BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend
After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level.
🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning?
The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play.
🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues:
First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction
Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction
Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction
Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
Bitcoinprice
BTCUSDT Hello traders, wishing everyone a great weekend!
I’ve identified a sell opportunity on BTCUSDT and decided to share it with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 / 1:4
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 103,826.28
✔️ Take Profit: 103,428.15
✔️ Stop Loss: 104,025.48
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay informed about upcoming trade ideas and advanced market insights.
No breakout. Just engineered liquidity. Watch how I step in.This setup didn’t need noise. Just clarity.
We took sell-side liquidity below the FVG FF with precision, tapping into a 4H OB nested at a deeper 78.6% retracement. That’s where the mispricing ends. That’s where I step in.
Price didn’t reverse because of “oversold.” It reversed because Smart Money engineered the imbalance, swept stops, and delivered into a value zone. Nothing more. Nothing less.
The rejection from that 102,067 level formed the base. From there, I expect delivery up into the 104,953 handle — where the 0.618 confluence and the upper OB sit. That’s the decision point.
Above that, we’ve got unfinished business at 107,614. If price pierces through 106,955 — where the 0.5 lines up with a previous supply — expect the full expansion into the 109,500s.
But I’m not rushing it. Liquidity above that OB at 108,122 has weight — and may serve as distribution before another push lower.
What I’m watching:
✅ Buy-side liquidity resting above 104,953
✅ OB rejection zone at 108,122
❌ 102,067 invalidation if price closes with displacement through the low
🔻 If that fails — price wants the inefficiency down near 102,051
I’m not here to catch every move.
I’m here to catch the right one.
I don’t need confirmation. I am the confirmation.
Bitcoin Is Entering Into Very Difficult TimesHello, Skyrexians!
I have been thinking what will happen next with BINANCE:BTCUSDT and it was obvious that correction has been started, you can easily find my recent update on Bitcoin and check it, but what will happen after. Today I decided that the first impulse has not been finessed yet and we need one more small leg up to complete this growth before significant correction.
Let's take a look at the yellow Elliott waves cycle. Awesome Oscillator gave me an idea that only wave 3 has been finished above $110k. Now price is printing wave 4. Wave 4 has a target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci, but this time it will be definitely 0.38 at $101k. Here was the smaller degree wave's 4 bottom. Wave 5 will be shortened because wave 3 was extended, it's very logically. After $111k retest the major wave 2 will go to $90k approximately. Difficult times ahead for crypto, I think this period will be finished only at the end of June.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
___________________________________________________________
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Bitcoin Cash Respects Trendline Again – Is Another Rally LoadingBitcoin Cash is showing strong trendline respect, with multiple successful bounces from the ascending support.
Price is once again bouncing off this trendline, signaling bullish intent. As long as this structure holds, the uptrend remains intact and a potential move toward higher levels looks likely.
Key support and trendline confluence continues to act as a launchpad.
BTC/USD – Double Top Breakdown Signals Bearish Wave- 4H chart. 🧨
🔍 Chart Analysis:
🟢 Recent Price Action:
Bitcoin formed a double top pattern near the Recent All-Time High (ATH) 📈 — a strong bearish signal 🔔.
A trendline break occurred right after the second peak, confirming potential weakness ⚠️.
🟠 Supply Zone:
Price re-entered a previous supply zone (resistance area) and failed to hold above it 🧱 — indicating sellers are active again.
🔵 EMA 70 (Blue Line):
The price has dropped below the 70 EMA, signaling momentum shift from bullish to bearish 📉.
🔴 STOP LOSS ZONE:
Positioned above 110,555 🚫 — risk level for this short setup if bulls reclaim control.
🟡 Bearish Pathway (Expected Move):
Price may retest the broken zone 🔁.
Followed by a sharp drop to the 1st support near $101,503 🎯.
Confirmed by large bearish volume spikes 📊.
💥 Trade Idea:
Entry: Near 106,000 (on retest of supply zone).
