USDT.D Flashing BEARISH Signal For Bitcoin and Total Market CapIn this video, I've re-created a study I saw online about USDT.D (USDT Tether Dominance) and how whenever it's dropped to this trendline since 2018/2019.
It's also marked the top of the market in terms of Bitcoin and Total Market Cap.
It obviously makes sense that with money flowing into crypto and Bitcoin, that money would flow out of Tether and stablecoins... But still, this is a very interesting inverse relationship.
This is either one of those charts we'll look back at in hindsight, and think 'Well that was obvious' -- Or we'll see a break of this trendline, because...
Maybe this cycle IS different.
I'll be watching this to see if USDT.D starts rising, and BTC.D starts dropping.
This could spark a mini-alt season in the mean time, which would be great.
But I would be taking profits into resistance levels, if this USDT.D chart looks to be turning up.
What are your thoughts?
Please Like, Leave a Comment, and feel free to Share!
- Brett
Bitcoinprediction
Bitcoin Set for Explosive Move After 220-Day Consolidation!BTCUSD has been in a 220-day range, similar to a previous consolidation period seen in early 2023. Historically, after such long-range trading, Bitcoin has experienced strong bullish breakouts, as shown by the green arrows. With the current range nearing its end, we could be on the verge of another significant upward move. Keep an eye on a potential breakout, which may signal the start of a new bullish trend.
Regards
Hexa
Bitcoin Cycle Top Expectation: Fibonacci Targets $160K-$180KAs Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 milestone, this analysis leverages Fibonacci extensions to highlight potential targets for the current market cycle. Historical trends suggest that Bitcoin’s cycle tops often align with major Fibonacci levels, making the $160K-$180K zone a key area of interest.
This zone represents a strong convergence of resistance based on both technical levels and psychological significance, where a potential cycle top could form. The chart provides a visual breakdown of these targets, with additional possible extensions if momentum overextends.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 22, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The price of Bitcoin, which remained at or below the completed Outer Coin Rally of 92000 during the preceding week, has successfully broken through this level this week, thus completing our Outer Coin Rally of 99500. The current analysis indicates that the cryptocurrency coin will likely experience a retracement to the Mean Support level of 94400 before embarking on its subsequent bullish trajectory, targeting our forthcoming Outer Coin Rally at 110000. This development signifies the conceivable continuation of a sustained bull market.
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not.
- There's nothing at 100k.
- the trend would not be respected.
- i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time.
- At that time, most traders called for a top and scared.
- BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$..
- i see only 3 Scenarios.
1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k.
2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k.
3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ).
- As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion.
- Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.)
- More it will take time, more up BTC will go.
Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Nears $100,000 as China Clarifies Personal Crypto RightsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear, recently surpassing the $99,000 mark. This surge has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty.
China's Crypto Clarity
One of the most significant developments for the cryptocurrency market has been China's clarification of its stance on personal crypto ownership. While the country has imposed strict regulations on cryptocurrency trading and mining, it has clarified that individuals are allowed to hold cryptocurrencies for personal use. This regulatory clarity has boosted investor confidence and could potentially lead to increased adoption of cryptocurrencies in China, the world's second-largest economy.
Institutional Adoption Continues to Grow
Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, have been increasingly investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This growing institutional interest has provided significant support to the market and has helped to drive the price of Bitcoin higher.
Global Economic Uncertainty
The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including rising inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the potential for a recession, has led investors to seek alternative assets. Bitcoin, as a decentralized and inflation-resistant asset, has become an attractive investment option for many.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart suggests that the cryptocurrency is in a strong uptrend. The recent breakout above the $99,000 level has further strengthened the bullish sentiment. Key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are signaling1 bullish momentum.
On-Chain Data Points to Further Upside
On-chain data, which analyzes the behavior of Bitcoin on the blockchain, provides further insights into the potential for future price appreciation. Metrics like the MVRV Z-Score, NUPL, and Puell Multiple suggest that Bitcoin is not overbought and has significant room to grow.
Challenges and Risks
While the outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, it is important to acknowledge the risks and challenges associated with investing in cryptocurrencies. These include:
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and Bitcoin's price can fluctuate significantly in a short period.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulations can impact the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
• Security Risks: Cryptocurrencies are vulnerable to hacking attacks and other security threats.
