Comparing Gold and Bitcoin: Which is the Superior Hard Money?As economic uncertainty, inflation, and geopolitical tensions continue to rise, investors are increasingly turning to alternative assets like gold and Bitcoin as hedges against potential market downturns. Both assets have seen significant price increases in recent years, sparking a heated debate over which one truly qualifies as the superior "hard money."
Gold: The Timeless Haven
Gold has been revered as a store of value for centuries. Its appeal lies in its physical nature, scarcity, and historical track record as a reliable hedge against inflation. When economic conditions deteriorate, investors often flock to gold as a haven.
• Pros of Gold:
o Tangible Asset: Gold is a physical asset, offers a sense of security and control.
o Historical Performance: Gold has consistently proven its worth as an inflation hedge over the long term.
o Diversification: Adding gold to a portfolio can reduce overall risk.
o Global Acceptance: Gold is recognized worldwide as a valuable commodity.
• Cons of Gold:
o Storage Costs: Storing physical gold can be expensive and inconvenient.
o Liquidity Concerns: While gold is generally liquid, large-scale sales may impact its price.
o Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn't generate income like stocks or bonds.
Bitcoin: The Digital Gold
Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, has emerged as a disruptive force in the financial world. Its proponents argue that it offers superior qualities as a hard money due to its limited supply, cryptographic security, and potential for future growth.
• Pros of Bitcoin:
o Digital Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, ensuring its scarcity.
o Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, making it resistant to censorship and manipulation.
o Global Accessibility: Bitcoin can be accessed and traded by anyone with an internet connection.
o Potential for High Returns: Bitcoin's price volatility offers opportunities for significant gains.
• Cons of Bitcoin:
o Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price can fluctuate dramatically, making it a risky investment.
o Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate cryptocurrencies.
o Technical Complexity: Understanding and using Bitcoin can be challenging for some.
o Environmental Concerns: Bitcoin mining consumes significant amounts of energy.
The Hard Money Debate: Gold vs. Bitcoin
The debate over which asset is superior as a hard money often boils down to individual preferences and risk tolerance.
Gold proponents emphasize its tangible nature, historical track record, and global acceptance. They argue that gold's value is rooted in its physical properties and its role as a traditional safe haven.
Bitcoin advocates highlight its digital scarcity, decentralization, and potential for disruption. They believe that Bitcoin's unique characteristics make it a more suitable store of value in the digital age.
Ultimately, the choice between gold and Bitcoin depends on various factors, including:
• Risk Tolerance: Investors with a higher risk tolerance may be more inclined to invest in Bitcoin, while those seeking a more conservative approach may prefer gold.
• Investment Horizon: Long-term investors may benefit from both assets, as they have the potential to appreciate over time.
• Diversification: Both gold and Bitcoin can serve as diversifiers in a portfolio, reducing overall risk.
A Balanced Approach
Rather than choosing one over the other, some investors opt for a balanced approach by allocating a portion of their portfolio to both gold and Bitcoin. This strategy can help mitigate the risks associated with either asset and potentially generate higher returns over the long term.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the debate over gold and Bitcoin is likely to intensify. Investors must carefully consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and long-term outlook before making investment decisions.
Bitcoinprice
BTC Price holding above 50 sma on the hourlyBitcoin price has currently broke above resistance in a recent bullish impulse. The 71,300 has been flipped from resistance to support. This support test also coincided with a 50 sma test and the 1.382 fib extension. All three held strong. Price action is possibly going to test the support again at time of publishing. this is a good area for a long trade. Buy inside the rectangle and hold rips.
Not financial advice.
Do your own DD.
Bitcoin Breaking Higher Highs: What to Watch for NextBitcoin is currently breaking above a recent higher high, signaling potential for continued upward momentum. If it successfully surpasses this level with strong volume, it could indicate that buyers are in control and ready to push prices higher. However, it’s essential to wait for confirmation—this means letting Bitcoin close above the high to avoid a potential false breakout. By waiting for a clean break, traders can enter with more confidence, aligning with the trend and reducing risk. If this higher high holds, it may serve as new support, creating a solid foundation for the next move upward.
