Bitcoin's Next Big Move? Critical $103K Resistance Ahead!Bitcoin has broken out of its recent consolidation range after a classic liquidity sweep at the lows. As marked on the chart (red line), we saw a significant stop-loss hunt below the previous support level, triggering a cascade of liquidations before BTC swiftly rebounded. This move confirmed bullish intent, allowing Bitcoin to reclaim momentum and push back toward the critical psychological level of $100K.
Now, all eyes are on the $103K resistance zone, which is a major confluence area for multiple reasons:
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – This imbalance in price action suggests that liquidity is resting in this region, making it a key level for market reactions.
📌 Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 retracement) – One of the strongest retracement levels in trading, often acting as a magnet for price action before a decisive move.
📌 Historical Resistance – This area has already been tested twice (marked as "First Hit" and "Second Hit" on the chart) and resulted in strong rejections both times.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If BTC can break through $103K with strong volume, we could see a continuation towards $105K - $107K, with a potential extension toward $110K in the mid-term.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from this resistance could lead to another pullback, possibly back to the $96K support level or even lower before another attempt to push higher.
Why This Level Matters:
The liquidity structure here is key. Many traders will have short positions stacked at this resistance, and a breakout could trigger a short squeeze, fueling a rapid move higher. However, if sellers overpower buyers in this zone, BTC could struggle to sustain its gains and might need another accumulation phase before making a decisive breakout.
Final Thoughts
This is a critical moment for Bitcoin. Will the bulls break through $103K and continue the rally, or will this level act as a major roadblock once again? Watch this level closely, and let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoinprediction
$175,000 Bitcoin by SummerLooking at the parabola pattern for Bitcoin, it has played out perfectly this cycle. I'm expecting one final push on BTC's price before a plateau. Since the average price appreciation after RSI trend line breakouts are ~70%, I think anywhere between a $175,000 - $180,000 Bitcoin can happen relatively soon!
What I see using simple trend linesOn the daily time frame bitcoin is still in the consolidation range.
The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way above the 200. I'd like to see all four bunched tightly together before considering a long or short. If price action continues as it has then this could happen towards the end of March.
On the 4hr time frame bitcoin has broken out of my descending channel and retested it but I don't think it can be sustained. It could be positive to see two daily candles close outside of this descending channel. But this could delay the next major rally beyond March.
The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way below the 200. Bitcoin needs to be heading to 100,000 for those moving averages to cross the 200. If bitcoin can reach 100,000 soon then this is potentially bullish.
On the 45min time frame bitcoin remains in the other descending channel.
If the 50 crosses the 200 then this is potentially bullish in the short term. But the 10, 21 and 50 moving averages have crossed the 200 a few times lately with no significant rally.
My conclusion is bitcoin is going to remain in this range for several weeks. Price may tumble to 88,000 but it's nothing to be worried about. If price goes above 101,000 too soon I'd be cautious that it's a bull trap, while any price action below 88,000 could be a bear trap. I would expect the latter to happen just before the market is primed to rally to a new ATH, and the former will trick retail into thinking the bulls have taken control. It's a time for patience and having faith in your strategy.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( SEEL )trade ( BTCUSD) SEEL zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (97000) to (96.900) 📊
FIRST TP (96.500)📊
2ND TARGET (96.100)📊
LAST TARGET (95.700) 📊
STOP LOOS (97.700)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Bitcoin's Next Move, Solana Dumps From Memes & Unlocks, and MoreIn this video I cover Bitcoin's likely next move and why I sold my Bitcoin at $106k, plus where I think it bottoms and WHEN based on the next likely daily and weekly cycle low Feb 28th.
Also price targets on Bitcoin, how and when it could get to $150k, why it dumps after that and after a summer correction, could rocket to $200k (examining the 11 factors to propel this).
And we look at the longer term time frame for Bitcoin on the Monthly and 2 Month chart, where the RSI, Stoch/RSI, and MACD are showing early signs of topping out (but not likely there yet).
I also revisit the USDT.D study I've been posting about, which is still very much a near-term concern, but plays nicely into the boom / bust timeline I've outlined above.
Plus, a quick reviw of my 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT study, and how the 'Gaps' have been acting as magnets for price, much like the CME gaps, which typically fill.
