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BTC May Extend Rally as ETF Flows & Policy Support Push Higher📊 Market Overview: • Bitcoin trades around $118,660, rebounding from lows near $114,500 earlier this week after a sharp decline. Strong inflows into BTC and ETH ETFs are bolstering market sentiment • Regulatory clarity via the Genius Act, Clarity Act, along with the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, is fueling institutional interest • High-profile corporate Bitcoin purchases, such as by Trump Media, underscore growing adoption and bullish sentiment in crypto treasuries ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: $119,500 – $120,500 • Key support: $115,000 – $114,500 • EMA 09 (H1): Trading above EMA09, indicating short-term bullish bias • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: • BTC is consolidating within a range of $115K–$119K, prepping for potential breakout • Indicators like RSI and MACD show positive momentum • At 1-hour chart, a double bottom around $118,950 signals buyer strength near dips ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Bitcoin is likely to continue rising in the short term, particularly on a push through $119,500–$120,500. ETF inflows and regulatory tailwinds remain supportive. However, a breakdown below $115,000 may indicate short-term bearish risk toward $112,000. ________________________________________ 💡 Trade Setup 🟢 BUY BTC/USD: $115,500 – $116,500 🎯 TP: $119,200 → $120,000 ❌ SL: $115,000 🔴 SELL BTC/USD: $120,500 – $121,000 🎯 TP: $119,000 → $118,000 ❌ SL: $121,500
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
$BTC Daily OutlookBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Weekly Chart: Bitcoin has now printed three consecutive weekly closes above the former higher-high threshold at $111 960. That series is enough to confirm a clean breakout of the prior HH-HL range and keeps the long-term bias pointed firmly higher. That said, a near-term pullback is still on the table: • First support — the breakout shelf at $111 960 (re-test of structure). • Deeper support — the next V-level around $98 115. Why the caution? Last week’s candle left a small Failed Auction just above the new high, and Footprint data shows a cluster of aggressive buy-delta trapped in that wick. Those buyers may need to get washed out before the trend resumes. Big picture: weekly structure is bullish; any dip into the levels above is a potential reload zone while the breakout holds. Daily Chart: Price action remains firmly bullish: multiple Failed-Auction rejections at the $116 860 higher-low vLevel keeps supply thin and reinforce the up-trend toward the prior ATH. That said, remember Auction Market Theory rule #5: “When time or volume builds at the edge of balance, price often pushes through.” • Each failed auction is absorbing resting bids. • If sellers lean in again with size, the level can flip from support to resistance very quickly. In practice that means: •Base case – continuation to the highs while the Daily structure holds. •Risk scenario – a clean break of $116 860 would open room for a deeper weekly pullback toward $107456.0 For now we treat the current weekly pullback as a fresh opportunity: scouting intraday longs as price reacts to the 1-Hourly zone. From the footprint read-out, today’s bar finished with a neutral delta, but note where the profile is stacked: both the Value Area Low and the POC sit right at the bottom of the candle. That tells us the bulk of volume printed down at the session lows and it skewed negative, sellers were leaning hard, trying to extend the move lower.
by BastDeCode
2
Navigating BTC Tremors on the Path to a Million Dollar New Bitcoin Paradigm: Navigating Short-Term Tremors on the Deliberate Path to a Million-Dollar Valuation The Bitcoin market is currently a paradox, a theater of conflicting signals where short-term jitters coexist with audacious, long-term prophecies. On one hand, the price experiences sharp, gut-wrenching drops, with a recent dip to $118,000 attributed to institutional selling, sending waves of anxiety through the retail sector. On the other, the world’s most formidable financial institutions are issuing forecasts that seem to border on the fantastical, with one Wall Street banking giant boldly predicting a $200,000 Bitcoin by the end of December. This schizophrenic market sentiment is the new normal for an asset in the midst of a profound transformation. Bitcoin is no longer the fringe digital curiosity of a decade ago; it is a maturing global asset class being integrated into the very heart of the traditional financial system. This integration brings with it immense capital, but also new complexities and a different rhythm of growth. The story of Bitcoin today is one of navigating immediate volatility, fueled by market maker games and institutional repositioning, while keeping an eye on a future where corporate adoption, macroeconomic shifts, and a new, more deliberate growth pattern could methodically pave the way to a once-unthinkable $1,000,000 valuation. The current landscape is a confluence of powerful, often opposing, forces. While institutional capital is the primary engine of this bull cycle, it is also a source of calculated selling pressure. At the same time, a steady drumbeat of corporate adoption continues, with companies like the UK-based The Smarter Web Company quietly adding hundreds of Bitcoin to their balance sheets. This is happening against a backdrop of favorable macroeconomic tailwinds, including what some are calling the "biggest trade deal ever" sealed by the United States, an event that subtly reinforces Bitcoin's role as a neutral, global store of value. And just when the narrative seems set, a new player like the mysterious "WeWake" enters the stage with a "big launch" that stuns investors, hinting at a new frontier of consumer-level adoption that could dwarf previous catalysts. This intricate dance between short-term technicals and long-term fundamentals defines Bitcoin's current journey—a journey that is less about the parabolic explosions of the past and more about a calculated, powerful ascent. The Immediate Battleground: Volatility, Support, and the $123,000 Squeeze To understand Bitcoin's path to six figures and beyond, one must first dissect the trench warfare happening at current price levels. The recent plunge to $118,000 served as a stark reminder that the road up is paved with volatility. While alarming, this dip was not seen as a catastrophic failure by seasoned analysts, but rather as a textbook example of institutional mechanics at play. Unlike retail investors who may hold with unwavering conviction, institutional desks are constantly managing risk, rebalancing portfolios, and taking profits to meet quarterly targets. The selling that triggered the drop was likely not a sign of lost faith, but a strategic repositioning, shaking out over-leveraged positions and creating liquidity for larger players to re-enter at more favorable prices. This is precisely where the concept of the "ideal long zone" comes into play. For bullish traders and institutions, these orchestrated dips are not a crisis but an opportunity. An "ideal long zone" is a price range where multiple technical support indicators converge, creating a high-probability area for a price reversal. This zone might be defined by a combination of a key moving average (like the 50-day or 200-day), a significant Fibonacci retracement level