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Bitcoin Approaches the Critical $90,000 SupportBitcoin has registered a decline of more than 4% over the past two trading sessions, and for now, the bearish bias remains strong. This downward pressure is fueled by major security breaches on the Bybit exchange, where approximately $1.4 billion in funds were stolen. This event has eroded confidence in Bitcoin, leading to sustained selling pressure in the short term. Sideways Range Remains Intact For now, Bitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined sideways range, respecting the $106,000 resistance and the $90,000 support levels. The price has broken below the short-term uptrend, which had previously supported bullish momentum and Bitcoin is now approaching the lower boundary of this critical range. As long as the price remains below the 50-period simple moving average (SMA), the bullish momentum from January may fade, leaving sellers in control. The current sideways channel is the most important technical formation, as it may determine Bitcoin’s future trend. TRIX Indicator: The TRIX line has recently turned bearish, bringing price oscillations down to the 0 neutral level. If this level crosses into negative territory, it could signal that sellers have gained full control over price momentum. This could further reinforce the ongoing bearish pressure. MACD Indicator: The MACD histogram remains below the neutral 0 level. Both the MACD line and the signal line are following the same downward movement as the histogram. If price action continues to move further below 0, it would confirm that the short-term moving averages are predominantly bearish, reinforcing the selling bias. Key Levels to Watch: $106,000 – Major Resistance: The most important resistance level at the top of the current sideways channel. A break above this level could reactivate the uptrend that was in place a few weeks ago. $98,000 – Key Resistance: New resistance level aligning with the 50-period SMA barrier. If price approaches this level again, it could reinforce short-term neutrality, keeping the sideways channel intact. $90,000 – Critical Support: The key support level at the lower boundary of the sideways range. If Bitcoin reaches and breaks this level, the current bearish bias could become significantly stronger, potentially leading to a confirmed downtrend. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
Bitcoin's Volatility Lull: Is a Major Breakout Imminent?Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, finds itself in a peculiar state of limbo. While the broader financial world buzzes with geopolitical uncertainty and economic shifts, BTC's price action has settled into a remarkably narrow range, leading to a significant drop in implied volatility. This period of relative calm, however, is juxtaposed with significant undercurrents: a major exchange hack, strategic accumulation by corporate giants, and the ever-present debate over Bitcoin's next major price movement. One of the most notable observations is the near-record low implied volatility. Implied volatility, a measure of the market's expectation of future price swings, has dwindled, suggesting traders are anticipating less dramatic price fluctuations. This quietude is unusual for Bitcoin, a notoriously volatile asset. Traditionally, such suppressed volatility often precedes a significant breakout, either upward or downward. The current stasis could be a coiled spring, ready to unleash a surge of price action when the right catalyst emerges. Adding another layer of complexity is Bitcoin's rangebound trading. Despite the recent Bybit hack, which raised concerns about exchange security and potential market instability, Bitcoin has remained remarkably resilient within its established trading corridor. This resilience, however, has also bred a sense of unease among traders and analysts. The lack of a decisive break in either direction has left many wondering whether this consolidation is a period of accumulation or a sign of waning momentum. The Bybit hack, while disruptive, appears to have had a limited impact on Bitcoin's overall price trajectory. This suggests that the market may be becoming more adept at absorbing such shocks, a sign of its growing maturity. Nevertheless, the incident serves as a stark reminder of the inherent risks associated with centralized exchanges and the importance of robust security measures. Amidst this backdrop of low volatility and rangebound trading, the pronouncements of prominent traders and corporate players are adding fuel to the fire. A crucial narrative revolves around the $106,000 price level. According to some analysts, this threshold represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin. A successful reclaim of this level would, they argue, signal the beginning of a new phase of price discovery, potentially leading to substantial gains. However, the path to $105,000 + is far from certain. Counterarguments suggest that a significant dip to $80,000 remains a distinct possibility. This perspective highlights the inherent uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, where technical analysis and fundamental factors can often provide conflicting signals. The potential for a sharp correction underscores the importance of risk management and the need for traders to remain vigilant. On the bullish side, MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor continues to make waves with his unwavering commitment to Bitcoin. The company's "21/21" plan, which involves ongoing Bitcoin accumulation, is progressing steadily following a recent $2 billion convertible note offering. Saylor's bullish stance and his company's strategic acquisitions have become a significant market force, providing a powerful vote of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential. MicroStrategy's approach is not merely speculative; it is a calculated bet on Bitcoin's role as a store of value and a hedge against inflation. This strategy has resonated with other institutional investors, contributing to the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. The company's continued accumulation efforts are likely to exert upward pressure on Bitcoin's price, particularly if demand from other sources increases. The confluence of these factors – low implied volatility, rangebound trading, the $105,000+ debate, and MicroStrategy's aggressive accumulation – creates a fascinating and potentially explosive dynamic. The low volatility could be a temporary lull before a significant price movement, while the rangebound trading indicates a period of indecision that will eventually resolve itself. The $105,000+ level represents a critical test for Bitcoin. A successful breach of this threshold could trigger a wave of buying, propelling the price to new highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim this level could lead to a significant correction, potentially validating the bearish predictions of a dip to $80,000. In the meantime, MicroStrategy's continued accumulation provides a strong foundation of support for Bitcoin's price. The company's strategic approach and its commitment to long-term holding suggest that it is not swayed by short-term price fluctuations. In conclusion, Bitcoin's current state is a complex interplay of conflicting signals. The low implied volatility and rangebound trading create an atmosphere of uncertainty, while the $105,000+ debate and MicroStrategy's accumulation provide clear points of focus. The cryptocurrency market is poised for a potential breakout, and the direction of that breakout will likely be determined by the interplay of these factors. Whether Bitcoin will reclaim $105,000+ or dip to $80,000 remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the next chapter in Bitcoin's story is about to unfold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown: Descending Broadening Wedge: Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure. Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control. -------------------------------------- Current Structure: BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal. The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup. -------------------------------------- Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle. Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000. Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook. -------------------------------------- Momentum Indicators: Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure. -------------------------------------- Trade Setup: Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000. Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains. Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
Long
by melikatrader94
16
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During last week's trading session, Bitcoin was unable to reach our designated Mean Resistance level at 101300 and has remained stagnant near the Mean Support at 95700. This trend indicates a potential continuation of the pullback, which may cross-check the Mean Support level at 95700, with the prospect of further decline toward the Outer Coin Dip identified at 89000 via additional Mean Support levels at 94400, and 92500. Conversely, should the anticipated pullback not materialize, Bitcoin may experience upward momentum, thereby testing the newly established Mean Resistance level at 98300. This development could facilitate an extension toward 101500 and beyond.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) at a Critical Zone: Two Possible Scenarioshello guys! Support Zones: BTC has bounced from QML1 (~$95,500) after testing it as support. A deeper retracement to QML2 (~$94,400) is also possible if the current level fails. Two Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above QML1, it could continue its upward momentum toward $98,778, breaking previous highs. Bearish Scenario: If BTC loses support at QML1, a dip toward QML2 might occur before another potential bounce to the upside. Liquidity & Structure: The overall trend suggests a bullish continuation, but a retracement for liquidity grab is still in play. _____________________________ Trading Plan: Long Entry: If BTC confirms support at QML1, targeting $98,778. Wait & See: If BTC dips to QML2, look for reversal signals before entering.
Long
by melikatrader94
6
New bitcoin pattern on 1WUsually on Monday we publish analytics with a local perspective, but this time we have not enough information for a full-quality forecast. Nevertheless, this week is notable for the fact that a new EXP pattern has formed on INDEX:BTCUSD on the weekly timeframe. It is notable that we have an earlier pattern from May 21👇 And the new pattern is essentially the "big brother" of the smaller pattern and gives us more distant target levels (as is often the case with higher-level patterns, most likely not all of them will be reached). The fact that the formation of this model occurred through the touch of the trend line increases the probability of a test of $73,757 and $77,723 (but only increases, the level of uncertainty is still high).
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
1
Pi The Hottest Crypto on the Block! Future Price SpeculationPi is a cryptocurrency that has taken the crypto markets by shock. It has been getting slammed by calling it a scam or even a Ponzi scheme. From my research I couldn’t find where this speculation came from, since it doesn’t ask for money, yet it might take some user data to fund the server of the app through its ad feature that could be turned off for two weeks. Speculation of a double digit, triple digit, or even the famous 300k per a pi is unrealistic at this current time or is it? Well, double digit is most likely, but it’s very slim unless I don’t see the full picture. To hit $50-$60 with current supply and not fully diluted supply, would make Pi worth more than Ethereum which is unlikely unless Pi is bigger in Africa and Asia than we expect. Pi is an XLM fork which is a fork of XRP. The max supply of Pi would be closer to XRP, but how it functions is closer to XLM. It uses an XLM protocol of trust and security mining. When you hit mine, it sends it to a node to verify that press and transaction. A lot of transactions on the network also go through the super nodes, yet those are few since Pi is also a centralized coin. How centralized is it? Well, to move your Pi from your mining to your wallet you must perform a KYC. This helps bots, but also it creates an environment where if any criminal activity is found it can ban your wallet. Also, the process to become a super node, the Pi core team has approved you. Trading this coin? At the current price of Pi, I’ve given it a trading range of 0.63399-0.74111. It’s super early, but a mining rate for me of 0.08 with running a node and having 1 person it says I make about 3cents usd every hour. There isn’t a lot of new Pi coming into the market, besides the initial dump. There’s one problem now that could hult upward movement and that’s the US and UK have no exchanges that accept deposits or withdrawals. That’s a lot of Pi that can’t be sold or traded. A US and UK exchange to allow this could bring the price down to a new low of 0.50 or 0.40. At the moment in the US you can buy on HiBT and PionexUS, but can't deposit or withdraw. Final thoughts? -Pi has been slammed for years and now its out and hasn’t rugged, proves this project might be here to stay. -Pi’s value is unknown without further knowledge of how widely used it is in places like Africa and Asia. Social media videos show its thriving and its followers on social media surpass top cryptocurrencies social media follower counts. There hasn’t been a big name backing this project yet. It is posted on Sandford as a sponsor, but that's where the founders went to school. -Price range is 0.63399-0.74111 with 0.5-0.4 could come if US and UK sellers come in. I personally expected it to 0.20 for me with me mining a $0.01 an hour. -There could be a moon rocket due to the amount of Pi that isn’t available to trade and not enough new Pi that is coming in the market. Overall I’m bullish and with my Pi I mine, 3700+, I bought 1000+ more on Pi due to the supply shortage that could happen.