• Technical Issues: Technical issues with the Bitcoin network could negatively impact its performance and price.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge to near $100,000 has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty. While the future of Bitcoin remains uncertain, the current bullish sentiment and strong technical indicators suggest that the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trajectory. However, investors should approach Bitcoin with caution and be aware of the risks involved.
Bitcoin 2024-2025 TOPBitcoin’s market behavior follows a cyclical structure that revolves around the halving events. These halvings reduce the mining reward, creating a supply shock that typically leads to higher prices in subsequent bull runs.
Historical Patterns
Halving to Market Top (Bull Run):
Historically, market tops occur within 1-1.5 years after halvings.
Example:
2013 Halving → Peak in late 2013 (approx. 370 days post-halving).
2016 Halving → Peak in late 2017 (525 days post-halving).
2020 Halving → Double top in 2021 (343 days to the first top, 553 days to the second top).
Market Top to Bottom (Bear Market):
The bear market usually lasts around 364 days after the peak.
After this, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase before starting a new uptrend.
Bottom to Top:
The time from a market bottom to the next top is remarkably consistent at 1057 days across multiple cycles.
Observations:
Bitcoin has shown a repetitive pattern of growth phases followed by corrections.
The length of each cycle (measured in weeks) shows that the timing between major events is relatively stable, making it possible to predict future milestones with some accuracy.
2. Predictions for 2024–2025
The chart provides specific projections for the current Bitcoin cycle based on historical data:
Next Potential Market Top:
First Peak:
Speculated for January 6, 2024, or March 24, 2024.
This mirrors the 2021 double-top cycle, where the first peak occurred ~343 days after the halving.
Second Peak (All-Time High):
Expected on September 15, 2024.
This corresponds to a potential double-top pattern, with the second peak occurring 539 days after the halving (similar to the 2021 cycle).
Price Targets:
While specific price targets aren’t marked on the chart, it seems to imply:
A potential move toward $100,000+ in the first peak (consistent with prior cycle growth rates).
A possible retracement before reaching the second peak (all-time high).
3. Key Timelines
The chart highlights several critical time intervals:
Top-to-Bottom: ~364 days.
Bottom-to-Top: ~1057 days.
Halving-to-Peak: 1–1.5 years (~343–525 days depending on the top).
Current Cycle Timelines:
Bottom: Marked in late 2022 (~$15,000).
Next Halving: Scheduled for April 2024.
Next Top (Bull Cycle Peak):
Estimated for late 2024.
4. Double-Top Scenario
The chart predicts a possible double-top structure in the next cycle:
First Top:
Occurs early in the cycle (Q1 2024).
Price may surge rapidly but face a correction before the second peak.
Second Top:
A new all-time high expected in Q3-Q4 2024.
This mirrors the 2021 cycle where Bitcoin hit ~$65,000 in April, corrected to ~$29,000, and reached ~$69,000 in November.
5. RSI Insights
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom indicates Bitcoin’s current momentum:
An RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, implying potential short-term corrections.
However, in previous cycles, sustained RSI in the overbought zone often coincided with parabolic price movements during bull runs.
Expect significant pullbacks after major peaks, providing re-entry opportunities.
Conclusion
The chart uses historical consistency in Bitcoin’s price cycles to project future movements. While no prediction is guaranteed, Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and the reliability of its halving-driven supply dynamics provide strong reasoning for these forecasts. If the cycle plays out similarly, 2024-2025 could bring significant opportunities for long-term holders and traders alike.
How Bitcoin BTC Will Break $100k And What Is Going Next?Hello, Skyrexians!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching the $100k, which is the key psychological level for many traders. Some traders are wondering how Bitcoin can pump so high, other became believe in $200k, $500k of even one million dollars per coin! For those who follow us it's not surprise that BTC has almost reached $100k from our previous analysis . There we mentioned that crypto asset is finishing the bull run with the wave 5. This wave had the target at $107k and we can define with higher accuracy the wave's end using subways count inside it.
On the daily time frame we can see the potential Elliott Waves counting. Looking at the maximum Awesome Oscillator value we can see that currently price is printing wave 3. This wave has the target with the 1.61, 2.61 or 3.61 Fibonacci extension levels. The first one has been broken, now price is at 2.61 level. Therefore, it can start local correction anytime now. The maximum target is $113k, which has the low probability of reaching in this wave 3.
