Where are we heading for the next cycle?From top to bottom, using log fib extensions:
Cycle 2: 2.272 Fib is the top of 2013
Cycle 3 : 2.272 Fib is the top of 2017
Cycle 4: 1.618 Fib is the top of 2021. Institutions are in since 2017, diminishing returns.
Cycle 5: Will 1.618 or 1.272 fib be the top of 2025? I bet on the 1.618 option.
Max pain will occur before, certainly. But the destination is known, path isn't.
Bitcoinpriceprediction
bitcoin price prediction short/mid termThis is the most likely scenario to play out in aproximately 1 month (very slow growth and then strong reverse with two separate downsides), the darker blue line is an aproximate price and lighter blue is for better visualization but is clearly random, you can make money both shorts and longs if you are not a dummy but i consider longs much riskier so i would not recommend playing longs with your whole capital
remember guys that we are still in a bear market and i suppose this time it will last much much longer than historically speaking
this is not a financial recommendation, peace
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin next huge volatility is comingBYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
4hr time frame
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Bitcoin is consolidating as a symmetrical triangle and approaching to the end.
It will make continuation no matter break upside or downside.
I personally tend to see it break below this triangle, and do not miss the good opportunity.
BTC Pattern Continues To Playout! Strong Bearish Signs Are There*Disclaimer - Not Financial Advice*
Bitcoin Has been consolidating below a huge HORIZONTAL resistant for a while now And The pattern that we have been talking for the past 3 videos playing out
On top of that there are Quadruple Bearish Divergence on RSI and Bear Flag and couple of more SELL signals that I mentioned in the video
Lots of STRONG Sell Signals so I would say 25K first before 30K(if it wants to happen)
I strongly recommend to watch this untill the end
Please Consider supporting the channel by boosting , sharing , Commentng - warms my heart-
BTC/USDT/UpdateEverything we predicted in the previous analysis (www.tradingview.com) happened exactly and now it's time for the next prediction. Those who know the crypto market know that behind this apparent calm lies a huge storm. Bulls and bears prepare for a decisive battle. In the next 24 to 72 hours there will be a huge movement in which many bulls and bears will be sacrificed, but I personally think that this battle will end in favor of the bulls and this year will be a dream year for crypto. Compliance with the loss limit is mandatory.
ps 1: Before starting the main movement, a pullback may be done up to the range of 24 thousand dollars, in which case I will spend all my cash assets to buy crypto ;)
ps 2: DYOR
BTC: Correction Incoming? Should we Short, or Prepare to Buy?Hello friends!
I hope you had a profitable trading week so far.
This time, I would like to express my concern for Bitcoin.
As we can see, Bitcoin had 2 consecutive rather indecisive weeks.
Usually indecisiveness means either of these 2 things:
- Bulls charging their juice for the next run, or
- Bears are absorbing the bulls and are preparing for the reversal.
In this case, I see a potential reversal cooking. At least in bigger time frame (daily or weekly) it will only look like a correction. But in intraday timeframe, it might be a reversal signs and/or good short setup potential.
MY OBSERVATION
1. We can see that there was a bearish divergence in RSI formed. See the dashed white arrow. This indicates that bulls are weakening.
2. We can see the failure of making a higher-high. See 2 yellow arrows
There 2 signs indicates that bears are ready to take action.
However, we need a third confirmation.
My analysis will be proven if the yellow bold line is broken. This will indicate that the price has formed a lower-low structure, which marks the start of a downtrend (at least in intraday timeframe)
Next Question: HOW LOW CAN BTC GO?
If you see at the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin is ranging between
13-16k zone, and
28-32k zone.
In addition, the box I draw above marks the supply zone at the weekly timeframe.
So, the worst case scenario is that BTC will go to 13-16k zone as the weekly range low.
But, assuming that the trend is still bullish, then I am marking these zones:
- 24000-24000 USD zone
- The blue trendline shown in the picture
Should we see a bullish signal in those area, we can start buying/long up to 35 or maybe 40k.
