Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin displayed substantial volatility during this week’s trading sessions, reaching our Mean Support level of 91800 and completing our Inner Coin Rally of 103600. Currently, the threshold for Bitcoin is established at Mean Support 96000, with the completion of the Inner Coin Rally 103600 now noted. Recent analyses indicate that the cryptocurrency will likely surpass the completed Inner Coin Rally 103600, which may rekindle its upward trajectory towards the anticipated Outer #1 Coin Rally 110000 and beyond. The possible pullback to Mean Support 96000 will effectively position the market for the next phase of a bullish trend.
Bitcoinprice
TradeCityPro | TRBUSDT Solid Coin for Spot with Target Review👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze the TRB coin from a spot perspective, avoiding a focus on futures, while examining its technical triggers and potential targets.
🏆 Bitcoin Overview
Before diving into TRB, let’s quickly touch on Bitcoin. Last night, BTC experienced a sharp corrective move with some FOMO-induced sell-offs, causing market-wide fear. However, the dip was primarily confined to Bitcoin, and it quickly rebounded.
Corrections like this are typical during a bull market, and maintaining calm is crucial. With proper risk management in place, such moments shouldn’t lead to panic. Remember, the worst-case scenario is hitting a stop loss, but often, positions don't even get triggered in such volatile conditions.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
TRB is among the coins that experienced a significant pump of over 1,000% before the bull market even began. A key positive aspect is that it never returned to its previous yearly low, similar to Solana.
After this strong upward movement, it consistently bounced off a robust support level, indicating that sellers are losing momentum and buyers are entering the market.
Additionally, a downward trendline is evident, which is more of a continuation pattern. Breaking this trendline doesn’t require a specific trigger; after the breakout, we’ll invalidate all lower-high resistances, leading to higher price movement.
With the current weekly candle, we can open a position in spot trading because , The candle has significant volume , It has broken the trendline , RSI is poised to enter overbought territory next week.
Fibonacci Analysis for Targets
By drawing a Fibonacci retracement from a clear high (ignoring FOMO-driven peaks), we can identify The 52.37 level aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level, making it a strong support zone.
Target Levels :After breaking the 136.49 resistance, there are no significant resistances until Fibonacci extensions at: 243.12 - 623 - 1219
These levels are realistic, assuming TRB reaches a market cap of $2 billion, which depends on its ongoing development and adoption.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
On the TRB/BTC pair, the coin has formed a green candle after bouncing from the 0.000723 support level.
The good news is that TRB consolidated during its downtrend rather than continuously falling.
After breaking 0.001215, a significant upward trend can begin , RSI breaking 50.80 would provide additional momentum confirmation.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Now Funding Rates Have Fixed, Where Were We?Now that BTC USDT funding rates have fixed, where were we?
Bitcoin's funding rate normalization is a positive signal for market stability, often indicating that extreme sentiment (either bullish or bearish) is cooling off. This creates a more balanced environment for the next major move.
Resistance and the 110K Target
If the key resistance level you are watching breaks, the idea of a path to $110K becomes plausible under certain conditions:
Momentum Confirmation: A strong breakout above the resistance with high volume and no immediate rejection is crucial.
Market Sentiment: If the broader sentiment shifts positively, it could drive significant buying pressure.
Macro Factors: Bitcoin's trajectory could be influenced by external factors like macroeconomic data, institutional adoption, or regulatory clarity.
See how Latest BTC Analyzes hit TP
Latest Bitcoin Analyzes
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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Bitcoin Going to Zero ? The End of Bitcoin ?Before you all feel any trauma or alarm from the title, I urge you to stay calm and read this idea carefully to understand the broader perspective.
History of Bitcoin: The Rise of Decentralization
Bitcoin's journey began in 2008, when an anonymous figure under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto introduced it through a white paper titled Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Nakamoto’s vision was to create a decentralized currency, free from government or central bank control, using blockchain technology. The first block, called the genesis block, was mined in January 2009, marking the birth of Bitcoin.
Despite Nakamoto's critical role in Bitcoin's inception, his true identity remains a mystery, leading to much speculation over the years. Some have theorized that he could be a single individual, while others suggest that Nakamoto could be a group of people or even a government agency. After releasing the software and participating in the early days of the network, Nakamoto gradually withdrew from public involvement, leaving the Bitcoin community to grow independently. This disappearance into the shadows has only added to the intrigue and mystique surrounding the cryptocurrency's origins.
While Nakamoto remains a key figure in Bitcoin's history, he has remained silent since 2011, with no clear explanation as to why he stepped back.
1. BIS: The Puppet Master of Global Finance
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is often referred to as the "central bank of central banks" due to its unique role in fostering international monetary and financial cooperation. Established in 1930, it serves as an umbrella organization for central banks worldwide, providing a platform for collaboration and offering banking services to them. The BIS is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland, and its primary objectives are to promote financial stability, monitor economic trends, and facilitate communication between global central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and others.