We want you also to pay attention that Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator flashed the green dot just before the growth and at the bottom on August 5 as well. As always, alerts from this indicator can be automatically replicated on exchange account orders. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . We can expect the red dot as a potential reversal sign.
The next dump in our opinion is not going to be the end of this game, Bitcoin shall print wave 4. It has targets between 0.38 and 0.5 level. BTC usually tends to show the short correction, so $79k can be the correction target. After that we expect the final subway of the final wave, which will likely reach our target from previous article at $107k, but the decisive factors are going to be the bearish divergence of the AO and the red dot on our indicator.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC 6 MONTH OUTLOOK- PRE BULL MARKETThis is a composite of quite a few systems, but the screen here has been reduced for ease of reading. The economic sentiment right now is not favorable so a pullback of BTC is very likely. This is not signaling a weakness in crypto, but just the overall uncertainty in investors in ANY market. Look for the BTC pullback end of March early April. Securities and Banking are seeing difficult times. The safest market may be Crypto (ie Bitcoin). It doesn't mean Bitcoin won't have it struggles (It will), but its promise is to safeguard those who hold it from the ever present uncertainty of the BANKING sector which is a whole different topic.
On this chart you will find secondary support/resistance lines here (dashed blue lines). Hard resistance and supports (sold blue lines). The yellow line is a projection that I am seeing for BTC over the next 6-8 months. I do think once we exist the Gann Box that we will be in a full blown BTC Bull market. For now some intermediate tops and bottoms will be seen. Not in a bull market yet, but soon so stack up! I am! Buy Low- Sell High
Any questions/ comments leave them below.
I warrant that the information created and published, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
BTC Next Targets $100K ?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
BTC's price has formed an ascending triangle pattern on the 1H chart and is now moving toward a breakout at the triangle's resistance. The 100 EMA acts as strong support for the ascending triangle. If the breakout occurs, the price could reach $100k in the coming days.
BTC to100K: Riding the Bullish Breakout with Strong FundamentalsBTC is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with both technical and fundamental factors in alignment. The trade aims to capitalize on this momentum towards the 100K level, with a cautious eye on potential selling pressure. Pay attention to the consolidation range, as further upward movement could solidify BTC’s path to the target.
Technical Overview:
• Trend: We are in a strong bullish trend, trading well above the 200MA, indicating sustained upward momentum.
• Breakout & Retest: Recently, BTC saw a breakout and a successful retest, reinforcing this trend.
• Range Consolidation: Currently consolidating within a range, with a low at 85K and a high at 93K. I’ve taken a mid-range entry to capitalize on any upward movement within this channel.
• Plan: If sellers aggressively push the price above the 85K level, I will consider reentry opportunities aligned with price action.
Fundamental Drivers:
1. Global Adoption & Regulation: The Fed’s constructive stance on digital assets, combined with increasing demand and institutional adoption, is supporting BTC’s upward trajectory.
2. Economic Conditions: As inflation and interest rates remain focal points, Bitcoin is being viewed as an inflation hedge. Additionally, El Salvador’s adoption of BTC as legal tender is adding to the credibility and mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency.
3. Bitcoin ETF: The SEC’s positive outlook on a BTC-based ETF is expected to boost demand and further legitimize BTC within traditional financial markets.
4. Geopolitical Factors: War-driven demand, potential sanctions on Russian money, and global financial uncertainty are all fueling demand for BTC as a decentralized, safe-haven asset.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Bitcoin’s breakout above $73,000, target of $75,000 to $77,000Here's a technical analysis based on your Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart:
1. **Current Price and Key Levels**:
- **Current Price**: Bitcoin is trading around $72,595.
- **Breakout Level**: The price recently broke through the $73,000 resistance level, indicating a strong upward momentum.
- **Support Levels**: Key support levels are visible around $66,593 and $54,896.
2. **Trend Analysis**:
- Bitcoin is in an uptrend channel, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
- The breakout above the $73,000 resistance signals potential bullish continuation.
3. **Target Levels**:
- **Short-term Target**: Based on the channel and breakout, the next target range is around $75,000 to $77,000 .
4. **Stochastic RSI**:
- **Current Stochastic RSI Level**: The Stochastic RSI is around 67.25, showing that it is nearing the overbought zone.
- If the Stochastic RSI enters the overbought zone, it may indicate a potential pullback or consolidation.
