries.
•
Overall, there are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors suggest that Bitcoin could continue to perform well in the future. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
$BTC Bearish Trend next 6-8 monthsPosting what I see, as I always do, based on technicals. Sure, fundamentals are all bullish but we have all seen bullish fundamentals like ETF's become top signals. I will say $TRUMP coin was a massive top signal; add to that Michael Saylor on the cover of Forbes, and there are plenty of other things imho, but technicals are all I care about.
BTC IS GOING TO 130K !!!
According to #BTC Elliott wave micro count, currently we are into 2nd wave which can end up to 96-92.5k region.
After that we may probably see impulse 3rd micro wave move up to 115K and final 5th micro of 3rd major impulse wave up to 130K.
Invalidation of micro count is below 91K !!!
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
Analysis Report for Bitcoin (BTC)1. Recent Price Action
Current Price: $97,123
Recent High: $102,014
Recent Low: $90,000
Price Movement: Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility, recently dropping below $100,000, which has raised concerns among traders. The price has fluctuated between $90,000 and $102,000, indicating a potential consolidation phase.
2. Key Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:50-day MA: $98,500 (currently acting as resistance)
200-day MA: $85,000 (providing long-term support)
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 52, indicating a neutral stance but leaning slightly bullish.
MACD: The MACD line is approaching the signal line, suggesting a potential bullish crossover if the price holds above $97,000.
3. Volume Analysis
Average Volume: Approximately 10 million BTC traded daily.
Recent Volume: A notable increase in volume was observed during the recent price drop, indicating strong selling pressure.
Volume Patterns: The correlation between price and volume suggests that the recent drop was supported by high selling volume, which may indicate a bearish sentiment.
4. Support and Resistance Levels
Support Levels:Primary Support: $93,000 (recent low)
Secondary Support: $90,000 (psychological level)
Resistance Levels:Primary Resistance: $102,000 (recent high)
Secondary Resistance: $106,000 (key overhead area)
5. Breakout/Breakdown Points
Breakout Point: A close above $102,000 with strong volume could signal a bullish breakout, targeting $106,000 and potentially $110,000.
Breakdown Point: A close below $93,000 could indicate a bearish breakdown, targeting $90,000 and potentially $87,000.
6. Anomalies and Divergences
Divergence: There is a bearish divergence noted between price and RSI, as the price has made lower highs while RSI has not confirmed this trend, suggesting potential weakness in the current uptrend.
7. Risk and Reward Scenarios
Long Position:
Entry Point: $102,500 (breakout confirmation)
Stop-Loss: $100,000 (below recent support)
Target Price: $106,000 (first target)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 (risking $2,500 to gain $3,500)
Short Position:
Entry Point: $92,500 (breakdown confirmation)
Stop-Loss: $94,500 (above recent resistance)
Target Price: $90,000 (first target)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 (risking $2,000 to gain $2,500)
Bitcoin is currently in a critical phase, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements. Traders should closely monitor the key support and resistance levels, as well as volume trends, to make informed decisions. The analysis indicates that a breakout above $102,000 could lead to further gains, while a breakdown below $93,000 could signal a deeper correction. Always adhere to risk management principles and adjust stop-loss levels as necessary to protect capital.
ShortYeah, it's pretty wild how quickly narratives shift, isn't it? A lot of these analysts seem to latch onto whatever fits their current agenda or the latest trend, and it's often the same people with different predictions based on the same factors. Like, one minute it's all about Trump's influence sending Bitcoin to the moon, and the next it's about geopolitics making a radical change in the market.
It seems like people can’t resist connecting anything and everything to Bitcoin’s price. It's like trying to predict weather patterns based on random social events.
It’s clear that a correction is overdue, and as usual, retail investors are going to jump in near the top, hoping to catch the momentum. But when the market starts to pull back, they’ll get stuck holding the bag as prices drop. The more they buy now, the more likely it is that the market will keep falling.
Bitcoin- Something is Rotten in Denmark- Cause of Concern?In my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned that "it's about time for the price to do something" and highlighted that a breakout above 107k could trigger accelerated upward momentum, potentially leading to a significant new all-time high with a measured target in the 130K zone.
However, following days of low volatility, Bitcoin has started to decline instead of breaking through the resistance.
Overall, the situation is starting to look unfavorable. Despite the positive news surrounding crypto marklet, Bitcoin's inability to break resistance and reach a new ATH is anything but bullish.
From a technical perspective, as of now, the price is hovering just above a local support level.
If this level breaks, it could once again expose the 90K confluence support. Given the current conditions, this seems like the most likely scenario.
In my opinion, if you’re a speculator, the best approach right now is to stay on the sidelines and observe how the market develops.
BTC / USDT : Holding strong at 92K - Bounce incoming ?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): Holding Strong at GETTEX:92K – Bounce Incoming?
Bitcoin is showing resilience at the GETTEX:92K support level, holding firm despite market fluctuations. This critical level has acted as a strong demand zone, and if buyers step in, we could see a bullish bounce from here. The next move will be crucial in determining BTC’s short-term trend.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Major Support at GETTEX:92K : BTC has been testing this level, and a strong rebound could trigger a move towards higher resistance zones.
2️⃣ Volume Confirmation: A noticeable increase in buy volume would signal strength and confirm the potential bounce.
3️⃣ Bullish Indicators: Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are showing signs of reversal, suggesting that bulls might be ready to take control.
Steps to Confirm the Bounce:
✅ Strong 4H or Daily Close Above GETTEX:92K – A solid candle close above this level would confirm demand.
✅ Volume Surge During the Rebound – Watch for increasing buying pressure to validate the move.
✅ Retest Holding as Support – If BTC retests GETTEX:92K and holds, it strengthens the bullish case.
⚠️ Beware of Fakeouts – Sudden dips below GETTEX:92K followed by quick recoveries could indicate stop-hunt moves.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use Stop-Loss Orders – Protect your capital in case of unexpected breakdowns.
🎯 Position Sizing – Ensure your trade aligns with your overall strategy and risk tolerance.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR before making any investment decisions. 🔍
BTCUSD - Weekly chart updates and anticipated movementsSince everyone is aware of Bitcoin's previous movements in 2017 and 2021, everyone is assuming that it will now be worth 280K. However, Bitcoin is currently in a rally or range between 100,000 and 110,000, and this rally will continue until 2026, after which there will be a nice pullback to 73,000–74,000.
This move makes sense because BTC does not even touch these levels again after breaking the cup and handle pattern, thus it should give this level again in order to continue the trend.
I'm leaving for the time being because we should always be cautious since this rally has the potential to be a good dump.
We all know that once a higher high is broken, a retracement is necessary to continue the trend. This was not the case for all stocks worldwide following the US elections.
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000.
This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again.
I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time.
As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.