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DJIA Index. Shake it. Bake it. Booty Quake It. Roll It AroundMarkets were shaked this Friday after the December employment report came in much stronger than expected. The economy added 256,000 jobs in December, well above the average economist estimate of 155,000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly declined to 4.1% from 4.2% in November. The Nasdaq 100 immediately dropped by about 1%, while the 10-year US Treasury yield spiked nearly 10 basis points to 4.785%, representing its highest level since October 2023. The strong payroll report further strengthened the case for no more interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, at least for 2025. The moves in stocks and bonds are a continuation of what's been seen in recent weeks: Following a period of euphoric optimism, investors have started to anticipate higher inflation stemming from President Donald Trump's proposed trade and fiscal policies. If the upward move in bond yields continues, Americans will feel it in a big way. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets now expect just one 25-basis point interest rate cut this year, down from expectations late last year of as many as three. The chances that there will be no rate cuts in 2025 more than doubled Friday morning to 28%. Dollar index TVC:DXY rockets to the moon, while the 10-yr TVC:TNX strongly above 4.5%. Endogenously, the market has been preparing for such a turbulence, as it's been discussed in earlier posted idea "Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking Point" . I remember, the financial market has had a tough weeks in last December, 2024, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025, as I noted those time. The market was on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it was clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting — and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead. Dow Jones Futures has ended 6th straight RED WEEK in a row - the quite rare event. The historical back test analysis over last 25 years indicates, it could lead to further (at least) 10 percent decline for Top-30 stock club. The major technical graph indicates on a bearish trend in development, where major 200-week SMA support is nearly 35'700 points in this time.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by PandorraResearch
Bitcoin BTC Has Almost Finished Correction: $89k soon!Hello, Skyrexians! In our recent analysis we told that this correction will not be finished without reaching GETTEX:89K , it almost impossible! Several days ago BINANCE:BTCUSDT surges above $102k which caused a lot of optimism on the market, but all these traders has been banished by the sudden dump. Why this drop was expected and promised GETTEX:89K will be reached anyway. Let's take a look at the daily time frame. We can see the after reaching wave 3 top corrective wave 4 has been started. Wave 4 is a zigzag ABC. Corrective wave B has been finished exactly at 0.61 Fibonacci. Now price is forming wave C. This wave has the minimal target at 0.38 Fibonacci at $89k. There we can expect the signal on Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy to make sure with the high probability that correction is over and the next target is $120k. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . You can see the sniper entries for this indicator before. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
BTC preparing for run to 150k technical tp on higher timeframeTechnical analysis indicating "measured move" buy setup on higher timeframes I expect price to advance from current 88-93k buy zone (consolidation structure on 4 hr tf) back to new highs above 109k, which was previously noted as tp1 (with anticipated near term consolidation in low 90k range). It's possible we have one more retest of 88-93k levels after reaching 108-110k level on next buy wave, but as previously noted, it primarily remains a buy opportunity. Once a move above 120k is achieved, price will be strongly in the hands of buyers (with diminishing supply) and head towards 150-155k level fairly steadily & easily to achieve technical "measured move" target. There remains possibility that we get one final retracement from 150k but my own cycles analysis indicates that would be the final big discount opportunity IF it were to occur at all. Price advancement above 100k is a SIGNAL that mass adoption is taking place globally and will lead to much higher highs. Any price dips below 100k remain discounts for institutional ownership
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DaveTradesLive
"BTC Alert: Sellers Dominate Until the Price Hits the Bottom!"BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD 📈Which side you pick? Bulls or Bears Bitcoin (BTC) is currently forming a repetitive pattern. 📈 The price will test the identified support at the bottom of the channel, which could drive the price down toward the 86K-88K level. 📉 If the price drops below 92K, we may see a more significant decline into the 84K range, possibly accompanied by a long shadow reaching the 80-82K area (highlighted in red). 🔻🔍 🧐The Alternate scenario: If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position below or above the trigger zone (92K), the setup will be canceled.