5. **Volume**:
- The net volume is relatively low, suggesting that the breakout might need more volume support for a sustainable uptrend.
Summary :
Bitcoin’s breakout above $73,000 indicates bullish momentum with a possible target of $75,000 to $77,000 . However, watch for overbought signals in the Stochastic RSI, which may indicate a pullback. Maintaining support above $66,593 will be crucial for the bullish trend to continue.
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>BTC will touch $87,000!?After re-entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to decline .The PRZ I drew ✅works fine✅.
According to the Elliott wave theory , it seems that main wave 4 can continue . Most likely, its structure can be a Double Three Correction(WXY) , so Bitcoin is completing microwave Y of the main wave 4 . We can confirm this wave count after breaking the Support lines .
Considering Bitcoin's downward momentum , I expect it to break the Support lines in the coming hours and at least decrease to the Support zone($86,700-$85,000) .
Educational tip : We can confirm the descending channel if Bitcoin rises again from the Support zone($86,700-$85,000).
⚠️ Note: If Bitcoin touches $91,500 again , it could form a new All-Time High(ATH) .⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin loses the Support zone($86,700-$85,000), we should expect a further decline in Bitcoin.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Timeline- i always said that this bullrun looks much more as 2015 - 2018.
- 2019 - 2022 BearMarket was disrupted by Covid.
- Double top ATH (end 2021) was combined with a large divergence.
- Consider that the first 2021 ATH was the real one.
- this graphic is not a price prediction but you can consider it as almanac.
- if story repeats next ATH would be before end of 2025.
- 2026 BearMarket will back.
- Check Columns + dates.
- Compare.
- Deduct.
Happy Tr4Ding!
BITCOIN ON ITS WAY TO A NEW ALL TIME HIGH! TA + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Price Action:
The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. It suggests that Bitcoin is likely preparing for an upward breakout. The price has been respecting the support trendline (ascending) while testing the resistance level at around $91,700.
There is strong upward momentum, confirmed by the price movement toward the resistance, with higher lows indicating growing buyer interest.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The indicator shows a bullish divergence (green color), which often suggests that the price is likely to break above resistance, supported by buying momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is currently at 61.77, which is in the neutral zone (neither overbought nor oversold). This suggests that Bitcoin still has room for upward movement before becoming overbought.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic is at 88.21, indicating a potential overbought condition, suggesting that while there may be an upward push, a pullback could follow soon if the price rises too quickly.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The HMA histograms show bullish momentum (green area), which indicates strong upward trends, though the shift to red on lower timeframes suggests caution for short-term corrections.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is showing a value of 51, indicating balanced buying and selling pressure. This suggests that while the market has potential for an upward move, it is still neutral in terms of volume and money flow.
Volume Analysis:
The volume profile shows a buildup of buying activity with the price consolidating near the resistance zone. Volume is steadily increasing, which is usually a positive sign for a breakout.
There is lower volume in the consolidation area, which could indicate a breakout is imminent.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Buy Position: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance level at $92,212 with high volume, consider entering a long position. This breakout could push the price toward the next resistance at $95,000 or higher.
Watch for confirmation with volume spikes and RSI maintaining below 70 to avoid entering when the market is overly extended.
Target Price (Take Profit):
The next immediate resistance levels to target are $95,000 and $102,500. Set partial take profit orders around these levels.
A more aggressive target would be $105,000 (based on the breakout projection).
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support trendline or around $85,000 to mitigate risks in case of a false breakout or price reversal.
For more conservative risk management, a tighter stop loss around $87,500 could be used if the breakout is confirmed with strong volume.
Risk Management:
Use proper risk management, aiming to risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on each trade.
Watch for volatility and unexpected moves, especially considering the high stochastic reading, which might indicate a short-term overbought condition.
Alternative Scenario (If Breakout Fails):
If the price fails to break above resistance and falls back into the consolidation zone, consider a short position only if the price breaches the support line.
Watch for bearish divergence in the indicators (such as RSI or MFI) for confirmation of a potential downtrend.
This plan provides a clear strategy for trading Bitcoin, balancing potential profits with careful risk management. Stay alert for market updates, and adjust your strategy accordingly if significant changes occur.
