Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Bullish Breakout Towards $89khello guys!
In the 4-hour Bitcoin/USDT chart from Binance, a clear ascending trendline supports price movement, indicating a potential bullish structure. Here are the key observations:
Technical Analysis
1- Ascending Trendline Support
The price is respecting an ascending trendline, which has provided multiple touches and acted as a dynamic support level.
A bounce from this trendline around the $83,000-$83,500 range suggests strength in buyers.
2- QML (Quasimodo Level) Formation
A QML (Quasimodo Level) pattern is visible, which typically signals a strong reversal zone.
Price has already reacted to this level, indicating it could be a key turning point before further upside movement.
3- Major Support Zone
A larger support area is identified around the $76,900-$77,600 range that support the price before!
The upper boundary of the ascending channel and the psychological resistance at $89,621 serve as the next major target.
The price could test this level in the coming sessions, provided it maintains its bullish momentum.
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Conclusion
Bitcoin appears to be in an uptrend within a rising channel, with bullish momentum building. If the ascending trendline continues to hold, the next significant target would be around $89,000. However, a break below the QML zone could lead to a retest of lower support near $77,000. Traders should watch for confirmation of trend continuation before entering long positions.
Bitcoinprice
Bitcoin Following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE 2We can see from the chart above that PA has now fallen below the Fractal for the first time since July 2023
This is itself was expected as we can see from previous posts on this Idea
PA was overbought and so HAS to cool off
However, we have targets as to when PA may try and recover.
initially, the circle in End of May was my expected "turn around" point
Things have progressed faster and so now, we have possibilities opening up for a move higher, sooner, maybe around end of April 2925
However until the weekly MACD is on Neutral, these would be short lived - hopefully.
For a sustainable move higher, PA needs to have the ability to maintain the push
the Weekly MACD shown above needs till end of April before any significant move can be maintained. PA has bounced of Neutral previously. But MACD can , obviously, Drop below this point, wait till May, or later, and move then.
For me, the line of the arrow higher is becoming the more realistic ideal path
But the longer we wait, the Steeper the rise has to be to maintain the idea of Cycle ATH in Q4, as per cycle trends.
And to conitnue to follow this Fractal.
The Time WILL come were we break away from this Fractal but as I have been saying for years, we are still on it......many things point towards that continuing.
But as I have mentioned in a post earlier today, These Trends may be changing.
Bitcoin is Maturing
All we can do is watch, react and learn
HAVE A PLAN FOR ALL OUTCOMES but also understand, the idea of Bitcoin collapsing is becoming more and more unrealistic...
The outlook is BULLISH noi matter what
I expect to remain on the fractal path till Next cycle ATH
Time will tell
BTCUSD 2H | Breakout Flow + BOS Confirmation – CelestiaPipsBTC is slowly developing a breakout structure on the 2H timeframe .
Multiple bullish BOS points and a solid NY session demand base formed.
Price is currently retesting the breakout zone after sweeping short-term liquidity.
If price holds this zone, we could see continuation toward 88,900.
I’ve mapped out the entire flow – BOS, entry zone, and final target.
Watch how price reacts from this level.
— Shared by CelestiaPip
A New ( But small ) Bitcoin CME Gap has arrivedDue to price rise in Bitcoin over the weekend, we have just opened up a new Bitcoin CME Gap.
ALL previous Gaps are Filled.
CME GAPS ALWAYS GET FILLED
So, we may see PA return to fill this gap.
the only time Gaps do not get filled is when in a Major Bull Run
We are not in one yet.
These are excellent places to put buy orders.
JUST IN: Bitcoin Reclaims $88K, Eyes $100K Breakout!The Price of Bitcoin shocked sceptics surging nearly 4% today, reclaiming the FWB:88K pivot- now setting its coast for $100k breakout amidst a bullish symmetrical triangle Pattern.
On the daily time frame, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed 2 bullish candlesticks, should a third identical candlestick evolve, it will lead to a breakout of the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle formed- placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC in the $90,000 - $96,000 range. A break above this pivots would cement the the move to $100k and beyond.
Similarly, should the asset faced selling pressure into making it dip below the $81k range, a selling spree could emerged.