Stop Loss: Above 110,555 🔺.
Target: $101,500 🎯.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 🔥 Favorable setup for swing short sellers!
📛 Pattern Breakdown:
⚠️ Double Top = Reversal Signal.
🔻 Trendline Break = Shift in Market Structure.
🧊 Supply Zone Rejection = Bearish Confirmation.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 30, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has undergone a significant decline during the current week's trading session and is presently situated at the Mean Support level of $103,000. This downward trajectory has the potential to establish a temporary pause, which may facilitate the emergence of upward momentum from this level, and it could pose a challenge to the Key Resistance level at 109500. A successful breach of this resistance may lead to the completion of the Inner Coin Rally target at $114500. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the possibility of renewed downward momentum from the current level, as this could result in a decline toward the Mean Support of 99000.
BTC Update on a Daily Timeframe.Hello Traders,
BTC is currently attempting to hold its price above a key resistance level. On the daily timeframe, we can observe a clear breakout and retest, and it’s now showing signs of a rebound.
What we need now is for BTC to hold this level on the daily close to confirm bullish strength.
However, a breakdown below this support could lead to a significant drop in price.
While the sentiment remains optimistic, it’s important to stay aware of all possible scenarios.
Trade safely, and always do your own research and analysis before investing.
King BTC - Bitcoin Dominance Continues to Go Up OnlyIf market cycles still matter, this current one will be remembered as a disappointment by many crypto traders. With Bitcoin Dominance up-only, this has been the cycle of institutional traders who accumulate Bitcoin. For years, crypto traders hoped that institutions would 'buy our bags'. But for now, only 'King BTC' has benefitted. From its low point at less than 40%, Bitcoin market cap dominance versus the rest of the crypto markets is now sitting at 65%. The times when crypto traders would 'hunt gems' and hold Altcoins that would go up 10-100x are over. Between the 'crypto trenches' of memecoin traders hunting very low cap memes that can go up multiples and then go back to 0 even quicker and 'King BTC', not much of the rest of the market has caught a bid.
The picture is completely different on the institutional side. For many funds, Bitcoin is now part of a core treasury strategy. Pensions and endowments dip in through ETF exposure. Especially in the US, the regulatory and legal outlook are improving rapidly under a pro-crypto US administration. Asset managers like BlackRock are promoting BTC as a long-term store of value with lower correlation to equities than previously assumed.
In fact, institutional Bitcoin FOMO is accelerating rapidly. Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy famously leveraged its balance sheet to borrow funds, buy Bitcoin for its treasury and then rinse and repeat. The strong performance of MicroStrategy has unsurprisingly led to copy-cats. This week, GameStop became the latest one, confirming that it had bought 4,710 BTC worth about $513 million. In a sign that the buck might not stop here, SharpLink, a performance-based marketing company serving the U.S. sports betting and global iGaming industries, launched a $425million private placement to accumulate Ethereum into its treasury.
Leaving aside the question of who would lend so much money to a sports marketing company, other burning questions remain. Will Bitcoin FOMO lead to another parabolic rally? Will Ethereum treasury-buys finally lead to new all-time-highs for the 2nd largest Crypto Coin by market cap? And will that lead to a 'more traditional' Altcoin rally? Maybe most importantly: how sustainable is the MicroStrategy Treasury accumulation?
As always in Crypto markets, reflexivity is strong on the way up, but critical on the way down. If the BTC price ever drops below the average purchase price of its Bitcoin and debt-rollover deadlines are approaching, will MicroStrategy end up having to sell Bitcoin in a fire sale? Past market history tends to agree with Murphy's Law: usually, whatever can go wrong in crypto, eventually does go wrong. Maybe the day will come when the rise of Bitcoin dominance will stop 'the hard way'.
Bitcoin - Fib circles Happen. PA knocked down a little.
Been warning you about this Fib circle coming up and now we know it is resistance... but how strong ?
We do not know just yet but we can lok to the left to see what happened last time.
