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Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal). Here's why we're likely going a little higher. First correction of -32% Followed by first peak, ATH Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are: Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Long
by BlockTechEv
16
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Analysis UpdateBTC is currently holding above the key resistance-turned-support zone of $106,057, after a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle last week. Price is consolidating just below $107,000, signaling a potential pause or minor pullback before the next leg. Technical Overview: Trendline support from May is intact $106K zone flipped into support — critical for bulls to hold Price action is compressing under resistance at $107,000 Holding here may lead to a retest of $108,895, then $111,785 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $106,057 – Immediate support $101,409 – Mid-range demand zone $98,898 – Rising trendline $93,343 – Strong base zone Resistance: $107,000 – Minor resistance $108,895 – Major resistance $111,785 – Upper breakout target Outlook: Bulls need to defend the $106K zone to maintain momentum. Failure to do so could cause the price to pull back toward $101K. On the flip side, strong volume above $108900 may trigger a rally toward $111K+. DYOR | Not Financial Advice
by ScramblerG
BITCOIN - under resistance since 2011-Birth of a new cycle soon The Chart Clearly explains itself Since before Bitcoin PA went into its current channel, it was under a Huge Arc that resisted any move higher...strongly, Every single ATH, Every one, even the most recent This is Easily seen by the Blue Arc And as you can see, maybe THIS is the real reason why PA is struggling to break higher....It just cannot break over that Arc. The main chart is Monthly, Lets look at the weekly. You can clearly see what happened in 2021, rejected twice and again this cycle. And you can see how, by December This year, 2025, PA will be squeezed very tight. And PA usually moves before the APEX> And, if we are going to repeat the previous cycle moves, the 1st year after a New ATH usually sees a decline in price, as can be seen by the red boxes. But PA needs to break OVER that Arc first. and then remain ABOVE IT. This would then create a new cycle pattern. And we need it. Currently, we can go back to Lows of 88K before we loose support on that lower trendline but from there, we need to break over. A Strong move in SEPTEMBER / OCTOBER would be Ideal Just saying
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close colour and patterns since 2011 At the beginning of June , I wrote this ""On only 2 occasions have we had a GREEN JAN, RED FEB, RED MARCH, GREEN APRIL And Both of them were on the way to ATH. (Boxes ) On both those occasions we also had a GREEN MAY, though the gains were minimal and one was followed by a Green June and the other by a Red June." We just got the GREEN June and so this draws my eye to the sequence on the left, ( arrow ) If we are to follow this, then July should be a larger Green (Arrow) - BULLISH In-fact, in both the sequences we have been following ( boxes), July was GREEN- BULLISH And using just the month candle colours, we have a higher chance of another Green candle, with July having had 9 Green to 4 Red previously. - BULLISH However Of the previous 8 Green June Closes , only 3 went to a Green July - BEARISH And I have to say, on NONE of the previous Green Junes were we so close to the current ATH. July 2021 being the closest with a price at 41K, around 18K below the current ATH at the time. We are currently only around 200 usd below Current ATH This adds enormous resistance to the ability to rise I wanted a RED June because I felt it was more sustainable and would lead to a cycle ATH at the end of the year. As can be seen in the middle Box If we look back toward the 2012 Box on the left, we may now get a Hot July / August , September and then a Cool off for October, November & December. But something tells me this will not happen. The Candles for our current cycle in April, May and June are diminishing in size, the opposite of 2012 But they are similar to the 2020 box, except for the red June close. This could lead to the desired "Cooling" in August & September and a new lift off in autumn. And if you look at the chart Candle Colour Count, , August and September are usually RED by some majority This also gives us the Bigger Green July candle that the "Odds" point towards. So, as ever, we have to wait and see how this plays out. Odds in favour of a Green July using previous cycle Data PA position just below current ATH could lead to a slightly Bearish out look in the short term. And if you are hoping to see ALTS Rally, PLEASE keep your eye on the BTC.D chart This also points to wards BTC ATH in Q4 this year And then, we have the BIG question.......Will we ever see a Classix Bear again ? With so many Holding Bitcoin LongTerm.....How would a Bear market arrive ? BUY BITCOIN HOLD BITCOIN But, as ever, we just have to wait and see,