Bitcoin Price Live Data
The live Bitcoin price today is $88,452.78 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $29,835,452,540 USD. Bitcoin is up 3.95% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,755,025,651,822 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,841,384 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
BITCOIN HAS TO BREAK LONG TERM TREND by DEC - SQUEEZE APEX DECI have posted this before and I post it again now, just months away from a CRUCIAL point for Bitcoin PA
As with any time scale trading chart, An Apex is a point of reaction. PA usualy reacts BEFORE the Apex is met.
This Giant Apex is in DEC 2025
Every single ATH in the life span of Bitcoin has been rejected by the Arc of Resistance that is overhead.
We can also see how from the ATH in 2011, a trend line was formed that has acted as Support ever since 2012. PA has never dropped below this line.
So, as you can see, PA has been in a diminishing "Sandwich" and Now, we are coming to the Crunch
We can see how the ATH's have been a reducing % Rise ever since this point also.
And you will notice how this number on the chart reduces each time, even though the real value is increasing.
Low to ATH A ( ATH 2011) - 3,465,178%
Low to ATH B ( ATH 2013) - 49,670 %
Low to ATH C ( ATH 2017) - 9,865 %
Low to ATH D ( ATH 2021) - 2,148 %
E is not over yet but coing on current ATH we have
Low to ATH E ( ATH 2025) - 575 %
So, you see the reduction of % rise, held back all along by the ARC Of RESISTANCE
What is interesting, is that since PA has been in the chanel formed in 2011, when comapred to each other, we have been seeing a rise of 20% of the previous rise ( on average )
This closer chart shows you this in more detail
I will ignoew the A - B as thia is out of channel
C-B = 19.6 %
D-C = 21.77 %
Currently E-D = 26.7 %
As you can see, we are currently OVER that average % Rise.
And we are also heading into a tight APEX in Dec.
The expected 200K ATH this cycle will take us out of the pattern, out of the Apex and out of the 20 % average rise of previousl
This really is CRUNCH TIME for Bitcoin
The REALLY interesting thing is, What would be Next ?
This would break the Cycle routine.
We may already have broken that as described in previous charts of mine from years ago
But what IS Certain is that something HAS to happen.
This Cycle ATH will reveal a HUGE amount but we have yto Wait and see what will happen
Bitcoin <> Gold Correlation: Bullish for Bitcoin? I’ve been diving deep into the relationship between Bitcoin and Gold, and based on my analysis, I’m setting a price target of $100,000 to $105,000 for Bitcoin over the next couple of months.
Why?
The correlation coefficient between BITSTAMP:BTCUSD and TVC:GOLD is 0.84, which indicates a strong, beautiful correlation.
As you can observe in the chart, Bitcoin and gold price movements converge over time, building on the current correlation.
This leaves us with 2 options:
a) Gold price drops to meet the recent BTC decline
b) BTC rises to meet gold's recent surge 👀
c) BTC and gold meet in the middle
Given the long-term trend and the adoption of Bitcoin by US institutions and the government, I see option B as the most likely to happen. In this case, then, I see Bitcoin getting somewhere close to $105,000 over the next few months. This can mean a 25% uptick in BTC, totally within normal BTC price ranges.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's trading session demonstrated considerable volatility in Bitcoin's price action. The cryptocurrency made multiple attempts to attain our Interim Coin Rally 88400, yet it ultimately remained at the same level as the week commenced. The current analysis suggests that Bitcoin must reach our Mean Support of 82500 before initiating an upward progression aimed at the Interim Coin Rally of 88400 through the Mean Resistance of 87000. Furthermore, a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 78700 is essential before the emergence of a significant rally.
The Current State of Bitcoin on the CME Futures ChartAs we analyze the current state of Bitcoin on the CME Futures chart, it's clear that a mixture of market forces and investor sentiment is playing out in an intriguing way. Looking at the Commitment of Traders (COT) index, we can observe a distinct divergence in the positioning of different market participants: commercials, retail traders, and fund managers.
