Get started

Bitcoinprediction

Bitcoin Crash Predicted! Our Call Was Spot On! We warned on January 23rd when Bitcoin was at 109K that a correction was coming, and we identified the first support at 81K … Now, our prediction is playing out perfectly! 🎯 👀 Were you paying attention, or did you ignore the signal? 💰 Congrats to those who followed the advice and avoided massive losses! 😱 Will you keep ignoring key insights, or will you stay ahead of the market next time? ⬇️ Comment "Following" if you want more exclusive market insights! 📉 Fear should not stop you from making the right move at the right time! #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #BTC #MarketAnalysis #Investing #CryptoTrading
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by stocksfox
Key Insights about #Bitcoin $BTCThe M2 line remains flat, suggesting no new liquidity entering the market. Without additional liquidity, the demand for risk assets like Bitcoin tends to stay muted. This limits the chances of a strong bullish reversal unless there's a shift in macroeconomic conditions. Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,716, near the critical $86,000 support zone. If this level fails, the next major support lies around $85,000. The RSI at 27 still signals oversold conditions, but given the lack of liquidity expansion (as shown by the flat M2), a bounce may be limited unless external factors increase risk appetite. Momentum indicators show persistent bearish pressure, with no significant divergence suggesting a strong recovery. Prediction Scenarios for Tomorrow: Bearish Scenario (Most Likely - 70% Probability)The flat M2 suggests continued liquidity constraints, favoring bearish sentiment. If $86,000 support breaks, Bitcoin could test $85,000, with a possible wick lower depending on selling momentum. Strong selling pressure could push it toward $83,000 if no short-term bounce occurs. Neutral Scenario (20% Probability)Bitcoin holds $86,000 and trades sideways between $86,000–$88,909, reflecting a lack of directional conviction in the absence of M2 expansion. This range-bound action would signal that traders are waiting for macroeconomic catalysts or increased liquidity flows. Bullish Scenario (10% Probability)A surprise uptick in M2 would increase market liquidity, potentially triggering a short squeeze. In this case, Bitcoin could bounce toward the $88,909–$91,130 resistance zone. However, without sustained liquidity growth, any rally would likely face strong rejection at these levels. Conclusion: Given the flat M2, Bitcoin is expected to remain under bearish pressure, with the most probable outcome being a retest of the $86,000 support and a potential decline toward $85,000 if this level fails. A short-term bounce is possible, but unless the Global Money Supply M2 shows signs of growth, any upward movement will likely be capped by strong resistance. Traders should monitor M2 movements closely, as any expansion could swiftly shift sentiment from bearish to bullish.
by bitfate
1
On the 8-hour timeframe, BitcoinOn the 8-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading at $87,777, following a continued downtrend. The price is approaching a key support level at $87,558, and if this level fails, the next significant support could be lower around $85,000. The RSI is at 24.6, indicating oversold conditions, which might suggest a potential short-term bounce. However, the RSI has remained in the lower region for a while, showing sustained bearish momentum. Momentum indicators show early signs of possible bullish interest, including green dots on the momentum wave, but these signals lack confirmation without stronger price action. Key resistance levels are located between $90,463 and $93,321. The price would need to break above $90,463 to initiate a meaningful recovery attempt. However, given the bearish structure and strong overhead resistance, any bullish move is likely to face rejection unless supported by high trading volume. The presence of bearish signals above the current price suggests that sellers are still in control. Without significant buying momentum, Bitcoin may continue to drift lower. If the price holds above $87,558 and the RSI begins to climb above 30, a short-term recovery toward $90,463 could occur. On the other hand, failure to hold the current support level could lead to a further decline toward the $85,000 region. Overall, the outlook remains bearish, with a chance for a short-term bounce if support holds. Traders should monitor RSI movement and trading volume for signs of a potential reversal.
