Bitcoin - preparing for a Mega bullish waveThe weekly chart is bullish for Bitcoin.
It shows a hidden bullish divergence on RSI, indicating that the price trend is likely to continue upward.
Additionally, the chart highlights a double bottom pattern on HTF.
Bitcoin maintaining support at 0.786 Fibonacci will give it the momentum needed to create a new high.
A new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin is expected in the coming weeks.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoinprice
Panic Selling Shakes the Market, Altseason Not Started Yet Hello,
Altseason has been delayed due to market manipulation and panic selling by retail investors. Many traders capitulated as fear took over, leading to cascading liquidations and further price drops. Whales took advantage of weak hands, triggering stop losses and accumulating at discounted prices. FUD-driven sentiment and regulatory concerns added to the sell-off, causing a temporary shift in market confidence. However, on-chain data suggests strong accumulation, and BTC dominance is peaking—both signs of an upcoming altseason. With liquidity returning and sentiment improving, altcoins are likely to see explosive moves soon.
Pi The Hottest Crypto on the Block! Future Price SpeculationPi is a cryptocurrency that has taken the crypto markets by shock. It has been getting slammed by calling it a scam or even a Ponzi scheme. From my research I couldn’t find where this speculation came from, since it doesn’t ask for money, yet it might take some user data to fund the server of the app through its ad feature that could be turned off for two weeks.
Speculation of a double digit, triple digit, or even the famous 300k per a pi is unrealistic at this current time or is it? Well, double digit is most likely, but it’s very slim unless I don’t see the full picture. To hit $50-$60 with current supply and not fully diluted supply, would make Pi worth more than Ethereum which is unlikely unless Pi is bigger in Africa and Asia than we expect. Pi is an XLM fork which is a fork of XRP. The max supply of Pi would be closer to XRP, but how it functions is closer to XLM. It uses an XLM protocol of trust and security mining. When you hit mine, it sends it to a node to verify that press and transaction. A lot of transactions on the network also go through the super nodes, yet those are few since Pi is also a centralized coin.
How centralized is it? Well, to move your Pi from your mining to your wallet you must perform a KYC. This helps bots, but also it creates an environment where if any criminal activity is found it can ban your wallet. Also, the process to become a super node, the Pi core team has approved you.
Trading this coin?
At the current price of Pi, I’ve given it a trading range of 0.63399-0.74111. It’s super early, but a mining rate for me of 0.08 with running a node and having 1 person it says I make about 3cents usd every hour. There isn’t a lot of new Pi coming into the market, besides the initial dump. There’s one problem now that could hult upward movement and that’s the US and UK have no exchanges that accept deposits or withdrawals. That’s a lot of Pi that can’t be sold or traded. A US and UK exchange to allow this could bring the price down to a new low of 0.50 or 0.40. At the moment in the US you can buy on HiBT and PionexUS, but can't deposit or withdraw.
Final thoughts?
-Pi has been slammed for years and now its out and hasn’t rugged, proves this project might be here to stay.
-Pi’s value is unknown without further knowledge of how widely used it is in places like Africa and Asia. Social media videos show its thriving and its followers on social media surpass top cryptocurrencies social media follower counts. There hasn’t been a big name backing this project yet. It is posted on Sandford as a sponsor, but that's where the founders went to school.
-Price range is 0.63399-0.74111 with 0.5-0.4 could come if US and UK sellers come in. I personally expected it to 0.20 for me with me mining a $0.01 an hour.
-There could be a moon rocket due to the amount of Pi that isn’t available to trade and not enough new Pi that is coming in the market.
Overall I’m bullish and with my Pi I mine, 3700+, I bought 1000+ more on Pi due to the supply shortage that could happen.
$175,000 Bitcoin by SummerLooking at the parabola pattern for Bitcoin, it has played out perfectly this cycle. I'm expecting one final push on BTC's price before a plateau. Since the average price appreciation after RSI trend line breakouts are ~70%, I think anywhere between a $175,000 - $180,000 Bitcoin can happen relatively soon!
Bitcoin's Next Move, Solana Dumps From Memes & Unlocks, and MoreIn this video I cover Bitcoin's likely next move and why I sold my Bitcoin at $106k, plus where I think it bottoms and WHEN based on the next likely daily and weekly cycle low Feb 28th.
Also price targets on Bitcoin, how and when it could get to $150k, why it dumps after that and after a summer correction, could rocket to $200k (examining the 11 factors to propel this).
And we look at the longer term time frame for Bitcoin on the Monthly and 2 Month chart, where the RSI, Stoch/RSI, and MACD are showing early signs of topping out (but not likely there yet).
I also revisit the USDT.D study I've been posting about, which is still very much a near-term concern, but plays nicely into the boom / bust timeline I've outlined above.
Plus, a quick reviw of my 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT study, and how the 'Gaps' have been acting as magnets for price, much like the CME gaps, which typically fill.
Lastly, we look at some Atlcoins poised for 10x, 30x, even 250x rebounds and long-term targets.