Short
by CrazyS
1
Recency Bias: Your Brain’s Worst Trade Idea Ever!Let’s face it: your brain is out to sabotage your trading, and recency bias is its weapon of choice. This sneaky psychological gremlin convinces you that your last few trades—good or bad—are all that matter. But spoiler alert: they’re not. 🎲 What is Recency Bias? Recency bias is your brain’s tendency to overvalue recent events and ignore the bigger picture. Three wins in a row? You’re invincible, right? WRONG. Three losses? Time to ditch your strategy? ALSO WRONG. The market doesn’t care about your streak—it plays the long game, and so should you. 💀 How It Destroys You 1️⃣ Winning Streak Confidence: After a few wins, you start upping your risk like you’re Warren Buffet. Then BAM—one loss wipes you out. 2️⃣ Losing Streak Paralysis: A few losses, and suddenly you’re too scared to pull the trigger, even on solid setups. 3️⃣ Revenge Trading: The currency pair that burned you? Oh, you’ll “get it back,” right? Nope. You’ll just lose more. 🛡️ How to Beat It 1️⃣ Reset Daily: Clear your head before every session. Meditate, walk, scream into a pillow—whatever works. 2️⃣ Stick to Your Plan: Your strategy works because it’s tested, not because your emotions say so. 3️⃣ Journal Everything: Spot your patterns before they wreck you. 4️⃣ Manage Risk: Winning or losing streaks shouldn’t change your position size. Period. 5️⃣ Check Your Ego: The market isn’t out to get you. It doesn’t even know you exist. 🧠 Final Words Recency bias is a sneaky little troll, but with self-awareness and discipline, you can shut it down. Remember: your last trade doesn’t define you—your consistency does. Now stop letting your brain gaslight you and go trade like the pro you were meant to be. 🚀
Education
by RoadToAMillionClub
Bitcoin - live or die? Bitcoin bull is trying hard to defend the previous month/week low around 91,000 region.  If a daily candle closes below that line, all momentum indicators are likely to enter the bear territory.  In that case, I have to accept the probability that the price can come down as low as 73,000 area (Fib 0.618).  But my bias for Bitcoin is still upside so I am going to wait for an entry position to buy more.  I will wait for the daily MACD lines and RSI lines to cross and close above the descending trendlines in the bull territory.  Horizontal lines are more reliable than ascending/descending trendlines on a price chart, but  when I see clear highs and lows in the momentum indicators (4H, daily, and weekly), I draw a trendline and wait for the line to get broken. It often works really well to identify a good entry point.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EbonyFalcon
BTC Weekly Advanced Detailed Analysis & Prediction with DataThe chart demonstrates a strong bullish order flow in the 4-hour timeframe, with price consistently respecting Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and showing a sharp reaction to imbalanced zones. This behavior reflects the active involvement of institutional or "smart money" participants, who are driving the market higher from key demand zones. The recent structural movements highlight a well-defined trend continuation, with the price eyeing significant liquidity levels as the next targets. The levels of 99,850 and 102,787 stand out as critical liquidity zones for the week. These areas represent potential clusters of stop-loss orders and other liquidity pools that price often gravitates toward during trending markets. When The price approaches these levels, we may see a liquidity grab followed by either continued bullish movement or a short-term reversal. The bullish bias remains intact, reinforced by a solid rejection and reversal seen at the 92,279 level, where smart money activity was most evident. This region not only acted as a turning point but also established itself as a major structural support. Given the Monday session dynamics, a minor retracement is expected as traders take profits or the market rebalances slightly. However, any pullback is likely to respect local Fair Value Gaps or untested order blocks within the 96,000–98,000 range. Such pullbacks would provide opportunities for bulls to re-enter the market, aligning with the broader trend. With clear higher highs and higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum unless a breakdown below 96,000 occurs, which would challenge this narrative. When the price edges closer to the 99,850 liquidity zone, market participants should watch for signs of momentum continuation or exhaustion. Increasing volume alongside upward price action will confirm the strength of the trend, while divergence in volume could signal potential weakening. Similarly, the 102,787 level represents an upper target that may prompt profit-taking or consolidation before further directional clarity emerges. The 92,279 level, where the smart money reversal occurred, continues to be a pivotal support zone. If the price sees a deeper retracement, this level is expected to act as a strong demand area due to its significance in shifting market sentiment. Traders should also monitor minor untested order blocks that price may respect intraday, providing opportunities for strategic entries or short-term trades. The market is navigating a bullish environment, driven by institutional demand and liquidity-seeking behavior. The immediate focus lies on the liquidity zones at 99,850 and 102,787, with pullbacks offering opportunities to align with the prevailing trend. However, a sustained breakdown below 96,000 would warrant caution as it could signal a potential shift in the current bullish structure. This week's price action is poised to deliver significant insights into the strength and continuation of the ongoing momentum.