Over pn the left, we can See PA droped for 7 days bwfore breaking away.
This could happen again and support is below.
The 4 hour chart gives us a better insight
PA has already found the first line of support and we currently have a small green candle.
Further support below at 104700 and 101700
If they fail, we have the 2.618 Fib extension at 98200 - This should be a strong line of support
If that fails, there is ther support and I will talk abou tthat when the time comes.
It is wise to be cautious with Bitcoin right now as the 4 hour and Daily MACD are Bearish.
This could change anytime and the Bullish "Sentiment" still exists
Bitcoin Dominance is dipping again but has the strength to bounce, so be cautious with the ALTS
More Soon
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📉 BTC Pullback or Full Reversal? Let's Break It Down 🔍
Looking at the Bitcoin chart right now, we’re seeing more than just a minor pullback. On the 30-minute timeframe, there’s a clear bearish market structure shift setting in. In my opinion, this isn't a quick dip before continuation — we may be in for a deeper retracement. 🧐
When we overlay NASDAQ (which Bitcoin is often closely correlated with), it becomes even clearer — tech stocks look overextended and are showing signs of a potential pullback. 📉
So here’s the plan:
If BTC pulls back into my point of interest, I’ll be watching for a bullish break of structure to consider a long position. Simple, structured, and in line with what the charts are telling us. 🔁💹
⚠️ As always, this is not financial advice — just sharing how I'm reading the market right now.
💬 What are your thoughts? Are you watching the same levels? Drop a comment below 👇 and let’s talk trade setups! 🚀
Bitcoin: Will it surpass $109k in its upward trend?Since April, Bitcoin has traded in a clearly defined upward channel with two lower and upper trend lines. This channel was formed three touchpoints both on the lower and upper trendlines.
Near a critical zone
Now, BTC is at a key resistance zone where it previously peaked around $109,000, holding its all-time high. This level resists both judgement as well as forensic level significantly of a psychological barrier because it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is currently hovering around the everyday resistance line while BTC is still in the upward channel. In conjunction with the historic all-time high and the upper channel resistance, range bound price action gives us an accurate capture of BTC’s behaviour.
Bullish breakout
The scenario outlined for this resistance zone makes the most sense as a rejection may lead to a temporary pullback, likely to the somewhat lower boundary of the rising channel. This in itself would not be the termination of the bullish trend, but instead a healthy retracement within the confines of an uptrend structure. But, if the market does break out above the $109,000 level with ample volume and bullish momentum, then things could start changing in the market for the better from there. Such breakout will confirm the uptrend is strong and valid where else new breakout targets will also be set turning the old high into new low. The $109,000 level would then probably move from resistance to support, making it a critical area for bulls to protect on any retests in the future.
A bearish breakout
The ramifications of a breakdown below the rising channel should also be understood by traders. It is crucial to keep an eye on the channel's lower barrier, which is presently at about $104,000. A significant decline below this level would signal a loss of short-term bullish momentum and lead to a more thorough correction. In that scenario, Bitcoin would probably go for the imbalanced area between $97,500 and $100,500, where the price has previously moved quickly without forming any solid support or resistance. Buyers may be able to intervene in this zone and try to restore bullish dominance, which may pave the way for a new breakout attempt and another surge toward the $109,000 barrier.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin is at a critical point right now. Bitcoin is currently facing a significant resistance zone at its prior all-time high, but the upward channel that has directed price action since April is still in place. The degree of market momentum and the actions of buyers and sellers at these critical levels will determine whether the price hits new highs or declines. Investors and traders should be alert and ready for both situations since the next action could determine how Bitcoin develops over the following few weeks.
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BTC/USDT Analysis – Still Long
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, Bitcoin bounced off the volume zone at $109,200–$106,500, but then faced resistance in the $110,100–$111,500 area — a zone we previously overlooked due to the strong bullish context.