BTC POSSIBLE ROUTE TOWARDS DECEMBER !!Sorry for the mess, what you're interested in is the purple arrow here.
We might be looking at a correction before it reaches a new top again, something like 75K in beginning December ;
Even though a lot of traders tend to think now's the time to get in for the 100K rally, we think this is more a zigzag/scalping opportunity and not a long term yet.
BTC Potential Plan !BTC / USDT
Summary :
BTC finally made its first HH and HL after 6 months being in bearish pattern
What next ?
Correction started and i still think we will get strong bullish wave but first we have high chance to take liquidity at 59.2k or even 57k because there are much liquidity there and also won’t invalidate our pattern (HH and HL)
After that a full bullish wave is expected to 73k as first target
Invalidation of bullish plan : lose 52k daily
Do u agree ?
Let me know in comments section below 👇
Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Derivatives Markets Signal The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin, is experiencing a surge in bullish sentiment, driven largely by trends in the derivatives market. Analysts and traders are increasingly optimistic about Bitcoin's potential to reach and even exceed the $80,000 mark before the end of 2024.
The Role of Derivatives Markets
Derivatives markets, which allow investors to speculate on the future price of assets, have been a key indicator of market sentiment. In the case of Bitcoin, derivatives like options and futures contracts provide valuable insights into the expectations of professional traders and institutional investors.
Recent trends in the Bitcoin derivatives market suggest a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. The open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts, which represents the total number of outstanding contracts, has been steadily rising, indicating growing interest from market participants. Additionally, the implied volatility of Bitcoin options, a measure of market uncertainty, has been elevated, suggesting increased expectations for price swings.
The Trump Factor: A Potential Catalyst
A significant catalyst for Bitcoin's bullish run could be the potential election of Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Trump's pro-business stance and his previous support for cryptocurrencies have led many to believe that a Trump presidency could be positive for the crypto market.
If Trump were to win the election, it could lead to increased regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies in the U.S., which could attract more institutional investors to the market. Additionally, Trump's policies could stimulate economic growth, which could indirectly benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart also supports the bullish outlook. The cryptocurrency has been forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic bullish pattern known as a bullish uptrend. The recent breakout above the $72,000 resistance level has further strengthened the bullish case.
Many analysts are now setting their sights on the $80,000 level, and some are even predicting a six-figure price target for Bitcoin in 2025. If Bitcoin can maintain its current momentum and break above the $80,000 level, it could trigger a significant price rally.
Potential Risks and Challenges
While the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is strong, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the cryptocurrency's price. These include:
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulatory policies could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market.
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and sudden price swings can occur.
• Economic Downturn: A global economic downturn could lead to a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
Conclusion
The convergence of bullish factors, including the positive sentiment in the derivatives market and the potential impact of a Trump presidency, has created a strong foundation for Bitcoin's continued upward trajectory. While challenges and risks remain, the potential for Bitcoin to reach and exceed the $80,000 mark in 2024 appears increasingly likely.
Investors should conduct thorough research and consider their risk tolerance before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout: Uptrend ResumesThe big bitcoin bull flag pattern, which began in March 2024, has officially come to an end yesterday with the break of the $70,000 level. This development suggests that the market has resumed its uptrend, which can be traced back to January 2023 or even as far as 2009.
With the market currently hovering around all-time highs and the bull flag pattern having been completed, we can expect increased volatility on the upside, potentially leading to a breakout of all-time highs.
However, it is essential to remain cautious and prepared for potential downturns.
Key support levels to watch include:
• 67k-68k, which remains an active support area
• $62,000, a major support level
• $43,000, the whales support, although a decline to this level is considered unlikely
We'll be dialing back the frequency of our updates, focusing on major market developments and occasional insights from other spaces; take care!
