BTC/USDT - Liquidity Grab & Potential UPSIDE MOVEMarket Analysis:
Liquidity Sweep: BTC recently grabbed sell-side liquidity around $95,215 - $95,141, triggering stop losses and gathering institutional orders.
Reversal Signs: After tapping into this liquidity, a bullish reaction has started, with price now moving towards the buy-side liquidity range.
Potential Upside Move: If BTC maintains support above $95,600, we can expect a push towards the $97,000 - $97,600 range.
Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: $95,800 - $96,000 (After price confirmation)
🎯 Target 1: $97,050
🎯 Target 2: $97,600
🚀 Extended Target: $98,800 (If momentum continues)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below $95,100 (Below liquidity grab zone)
Trade Rationale:
📌 Liquidity Grab: Market makers swept stop losses, indicating potential reversal.
📌 Market Structure: Bullish recovery from key support zone.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (low risk, high reward setup).
🔔 Waiting for confirmation before entry! A strong bullish candle close above $96,000 can confirm entry. 🚀
📢 Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 📈👇
Bitcoinpriceprediction
Can Bitcoin Survive the Inflation Storm?Bitcoin, the world's most prominent cryptocurrency, has experienced a turbulent period, recently dipping below the $95,000 mark.1 This price correction comes amidst growing concerns about rising inflation in the United States, as reflected in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The CPI, a key indicator of inflation, surpassed market expectations, reigniting fears of persistent price pressures and their potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin.2
Inflation's Shadow Over Bitcoin
The unexpectedly high CPI reading has sent ripples through financial markets, with investors becoming increasingly wary of the Federal Reserve's response to inflation. The Fed's primary tool for combating inflation is raising interest rates, a move that can make borrowing more expensive and potentially slow down economic growth. This prospect often leads investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
The connection between inflation and Bitcoin is complex. While some argue that Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply, others believe that it is still too volatile to be considered a safe haven asset. The recent price drop suggests that market sentiment is currently leaning towards the latter view, with investors reacting to the inflation news by selling off their Bitcoin holdings.
Market Dynamics and Technical Levels
Bitcoin's price movements are influenced by a multitude of factors, including macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. In addition to inflation concerns, the recent price drop could also be attributed to normal market corrections, profit-taking by traders, and technical factors.
Analyzing Bitcoin's price chart reveals key support and resistance levels that traders are closely monitoring. The $95,000 level appears to be a crucial support zone, and a sustained break below this level could lead to further price declines. On the upside, the $101,000 mark is a significant resistance level, and a decisive move above this level could signal a potential recovery for Bitcoin.
The Fed's Dilemma and Potential Scenarios
The latest CPI data presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which is tasked with balancing the goals of controlling inflation and maintaining economic growth. While the higher-than-expected inflation reading might suggest the need for more aggressive interest rate hikes, the Fed also needs to be mindful of the potential impact on economic activity.
Despite calls for lower interest rates, the Fed is widely expected to continue its path of gradual rate increases in the coming months. The central bank has repeatedly emphasized its commitment to bringing inflation under control, and a strong labor market provides further support for its policy stance.
Looking ahead, several scenarios could play out for Bitcoin. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed might need to take more aggressive action, potentially leading to further price declines for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if inflation starts to subside, the Fed could adopt a more dovish stance, which could provide some relief for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Bitcoin's Long-Term Outlook
Despite the recent price volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive for many market participants. The cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, continues to attract interest from various industries, and the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors is steadily increasing.3
Furthermore, some argue that Bitcoin's decentralized nature and limited supply make it an attractive alternative to traditional currencies, especially in times of economic uncertainty. While Bitcoin's price can be volatile in the short term, its long-term potential continues to draw investors seeking exposure to the digital asset space.
Navigating the Uncertainty
The current market environment is characterized by uncertainty, with inflation concerns and macroeconomic factors weighing on investor sentiment. Bitcoin, like other risk assets, is susceptible to these broader market trends. However, it is essential to remember that Bitcoin is a nascent asset class, and its price volatility is to be expected.