Over time, the BIS has played a crucial role in shaping global monetary policies, overseeing financial markets, and fostering agreements between the world's leading financial institutions. It is instrumental in setting regulatory standards and guidelines that many countries' central banks follow. This level of control and influence positions the BIS at the centre of international financial governance, which is critical when discussing the future of currencies, including Bitcoin and the potential shift to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
As a body that influences the direction of global banking, the BIS has been actively involved in discussing and exploring the future of digital currencies. Given the growing interest in decentralized cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, the BIS has expressed concerns over the stability of decentralized systems and has advocated for centralized digital currencies to ensure that monetary policy can remain under control, furthering the possibility of a CBDC rollout in the future.
3. Why Bitcoin’s Fall to Zero Could Be a Strategic Move
Now, with global economies struggling under record-high debt levels, central banks might see Bitcoin as a bubble ready to pop. The BIS could leverage its influence to push for a CBDC revolution, positioning these centralized digital currencies as “safer” and more reliable alternatives to Bitcoin. By orchestrating a dramatic collapse in Bitcoin, the narrative could shift, convincing the public that decentralized currencies are unstable and unsustainable.
CBDCs are fundamentally different from Bitcoin:
- Fully controlled by central banks.
- Allow tracking and surveillance of every transaction.
- Provide central banks the ability to impose negative interest rates or freeze funds.
This shift would mark a return to centralized control, with individuals losing the financial freedom Bitcoin promised.
4. Was This the Plan All Along?
It’s not far-fetched to believe that Bitcoin’s rise and fall have been part of a larger test. During the pandemic, Bitcoin surged on the back of mass media promotions and institutional FOMO. Billionaires like Elon Musk promoted Dogecoin and Bitcoin, fuelling speculative buying. Yet, when the dust settled, the same institutions that promoted Bitcoin quietly accumulated it during crashes.
With Bitcoin at $100,000 now, the euphoric belief in its unstoppable rise mirrors past market bubbles. Could this be the final phase of Bitcoin’s journey before an engineered collapse leads to the introduction of CBDCs as the “solution”?
5. What’s Next?
If Bitcoin does crash to zero, it will be a defining moment for cryptocurrencies and global finance. CBDCs would emerge as the dominant narrative, backed by the BIS and central banks, with promises of stability, security, and control. However, it would come at the cost of financial freedom and decentralization.
Disclaimer:
The post explores possibilities based on historical trends, institutional behaviours, and emerging global financial strategies. While I am not claiming that Bitcoin will inevitably fall to zero, we cannot ignore the potential for this to occur, especially as major players like the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) push for a centralized currency system under the guise of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
The BIS, as the central bank of central banks, is focused on pushing for a centralized, controlled financial system, and this has implications for decentralized systems like Bitcoin. They are aiming to promote their agenda of centralization, and in doing so, they seek to control the masses through monetary power, which is in direct opposition to the fundamental principles behind Bitcoin’s decentralized nature.
This is not final financial advice, nor am I claiming Bitcoin will necessarily collapse to zero. However, the possibility cannot be ignored, especially when considering the global financial forces at play. I urge you to think critically and keep an open mind regarding these dynamics. What we are witnessing may just be the beginning of a new chapter in the future of money and its control. Let’s keep a close eye on how this unfolds.
What Do You Think? Could Bitcoin's journey be part of a larger plan to usher in CBDCs? Are we witnessing the twilight of decentralized finance? Share your thoughts and perspectives below, and share this to make people aware :)
Could Bitcoin Fall to Zero ? A Closer Look at CBDCs.Bitcoin's journey began in 2008, when an anonymous figure under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto introduced it through a white paper titled Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Nakamoto’s vision was to create a decentralized currency, free from government or central bank control, using blockchain technology. The first block, called the genesis block, was mined in January 2009, marking the birth of Bitcoin.
Despite Nakamoto's critical role in Bitcoin's inception, his true identity remains a mystery, leading to much speculation over the years. Some have theorized that he could be a single individual, while others suggest that Nakamoto could be a group of people or even a government agency. After releasing the software and participating in the early days of the network, Nakamoto gradually withdrew from public involvement, leaving the Bitcoin community to grow independently. This disappearance into the shadows has only added to the intrigue and mystique surrounding the cryptocurrency's origins.
While Nakamoto remains a key figure in Bitcoin's history, he has remained silent since 2011, with no clear explanation as to why he stepped back.
1. BIS: The Puppet Master of Global Finance
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is often referred to as the "central bank of central banks" due to its unique role in fostering international monetary and financial cooperation. Established in 1930, it serves as an umbrella organization for central banks worldwide, providing a platform for collaboration and offering banking services to them. The BIS is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland, and its primary objectives are to promote financial stability, monitor economic trends, and facilitate communication between global central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and others.