Currently, the positive trend remains intact, and we are still expecting a new local high. However, before that happens, a decline and a retest of the local low at $106,600 is likely. Supporting the continuation of the overall uptrend are the following factors: absorption on the cumulative delta, an unbroken ascending trendline, and volume distribution.
Buy zones:
$109,200–$106,500 (volume zone)
$103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market sells)
Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
LongTerm BITCOIN LINEAR chart & NUPL tells a story -August Top
We can start with the main chart.
This is a LONG TERM LINEAR chart, showing the price action Directly, unaltered by mathmatics,
Long Term charts usualy are shown by logarithmic charts.
Linear and logarithmic trading charts differ in how they represent price changes. Linear charts display equal price changes the same, making them suitable for short-term traders focusing on exact price movements. On the other hand, logarithmic charts show percentage changes, which makes them better for long-term investors or volatile assets, as they help in analyzing trends and patterns more clearly over time.
This chart starts just before the 2017 ATH and you can easily see the line that rejects ATH and how PA is up near that area right now.
Things to note are the day count from 2017 ATH to 2021 Final ATH and the day count between that double Top in 2021.
These numbers are projected to our current cycle and show we are near the projected Top using this style of Chatr, The Log charts project further into the year.
It may also be worth noting how the 50 EMA (red) was used by PA after the Drop after the first ATH, to bounce back up to the next ATH at the end of that year.
We have just done exactly the same again, PA was rejected by that long term Line and Dipped down to the 50 EMA and has since bounced back up to the rejecting line.
IS REJECTION LIKELY NOW? [/b
This is something that is impossible to answer with any real Fact But we can look at data and make eductaed projections.
PA has the ability and strength right now, to range high, running up under this line of rejection until it becomes overbought on the long term MACD, RSI , TSI etc
But something that will absolutely decide when the top is in is the Profit taking by Holders.
We are currently seeing Selling taking place and we can see the potential profit by looking at NUPL
NUPL, or Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, is an indicator used in trading to measure the difference between unrealized profits and losses in the Bitcoin market.
Here is the chart from all the way back to 2010
Lots to see here but to summerise.
See how there are Peaks each cycle of Maximum available profit. The point where profit taking Tops out is arrowed. This area, up to the red line, shows us the TOP zone.
What is VERY noticable this cycle is how we have not yet reached that upper Red line.
Sellers appear to be taking theor profits earlier.
The upper day counts have been consistant in the past, with 2 double tops of potential profit before the selling sold it all off.
Many people, including me, have been saying "This time is different" and this is VERY clearly shown here by the fact that we have already had the 2 peaks of potential profit and we are currently climbing to the 3rd
This has NEVER happened before and, technicaly, this could continue.
The Lower day counts are from Mid Double Tops to the Next Mid double top of potential profits mentioned above,
The Next "Mid point" is projected to be around July.
This NUPL also shows ua how the high level of potentia profits was reached Quicker this cycle than previously. This was helped by the Corporations buying Early and Massive amounts, putting Large numbers of coins into profit
In Conclusion [/i
We have the Linear Bitcoin chart pointing towards a JULY / August Top
We have the NUPL also pointing towards a July / August Mid point of Potential profits.
If you loo cloely, BOTH charts, using differnet data, suggest 28 July
What also maybe worth considering here is how we see that Potential profits are reducing in availability. As the asset becomes more expensive to buy, it also gets harder to push the price higher and so make more profit. I,E. It was eaier to double the price of Bitcoin when it was $50 a coin
Of course, non of this may play out, Things ARE DIFFERNT but I have now decided to have another plan ready for August and we need to wait and see what happens Next
BE PREPARED FOR ALL POSSIBILITIES
This 3 Step System Will Show You The Trending StockThis is a powerful chart for you to watch.
Because its following the Rocket booster
strategy.
The Rocket booster Strategy has 3 Steps;
1-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
2-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
3-The price should gap up or trend up.
In order for us to know whether the price
will trend up we are using the ADX indicator.
We make sure that the Blue line
Is rising between the Green line
and the Red line .