Investors considering Bitcoin should carefully assess their risk tolerance and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. While Bitcoin's long-term potential remains intriguing, it is crucial to be aware of the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies.
BITCOIN CRASH BEST TRADE IDEA🔻 BTC/USDT Short Setup - 30M Analysis 🔻
Bitcoin has rejected a key resistance zone around $97,400-$97,550, showing signs of a bearish move. Price has failed to break above this supply area, and now a potential sell-off towards the sell-side liquidity range is in play.
🔹 Entry: Around $97,400 (Retest of resistance)
🔹 Stop Loss: $97,550 (Above supply zone)
🔹 Target: $94,725-$94,711 (Liquidity sweep level)
📉 Analysis Breakdown:
✅ Price is reacting to a well-defined supply zone.
✅ Bearish momentum increasing after liquidity grab.
✅ Confluence with 50 EMA rejecting price.
✅ High probability of price reaching liquidity range.
Watching this trade closely—let me know your thoughts! 📊🔥
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoSignals 🚀
BTC weekly zones
🚀 Bullish Breakthrough for Bitcoin on Weekly Time Frame! 🚀
Just in from @RSI_Trading_Concepts on @TradingView - the Bitcoin weekly chart is a beacon of bullish sentiment! 📈 The analysis highlights how the #BTC bulls are not just defending but thriving at the Overbought (OB) zone low on the weekly time frame, showcasing their strength and determination. 💪
🔹 Key Insights:
Following a significant breakout in late 2023, Bitcoin has been on a steady upward trajectory.
The bulls have impressively defended the OB Low at $53,841 on the weekly chart, indicating strong support within this zone.
This defense of the OB Low, especially in an overbought RSI context, suggests that the market sentiment remains overwhelmingly positive, with momentum favoring further gains.
🔹 What This Tells Us:
This isn't just a defense; it's a statement from the Bulls. Holding strong at this critical level, particularly after RSI has indicated overbought conditions, is a powerful sign that the current trend might continue. The market is showing us that despite being in overbought territory, the appetite for Bitcoin is still voracious.
Don't overlook this signal! The resilience at this key level on the weekly chart could propel Bitcoin to new heights. Keep your eyes on this zone and prepare for what might be an exhilarating journey upwards. 🚀💹 #Bitcoin #Bullish #Crypto #RSI #TradingView
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near
The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins.
I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!)
🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet
Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt.
🔹 Bitcoin Outlook
BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support.
😱 More blood on the charts?
Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders:
1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in.
2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish.
I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders.
📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles
When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding.
If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery.
Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
BTC / USDT: Gearing up for a breakout above trendline resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USDT): Gearing Up for a Breakout Above Trendline Resistance
Bitcoin is setting up for a major move 📈 as it approaches a critical trendline resistance zone 📊. The price has been consolidating tightly, forming the perfect setup for a potential breakout 💥. If BTC successfully clears this resistance, we could see a strong bullish trend unfold 🚀. Keep a close eye 👀 and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Trendline Resistance: Bitcoin is nearing a long-standing trendline that has repeatedly acted as a barrier. A decisive break above this level could mark the start of a significant upward move.
2️⃣ Volume Surge: Watch for a notable increase in trading volume during the breakout to confirm strong buying pressure 🔥.
3️⃣ Bullish Signals: Indicators like RSI and MACD are showing strength ⚡, further supporting the potential for a bullish breakout.
Steps to Confirm the Breakout:
✅ Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍.
✅ A noticeable spike in volume during the breakout can signal strong buying activity 📊.
✅ A retest of the broken resistance as a new support zone adds credibility to the move.
⚠️ Be cautious of fake breakouts, such as sharp reversals or wicks above the trendline.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital.
🎯 Ensure position sizing aligns with your overall trading strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin Price Projection: $94,700- Both daily and hourly charts indicate a possible downtrend.
- A 1 HR FVG sits between 98,754 and 98,916, which could act as resistance.
- Multiple bearish FVGs sit above the HR FVG, so I see a good amount of resistance in the near term.