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Daily in a large pennant with apex end of July Bitcoin is once again getting rejected off the Fib circle just above. This is also just under a 618 Fib extension and so a combined rejection zone. Beneath this, we have support on that Bold dashed line. This is a Local line of supprt but has strength. And so, we find outselves in apennant again and that apex is around 22 July. PA tracts before the apex. As will be explained in the monthly chart I iwll post later, this all points towards a Calm July, possibly RED month. PA does however, have the ability and strength to push higher if the Bulls decide to make a move. The MACD The Daily MACD is just above Neutral and has enough room to move. So, if we drop, support is arouns 103K If we loose that then 100K and then we land on that red 236 Fib circle that will offer a sliding line of support. But I do not think we will get there just yet Enjoy
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
HFTUSDT Forming Falling WedgeHFTUSDT is currently displaying a textbook Falling Wedge Pattern, a classic signal that often points to an upcoming bullish reversal. This pattern is one of the most reliable in technical analysis, as it indicates that sellers are gradually losing momentum and buyers could soon step in to push prices higher. With good volume backing up this setup, traders are growing more confident that a breakout is on the horizon, which could fuel a strong upward rally. The potential gain for HFTUSDT based on this pattern is estimated between 90% to 100%+, making it an attractive opportunity for swing traders and investors looking for high-risk, high-reward plays. The steady uptick in volume suggests that smart money is already accumulating positions before the anticipated breakout. When combined with the bullish pattern, this sets the stage for a price surge once the resistance line of the wedge is convincingly broken. This setup comes at a time when the crypto market sentiment is gradually improving, with traders seeking altcoins that can outperform in the next bullish wave. HFTUSDT’s clear technical structure and growing investor interest place it among the top coins to watch closely. A confirmed breakout with strong daily closes above the wedge resistance could open the door to quick gains, rewarding early entrants who position themselves strategically. It’s always wise to monitor volume and price action carefully when trading a Falling Wedge Pattern like this. Waiting for a confirmed breakout with increased volume can help reduce the risk of false signals and maximize profit potential. Keep HFTUSDT on your radar if you’re aiming to catch a move with solid technical backing and high potential upside. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
2
Whales Dump on Wall Street, Fueling Bitcoin's 'Inevitable' SurgeIn the high-stakes world of cryptocurrency, where fortunes are made and lost in the blink of an eye, a new narrative is taking shape. With Bitcoin's price hypothetically hovering around a robust $107,000, a significant portion of market analysis now suggests that a new all-time high is not just a possibility, but an inevitability. This confidence stems from a complex interplay of technical strength, unprecedented institutional demand, and a massive, yet healthy, transfer of wealth from early adopters to the new titans of finance. The market is currently witnessing a fascinating dynamic: while the price consolidates above the monumental $100,000 psychological barrier, long-term holders, often referred to as "OG whales," are systematically selling their holdings. This activity, which could be misconstrued as bearish, is being interpreted by many as a necessary and constructive phase. Instead of suppressing the price, this distribution is meeting a voracious appetite from Wall Street, primarily through the mechanism of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This creates a state of equilibrium, a period of sideways consolidation where the market digests enormous gains and builds a foundation for its next explosive move. The target on the horizon is a liquidity cluster around $109,000, a key level that, if decisively flipped to support, could unlock a path to uncharted territory. This article will delve into the multifaceted dynamics of this hypothetical market scenario. It will explore the significance of consolidating above $100,000, dissect the "great transfer" of Bitcoin from early believers to institutional giants, and analyze the technical and on-chain metrics pointing toward an imminent breakout. Finally, it will consider the potential risks and counterarguments that could challenge the prevailing bullish thesis, providing a comprehensive overview of a market at a pivotal crossroads. Part 1: The New Paradigm - Consolidating Above $100,000 The act of breaking and holding a price level as significant as $100,000 represents more than just a numerical achievement; it is a profound psychological and structural shift for Bitcoin. In this hypothetical scenario, the market is not just visiting this level but is actively building a base above it, a process known as consolidation. This phase is crucial, characterized by sideways price movement within a defined range, often accompanied by decreasing trading volume, as the market takes a collective breath and establishes a new sense of fair value. The Psychology of a Six-Figure Asset For years, $100,000 was a distant, almost mythical target for Bitcoin. Surpassing and, more importantly, sustaining this level transforms market perception. It solidifies Bitcoin's status as a mature, global macro asset, moving it further away from its