Long
by wolfchemist
1
Bitcoin | How to Master Ranges ?In our latest analysis ( BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs ) about ranges we had concluded that high leveraged longs would be liquidated, this was due to the belief of the indicators (cdv, volume footprint, etc.) that there were buyers. However, the lack of buyers in the current picture is a big problem, the data currently says so, but the data is not stable, it can change, you can follow this from volume footprints, cumulative delta volume, liquidation heatmaps. If you do not know how to use these, you can visit my profile, you can contact me, I explain how I use all these tools completely free of charge. My opinion today is that the price will sell nicely from the red line and the decline will deepen, and everyone who follows me knows that I have been repeating this opinion since $103,000. I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. My Previous Analysis 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by XU99
1
"Bitcoin Price Prediction: $30K TargetThis analysis uses historical Bitcoin price patterns during previous bull and bear cycles to predict future market movements. The chart reveals a recurring pattern of sharp corrections following parabolic rises, suggesting that Bitcoin is likely heading toward a $30K price point in its current bearish phase. By aligning current trends with past cycles, this prediction provides a roadmap for investors to navigate potential market downturns and prepare for upcoming opportunities.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by sarvarbekabdupattoyev
7
Don't fumble the red flags, we are not out of the woods yet.When analyzing cryptocurrency markets, maintaining a neutral and impartial perspective is crucial. Having an optimistic bias will have you fumbling all the red flags and focusing only on information that supports your hopes and dreams. Currently, two main theories are shaping the discussion around Bitcoin's price action: Wave 4 has been completed, and we are now entering Wave 5 or; The market is still in a corrective phase. Let me know what you think, would love to hear your thoughts. Let’s delve into the two scenarios in detail. Theory 1: Wave 4 is Complete, and We Are Entering Wave 5 This theory is that Bitcoin has finished an ABC corrective wave and is poised for an upward move into Wave 5. A confirmed Wave 5 would be indicated by a price break above the previous Wave 3 high at $108,705. Until then, we remain in speculative territory. The Positives: The Stochastic Oscillator on the daily timeframe is in a favorable position. On the weekly chart, the Stochastic has exited the overbought region and is moving toward oversold territory. The Negatives: The current correction appears shallow and short-lived, failing to even retrace to the 0.386 Fibonacci level. Historically, 70% of Wave 4 corrections retrace between the 0.386 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. I would prefer that the weekly Stochastic RSI had a bullish crossover in the overbought region. During the last bull run, the Wave 4 correction lasted three months and corrected nearly to the 0.618 Fib level. Bitcoin Dominance collapsed during the Wave 4 correction, signaling the start of an altcoin season. While history doesn’t have to repeat itself, we have only corrected for 3.5 weeks and bitcoin dominance is still high, these anomalies raise concerns until the $108,705 resistance is breached. Theory 2: The Market Is Still Correcting In this scenario, the Zig-Zag correction we’ve observed may represent the first impulse (Wave A) of a larger ABC correction. If this is the case, the market could experience: Wave B: A brief upward impulse. Wave C: A downward move to lower price targets. Key Observations: A more extended and deeper correction would align with historical patterns, potentially creating a stronger foundation for future growth. If this plays out, we may see Bitcoin Dominance collapse, paving the way for an altcoin season to rise alongside Bitcoin’s eventual Wave 5. Conclusion: Watching $108,705 Is Key The confirmation of Wave 5 hinges on Bitcoin breaking the $108,705 resistance level. Until that point, it’s essential to remain cautious and consider both possibilities. Whether we are on the verge of a new bullish wave or navigating a deeper correction, understanding the broader market context will help investors make informed decisions. My bets though are on Theory 2, what do you think?