Over time, the BIS has played a crucial role in shaping global monetary policies, overseeing financial markets, and fostering agreements between the world's leading financial institutions. It is instrumental in setting regulatory standards and guidelines that many countries' central banks follow. This level of control and influence positions the BIS at the centre of international financial governance, which is critical when discussing the future of currencies, including Bitcoin and the potential shift to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
As a body that influences the direction of global banking, the BIS has been actively involved in discussing and exploring the future of digital currencies. Given the growing interest in decentralized cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, the BIS has expressed concerns over the stability of decentralized systems and has advocated for centralized digital currencies to ensure that monetary policy can remain under control, furthering the possibility of a CBDC rollout in the future.
3. Why Bitcoin’s Fall to Zero Could Be a Strategic Move
Now, with global economies struggling under record-high debt levels, central banks might see Bitcoin as a bubble ready to pop. The BIS could leverage its influence to push for a CBDC revolution, positioning these centralized digital currencies as “safer” and more reliable alternatives to Bitcoin. By orchestrating a dramatic collapse in Bitcoin, the narrative could shift, convincing the public that decentralized currencies are unstable and unsustainable.
CBDCs are fundamentally different from Bitcoin:
- Fully controlled by central banks.
- Allow tracking and surveillance of every transaction.
- Provide central banks the ability to impose negative interest rates or freeze funds.
This shift would mark a return to centralized control, with individuals losing the financial freedom Bitcoin promised.
4. Was This the Plan All Along?
It’s not far-fetched to believe that Bitcoin’s rise and fall have been part of a larger test. During the pandemic, Bitcoin surged on the back of mass media promotions and institutional FOMO. Billionaires like Elon Musk promoted Dogecoin and Bitcoin, fuelling speculative buying. Yet, when the dust settled, the same institutions that promoted Bitcoin quietly accumulated it during crashes.
With Bitcoin at $100,000 now, the euphoric belief in its unstoppable rise mirrors past market bubbles. Could this be the final phase of Bitcoin’s journey before an engineered collapse leads to the introduction of CBDCs as the “solution”?
5. What’s Next?
If Bitcoin does crash to zero, it will be a defining moment for cryptocurrencies and global finance. CBDCs would emerge as the dominant narrative, backed by the BIS and central banks, with promises of stability, security, and control. However, it would come at the cost of financial freedom and decentralization.
Disclaimer:
The post explores possibilities based on historical trends, institutional behaviours, and emerging global financial strategies. While I am not claiming that Bitcoin will inevitably fall to zero, we cannot ignore the potential for this to occur, especially as major players like the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) push for a centralized currency system under the guise of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
The BIS, as the central bank of central banks, is focused on pushing for a centralized, controlled financial system, and this has implications for decentralized systems like Bitcoin. They are aiming to promote their agenda of centralization, and in doing so, they seek to control the masses through monetary power, which is in direct opposition to the fundamental principles behind Bitcoin’s decentralized nature.
This is not final financial advice, nor am I claiming Bitcoin will necessarily collapse to zero. However, the possibility cannot be ignored, especially when considering the global financial forces at play. I urge you to think critically and keep an open mind regarding these dynamics. What we are witnessing may just be the beginning of a new chapter in the future of money and its control. Let’s keep a close eye on how this unfolds.
What Do You Think? Could Bitcoin's journey be part of a larger plan to usher in CBDCs? Are we witnessing the twilight of decentralized finance? Share your thoughts and perspectives below, and share this to make people aware :)
Bitcoin Pushed Past $100kMarket Update - December 6, 2024
Bitcoin breaks contain: The price of bitcoin surged past the $100,000 mark on Wednesday night, setting off celebrations within the digital asset ecosystem.
XRP surpasses Tether’s USDT to claim the third spot in market cap: A new regulatory regime in the United States has boosted the coin’s prospects.
Trump chooses crypto advocate for next SEC chair: President-elect Donald Trump has selected Paul Atkins, a long-time crypto industry advocate, to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Alex Mashinsky pleaded guilty to fraud related to Celsius’ collapse: Facing up to 30 years in prison, his plea represents a broader reckoning after the 2022 crypto winter.
DMM Bitcoin will cease operations after a $305M hack, transferring accounts and assets to SBI VC Trade next year: The hack, linked to suspected Lazarus Group activity, caused widespread service disruptions and financial losses.
Bitcoin Surges Past $100K Mark As Momentum Continues
The price of bitcoin surged past $100,000 on Wednesday night, breaking through significant selling resistance to reach an all-time high around $104,000 before dipping back below $100,000 Thursday afternoon. Still, the price of bitcoin has risen nearly 50% over the past 30 days, driven by steady spot bitcoin ETF inflows, continued buying from Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy, and anticipation of a crypto-friendly administration from president-elect Donald Trump.