drawn from a previous major low to a high, and a historical price range where the asset has previously found strong buying support. The fact that bulls were able to gain traction in this zone following the $118,000 dip indicates that this calculated selling was met with equally calculated buying. The market is currently engaged in a reversal campaign with an initial, modest target of reclaiming the $121,000 level, a crucial psychological pivot point. However, a far more explosive scenario is brewing just beneath the surface: the potential for a massive short squeeze. Market makers, the large entities that provide liquidity to exchanges, are reportedly setting a "trap" for traders betting against Bitcoin. A short squeeze is a powerful market phenomenon that occurs when a heavily shorted asset begins to rise in price. The initial price increase forces short sellers to buy back the asset to close their positions and cut their losses. This wave of forced buying creates a feedback loop, driving the price even higher and forcing more short sellers to capitulate. It's a cascade of liquidations that can lead to rapid, vertical price movements. Analysts believe that market makers are intentionally allowing short positions to build up around the current range, creating a pool of rocket fuel. The target for igniting this fuel appears to be a decisive break above $123,000. If Bitcoin can push past this level, it could trigger a chain reaction of short liquidations, propelling the price upwards with violent speed. This is not organic buying pressure but a technical event driven by market structure. Looking at the week ahead, two primary scenarios emerge from this tense setup. The bullish scenario involves Bitcoin successfully bouncing from the current support zone, holding its ground, and making a concerted push towards $123,000. A break of this level would likely trigger the short squeeze, leading to a rapid retest of recent highs and potentially pushing into the $125,000-$130,000 range. The bearish scenario, conversely, would see Bitcoin fail to hold this "ideal long zone." A break below the recent lows around $118,000 would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis, suggesting that the institutional selling pressure is more significant than anticipated. This could lead to a deeper correction, potentially testing support levels closer to $100,000-$110,000. The outcome of this short-term battle is critical, as it sets the stage for the remainder of the year and will determine whether the more ambitious price targets remain in play. Adding to the tension, the market is heading into August, a month that analysts have flagged as being filled with potential volatility catalysts, from central bank policy announcements to major options expiry dates, ensuring that the current state of high alert will persist. The Wall Street Endorsement: The Race to Six Figures by Year-End While traders battle over short-term levels, Wall Street has its eyes fixed on a much grander prize. The narrative of this bull run has been fundamentally defined by the legitimization of Bitcoin as an institutional asset, and the price targets now emanating from the heart of traditional finance reflect this new reality. In a stunning vote of confidence, a major, unnamed banking giant has put forth a research note predicting that Bitcoin could reach an astonishing $200,000 by December of this year. This is not a casual prediction from a rogue analyst; it represents a calculated forecast from an institution with immense resources and influence. Such a bold call from a pillar of Wall Street signifies a deep conviction in the asset's trajectory, likely based on proprietary models of capital inflows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and high-net-worth individuals. It serves as a powerful signal to the rest of the financial world, effectively giving institutional clients the green light to allocate significant capital to Bitcoin. This prediction, along with a growing consensus that Bitcoin is expected to exceed $150,000 by the end of the year, creates a powerful psychological anchor. When institutions of this caliber set such high targets, they can become self-fulfilling, as asset managers and funds feel compelled to gain exposure, lest they miss out on the anticipated rally. These bullish forecasts are not based on sentiment alone; they are supported by increasingly sophisticated on-chain analysis. One of the most-watched metrics in this cycle is the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio. In simple terms, the MVRV ratio compares Bitcoin's current market price to the average price at which all coins in circulation were last moved. When the ratio is high, it suggests the market is overheated and holders are in significant profit, increasing the likelihood of selling. When it's low, it suggests the asset is undervalued. Analysts have taken this a step further by creating MVRV Pricing Bands. These bands represent standard deviation levels above and below the "realized price," creating a data-driven framework for identifying potential market tops and bottoms. Currently, these pricing bands are hinting at a cycle peak valuation of around $130,000. This provides a more conservative, data-grounded target that aligns with the lower end of the Wall Street predictions. However, this on-chain model comes with a critical caveat: it is only valid if Bitcoin's price holds its current macro support level. This elegantly connects the long-term on-chain outlook with the immediate price battle discussed earlier. A failure to hold the line in the short term could invalidate the assumptions underpinning these models, forcing a recalibration of year-end targets. The path to $130,000, $150,000, or even $200,000 is contingent on winning the present fight. The New Adoption Paradigm: Corporate Strategy, Macro Shifts, and the "WeWake" Wildcard The fuel for Wall Street's bullish fire is coming from tangible, real-world adoption. The trend of corporations adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, pioneered by MicroStrategy, is quietly but powerfully continuing. A recent example is The Smarter Web Company, a UK-based firm that recently announced the addition of 225 BTC to its holdings. While not on the scale of a multi-billion dollar purchase, this move is incredibly significant. It demonstrates that the corporate treasury thesis is expanding beyond a few high-profile early adopters and is becoming a global phenomenon, embraced by small and medium-sized enterprises who view Bitcoin as a superior long-term store of value and a hedge against currency debasement. Each of these purchases, while small individually, collectively contributes to a persistent supply shock, as more coins are moved from the open market into corporate treasuries for long-term holding. This steady corporate accumulation is occurring against a highly favorable macroeconomic backdrop. News that the United States has successfully sealed what some insiders are calling the "biggest trade deal ever" is being interpreted as a significant long-term tailwind for Bitcoin. Large-scale international trade agreements often involve complex currency fluctuations and settlements. In a world of increasing geopolitical friction and competitive currency devaluations, Bitcoin's properties as a neutral, apolitical, and globally accessible settlement asset become increasingly attractive. Such trade deals can increase global liquidity