- A big liquidity zone is under the last Lowest Low (96,256.75), which has yet to be swept.
- If 96,256.75 finds no support, we could be headed as low as 94,709.43. At that price point, a huge liquidity zone is filled and a small 1hr FVG is hit.
Bitcoin Price Surges Despite US-China Trade TensionsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has seen a surge in price in recent weeks, despite ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Bitcoin's price has risen by over 20% in the last few months, and some analysts believe that it could reach a new all-time high in the near future.
There are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. One factor is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as Tesla and MicroStrategy, have announced that they have purchased Bitcoin as part of their treasury reserves.2 This has helped to legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset and has attracted more institutional investors to the market.
Another factor that is driving Bitcoin's price growth is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as PayPal and Visa, have announced that they will allow their customers to use Bitcoin to make payments.3 This has made it easier for people to use Bitcoin in their everyday lives and has helped to increase demand for the cryptocurrency.
Despite the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, Bitcoin has continued to perform well. This suggests that Bitcoin is becoming increasingly decoupled from traditional financial markets. This is likely due to the fact that Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that is not controlled by any central bank or government. As a result, Bitcoin is not as susceptible to the same economic and political risks as traditional currencies.
However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is still volatile and can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. As a result, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
Other factors driving Bitcoin's price
In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a number of other factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors include:
• The increasing scarcity of Bitcoin. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in existence. This scarcity is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is seen as a store of value.
• The increasing adoption of Bitcoin by developing countries. In many developing countries, Bitcoin is seen as a more stable and reliable currency than the local currency. This is driving demand for Bitcoin in these countries.
•
Overall, there are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors suggest that Bitcoin could continue to perform well in the future. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall?
Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market.
Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation.
🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle
1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs
Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval.
As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher.
This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat.
✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving)
High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell.
Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend.
❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving)
After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high.
Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop.
Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses.
2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash
Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds:
1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving).
2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards.
3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market.
4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling.
5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market.
6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets.
🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes.
3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market
Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out:
📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%.
📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%.
📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%.
📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%.
🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation.
🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes.
4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash?
After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving).
Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure.
Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC.
Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices.
The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom.
Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle.
This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period.
The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026
✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025).
✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026).
✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle.
Final Thoughts
If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly.
Sources & Data Validation
The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including:
Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics)
Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers)
Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research)
Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles)
Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BTC / USDT : Holding strong at 92K - Bounce incoming ?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): Holding Strong at GETTEX:92K – Bounce Incoming?
Bitcoin is showing resilience at the GETTEX:92K support level, holding firm despite market fluctuations. This critical level has acted as a strong demand zone, and if buyers step in, we could see a bullish bounce from here. The next move will be crucial in determining BTC’s short-term trend.
Key Insights:
1️⃣ Major Support at GETTEX:92K : BTC has been testing this level, and a strong rebound could trigger a move towards higher resistance zones.
2️⃣ Volume Confirmation: A noticeable increase in buy volume would signal strength and confirm the potential bounce.
3️⃣ Bullish Indicators: Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are showing signs of reversal, suggesting that bulls might be ready to take control.
Steps to Confirm the Bounce:
✅ Strong 4H or Daily Close Above GETTEX:92K – A solid candle close above this level would confirm demand.
✅ Volume Surge During the Rebound – Watch for increasing buying pressure to validate the move.
✅ Retest Holding as Support – If BTC retests GETTEX:92K and holds, it strengthens the bullish case.
⚠️ Beware of Fakeouts – Sudden dips below GETTEX:92K followed by quick recoveries could indicate stop-hunt moves.
Risk Management Strategies:
🔒 Use Stop-Loss Orders – Protect your capital in case of unexpected breakdowns.
