"BTC/USD Double Top Breakdown: Targeting Key Support at 92,000"This chart for BTC/USD highlights the following key points:
1. **Double Top Formation**:
- A clear double top pattern is visible around the 108,000 resistance zone.
- This is a bearish reversal signal, indicating a potential move downward.
2. **Break of Trendline Support**:
- The price has broken below the ascending trendline, further confirming bearish momentum.
3. **Price Targets**:
- The next major support zone appears to be around 92,000–88,000, which aligns with the highlighted horizontal demand area.
4. **Bearish Volume Profile**:
- Significant selling volume is noted after the rejection from the resistance zone, reinforcing the downside bias.
Summary:
BTC/USD is showing strong bearish signals after failing at the 108,000 resistance and forming a double top. The break of the trendline suggests a continuation to the downside, with a target around 92,000–88,000. Traders should watch for retests of the broken support or confirmation of further downside momentum.
Bitcoinprice
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout or reversal.
Buy entry should break and retest the neutral level (102,000)
Sell Entry Pullback at the neutral level (100,000)
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 11500 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 84500 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The BTC/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with the price potentially resuming its uptrend after a period of turmoil in late December and early January. The strong bullish trend and slight short-term decrease suggest that traders may consider trading only long positions.
To take a trade, consider the following:
Analyze the market trend: Look at the overall trend of the BTC/USD pair and identify any potential support or resistance levels.
Monitor market news and events: Keep an eye on any news or events that could impact the price of Bitcoin, such as changes in regulations or adoption rates.
Use technical indicators: Utilize technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, and Bollinger Bands to help identify potential trading opportunities.
Set a trading plan: Develop a clear trading plan, including entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and position sizing.
The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin is aimed at determining where the price of the asset is headed, with models like the stock-to-flow model predicting prices based on the rate of new bitcoins being added to the network relative to the existing supply. Additionally, macroeconomic events like increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies can lead to inflation, which may drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge.
Here's a fundamental analysis for BTC/USD, along with market sentiment percentages:
Overall Trend: The BTC/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish direction
Bullish Sentiment: 65%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Market News and Events: The upcoming events, such as the Bitcoin halving and the increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies, are expected to drive the price of Bitcoin up.
Bullish Sentiment: 70%
Bearish Sentiment: 25%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Technical Indicators: The technical indicators, such as the moving averages and RSI, are indicating a bullish trend.
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 35%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Fundamental Analysis: The fundamental analysis of Bitcoin, including the stock-to-flow model, is predicting a bullish trend.
Bullish Sentiment: 75%
Bearish Sentiment: 20%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Macro-economic Events: The increasing monetary bases of fiat currencies and the potential for inflation are expected to drive up the demand for Bitcoin as an inflationary hedge.
Bullish Sentiment: 80%
Bearish Sentiment: 15%
Neutral Sentiment: 5%
Overall, it's essential to stay informed about market trends, news, and events, and to use a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Bitcoin Advisory Report Date: January 26, 2025Bitcoin Advisory Report
Date: January 26, 2025
Prepared for: Investors and Traders
________________________________________
Current Market Overview
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading within a tight consolidation range between $106,250 and $103,600, signalling an indecisive market phase. A breakout beyond this range will determine the next directional move.
• Median Level Support: $100,000 continues to act as a minor support zone, absorbing selling pressure.
• Major Support Level: $75,000 provides a strong foundational level for Bitcoin, expected to prevent deep sell-offs.
• Major Resistance Level: $125,000 remains a significant barrier for bullish momentum.
________________________________________
Technical Analysis
Key Observations:
1. Consolidation Channel:
o Bitcoin is currently oscillating within a defined range of $106,250 (resistance) and $103,600 (support).
o A breakout above $106,250 could lead to a bullish rally toward $108,000 in the short term.
2. Momentum Support Levels:
o Protecting the $104,500 level is critical to maintain bullish momentum for an upward move.
o Failure to hold $104,500 may result in a retest of $103,600 or lower levels.
3. EMA and VWAP:
o The exponential moving averages (EMAs) suggest mixed momentum. The EMA 8 crossing VWAP indicates possible short-term buying pressure if sustained.