speculative past. This psychological victory attracts a new wave of capital from more conservative investors, wealth funds, and corporations who may have been hesitant to enter before such a milestone was reached. The consolidation phase above this level acts as a proof of stability, demonstrating that the asset can absorb significant profit-taking without collapsing, thereby building trust and confidence for the next wave of adoption. Market Structure and Institutional Support This period of stability is not happening in a vacuum. It is underpinned by a fundamental change in market structure, primarily the advent and overwhelming success of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These regulated financial products have provided a seamless bridge for Wall Street to pour billions of dollars into Bitcoin, creating a formidable wall of buy-side demand. In this scenario, where Bitcoin oscillates between $102,000 and $110,000, spot ETFs would be consistently recording massive net inflows, absorbing the supply being offered by sellers. This dynamic is a textbook example of healthy consolidation. It is a tug-of-war where the immense selling pressure from profit-takers is effectively matched by the persistent buying pressure from new institutional entrants. This prevents a sharp price decline and allows the market to methodically transfer coins from one cohort to another without inducing panic. Technically, this phase often forms recognizable patterns like sideways ranges, bullish flags, or ascending triangles, all of which suggest that pressure is building for an eventual breakout to the upside. The decreasing volume during this time indicates that the market is reaching an equilibrium before the next major directional move. Historical Precedent in a New Era Bitcoin has experienced consolidation phases after breaking previous major milestones, such as $1,000 and $20,000. However, the current hypothetical consolidation above $100,000 is fundamentally different in both scale and participants. Previous cycles were largely driven by retail investors and a smaller group of early adopters. The current cycle is defined by the heavyweight presence of institutional players who bring not only massive capital but also a long-term strategic investment horizon. The amount of capital required to absorb selling pressure at a six-figure price point is orders of magnitude greater than in any previous cycle. The fact that the market can achieve this stability highlights the depth and maturity it has developed. While past consolidations were precursors to further retail-driven mania, the current phase is about the systematic absorption of early investor supply by the largest financial institutions in the world, setting the stage for a rally built on a much stronger and more diverse foundation. This isn't just a pause; it's the construction of a launchpad for the next chapter in Bitcoin's story. Part 2: The "Great Transfer" - Long-Term Holders vs. Wall Street At the heart of the market's current dynamic is a historic transfer of wealth. This is the moment where the earliest and most steadfast believers in Bitcoin, the "OG Whales" or Long-Term Holders (LTHs), are realizing their life-changing gains by selling to the new behemoths of the financial world: Wall Street institutions. This process is not the bearish signal it might imply, but rather a critical market function that fuels the bull run's continuation. Defining the Players: "OG Whales" and Long-Term Holders Long-Term Holders (LTHs) are typically defined in on-chain analysis as addresses that have held their Bitcoin for more than 155 days (approximately five months). These are investors who have weathered significant volatility and have a deep conviction in the asset. "OG Whales" are a subset of this group, representing individuals or entities who accumulated vast amounts of Bitcoin in its nascent stages, often at prices of three figures or less. For them, selling at over $100,000 represents astronomical returns on their initial investment. Their motivation to sell is rational and expected. It is a common market pattern for patient bottom buyers to take profits as the market approaches and surpasses new all-time highs. They understand that the euphoria surrounding these record prices is what attracts the necessary buy-side demand to absorb their large sell orders. This selling, or "distribution," is a hallmark of every Bitcoin bull market peak. The key question is whether the demand is strong enough to absorb this supply without crashing the price. Deconstructing the "Dumping on Wall Street" Narrative The essence of this transfer is that since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, LTHs have been the primary source of selling pressure. They are, in effect, providing the liquidity that the newly launched ETFs require to meet the relentless demand from their clients. This dynamic is precisely why the price has been able to stabilize at such high levels. The institutional buying frenzy is absorbing the supply unloaded by LTHs. This is not a malicious act of suppression but a symbiotic relationship: LTHs need massive buyers to sell to, and Wall Street needs massive sellers to source coins from. This is simply the natural ebb and flow of a market cycle where supply and demand are meeting at a new, higher equilibrium. On-Chain Evidence of a Healthy Distribution Several on-chain