and put pressure on national currencies, subtly reinforcing the value proposition of a decentralized, non-sovereign store of value. Just as the market was beginning to digest this new landscape of institutional flows and macro support, a wildcard has entered the fray. A company named "WeWake" has reportedly stunned investors with a "big launch," creating a new, unexpected catalyst. While details remain scarce, the market chatter suggests WeWake is not another financial firm or institutional player, but a major consumer-facing technology company. The speculation centers on a groundbreaking integration of Bitcoin's Lightning Network for micropayments within a massively popular application or service. If true, this would represent a paradigm shift in adoption. To date, the primary use case driving this cycle has been Bitcoin as "digital gold"—a store of value for institutions and corporations. The WeWake launch hints at the reawakening of Bitcoin's other primary narrative: a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. A successful, large-scale consumer integration would prove that Bitcoin can function not only as a reserve asset but also as a transactional currency for everyday use, opening up an entirely new dimension of demand. The shock and excitement from this launch stem from its potential to onboard millions of new users to the network, not as investors, but as active participants in a new digital economy. This move from passive investment to active utility could be the key to unlocking the next major phase of exponential growth. The Long Road to a Million: A Mature Asset's "Pump and Consolidate" Journey With year-end targets of $200,000 now part of the mainstream conversation, the once-fringe prediction of a $1,000,000 Bitcoin is being re-evaluated with newfound seriousness. However, a key analyst has offered a crucial insight that reframes this journey: "The days of parabolic Bitcoin bull runs are over." This statement may sound bearish, but it is, in fact, a sign of Bitcoin's profound maturation as an asset class. The wild, untamed, 100x rallies of the early cycles, driven by retail mania and a lack of liquidity, are being replaced by a more structured and powerful, albeit less explosive, pattern of growth. The new path to $1,000,000, according to this expert view, will be a "slow and steady" process defined by a "pump and consolidate" pattern. This model envisions a market that behaves less like a volatile penny stock and more like a blue-chip technology giant. The "pumps" will be powerful, rapid upward movements, but they will be driven by specific, fundamental catalysts—the approval of a new wave of ETFs, a landmark corporate adoption by a Fortune 100 company, a major nation-state adding Bitcoin to its reserves, or a successful consumer integration like the one hinted at by WeWake. Following each of these catalyst-driven pumps, the market will enter a prolonged "consolidate" phase. Instead of a dramatic crash, Bitcoin will establish a new, higher plateau of price discovery. During these consolidation periods, which could last for months, the market will build liquidity, institutional players will accumulate and distribute positions, and the new price level will be normalized and accepted as a baseline. This creates a far more stable foundation for the next leg up. This methodical, stair-step ascent is the hallmark of a mature market with deep, two-sided liquidity provided by institutional players who both buy and sell, preventing the extreme parabolic blow-off tops and subsequent 80-90% crashes of the past. This "pump and consolidate" model makes the journey to $1,000,000 seem not only more plausible but almost inevitable, assuming the underlying drivers of adoption continue. It is a path built on structural strength rather than pure speculation. Each consolidation phase absorbs selling pressure and builds a stronger floor, making the entire structure more resilient to shocks. In conclusion, Bitcoin stands at a fascinating and pivotal juncture. It is weathering the short-term storms of institutional profit-taking and the intricate games of market makers, fighting to establish a firm footing above the critical $120,000 level. At the same time, its long-term trajectory is being underwritten by the full faith and credit of Wall Street, with audacious year-end targets of $150,000 to $200,000 now serving as the institutional base case. This optimism is fueled by a relentless wave of corporate adoption and favorable macroeconomic winds, and has been supercharged by surprising new catalysts that hint at a future of mass consumer utility. The ultimate destination may be the long-fabled million-dollar mark, but the journey will look different this time. The wild, parabolic arcs of youth are giving way to the measured, powerful, and deliberate steps of a mature global asset. The "pump and consolidate" rhythm is the new heartbeat of a market driven by institutional capital and fundamental adoption. While the path will undoubtedly be fraught with volatility, corrections, and periods of agonizing consolidation, the underlying narrative has never been stronger. Bitcoin is navigating the tremors of the present as it builds the foundations for a truly monumental future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC | ALT Season, then BEARISH CYCLE BeginsBitcoin is likely moving in to the beginning of a bearish cycle. I'm not saying this is immediate, we first need to see altseason - however, if BTC increases it may not go any higher than the last high of $123k. We could easily see the price hover around this zone with a few small increases and decreases for the next few weeks as alts make their respective moves. I have been talking about the 2021 fractal for a couple of months, where BTC took its time to correct and then made another ATH which was only slightly higher. We already see a similar pattern playing out in the monthly timeframe if we overlay bars pattern from 2021: Although Bonce zone 3 may only be in several months, these are the major support zones where BTC could bounce from. Ideal for a swing: ____________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by Crypto-Check-
10
BITCOIN PREDICTION: HUGE BREAKOUT SOON!! (watch this level) Yello Paradisers! I'm sharing with you multi-timeframe analysis on Bitcoin, levels to watch out for, confirmations we are waiting for, and everything needed for successful professional trading that is being profitable in the long run. I'm sharing with you zig-zag from the Elliot Wave pattern formation. I'm also sharing a possible impulse we are going through, a head and shoulders pattern and its target, and the next major resistance and support levels. I'm sharing with you a contracting triangle setup and how to trade it, along with an ending diagonal setup and how to trade it. Watch out for confirmations and how the price is developing based on what I have been talking about in this video, then trade it as a professional trader should. Make sure that you have a great risk management, trading strategy, and tactic for entering the trades. I have explained some tactics that I'm watching for in this video, but make sure that all these tactics are well within your larger trading strategy and that you're approaching the market professionally. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that you are focusing on long-term profitability and survival. This is the only way you can make it in crypto trading!