Bitcoin’s push past $100,000 set off a series of celebrations in the crypto community and served as a victory lap for bulls that endured a 2022 crypto winter that saw the price of bitcoin drop below $17,000. Now just two years later, traditional financial actors have increasingly embraced crypto, with analysts setting a $120,000 near-term price target. Analysts at Bernstein said the price could reach $200,000 by the end of 2025.
During an interview at the DealBook Summit on Wednesday, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell added more legitimacy to the asset class by comparing it to digital gold. The market price of bitcoin measured in gold has hit 39 ounces, an all-time high.
“It’s just like gold, only it’s virtual, it’s digital,” Powell said. “ People are not using it as a form of payment or as a store of value. It’s highly volatile. It’s not a competitor for the dollar, it’s really a competitor for gold.”
➕Topic of the Week: Polymarket: A Decentralized Prediction Market
🫱 Read more here
My Idea on the top for Bitcoin (NFA)Hello Tradingview community!
This is only an idea (NFA DYOR)
I won't make this description long as I usually do..
this chart im sharing is more for my "personal" view
so why am I sharing it? Well I want to give ideas for everyone to see pretty much.
I have measured all previous cycles and done a ton of research and come to the
conclusion 160-180k looks the most likely for our "top" this cycle
Both with % gains but also timeframe.
Its fine to disagree, we shall see close to end of 2025 if I was correct or not.
Have a lovely day!
Bitcoin Plummet Back to $97K After Surging Pass $100kThe cryptocurrency market witnessed turbulent activity as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) faced a significant flash crash, exacerbated by Mt. Gox’s recent transfer of 3,620 BTC. Combined with over $1 billion in liquidations and strategic market movements, these events painted a complex picture for the world's largest cryptocurrency.
Mt. Gox: The Catalyst of Market Jitters
Bankrupt crypto exchange Mt. Gox has once again entered the limelight by transferring 3,620 BTC worth millions to two undisclosed wallets. According to Arkham Intelligence, these transactions—3,493 BTC to wallet address 1MAXy6…Ez3NQ9 and 126.577 BTC to bc1qkf…ffm7sf—sparked speculations of creditor reimbursements.
While the transfers might prepare the groundwork for creditors to reclaim their funds, they introduce a looming threat of heightened selling pressure, causing widespread concerns in the crypto space. This move follows a recent transfer of 24,000 BTC by the same exchange, intensifying market apprehension.
Technical Outlook:
Bitcoin’s price dropped to an intraday low of $87,859 before rebounding to near $98,000, following a broader market crash that wiped out over $1 billion in positions.
Key levels to watch include:
- Resistance: $100,000 psychological barrier.
- Support: $94,800 and $92,500, critical to sustaining bullish momentum.
The abrupt dip can be attributed to the liquidation frenzy and external triggers such as Meitu's sale of 940 BTC and 31,000 ETH, which realized $80 million in profits.
BTC's Resilience
Despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain robust:
Market Cap: $1.93 trillion, with potential to breach $2 trillion by 2025.
Trading Volume: $159.5 billion in the past 24 hours, bolstered by Binance and other major exchanges.
Key Developments Supporting Long-Term Growth
Bitcoin’s resilience and adoption have been fueled by continuous upgrades enhancing its network security, scalability, and decentralization.
Broader Sentiment: Mixed Yet Optimistic
Despite recent hurdles, bullish sentiment prevails among investors. Marathon Digital’s $850 million convertible note offering for BTC purchases signifies institutional confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
However, the interplay between Mt. Gox’s creditor payouts, liquidation volumes, and evolving market conditions requires vigilant observation.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's journey remains a rollercoaster, shaped by historical milestones and ongoing market dynamics. While the short-term outlook might be turbulent, its robust fundamentals, coupled with consistent upgrades and institutional interest, fortify Bitcoin's position as a leading digital asset poised for a promising future.
As the year closes, market participants should remain cautious, leveraging informed strategies to navigate potential volatility while staying optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term trajectory.
BITCOIN on weekly timeframehello dear trader and investors
This is my personal opinion about Bitcoin... The price has engulfed the previous high and formed the QM pattern in the weekly time frame...
In my opinion, the next target can be made from the combination of RTM price action and harmonic patterns( ab=cd ) came to this conclusion...
Considering the difficulty of the network and having , I think it is very good to buy bitcoin in several steps..
good luck
BITCOIN $250K - Get Ready to Get RichHello everyone!
Today, I’m excited to dive into my latest analysis of the Bitcoin cycle, showcased through a weekly view chart that breaks away from conventional wisdom. Rather than adhering to the often-disputed parabolic curves that have been a staple in crypto charts since 2017—curves which have consistently either underperformed or overshot the mark—I'm bringing something different.