This confirms the last step of the rocket booster
strategy.Also remember that the NASDAQ is up-trending.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer;Trading is risky please use a simulation account
for trading before you trade with real money.
Also learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Central Banks Pick Gold (Here's Why)
The debate over the ultimate store of value has been reignited in the digital age. For centuries, gold, the immutable yellow metal, has been the bedrock of wealth preservation, the trusted haven in times of turmoil, and a core component of central bank reserves. In the last decade, a new contender has emerged: Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, often touted as "digital gold." Yet, as the dust settles on initial exuberance and institutional scrutiny intensifies, a clear preference is emerging from the world's most conservative financial institutions. Central banks, the guardians of national wealth and financial stability, are overwhelmingly demonstrating their continued faith in gold, signaling that when it comes to the ultimate safe reserve, tradition and tangibility still trump technological novelty.
The evidence for this preference is not merely anecdotal; it's etched in the consistent and accelerating trend of global gold accumulation by these institutions. In recent years, central banks have been on a gold buying spree, a phenomenon driven by a confluence of potent global factors. The shifting geopolitical landscape, characterized by increased tensions, trade disputes, and a move towards a more multipolar world, has spurred a desire for assets that are not tied to any single nation's political or economic fortunes. Policies emanating from major economic powers, including periods of heightened trade protectionism and shifting global alliances, have historically fanned uncertainty, prompting a flight to assets perceived as universally valuable and politically neutral – a role gold has fulfilled for millennia.
Furthermore, concerns over the long-term value of major fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar which has long dominated global reserves, are playing a significant role. Persistent fiscal deficits, expanding sovereign debt levels, and unprecedented monetary stimulus measures in various countries have led to an undercurrent of apprehension about potential currency devaluation. In such an environment, central banks are actively seeking to diversify their holdings and hedge against the erosion of purchasing power. Gold, with its intrinsic value and finite supply, offers a compelling alternative to holding ever-increasing amounts of fiat currency, whose value can be diluted by policy decisions. This strategic de-dollarization, or at least a diversification away from dollar-centric reserves, sees gold as a primary beneficiary. It is a tangible asset that sits outside the traditional financial system, offering a layer of insulation from the counterparty risks inherent in holding other nations' currencies or debt.
In stark contrast to this institutional embrace of gold stands Bitcoin. While proponents champion its decentralized nature, its mathematically enforced scarcity, and its potential as an inflation hedge, its inherent characteristics currently make it a challenging proposition for central bank reserves. The most glaring issue is its extreme volatility. Bitcoin's price history is a rollercoaster of meteoric rises and precipitous falls. For an individual retail investor, this volatility might be a tolerable, even attractive, risk in pursuit of outsized returns. However, for a central bank, whose primary mandate includes capital preservation and maintaining financial stability, such wild price swings are anathema. Reserve assets must be relatively stable, liquid, and dependable. Bitcoin, in its current state, struggles to meet these criteria consistently. A significant allocation to Bitcoin could expose a nation's reserves to sudden and substantial losses, undermining public trust and potentially destabilizing its financial position.
This volatility poses a tangible risk, not just theoretically, but as observed in the experiences of investors globally, including those in the U.S. While some have reaped fortunes, many others have faced considerable losses due to ill-timed investments or the market's unpredictable nature. Institutional investors, including those in the U.S., while showing increasing interest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset class or a small part of a diversified portfolio, still largely treat it with caution. The kind of deep, unwavering institutional trust that gold commands – built over centuries of proven performance as a store of value and a crisis hedge – has yet to be earned by Bitcoin. Gold’s market is deep, liquid, and well-understood, with established clearing and settlement mechanisms. Bitcoin's market infrastructure, while maturing, is still relatively nascent and fragmented compared to the centuries-old gold market.