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
4
Here’s Why Bitcoin Price Could Rewrite History in AugustBINANCE:BTCUSDT price is currently hovering at $118,938, within a consolidation range between $117,261 and $120,000 . While this range has held steady, the possibility of breaking through $120,000 is high if investor sentiment remains strong. The current sell-side risk ratio for BINANCE:BTCUSDT is at 0.24, well below the neutral threshold of 0.4 and closer to the low-value realization threshold of 0.1. This suggests that the market is experiencing consolidation, with investor behavior indicating a pause in large sell-offs. Historically, August has been a bearish month for BINANCE:BTCUSDT , with the median monthly return sitting at -8.3%. However, given the current accumulation trend and the low sell-side risk, Bitcoin may defy its historical trend this year. If Bitcoin can secure $120,000 as support, it would likely push past $122,000 and move toward the ATH . However, there remains a risk that the market could turn bearish if investors shift their stance due to unforeseen market factors. In this case, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could lose support at $117,261 and slide to $115,000, reversing the bullish thesis.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
#Bitcoin – What’s Really Happening? Daily Structure + Macro#Bitcoin – What’s Really Happening? Daily Structure + Macro Setup = Big Move Loading 🔸 1D Chart: CRYPTOCAP:BTC Range-Bound Between $125K–$110K Bitcoin is currently trading inside a tight sideways range, marked by resistance near $125,000 and support around $110,000. This is now the third time we've seen price consolidate in this green zone. 🔸 In the previous two attempts, BTC briefly dipped below support before quickly reclaiming the level — classic fakeouts, not real breakdowns. The current price behavior mirrors that same structure. 🔸 What If CRYPTOCAP:BTC Drops Again? A dip below $110K or even toward $100K should not trigger panic. Historically, these wicks below the range are liquidity grabs — not signs of weakness. As long as the 200 MA holds and price doesn’t sustain under $100K, the macro trend remains bullish. 🔸 Key Zones: – Immediate support: $112,398 – Major support: $100K psychological level – Structure invalidation: Sustained loss below $100K (not expected) 🔸 Macro Outlook: Still Bullish While BTC chops sideways, the broader environment is heating up: 🔸 Trump-EU Mega Trade Deal Markets just got a major catalyst — a massive U.S.–EU agreement that includes: – $750B in U.S. energy exports – $600B in EU investment – $150B in energy purchases from U.S. This clears out tariff fears and opens the door for stocks and crypto to run. Risk appetite is returning fast. 🔸 Whale Activity Panic = Noise Galaxy Digital wallet movement spooked the market temporarily, pushing BTC to $114,500. But zoom out: – ETF inflows still dominate daily sell volume – BlackRock continues absorbing supply – Long-term whales haven’t sold — they’re holding This was not a breakdown. It was a shakeout. Accumulation is still happening. 🔸 The Real Fuel: M2 Money Supply Here’s where things really align for the bulls: – In 2020, a 25% rise in M2 → BTC 800% rally – In 2025 so far: +2.3% increase, and we’re still in “tightening” – Largest M2 spike: +0.63% in June Given BTC typically lags M2 by 60–90 days, the June print is setting up for a 15–17.5% upside over the coming weeks. That puts us on a clear path toward $130,000+ 🔸 Bitcoin is sideways, not weak. Range-bound price action is accumulation, not distribution. Macro signals are aligning, M2 is expanding, and whale panic was short-lived. We’re not just holding a range — we’re coiling for the breakout. You’re early. Stay ready. #bitcoin
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
"Bitcoin’s Big Heist – Are You In or Out?"🚨 BTC/USDT HEIST MISSION – SWIPE THE BULL RUN BEFORE THE BEARS WAKE UP 💰💣 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Money Makers & Robbers, assemble! 🤑💰✈️💸 Here’s your decoded BTC/USDT “Bitcoin vs Tether” Crypto Market Heist Plan, fully loaded with Thief Trading Style 🔥 TA + FA combo. We’re prepping for a bullish breakout loot – eyes on the vault, ignore the noise. 🎯 PLAN OF ATTACK: 🎯 ENTRY (BUY ZONE): 💥 “The vault’s open—time to sweep!” DCA/Layer your buy limit orders near the 15–30 min swing lows/highs for sniper pullback entries. Use multi-entry method to stack positions (layering / DCA) as per your ammo (capital 💵). 🛑 STOP LOSS: Set SL at the nearest swing low wick (4H TF) — around 115000.00, adjust based on your risk/load. SL = insurance. Not optional. 🏁 TARGET: Lock sights on 125000.00 🎉 Or… vanish with profits before the bear cops arrive. 🔎 MARKET BACKDROP & ANALYSIS: 📈 BTC/USDT currently signals bullish vibes on the swing/day horizon — fueled by: Macro Fuel & Fundamentals Sentiment Radar COT Reports On-Chain Pulse Intermarket Clues 🚀 Connect the dots. The smart money's already prepping a breakout move. 🧲 Scalpers Note: Stick to the long side only. No shorting the beast — unless you’re made of diamonds. Secure your bag with trailing SLs. ⚠️ NEWS TRIGGER ZONE – TRADE WITH TACT: 📢 Upcoming high-volatility news events can spike charts. Avoid new entries during releases and guard open trades with trailing SLs. Protect the loot. Always. 💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST GANG: BOOST IT! Smash that ❤️ to boost our thief squad’s momentum! Every click powers this underground mission – making money with style, one pip at a time. 🎯💣💵 🚀 See you in the next heist drop. Until then – Stay stealthy. Stay profitable. Stay legendary. 🐱‍👤💸🏆
Long
by The-Thief
Bitcoin Daily shows us that a HUGE Hurdle has been crossed The question I will answer in this post is "What is the significance of that Blue line that BTC PA is now sitting on" On the Daily chart, we can see it has been tested as support and Held. Previously, it was resistance.. So what ? This has happened many times before. Lets zoom out and look at the weekly. So, we see that the Blue line was also the rejection zone in 2021. Infact, if you look, it has rejected BTC PA 5 times since March 2021 and we have finaly managed to get over it and seem to be comfortable using ot as support now. This leaves the door open to move higher once PA is ready But there is WAY MORE to this Lets look at the monthly chart So now we see that that same Blue Arc has also been rejecting BTC PA since 2011. That is nearly the entire life span of Bitcoin and it is certainly the entire life span of its current Bullish momentum since we entered the current channel we are in.. So, in many way, this could be seen as a new beginning, a New cycle. We do need to remain cautious for now though. As we can see, we did get over this line in 2013 but fell back below......and of course, the possibility for this to happen again exists BUT we now have massive Corporate investment. This could stop that fall. PA needed to get over this line or fall. Should this fail to hold for now, we will return to lower lines of support, around 70K- 80K but I would anticipate a massive buying spree should that happen. The next few months in Bitcoin are absolutely CRUCIAL. We need to remain above this Arc. And as I have shown months ago, this Arc is not just a line drawn freehand. It is actually calculated and is part of a Fibonacci Arc. The Monthly chart also shows us we are near the ATH Zone on a time span shown under PA on this chart. We may not see the steep rise we have previously...but the Major Victory is remaining ABOVE this Blue Arc Fingers Crossed