🎯 Position Sizing – Ensure your trade aligns with your overall strategy and risk tolerance.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR before making any investment decisions. 🔍
BITCOIN TO 140K CONFIRMED !!! 🚀 On shorter time frame #BTC is forming ending diagonal in wave c of minor wave 2 correction, which indicates that correction may end up here and we may see shift from correction to minor wave 3 impulse move🚀
🚀 In that case major wave count of wave 3 and minor v ends up to 130k 🚀
🚀 If major wave 3 extends upto 130k, then we may see last 5th major to end up near 140k 🚀
BTC Volatility Hits 6-Month High, Options Trading ExplodesImplied and realized volatility indexes hit the highest levels since August's yen carry trade unwind.
Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has always been synonymous with volatility. However, recent market activity indicates a significant surge in price fluctuations, with both implied and realized volatility indexes reaching levels not seen since August of the previous year. This spike in volatility coincides with a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market, suggesting that traders are anticipating significant price swings in the near future.
Understanding Volatility
In financial markets, volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a trading asset over time. High volatility implies that the price of an asset can fluctuate dramatically over a short period, while low volatility suggests relatively stable price movements. Volatility can be measured in two primary ways:
1. Realized Volatility: This is a historical measure of how much an asset's price has fluctuated in the past. It is typically calculated by looking at the standard deviation of price changes over a specific period, such as 30 days.
2. Implied Volatility: This is a forward-looking measure of how much the market expects an asset's price to fluctuate in the future. It is derived from the pricing of options contracts, which give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specific price on or before a certain date.
Current Market Trends
The increase in implied volatility suggests that options traders are pricing in a higher probability of significant price swings in Bitcoin. This could be due to a number of factors, including:
• Increased Institutional Participation: The growing involvement of institutional investors in the Bitcoin market has led to larger trading volumes and potentially greater price swings.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The lack of clear regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies in many jurisdictions continues to create uncertainty and contribute to volatility.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards Bitcoin can also play a significant role in its volatility. Positive news and developments can lead to rapid price increases, while negative news can trigger sharp declines.
Options Market Frenzy
The surge in Bitcoin volatility is closely linked to a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market. Options contracts provide traders with a way to bet on future price movements without having to directly buy or sell the underlying asset. The recent increase in options trading suggests that traders are actively seeking to capitalize on the expected price swings in Bitcoin.
One notable trend in the options market is the increasing demand for call options, which give the holder the right to buy Bitcoin at a specific price. This indicates that many traders are betting on further price increases in the cryptocurrency.
Potential Risks
While the current market conditions may present opportunities for some traders, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with high volatility. Rapid price swings can lead to significant losses for those who are not adequately prepared.
For latecomers to the Bitcoin market, the risk of immediate unrealized losses is particularly high. If the price of Bitcoin were to suddenly decline, those who recently bought in at higher prices could see their investments quickly lose value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge in volatility, coupled with the frenzy in the options market, highlights the inherent risks and opportunities associated with this digital asset. While the potential for significant gains exists, traders must also be prepared for the possibility of substantial losses. As the Bitcoin market continues to evolve, it is crucial to stay informed and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
Timing the Bitcoin bull cycleHello, and thank you for stopping by to check out my Idea!
I've had this chart drawn for about two years now after spending some time researching previous cycles. This chart is very basic and imperfect, but it speaks for itself.
Based on the strikingly similar lengths of previous bull and bear cycles, I believe the following...
Bitcoin will peak near $172,000 USD sometime between September 15 and October 15 2025
What do you think?
Bitcoin , next target Evening folks, sorry for being absent I’m ridiculously busy with my businesses and new year , btw wish you all the best and a year of getting massive mountain of money lol . Keeping my chart simple you I wont cause confusion. Bitcoin has like two weeks in the worse scenario to range or fall before going and tap 150k or somewhere around. In the good scenario it goes up from here , I’ve put two box to get the bitcoin in case of a fall but deep down I see it unlikely to happen as altcoins look sh! T , I see it as a surprise run and leave people behind most likely but anyway who knows . Keep those areas in mind and see them as a chance . Bullrun isn’t over and it’s just warming up. Stay safe lads
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Navigating Selling Pressure and BullishBitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, currently finds itself at a critical juncture, navigating a complex interplay of selling pressure from long-term holders and several bullish indicators suggesting a potential resurgence. This article delves into the key factors influencing Bitcoin's price, including long-term holder behavior, exchange inflows and miner outflows, hashrate dynamics, and the influence of Bitcoin whales, to assess its potential to reclaim the coveted $100,000 mark.