Lastly, we look at some Atlcoins poised for 10x, 30x, even 250x rebounds and long-term targets.
So this is an action-packed video! Hope you enjoy!
Leave a like and comment, and check out my bio for more tools and resources :)
Bitcoin Trapped in a Range – Which Way Will It Break?BTC is currently accumulating within a marked zone, trading within a broad range of approximately $17,800. The previous resistance line has now turned into support, indicating a possible consolidation phase before the next move.
The price is fluctuating near the 50 EMA ($97,811.26), which may act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, while failure to hold support may lead to further downside.
Bitcoin Price Update. Pending accumulation.The final phase of the bull run needs time for more significant accumulation. From current levels, I don’t expect decisive moves to new all-time highs.
High probability of a short-term bounce from 92,100. New all-time highs and the start of Bitcoin’s next major trend are more likely after a pullback to the Fib 0.5 zone.
Momentum Loss on $BTCOn the Daily chart, Bitcoin struggle to surpass $110,000 after its many attempts on a 2 month period. It seems like CRYPTOCAP:BTC is cooling down and retest the 200 Ema line (Blue line), since the 50 Ema line (Red Line) its a strong resistance level. Bitcoin was rejected 6 times recently.
BTC Halving | Halving Mapping | Bull Run | Bitcoin Analysis
Timeframe: 1 Week (Halving Mapping)
This article focuses on three key aspects of Bitcoin’s halving, based on historical research:
Bull Market Moves
Bear Market Moves
Pre-Halving Moves
As you can see in the chart above, the previous halving events have been mapped out, providing a clear picture of Bitcoin’s price behavior. Historically, after each halving, Bitcoin enters a bull market, followed by a bear market. Additionally, I’ve observed and mapped a unique pattern that isn’t widely discussed: a pre-halving upward move that occurs before the halving event. This pre-halving move often provides significant returns, especially after a bear market phase.
For investors and long-term holders, this presents an opportunity to divide investments into two parts:
Pre-Halving Move: Capitalize on the upward momentum before the halving.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Benefit from the sustained bull market after the halving.
These strategies don’t require extensive technical analysis. A deep dive into historical data makes the patterns clear. Historically, after an uptrend, Bitcoin experiences a downtrend lasting between 1.5 to 2 years. Keeping these patterns in mind can help you craft effective investment strategies.
Current Market Bull Run Update
A common question among traders and investors is: Has the bull run ended? Is this the last exit point for Bitcoin?
Based on my research, the bull run is not over yet. While we may see a downward move in the near term, this is likely to be a manipulation phase, creating FOMO (fear of missing out) among traders who might believe the bull run has ended. However, Bitcoin is expected to make one final upward move, reaching a new all-time high. This final phase is likely to occur in the latter part of this year, with 2025 being entirely dominated by the bull run.
Looking at the 2020 halving chart, you can see a clear "M" shape pattern. At that time, the market experienced a similar phase where the "M" shape completed, and Bitcoin retraced significantly, creating FOMO. However, it eventually surged to a new all-time high in the final phase. Currently, I believe we are witnessing the formation of a similar "M" shape. Bitcoin is in the process of completing the first half of the "M," which could lead to a downward move. However, this is not a cause for panic. After this retracement, Bitcoin is expected to complete the "M" shape and reach a new all-time high later this year.
On-Chain Analysis Insights
From an on-chain perspective, it’s evident that major investors have not fully exited their positions. There’s a general sentiment among large holders to create FOMO, allowing them to buy back at lower prices. This aligns with my research, suggesting that the current market dynamics are part of a larger strategy.
Additionally, the recent delay in the bull run can be attributed to the rise of meme coins. These coins have created a frenzy, with politicians and influencers jumping on the bandwagon to launch their own meme coins. This has diverted attention and capital from Bitcoin, causing a slight delay in its upward momentum. However, once the meme coin hype subsides, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trajectory.
Summary
Halving Mapping: Three key phases were discussed – the bull run, bear market, and pre-halving upward move.
Current Chart Structure: Bitcoin is forming a half "M" shape, which may lead to a downward move before completing the pattern and reaching a new all-time high later this year.