So this is an action-packed video! Hope you enjoy!
Leave a like and comment, and check out my bio for more tools and resources :)
Bitcoin’s Path to $100K Faces a Major Threat—Here’s WhyBitcoin’s recent rally has brought it tantalizingly close to $100,000, but a growing on-chain trend suggests that breaking this key level won’t be easy. Exchange reserves are rising, signaling that more BTC is being deposited into trading platforms—typically a sign that selling pressure is mounting.
📊 The Numbers Don’t Lie
Since February 6, BTC’s exchange reserves have increased by 1%, reaching 2.47 million BTC, according to CryptoQuant. Historically, when more Bitcoin flows into exchanges, it signals that holders are preparing to sell, which can cap price growth.
This trend has played out over the past 15 days, with BTC struggling to move beyond $98,663 resistance, while holding support at $95,650.
Whale Activity Plummets – A Warning Sign?
Adding to the concern, large BTC holders’ netflow has dropped 299% in the past week. When whales move BTC onto exchanges, it suggests institutional investors are taking profits, which can trigger a chain reaction of selling.
Key Levels to Watch
🔽 Bearish Scenario: If selling pressure intensifies, BTC could test $95,650 support. A break below this could send it toward $92,325.
🔼 Bullish Scenario: If demand rebounds, BTC must clear $98,663 before attempting to break $102,753. A successful move beyond this could target $109,356, last reached on January 20.
With exchange reserves rising and whale activity declining, BTC’s path to $100K remains uncertain. Will demand return, or are we heading for another pullback?
BTC Base CaseBase Case:
If BTC maintains current levels, we see a repeat of the 2021 cycle top, following a Wyckoff distribution pattern. In this scenario, we estimate that we are about halfway through the topping process, historically signaling a major altcoin rotation. Similar past setups saw ETH appreciate 2-3x, while other large and small caps rallied 2-4x. This has been our thesis since early 2024, and we see no reason to deviate from it at the current moment.
Wycoff Re-accumulation or DistributionWe've been ranging for past 4 months, since Nov 2024. Are we in a Wycoff re-accumulation or distribution? If we are in re-accumulation, we could break above creek without taking out the lows. There is another scenario where we take out the lows at 89k, grab liquidity and form a spring. We want to see daily candles closing above the last lower highs of the creek formation.
The other side of the coin is we are in a distribution event, we're going to pay very close attention the next time we head toward the top of the range, we want to see volume coming in and a break of all time high, if we get a rejection and begin closing below again, the probability of a distribution event increases. If we close any high time frame candles below the range low of 85k the probability increases that we fill the inefficiency at the 70k range.
Bitcoin close to another major bull moveThe daily Ichimoku chart for Bitcoin doesn't look pretty - but it's not awful either.
Resilience is the trait I attribute to Bitcoin here. Even Ethereum, when faced with the same current conditions with the Ichimoku system, failed to hold up and instead toppled.
If the structure remains the same, I anticipate another big push higher when both of these two events occur:
1. The Composite Index closes above both moving averages.
2. The DPO closes above the zero line.
This Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is Unstoppable!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last 2 months BINANCE:BTCUSDT is struggling to continue growing and as we can see most of traders now are sure that bear market has been started already, but this time can be really different and this rally can lasts much longer than usual.
On the weekly time frame we can see that Fractal Trend Detector shows the strong bullish phase. Price was not able even to break the green support zone on the indicator. We suppose that the wave from $15k to FWB:73K was just the wave 1 inside global wave 3. After that price retraced almost to 0.5 Fibonacci level and now this is wave 3 in global wave 3. This wave has a target zone between $140k and $200k. Currently price is finishing subwave 2 in wave 3. It looks like a flat correction. So, the target is not so deep, at 0.38 Fibonacci at $86k. From there we expect the huge rally inside the most impulsive wave C.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Probabilistic thinking. Using Technical logic to get odds.Markets are simple if you think about it.
moderate and long range resistance -- is the best odds for rally.
"horizontal" or 50-50 supports -- risky.
steep supports mean high demand, strong trends. Buying at such supports, at worst it bounces to the upside. (High market with strong trend can mean reversals)
rule: break outs always must coincide with 200dma rallies.
Bonus.
High market, strong trend -- best odds for reversal .
50-50 resistance, with weak support --> trickster market. (trap)
strong trend but no flying 200dma --> trap.
50-50 resistance with strong trend, high market, but weak 200dma ---> good odds for reversal.
keeping it simple.
P.S. this method shows why odds favor BTC reversal . Or why 110/120k had to be peak point. for now.
Bitcoin Price Update. Pending accumulation.The final phase of the bull run needs time for more significant accumulation. From current levels, I don’t expect decisive moves to new all-time highs.
High probability of a short-term bounce from 92,100. New all-time highs and the start of Bitcoin’s next major trend are more likely after a pullback to the Fib 0.5 zone.