Bitcoin cyclical top projection: $180,000+With this potential breakout and continuation, the next major TA task is trying to predict the "top" in Bitcoin
I am looking for an extended wave 5 with a target of 1.618 of waves 1 + 3
Peak right at the 12-year cycle crest - cycle began in 2018, not in 2022 as most people think
The $100,000 Bitcoin Chase: Can You Catch It?Hello traders,
It's been a while since BTC reach all time high $73000 spot. As you traders notice that price started making all those LH, HH and even LL making the market in a state of uncertainty.
In fact, the BTC market is accumulating a very strong momentum making ready to skyrocket at time especialy at this time when Gold is making superbe HH.
I am seeing Bitcoing nothing but going forward the golden spot $100000!
Keep a close eye on the market and never miss the great opportunity when it comes.
Good luck!
The 30mn time frame is offering potential winning trades BTCHello traders,
Since BTC reached the 71580 level which was a weekly major level, price started consolidating and being rejected showing a high probability of a pullback towards the 1H 70927 level. If this is the case and price breaks the 70927, wait for a retest and then go short toward the next 1H level of 70297 and then do the same thing if price breaks it downward.
The other senario is that if price bounces back from 70927 and can't break it, we might see a rejection from area toward the weekly level 71580. If price breaks that level, wait for a pullback and then go long and look for the next weekly level 73907.
Good luck
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - 4H Timeframe - Massive Target Achieved!The Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) 4-hour chart reveals a successful long trade setup, with all pre-determined targets reached. Here's a breakdown of the key technical elements that guided this trade:
Entry Point: Positioned at $61,732.3, the trade setup aimed to capitalize on a bullish momentum, as indicated by strong support above the Risological dotted trend line.
Stop Loss: Strategically set at $60,316.2 to limit downside exposure while providing room for price fluctuation.
Target Points:
TP1: $63,482.7
TP2: $66,315.0
TP3: $69,147.4
TP4: $70,897.7 (final target successfully hit, confirming strong upward momentum
)
Volume Analysis: The trading volume stands at 56.92K, with an average of 120.91K over the past 30 days, indicating a slightly below-average activity level, yet sufficient to support the trend.
Bitcoin's successful breach through each target highlights robust bullish sentiment. Monitoring future price action will be crucial to gauge the sustainability of this trend, especially considering potential resistance levels post-TP4.
BTC moved accordinally to hit target at $71580Hello traders,
According to what i said yesterday, BTC brike a very strong resistance level which was a weekly level at 69566 and and made pullback then moved directly to hit target. With this bullish momentum being held, Bitcoin may skyrocket and reach the $100000 level by the end of the year.
Bitcoin Analysis: Triangle Breakout with Bullish Potentialhello guys.
Pattern Breakout: Bitcoin appears to be breaking out of a triangle formation, a bullish signal that often suggests potential for upward momentum.
Flip Area: The support zone marked as the "flip area" around $67,200 acts as a strong support level.
Potential Scenarios:
Immediate Breakout: If Bitcoin holds above the triangle, it could make a direct move towards the upper target range around $71,000.
Retest and Bounce: There is also a possibility of a slight retracement, potentially down to the $67,200–$68,000 range, before bouncing and resuming the uptrend.
Resistance Target: The primary resistance level to watch is around $71,000, which aligns with a previously established high. Breaking above this could lead to further bullish momentum.
Outlook: The setup looks favorable for a bullish move, especially if Bitcoin maintains momentum above the triangle and key support levels.
BITCOIN TODAY - STILL THE KING OF THE CEREMONY (TA+TRADE PLAN)Price Levels and Resistance Zones:
The chart shows several key resistance and support levels marked by blue horizontal lines.