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin vs Global M2: Can Liquidity Predict the future?This chart compares Bitcoin’s price (daily) with a Global M2 indicator that includes the monetary supply of major economies like the U.S., Eurozone, China, and Japan. It’s not a perfect global measure — but it gives us a reliable macro signal of what global liquidity is doing. And when it comes to Bitcoin, liquidity is everything. Why this matters: Bitcoin is often seen as volatile or unpredictable. But when we zoom out and overlay it with liquidity flows (like M2), a powerful pattern emerges: Bitcoin tends to follow global M2 with a ~10-week lag. When M2 rises, Bitcoin often rallies weeks later. When M2 contracts, Bitcoin loses momentum. This makes M2 a powerful leading indicator — not for predicting exact price levels, but for catching the direction of trend and regime shifts. What this chart tells us: M2 leads, Bitcoin follows. The curves won’t align perfectly — but the macro structure is there. Big expansions in M2 create a friendlier environment for risk assets like BTC. This is the same logic used by macro strategists like Raoul Pal: liquidity drives everything. Important disclaimer: This doesn’t mean M2 tells you where price will be on a specific date. But it can help identify turning points — and confirm whether we’re in a reflationary vs contractionary environment. Think of it as a weather forecast, not a GPS pin. In other words: This chart doesn't show the price. It shows the future.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JoseCeppi
3
▒₿▒ BITCOIN FORECAST | 6HR ▒₿▒Hello @everyone. Long time. . . I was on a 3 year spiritual journey. I am back now and have many good things in the works. Who took my (non-financial) advice 3 years ago when I called the low of $15K a year in advance? And who believed me that it would go to $150K once we hit that $15K low? Who believes me now? Are you still thinking we've topped? Or do you think we have our $150K target in sight? Have a look at this 6 HR Forecast. We have a low coming around AUG 8TH at $108K. And the most notable ATH of $151K around SEPT 5TH. This is it. The playbook years in advance. I have never asked for anything or tried to sell you anything. It's all been done from a position of "paying it forward". Please, if you've taken my advice do the same. I first bought Bitcoin in 2011. Was part of the MT GOX hack. And have had many ups and downs since then. One thing has never changed. . . And that is that Bitcoin is King. It's an asset class and a hedge against inflation. We're seeing this happen more now than ever. It's only got inflation as the halvings continue. The inflation rate of Bitcoin since/after this last halving is 0.84%. Bitcoin is up over 120-Million percent since 2011. Look at the BTC 6 MONTH candle chart and you'll see what Crypto asset you want to be in. Bitcoin is the only crypto asset. When I first bought BTC it wasn't possible to purchase on an exchange with a debit card. I had to buy Linden Dollars from "Second Life" (which didn't always work because I had to deal with International Payment Processors due to US restrictions), then convert them to BTC on Mt Gox. Hardware wallets were not a thing. Now you can setup your bank account to auto buy on Coinbase and others. It's easier than ever. Store your coins on a hardware wallet and stay protected from the next FTX or hack. This is the asset of the future. The "Digital Gold". I've seen the future and it runs on Blockchain and digital/virtual currency. A Super Artificial Intelligence will run and optimize all of our systems. Voting, assets, deeds, ownership and more will all be on a public blockchain ledger. DEMATERIALIZATION/VIRTUALIZATION INFORMATION & MEDIA Music We had music being played using metal, tin and wax in the 1800's, then mid 1900's we went to Vinyl and later in the late 1900's we went to plastic cassettes. And in 1990 - 2000 we had the CD which used laser optics to play the music. Effectively digitizing it. Then of course the MP3 player which was the next evolution in digitization. But where are we now? We are still in a type of digitization however it's evolved also. We are in a virtualization, where the music is not stored on the device itself, it's stored on servers which host the data to be accessed in the cloud/virtually. You see the progression? Metal/Wood > Vinyl/Plastic > Plastic/Digital > Metal/Digital > Virtual (Or even further simplified on a higher level it would be Thoughts > Things > Digital > Virtual >) What else has taken this path? Movies Metal/Wood - Film Projectors & Metal Reels Plastic - Video Cassettes Plastic/Digital - Optical Discs Metal/Digital - Personal Digital Devices Virtual - Cloud-Based Streaming Books & The Written Word Metal/Wood - The Printing Press Paper/Plastic - Paperback Books Plastic/Digital - Digital Archives on Discs Metal/Digital - Handheld E-readers Virtual - Cloud Libraries & Audiobooks Money & Finance Metal/Wood - Gold & Silver Coins (and even wooden coins) Plastic - Payment Cards Plastic/Digital - Secure Chip Cards Metal/Digital - Mobile & Digital Wallets Virtual - Digital/Crypto Currencies This is the natural progression path. Are you the one still listening to cassette tapes while the MP3 player exists? Are you still using a physical thing while the virtual exists? (Nostalgia aside.) NOW IS THE TIME! Gold has been virtualized and it's called Bitcoin. While trading at 1,200,000 times more than it was 14 years ago it still has not yet realized it maximum value. In the past Gold and Silver were taken and bank/promissory notes were given in exchange. In fact it became illegal to not exchange your Gold and Silver for Dollars in the US. (1933 with the issuance of Executive Order 6102 by President Franklin D. Roosevelt.) The Dollar has no cap and is no different than Doge in that sense. BTC has a cap and a proof of work concept just like Gold. If you need to pay for things convert your BTC when you need to but holding or planning on making money off any other crypto currency that does not provide a base layer for our new virtualized financial infostructure it will not happen. BITCOIN IS FINANCIAL LIBERATION FOR YOU, YOUR FAMILY, FRIENDS AND LEGACY. BTC is up 3,000% in the past five and half years alone. That's a 5.45 X Multiple per year. 545% growth rate compared to the unlimited and inflationary Dollar. Why not setup a reoccurring dollar cost average automatic purchase? We live in a day of virtualized programable currency, why not convert vapor currency to digital gold with the few clicks? I am not a financial advisor. I am a Bitcoin Maximalist. Trade at your own risk. Assume your own responsibilities. I have a big project I'm working on right now but also working on some TV Indicators in the background. I will share them with you all once I'm done testing them. DISCLAIMER I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CRYPTIK1