by bitfate
Bitcoin Maxis: Your Delusion Is About to Get Liquidated!Oh look, Bitcoin maxis are back at it again—screaming "NEW ALL-TIME HIGH SOON! 🚀" while conveniently ignoring every single warning sign flashing like a Christmas tree on fire. 🔥🎄 Shall we take a quick reality check? Let's talk about that chart—the one showing a huge bearish divergence on the RSI . Yeah, that thing maxis pretend doesn't exist because, apparently, TA is for "normies." Price is pushing up, but momentum? Looking about as exhausted as a degenerate who just YOLO'd their life savings into a dog coin. This is not a bullish sign. Last time we saw this pattern? Oh right—November 2021, right before Bitcoin went from $69K to $15K in record time. But hey, I’m sure "this time is different," right? 😂 Then there’s the rising wedge , which is basically a giant neon sign saying, "Hey, we’re about to dump!" But maxis, bless their little diamond hands, will call it "accumulation" while their portfolios get sliced like a Thanksgiving turkey. 🍗 Now, let’s talk targets. 20K? Very possible. 15K? Wouldn’t be shocking. The big green arrows in the chart? Yeah, they’re not pointing up. But don’t worry, you’ll still hear "BUY THE DIP!" echoing through the wreckage as another cycle of hopium plays out in real time. At the end of the day, Bitcoin maxis don’t need technical analysis—they need therapy. Because no matter how many times the market smacks them in the face, they’ll still be here, shouting " Number go up !" while ignoring every single warning sign. 😆 Tick. Tock. The market doesn’t care about your laser eyes. 🕰️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RoadToAMillionClub
2
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 26-27)Yesterday, Bitcoin did not follow the main scenario and completely filled the volume zone of $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). A large number of volume anomalies were released, and many market sell orders were absorbed by limit orders, but there is still no strong market buyer. To decide on buying or selling, it is worth waiting for a full consolidation above/below this zone and then making a decision upon its retest. A proper reversal will take significantly more time, so for now, it is still too early to buy Bitcoin. Sell Zones: $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). $97,500-$98,400 (aggressive selling volumes). $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes). $91,300-$92,600 (accumulated volumes). Buy Zones: $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive buying volumes). Interesting Altcoins Looking at two coins after a trend break to the long side: For AVAAI , we are considering a long from the volume zone of $0.053-$0.049 if a reaction occurs. For VINE , a long from the zone of $0.0325-$0.0314 is also considered if a reaction occurs.
by Crypto_robotics
Bitcoin’s Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – How Low Can It Go?Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) started to fall, as I expected in the previous post ; the question here is whether the fall continues or not . Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin for you in the 15-minute time frame . Bitcoin was able to break the Support zone($93,300-$90,500) and important Support line . Bitcoin also seems to have formed a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and was able to break the lower line of the triangle. Educational Tip : The Symmetrical Triangle is a continuation pattern where the price consolidates into a narrowing range with lower highs and higher lows. It indicates indecision, with a breakout in either direction confirming the next trend. I expect Bitcoin to drop to the targets that I specified in my chart. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $95,850, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
34
Bitcoin Plummets: ETF Exodus, Liquidations, and Global Jitters Bitcoin's recent plunge below the $90,000 threshold, a level unseen since November 2024, has sent ripples of concern through the cryptocurrency market. This sharp correction is attributed to a confluence of factors, including persistent ETF outflows, a surge in leveraged liquidations, and mounting geopolitical tensions, creating a volatile environment that has shaken investor confidence. The most immediate catalyst for Bitcoin's decline has been the sustained outflows from US-listed Bitcoin ETFs. These exchange-traded funds, which had previously fueled Bitcoin's ascent by providing institutional investors with easy access to the cryptocurrency, have recently witnessed a reversal in sentiment. Investors, possibly reacting to broader market anxieties and profit-taking, have begun withdrawing funds, putting downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. This outflow signals a shift in institutional appetite, raising questions about the sustainability of the previous bullish momentum. Adding fuel to the fire, the crypto market has experienced a significant wave of liquidations. Over $1.3 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out as Bitcoin's price plummeted. These liquidations, which occur when traders using borrowed funds are unable to meet margin requirements, exacerbate price volatility by triggering cascading sell orders. The sheer volume of liquidations underscores the high degree of leverage prevalent in the crypto market, highlighting the inherent risks associated with such trading strategies. Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainties are contributing to the risk-off sentiment permeating financial markets. The recent strengthening of the Japanese yen, often seen as a safe-haven asset, reflects investor concerns about global economic stability. Similarly, the dip in Nasdaq futures suggests a broader aversion to risk in traditional equity markets, which often spills over into the crypto space. The re-emergence of US-China trade tensions adds another layer of uncertainty, as any escalation could have far-reaching economic consequences, impacting investor sentiment and asset valuations. The technical outlook for Bitcoin remains precarious. Analysts are closely monitoring the $85,000 support level, which, if breached, could trigger a further sell-off. The potential for over $1 billion in long liquidations below this level suggests that a significant drop is possible. Some analysts are even warning of a potential free fall to $81,000 if the $85,000 support fails to hold, indicating a severe test of market resilience. Moreover, a more dire prediction posits that Bitcoin could potentially drop below $70,000, erasing gains made since the US election. This scenario, while alarming, highlights the vulnerability of Bitcoin to macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment. The prospect of a significant correction raises concerns about the stability of the crypto market and its ability to withstand external shocks. The current market conditions serve as a stark reminder of the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the past, its price remains susceptible to a wide range of factors, including ETF flows, leveraged trading, and global economic conditions. Investors must remain vigilant and exercise caution in navigating this turbulent landscape. The recent downturn underscores the importance of risk management in cryptocurrency trading. Leveraged positions, while offering the potential for amplified gains, also carry the risk of substantial losses. The high degree of leverage prevalent in the market can exacerbate price swings, leading to rapid liquidations and further downward pressure. Furthermore, the growing correlation between traditional financial markets and the crypto space highlights the need for investors to consider broader macroeconomic factors. Changes in interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions can all impact investor sentiment and asset valuations. In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent tumble below $90,000 reflects a confluence of factors, including ETF outflows, leveraged liquidations, and global economic uncertainties. The market remains highly volatile, and further price swings are possible. Investors should exercise caution and prioritize risk management in navigating this challenging environment. The ability of Bitcoin to recover from this downturn will depend on a variety of factors, including the resumption of ETF inflows, a reduction in leveraged trading, and a stabilization of global economic conditions. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can regain its footing or succumb to further downward pressure.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Turning BTC into Revenue: MicroStrategy's Innovative ApproacMicroStrategy's Wild Ride: Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility with a "Yield" Strategy MicroStrategy (MSTR), the enterprise software company that famously pivoted to a Bitcoin acquisition strategy, has seen its stock price plummet by roughly 16% year-to-date. This downturn mirrors the broader volatility experienced by Bitcoin, which has faced significant headwinds amidst rising interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, despite the short-term turbulence, a significant portion of stock analysts remain bullish on MicroStrategy's long-term outlook, primarily due to the company's innovative "Bitcoin yield" strategy. MicroStrategy's bold decision to adopt Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, spearheaded by former CEO Michael Saylor, has inextricably linked its fortunes to the cryptocurrency's performance. When Bitcoin surges, MSTR typically follows suit, and conversely, downturns in the crypto market exert downward pressure on the stock. This direct correlation has made MSTR a high-beta play on Bitcoin, offering investors amplified exposure to the digital asset's price fluctuations, both positive and negative. The recent decline in MSTR's stock price can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes to combat inflation have dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies. This has led to a significant sell-off in the crypto market, dragging down Bitcoin's price and, consequently, MSTR's valuation. Secondly, concerns about regulatory scrutiny in the cryptocurrency space have added to the market's unease. Increased regulatory oversight and potential crackdowns on crypto exchanges and projects can create uncertainty and dampen investor confidence. Lastly, general market sentiment towards growth stocks and technology companies has been bearish, further contributing to MSTR's decline. As a company closely associated with the tech sector and the volatile cryptocurrency market, MicroStrategy has been particularly vulnerable to these broader market trends. Despite these challenges, the bullish sentiment from stock analysts stems from MicroStrategy's unique approach to generating "Bitcoin yield." This strategy involves utilizing the company's substantial Bitcoin holdings to secure loans and generate revenue through various financial instruments. One key component of this strategy is the use of Bitcoin-backed loans. MicroStrategy has successfully leveraged its Bitcoin holdings to obtain loans at favorable interest rates, effectively monetizing its digital assets without selling them. This allows the company to generate cash flow while