Commercials: Bearish but Accumulating Over-the-Counter
Commercials, who are typically large institutions and market makers, continue to hold a bearish stance on Bitcoin in the futures market. This suggests that they are still not convinced of Bitcoin’s long-term price sustainability, likely reflecting a cautious outlook amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty. However, what stands out is their behavior in the over-the-counter (OTC) market. Despite their bearish position in the futures market, these same entities are accumulating Bitcoin in the OTC market. This suggests that while they might be hedging against short-term volatility, they still recognize Bitcoin's potential value or see it as a long-term store of value, allowing them to position themselves for future upside.
Retail Traders: Fearful and Bearish
Retail traders, on the other hand, have a far more pessimistic view of Bitcoin at the moment. With a lot of fear circulating in the market, many smaller traders are hesitant and have adopted bearish positions. This fear is compounded by the volatility that has become characteristic of the cryptocurrency market, alongside the macroeconomic challenges in traditional markets. Retail traders’ bearishness is a sign of market uncertainty and can often present opportunities for those who can see past short-term price movements. It is also indicative of the emotional influence that sentiment, such as fear, can have on the broader market.
Fund Managers: Extremely Bullish
In stark contrast to both the commercials and retail traders, fund managers are incredibly bullish on Bitcoin. They see the cryptocurrency as a valuable asset, particularly in the context of diversification and inflation hedging. The strong bullish positioning of fund managers indicates that institutional interest in Bitcoin is growing. These larger investors, likely driven by long-term growth prospects and the increasing recognition of Bitcoin as digital gold, remain optimistic about its potential. Their strong positions also suggest a belief in the fundamental value of Bitcoin and its resilience in the face of market turbulence.
Conclusion: A Complex Market Sentiment
The current state of Bitcoin futures on the CME reveals a market characterized by stark contrasts. Commercials are hedging their bets with a bearish outlook in the futures market while accumulating Bitcoin over-the-counter. Retail traders are fearful and bearish, showing caution amid uncertain market conditions. Meanwhile, fund managers stand in stark contrast, displaying strong bullishness, likely driven by the long-term potential of Bitcoin. This divergence of sentiment suggests that the market is at a crossroads, with various players taking different approaches based on their time horizon, risk appetite, and views on Bitcoin's role in the financial system.
In the short term, volatility and fear could dominate, but the long-term bullish positioning of institutional players may point toward a stronger future for Bitcoin as the market matures.
Explanation Why Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is not Over YetHello, Skyrexians!
Time to update BINANCE:BTCUSDT huge analysis. Market became bigger and it needs more rime to form bull and bear stages. Now everyone is waiting for the bear market because it was every time, but this time it will be tricky for retailers.
Let's take a look at the 2 week time frame. If we apply our Fractal Trend Detector to this chart we can see that Bitcoin is still in the green zone and now is inside the huge support area. If it will be held we will see the following Elliott waves scenario where wave 3 will reach at least $144k. Awesome Oscillator also gives us a hint that it's still not over. The entire bull market will be finished only in the middle of 2026.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Global Tensions, Market Manipulation, and BTC Uncertainty The cryptocurrency market, a realm notorious for its volatility, is currently grappling with a confluence of factors that are forcing investors to reassess their strategies. Global trade tensions, macroeconomic uncertainties, and the intricate dance of market manipulation are all contributing to a complex and unpredictable landscape. Specifically, Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, is experiencing a period of intense scrutiny, with analysts offering a range of perspectives on its potential future.
A recurring theme in recent analyses is the notion of "whale manipulation." Reports suggest that large holders, or "whales," are engaging in strategic trades on exchanges like Binance to influence Bitcoin's price. This "liquidity massaging" is seen as a deliberate attempt to create artificial price ceilings, with some analysts predicting that Bitcoin's upward momentum could be capped below $90,000, and more conservatively, $87.5K. Such manipulations introduce uncertainty, making it difficult to discern genuine market sentiment from artificially inflated or deflated prices.
Adding to the complexity is the debate surrounding retail investor participation. Contrary to the prevailing narrative of retail investors being absent, some crypto executives argue that they are already actively involved. This perspective challenges the notion that a surge in retail interest is needed to propel Bitcoin to new heights. If retail participation is already significant, the anticipated catalyst for a bull run may have already materialized, leaving investors to wonder what new catalyst is needed for further price appreciation.