My analysis is based on a trend line that I've meticulously tracked since 2013. This line has proven incredibly resilient, never once being undercut as of now in 2024. This steadfast pattern leads me to an ambitious yet attainable target: Bitcoin reaching USD 250,000. This projection suggests more than a doubling from our current position within this cycle’s parabolic phase.
Interestingly, the duration of these parabolic phases has been extending with each cycle:
427 days in 2013,
525 days in 2017,
567 days in 2021.
Based on this pattern, I anticipate the current cycle will span approximately 600 days, concluding around the end of 2025.
I’d love to hear your thoughts and predictions. Where do you see Bitcoin heading in this cycle? Let’s discuss below!
BTC Parallel Channel in Daily ChartOn the BTCUSD daily chart, we can observe that Bitcoin's price has been oscillating within a well-defined parallel channel. The upper trend line acts as resistance, while the lower trend line serves as support. This channel has been respected multiple times, making it a reliable indicator for future price movements.
Key Observations :
Resistance and Support :
The upper trend line has consistently acted as a resistance level, limiting the upward movement of BTC.
The lower trend line has provided strong support, preventing significant downward breakouts.
Price Action:
The price has touched the upper trend line many times, indicating a strong resistance level.
Similarly, the lower trend line has been tested few times, confirming its role as a robust support level.
Potential Breakout :
A breakout above the upper trend line could signal a bullish trend continuation, leading to higher price levels.
Conversely, a breakdown below the lower trend line might indicate a bearish trend reversal, resulting in lower price levels.
Technical Indicators:
To complement the parallel channel analysis, I have included the following technical indicators:
50-Day Moving Average (50 DMA): Provides a smoothed trend direction.
200-Day Moving Average (200 DMA): Indicates long-term trend direction and potential reversal points.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Indicates overbought or oversold conditions.
Conclusion:
The parallel channel on the BTC daily chart provides valuable insights into potential price movements. Traders should watch for a breakout above the upper trend line for a bullish signal or a breakdown below the lower trend line for a bearish signal. Additionally, keeping an eye on the included technical indicators can help confirm these signals and enhance trading decisions.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Unpopular opinion; BTC at 100kShort and sweet; Btc is quite a bit oversold on the weekly rsi, and looks like it might be forming a bearish divergence. Price has hit the 1.618 reverse fib retracement. BTC hasn't traded above the red trend line, stretching back to the highs of 2017. Sad as it might be to say, we are at or very near the end of this run.
Bitcoin Hits $100K: What Does It Mean for Gold?Bitcoin’s historic surge past $100K has reignited debates about its role in the financial world. Fed Chair Jerome Powell weighed in, calling Bitcoin a "speculative asset," likening it to virtual gold rather than a competitor to the dollar:
"It's highly volatile, not a store of value or form of payment. It's really a competitor for gold."
With Bitcoin soaring, many are asking: Could this mark the beginning of a stronger correlation between Bitcoin and gold, or are they destined to move on separate paths?
Gold Faces Its Own Test
While Bitcoin grabs the headlines, gold prices slipped below $2,630 per ounce, pressured by firming U.S. Treasury yields. Benchmark 10-year yields rose 0.6%, as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected to show 200,000 new jobs. A weaker report could lift gold, especially as traders assign a 74% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized caution, acknowledged the economy’s resilience but signaling a careful approach to rate cuts. Gold, often a winner in low-rate environments, now finds itself at a critical juncture.
Our Trading Plan for Gold
Key levels to watch as we await the NFP report:
$2,630: Monitor for price reactions to this recent support.
$2,537–$2,530: Look for potential opportunities at this deeper support range.
The Bigger Picture
As Bitcoin claims new highs and challenges gold’s status as a store of value, gold continues to be swayed by macroeconomic forces. Will gold bounce back, or is it preparing for further dips as Bitcoin surges?
Let us know your thoughts—will Bitcoin and gold align as Powell suggests, or will their paths diverge further?
For more in-depth gold analysis and updates, stay tuned. And as always, happy trading!
100,000$ per coin - BTC heading to 4th HalvingBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:BTC1! COINBASE:BTCUSD
What’s Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates on a network of computers, eliminating the need for intermediaries or central authorities. It was introduced in 2009 by an anonymous individual or group known as Satoshi Nakamoto, who outlined the concept in a white paper describing a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. Since then, Bitcoin has emerged as the leading and most valuable cryptocurrency globally, with a market capitalization exceeding $580 billion as of October 2023.
A notable characteristic of Bitcoin is its limited supply of 21 million coins, a threshold estimated to be reached around the year 2140. The creation of new bitcoins is regulated through a process called mining, which involves solving complex mathematical problems using specialized hardware and software. Miners compete to discover valid solutions that meet a specific difficulty level, adjusted approximately every two weeks to maintain an average block time of 10 minutes. The miner who successfully finds a valid solution for each block is rewarded with freshly minted bitcoins and transaction fees.