2025 Outlook: The entire year of 2025 is expected to be dominated by the bull run.
Note
My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
BTCUSDT CHART MAPPING IN 30M TF Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) in 30-M TF
RESISTANCE LEVEL. 97300/98100
TARGET WILL BE. 94800
The analysis suggests a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. The price has broken below the wedge support, and the chart indicates a short trade setup with a target around 94800 USDT and a stop loss at approximately 98800 USDT
BTC consolidation The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The Bitcoin (BTC) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since the spike to all time high of 109,000 on 20th January 2025, the BTC price action is starting to display some signs of bearish behaviour by potentially forming a double top reversal pattern.
The key trading level is at the “Neckline” 91,900 level, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 91900 level could target the upside resistance at 100,650 (20 day moving average) followed by the 105,590 and 109,460 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the “neckline” 91,900 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 85,275 support level followed by 79917 and 75060 ( 200 day moving average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Looking for Investment in Cryptos ? wait for Levels !Wait for Price or divide your Investing money into different parts.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
Always Wait for your Levels to grab. in FOMO dive with 5% Risk on Total Capital one time. Every Red weekly candle closing price should be your Price to buy and just focus on Avg buying Price.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD Let the king come to the Level. and every level grab the foots.
Bitcoin's Path to $100k USD&beyond - How much time is left?Don’t worry—we’re not here to debate whether the bull market top is in or still ahead. Based on cycle analysis, one thing is clear: Bitcoin is set to break $100K soon and continue its upward trajectory.
But the real question is: How much time do we have left?
Can we still make gains until the end of the year, or will March/April be the final window to profit?
🔹 Bitcoin’s Current Position
BTC is approaching its 60-day cycle low, with the 1-day, 3-day, and 1-week cycles all dipping below 20.
We’re waiting for the final bottom to form—historically, these moments offer some of the best buying opportunities.
🔸 Two Possible Scenarios Ahead:
1️⃣ Bull Market Peak in May 2025
The upcoming 2-week cycle top marks the end of the bull market (~May).
The 2-week cycle typically takes ~14 weeks to reach a peak, aligning with a late-May timeline.
After this, a 1.5-year bear market (~18 months) could begin, correcting the excess of this cycle.
2️⃣ Final Top in December/January
The market peaks at year-end, followed by a 12-month bear market.
This means a bloody summer, then a fast & bullish upside in Oct/Nov leading to a final peak.
This aligns with historical seasonality of previous cycles.
📌 Conclusion:
No matter which scenario plays out, the key is to maximize gains before the cycle peaks and exit before the bear market begins.
📈 Watch for the 60-day cycle bottom—this will be the key entry point.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Let me know in the comments! 👇🚀
BITCOIN RISING AGAINCan this idea be valid if? I see a smiles forming on the chart,
By the way, its hard to predict at this timeframe, its only 1h. but my recommendations is LONGs. 106k would be the target. Use your stop loss wisely.
This is not a financial advice or signal.
Im not a signal provider.
If this idea works on your trading, then you can trade it.
Trade with proper stops.
Use proper leverage. don't be a greedy and trade wisely base on your money.
Follow for more crypto trades.
I only see 10k movement above.
Can Bitcoin Survive the Inflation Storm?Bitcoin, the world's most prominent cryptocurrency, has experienced a turbulent period, recently dipping below the $95,000 mark.1 This price correction comes amidst growing concerns about rising inflation in the United States, as reflected in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The CPI, a key indicator of inflation, surpassed market expectations, reigniting fears of persistent price pressures and their potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin.2
Inflation's Shadow Over Bitcoin
The unexpectedly high CPI reading has sent ripples through financial markets, with investors becoming increasingly wary of the Federal Reserve's response to inflation. The Fed's primary tool for combating inflation is raising interest rates, a move that can make borrowing more expensive and potentially slow down economic growth. This prospect often leads investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
The connection between inflation and Bitcoin is complex. While some argue that Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply, others believe that it is still too volatile to be considered a safe haven asset. The recent price drop suggests that market sentiment is currently leaning towards the latter view, with investors reacting to the inflation news by selling off their Bitcoin holdings.
Market Dynamics and Technical Levels
Bitcoin's price movements are influenced by a multitude of factors, including macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. In addition to inflation concerns, the recent price drop could also be attributed to normal market corrections, profit-taking by traders, and technical factors.
