Bitcoin Daily Timeframe - Daily UpdatesBitcoin is currently trading at transition prices. I am sharing a chart that highlights key price levels and potential scenarios for both short and long positions. I will provide daily updates on BTCUSD.
Key Price Levels:
Using the Fibonacci series: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, we derive the following levels:
0.5*(55+89)=72
72−55=17
0.5*17=8.5
Thus, the key levels are: 55K, 63.5K, 72K, 80.5K, and 89K.
Long Scenario:
The current price is 68.2K. According to the downtrend line, the main resistance is at 72K. If Bitcoin penetrates this level, it opens the path to the first target of 80.5K and the second target of 89K, which is the upper side of the uptrend channel on the weekly timeframe.
Short Scenario:
If Bitcoin fails to penetrate the 72K level, it will likely retest the support at 63.5K. I will provide updates as the situation evolves.
Bitcoinprice
Is Bitcoin ($BTC) heading toward a -50% correction Armageddon?Is Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) heading toward a -50% correction Armageddon? That is what the weekly chart seems to suggest.
I hate to be the pessimistic guy, but you don't need to be a trading and charting expert to see the similarities between 2021 and 2024.
What could trigger this massive correction is the incredible pump that the ETF has created. Imagine, for the first time in its history, Bitcoin has reached a new all-time high BEFORE the halving! That proves how much excitement and overheating the market experienced.
Unfortunately, the stronger the pump is, the harder the correction will be.
We can compare the 2021 chart on a weekly basis, and there are too many similarities for them to be coincidences. Because of the huge ETF pump, the MACD has gone ballistic, and now Bitcoin is way overbought.
The main concern is that it is on the weekly chart, so resetting this indicator will take about 2-3 months, which gives a lot of time for the price to move down and up until we finally reach a reversal, likely after an estimated 50% dump.
In this scenario, the bull run would have a double peak, like the one in 2021, with another bullish phase once the correction is finished, reaching the final goal of this bull run approximately at the end of 2024.
The RSI and volume are also confirming this scenario. The EMAs are positioned at the same distance from the action price.
This scenario is scary. We could see a -80% correction in altcoins.
I hope to read your comments invalidating this idea, because if this happen, I am definitively going back to work at McDonald!
BTCUSDT is showing signs of a short-term declineWith the current price of 66850, BTCUSDT is showing signs of a short-term decline. This is evidenced by decreasing trading volume and bearish momentum indicators, suggesting a potential downturn in price. Additionally, there are indications of an impending significant correction, highlighting the possibility of a period of consolidation in the near future. Traders should exercise caution and monitor price movements closely.
How far can #Bitcoin's decline continue?CRYPTOCAP:BTC 1D chart;
I mentioned earlier about the mismatch on the RSI side, my expectation was that it would rise around 4% from the level it saw before it started to decline, but it started its downward movement with the reaction it received from the falling trend line (red).
If you remember, I left the rotation up to here (gray arrow) to be seen on the chart. So our expectation was that a rise was already coming up to here. However, as below, we made a deviation of around 4% above.
Now let's see where we can go from here.
I have indicated another estimated rotation with the gray arrow. I had previously drawn a bullish pattern starting from around 48k and frankly I am still waiting for the possibility of a decline to this level.
The vertical yellow line on the right side is the day of the Fed Rate Meeting, i.e. 18.09.2024
For those of you who remember, I stated in my tweet dated 30.07.2024 that I expected an interest rate cut today and that I thought the mega bull season would officially start the next day. My expectation is still in this direction and has not changed.
My prediction is that the decline will continue gradually until this date.
I have a gap expectation for the opening on the Bitcoin CME side at night. Therefore, we will update its chart after the opening. Love✨ #btc #Bitcoin
Is #Bitcoin Dominance falling down?#Bitcoin Dominance 1W chart;
I would like to start by telling you that I have some good news
As I mentioned in the previous chart, 58.25% and then the OB resistance level of 62% are important.
I think it will have much more positive effects if it reaches 62% because it will weaken the resistance at this level.
This is the level that will help us in the next bull cycle. That's why I care about it.
Now for the good news...
As can be seen on the weekly chart, the RSI seems to have begun to mismatch.
After a fake out to the resistance level at 58.25%, I think that it will ease down for the initial target of the pattern.
After the 50% level is seen, I expect it to start a rise again and to turn its direction down as it tests the OB level, which is the second resistance while completing this pattern.
Bitcoin at Crossroads!Bitcoin at Crossroads!