metrics provide a clear window into this phenomenon, confirming that the current selling is a sign of a healthy bull market, not an impending top. • Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR): This metric shows the degree of realized profit for all coins moved on-chain. In this scenario, the LTH-SOPR would be extremely high, indicating that the coins being sold were acquired at a much lower cost basis and are now being sold for massive profits. While this signals profit-taking, it is typical of a bull market and, on its own, does not signal a top. • Realized Profit: On-chain data would show a massive spike in realized profits, confirming that sellers are locking in gains. The market's ability to absorb these profits and continue consolidating is a sign of immense strength. • Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) / Value Days Destroyed (VDD): These metrics measure the activity of older coins. A spike in VDD is synonymous with the LTH cohort spending their coins. This typically peaks shortly after breaking all-time highs because sellers need the liquidity that new buyers bring. The fact that this selling is being met with such strong institutional demand prevents it from turning into a bear market trigger. • Long-Term Holder Supply: While some LTHs are selling, the overall supply held by this cohort may still be growing or stabilizing. This is because investors who bought six months prior are continuously "aging" into LTH status. This indicates that while the oldest hands are selling, a new generation of convicted holders is forming, providing a solid foundation for the market. In essence, the "great transfer" is a feature, not a bug, of the current bull market. It is a sign of Bitcoin's maturation, where the asset is moving from the strong hands of early pioneers to the deep pockets of the global financial system. This process allows the market to de-risk, shed its over-leveraged players, and build a stronger base for what many believe is the inevitable next leg up. Part 3: The Path to $109K and Beyond - Technical and Liquidity Analysis With the market having established a strong foundation above $100,000, all eyes turn to the next key resistance levels. Technical and on-chain analysis points to a significant cluster of liquidity around the $109,000 mark, which is viewed as the final hurdle before Bitcoin can enter a new phase of price discovery. The argument for the "inevitability" of a new all-time high rests on a confluence of bullish technical patterns, resetting momentum indicators, and the overwhelming force of market liquidity. Understanding Liquidity at $109,000 In financial markets, liquidity refers to the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold without causing a significant price change. On a price chart, liquidity is concentrated at levels with a high density of buy and sell orders. The area around $109,000 to $111,000 represents a major liquidity cluster. This is composed of: • Sell Orders (Asks): A large number of investors who bought at lower prices have placed take-profit orders at this psychological and technical level. • Short Position Liquidations: Traders who are betting against Bitcoin have placed their stop-losses above this resistance. If the price breaks through, these short positions are automatically closed with a buy order, creating a "short squeeze" that adds explosive fuel to the rally. Analysis of order book data shows significant liquidation levels stacked just above this zone. Successfully breaking through and absorbing this sell-side liquidity would remove a significant barrier, clearing the path for a rapid move higher. A decisive flip of the $109,000 level from resistance to support is what bulls are watching for as the ultimate confirmation of upward momentum. Bullish Technical Indicators The consolidation phase has allowed Bitcoin's technical indicators to cool off and prepare for the next advance. • Chart Patterns: On higher timeframes, the price action is forming classic bullish continuation patterns. There is potential for formations like an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern or a bullish engulfing candlestick, both of which have historically high success rates in predicting upward moves. A bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart, for instance, has shown a high probability of leading to new local highs when appearing in a broader uptrend. • Momentum Oscillators: Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) have likely reset from "overbought" conditions during the consolidation. This reset is healthy and necessary, allowing momentum to build again from a neutral base rather than an overheated one. It signals that the market has shed its speculative froth and is ready for a more sustainable trend. • Moving Averages: Throughout the consolidation period, the price would find strong support at key moving averages, such as the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA) or the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). These levels act as dynamic support, with dip buyers consistently stepping in, reinforcing the strength of the underlying trend. • The "Inevitability" Thesis Synthesized The argument that a new all-time high is "inevitable" is built on the convergence of these powerful forces: 1. Unprecedented Demand: The constant, price-agnostic inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs provide a demand floor that the market has never experienced before. 