maintaining its long-term Bitcoin position. Furthermore, MicroStrategy is exploring other avenues to generate Bitcoin yield, such as participating in staking and lending platforms. These activities allow the company to earn interest or rewards on its Bitcoin holdings, further enhancing its revenue streams. Analysts argue that this "Bitcoin yield" strategy provides MicroStrategy with a sustainable business model, even during periods of Bitcoin price volatility. By generating revenue from its Bitcoin holdings, the company can mitigate the impact of price fluctuations and maintain its financial stability. Moreover, the company's continued accumulation of Bitcoin, even during price downturns, demonstrates its long-term commitment to the cryptocurrency. This unwavering belief in Bitcoin's future potential is seen by many analysts as a strong signal of confidence. However, the "Bitcoin yield" strategy is not without its risks. The crypto lending market is still relatively nascent and subject to regulatory uncertainties. Counterparty risk and the potential for loan defaults are also factors that could impact MicroStrategy's financial performance. Another element that is important to consider is the level of debt Microstrategy has taken on. The company has funded its Bitcoin purchases through debt offerings, and while the "Bitcoin yield" strategy is designed to cover the interest payments, a prolonged bear market could put pressure on the company's balance sheet. The success of MicroStrategy's strategy hinges on the long-term appreciation of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's price continues to rise, the company's Bitcoin holdings will increase in value, and its "Bitcoin yield" strategy will become even more profitable. However, if Bitcoin's price stagnates or declines, the company's financial performance could be negatively impacted. In conclusion, MicroStrategy's stock price has experienced significant volatility in line with Bitcoin's performance. While the recent downturn has raised concerns, stock analysts remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects, citing its innovative "Bitcoin yield" strategy. This strategy, which involves leveraging Bitcoin holdings to generate revenue, provides MicroStrategy with a unique business model that could potentially mitigate the impact of Bitcoin's volatility. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with this strategy, including regulatory uncertainties, counterparty risk, and the potential for loan defaults. The success of MicroStrategy's strategy ultimately depends on the long-term trajectory of Bitcoin's price. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, MicroStrategy's ability to adapt and navigate these challenges will be crucial to its future success.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by bryandowningqln
Important Bitcoin levels. The game of expectations.Today, it is important for Bitcoin to close below 88,000. There is a high probability that today the price will drop to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, thereby partially closing the gap on the daily chart, and the RSI will consolidate below 30 even with a closing price below 88,000. All these factors combined will be sufficient to trigger strong accumulation with a breakdown of the structure, leading to a new all-time high within the next 2-3 weeks. However, the market doesn’t always play out perfectly. There remains a possibility of a prolonged scenario. In this case, from the current price block (88k - 86k), the price may form a local bounce with a full ABC cycle in the coming days and test the key resistance level (106,200). After that, the price will likely return to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and possibly retest this important level. A similar scenario occurred last year during a similar phase of prolonged correction, where the price eventually reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level, though not immediately.
Long
by GarateTradeCrypto
Bitcoin Analysis and Possible predictionsBitcoin is currently trading around $88,857 after breaking below the previous support zone of $91,130. This sharp drop indicates strong bearish momentum, with the price now sitting just above the next significant support level at $88,909. A breakdown below this could open the path toward deeper corrections, possibly around $85,000 or lower. The RSI is trending downward, currently near 30, signaling that the market is close to oversold territory. However, being near oversold doesn't guarantee a reversal; the price can continue to drop if bearish momentum remains strong. If RSI bounces above 30, it might indicate a short-term relief rally. Momentum indicators are still showing negative pressure, with the money flow index remaining low, suggesting continuous capital outflow from the market. The momentum waves in the lower section of the chart continue trending downward, and there are no clear bullish divergences that would suggest an imminent reversal. Key resistance levels are now $91,130, $94,245, and $96,069. Any short-term bullish movement would likely face rejection at these levels without significant volume support. On the bearish side, a close below $88,909 would confirm further downside potential. If Bitcoin holds the current level and RSI recovers, there is a possibility of a short-term bounce to $91,130. However, given the strong bearish sentiment, the more probable scenario is a continuation of the downtrend toward lower support zones. Traders should watch for confirmation of a reversal before considering long positions, as the market remains in a fragile state with bearish momentum dominating.