Hope you like my analysis and don't forget to share your thoughts as well
We have "reverted to the mean" of 2017 (Long from here)If we go back to 2016-2017 and create the average trend line leading to present time (light blue line), you will see that the 100D MA has bounced off support and now making way to potentially forming a "golden cross" with the 500D MA. Obviously, we could see consolidation between the $20K and $30K range for quite some time, but in the long term we are still following the long term mean. I believe the light blue line will remain an area of safety (hardened support) and will continue the long term trend "up" following the 2024 halving.
TLDR: We have already hit rock bottom.
BTCUSDT - will there be a breakdown of the 30000 level?A strong seller sat above the level of $28,470, and for 14 days it has not been able to gain a foothold with a single bar above this level. Local rollback from replay is very likely. To continue the growth, it is necessary to fix the higher level, but after 45% growth without corrections, it will not be easy to do this.
Before lowering the price below, in my opinion, there should be a test of this level of $30,000-30,900
Despite the fact that we have a strong seller holding the price, I believe that this should happen, since there are a lot of Stop Losses collected at these price levels
Not least important is that always
before an aggressive drop, which is expected in the near future, there is usually a false pump, which removes liquidity to buy and rebalances the price - these are opportunities for opening short positions.
Now I am considering two scenarios for the price development to $24,000:
1. After updating the short-term low ($27,500);
2. After updating the high of the previous month ($30,250);
Bitcoin on the verge of multiyear breakout......sounds BullishBitcoin is making higher highs higher lows on 1H time frame
It's at the very edge of valid trendline shown in the chart so if bitcoin takes support at this trendline We may enter a mega bull run in recent times .
My view is bullish hope this time Bitcoin breaks 28800 ....Happpy trading
Bitcoin No Limits - World Takeover Don't Trust The MarketcapHello this is my first post for the future and some bitcoin projections I have been running during the bear market, everyone see it from my view and why this is a pretty historic event happening before our eyes. Biggest financial event in human history to be exact. . not just our lives.
2025
$855,775 Medium | Market cap ($17,971,275,000,000 based on 21m supply) $17.971 trillion
$2,038,869 Parabolic | Market cap ($42,816,249,000,000 based on 21m supply) $48.816 trillion
BASED on today's price of 1 Bitcoin worth $22,800 | Invested amount $2,052 = 0.09 BTC | Return on 2025 $183,498 that's 8,742%.
--------------------------
2030
$3,471,145 Medium | Market cap ($72,894,045,000,000 based on 21m supply) $72.894 trillion
$6,610,057 Parabolic | Market cap ($138,811,197,000,000 based on 21m supply) $138.811 trillion
BASED on today's price of 1 Bitcoin worth $22,800 | Invested amount $2,052 = 0.09 BTC | Return on 2030 $592,853 that's 28,791%.
--------------------------
You need to stop looking at Bitcoin based on market capitalization, this is not a technology stock, this is not a company they cannot be compared what so ever.
Its impossible to dilute Bitcoin, Its not impossible to dilute Apple shares.
Fiat money can be printed and devalued renominated, Its impossible to print Bitcoin and create inflation outside of the 21m limit.
Rick Falkvinge explains this perfectly, how do we calculate a 1 billion dollar market cap token?
Step 1 Issue 1 billion Tokens
Step 2 convince a few thousand people to buy each token for $1
Step 3 you now have what wall street uses to value companies economic value, and you probably just realized 100 Trillion in Bitcoin is not 100 trillion dollars, you can have a 1,000 trillion market cap with less than 50 Trillion of fiat value floating around in the asset.
You start to realize the total crypto market capitalization filled with scams was not 3.0 Trillion in real fiat value.
In 2021 at the peak only 176 Billion was the daily volume on Coinmarketcap, if you add in that market caps are not correct it would be less than a 10 billion per day of real fiat currency, its a lot correct but its not near what people thought.