Critical Support and Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure
Bitcoin is currently facing critical support levels, meaning that its price is approaching a point where a significant drop could trigger further selling and potentially lead to a more substantial correction. One of the primary factors contributing to this pressure is the selling activity of long-term Bitcoin holders. These holders, who have typically held their Bitcoin for extended periods, are beginning to distribute their holdings, adding to the selling pressure in the market. This behavior can be attributed to various factors, including profit-taking after previous price surges, concerns about macroeconomic conditions, or a shift in investment strategies. Monitoring the behavior of long-term holders is crucial for understanding the overall market sentiment and potential future price movements.
Exchange Inflow and Miner Outflow Dynamics
Analyzing Bitcoin exchange inflows and miner outflows provides valuable insights into market dynamics. A drop in exchange inflows suggests reduced selling pressure, as fewer Bitcoins are being deposited onto exchanges for trading.1 Conversely, a decrease in miner outflows indicates that miners are holding onto their Bitcoin rather than selling it immediately, further reducing selling pressure. The recent drop in both exchange inflows and miner outflows is a positive sign, suggesting that selling pressure is easing and potentially paving the way for a price recovery. The expectation is that this reduced selling pressure, combined with other bullish factors, could contribute to Bitcoin reclaiming the $100,000 level.
Bitcoin Hashrate Reaching New All-Time Highs
The Bitcoin hashrate, a measure of the computational power used to mine Bitcoin, has recently reached new all-time highs.2 This is a significant indicator of the network's strength and security. A higher hashrate makes the Bitcoin network more resistant to attacks and demonstrates the continued commitment of miners to the ecosystem. While a high hashrate doesn't directly translate to immediate price increases, it reflects the long-term health and stability of the Bitcoin network, which can indirectly contribute to positive market sentiment and attract new investors. This robust network infrastructure provides a strong foundation for future price appreciation and supports the possibility of Bitcoin reaching $100,000.
The Influence of Bitcoin Whales
Bitcoin whales, entities holding substantial amounts of Bitcoin, exert significant influence on market dynamics.3 Recent data suggests that Bitcoin whales control a significant portion of exchange volume, highlighting their ability to impact price movements. Analyzing their selling patterns is crucial for understanding potential market shifts. If whales begin accumulating Bitcoin, it could signal a bullish trend, while continued selling could exacerbate downward pressure. Understanding whale behavior is essential for navigating the complexities of the Bitcoin market and anticipating potential price swings. The observation that whales control 94.5% of exchange volume underscores their influence and the importance of monitoring their activity for future market predictions.
Can Bitcoin Reclaim $100,000?
The question on everyone's mind is whether Bitcoin can reclaim the $100,000 mark. While the selling pressure from long-term holders presents a challenge, several bullish factors offer hope for a price recovery. The drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows suggests reduced selling pressure, while the record-high hashrate demonstrates the strength and security of the Bitcoin network. The behavior of Bitcoin whales will also play a crucial role in determining future price movements.
Reaching $100,000 will require a combination of factors, including a decrease in selling pressure, renewed buying interest from both retail and institutional investors, and positive developments in the broader cryptocurrency market. If these conditions are met, Bitcoin has the potential to overcome current challenges and reach new heights.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently navigating a delicate balance between selling pressure and bullish indicators. While long-term holder selling and critical support levels present challenges, the drop in exchange inflows and miner outflows, coupled with the record-high hashrate, offer positive signals. The influence of Bitcoin whales adds another layer of complexity to the market dynamics.
Whether Bitcoin can reclaim $100,000 remains to be seen, but the interplay of these factors will ultimately determine its future price trajectory. Careful monitoring of these key indicators is essential for understanding the evolving landscape of the Bitcoin market and making informed investment decisions.