Analyzing Bitcoin's price chart reveals key support and resistance levels that traders are closely monitoring. The $95,000 level appears to be a crucial support zone, and a sustained break below this level could lead to further price declines. On the upside, the $101,000 mark is a significant resistance level, and a decisive move above this level could signal a potential recovery for Bitcoin.
The Fed's Dilemma and Potential Scenarios
The latest CPI data presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which is tasked with balancing the goals of controlling inflation and maintaining economic growth. While the higher-than-expected inflation reading might suggest the need for more aggressive interest rate hikes, the Fed also needs to be mindful of the potential impact on economic activity.
Despite calls for lower interest rates, the Fed is widely expected to continue its path of gradual rate increases in the coming months. The central bank has repeatedly emphasized its commitment to bringing inflation under control, and a strong labor market provides further support for its policy stance.
Looking ahead, several scenarios could play out for Bitcoin. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed might need to take more aggressive action, potentially leading to further price declines for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if inflation starts to subside, the Fed could adopt a more dovish stance, which could provide some relief for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Bitcoin's Long-Term Outlook
Despite the recent price volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive for many market participants. The cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, continues to attract interest from various industries, and the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors is steadily increasing.3
Furthermore, some argue that Bitcoin's decentralized nature and limited supply make it an attractive alternative to traditional currencies, especially in times of economic uncertainty. While Bitcoin's price can be volatile in the short term, its long-term potential continues to draw investors seeking exposure to the digital asset space.
Navigating the Uncertainty
The current market environment is characterized by uncertainty, with inflation concerns and macroeconomic factors weighing on investor sentiment. Bitcoin, like other risk assets, is susceptible to these broader market trends. However, it is essential to remember that Bitcoin is a nascent asset class, and its price volatility is to be expected.
Investors considering Bitcoin should carefully assess their risk tolerance and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. While Bitcoin's long-term potential remains intriguing, it is crucial to be aware of the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies.
Will Bitcoin Rise in Late March or Early April? Possible Scenari
Currently, Bitcoin is entering a highly unique cycle where it’s attracting almost the entire market capitalization and staying at elevated levels. This contrasts with previous cycles when altcoins had more distinct opportunities, causing frustration for holders of large altcoin positions.
Bitcoin moved from the 27k level to form a peak, corrected down to 59k, then rallied to 107k to form a second peak on the monthly timeframe. At this point, Bitcoin appears to be starting a corrective wave within the larger uptrend structure.
Based on the current downtrend structure from the weekly (W) timeframe downward, here are two potential scenarios for Bitcoin:
Scenario 1
🔸 The price undergoes a correction, but it’s short-lived and soon reverts to the uptrend. Specifically:
🔹 A drop to around the 88k zone, followed by a minor rebound
🔹 Another correction down to the key levels of 83k or 75k
🔹 If a bottom forms at one of these zones, price could start a new upswing on the weekly chart, aligning with a fresh monthly uptrend
Timing:
🔸 Potentially in the first two weeks of April
🔸 If things move faster, it could happen in the last two weeks of March
Target:
🔸 A new all-time high (ATH) near 130k–140k
Scenario 2
🔸 The price drops to the 75k zone, accumulates there but fails to continue upward, instead forming a lower low. Specifically:
🔹 A further drop toward 68k–70k, or slightly lower
🔹 If this unfolds, Bitcoin might not rally in March or April
🔹 The corrective phase could extend into May–June 2025, after which the market completes its accumulation
Target Post-Accumulation:
🔸 A new peak near the previous level of 110k
Trading Approaches in the Current State of Bitcoin
For Traders (Futures / Margin):
🔸 Look for SELL swing opportunities
🔸 Scalp BUYs at key support/resistance zones
For Spot Investors:
🔸 Identify critical zones to accumulate BTC
🔸 During corrections, watch for short-term bounces to buy select altcoins on spot and aim for profits of about 50%, 80%, or even 150%
🔸 Use the Rainbow MG3 indicator to screen a broader list of assets and filter for strategic spot buy entries
Bitcoin Dips to $94K Amid Hotter-Than-Expected US CPI DataThe cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp selloff following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in hotter than expected. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, fell by 3% to $94,000, reflecting the broader market’s reaction to rising inflation concerns. The January CPI data revealed a 3% year-over-year (YoY) increase, up from December’s 2.9%, while the monthly CPI rose to 0.5%, exceeding market expectations. This unexpected spike has reignited fears of a prolonged hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, dampening investor sentiment across both traditional and crypto markets.