As of October 2023, the Bitcoin network has witnessed the mining of 813,378 blocks, with a current reward of 6.25 bitcoins per block.
Key Insights on Bitcoin's Price:
Recently, the mining of the 19.5 millionth bitcoin increased the circulating supply to 93% of the total. Additionally, a logarithmic regression analysis known as the rainbow chart illustrates the historical path of Bitcoin's price movement. This cyclic behaviour can be attributed to several factors:
Bitcoin tends to exhibit an overall bullish trend due to its limited supply and the halving of coins entering circulation approximately every four years. Historically, the Bitcoin halving has been a significant catalyst for price movements as it influences the supply-demand balance. The halving reduces the rate of new bitcoins being introduced into circulation while demand typically remains steady or grows over time. This creates a supply shock that often drives the price upward, particularly before and after the halving event.
Each halving period encompasses the mining of 210,000 blocks and exhibits distinct phases. The bullish phase spans from the first block to the 70,000th block, followed by a bearish phase from the 70,001st block to the 140,000th block, and finally a sideways phase from the 140,001st block to the 210,000th block. As previously mentioned, the halving diminishes the inflation rate of bitcoin and preserves its scarcity.
Bitcoin holds great influence over the entire cryptocurrency market due to its dominant market capitalization. This dominance follows a cyclical pattern, with the market share falling below 40% during bearish phases (after mining more than 140,000 blocks) and rising to around 70% during bullish phases.
During each era (between two halving periods), Bitcoin experiences an average drawdown of 80%.
Current Analysis:
We are currently in the third halving era, which commenced on May 11th, 2020, specifically within the equilibrium phase. The intersection of the mining of the 210,000th block and the lows of the logarithmic regression suggests a value of $30,000 USD per bitcoin.
The next Bitcoin halving is expected to take place in April 2024, at block number 840,000. This event will reduce the block reward from 6.25 bitcoins to 3.125 bitcoins, consequently lowering the annual inflation rate from approximately 1.8% to 0.9%. As a halving typically ushers in a bullish phase, it is predicted that the price of bitcoin will surpass $100,000.00 during this era.
Technical Analysis Using the MVRV Indicator:
One of the tools that can help investors and traders assess the value and potential of bitcoin is the MVRV ratio, which stands for market value to realized value. The MVRV ratio compares the current market capitalization of bitcoin (the total value of all coins at their current price) with its realized capitalization (the total value of all coins at their last moved price). The MVRV ratio can indicate whether bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued relative to its historical average cost basis.
The MVRV ratio can also be used to identify periods of extreme market sentiment, such as euphoria or panic. When the MVRV ratio is very high (above 4), it means that bitcoin is trading far above its realized value, implying that most holders are sitting on large unrealized profits and may be tempted to sell. This can signal a market top or a bubble territory. When the MVRV ratio is very low (below 1), it means that bitcoin is trading far below its realized value, implying that most holders are sitting on large unrealized losses and may be reluctant to sell. This can signal a market bottom or a buying opportunity.
As of October 2023, the MVRV ratio of bitcoin is about 2.110, which is slightly above its long-term average of 2. This suggests that bitcoin is fairly valued and not in a danger zone. The MVRV ratio has been trending up since November 9th 2022, when it reached a low of 0.75, indicating a recovery in the market sentiment and the lowest price of the 3rd Halving era. As we are far from the overbought level of 4, this suggests that there is still room for further growth in the price of bitcoin.
(These illustrations are just for educational purposes and are not financial advices).
Sources:
1. trustwallet.com
2. ieeexplore.ieee.org
3. nber.org
4. buybitcoinworldwide.com
5. bitinfocharts.com
6. nerdwallet.com
7. investopedia.com
8. buybitcoinworldwide.com
9. kitco.com
10. coinwarz.com
11. datawallet.com
12. blockchain.com
13. lookintobitcoin.com
14. bing.com
15. bitcoinmagazine.com
16. stopsaving.com
17. decentrader.com
18. trustwallet.com
19. bitinfocharts.com
20. nber.org
21. buybitcoinworldwide.com
22. cryptonews.com
23. finbold.com
24. inferse.com
25. buybitcoinworldwide.com
26. blockchain.com
BIT scours a new highsAfter the prices slightly down searching for a support, it gained a good momentum from the bullish channel bottom board to rise again scouring a new high at 103.620.
The Main direction for the medium and long periods remains bullish and it may scour new highs around 106.880 area, But that relay on the stability of the channel's bottom line.
As if the price was able to break through that line it may search for more supports then
TradeCityPro | TIAUSDT Analysis Battling a Daily Resistance👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze this promising coin on a day when Bitcoin has set a new all-time high (ATH). As always, we'll break it down step by step to find optimal entry points. 🚀
🏆 Bitcoin Overview
Before diving into TIA, let’s take a quick look at Bitcoin
BTC recently broke its price ATH and achieved a market cap of $2.04 trillion, surpassing Saudi Aramco and securing the 7th position globally in asset rankings.