BTCUSD H4 Outlook If this current H4 candle closes below my poi which is 97552.82 I'll be looking to sell Bitcoin down to the indicated liquidity zone 92743.63
If price close above it. I'll wait for the next three H4 candles to know if I'd still be willing to see Bitcoin fall to 92743.63.
What's your outlook on BTC. Drop your comments I'll be glad to read your point of view.
BTCUSDT LongBased on the previous analysis, we anticipated that the price might be bearish based on the retracement it made on the 50% mark.
Well, it retraced but did not manage to go through the Order Block at 92150, which might be a signature that the price might be drawn to the DOL at 100,000
Entry at 95600, tp 1 at 97570 and Tp 2 at 100,700 and SL 93750.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish DivergenceTechnical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish Divergence
Hello!
T he recent technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) highlights the presence of a regular bearish divergence between the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. This divergence, marked by the yellow lines on the chart, signals a potential reversal in the short-term trend and suggests a bearish outlook for the coming days or weeks.
Understanding the Divergence
A regular bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset forms higher highs, while the RSI forms lower highs. This indicates weakening momentum, even as the price reaches new peaks. The yellow lines on the TradingView chart clearly illustrate this pattern for Bitcoin.
Price Action: Bitcoin has recorded higher highs on the price chart.
RSI Behavior: The RSI indicator, however, has failed to mirror this pattern, instead forming lower highs. This discrepancy points to diminishing bullish momentum and the likelihood of an upcoming price correction.
Short-Term Bearish Implications
Given the regular bearish divergence, Bitcoin’s price is expected to experience a pullback in the short term. Traders should be cautious, as this divergence often precedes a period of downward movement. Key support levels, such as $93,000 and $92,000, should be monitored closely to assess the depth of the correction.
Long-Term Bullish Outlook
While the short-term trend leans bearish, the long-term perspective for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several macroeconomic factors, including increasing institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and a growing use case for cryptocurrencies, continue to support the long-term upward trajectory of BTC. This macroeconomic backdrop suggests that any short-term price corrections could present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
Key Takeaways
The yellow lines on the TradingView chart highlight a regular bearish divergence between Bitcoin’s price and the RSI indicator.
This divergence signals a likely short-term bearish trend, with a potential price correction on the horizon.
Long-term trends remain bullish, supported by macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s robust fundamentals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Regards,
Ely
HEAD AND SHOULDERS: NOT JUST A SHAMPOO Alright, traders, buckle up. 🚀 What you’re looking at isn’t just a chart—it’s a warning shot. 💥
📉 Head and Shoulders? Classic textbook stuff. But don’t get comfortable. That neckline at 68,285 isn’t just a pretty yellow line—it’s the price’s last line of defense before it nosedives into the abyss. 🕳️
Let’s connect the dots:
Momentum? Fading faster than New Year’s resolutions. 🗓️ (👀 at that RSI—she’s screaming bearish.)
Buyers? They’re running out of steam, and it’s not looking pretty for the bulls. 🐂💨
But here’s the kicker: 🎯 When (not if) that line breaks, the price could freefall faster than your hopes in a Monday morning meeting. 💸📉
So, what’s your play? 🤔
Sit there, fingers crossed 🤞, hoping the neckline holds? Or take action, position yourself, and ride the wave down like the shark 🦈 you are?
Your choice. But remember—trading isn’t about hoping; it’s about acting. 💪
Let’s see who’s ready to capitalize and who’s stuck waiting on miracles. 👀
💬 Feel free to screenshot this when the price hits new lows and say you were here first.
Bitcoin Post-Halving Shockwave: Why 2025 Could Still See a Mega Now that the much-anticipated 2024 halving is in the rearview, the big question is: Will Bitcoin continue its explosive post-halving trend? My long-term chart analysis suggests that BTC remains on track for a powerful rally—if certain key support zones hold and historical patterns play out. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Post-Halving Volatility
We’ve already witnessed a surge in volatility around the 2024 halving date (which occurred earlier this year). Historically, halvings have often propelled multi-month bull markets, though they don’t always ignite immediately. Keep an eye on the next few quarters for signs of a prolonged uptrend.