2. Supply Absorption: The selling pressure from long-term holders, which would have crushed the market in previous cycles, is being successfully absorbed by this new institutional demand. 3. Healthy Reset: The market has undergone a healthy consolidation, allowing technicals to cool off, leverage to be flushed out, and a strong support base to be built. 4. Psychological Breakthrough: The conquest of the $100,000 level has fundamentally altered market perception and opened the door to price discovery, with the next logical target being the liquidity pool at $109,000. While no outcome in financial markets is ever truly guaranteed, the confluence of persistent institutional buying, constructive on-chain dynamics, and bullish technical setups creates a powerful case that Bitcoin is coiling for a significant breakout. The move through $109,000 is seen not as a question of "if," but "when." Part 4: Risks and Counterarguments Despite the overwhelmingly bullish sentiment in this hypothetical scenario, a prudent analysis requires examining the potential risks and counterarguments that could challenge or delay the ascent to new all-time highs. The cryptocurrency market remains susceptible to a variety of internal and external shocks, and overconfidence can be a precursor to sharp corrections. Macroeconomic Headwinds Bitcoin's increasing integration into the global financial system means it is more sensitive to macroeconomic conditions than ever before. A sudden and severe global recession, an unexpected spike in inflation leading to aggressive monetary tightening by central banks, or major geopolitical conflicts could trigger a "risk-off" event across all asset classes, including Bitcoin. Investors might flee to the perceived safety of cash or government bonds, causing even the strong institutional demand for Bitcoin to waver. It is often noted that traders wait for clarity on key macroeconomic data and policy updates before committing to a trend, and any negative surprises could trigger a sell-off. Overwhelming Profit-Taking The thesis of a new all-time high hinges on the ability of institutional demand to absorb the selling from long-term holders. However, there is a risk that this supply could become too overwhelming. The profits held by early investors are immense, and there may be a price point—perhaps on the approach to $110,000 or just beyond—where profit-taking accelerates to a pace that even the ETFs cannot sustain. If a large cohort of whales decides to sell in unison, it could create a supply shock that temporarily breaks the market structure and forces a deeper correction. Market Exhaustion and Valuation Metrics While consolidation is healthy, a prolonged sideways period can sometimes signal exhaustion rather than accumulation. On-chain metrics that compare Bitcoin's market value to its realized value are crucial for gauging how overheated the market is. These tools help identify periods of extreme overvaluation. If such metrics were to enter their highest zones, it would suggest that the market is reaching peak froth, making it vulnerable to a sharp reversal, regardless of the positive narrative. It is understood that while Bitcoin's price has a strong correlation to global liquidity, internal market dynamics can cause it to decouple, especially during periods of extreme valuation. Regulatory and Black Swan Risks The risk of unforeseen "black swan" events always looms over the market. This could include a sudden and harsh regulatory crackdown in a major jurisdiction, the collapse of a major crypto exchange or institution, or the discovery of a critical flaw in the Bitcoin protocol itself. Furthermore, the concentration of Bitcoin within a few large ETF products, while providing demand, also introduces a new vector of risk. If these institutions were to face regulatory pressure or decide to offload their holdings for strategic reasons, the resulting sell pressure could be catastrophic. In conclusion, while the path to a new all-time high appears clear and well-supported by current dynamics, it is by no means guaranteed. A combination of adverse macroeconomic shifts, overwhelming selling pressure, extreme valuations, or an unexpected black swan event could easily derail the bullish momentum. Investors and analysts must remain vigilant, balancing the optimistic on-chain and technical data with a realistic appreciation of the inherent risks in this volatile asset class. Conclusion The hypothetical scenario of Bitcoin consolidating above $100,000 while eyeing a breakout to $109,000 and beyond represents a pivotal moment in the asset's history. It paints a picture of a market that has achieved a new level of maturity, driven by a paradigm shift in its investor base. The central thesis—that a new all-time high is now "inevitable"—is not born from baseless hype, but from a powerful confluence of observable market forces. The successful establishment of the six-figure price level as a support floor, rather than a speculative peak, is the first pillar of this argument. This consolidation is made possible by the voracious and sustained demand from Wall Street institutions, which are using spot Bitcoin ETFs to absorb the immense selling pressure from early adopters. This dynamic, the "great transfer" of Bitcoin from OG whales to institutional treasuries, is