Major Resistance Levels:
$73,654.77
$71,552.73
$69,730.95
Support Levels:
$65,947.27
$60,061.54
$52,774.45
Bitcoin is currently trending upward, with price action near $70,734.95, approaching the resistance zone at $71,552.73.
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The VMC Cipher B indicator shows bullish momentum with green dots, signaling possible upward continuation.
The RSI and Stochastic lines are also above mid-levels, suggesting continued bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI (14, close) is at 77.25, indicating overbought conditions. This could mean a possible retracement or consolidation in the short term. However, a strong uptrend may continue if Bitcoin maintains support levels above 70.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic (14, 1, 3) is also at a high level, around 86.19, indicating overbought conditions. This aligns with the RSI and could signal a need for caution on long positions until the oscillator moves back to a neutral or oversold region.
HMA+ Histogram:
The histogram indicates some bullish divergence, but recent bars are turning red, signaling a potential pullback or pause in momentum. Monitoring this for further bearish signs is essential, especially if it crosses below zero.
Trading Plan
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Consider entering a long position on a pullback to support around $69,730.95 if bullish signals persist.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the $65,947.27 support level to limit potential downside risk.
Take-Profit: Target $71,552.73 as the primary take-profit level. If momentum remains strong and BTC breaks above $71,552.73, consider holding for $73,654.77.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy on confirmation of a breakout above $71,552.73 with strong volume.
Stop-Loss: A stop-loss slightly below the breakout level at $69,730.95.
Take-Profit: Set a take-profit target around $73,654.77. If Bitcoin breaches this, reassess the position for potential gains towards higher levels.
Risk Management:
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of the trading account on each trade.
Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop if Bitcoin strongly surpasses $71,552.73, to lock in gains while allowing for additional upside.
Monitoring Indicators:
Keep an eye on RSI and Stochastic Oscillator for any signs of bearish divergence or weakening momentum.
Monitor VMC Cipher B for any shift in green dots to red, which could indicate potential retracement.
Overall Market Sentiment:
Given the current uptrend and approach to resistance, Bitcoin shows bullish sentiment. However, indicators suggest overbought conditions, so caution is advised.
Phemex Analysis #32: BTC to $70,000 Amidst US Election VolatilitPHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P has surged past the $70,000 mark and is now testing the formidable $72,000 resistance level. This bullish momentum has ignited excitement among crypto enthusiasts, but the looming US Presidential Election adds an element of uncertainty to the market.
Potential Scenarios
1. Bullish Continuation:
If Bitcoin successfully breaks through the $72,000 resistance level, it could trigger a significant upward movement.Strong buying pressure and positive sentiment could propel the price to new all-time highs. A clear and decisive victory for Donald Trump in the US Presidential Election could further fuel bullish momentum.
2. Bearish Reversal:
If Bitcoin fails to break through the $72,000 resistance level and encounters strong selling pressure, it could lead to a price correction.
A highly contested or uncertain election outcome could create volatility and risk aversion among investors, potentially leading to a sell-off.
Trading Strategies
I. Bullish Strategy:
Buy the Breakout: If Bitcoin breaks above the $72,000 resistance with strong volume, consider buying.
Take Profit: Set a take-profit target at a higher resistance level, such as $80,000.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order below a key support level, like $65,000, to limit potential losses.
II. Bearish Strategy:
Short Sell: If Bitcoin fails to break above the $72,000 resistance and starts to decline, consider short-selling.
Take Profit: Set a take-profit target at a lower support level, such as $65,000 or $58,900.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the $73,850 (all-time high) resistance level to limit potential losses.
III. Buy the Dip Strategy:
If Bitcoin experiences a correction during a bearish scenario and you maintain a long-term bullish outlook, consider buying the dip at key support levels like $65,000 or $58,900.