Mature Ascending Channel Since 2017
The broad rising channel (outlined on the chart) has been a reliable guidepost. Multiple touchpoints along its upper and lower boundaries highlight how BTC has respected this structure for years. As long as price remains within this channel, the long-term bullish bias stays intact.
Critical Support Zones (S1, S2, S3)
I’ve identified major horizontal levels where strong buying pressure has historically emerged. If the market corrects from current levels, these supports could offer prime “buy the dip” opportunities—or serve as warnings if they fail to hold.
2025 Outlook
If previous cycles are any indication, we may see a continued grind upwards heading into 2025. Bitcoin’s supply dynamics, combined with growing institutional interest, support the potential for a high-volatility, high-upside environment. However, it’s essential to stay flexible and keep tabs on macro factors.
Bottom Line: The halving has come and gone, but its after-effects may just be warming up. Whether you’re bullish or bearish, always back your technical analysis with robust risk management. What are your thoughts on Bitcoin’s post-halving trajectory? Let me know in the comments below!
Back to the Roots: BitcoinAs predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin was rejected at **$100k** and is now approaching a cycle low. 📉
📊 Current Analysis:
❌ We’re not at the bottom yet, and it’s not time to buy.
🔵 The 1-day indicator (dark blue line) is currently at **68** and looks poised to reverse to the downside, signaling a potential cycle break.
⏳ Even if this doesn’t happen, the 1-day cycle will need approximately a week to return to the **20 range**, marking Bitcoin’s 60-day cycle low.
📍 The low could form anywhere between **$85k and $91k**.
💡 Remember: **Cycles don’t predict prices; they provide timing bands for tops and bottoms.**
🔮 Next Cycle Outlook:
⚠️ The upcoming 60-day Bitcoin cycle doesn’t look promising:
1️⃣ The **1-week indicator** spent a significant amount of time above **80** and is now trending downward.
2️⃣ This cycle reflects the general trend for the next 1-2 months and currently leans **bearish**.
3️⃣ We may need more time before the market reverses to the upside.
✨ Despite this, there are intriguing opportunities in the market right now. More details are available in the **Premium group**.
✅ Stay safe, trust the cycles, and build your wealth.💪
Let me know if you’d like further tweaks! 🚀
BTC Bitcoin Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetIf you haven`t bought BTC Bitcoin before the recent breakout:
My price target for BTC in 2025 is $125K, driven by the following fundamental factors:
Regulatory Developments Favoring Adoption:
The anticipated regulatory shifts in the United States are expected to create a more favorable environment for cryptocurrencies. With the potential for pro-crypto policies under a new administration, including the establishment of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset by major nations, investor confidence is likely to increase significantly. Analysts suggest that such developments could drive the total cryptocurrency market capitalization from approximately $3.3 trillion to around $8 trillion by 2025, with Bitcoin poised to capture a substantial share of this growth.
Increased Institutional Demand through ETFs:
The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has already begun to transform the investment landscape for Bitcoin, making it more accessible to institutional and retail investors alike. Following the successful introduction of multiple Bitcoin ETFs in 2024, analysts project that inflows could exceed $15 billion in 2025, further boosting demand for Bitcoin. This increased accessibility is expected to drive prices higher as more investors seek exposure to the asset class.
Supply Constraints from Halving Events:
Bitcoin's supply dynamics are fundamentally bullish due to its halving events, which occur approximately every four years and reduce the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. The most recent halving in April 2024 has led to a significant reduction in supply inflation, creating scarcity that historically correlates with price increases. As demand continues to rise while supply becomes more constrained, this fundamental imbalance is likely to support higher prices.
Growing Adoption as a Store of Value"
As macroeconomic conditions evolve, including persistent inflationary pressures and potential monetary policy easing, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a viable store of value akin to gold. This perception is bolstered by its finite supply and decentralized nature, making it an attractive hedge against inflation. Analysts suggest that as more investors turn to Bitcoin for wealth preservation, its price could see substantial appreciation