Lets continue the journey and use Visual Capitalist to see what money looks like today.
-Notional value of derivatives is now estimated to be $600 trillion, notional value is another method to use over market cap.
-Market value of derivatives $12.4 trillion
-House hold wealth globally $463 trillion
-Commercial real estate $33 trillion
-Residential real estate $259 trillion
-Global debt $300 trillion
-Global money supply M1 $48.9 trillion M1 includes currency i.e. banknotes and coins, plus overnight deposits
-Global money supply M2 $82.6 trillion M2 is a measure of the U.S. money stock that includes M1 (currency and coins held by the non-bank public, checkable deposits, and travelers' checks) plus savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts), small time deposits under $100,000, and shares in retail money market mutual funds.
-Global Equities $95.9 trillion
-Central Bank Assets $28.0 trillion Fed, BoJ, Bank of China, and Eurozone only
Here we come to the end, where you should now understand even purchasing $1 dollar of Bitcoin can equal a range of multiples more than 10x of market cap pressure if you're measuring it in market cap.
What can we use besides market cap to find Bitcoins value? we can't it has not been created yet.
Further points, sovereign states who purchase Bitcoin and have no plan to make them available to the public market like El Salvador that's another multiples of leverage on top of the original purchase, and unlike derivatives this leverage can be held infinitely just how central banks store Gold bars infinitely.
Still wondering what this is implying after that long explanation?
For Bitcoin to get near a $100 trillion dollar market cap giving it a price of $4,800,000 per coin you could pull this off with less than $10 trillion of real fiat injecting into the Bitcoin economy if 21,000,000 coins are openly traded.
Some factors that will be unknown due to the nature of statistics
- how many coins are truly lost?
- how much fiat will central banks print?
- how many users will be on layer 2s like the lightning network?
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is why the Bitcoin exchange supply is acting abnormal and its starting to really decrease due to institutions, banks, funds all allocating behind the scenes regardless if Bitcoin goes to $5,000, $10,000 anything under $100,000 is cheap.
Fidelity investments one of the largest funds in the world notices this trend and they have made their decision.
What are pathways institutions are taking to capture this wealth?
- Cold storage.
- Long-Term Equity Anticipation Securities (LEAPS) call options that expire longer than 1 year.
- Avoid futures ETF's or any futures product that does not use underlying Bitcoin, these decay and have management fee's and will greatly reduce your profit. (I found this ETF that tracks Bitcoins price?) forget it don't touch it.
Bitcoin cycles will eventually became a thing of the past once adoption reached maximum velocity, lets enjoy the time we have with it now and respect it till its gone.
Better call Doc Brown when Bitcoin starts to move you're gonna see some serious s***
Hello, everyone! On the Bitcoin price chart we can see that beaHello, everyone!
On the Bitcoin price chart we can see that bearish reversal bar and bearish divergence have been formed, but I consider it's not enough for the final wave 5.
Of course, Awesome Oscillator crossed the zero line, but this is too weak crossover to form the wave 4. I suppose we have to see more consolidation in the wave 4. Bearish reversal bar in my opinion is the top of the wave 5 inside wave 3. Therefore I am still holding my long trade and waiting for the wave 5.
Best regards, Ivan
Bitcoin Analysis: Key price zones to watch.
Hello traders.
Bitcoin is showing a sideways momentum for now which is fine and was expected to do so. I've kind of already covered this expected side ways action in my Mar 17 analysis where I said it would clear all the buy and sell side liquidity in the zone of $27k-$32k.
Well we never actually reached $32k mark but were close to that.
Now before the Bitcoin price moves up, what I want to see is a nice retracement leg where I can find my entry points.
I've marked two areas to be my point of interest in Bitcoin. First area is between $23800-$24123. Reason is simple. It's the zone sitting at 50% fib levels of the recent expansion from $19k. So it's a bounce back area for me.