Beyond volatility, other factors hinder Bitcoin's adoption as a mainstream reserve asset for central banks. Regulatory uncertainty remains a significant hurdle. The global regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is a patchwork of differing approaches, with some nations embracing innovation while others impose strict controls or outright bans. For central banks, which operate within stringent legal and regulatory frameworks, this lack of global consensus and clarity is a major deterrent. The operational risks associated with custody and security of digital assets at a sovereign scale are also non-trivial. While blockchain technology is inherently secure, managing private keys for billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin requires sophisticated and untested protocols for institutions of this nature.
Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" sometimes overlooks fundamental differences. Gold is a physical commodity with diverse industrial and cultural uses, providing a baseline of demand beyond its monetary role. It is universally recognized and accepted, transcending technological barriers. Bitcoin’s value is derived primarily from its network effects, its code, and investor belief in its future utility and adoption. While powerful, these are different underpinnings than the tangible reality of physical gold bullion held in a central bank's vault.
The actions of central banks speak volumes. While a handful of smaller nations or entities might experiment with Bitcoin, the overwhelming majority of major central banks, those that collectively manage the bulk of global reserves, have either remained silent on Bitcoin or have issued cautious warnings, all while steadily increasing their physical gold holdings. This isn't to say that Bitcoin has no future role or value. It may well continue to evolve as a speculative asset, a niche store of value for some, or a technology platform for new financial applications. However, the idea that it is poised to usurp gold's position in the vaults of central banks appears premature, if not fundamentally misguided, given its current attributes.
In conclusion, the debate between Bitcoin and gold as the preferred store of value and reserve asset has a clear, if perhaps unexciting, winner in the eyes of the world's central banks. Faced with geopolitical instability, the specter of dollar devaluation, and the enduring need for reliable safe-haven assets, these institutions are doubling down on gold. Its long history, proven stability, tangibility, and lack of counterparty risk resonate deeply with their conservative mandates. Bitcoin's volatility, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexities, while potentially surmountable in the distant future, currently render it unsuitable for the core reserve holdings of nations. While U.S. investors and others may grapple with Bitcoin's risk-reward profile, central banks have largely made their choice, and that choice, for now and the foreseeable future, remains firmly with the ancient, trusted allure of gold.
Short term BITCOIN 4 hour Chart and possible moves
As I rite this, we see PA pushing up under a line of local resistance, and being rejected.
Support is not far below on the old ATH line ( blue Dash) and below that we have the rising trned line at around 107K
So we have support all around but we are heading in to the unknown with this Fib circle that is just ahead of us.
As yet, I do not know what to expect.
Previous 618 Fib circles have rejected PA to some degree and so I will expect at least a dip in Price.
But as the MACD is nicely cooled off and rising Bullish just above Neutral, we certainly have the ability to piush through
So, We enter the unknown today but with Bullish intent and the ability to cope but we do need Caution.
BITCOIN new week open Green - Will we get 8 weeks Green in a row
These are all WEEKLY chart
7 weeks in a row closed Green.
At Time of writing, Bitcoin is around 109800 usd
So Very Bullish and every possibility that this week will also close Green though we are getting near a point of resistance.
If we zoom into the same chart, we can see more detail
We are above the 2.618 Fib extension and we could return to the 103K zone to test this as support. We may need to do this as it has only ever been resistance previously.
We are also very close to a 618 Fib circle.( Blue )
We do not know if this is an area of strong resistance yet but PA is now in the area that we may react to it.
As a result of this Fib circle, we need to be prepared for the possibility of reentering that rising channel,
We may not do that ,The reasons being that PA still has enough strength.
The MACD - or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a technical analysis tool used in trading to identify momentum and trend direction.
The 2 vertical lines on the left are the 2021 ATH points, to give a comparison.
In this cycle we have had 2 previous peaks and then the cooling off period from OverBought.
The Cooling off were the periods were BTC PA ranged..
We are currently rising Bullish, with room to move higher but we should be aware that we are in the area that rejected the 2nd ATH in 2021. The daily is in a very similar position but getting choppy.