> Bias: Neutral
> Key support: 58k
> Key resistance: 64k
Woops, we lost 64k AGAIN. That is usually translated as weakness. So we're back in this odd range where anything can happen. Not great, not terrible. What can we do next?
Wait for Monday!
You see, stock markets just nuked, Warren Buffet sold $50 billions of Apple stock. Do you think he's bullish? Not very much. These are times of uncertainty and the best tool you have is to follow the trend. Right now, altcoins are getting rekt, but Bitcoin still shows resilience, as does gold.
Can a run to safety follow if weakens on the stock market increases? Could happen, we're in uncharted territory. It is the first time Bitcoin had an ETF on the US stock market during an upcoming recession. Interesting times for sure.
Listen, if you have money. HOLD. Don't buy, don't gamble. Wait! Guard your cash like it's Bitcoin right now. Because if the market nukes, that's when you need it most. If the market pumps, take your profits and use that cash to buy in the bear market. Don't get greedy.
Yesterday, I wrote a detailed guide on how to play every cycle and I also posted a viral thread about Solana (just follow the links). Not the first time. Red flags will always be obvious in hindsight. Don't dismiss them and manage your risk properly. That means you work with BTC, Gold, and USD. That's it!
Monday will be a good signal where we go next. Only the US Fed can stop this train now. The ball is in their court. I do hope we get another exit window this year, then I'm out of the market (except BTC of course).
Thanks for reading and hit a follow for more updates!
Duo
The best time to buy BitcoinThe right time to buy Bitcoin
Recent events in the Middle East and recent news have caused a crash in crypto currencies.
But these are temporary.
And soon we will see Bitcoin rise again.
There's no need to have very long-term and high targets.
For now, buy at the two levels I've identified and hold until the mark I've made.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 2, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin experienced a significant drop from an attempt to complete the Inner Coin Rally of 70400. However, the Mean Resistance 68200 was the main barrier during this week's trading session. The overall trend suggests a recovery towards Mean Resistance 65300, with a possible extension to Mean Resistance 68200 and Inner Coin Rally 70400. There may be interim downward pressure toward the Mean Support at 55800 before the coin resumes its up movement.
Bitcoin - When will we see the breakout?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is preparing its most bullish breakout of the entire trading history!
After a couple years of trading experiences, you will simply stop paying attention to your emotions. Looking at the chart of Bitcoin objectively, you can see that everything is still incredibly bullish. Despite the hesitancy at the previous all time high, Bitcoin is also not rejecting it towards the downside. Eventually, we will just see a monstrous bullish breakout.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Fed Signals Possible Rate Cuts, but Crypto Markets Rattled
Federal Reserve officials signaled the possibility of a September rate cut during their July meeting: But crypto prices pulled back after Iran pledged it would retaliate against Israel for assassinating Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh on Iranian soil.
Donald Trump expressed strong support for cryptocurrency at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville: Trump pledged to set up a strategic bitcoin reserve, stop the US from selling its bitcoin, and fire SEC chair Gary Gensler if he gets re-elected.
Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick announced the firm's plan to establish a Bitcoin financing business with an initial $2 billion investment: The initiative aims to provide leverage to bitcoin investors and strengthen the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
The nine US spot Ethereum ETFs saw $98.29 million in outflows on Monday, extending their negative flow streak: BlackRock’s ETHA and Fidelity FETH led the inflows, while Grayscale Ethereum Trust faced significant outflows.
The SEC is looking to amend its complaint against Binance, which could delay a court ruling on the security status of specific tokens: This move involves third-party crypto asset securities and adheres to a court directive for further proceedings.
Fed Signals Possible Rate Cuts, but Middle East Tensions Rattle Crypto Markets
Federal Reserve officials at their July meeting on Wednesday opted to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25%-5%, after the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, a key inflation measure, increased by only 0.1% in June. This brought the year-over-year rise to 2.5%, down from 2.6% in May, moving closer to the Fed’s 2% inflation target.
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell for the first time hinted at the possibility of cutting rates in September, saying the move is “on the table” if the US continues to make progress on inflation. That would mark the first time the Fed has cut rates in four years.
The announcement did not appear to have much impact on cryptocurrency prices. On Wednesday, hitcoin dropped about 2%, below $65,000, while ether dropped more than 1%, hovering above $3,200. The negative price action came after a New York Times report indicated that Iran will take retaliatory action against Israel after Israel assassinated Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.
🪙 Topic of the Week: What Are Stablecoins?
➡️ Read more here