Long
by nathanielx9
Bitcoin’s Path to $100K Faces a Major Threat—Here’s WhyBitcoin’s recent rally has brought it tantalizingly close to $100,000, but a growing on-chain trend suggests that breaking this key level won’t be easy. Exchange reserves are rising, signaling that more BTC is being deposited into trading platforms—typically a sign that selling pressure is mounting. 📊 The Numbers Don’t Lie Since February 6, BTC’s exchange reserves have increased by 1%, reaching 2.47 million BTC, according to CryptoQuant. Historically, when more Bitcoin flows into exchanges, it signals that holders are preparing to sell, which can cap price growth. This trend has played out over the past 15 days, with BTC struggling to move beyond $98,663 resistance, while holding support at $95,650. Whale Activity Plummets – A Warning Sign? Adding to the concern, large BTC holders’ netflow has dropped 299% in the past week. When whales move BTC onto exchanges, it suggests institutional investors are taking profits, which can trigger a chain reaction of selling. Key Levels to Watch 🔽 Bearish Scenario: If selling pressure intensifies, BTC could test $95,650 support. A break below this could send it toward $92,325. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: If demand rebounds, BTC must clear $98,663 before attempting to break $102,753. A successful move beyond this could target $109,356, last reached on January 20. With exchange reserves rising and whale activity declining, BTC’s path to $100K remains uncertain. Will demand return, or are we heading for another pullback?
WHITEBIT:BTCUSDShort
by paul_endeo
Panic Selling Shakes the Market, Altseason Not Started Yet Hello, Altseason has been delayed due to market manipulation and panic selling by retail investors. Many traders capitulated as fear took over, leading to cascading liquidations and further price drops. Whales took advantage of weak hands, triggering stop losses and accumulating at discounted prices. FUD-driven sentiment and regulatory concerns added to the sell-off, causing a temporary shift in market confidence. However, on-chain data suggests strong accumulation, and BTC dominance is peaking—both signs of an upcoming altseason. With liquidity returning and sentiment improving, altcoins are likely to see explosive moves soon.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by ahmed_do
Bitcoin's Next Move, Solana Dumps From Memes & Unlocks, and MoreIn this video I cover Bitcoin's likely next move and why I sold my Bitcoin at $106k, plus where I think it bottoms and WHEN based on the next likely daily and weekly cycle low Feb 28th. Also price targets on Bitcoin, how and when it could get to $150k, why it dumps after that and after a summer correction, could rocket to $200k (examining the 11 factors to propel this). And we look at the longer term time frame for Bitcoin on the Monthly and 2 Month chart, where the RSI, Stoch/RSI, and MACD are showing early signs of topping out (but not likely there yet). I also revisit the USDT.D study I've been posting about, which is still very much a near-term concern, but plays nicely into the boom / bust timeline I've outlined above. Plus, a quick reviw of my 4-hour NASDAQ:IBIT study, and how the 'Gaps' have been acting as magnets for price, much like the CME gaps, which typically fill. Lastly, we look at some Atlcoins poised for 10x, 30x, even 250x rebounds and long-term targets. So this is an action-packed video! Hope you enjoy! Leave a like and comment, and check out my bio for more tools and resources :)
COINBASE:SEIUSDShort
by BrettFogle
1
Wycoff Re-accumulation or DistributionWe've been ranging for past 4 months, since Nov 2024. Are we in a Wycoff re-accumulation or distribution? If we are in re-accumulation, we could break above creek without taking out the lows. There is another scenario where we take out the lows at 89k, grab liquidity and form a spring. We want to see daily candles closing above the last lower highs of the creek formation. The other side of the coin is we are in a distribution event, we're going to pay very close attention the next time we head toward the top of the range, we want to see volume coming in and a break of all time high, if we get a rejection and begin closing below again, the probability of a distribution event increases. If we close any high time frame candles below the range low of 85k the probability increases that we fill the inefficiency at the 70k range.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Slumach