Inflation Woes and Macroeconomic Pressures
1. Hotter-Than-Expected CPI Data
The US Labor Department reported that the January CPI inflation rose to 3% YoY, surpassing the market consensus of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation increased to 0.5%, up from December’s 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher than expected at 0.4% monthly and 3.3% YoY. These figures indicate that inflationary pressures remain persistent, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to rate cuts.
2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance
The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for more evidence of cooling inflation before considering rate cuts. The hotter CPI data has further solidified the Fed’s position, reducing the likelihood of near-term rate cuts. This has weighed heavily on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative investments.
3. Impact on Crypto Market Sentiment
The crypto market has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, and the latest CPI release has exacerbated existing fears. The global crypto market cap fell by 3.3% to $3.1 trillion, with Bitcoin leading the decline. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged by 2.05% to 4.630%, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.42% to 108.290, adding further pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis
1. Immediate Price Reaction
Bitcoin’s price dropped sharply from $96,488 to $94,000 within minutes of the CPI data release. This decline reflects the market’s immediate reaction to the negative macroeconomic news. As of writing, Bitcoin is down 1.23%, trading near the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could test the $80,000 support level, a critical psychological and technical threshold.
- Resistance: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could reignite bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward the $100,000 mark.
3. Chart Patterns and Indicators
Bitcoin’s price action is currently hovering near key moving averages, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI at 38 suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory, which could attract buyers looking for discounted entry points. However, the overall trend remains bearish in the short term, with the falling RSI and declining price action signaling caution.
4. Market Sentiment and Volume
Trading volume has spiked following the CPI release, indicating heightened market activity. The increased volume during the selloff suggests that investors are reacting strongly to the macroeconomic data, with many opting to take profits or reduce exposure to risk assets.
Conclusion:
The latest US CPI data has underscored the crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, with Bitcoin and other digital assets experiencing significant volatility. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains intact.
BTCUSD- hi friends, I use different strategies to make my analysis. So , this is my short term trade for BTCUSD. Thank you so much and have a safe trading ahead. please be careful with your trade and trade according to your account balance after checking all the safety parameters, i.e. Risk management, etc
thank you and have a good time aheaa
$BTC Current Decline Analysis - 2/11/2025CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Wave (e) revealed the pattern (wxy), highlighting the complex structures of waves w and x, which looks like a 'distribution' behavior. This leaves us with a fast pace decline in wave y, targeting a projected level that coincides with wave (e) target of $87,222
#BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC
* This is how I see it, just sharing my view!
Cheers!
BTC getting ready to revisit +$100k?It's playing out slightly quicker than anticipated but it's going in the expected direction, minus the fakeout and chop.
On the 45m tf I am looking for one more lower low to touch or break the falling wedge's support.
There could be another fake break out and it could be a big one to trigger shorts before liquidating them with the reversal.
I think a 104,000 target is still in play, for now. I thought it would be on Friday - it still might. I do not think this is the start of a rally to 1,000,000.
There is a high risk of liquidation for those taking long positions thinking 150,000 is imminent. There is always a risk the market doesn't do what I think is going to happen and 69,000 is closer than I realised.
BITCOIN CRASH BEST TRADE IDEA🔻 BTC/USDT Short Setup - 30M Analysis 🔻
Bitcoin has rejected a key resistance zone around $97,400-$97,550, showing signs of a bearish move. Price has failed to break above this supply area, and now a potential sell-off towards the sell-side liquidity range is in play.
🔹 Entry: Around $97,400 (Retest of resistance)
🔹 Stop Loss: $97,550 (Above supply zone)
🔹 Target: $94,725-$94,711 (Liquidity sweep level)
📉 Analysis Breakdown:
✅ Price is reacting to a well-defined supply zone.
✅ Bearish momentum increasing after liquidity grab.
✅ Confluence with 50 EMA rejecting price.
✅ High probability of price reaching liquidity range.
Watching this trade closely—let me know your thoughts! 📊🔥
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoSignals 🚀