by bitfate
$BTC Current Decline Analysis - 2/25/2025Update... 2/25/2025 As projected, Wave (e) has technically been completed. Does this mean the correction is over? The answer is no, for the following reasons: If the rebound holds, we can say the current 5-wave decline structure is complete. However, there's a possibility that the structure could evolve into a 7-wave formation. In this case, we need to watch for Wave (f), which could conclude at the $93,200 level (f = 61.8% a) or the $96,67x level (f=a). Let's see how it plays out! Cheers! CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by photomax
Bitcoin - Will We See a New Pump or a Major Dump?Bitcoin is currently sitting at a crucial support level, and what happens next could determine the next big move. The price has been ranging between two key zones, with strong resistance above and a major support area below. Right now, BTC is testing the lower boundary of the range (green zone), which has acted as strong support in the past. However, if this level fails to hold, we could see a significant drop, potentially filling the open imbalance in the $80K region. 🔹 Key Levels & Market Scenarios 🔹 🔸 Crucial Support at the Bottom of the Range This area is a make or break level for Bitcoin. If buyers step in and defend it, we could see a reversal back toward resistance. But if this level gives way, it opens the door for a much larger sell-off toward $80K, where an imbalance remains unfilled. 🔸 Point of Control (POC) The red line represents the Point of Control (POC), the level with the highest traded volume in this range. A break and retest of this level would be a bullish confirmation, signaling that buyers are gaining control. In this scenario, we could see Bitcoin push toward the upper resistance (green zone above $99K-$100K). 🔸 Bearish Bias for Now While there is a chance for a bounce from support, the overall market structure leans bearish. Price has failed to sustain higher highs, and with repeated tests of support, a breakdown becomes more likely. 📌 Trading Plan & Potential Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario: Price holds above support, bounces, and reclaims the POC (red line). A break and retest of the POC would confirm bullish momentum, leading to a push towards $99K-$100K resistance. ❌ Bearish Scenario (More Likely for Now): If support fails to hold, Bitcoin could see a sharp sell-off toward the $80K imbalance. A rejection from the POC without a breakout would reinforce the bearish trend, making lower prices more likely. Here are those imbalances at 80k range: 🚨 Final Thoughts – Will Bitcoin Hold or Break? 🚨 Bitcoin is at a critical decision point. If buyers step in here, we could see a push back towards resistance. However, if this key support breaks, we might be looking at a much deeper correction toward $80K. For now, the bearish case seems stronger unless we see a solid reclaim of the POC (red line). Traders should stay cautious and wait for clear confirmations! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
by TehThomas
2
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (February 25-26)Yesterday, Bitcoin completely ignored the levels we had marked and broke the scenario of a quick recovery for longs. At the moment, we have tested the lower level of the global sideways range, as well as the important zone of $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). So far, we do not see a strong reaction apart from a surge in volume. In the near future, we primarily expect a sideways movement between the two volume zones of $91,300-$92,600 and ~$89,000. Now, for a full recovery of buying activity, it will be necessary to overcome the newly formed sell zones, which have accumulated significantly during the decline. In the case of a negative outcome and a breakdown of the current support zone, we will enter a bearish trend with an initial target of $77,000. Sell Zones: $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies). $97,500-$98,400 (aggressive selling volumes). $95,000-$96,700 (accumulated volumes). $91,300-$92,600 (accumulated volumes). Buy Zones: $89,000–$86,300 (accumulated volumes). $77,000-$73,000 (volume anomalies, aggressive buying volumes). Interesting Altcoins For SUSDT , we tested an important volume zone and received a strong reaction from buyers. We are considering a long position upon testing the local zone of $0.72-$0.69 and its reaction, or in the case of a false breakout of the local low.
by Crypto_robotics
What's next can we expect from Bitcoin???Bitcoin after making All-time-high is being trading in a long range. According to range trading rule, btc is currently trading under the range low. Now, if we see range low reclaim, then we can see btc making new ATH (green line). If btc doesn't holds it's support, then we may probably see btc tapping into it's fvg and from there we can expect great reversal (blue line). bad case scenario if btc dumps below 80K (major CME gap region) (yellow line).