4. Volume Analysis:
o The current trading volume is relatively low, which suggests that market participants are awaiting confirmation of a breakout. A rise in volume will be a key indicator of a decisive move.
5. Short-Term Target:
o Based on momentum indicators, if Bitcoin holds $104,500, an upward rally toward $108,000 could be realized by Monday, January 27, 2025.
________________________________________
Fundamental Points
1. Market Sentiment:
o Positive institutional adoption and Bitcoin ETFs have bolstered long-term investor confidence.
o Macroeconomic factors, such as stable interest rates, are supporting risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies.
2. Regulatory Climate:
o Globally, regulatory acceptance for digital assets is increasing, especially with developments in Bitcoin's use in remittance systems.
3. Supply Dynamics:
o Bitcoin's limited supply (halving effects) continues to serve as a bullish catalyst over the medium to long term.
4. Global Economic Factors:
o Inflation concerns have driven investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge, reinforcing its status as digital gold.
________________________________________
Recommendation
Buy Scenario:
• Enter a buy position if Bitcoin decisively breaks $106,250, targeting $108,000 initially, with a stop-loss set at $104,500.
• Consider scaling into positions if price momentum continues upward toward $110,000.
Sell Scenario:
• Consider a short position if Bitcoin breaks $103,600, targeting $101,000, with a stop-loss set at $104,500.
• Prepare for further downside risk toward $100,000 (minor support) and possibly $75,000 (major support) if selling intensifies.
________________________________________
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at a pivotal technical juncture, with the $106,250 to $103,600 range holding the key to short-term price direction. Protecting $104,500 is crucial for bullish momentum, with upside potential toward $108,000. Conversely, failure to maintain support at $103,600 could lead to a bearish retest of lower levels. Investors should watch for volume spikes and breakout confirmations to make informed decisions.
________________________________________
Bitcoin Update: Bears Nightmare!Bitcoin decently moved as expected according to my last analysis and now is ranging between 90 - 107K for almost 2 months and now I expect the price to make another last correction to GETTEX:97K and grab the liquidity to make a new leg up to the new all-time high of $130K and start the main move to my ultimate target of $150K. The zone between 154 - 172K will be the final top for BTC in this cycle in my opinion and I will fully close all my positions and execute my profits whenever the price hits this zone. I hope you guys all be in profit and stay safe and always DYOR.
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – 4H Kijun Retest
Price Action & Analysis: BTC is currently hovering around the 4H Kijun level, which has acted as reliable support. We expect a continuation of the bullish momentum going into the weekend, anticipating a clean drive up as buyers step in.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Buy now at market.
– Risk: 1% of account.
– Reward: Target a 1:3 RRR (place stop-loss just below the 4H Kijun or last swing low).
– Watch out for any macro news that may trigger unexpected volatility. If price fails to hold above the Kijun, manage or exit the trade.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has successfully achieved and completed a significant Inner Coin Rally at the 108000 level. This development indicates a probable pullback to the Mean Support level of 101300, with the potential for further extension to the Mean Support level of 98000 before a resurgence in the bull market may occur. Conversely, should this pullback not transpire, the currency may experience upward movement, retesting the completed Inner Coin Rally at 108000 and challenging the next Outer Coin Rally at 110000 and beyond.
BitCoin doesn’t understand the dark of the night during the dayBased on the performance of U.S. and Japanese stocks yesterday, the logic behind the Japanese interest rate hike is as follows: Previously, with low interest rates in Japan, people borrowed yen, exchanged it for dollars, and invested in U.S. stocks. So, when Japan raises interest rates, it reverses this process—liquidity flows back to Japan, the dollar weakens, U.S. stocks decline, and Japanese stocks rise. As shown in the chart, the candlestick represents the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, and the blue vertical line marks the period of yesterday's movements in U.S. stocks, Japanese stocks, the dollar, and the yen. Therefore, Bitcoin, during the day, follows the rise of Japanese stocks, but at night, follows the decline of U.S. stocks. It’s truly like what the northeastern woman sings: "You don’t understand the dark of the night during the day."
Bitcoin Distribution PhaseThe safety trade appears to be unraveling, with Bitcoin showing clear signs of topping out as it moves through a distribution phase. Chart analysis supports this, and the narrative among Bitcoiners has shifted following President Trump’s emphasis on supporting all digital assets and U.S. companies, rather than positioning BTC as a strategic reserve.
