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Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days. Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further. A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price. Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Bitcoin: 74k-72k Line in the Sand!Hello everyone! First of all happy international women's day to all the ladies out there! (Don't forget to get flowers guys) Bitcoin is approaching a key area with extremely strong support, but several indicators also mark the line in the sand for the current bullmarket for Bitcoin. Weekly - Fib: 38.2% of the complete trend retracement (15.5k - 109.4k) - MA: 50 SMA (75.4k) - S/R: 70k-74k Strong supply/resistance area A consistent pattern emerges on Bitcoin's chart: breaks below the 50-week SMA (black line) after an all-time high (red arrows) have reliably indicated bear markets. Similarly, reclaiming the 50-week SMA (green arrows) has historically confirmed bull runs toward fresh all-time highs. 3D - Fib: 61.8% of the retracement from previous range low to current high (49.5k - 109.4k) - MA: 100 SMA (77k) On the 3-day chart, the 100 SMA has acted as strong support during this bull market. Bitcoin revisited the moving average on 5 individual occasions and bounced off it. Despite briefly closing below it twice, BTC quickly reclaimed it with the following candle. A potential correction to $70,000 is possible for Bitcoin. To maintain the bull market, it's crucial for bulls to find support there and drive the price back above the 3-day 100 SMA and the weekly 50 SMA. Happy trading! Pat
INDEX:BTCUSD
by BitcoinEasyIO
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the trading session for this week, we observed significant volatility characterized by considerable fluctuations, ultimately culminating in the completion of the coin Interim Coin Rally 94500. The coin experienced a substantial increase, reaching our Mean Resistance level of 92600, before encountering a steep pullback that resulted in its stabilization at the starting point of Mean Support of 84700. This upward fluctuation indicates a potential for higher prices and suggests a likelihood of retesting the target Mean Resistance levels at 90600, coinciding with the conclusion of Interim Coin Rally 94500. Nonetheless, a retest of the Key Support level at 79000 and the completed of the Outer Coin Dip 78700 may occur prior to any further upward momentum.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin: Navigating Market Volatility and Future PredictionsBitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, continues to dominate headlines with its characteristic volatility and the ever-present speculation surrounding its future trajectory. Recent market activity and expert analyses paint a complex picture, one where potential for significant growth is tempered by inherent risks and external economic factors. Several key themes emerge from recent news and analysis, offering a glimpse into the current state of Bitcoin and the factors influencing its price. The Potential for a US Crypto Reserve and its Impact One of the most significant potential catalysts for Bitcoin's price is the possibility of the United States government establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve. This concept, championed by figures like MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor and gaining traction within political circles, could have a profound impact on the market. Saylor has publicly suggested that the US government should acquire one million Bitcoin for its strategic reserves. He argues that this would legitimize Bitcoin as "digital property" and instill greater confidence in the cryptocurrency. Saylor pointed out that MicroStrategy already holds approximately 500,000 Bitcoins, which accounts for about 2.4% of the worldwide supply. He also suggested that the government could finance such a large crypto reserve through a deliberate, multi-year timeline, referencing a "six-month process" set out by a recent executive order. There is research that supports this view, estimating that a US crypto reserve could boost Bitcoin's market capitalization by roughly 25%, or approximately $460 billion. This potential surge is attributed to Bitcoin's limited liquid supply, meaning that large inflows from a government purchase could trigger upward price shocks. Furthermore, such a move could incentivize institutional investors and other countries' governments to allocate funds to Bitcoin, creating a positive feedback loop. While the idea has gained traction, particularly with endorsements from figures like Donald Trump, the path to establishing a national crypto reserve is not without its hurdles. Confusing messaging, legal challenges, and uneven progress across different states contribute to market uncertainty. The market currently views the probability of a national Bitcoin stockpile as relatively low due to challenges like confusing messaging and legal hurdles. Market Sentiment and Price Predictions Despite the potential for significant growth, market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin remains cautious. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a measure of overall market sentiment, consistently hovers in "Extreme Fear," even amidst price spikes. This suggests that while investors are drawn to potential gains, underlying anxieties about volatility and external economic pressures persist. Predicting Bitcoin's price with certainty remains an elusive task, but analysts offer varying perspectives. Master Ananda, for example, believes that Bitcoin's price bottom is in, following a recent dip below $80,000. However, other analysts urge caution. The recent rebound of Bitcoin to over $90,000 was short-lived, with the price retreating due to concerns about a potential recession, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, and uncertainty surrounding the US crypto reserve. This highlights the sensitivity of Bitcoin to broader economic factors and geopolitical events. Technical Analysis and Market Dynamics Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price charts provides further insights into its current state. The recent formation of