14
Bitcoin - The cycles are playing out!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just repeats another cycle: 🔎Analysis summary: Following all of the previous all time high breakouts, Bitcoin will now further extend the rally. After some simple calculation, we can see that Bitcoin will rally another +50% in order to reach the overall price target. However there will be volatility along the way so make sure to remain calm. 📝Levels to watch: $200.000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
21
Why Bitcoin's Bull Run Hits a WallBitcoin's Bull Run Hits a Wall: A Deep Dive into the $115K Correction, Record Leverage, and the Battle for Market Control A sudden and violent tremor has shaken the cryptocurrency market to its core. After a period of quiet range-bound trading, Bitcoin has decisively moved from consolidation to a sharp correction, plunging below the critical $116,000 support level and briefly touching $115,000. The abrupt downturn triggered a "bloodbath for crypto longs," liquidating hundreds of thousands of traders and wiping out nearly $600 million in leveraged positions. Yet, as the dust settles, a complex and contradictory picture emerges. While institutional sell-offs and cascading liquidations paint a grim short-term picture, record-high open interest, significant liquidity grabs, and bullish on-chain signals suggest the long-term uptrend may be far from over. This article delves into the anatomy of the crash, the forces that fueled it, and the fierce battle between bearish catalysts and bullish undercurrents that will define Bitcoin's next move. Part 1: The Anatomy of the Correction - From Sideways to Sell-Off For weeks, Bitcoin's price action was characterized by consolidation, a phase where an asset trades within a defined range, reflecting market indecisiveness. After a strong upward trend that pushed Bitcoin to new highs above $120,000, this period of sideways movement was seen by many as a healthy pause before the next leg up. However, this placid surface masked building pressure. The transition from this consolidation phase to a full-blown correction was swift and brutal. A market correction is defined as a rapid price change, often a decline of at least 10% but less severe than a crash, that disrupts an asset's prevailing trend. The recent tumble below $116,000 fits this description perfectly. The sell-off was not a gradual slide but a violent dislocation, breaking through established support levels and triggering a wave of panic. This dramatic shift was exacerbated by several key factors. On-chain data revealed that a significant institutional player, Galaxy Digital, unleashed a massive sell-off, reportedly moving billions in Bitcoin to exchanges. This sudden injection of supply into the market acted as a powerful catalyst, overwhelming buy-side pressure and initiating the downward price spiral. The market's reaction was immediate, with the price slicing through the psychological support at $116,000 and heading towards the next major liquidity zone around $115,000. Part 2: The Cascade - A $600 Million Bloodbath for Leveraged Traders The speed of the price drop had a devastating impact on the derivatives market, a space where traders use borrowed funds to amplify their bets on price movements. The sudden downturn resulted in one of the most significant liquidation events in recent memory, with 213,729 traders liquidated for a total of nearly $600 million over a 24-hour period. What is a Liquidation? In crypto futures trading, liquidation is the forced closure of a trader's position by an exchange. This happens when a trader can no longer meet the margin requirements for their leveraged position, meaning their collateral is insufficient to cover their mounting losses. For example, a trader using 20x leverage on a $1,000 position controls $20,000 worth of Bitcoin. However, a mere 5% price move against them can wipe out their entire initial capital, triggering a liquidation. The recent event was a "bloodbath for crypto longs," meaning traders who had bet on the price of Bitcoin increasing were the primary victims. As the price fell, these long positions became unprofitable, and once they crossed their liquidation price, exchanges automatically sold the collateral on the open market to cover the losses. This process created a deadly feedback loop known as a liquidation cascade. The first wave of forced selling from liquidated longs added more downward pressure on the price. This, in turn, pushed the price down further, triggering the liquidation of another set of long positions whose liquidation prices were slightly lower. This domino effect—where liquidations cause lower prices, which in turn cause more liquidations—is what transforms a standard price dip into a violent market crash. This automated, rapid chain reaction is a hallmark of the highly leveraged and volatile crypto markets. Part 3: The Fuel for the Fire - Open Interest Reaches a Record $44 Billion Underpinning this massive liquidation event was an unprecedented buildup of leverage in the market, best measured by a metric called Open Interest (OI). Open Interest represents the total number of active or unsettled futures contracts in the market. It’s a measure of the total capital and number of positions committed to the derivatives market, distinct from trading volume, which counts both opened and closed positions. An increase in OI signifies that new money and new positions are entering the market, often leading to higher volatility. In a stunning development, as Bitcoin's price began to plunge, the total Open Interest surged to a new all-time high of $44 billion. This unusual divergence—where price falls while open interest rises—suggested that a significant number of new short positions were being opened to bet against the market, while many longs remained trapped, hoping for a reversal. This created a powder keg of leverage. Further fueling this was a notable surge on the world's largest crypto exchange. On-chain data showed that traders