not a sign of a market top but a healthy and necessary distribution that de-risks the market and fuels the next leg of the bull run. The on-chain analysis provides a framework for understanding this phase not as stagnation, but as a constructive consolidation where the market builds energy for a parabolic advance. This narrative is supported by bullish technical patterns, resetting momentum indicators, and a clear liquidity target at $109,000, which, once breached, could trigger a powerful short squeeze and propel Bitcoin into a new phase of price discovery. However, this bullish outlook must be tempered with an awareness of the significant risks that remain. Macroeconomic instability, the sheer scale of potential profit-taking, and the ever-present threat of regulatory or black swan events could challenge the prevailing trend. Ultimately, this analysis reveals a Bitcoin that is at a crossroads, but one where the path forward appears more clearly defined and well-supported than ever before. The interplay between the old guard of crypto and the new titans of finance is forging a stronger, more resilient market. While no outcome is certain, the evidence strongly suggests that Bitcoin is not at the end of its run, but is merely pausing to build a higher launchpad for its journey into the financial mainstream.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
1
Bitcoin Closed the week with a strong Green candle...now ?PA has been trying to get over that bold trendline since Feb 2024. It is the same line that PA used back in 2021, to bounce up to the Cycle ATH in Nov 2021. And we have begun th e week just on Top of it, as we can see in the Zoomed in version of the chart below. This week is a Big one in many ways. We also have the Month close today and currently, we have a Big Green candle for that . If we close with that, historically, it points towards an unsettled summer or a Big push en-route. More on that tomorrow. The weekly MACD still has room to climb but I still think we are to see a repeat of where that arrow points. Th weekly RSI is also in Mid ground and can move in either direction One thing that has really caught my eye however, is the Volume Delta See how this is reducing - Could this be the Calm before the Storm ? And that storm could be Bullish or Bearish. We do have a number of lines of resistance overhead that could prove difficult. So, hang in there. My personal opinion is that we are going to see apull back in the near future,,,,,and if we close the month green today, that WILL be next week
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Thief Trader Setup: Robbing the BTC/USD Market Reversal🏴‍☠️💰 Bitcoin Heist Blueprint: BTC/USD Robbery Plan by the Thief Trader Crew 💰🏴‍☠️ (Swing & Day Trade Outlook – Clean Entry, Clean Exit, No Fingerprints Left Behind) 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 To All Market Raiders & Silent Money Makers 🤑💸💰✈️ This isn't your average BTC/USD analysis — this is a strategic market heist, crafted from the Thief Trading Playbook. We're planning a clean operation based on both technical setups and fundamental awareness. Let’s enter smart, exit faster, and leave no trace — just profit. 🏆 🎯 THE GAME PLAN: Unlocking the BTC/USD Vault 📈 Entry – “The Vault’s Cracked Open!” The plan kicks off with retest entries on the 15 or 30-minute chart. Sell limits should be placed around recent highs or lows where market momentum pulls back. Precision and patience are your tools. 🛑 Stop Loss – Backup Escape Route Use the 1D swing high/low (e.g., 104.500) as your SL zone. Position size smartly, factoring in risk %, lot size, and number of active orders. 🏁 Target – 94.000 (Or Bail Out Before It Gets Hot) Don’t stick around too long — cash out near the zone or before if price slows or traps emerge. Secure the bag, vanish before resistance bites back. 🧲 Scalpers – Quick In, Quick Out! Stick to the short side only — short the bounces, trail your SL, and move with stealth. Big players can strike straight; others can shadow the swing crew and trail behind with protection. 🧠 Why This Works – Market Pulse BTC/USD is facing overbought pressure, consolidation traps, and is nearing a critical MA Zone where reversals tend to form. Momentum shows signs of weakening, and the bears are regrouping — that’s where we slip in and out. Supporting Factors Include: Macro trends Fundamental sentiment COT positioning On-Chain signals Intermarket flow Key psychological levels 🔍 All these build the narrative behind this bearish setup. This is more than just price action — it's a calculated move. ⚠️ Trading Risk Alert: Stay Off the Radar During News Drops 📰🚨 Avoid new entries during major news events — increased volatility = increased risk. Use trailing stop-losses to lock in profits while staying protected during spikes. ❤️ Like the Plan? Power the Crew! If this setup helped you see the market differently, hit the 💥Boost Button💥. Every like supports the effort and helps sharpen our future plans. Trade with style, move with purpose — Thief Trader Style. 🚀 Stay tuned for the next setup from the shadows. Until then — stay sharp, stay strategic, and always protect your profits. 🐱‍👤💰📉📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