The RSI - Relative Strength Index, a technical indicator used to understand the momentum of a price trend . The RSI helps signal when to buy and sell in a trending market by identifying overbought or oversold conditions in a security.
Again, the Vertical lines on the left show you the 2021 ATH points as reference.
See how RSI peaks before BTC PA Peaks.
We have not been fully OverBought since March 2024. RSI is rising Bullish with Room to move higher, though, again, note how it is in an area were rejection has occurred previously.
The Mayer Multiple is a ratio used in trading that compares the current market price of an asset, such as Bitcoin, to its 200-day moving average (SMA) price.
This indicator is particularly useful for swing traders to find zones of extreme overbuys and
It is generally considered a bullish indicator when the price is above the long-term moving average ( Yellow ) and bearish when the price is below it, although significant deviations from the moving average can indicate overvaluation or undervaluation.
Again, take note of the vertical lines and were this Mayer Multiple was.
Again, the tendency is that when this Drops, BTC PA has Ranged to cool off and when it crosses above its Average, it leads to a High on the push higher.
And once again, remembering what has been said above, we need to wait to see if this crosses its average or get rejected by it.
But as you can see, the Average is more often used as support amd mpt resistance.
So, in conclusion, I remain Bullish but with a note of Caution till we get a push higher conformed.
We could see a pull back and , if that happens, this maybe the last sensible buying Zone for Bitcoin this time round. The Risk is increasing as more and more coins enter into good profit margins. People may get tempted to sell.
On a longer term , this month has confirmed a very bullish intent and we have one week to go before month end. I will expand on this on 2nd June
This week. we wait and see how Bitcoin will react.
Be Kind to others. The world Needs LOVE
BTC- New Impulse Soon You Can See read captionbitcoin (BTC) – Bullish Outlook
Price action breaking above key resistance, signaling potential trend continuation
Strong volume supports the move, confirming buyer strength
Higher highs and higher lows forming—classic bullish market structure
RSI and MACD both showing bullish divergence
Next target zone: TSXV:XX ,XXX – watch for consolidation or breakout
Overall sentiment shifting positive with macro tailwinds
₿ Bitcoin Weekly Chart – Is Wave 5 Now in Motion?Bitcoin has found strong support and looks to be powering higher again. Based on Elliott Wave structure, we may now be entering the final leg of this major impulsive wave sequence—Wave 5.
✅ Support Held at a Classic Level
Wave 4 recently pulled back to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of Wave 3—an area that often serves as key support in bullish Elliott Wave trends.
This bounce suggests buying interest remains strong at this level.
📈 Next Target: Wave 5 Projection
If the current structure holds, Wave 5 could aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci extension of Wave 1 + Wave 3, which points to a potential target around $132,669.
This level lines up with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, offering a confluence of resistance.
⚠️ One Caution: The Wave 3 Structure
While the count remains valid, Wave 3 lacks ideal symmetry, and may not exhibit the “right look” that Elliott Wave theory often prefers.
This introduces a slightly lower confidence level, but not enough to invalidate the primary bullish scenario.
🧠 For Beginners:
Elliott Waves are patterns of market behavior. A full trend typically moves in five waves, with Wave 5 often being the final push before a larger correction. Fibonacci levels help us project where waves may end based on the size of prior moves.
📌 Summary:
Wave 4 found strong support at 38.2%.
Wave 5 may now be in progress, targeting $132,669.
Keep an eye on price action near the top of the channel to gauge momentum and potential exhaustion.
If Bitcoin can maintain its trajectory, we may soon test the highs projected by this wave count.
73 days looks to be spot on73 Day Lag to the Global M2 Money Supply looks to be spot on for the last year. If it is, this is good news with the M2 still climbing.
If I am right, we will have a dip within 24 hours of May 28th, only to get another pump to the upside withing 24 hours of June 2nd.
(I tried inputting all this data to Grok in order for him to give me some price targets. They were close to where I think the price will be but using the M2 for price targets still needs some work.)