Data from Bitcoin's Realized Cap and UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) analysis is also signaling a "major shift." These metrics, which offer insights into the actual value stored within the Bitcoin network and the movement of coins, are crucial for understanding the underlying health of the market. Changes in these indicators can foreshadow significant price movements and shifts in investor behavior. Traders are closely monitoring these metrics for clues about Bitcoin's future direction.
However, despite recent attempts to pare losses, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain a consistent uptrend. This instability has led some traders to adopt a bearish stance, with predictions of a potential drop to as low as $65,000. These bearish sentiments are fueled by the inability of Bitcoin to decisively break through resistance levels and the persistent volatility that characterizes the current market.
Conversely, some analysts are finding bullish signals by examining indicators that also correlate with the Nasdaq. The correlation between traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency space has become increasingly evident, and analyzing these relationships can provide valuable insights. If the Nasdaq shows signs of strength, it could potentially buoy Bitcoin's price. However, this correlation is not always consistent, and the inherent volatility of both markets can lead to unpredictable outcomes.
The performance of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs is another critical factor influencing market dynamics. The collapse of the "cash-and-carry" trade, a popular arbitrage strategy, has had significant implications for investors. The stagnation of inflows into these ETFs, compared to the initial surge earlier in 2024, has raised concerns about the sustainability of institutional interest. While there have been recent reports of net inflows returning, questions remain if this is a temporary blip, or a sustained uptrend. This fluctuation in ETF inflow signals a wavering confidence from institutional players.
The combination of these factors creates a challenging environment for investors. Global trade tensions, which can disrupt economic stability and investor sentiment, add another layer of uncertainty. Fluctuations in traditional markets, geopolitical events, and regulatory developments can all have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market.
In this tumultuous landscape, investors are advised to exercise caution and adopt a diversified approach. Relying solely on technical analysis or market sentiment can be risky. Instead, a comprehensive strategy that incorporates fundamental analysis, risk management, and a deep understanding of market dynamics is essential.
The current situation highlights the inherent volatility and complexity of the cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin remains a dominant force, its future trajectory is far from certain. The interplay of whale manipulation, retail participation, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors creates a dynamic and unpredictable environment. Investors must remain vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and prioritize risk management to navigate this challenging terrain successfully.
BTC Showdown: Smash 84,700 for a Rocket Ride to 93KMorning, trading peeps! BTC’s at a crossroads – if we punch through 84,700, we’re looking at a sweet climb to 88K or even 93K. But if we slip below 83,500 and close there, brace yourselves for a dip to 76,300 or lower. Let’s see where this ride takes us today!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Bitcoin April 2025 Forecast - Bullish Continuation, or Bearish?Here is a simple visualization of the decision time coming up for BTC, where trendline support meets trendline resistance, with decision time around the middle of May. Break to the upside would target $150K, with a break to the downside sending us into $40K panic selling levels. I am leaning more towards the bullish continuation scenario, but we will have to wait and see.
GL, hit thumbs up.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Yesterday’s scenario remains validBitcoin eventually tested the local buyer zone at $84,800–$83,500 (pushing volumes). Throughout the day, price has been consolidating within this range with reduced volatility. Meanwhile, the cumulative delta continues to break its lows, indicating an imbalance and absorption of market sell orders.
The primary scenario suggests a continuation of the upward movement toward $90,000–$93,000. This scenario will be invalidated if price secures a foothold below the current buyer zone, in which case a full retest of last week’s low is likely.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$84,800–$83,500 (pushing volumes)
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Bitcoin, interest rate effects, Macro events since 2021 - UPDATEThere is one very simple takeaway for me from this chart and that is simply that raises and Lowering of interest rates had Very little Effect on Bitcoin
It is more the effect it had on other organisations and the sentiment that followed Bitcoin and the traders.
For instance, From Jan 2023, when we saw Bitcoin begin its recovery, interest rates continued to rise.....and had NO effect on the Bitcoin recovery
And I think this continues to this day.