back-to-back weekly "hammer candles," a pattern seen only a handful of times in Bitcoin's history, suggests potential bullish momentum. However, the failure of a recent price rebound to break through key resistance levels indicates that the path to higher prices may not be straightforward. The relationship between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets, particularly the S&P 500, also plays a crucial role. Historically, Bitcoin has struggled during periods of high volatility in the S&P 500, as measured by the VIX. This correlation suggests that broader economic anxieties can negatively impact Bitcoin's price. The Influence of Global Liquidity and External Factors Beyond specific events and technical indicators, broader macroeconomic factors influence Bitcoin's trajectory. Analyses suggest that global liquidity trends favor crypto and risk assets. The global money supply is expected to reach new all-time highs, potentially boosting Bitcoin's price. A dropping US Dollar Index (DXY) also signals a shift in favor of crypto. The upcoming US Crypto Summit, organized by the Trump administration, is anticipated to be a key event that could provide clarity and potentially influence Bitcoin's future trajectory. Market participants are eagerly awaiting the summit's outcomes, as they could provide crucial insights into the regulatory landscape and government's stance on cryptocurrencies. Conclusion Bitcoin's current landscape is a complex interplay of potential catalysts, market sentiment, technical indicators, and macroeconomic forces. The possibility of a US crypto reserve offers a significant upside potential, but market anxieties and external economic pressures create a degree of uncertainty. While some analysts predict a rapid surge in price, others emphasize the need for caution and highlight the importance of monitoring broader market dynamics. As Bitcoin continues to evolve, its price will likely remain sensitive to both internal developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem and external factors shaping the global economy. The upcoming US Crypto Summit and future policy decisions will be critical in shaping Bitcoin's future direction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility. An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key. The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale. Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance. The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines. The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way. And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding. Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support. See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall. To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st ) The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet. And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600 I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K Lets see if this works out
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Halving to ATH data -2 year UPDATE-conflicting results I havw Noticed in recent days, people "Boosting" A chart I posted in Dec 2022, called "BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %" So I thought I would update it and see where we are now. In it, i said 2024 would be a Good year. Well, we got that in many ways and not surprisingly but we have seen some things that point towards this being a VERY different cycle and I will explain some of them here So, as the title suggests, Lets Look at the Halving to ATH - For a start, I need to explain the issue we have with 2021 - 2 major ATH and a divided community about which one was the REAL ATH and so on. There are plenty of reasons to accept the NOV 2021 ATH as the real one, mostly because it was the highest price ! It was also a similar day count from previous Halving to ATH and so I am working with that. The Current Bitcoin ATH was 280 days after Halving. A Lot Less than any previous day count from Halving to ATH.. We are however, still under the 365 count we had in 2012 Halving to ATH - So...for me, the possibility that we have NOT seen Cycle ATH still exists for many reasons.. And yet, at the same time, I am Very aware that this Cycle has seen accelerated adoption because of ETF's etc,,,,,,so, please Keep an open mind. Using the day Count system and the Nov 2021 day count, we could expect this Cycle ATH around Oct 2025 - probably safer to say Q4 But how High ? The % rise from ATH to ATH is an interesting topic here. 2012 to 2017 ATH saw a 1144.6% Rise in PA 2017 to 2021 ATH ( Nov ) saw a 326,3% rise in PA - This is 3.5 X SMALLER than the previous Rise. Using that 3.5 Smaller calculation, that gives us an % rise of 92.4% and an ATH of around 121K for this cycle. Kind of contradicts expectations and this alone could point towards that fact we may have already be near reacheing cycle Top ! (I have posted a Far more detailed chart about this and will be updating it soon) BUT, the Crunch comes when we look at the Halving to ATH, as mentioned in the title I wrote in Dec 2022 2012 Halving 10K% rise after 2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after 2020 Halving 700 % rise after Projected PA in 2024 /5 would also be 700% BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates We got earlier Pumps due to ETF expectations, as can be seen by how far of the Curve PA rose in 2024 - This has completely changed how strong PA was at Halving and how Much further it could rise. In facr, if you look back over previous Halvings, PA has been FLAT by comparison. And so, Since the Bitcoin Halving in March 2024, to the current ATH, we have only seen a 62.8% Rise If PA Had been on the Curve in the chart at the halving date, we would have seen a 397.8% eise to the current ATH This Highlights a Massive change in how PA is rising But, at the same time, We would still most likely be in the Range we are now in. And Lastly, I want to show you this I mentioned in Dec 2022 how Bitcoin PA could expect a 700% Rise in Price from Halving to cycle ATH I was WRONG From Where PA was at Halving to the Expected ATH mark on Rising trend line, it will be 651% rise and around 500K So, in conclusion, despite a massive change in how PA approached Halving and how Shallow the rise in PA has been compared to previous cycles after Halving, we are Still in a VERY Good place. However, if you Look at just the ATH to ATH dats calculation, we may already he near TOP.... Take you pick - For Me, I am holding out for Q4 but I have safe guards in place should it turn out we have peaked early. But do remember, this is a Projection..No guarantees......But we can hope Stay safe and Love your Neighbour