BTCUSD swing trade ideaThe overall prediction that Bitcoin is set to reach 100k, could be possible very soon. But currently we look for a retracement move, before making another impulse higher. We look for short entries between 93k-90k and target the Weekly fib and quarterly VWAP levels, where we start looking for buys up to 100k.
This analysis is taught and provided by Fractals Trading Community.
As always, trade safely and expect the unexpected,
Mei
What do you think is being shown on BTC Bitcoin BTCUSDT chart ?What do you think is being shown on the OKX:BTCUSDT chart?
(pls vote at comments)
💔 Head and Shoulders - after breaking through and consolidating below 88.K, the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC will continue to move towards $81.500
🐳 Consolidation in the form of a triangle with an exit upwards and the continuation of the movement of the #Bitcoin price towards $100,000
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#BTC/USD NEXT TARGET $135K but $69k Imminent!When Bitcoin broke below $60,854, everyone started calling for $48,000. At that time, I posted an update titled "Bitcoin is Fine, Don’t Panic!" on October 3rd, explaining that the drop was just filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bitcoin was heading toward $95,000. You can check the update here:
Again, on November 6th, when Bitcoin was trading at $70,504.60, I predicted a target of $95,000 after the U.S. elections. I even mentioned that the move would be quick, assuming Trump won the election. While I got trolled for this prediction, the update was based on a thorough analysis of market reactions during the last three U.S. elections. You can check that update here:
I honestly don’t understand what’s wrong with some people. The more they troll, the more conviction I gain in my charts. These aren’t random guesses—they are calculated speculations based on charts, events, market psychology, and fractals. Ironically, many of those who mocked me in the comments ended up buying Bitcoin at much higher prices.
This is not how crypto works. You need to keep things simple. That’s the biggest lesson I’ve learned in my 8-year journey in this space.
To keep it simple, Bitcoin’s current setup is not bearish. While some are calling for corrections, the technical indicators suggest otherwise.
1. Stochastic RSI:
The Stochastic RSI, a reliable indicator for timing local tops and bottoms with around 80% accuracy, is currently at 73. Historically, Bitcoin's local tops occur when the Stochastic RSI reaches 87 to 93. This indicates there is still room for upside before the market becomes overbought.
2. 21-Week Moving Average (MA):
Bitcoin is currently trading above the 21-week MA, which has historically acted as strong support in previous bull markets. This further supports the bullish trend.
3. Price Action:
Bitcoin will likely target $100,000 soon, potentially moving slightly higher. After this milestone, it may revisit $69,000, the previous all-time high, as a retest before moving toward $135,000.
Conclusion:
Combining a non-overbought Stochastic RSI and support from the 21-week MA suggests Bitcoin still has significant upside potential. During any pullbacks, keep an eye on $69,000 as key support and possibly the last opportunity to buy BTC and Alcoins.
Let me know what you think in the comment section and please hit that like button.
Thank you.
Market Reactions in Last 3 U.S. Elections and BTC Target $95k!Let's look at how the market reacted in the last 3 elections!
- 2012: Obama re-elected ➡️ Initial stock sell-off over fiscal cliff fears, then strong rally post-deal. Crypto is mostly unaffected.
- 2016: Trump wins ➡️ Stock rally on tax cut & deregulation optimism. Bitcoin starts climbing, hinting as a "digital gold."
- 2020: Biden wins amidst pandemic ➡️ Stocks surge on stimulus hopes. Crypto enters a major bull run, with BTC skyrocketing as an inflation hedge.
🗝️ Elections = market volatility & opportunity!
Regardless of who wins, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will likely reach a new ATH by the end of 2024.
Altcoins will likely follow later. IMHO, alts are already heavily discounted. Even if BTC dominance rises and alts take another dip, it’s wiser to DCA into the weaker ones instead of selling near their high-timeframe lows.
Think twice before hitting that sell button. The next 6-8 months could be legendary. It won’t be easy, but the rewards will be worth it.
#BITCOIN UPDATE:-
BTC looks solid for now. There’s still a possibility for BTC to hit the $60K level if Kamala wins; it’s not certain, but it’s a topic circulating in the crypto space. This could act as a short-term downside catalyst, with bulls likely stepping in quickly, leaving a long wick below the resistance turned support.
A retest is underway on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts! I’m anticipating BTC to reach between GETTEX:82K and $95K by the end of the year.
DYOR, NFA.
Do hit the like button and share your views in the comment section!
Thank you
#PEACE