added 10,000 Bitcoin worth of open interest to the BTCUSDT perpetual contract on Binance alone. This single-day surge in open interest on a key trading pair signaled a massive influx of speculative capital. High open interest acts as fuel for volatility. With so many leveraged contracts open, any sharp price movement can trigger the kind of cascading liquidations that were just witnessed. The record-breaking $44 billion in open positions meant the market was more susceptible than ever to a violent deleveraging event. Part 4: The Big Players - A Tale of Two Whales The recent market turmoil cannot be fully understood without examining the actions of its largest participants: the whales and institutions. Their movements often create the initial waves that retail traders are forced to navigate. On the bearish side, the primary catalyst for the sell-off appears to be Galaxy Digital. The digital asset financial services firm was observed moving tens of thousands of Bitcoin, worth billions of dollars, to centralized exchanges. These flows were reportedly part of a larger liquidation of holdings from a dormant "Satoshi-era" whale, with Galaxy acting as the intermediary to facilitate the sale. By strategically offloading such a massive amount, even if through over-the-counter (OTC) desks to minimize initial impact, the sheer volume of sell pressure eventually spilled into the public markets, triggering the correction. The firm's subsequent withdrawal of over a billion dollars in stablecoins from exchanges further suggests a large-scale profit-taking or strategic de-risking maneuver. However, this institutional selling pressure is contrasted by a powerful bullish undercurrent. Even as the market reeled, other large players were making bold, long-term bets. Reports surfaced of a significant whale bet on Bitcoin reaching a staggering $200,000 by the end of the year. This dichotomy highlights the deep division in market sentiment. While some large entities are taking profits or repositioning, others view this correction as a prime accumulation opportunity, demonstrating unwavering conviction in Bitcoin's long-term trajectory. This clash of titans—the institutional seller and the long-term bullish whale—defines the current market structure. The price is caught in a tug-of-war between immediate, heavy supply and deep-pocketed, long-term demand. Part 5: Reading the Tea Leaves - A Healthy Reset or the Start of a Bear Market? While the headlines scream "bloodbath" and "crash," a deeper analysis of market mechanics and on-chain data offers a more nuanced perspective. Several key indicators suggest that this brutal pullback, while painful, may be a healthy reset rather than the beginning of a sustained bear market. Argument 1: The Pullback Remains Within Normal Volatility Range Bitcoin is notoriously volatile, and sharp corrections are a historical feature of its bull markets. Drawdowns of 30-40% have been common pit stops during previous bull runs. While a drop from over $120,000 to $115,000 is significant, analysts point out that such moves are not out of character for the asset. Historically, major cycle-ending bear markets have seen drawdowns exceeding 75-80%. In contrast, mid-cycle corrections serve to wipe out excess leverage, shake out weak hands, and build a more sustainable foundation for future growth. This event, though severe for leveraged traders, may fall into the category of a standard, albeit sharp, bull market correction. Argument 2: A Necessary Liquidity Grab Sophisticated market analysis suggests the plunge below $115,000 was a textbook liquidity grab. This is a maneuver, often initiated by large players or "smart money," where the price is intentionally pushed to a level where a high concentration of stop-loss and liquidation orders are known to exist. By triggering these sell orders, large buyers can absorb the resulting liquidity to fill their own large positions at more favorable prices before reversing the market direction. The area just below a key psychological level like $115,000 is a prime location for such a maneuver. The rapid dip followed by a stabilization could indicate that this was not a panic-driven crash, but a calculated move to hunt liquidity before the next leg up. Argument 3: Bullish Signals from Spot Markets and On-Chain Data While the derivatives market was in turmoil, other indicators flashed bullish signals. One analyst pointed to a strong correlation between surges in Binance's spot trading volume and subsequent price upswings. Recently, Binance's share of the spot market volume surged significantly, a move that has historically preceded rallies. High spot volume indicates genuine buying and selling activity, as opposed to the paper bets of the futures market, and can signal strong underlying demand. Furthermore, key on-chain metrics suggest the long-term bullish scenario remains intact. Analysts highlighted that Bitcoin's price found support near the "Realized Price" for short-term holders, indicating that recent buyers were not panic-selling in large numbers. Other metrics, such as those showing that major long-term holders are retaining their assets despite record prices, paint a picture of underlying market strength that contrasts with the short-term speculative chaos. Conclusion: A Market at a Crossroads The dramatic plunge to $115,000 was a multifaceted event, a perfect storm of institutional profit-taking, extreme leverage, and the brutal mechanics of the crypto derivatives market. For the over-leveraged trader, it was a catastrophe. For the long-term investor, it may have been a fleeting opportunity. The market now stands at a critical juncture, defined by conflicting forces. On one hand, the specter of institutional selling, exemplified by the Galaxy Digital offload, looms large. The record-high open interest, though slightly diminished after the liquidations, still represents a significant amount of leverage that could fuel further volatility. On the other hand, the arguments for a bullish continuation are compelling. The idea that the crash was a calculated liquidity grab, the historical precedent for sharp bull market corrections, the strength in spot market volumes, and the conviction of long-term holders all suggest that the core uptrend is resilient. The whale betting on a $200,000 price by year-end serves as a potent symbol of this underlying confidence. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining which of these forces will prevail. The battle between the short-term pressures of deleveraging and the long-term thesis of accumulation will be fought in the charts and on the blockchain. While the bloodbath for longs served as a stark reminder of the perils of leverage, it may have also been the violent, necessary purge required to cleanse the market and pave the way for a more sustainable ascent.