Following the breakout above 98,857, Bitcoin’s dominance surged, directing attention back to BTC. If dominance remains strong, expect focus to stay on BTC or strong-performing pairs like SUI.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
TIA is a newly listed coin with no prior bull market experience but has achieved a solid market cap, ranking 44th overall.
After an 80% drop, it ranged in a short box before breaking the 6.268 resistance alongside a trendline break.
Currently, TIA faces resistance at 8.783, and an RSI overbought condition post-breakout could trigger a sharp rally towards 11.794.
On a pullback, consider support at 6.268 , After 8.783 breakout, confirm the move with lower time frame analysis for safer entries.
🕐 Daily Time Frame
The range between 4.221–6.268 shows a consistent pattern of higher lows, indicating growing buyer presence.
After closing above the trendline, TIA now struggles at 8.373, with a potential breakout signaling further upward momentum.
For safer entries, wait for a daily close above 8.373, setting your stop-loss at 4.67 , The main breakout point was 6.268, but entering now carries slightly higher risk.
⏳ 4-Hour Time Frame
TIA is ranging between 7.189–8.740, forming clear triggers for futures trades , As long as 7.189 holds, focus remains on a breakout above 8.740 for long positions.
📈 Long Position Trigger
After a clear break of 8.740, ideally with increased volume and momentum.
📉 Short Position Trigger
Avoid shorting during a bull run. Wait patiently for new long opportunities.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
The TIA/BTC pair has shown downward pressure, but recent green candles indicate a bounce from key support.
breakout above 0.00001061 could mark the start of a bullish trend, making it a strong altcoin candidate for growth.
🎯 Conclusion
TIA is showing promising bullish potential, but patience and strategic entries are key. Focus on breaking 8.783 and monitor volume for confirmation. Let the market work in your favor while you position for the next major move!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Analyzing Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: Is $110,000 Achievable? Bitcoin's Bullish Trajectory: A Path to $110,000?
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has recently shown signs of renewed strength, with 30-day trader profits returning to a "healthy" range. This resurgence of bullish sentiment has reignited speculation about Bitcoin's potential to reach the coveted $110,000 milestone.
The Return of Profitable Trading
After a period of market volatility and declining profitability, Bitcoin traders have once again begun to experience positive returns over a 30-day period. This shift in market dynamics indicates a growing number of traders are capitalizing on the cryptocurrency's upward momentum.
Key Factors Driving Bitcoin's Bullish Run
Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's bullish trajectory:
1. Institutional Adoption:
o Increased Institutional Interest: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and corporations, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. This institutional interest provides significant support to the cryptocurrency's price.
o Regulatory Clarity: As regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies continue to evolve, institutional investors are gaining more confidence in the asset class.
2. Network Upgrades and Scaling Solutions:
o Layer-2 Solutions: The development and implementation of layer-2 scaling solutions, such as the Lightning Network, have the potential to significantly enhance Bitcoin's scalability and transaction throughput.
o Network Upgrades: Regular network upgrades and protocol improvements aim to optimize Bitcoin's performance and security.
3. Global Economic Uncertainty:
o Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates and economic uncertainty have led investors to seek alternative assets, including Bitcoin, as a hedge against inflation.
o Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions and global conflicts can also drive demand for Bitcoin as a decentralized and borderless asset.
4. Positive Market Sentiment:
o Bullish Sentiment: A prevailing bullish sentiment among traders and investors has contributed to Bitcoin's price surge.
o FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): As Bitcoin's price continues to rise, FOMO can drive further buying pressure and accelerate the upward trend.
The Path to $110,000
While $110,000 may seem like a lofty target, several factors could propel Bitcoin to this milestone:
• Sustained Institutional Adoption: Continued institutional investment and increased mainstream acceptance can drive significant price appreciation.
• Successful Network Upgrades: Successful implementation of network upgrades and scaling solutions can enhance Bitcoin's utility and attract more users.
• Favorable Regulatory Environment: A supportive regulatory environment can foster innovation and encourage further investment in the cryptocurrency industry.
• Strong Fundamental Factors: A robust economy, low interest rates, and geopolitical tensions can all contribute to Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent price surge and the return of profitable trading activity have reignited optimism among investors. While the $110,000 milestone is not guaranteed, the confluence of favorable factors suggests that Bitcoin has the potential to reach new heights. However, it is crucial to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution, conduct thorough research, and diversify one's portfolio.
The Moment of Truth – New ATH Incoming?The time has come for Bitcoin to challenge and potentially break through its key resistance level. Market sentiment, combined with technical strength, suggests that a new all-time high (ATH) might be closer than we think.