Short
by heywippa
Checkmate: Winging it is for birds, not traders♟️ Master the market with strategy, foresight, and just the right amount of sass. Alright, traders, let’s talk. What do chess grandmasters and top traders have in common? No, it’s not their love of mismatched socks or coffee strong enough to revive the dead ☕. It’s their ability to think three moves ahead while the rest of the world stares at the board wondering, “Is this checkers?” ♟️ Your Gut Isn’t Garry Kasparov In chess, a grandmaster doesn’t move a piece without thinking of how it’ll play out in the next ten moves. And you? Clicking Buy because your “gut” said so isn’t exactly a strategy. Unless your gut has a PhD in market analysis, maybe sit this one out and plan. Remember: sometimes you’ve gotta let a pawn (aka small loss) go to protect the king (aka your account). But nope, most traders are out here clinging to losing trades like they’re in a Nicholas Sparks movie. Spoiler alert: this isn’t a love story – it’s an iceberg. 🧊🚢 🤔 Hope Isn’t a Strategy Chess players anticipate every possible move. You, on the other hand, need to stop vibing your way through trades. 🌈 ✔️ Got a plan if the market tanks? ✔️ Got a plan if it spikes? ✔️ Got snacks for when both happen? 🍿 If you’re trading without a stop-loss, you’re basically playing chess blindfolded and hoping for the best. Bold, but not smart. 🧠 Don’t Let Your Brain Sabotage You Biggest opponent in trading? It’s you. That little voice whispering, “Double down, it’ll recover!” or “Stop-losses are for wimps.” That’s not strategy – it’s sabotage. 🎭 Learn to chill. Emotional moves in chess = disaster. Emotional trades in the market? Same thing, but with fewer pawns and way more pain. 🔑 Discipline = Winning Grandmasters aren’t magic. They’re disciplined. They put in the hours, study patterns, and show up every day. Traders? Same deal. Forget the mythical “perfect strategy.” It’s your discipline to execute that makes the difference. So, stop chasing meme stocks and remember: the market is your chessboard. Plan your moves, think ahead, and for the love of all things caffeinated, stop clinging to bad trades. 🖤
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by RoadToAMillionClub
$BTC and Altcoins: Should You Buy or Wait?It's been 45 days since Bitcoin reached $100k and 20 days since its all-time high of $108k. The market is currently moving sideways and remains below the key resistance zone. Unless we witness a breakout and increased trading volume, it's tough to predict the next move. However, one thing is clear: most altcoins experienced significant drops of 40%-60% during the December 9th market crash. Since then, many altcoins have rebounded by 15%-30%, and a few have fully recovered. While it's uncertain if another major dip is coming, especially after such a steep 50% decline, I believe it's unlikely to happen and now could be an ideal time to start accumulating altcoins if you haven't yet. The risk of staying out of the market is higher than the risk of being invested in altcoins at this moment. Make sure you follow my socials, I'll be sharing a list of altcoins that will be doing well this season. Please hit that like button to support nd share your views in the comment section. Thank you #cryptocurrency #Altcoins
by Cryptorphic
1
MARA’s BTC Strategy and Bitcoin’s Path ForwardBitcoin miner MARA Holdings has made headlines with its innovative approach to leveraging its BTC reserves and exceeding its hash rate target. The company's December 2024 production update highlights strategic moves and technical achievements, providing a strong foundation for bullish sentiment on Bitcoin. MARA’s BTC Lending Program: Fundamentals at Play MARA revealed that 16.4% of its Bitcoin reserves, equivalent to 7,377 BTC worth approximately $730 million, has been deployed in short-term third-party loans to generate modest single-digit yields. This strategy underscores MARA’s dual approach of mining and buying Bitcoin to optimize its holdings. The company’s total reserves now stand at an impressive 44,893 BTC, valued at over $4.4 billion at current prices. According to Robert Samuels, MARA’s vice president of investor relations, the lending program focuses on secure, short-term arrangements with well-established third parties. This initiative reflects a prudent approach to maximizing shareholder value while maintaining liquidity. MARA’s production update also highlighted a milestone achievement: surpassing its energized hash rate target of 50 EH/s, reaching a peak of 53.2 EH/s. Despite a 2% decrease in BTC production due to a slight dip in mining “luck,” MARA’s overall strategy remains robust. CEO Fred Thiel emphasized the benefits of the company’s hybrid model, which combines mining and purchasing Bitcoin to enhance flexibility and long-term value. Technical Analysis As of writing, Bitcoin’s price has shown remarkable resilience, briefly reclaiming the $99,000 level before a slight retracement to $98,745. The technical indicators suggest a strong bullish trend: 1. RSI Strength: With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 62, Bitcoin exhibits momentum that could propel it to break key resistance levels. 