OKX:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Quick BITCOIN Fair Value Gap Update -Where will dip stop The sharp drop caused by Galaxy Digital seel off has brought PA to a line of support but also to the top of a Fair Value Gap ( FVG) This could cause a further slide as traders decide to try and pick up some BTC from this gap. FVG have a tendancy to be used as Good trading spots due to the lack of previous trading in that range So, if support breaks, we could see a return to 111K as the fist gap gets filled. We could alsp return to 109K - 107Kshuold momentum continue. And finaly, should the move seem to attractive to some, a final Wick down to 97K is possible. This would Terrify many and would also be such a Good opportunity to buy. I think it is unlikely though Just my opinion but I am looking to place Buy orders between 109 - 107......just incase
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BITCOIN IS CREATING A SECRET PATTERN! (Huge move incoming?!)Yello paradisers! I'm describing to you what's going on with Bitcoin right now. We are creating a secret pattern that is forming, and once its neckline is reclaimed, we are going to have a huge movement. In this video, I'm sharing with you the most important support and resistances on multiple time frames. We are describing Elliott wave theory wave count, and taking a look at candlestick patterns. We are talking about confirmations necessary for bullish and bearish cases. I'm explaining to you what the professional trading signals need for long-term profitability. Some of the points are great risk-reward ratios. I'm talking about that in the video. One of them is taking only the highest probability trade setups, and having the patience and discipline to wait for them. I'm talking about proper strategy which is needed, and systemology in your overall trading and how important it is. Here on TradingView, I'm describing to you the overall bias I have on Bitcoin right now. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
8
BITCOIN Indicates Consolidating Moves Before StronBitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis Report Summary and Conclusion Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $117,000 to $118,000, showing a slight pullback from its recent all-time high near $123,000. The market sentiment is moderately bullish but cautious, with technical indicators signaling some overbought conditions and short-term consolidation. Institutional interest appears to be cooling off slightly, as evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, while accumulation continues across various investor tiers, including whales and retail holders. Key resistance is near $119,400-$120,000, and support lies around $117,200-$116,900. The market is in a "perfect accumulation" phase, with strong buying support despite some profit-taking. The Fear & Greed Index is at 70, indicating greed but not extreme euphoria. Recent news highlights a mixed picture: Bitcoin remains dominant and stable, but altcoins are gaining some momentum. Institutional flows are shifting somewhat from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other altcoins. Experts predict potential for Bitcoin to reach $200,000 to $250,000 later this year, driven by macroeconomic factors like credit expansion and fiat inflation. Detailed Analysis 1. Price and Market Data Market Type Last Price (USD) 24h Change 24h High 24h Low 24h Volume (USD) Funding Rate (Contract) Spot 116,959.8 -1.65% 119,498.4 116,946.6 1.43B N/A Contract 116,962.7 -1.65% 119,492.9 116,935.5 8.91B 0.0001 Bitcoin is consolidating below $120,000 after reaching a peak of $123,218 on July 14. Trading volume remains robust, indicating active market participation. 2. Technical Indicators Bullish Signals: No strong bullish technical indicators currently detected. Bearish Signals: RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting short-term caution. Support and Resistance: Resistance: ~$119,416.6 Support: ~$117,227.4 MACD and other momentum indicators show indecisiveness, implying possible sideways movement or minor corrections before the next major move. 3. Market Sentiment Fear & Greed Index: 70 (Greed) Investor sentiment is bullish but tempered by profit-taking and cautious positioning. ETF flows show a recent reversal with $68 million outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, ending a 13-day inflow streak. Ethereum and altcoins are attracting more inflows, signaling a rotation in institutional interest. 4. Recent News Highlights Bitcoin remains dominant but has been mostly stagnant below $120K, while altcoins struggle for momentum. Institutional investors are shifting some capital from Bitcoin to Ethereum and other altcoins. Bitcoin is in a "perfect accumulation" phase, with all investor tiers building positions despite some whale transfers. Experts like Arthur Hayes predict Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by year-end, driven by credit expansion and macroeconomic factors. Network activity shows a slight dip in active addresses, indicating a short-term pause. Support levels around $116,952 and $114,354 are critical to watch for downside risk. Bitcoin's dominance remains strong at around 61%. 5. Outlook Short-term: Bitcoin may continue to consolidate between $117,000 and $120,000, with potential minor pullbacks due to overbought RSI. Medium to Long-term: Positive macro factors and accumulation trends suggest potential for new highs, possibly targeting $150,000 to $250,000. Watch for a breakout above $120,000 to confirm bullish momentum continuation. Monitor ETF flows and on-chain activity for signs of renewed institutional interest or caution. Recommendations for Traders and Investors Traders: Consider cautious trading around current levels, watching for RSI and MACD signals for entry/exit points. Be mindful of resistance near $120,000. Investors: Accumulation phase suggests good opportunities for long-term holding, especially if Bitcoin holds above $117,000. Risk Management: Keep stop-loss orders near support levels to mitigate downside risk in case of a correction.
by FxArena