PENGUUSDT Forming Powerful Bullish SetupPENGUUSDT is quickly emerging as one of the standout crypto pairs to watch, with its chart showing signs of a powerful bullish setup. The price action indicates that buyers are steadily gaining control, supported by healthy trading volume that hints at strong investor confidence. With expectations for a potential gain of 90% to 100%+, traders are closely monitoring this pair for a breakout that could deliver significant profits in the short to mid-term. Technical analysis reveals that PENGUUSDT has been consolidating within a clear structure, allowing accumulation at lower levels before a potential surge. As the market sentiment continues to shift towards more risk-on assets, coins like PENGUUSDT are seeing renewed buying interest from retail and institutional traders alike. The confluence of strong volume, consistent higher lows, and a breakout-ready structure provides a solid foundation for a substantial price move. What makes PENGUUSDT particularly attractive is the growing attention it’s receiving across crypto communities and trading circles. Investors recognize that such setups, combined with good liquidity and project fundamentals, can yield impressive returns once the market confirms a decisive move. Keeping an eye on breakout levels and sustained volume spikes will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on this promising opportunity. Given the current market dynamics, PENGUUSDT is positioning itself as a potential leader among altcoins poised for explosive growth. Traders are advised to apply solid risk management and follow the price action closely as momentum builds up. A successful breakout could pave the way for PENGUUSDT to deliver one of the best percentage gains in the coming weeks. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
BTC Is Replaying a Bullish Fractal >>> Are You Watching?Hello guys! I see a deja vu here! Let’s look at the historical daily chart (Jan–May 2025): What happened? Initial Drop (Yellow Oval): Bitcoin approached a key S&D zone but didn't touch it, triggering a short-lived bounce before dropping again. Second Drop (Red Ovals): This time, price precisely touched the demand zone, triggering a clean bullish reversal. What followed was a strong trend breakout, sustained higher lows, and an eventual surge past prior resistance levels. Current 4H Chart Setup: A Mirror Image? Yellow Highlight: Once again, we saw a bounce that didn't quite touch the key demand zone ($98K–$100K). Red Zone Prediction: If this mirrors the historical move, the price is likely to return and touch this S&D area before launching a bullish leg. Blue Path Projection: A sharp reversal is expected post-touch, aiming toward $111K–$113K as the next key resistance zone. The descending trendline adds confluence ___________________ History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes Based on this fractal analysis, Bitcoin is likely forming the same bullish base seen earlier in 2025. The setup hinges on one key event: a return to the $99K–$100K zone, where demand is likely to step in aggressively. If the pattern repeats, the current market may offer one last high-reward long opportunity before a parabolic rally.
by melikatrader94
23
BTCUSD TRADE SETUP 📈 **Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Analysis — June 28, 2025** 🔍 **Pattern Identified: Bullish Flag Breakout** 🧠 **1. Market Context** * This is the **1-hour chart** of **BTC/USD** on Binance. * Price recently formed a **bullish flag pattern**, which is a **continuation pattern** signaling a potential breakout in the **direction of the previous trend (upward)**. 🔧 **2. Technical Breakdown** 🔹 **Trend Before the Flag** * Price had a strong **impulsive move up** from \~105,000 to \~107,800. * That was followed by a **consolidation phase** forming a downward sloping **channel** (blue parallel lines), creating the **flag**. 🔹 **Flag Channel** * Price oscillated inside this flag for nearly 2 days (June 26–28). * The **channel** is clearly defined, and price **respected both upper and lower bounds** during the consolidation. 🚀 **3. Breakout Confirmation** * Price has now **broken out of the upper boundary** of the flag. * A clean **break and candle close** above the trendline suggests **bullish momentum** is returning. * This breakout is occurring around the **107,400–107,800** zone, which is also a **key structure level** acting as local resistance. --- 🎯 **4. Trade Setup** ✅ **Entry:** * Around **107,400–107,800**, post-confirmation of the breakout. ❌ **Stop-Loss (SL):** * Placed just below the **flag support / demand zone**, around **106,800**. * This protects against a fake breakout or pullback into the flag. 🎯 **Target (TP):** * Projected at **110,000**, which is aligned with the height of the initial flagpole projected from the breakout point. * This also represents a psychological round number and a previous resistance level. --- 📊 **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)** * **RRR = \~3:1** * For every \$1 risked, the potential reward is \$3 — **excellent reward structure**. --- 📌 **Key Insights for the Traders** * This is a **classic bullish flag breakout** play—very reliable in trending markets. * **Volume confirmation** (not shown in chart but should be checked live) is important — higher volume during breakout gives stronger conviction. * Watch for a possible **retest of the breakout level** (around 107,800) before the next move up.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