How do i get access to chat? Here's a chart for SOLUSDTrying to get chat access. Here's a chart to show buying opportunity that I see for weekly SOLUSD chart. We're currently entering a long term support channel for SOLUSD, about 120-160. imo, it's a good channel to buy if you are bullish this year.
Bitcoin Price Update: Market Consolidation ContinuesBitcoin Trading in a Defined Range
For the past 90 days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a high time-frame (HTF) range of $108,000 to $90,000. Despite ongoing speculation about whether this phase represents distribution or re-accumulation, a decisive breakout in either direction is imminent.
Current Price Action and Market Structure
At present, Bitcoin is trading around the Point of Control (POC) within this range, experiencing a tight daily fluctuation of 3-4% over the last few days. This low volatility phase suggests that a major move is on the horizon.
Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment
Bitcoin’s price is currently positioned below the 55-day Exponential Moving Average (55EMA)(Blue) and above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (100EMA)(Red). While EMAs in this consolidation phase do not provide clear directional cues, they indicate that the bullish market structure remains intact as long as Bitcoin holds the $90,000 support level.
Potential Breakout and Expected Price Movement
Historically, when Bitcoin gets squeezed between key moving averages, a significant breakout follows. Given the current setup, a $4,000 to $5,000 price swing can be expected, depending on which side breaks first.
Final Thoughts
As Bitcoin hovers within this range, the market anticipates a high-volatility move. Whether Bitcoin will push toward a new all-time high or dip into deeper correction territory depends on upcoming macroeconomic trends and market sentiment. Stay tuned for real-time Bitcoin price analysis to navigate the next big move effectively.
Momentum Loss on $BTCOn the Daily chart, Bitcoin struggle to surpass $110,000 after its many attempts on a 2 month period. It seems like CRYPTOCAP:BTC is cooling down and retest the 200 Ema line (Blue line), since the 50 Ema line (Red Line) its a strong resistance level. Bitcoin was rejected 6 times recently.
BTC Halving | Halving Mapping | Bull Run | Bitcoin Analysis
Timeframe: 1 Week (Halving Mapping)
This article focuses on three key aspects of Bitcoin’s halving, based on historical research:
Bull Market Moves
Bear Market Moves
Pre-Halving Moves
As you can see in the chart above, the previous halving events have been mapped out, providing a clear picture of Bitcoin’s price behavior. Historically, after each halving, Bitcoin enters a bull market, followed by a bear market. Additionally, I’ve observed and mapped a unique pattern that isn’t widely discussed: a pre-halving upward move that occurs before the halving event. This pre-halving move often provides significant returns, especially after a bear market phase.
For investors and long-term holders, this presents an opportunity to divide investments into two parts:
Pre-Halving Move: Capitalize on the upward momentum before the halving.
Post-Halving Bull Run: Benefit from the sustained bull market after the halving.
These strategies don’t require extensive technical analysis. A deep dive into historical data makes the patterns clear. Historically, after an uptrend, Bitcoin experiences a downtrend lasting between 1.5 to 2 years. Keeping these patterns in mind can help you craft effective investment strategies.
Current Market Bull Run Update
A common question among traders and investors is: Has the bull run ended? Is this the last exit point for Bitcoin?
Based on my research, the bull run is not over yet. While we may see a downward move in the near term, this is likely to be a manipulation phase, creating FOMO (fear of missing out) among traders who might believe the bull run has ended. However, Bitcoin is expected to make one final upward move, reaching a new all-time high. This final phase is likely to occur in the latter part of this year, with 2025 being entirely dominated by the bull run.
Looking at the 2020 halving chart, you can see a clear "M" shape pattern. At that time, the market experienced a similar phase where the "M" shape completed, and Bitcoin retraced significantly, creating FOMO. However, it eventually surged to a new all-time high in the final phase. Currently, I believe we are witnessing the formation of a similar "M" shape. Bitcoin is in the process of completing the first half of the "M," which could lead to a downward move. However, this is not a cause for panic. After this retracement, Bitcoin is expected to complete the "M" shape and reach a new all-time high later this year.
On-Chain Analysis Insights
From an on-chain perspective, it’s evident that major investors have not fully exited their positions. There’s a general sentiment among large holders to create FOMO, allowing them to buy back at lower prices. This aligns with my research, suggesting that the current market dynamics are part of a larger strategy.
Additionally, the recent delay in the bull run can be attributed to the rise of meme coins. These coins have created a frenzy, with politicians and influencers jumping on the bandwagon to launch their own meme coins. This has diverted attention and capital from Bitcoin, causing a slight delay in its upward momentum. However, once the meme coin hype subsides, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trajectory.
Summary
Halving Mapping: Three key phases were discussed – the bull run, bear market, and pre-halving upward move.
Current Chart Structure: Bitcoin is forming a half "M" shape, which may lead to a downward move before completing the pattern and reaching a new all-time high later this year.
2025 Outlook: The entire year of 2025 is expected to be dominated by the bull run.
Note
My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!