Short-Term Profit: For short-term gains, you can take profit at $72,000 or $73,850.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order at the next support level. For example, if you enter at $65,000, consider placing a stop-loss below $58,900.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge and the upcoming US Presidential Election have created a dynamic market environment. While the potential for further upside exists, it's crucial to remain cautious and manage risk effectively. By carefully analyzing market trends, understanding key support and resistance levels, and implementing appropriate trading strategies, investors can navigate the volatility and capitalize on potential opportunities.
Tips:
Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
ETH: Maybe up? Maybe down?I painted the May '24 breakout pretty well. This was the breakout running into the ETF approval. Buy the Rumor. Sell the news event. And ETH has been selling off ever since.
All considered, ETH seem to be setting a trend of higher lows as it's attempting to break the trend. Either way, it will break this consolidation sooner or later.
ETH/BTC is the important chart to keep an eye on. BTC could rips to the upside (as it often does) and ETH would sell off on the ETH/BTC pair. Not all bad. BTC profits often rotate into ETH gains. Just like the good old days. BTC Gains --> ETH BOOM!
Take profits.
Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure Amid Tether InvestigationIf you didn’t purchase BTC before the last rally:
Now Bitcoin's recent performance may be overshadowed by growing concerns surrounding the stability of the cryptocurrency market, particularly in light of the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) launching a criminal investigation into Tether, the issuer of the popular stablecoin USDT.
According to reports from the Wall Street Journal, this investigation, spearheaded by the U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan, is examining potential violations of sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations.
Tether has been a crucial component of the cryptocurrency ecosystem, as its dollar-pegged stablecoin is widely used for trading and liquidity across numerous exchanges. Any negative developments in the investigation could undermine confidence in USDT, leading to broader implications for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies that rely on stablecoins for stability and transaction efficiency.
Investors may become increasingly wary, fearing that regulatory actions could restrict Tether's operations or even jeopardize its ability to maintain its peg to the U.S. dollar. A loss of faith in USDT could trigger panic selling, as traders might rush to liquidate their positions in Bitcoin and other assets, leading to increased volatility and downward pressure on prices.
The scrutiny surrounding Tether could prompt regulators to examine other stablecoins and cryptocurrency projects more closely, adding to the uncertainty and potential for further regulatory crackdowns. This environment of increased regulatory oversight could deter new investors from entering the market and may lead existing investors to reassess their positions.
Bitcoin remains in bullish territory - my next tradesLet’s break down the current cycle indicators and what they mean for BTC:
1. 1-Day Cycle Indicator (Blue Line)
- This tracks Bitcoin’s short-term trend (1 week) and ranges from 20 (oversold) to 80 (overbought). It’s currently at 29, hinting at a potential bullish reversal for the week ahead. This could indicate an upswing in the short term if momentum follows through.
2. 3-Day Cycle Indicator (Violet Line)
- Great at forecasting the trend for the next 12–18 days, especially in a sideways market (like the last 6 months). With the indicator nearing 80, there’s room for some upside in this cycle, suggesting that BTC could see positive movement next week.
3. 1-Week Cycle Indicator (Red Line)
- Provides a broader view, indicating longer-term trend reversals (1–2 months). It’s currently at 93, placing it in overbought territory, which signals a potential for a larger trend reversal as we look further out. This could suggest a corrective phase may be on the horizon.
Summary: While short- and medium-term indicators suggest near-term gains, the high 1-week cycle reading hints that a longer-term pullback could follow soon.
Bitcoin Buy Signal (1H)MEXC:BTCUSDT
As we knew before that when IDMs got grabbed,
after getting a SCOB on our structure time frame,
or wait for a ChoCh on the lower time frame (which now the LTF is 5 mins chart),
we can get into the position (which here is a Buy Position).
And now we had a ChoCh on the 5 mins time frame on Bitcoin which allows us to open a Buy Position.
P.S: Money & Risk Management is Crucial, Because nothing's certain in the market. :)
I will update Bitcoin regularly,
Follow me on TradingView for more.
Happy trading..
Cheers,
Aurio