After the First push higher by Bitcoin in 2023, PA went into a Long range...in this time, interest rates began remaining at a static level. Bitcoin did not rise because of this.
When BTC was ready, it made a push higher again, interest rates were static and remained so while BTC entered another long range in 2024
It could be said that BTC PA rose once Rates were reduced but PA leveled out again even while the next rates decision was to reduce.
Bitcoin has its own agenda, it is NOT dependant on the USA to control its choices
On Each range, the MACD on the weekly timef rames was OVERBOUGHT.
And it is currently resetting having been overbought again.
This s NOTHING to do with interest rates.
MACRO events do have an impact though and we need to pay attention this this
But over all, Bitcoin is GOOD, BULLISH and getting ready for its next push
Have a Nice day now
(BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern - Critical Breakout Setup🔍 Market Overview & Technical Breakdown
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently forming a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, which is a bearish signal indicating a potential reversal. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, but the narrowing wedge suggests that buying momentum is weakening.
BTC has been battling a major resistance zone around $85,000 - $87,500, struggling to break higher. If Bitcoin fails to hold above the key support level at $80,000, we could see a strong downside move. However, if BTC breaks the upper resistance, the bearish setup may be invalidated, opening the door for a push toward $95,000+.
📉 Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish Formation)
A rising wedge occurs when the price moves upward within two converging trendlines, making higher highs and higher lows but with a weakening bullish momentum. This pattern often breaks downward, leading to a sharp sell-off.
Characteristics of This Wedge Formation:
✅ Upward Sloping Support & Resistance Lines: BTC is trending higher, but the slope is narrowing, showing a loss of bullish strength.
✅ Decreasing Volume: Volume is declining as price moves higher, indicating buyers are losing control.
✅ Bearish Breakout Probability: Rising wedges typically break down 75% of the time, suggesting a high likelihood of a drop below support.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Zones (Potential Breakout Levels)
1️⃣ $85,000 - $87,500 → Strong resistance; BTC has repeatedly failed to break above.
2️⃣ $90,000+ → A confirmed breakout would invalidate the wedge and shift the trend bullish.
3️⃣ $107,000 Target → If BTC breaks above resistance, we could see a move toward the psychological $100,000 - $107,000 level.
🔻 Support Levels (Bearish Breakdown Zones)
1️⃣ $80,000 - $82,000 → Key support within the wedge; a breakdown confirms the bearish move.
2️⃣ $75,000 → Strong historical demand zone; BTC could bounce here if it drops.
3️⃣ $70,000 and Below → Ultimate bearish target if selling pressure accelerates.
📈 Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Rising Wedge Breakdown)
🔴 Entry: Below $80,000 (confirmed breakdown).
📉 Stop-Loss: Above $83,500 (to avoid fakeouts).
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $78,000
TP2: $75,000
TP3: $70,000
🔹 Confirmation: Look for increased selling volume and a retest of $80,000 as resistance after breakdown.
🚀 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance)
✅ Entry: Above $87,500, confirming bullish momentum.
📉 Stop-Loss: Below $85,000 (to minimize risk).
🎯 Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $90,000
TP2: $95,000
TP3: $107,000
🔹 Confirmation: BTC must break the wedge’s upper boundary with strong volume for bullish continuation.
📊 Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment
🔵 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently near 60 – Showing bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
A move above 70 could signal an overbought market and potential reversal.
🔴 Volume Profile
Volume is decreasing as BTC rises, suggesting a possible exhaustion of buying power.
A breakout should be accompanied by strong volume to confirm bullish strength.
🟢 Moving Averages (EMA & SMA)
BTC is trading above key EMAs (50 & 200), supporting the bullish case.
A breakdown below the 50 EMA could accelerate selling pressure.
📢 Final Thoughts: High-Risk, High-Reward Setup
🚨 BTC is at a critical decision point! The rising wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal, but confirmation is needed. If BTC breaks below $80K, expect a strong sell-off. However, if bulls manage to break above resistance, BTC could rally toward $100K+.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
✅ Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
✅ Use stop-losses to protect your capital.
✅ Monitor volume & key levels for stronger trade signals.
🔥 What’s your take on this setup? Will BTC break down or push higher? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