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Holds Strong Above 200MA – Is the Next Rally Incoming?Bitcoin has successfully defended the $84K-$86K support zone, with the CME gap now fully closed. On the daily timeframe, BTC remains above the 200MA, signaling strong bullish momentum. With macroeconomic factors aligning in favor of crypto, this could be the start of another leg higher. Technical Analysis: • Support Zone: $84K - $86K held firm, preventing further downside. • CME Gap Closure: The retracement completed the necessary gap-fill, eliminating inefficiencies. • Trend Reversal Signal: BTC has reclaimed the 200MA on the daily chart, reinforcing bullish sentiment. • Breakout Watch: Price is approaching a descending trendline, a breakout above could trigger a strong move toward the $110K target. Fundamental Analysis: • Bitcoin ETF Impact: Institutional demand continues to grow with ETF adoption. • Macroeconomic Tailwinds: The Fed’s expected slowdown in rate hikes is a net positive for risk assets like BTC. • Geopolitical Factors: Increased demand for BTC as a hedge against economic instability and inflation. • Regulatory Developments: A more constructive approach from regulators supports long-term adoption. With bullish momentum building, Bitcoin is at a key inflection point. Will it break out and push towards new highs? Stay tuned and trade wisely! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %Monthly #Bitcoin chart with Halving dates what is notable is how much the % increase in PA has been dropping each halving. 2012 Halving 10K% rise after 2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after 2020 Halving 700 % rise after Projected PA below would also be 700% BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates May well be a great idea to grab your NOW..because the price WILL go mental as the world sees the TradFi recession also. 2024 is going to be an interesting year to say the least
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
BTC at a Critical Crossroad: One More High to $130K?BTC: The price remains in a larger correction that began in December. While I still view one more high in this cycle as ideal—potentially targeting $130,000—the minimum requirements for completing a larger 5-wave pattern from the November 2022 lows have already been met. Any additional high would be more of a bonus than a necessity. A break below $69,140 would provide further confirmation that a substantial top has formed, aligning with the red scenario. For now, $69,140 serves as the key bull/bear pivot, helping us distinguish between the possibility of one more high and the onset of a larger correction or even a potential bear market. Regardless, I am closely monitoring the current price region for signs of an upside reversal. Even if this only results in red wave B, it could still push the price into the $92,000–$104,100 range.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by MCOGlobal
1
BTC support level - break or bounce?BTCUSD on the 1D chart is sitting at 200DMA line. It first broke through on Feb 28, 2025 and closed above. Weekend news on crypto reserve from President Trump generated a quick pump and dump. As of late day March 3, it touched the 200DMA again and has held above. Next move: On a break, next major support is around 72870. On a bounce, target at congestion zone between 96000 to 100000, with significant ceiling from the 50 and 100DMA at 97000 and declining. Market-moving fundamental news can be expected around the U.S.crypto summit on March 7th. BTC may be (relatively) range-bound until then.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by StrobeT
Bitcoin Weekly chart shows PA under pressure - Key support Lost This is my most trusted chart that I have begun sharing on Trading View. And as you can see, the weekend was Not good for PA as we fell off that Long Term support. In many ways, that is not surprising really. Weekly MACD has a Long way to fall before Neutral, as you can see in the chart below I am hoping that PA is aiming for at least the Neutral line before going higher for a new Cycle ATH. As you can see, at current Rate of descent, it is Mid May to Early June before we get there. The shorter term problem we now face is simply that PA fell below that support and despite a great rally to recover from the Dip down to fill that CME GAP I have talked about ( which did not get fully filled). We got rejected off that line of support we once had ( See chart below ) This is the Daily version of the same chart above and you can see, rejection was bang on that line. And so you understand, that Rally, Jump higher over the weekend, opened up a Bigger CME Gap . ( I posted about this Earlier today) And, as you can see, we have 3 lines of Major support below. This starts with a rising long Term support at around 74K ( origins in 2017 ) Then we have the 2 fib Extension at 68242. Remember, the Roof we had since Dec was the 2.618 Then we hit 63K if those listed above fail. For me, A worst case scenario will be that 2 Fib extension and so, I have once again placed Spot Buy orders around 70K What a superb buying opportunity when you think about the possibility of a Cycle ATH in Q4 of around 250K MINIMUM ! So, in summery, I am holding with the idea of that RED March I mentioned in previous posts and small Green April / May but Green Rockets from June onwards, depending, of course, on Macro events and so many other things........This is just an idea..NOT FACT. So, do not loose heart, Bitcoin is FINE. We just seem to need "Thoughts and Prayers" for all those ALTS Mr Trump does seem to be trying to kick start ALT season...But the real world Liquidity for his Cryprto ideals are .....questionable...... Unless....................
by Orriginal