The second area where I have my eyes on is $21k-$22k price range, as it offers a discounted area to buy Bitcoin. The said zone is also an unmitigated zone and the chances are high for Bitcoin to tap into this area and bounce.
I'm using a 4h timeframe for my analysis and hence it may take time for Bitcoin to shape out the structure that I want to see.
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #06Good evening, we are from Ukraine!
Extension of the agreement. The action plan remains unchanged. A mistake made by UT without confirmation.
Restart. The targets are unchanged.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes you win/sometimes you learn.
#Bitcoin
Bitcoin harmonics I'm still eyeing up a bullish cypher (white) and shark harmonic (blue) on the daily candle chart.
If we get rejected at these levels at the 1.414 fib, I'm hoping for the cypher giving a D (buy) target of around 218600. Which was a huge resistance through the second half of 2022 👀
If we can push up 30600ish (C) and reach the 1.618 I believe we may have a shark giving a buy target of around 18430! (D) this is also massive resistance during the later part 2022 (check December 14th rejection for reference)
This is just what I'm personally looking for. Iv had So much confuence around these price ranges it's hard to ignore!
(Comments and disagreements welcome! I love a debate 🔥)
btcusdt 4h uptade btc almost three time failed to break its resistance area at 28500$.
MACD & RSI indicators almost look bearish on 4h tf.
there is a two possible next move...
1st = downtrend correction expected from current price.
2nd = downtrend correction expected from its resistance area... 28500$-29000$.
local support area 26500$
strong support area 25000$.
follow me for more updates.
Breaking the Bears: Bitcoin Bullish MomentumHello @TradingView community. Welcome in @Vestinda Bitcoin price analysis.
Reports about bank collapses, stablecoins, and interest rate increases appear to be powerful enough to increase the price of bitcoin. Well, Bitcoin almost hovers above $28,000 amid banking instability.
On the other side, we discover chart patterns that suggest a market recovery from the bear trend as Bitcoin surged in the beginning of March 2023 by approximately +80%.
1. Price on long term scale remains in Rising Channel
2. Strong breakout of Downtrend Resistance
3. EMA Ribbon bullish breakout
Which means price is likely to continue growth inside Rising Channel, and according to identical move characteristics from 2019, we might land on this move in the upper 40s or low 50s. For sure it is our High-hopes, and in general, the price movement may differ both in time and appearance.
What is Rising Channel in trading?
A rising channel is a technical analysis tool used by traders to identify an uptrend in the market. It is formed when the price of a security moves between two parallel trendlines, with the upper trendline representing resistance and the lower trendline representing support. The rising channel can be used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades, as well as to determine whether a security is in an uptrend or downtrend. Traders can also use it to set stop-loss orders and take profits when trading, a rising channel helps traders determine where the current price is in reference to the median of the market.
Learn about Bulls and Bears on the markets:
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#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #05Good evening , we are from Ukraine!
The price range has been reached. Next, I assess the weakness of the acquisition recovery. UT is fixed, UTAD is possible. I'm going to support the trade.
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success .
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn .
#Bitcoin
‼️ BITCOIN BULLISH ✅✅✅✳️‼️To update our last BTC idea,
We had two scenarios, as expected price chose the first scenario and it followed as we determined in the last analysis,
We have a strong supply zone around 28000, we expect the reaction to this zone, with a bit of corrective move,
For keep the position until 28000, but be careful try to manage your trades properly,
Any questions comment below,
@FxShzd
#Bitcoin - thoughts out loud #04Good evening , we are from Ukraine!
I'm finishing the previous idea and continuing the new one.
Action plan for this trade:
I'm waiting for UT/UTAD because there is liquidity there, then confirmation. I'm targeting the price of 25652.
Good luck to everyone!
Thank you all for your attention, I wish you success.
Sometimes you win /sometimes you learn .
#Bitcoin