This marks a pivotal shift in market sentiment. Many had hoped for Bitcoin to play a central role, but the focus on a broader digital asset ecosystem has left some investors disappointed. While this may take time to fully digest, I believe this narrative, combined with technical indicators flashing bearish signals, sets the stage for a rotation out of BTC and into altcoins.
Altcoin momentum could gain further traction as investors seek opportunities in projects aligned with a more diversified digital future. As we continue monitoring price action, this could be the catalyst the market has been building toward.
BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences.
Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control).
We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
AAVE Nearing Key Resistance. Will Bullish Momentum Persist? Key indicators used for analysis:
1. Zero lag moving average (ZLMA): Refined form of moving average that reduces lag while maintaining smoothness.
2. Price Volume Trend (PVT): Tracks price movement weighted by volume
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator indicating overbought and oversold conditions.
Support:$273.02
Resistance: $399.00
1.Price is trading above ZLMA9 and ZLMA51, signalling short and long term bullish momentum.
2.The PVT indicator is trending upward, reflecting strong volume-driven price increase.
3.RSI is forming higher lows, suggesting increasing strength in momentum.
Note: This is only for educational purposes and not a buy and sell recommendation. Teak Finance will not be liable for any loss or gain. Please consult your trading advisor.
Key Levels to Watch: Pullback or Breakthrough?In analyzing the chart, we see a critical setup forming. If the price breaks below Support (2), there’s a strong probability that it may perform a pullback before continuing to drop, potentially retesting the area around Support (1).
This pullback behavior is often observed as the market seeks to confirm previous levels before resuming its move.
However, if the price fails to hold below Support (2), we could witness bullish momentum taking over, driving the price upward toward the supply zone above. This movement could signal a shift in sentiment as buyers step in to capitalize on the opportunity.
Keep a close eye on these levels and watch for confirmation before entering the trade. Always manage your risk and trade what you see, not what you feel! Let the market guide you. 🚀📈
Ascending Broadening Wedge 2026 Bull Run Forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge. It looks like the bottom needs to get retested to confirm it and the current pattern to hold. After that if this pattern proves true then the next Bull run of 2026 - 2027 will be the massive breakout everyone is waiting for. Lets see how things play out.
Bitcoin yearly divergency BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Take a look on this historical Bitcoin chart.
Based on my 2 indicators Accumulation and Distribution we can see huge yearly divergency. Step by step whales distribute coins which they got in a first 5 years. From 2015 till now we see pure divergency. I think we will see new ATH around 89000-130000 and reject one more time at the main line on ADZ indicator.
Based on Direction indicator (lowest) we touch the same level where BTC was in 2015. Of course we will not repeat % pump because Bitcoin is to heavy now. But model can be similar with uptrend move.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin to 34000BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️We trade in a range. After deviation at the bottom we made a deviation at the top
➡️Now would be good to see sweep liquidity at 29630
➡️Main target is full fill of next Weekly gap above.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin - Sell in May and go away BINANCE:BTCUSDT
This is pretty simple but logic movement. All market drive by algorithm and plan
Impulse from top 69 to 42 and next Fib Trend Extension
At 0.618 level we came almost to 25314
Locally we should came and find a rejection at covid dump up-trend line.
Its hard to say about timing but if we take a look on macro in a world most likely we can see this uptrend move till end of April and
"sell in may and go away" cliche. Recession have an always lag around 2-4 months. We probably already in recession, but affect we will see later. Also DXY this time will be around 108-110
After September/October macro situation will start stabilise and we will see test 20-19K again like strong support zone.
Than few month in flat around 19-24K range again so more and more people build consensus about 10-12K for SURE.
And start climbing up slowly but surely.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin confirmed lower lowBINANCE:BTCUSDT
If we are looking on a chart without noice we clearly dropped and formed lower low. But on Weekly timeframe RSI climbing up, so its a huge divergence. And the more higher timeframe the more power for reversal move.
All market waiting 21 September and data of RATE. So usually all upcoming news and event included in price a weeks before!
And sentiment on a market - everyone waiting 15 or 10K. Literally the same like everyone waited 100K in November
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
* Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
* For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!