PENGUUSDT Forming Strong BreakoutPENGUUSDT is showing signs of a strong breakout pattern, which often indicates the end of a consolidation phase and the beginning of a new bullish trend. With good volume accompanying this breakout, the setup looks promising for traders looking to capture a significant upward move. This breakout could pave the way for a gain of 90% to 100%+, which aligns with how similar patterns have performed historically in the crypto market. The PENGU ecosystem has been drawing increasing attention from investors who are keen on innovative community-driven tokens. As the crypto space continues to reward fresh narratives and strong communities, PENGU could benefit from renewed investor sentiment and social media hype, fueling further upside potential. A well-timed entry around the breakout zone can help traders maximize the reward-to-risk ratio on this high-potential move. Technically, the breakout pattern is being validated by consistent higher lows and a decisive push above key resistance levels. Sustained volume and follow-through buying are critical to confirm the move, so traders should watch closely for a retest and bounce, which could act as an ideal entry point. This structure suggests that bullish momentum could accelerate quickly once the breakout is confirmed. Overall, PENGUUSDT is a chart worth keeping on the radar for anyone interested in trading breakouts in altcoins. With its strong community backing and attractive chart setup, this pair could offer a compelling swing trade or even a short-term momentum play for those seeking robust gains. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Cautionary tale on BitcoinI decided to temporarily depart from my usual trade ideas to wave a cautionary finger at the chart of Bitcoin, where I have noticed a rather worrying pattern within the weekly charts. However, before I delve in, I would like to stress that I am a very rigid believer in the long-term prospect of our monetary saviour and what I am supposed to write about only concerns the usual, inevitable cyclicality that always entails the otherwise upward-sloping trajectory of Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) Although overall this has not felt like much of a crypto bull run given the apparently absent performance of altcoins (apart from an occasional 1000x on a well-targeted memecoin), Bitcoin has, in the meantime, trod its usual path upwards. Since the '22 lows, it has mimicked its regular pattern where after a devastating plummet lower, it has spent several long months accumulating until it has burst out of its cocoon to provide a 6x return to its strong believer. However, the mimicking is almost too good as we have now started painting a very similar picture to what eventually transpired to be the '21 top. We have reached a strong above >100k top only to hit a vicious correction (announcement of tariffs), similar to what Bitcoin did in May of 2021 (China crackdown, tech selloff). The price then quickly consolidated - which I am not an avid fan of as a formation of a more robust base would be more preferable (though would take longer ) - and bitcoin shot back up again, quickly reclaiming the previous highs; just like it did in October/November 2021. This creates an unfortunate setup best represented by the series of lower highs on an RS I while the price keep climbing higher - creating the probably best-know bearish signal with higher highs built on weaker and less robust momentum. We know how this ended in 2021, and I am not suggesting that Microstrategy should blow up, go bankrupt and sell all its bitcoin (though definitely a possibility) - however, one must admit that there are currently quite a lot of uncertainties that could unwind at any time (one such coming on July 8th with the second version of the lets-blow-up-the-stock-market day). With a stock market priced to perfection, and with what seems like a large pile of uncertainties hovering in the air, it seems like any one of these could light up the fire underneath these lovely valuations we have reached, and although I would love for cryptocurrency prices to be completely independent of the stock market, we usually know how this goes. So, what to do about this? Preferably nothing . If you are as much of a believer as I am in the necessity of bitcoin in today's financial world, this is just another blip in an otherwise long and profitable ride. So, I won't be any selling any of it - hopefully only adding once we decline. I would also add that I am not expecting as much of a bloodbath as last time. I think Bitcoin has reached a point where the 80-90% declines become very rare. However, regarding my other allocations in crypto assets, I am not as optimistic, hence I decided to sell most of everything else. Although I love the premise of Ethereum, the chart looks pretty horrific, currently drawing a perfect head-and-shoulder on a 4h chart (which I might write about as well as a short idea). I will end this essay the same way I started it - I know absolutely nothing, and maybe I will come back at the end of the summer, beautifully tanned and relaxed as we all are in Europe, and find everything at all-time highs. I just currently believe the risk-reward ratio is not skewed in my favour, and I don't know how about you, but I tend to listen to my probability gods, especially on the eve of another strong SPAC year .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by jurajholik