Long
by CryptoNether
Bitcoin 4H Chart Analysis & PredictionKey Observations: 1. Price Action: - The price is trading near $91,575, following a significant sell-off with large red candles. - There is a small bounce after tapping into a green demand zone, suggesting potential short-term support. 2. Support & Resistance: - Strong Resistance: - $93,927 - $94,675 - $95,109 (cluster zone) - $96,118 - $96,756 (major resistance) - Support Levels: - The current green zone around $91,000 - If broken, next support appears closer to $89,000-$88,000. 3. Liquidation Levels (Circles on the Chart): - The large orange and blue circles represent high liquidation points. The orange circles above signal potential resistance as trapped longs may sell into rallies. - The blue circles below suggest liquidity that could attract further downside moves. 4. RSI (Relative Strength Index): - RSI sits around 24.5, in deep oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce or consolidation. - However, RSI can remain oversold during strong downtrends. 5. Momentum Indicators: - Market Cipher B-like signals: - Green dots at the bottom, indicating potential bottom formation or relief bounce. - The momentum waves are still pointing downward but could flatten if buyers step in. - Bearish Divergence: Still visible in previous moves, so bulls need confirmation before a trend reversal. 6. Money Flow Index (MFI): - Negative flow continues, showing capital leaving the market, adding bearish pressure. Scenarios & Predictions: ⚡ Scenario 1: Relief Bounce (Bullish Short-Term) - If the $91,000 support holds and RSI recovers from oversold, we could see: - Target 1: $93,927 - Target 2: $94,675 - $95,109 (key decision zone) - A break above $95,109 with volume could push towards $96,756. However, rejection is likely given heavy liquidity above. ⚡ Scenario 2: Breakdown (Bearish Continuation) - If $91,000 fails, expect a sharp decline toward: - Target 1: $89,000 - Target 2: $88,000 - Momentum and money flow indicators still favor this scenario unless buying volume spikes soon. Overall Bias: - Short-term neutral-to-bearish, with potential for a relief bounce. - Watch for volume confirmation and RSI divergence on lower timeframes before entering long positions. 🕵️Key Levels to Watch: - $91,000: Immediate support. - $93,927 - $95,109: Short-term resistance cluster. - $89,000 - $88,000: Next downside target if the current support breaks. ⚡ Final Note: The market is showing exhaustion signs but needs confirmation for a reversal. If Bitcoin doesn’t hold the current level, the liquidity below could drive another sell-off. Always manage risk carefully—especially with heavy liquidity zones nearby.