2. Fibonacci Retracement: In the event of selling pressure or a correction, the $94,000 level—the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement—is poised to serve as a critical support zone. 3. Open Interest Surge: Open interest in Bitcoin futures has surged, driven by renewed institutional interest, particularly after Donald Trump’s presidential election victory. Firms like MicroStrategy (MSTR) are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. A Bullish Case Bitcoin’s fundamentals are bolstered by several macroeconomic and geopolitical factors: 1. Institutional Adoption: Companies like MARA and MicroStrategy are doubling down on Bitcoin, reflecting growing confidence in its role as “digital gold.” 2. Hash Rate Milestones: Bitcoin’s monthly hash rate reached an all-time high in December, showcasing the network’s increasing security and resilience. 3. Political Developments: The anticipation of Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2025 has spurred optimism in financial markets, with Bitcoin positioned as a safe haven against inflationary pressures. Conclusion With institutional adoption accelerating and macroeconomic conditions favoring digital assets, Bitcoin appears poised for a breakout. As MARA and other players continue to innovate, the cryptocurrency’s role as a cornerstone of the global financial system becomes increasingly evident. Investors and analysts should keep a close eye on the inauguration of Donald Trump and its potential market implications, as Bitcoin stands ready to capitalize on the evolving landscape.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Bitcoin , next target Evening folks, sorry for being absent I’m ridiculously busy with my businesses and new year , btw wish you all the best and a year of getting massive mountain of money lol . Keeping my chart simple you I wont cause confusion. Bitcoin has like two weeks in the worse scenario to range or fall before going and tap 150k or somewhere around. In the good scenario it goes up from here , I’ve put two box to get the bitcoin in case of a fall but deep down I see it unlikely to happen as altcoins look sh! T , I see it as a surprise run and leave people behind most likely but anyway who knows . Keep those areas in mind and see them as a chance . Bullrun isn’t over and it’s just warming up. Stay safe lads
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mastershark
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Breakout Incoming or Crash Ahead?Hey, traders! 👋 Welcome back to another deep dive into the markets. Today, we’re analyzing the daily chart of Bitcoin vs. USDT (BTC/USDT) because this week could bring a major turning point! 🔥 What’s happening on the chart? First, take a look at these two key horizontal levels: Support at $91,445.18 📉 Resistance at $99,763.08 📈 The price is stuck in this consolidation range. This is a critical moment because when Bitcoin consolidates like this, something big is about to happen! 🚀 Either we break to the upside or head lower. 😬 What are the possible scenarios? 🤔 I've outlined two potential outcomes: Bullish breakout: If the price breaks above $99,763.08 with strong momentum, we could see a move toward $108,261.81, which is the next major target. 🎯 Bearish breakdown: If the price loses support at $91,445.18, we might be looking at a deeper correction. But hey, no need to panic yet—this isn’t confirmed. 🛑 RSI: The silent indicator 📉 Let’s look at the RSI (Relative Strength Index): It’s sitting at 48.25, right near the neutral zone. This tells us the market is undecided for now—neither overbought nor oversold. ⚖️ If RSI moves above 50, it’s a sign that bulls are gaining control. On the other hand, if it drops below 40, the bears might dominate. 🐻 Volume never lies 🔊 Volume has been declining during this consolidation. This is typical because big moves usually come after a period of low volume, and then—boom! 💥 Price explodes in one direction. Keep an eye out for a spike in volume to confirm the next big move. What should we do now? 🧐 Be patient: Avoid trading inside the range. Wait for the price to confirm a breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support. Look for confirmation: Watch for a volume spike and candlestick patterns near key levels to validate the move. Have a plan: Set clear targets and stop-loss levels. Remember, Bitcoin can be unpredictable, so stay prepared. 🚀 That's it for today, traders! If you found this analysis helpful, follow me here on TradingView and leave a like 👍 to give this idea a boost. Your support inspires me to keep sharing more insights and strategies. Let’s keep building success together! 🚀💹 Disclaimer: This video is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Invest responsibly.
by FXOnTop