Why BTC Could Break Resistance:
Global Momentum: Increasing institutional interest and macroeconomic factors are supporting a bullish outlook.
Volume and Buyer Strength: Recent trading activity shows strong buyer interest near critical levels, hinting at sustained demand.
ETH’s Time to Shine:
Meanwhile, ETH is poised for a resurgence. After a period of underperformance, ETH is no longer being "crushed" by market pressures. With significant developments in its ecosystem and renewed interest, it’s time for Ethereum to perform better and reclaim its standing in the market.
What to Watch For:
BTC breaking resistance with conviction could signal the start of a broader market rally.
ETH following suit could lead to an impressive recovery and potentially outperform BTC in the near term.
The markets are at a tipping point—let’s see how this plays out!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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Breaking: Bitcoin Surpasses $104k, Eyes on $150k NextBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has officially broken through the $100,000 barrier, reaching a new all-time high of $104,000. This milestone, achieved after nearly 15 years since its inception, has not only validated the resilience of the cryptocurrency but also shifted the narrative around its skeptics. Here's an analysis of both the technical and fundamental aspects driving this surge:
Technical Analysis:
Current Price and Momentum: As of now, Bitcoin trades at approximately $102,000, marking a 3.8% increase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 71, suggesting the asset is slightly overbought. This could indicate a potential retracement, but the market sentiment remains bullish.
There's an expectation of a retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level if selling pressure increases, which would be a normal correction in a strong uptrend.
The daily chart shows signs of a forming golden cross, where a short-term moving average (like the 50-day MA) moves above a long-term moving average (like the 200-day MA). This pattern is typically viewed as a bullish signal, indicating possible continued upward momentum or a reversal to an uptrend.
Future Price Targets: Analysts are eyeing $115,000 as the next psychological resistance, with many predicting a climb to $150,000, driven by increasing institutional interest and market sentiment.
Fundamental Factors
Institutional Adoption: The involvement of hedge funds and institutional investors has significantly grown. For instance, MicroStrategy's stock (MSTR) has seen a surge due to its Bitcoin holdings, now valued at over $40 billion, providing a clear example of institutional confidence in Bitcoin's future.
Regulatory Environment: The election of Donald Trump, known for his pro-cryptocurrency stance, has bolstered investor confidence. His administration's expected regulatory leniency or support towards cryptocurrencies could further drive institutional and retail investment into Bitcoin.
Skeptic to Advocate Transition: High-profile skeptics like Mark Cuban and Jamie Dimon have either shifted their stances or their companies have engaged with blockchain technology, reflecting a broader acceptance of Bitcoin's role in finance. This shift is significant from a fundamental perspective as it indicates changing perceptions at high levels of finance and investment.
Supply and Demand Dynamics: Bitcoin's supply cap at 21 million coins, combined with its increasing adoption, creates a fundamental scarcity that could drive prices higher, especially as demand from diverse sectors like retail, institutional investors, and even nations considering it as a reserve asset grows.
Market Sentiment and Future Prospects:
Market Sentiment: The crypto community and broader financial markets are buzzing with optimism. The narrative has shifted from Bitcoin being a speculative bubble to a legitimate store of value, often likened to 'digital gold'.
Potential Risks: Despite the bullish outlook, there are warnings about potential pullbacks if the current rally reverses. However, the overall market sentiment suggests that any dip might be seen as a buying opportunity by investors looking for long-term value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's journey past $100,000 underscores not just its technical strength but also its evolving acceptance in the financial ecosystem. The transition of skeptics into either silent supporters or active participants in the crypto space further solidifies Bitcoin's foundational role in modern finance.
With the technical indicators supporting a continued trend and fundamental factors aligning for growth, Bitcoin's ascent to $150,000 looks increasingly plausible, marking another significant chapter in its storied history.
Post-Halving Bitcoin Market AnalysisBitcoin Price prediction after halving:
After the halving, Bitcoin's price typically moved sideways or exhibited a slight bearish trend for 1-3 months in the past three cycles. We can anticipate a similar sideways movement for the next 1-2 months before a significant upward surge. Once the sideways movement concludes, we can expect a robust bull run.
In the past three Bitcoin cycles, the price of Bitcoin has exhibited a bullish trend following halving events. We can anticipate a similar trajectory in this cycle, potentially propelling the price to $200k
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Hexa
Altseason is Here - Follow Triangle BreakoutLong positions are piling up on Bitcoin (BTC) after each other.
I think that investors follow the consolidation to buy more.
Know that symmetrical triangles can break on either side.
Enabling you to follow the breakout, I made this chart.
This chart shows a symmetrical triangle tracing Bitcoin price action.
High as investors' risk appetite is, any drawback is potentially considered an opportunity.
I estimate that large-cap altcoins will do even better.
So, it might be a good idea to follow up on Ethereum.