by bitfate
That's the Way the Bitcoin TumblesWhy I Think the Sell-Off Isn’t Over Yet Bitcoin is already in the middle of a sharp sell-off, but at least half the market seems convinced the worst is over and that a recovery is underway. I don’t see it that way. Bitcoin has been grinding sideways into the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart, and now that it’s finally colliding with the basis lines, I think it’s about to plunge straight through them. This doesn’t look like a market that’s ready to bounce—it looks like one that’s about to take another leg down. Maybe I’m wrong, maybe I’m early, but in my experience, when people start celebrating too soon, things tend to get a whole lot worse. CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC CME:MBT1! CME:BTC1! CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD COINBASE:RNDRUSD CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD CRYPTO:FXUSD CRYPTO:ALEOUSD CRYPTO:HONEYUSD COINBASE:ACSUSD CRYPTO:ASMUSD CRYPTO:BATUSD CRYPTO:FILUSD CRYPTO:VTHOUSD CRYPTO:B3USD As always, this is not investment advice, any trade you make is on you, because good golly Miss Molly, I got my own things to worry about.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Hollywood260AB
Bitcoin's Volatility Lull: Is a Major Breakout Imminent?Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, finds itself in a peculiar state of limbo. While the broader financial world buzzes with geopolitical uncertainty and economic shifts, BTC's price action has settled into a remarkably narrow range, leading to a significant drop in implied volatility. This period of relative calm, however, is juxtaposed with significant undercurrents: a major exchange hack, strategic accumulation by corporate giants, and the ever-present debate over Bitcoin's next major price movement. One of the most notable observations is the near-record low implied volatility. Implied volatility, a measure of the market's expectation of future price swings, has dwindled, suggesting traders are anticipating less dramatic price fluctuations. This quietude is unusual for Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset. Traditionally, such suppressed volatility often precedes a significant breakout, either upward or downward. The current stasis could be a coiled spring, ready to unleash a surge of price action when the right catalyst emerges. Adding another layer of complexity is Bitcoin's rangebound trading. Despite the recent Bybit hack, which raised concerns about exchange security and potential market instability, Bitcoin has remained remarkably resilient within its established trading corridor. This resilience, however, has also bred a sense of unease among traders and analysts. The lack of a decisive break in either direction has left many wondering whether this consolidation is a period of accumulation or a sign of waning momentum. The Bybit hack, while disruptive, appears to have had a limited impact on Bitcoin's overall price trajectory. This suggests that the market may be becoming more adept at absorbing such shocks, a sign of its growing maturity. Nevertheless, the incident serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks associated with centralized exchanges and the importance of robust security measures. Amidst this backdrop of low volatility and rangebound trading, the pronouncements of prominent traders and corporate players are adding fuel to the fire. A crucial narrative revolves around the $106,000 price level. According to some analysts, this threshold represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. A successful reclaim of this level would, they argue, signal the beginning of a new phase of price discovery, potentially leading to substantial gains. However, the path to $105,000 + is far from certain. Counterarguments suggest that a significant dip to $80,000 remains a distinct possibility. This perspective highlights the inherent uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, where technical analysis and fundamental factors can often provide conflicting signals. The potential for a sharp correction underscores the importance of risk management and the need for traders to remain vigilant. On the bullish side, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor continues to make waves with his unwavering commitment to Bitcoin. The company's "21/21" plan, which involves ongoing Bitcoin accumulation, is progressing steadily following a recent $2 billion convertible note offering. Saylor's bullish stance and his company's strategic acquisitions have become a significant market force, providing a powerful vote of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential. MicroStrategy's approach is not merely speculative; it is a calculated bet on Bitcoin's role as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This strategy has resonated with other institutional investors, contributing to the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. The company's continued accumulation efforts are likely to exert upward pressure on Bitcoin's price, particularly if demand from other sources increases. The confluence of these factors – low implied volatility, rangebound trading, the $105,000+ debate, and MicroStrategy's aggressive accumulation – creates a fascinating and potentially explosive dynamic. The low volatility could be a temporary lull before a significant price movement, while the rangebound trading indicates a period of indecision that will eventually resolve itself. The $105,000+ level represents a critical test for Bitcoin. A successful breach of this threshold could trigger a wave of buying, propelling the price to new highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim this level could lead to a significant correction, potentially validating the bearish predictions of a dip to $80,000. In the meantime, MicroStrategy's continued accumulation provides a strong foundation of support for Bitcoin's price. The company's strategic approach and its commitment to long-term holding suggest that it is not swayed by short-term price fluctuations. In conclusion, Bitcoin's current state is a complex interplay of conflicting signals. The low implied volatility and rangebound trading create an atmosphere of uncertainty, while the $105,000+ debate and MicroStrategy's accumulation provide clear points of focus. The cryptocurrency market is poised for a potential breakout, and the direction of that breakout will likely be determined by the interplay of these factors. Whether Bitcoin will reclaim $105,000+ or dip to $80,000 remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the next chapter in Bitcoin's story is about to unfold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln