Post BTC Halving Price Prediction, DXY, $IBIT, and May ForecastAs I've been saying, we really just need a breather after the huge runup in Bitcoin and the altcoins pre-halving and with 7 consequetive up months and Green candles.
So it's no surprise April is selling off, and the halving was a 'sell the news' event. It's good news, because all markets need to rest and re-gain their strength to push higher.
Watch the video for details, but the TLDR is I think we'll drift sideways and even down to re-test the $60k region where we can see strong buy blocks until we get into May, and then we'll start to push higher and hopefully into bull-mania.
However, IF Bitcoin can get back above $66k - $68k on a daily closing basis, effectively washing out the Red block of sellers and back above both the 21 and 50 day EMA's (Exponential Moving Averages) then I would start buying BTC.
Bitcoinpriceprediction
🟠 BITCOIN MULTI TIMEFRAME: ZERO MOMENTUM IN PLAY 🟣🟣 Hey there, @TradingView fam! Ready for some fresh Bitcoin analysis? We've got a juicy update for you, covering multiple timeframes and packed with insights from key indicators.
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Let's kick things off with a look at the daily perspective. We've plotted the EMA 20, EMA 100, and a Triangle Pattern.
Triangles are interesting because they often signal a temporary pause in the prevailing trend. This happens as buyers and sellers push against each other, causing momentum to dissipate. While triangles are fairly easy to spot, trading them can be tricky. Prices can get stuck for a while without any significant breakouts, and when a breakout finally happens, it can sometimes be a false signal, leaving traders scratching their heads.
Now, let's talk about the exponential moving averages (EMAs). They're great for tracking trends because they give more weight to recent price action. Currently, the EMA 20 is above the EMA 100, indicating a clear uptrend. In this scenario, these EMAs act as dynamic support and resistance levels. The EMA 20 offers short-term support, while the EMA 100 serves as a long-term support line.
Check out our tutorial on trading triangles to learn more about how to navigate these patterns:
So now, let's talk about RSI - it's a pretty handy momentum indicator that's all about spotting when the market's either feeling overbought or oversold. When RSI drops below 30, we're talking oversold territory, and when it shoots past 70, we're looking at overbought conditions.
Funny thing is, lots of folks get it wrong, selling when RSI's high and buying when it's low. But you know what? Sometimes the market keeps on climbing even with RSI above 70, and it can still drop lower when RSI's below 30.
Now, here's a neat trick with RSI: instead of just using those standard 30 and 70 marks, we tweak it a bit. Push the upper band to 60 and lower it to 40. So, when RSI's cruising above 60, it's telling us the market's got some solid upward momentum, and when it's below 40, well, things are getting bearish momentum.
Taking a peek at Bitcoin's charts, both on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, RSI seems stuck in the middle, indicating there's not much momentum swinging either way. But hey, Bitcoin can flip on a dime, right? That's why it's crucial to keep an eye on RSI, especially with the halving on the horizon.
By the way, don't forget to check out our RSI tutorial! It's packed with valuable insights to help you master this powerful momentum indicator:
Now, onto the SuperTrend indicator - another nifty tool for tracking trends and spotting reversals. We've fine-tuned the settings for Bitcoin, setting ATR to 5 and the multiplier to 2, based on some solid backtesting data.
Looking at the daily timeframe, SuperTrend 's giving us sell signals, but hop over to the 4-hour chart, and suddenly it's flashing a buy opportunity.
Thing is, though, the EMA combo still looks bullish, and RSI's not showing much oomph. So, that early SuperTrend buy signal? Might be a bit premature, you know?
And here's something fascinating on the monthly timeframe: Bitcoin's showing seven straight green candles. That's unheard of! Last time we saw anything close was back in 2021, with six greens in a row during a post-halving bull market.
In conclusion, April 2024 poses challenges for both buyers and sellers of Bitcoin, potentially resulting in false entries. The market likely needs to recalibrate following 7 months of growth, presenting an opportunity for early investors to capitalize on this shift. Stay informed and explore our other educational resources and posts.
Bitcoin Hello Traders,
Today I propose an idea on how to manage inputs on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD .
A violent selling is very likely due to which you can start to accumulate between 56k and 44k.
It is a really wide range however it is better to place orders lower to better manage the risk.
By buying spot obviously the risk is mitigated even better because you do not incur liquidations.
We find the Fibonacci retracement (0.618%) at 51350 USD and the way things are going, it is likely to be hit that level.
Target 90K.
Bitcoin Looks for ONE MORE Possible Chance to BUY THE DIP!! Remember to Like, Comment, & Follow for more in-depth analysis! Share with your friends!
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I've seen too many doom and gloom posts for Bitcoin, and there are macro and micro bullish patterns being layered with more bullish patterns as we get closer to the Havening.
Bitcoin is in a descending parallel channel, but it is not a bearish distribution. The distribution is bullish due to the top of the channel being tested already 4 different times, and the bottom side of the channel has only been tested once. The more times a support or resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes.
Bitcoin has also created a macro inverse head and shoulders pattern, and each shoulder and the head of that inverse head and shoulders pattern is its own inverse head and shoulders pattern. The most bullish bottoming pattern in trading was just created 4 times to create the bullish support in the 60k - 73K range. This range includes the bullish double top that was made in 2021, plus now, this inverse head and shoulders pattern is made up of an inverse head and shoulder pattern in each of the shoulders and the head. We are now
Even though we did not break out off the inverse head and shoulders pattern, we will continue to cool off indicators with another drop down to the 65K level, or potentially the 59.7k level. The only reason that we would drop down that far again after creating the bullish pattern we just made would be the fetish Bitcoin has with needing to hit the .618 Fib retracement level.
The .618 Fib retracement level sits at 59.7k. The head of the inverse head and shoulders wicks down under the .55 fib retracement but never reaches the .618 fib retracement level. Since we are in a descending parallel channel, it would allow it to hit that .618 Fib retracement level now while staying within this parallel channel.
Another bullish pattern bitcoin has made, is the macro bull flag. We had a major run-up, from 38.5k, where volume increase was consistent and noticeable, and we topped out at 73.5k (about +93% upward).
Just by extrapolating the percentage move and estimating where the second pole moves from the bull flag would finish. More importantly, it would be important to know where the starting point for the next runup is. It would be starting from the 59.7k (.618 fib retracement level) and then extrapolating +93% upward would put us at about $115k (which also is the 1.618 Fib Extension Level).
Another pattern I see that can occur is, as I said previously, we technically have not bounced off the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k), which is the bounce point Bitcoin has a fetish for to be able to start another bullish move upward.
Currently, we sit in a position where we are 2 weeks away from the Bitcoin Halvening, which is the catalyst that starts the new Bitcoin Bull Market, where we make a parabolic move. There are at least 10 different bullish confluences of support within the range of $60k- FWB:73K , and the only bearish confluence is that the top side of the descending parallel channel we have has held any breakout above it from happening.
The move that I am possibly watching for would be one that lands us just shy of the $100k milestone.
The move would look possibly something like this, where the only way I could see this bullish confluence zone could become more BULLISH would be to make an eve & eve double bottom and create the second bottom with another inverse head and shoulders pattern. We would then break out to $73.5k peak and then around the same time as the halvening, we would look to break the peak and then use the .55 Fib Ext.Level and .5 FIb Ext Level to create a Bullish W-Breakout Pattern with making both bottoms re-test the previous peak of $73.5k. After re-testing both times, holding support above that previous peak, We would launch to the .618 Fib Ext Level, possibly re-test the top of the W breakout we just made, and then after, we would take a launch at the 1 Fib Ext. Level that sits at $93.8k.
Major key points would be:
-Drop to the .618 Fib Retracement level ($59.7k)
-Breakout bounce up to the .5 Fib Extension ($76.1k) or the .55 Fib Extension ($77.9k) of which breaks out $73.5k peak
-Minor Correction from the .55 Fib Ext and the .5 Fib Ext level down to re-test the $73.5k peak to create a Bullish W breakout pattern
-Breakout to either .618 Fib Ext ($80.3k) or the 1 Fib Ext ($93.5K)
Let me know what you think in the comments below! Which pattern do you see playing out?
1. Run-up to $115k
2. Run-up to $94k
Bitcoin BTC price starts a pre-halving correction?On April 1, the BTCUSDT price started with a "humorous" correction.
In general, April promises to be quite interesting and provide "many answers."
During the likely long-awaited correction, it will be necessary to closely monitor such indicators as BTC.D and USDT.D:
- It will be possible to trace where the capital that previously entered the cryptocurrency market through the purchase of BTC by large players is flowing.
- It will be possible to track which "industry's" altcoins are best held and bribed.
Do you think there is something more interesting to invest in the cryptocurrency market than various memecoins?)
And on April 19, 2024, the long-awaited "BTC halving" is to take place.
The halving of the reward for a mined block from 6.25BTC to 3.25BTC will reduce the supply on the market in the medium and long term.
If we compare the growth dynamics of the BTCUSD price in 2024, we will see that it is more similar to 2021 than to the previous years when halving took place - 2020 and 2016.
What are your goals for the Bitcoin price movement in April 2024?
We would like to see a correction at least to $65 thousand, or even better, a drop in the BTCUSDT price $58400-59100
But there is also the $78000 mark, which would also be good to test for strength, the only question is when)
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Bitcoin - Crucial point movement ahead of halvingBitcoin 4h chart forms a usual falling wedge pattern, it's more likely to hit ATH again around 85k before it makes a new consolidation targetting 100k price
Crypto fear & greed index currently at 72, worst-case scenario is a pullback to lower prices around 55k
BTC IDEA BEFORE HALVING (with estimated direction)BULLISH PENNANT
(Higher Time Frame)
CUP AND HANDLE
(Higher Time Frame)
Currently we are in a consolidation period and a fake selling zone for potential short term sell.
HIGHER TIME FRAMES
Bottom Trend line Support @ 65360 area (Purple Line)
Top Trend line Resistance @ 70430 area.(Purple Line)
LOWER TIME FRAMES
Support Level @ 67275
Resistance Level @ 68100
Long Term Bullish
Short Term Bearish
If we break out of lower frame support @ 67275 then we could go to 66000 area
If we break out of lower time frame resistance @68100 then we could go to 70430
If we break out of higher time frame @70430 then we could go to new all time high
To 83000 area before or by April 14th 2024
Arrows go in order and are coordinated by colour with price.
Also prices are just an estimated area NOT the exact price on the dot
BTC-USD (BITCOIN)The btc pair creates a pennant in the 1D timeframe. If the market breaks this pattern then a big move is expected, there is also an order blocker in 1d at 52500-51000 range. If the market does not give respect to the downward order block and breaks above then the market goes above 85000.
Cryptolean Bitcoin BTC UpdateDaily Chart
Bitcoin price is trading in the daily range zone between $65,400-$70,838 and forming a corrective structure (most likely, a triangle), before another bullish extension.
The daily candle closure and a sustained price action above $70,838 or, even better, above $71,604 will push Bitcoin price towards $77,250 and, possibly, higher to $82,890, the new ATH.
However, on the way to the key resistance around $77,250, BTC will have to deal with a minor resistance at $73,761.
Below $65,400, the key daily support, BTC will decline towards $62,450 support, and lower to $58,990.
Support once read.
Thank you!
Has Bitcoin already reached its peak, or just a Shakeout?Let's address the common question here:- Has Bitcoin already reached its peak, or is there still more potential for growth?
Taking a look at the chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is presently trading near the 35-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a level that often serves as a short-term support for price bounces. The subsequent support level could be around the .382 Fibonacci retracement level, approximately at the $60.2k mark. Interestingly, this level coincides with the 65-day EMA, suggesting a robust support zone. Therefore, it's plausible to anticipate price consolidation between these EMAs, influenced by both lower time frame (LTF) and higher time frame (HTF) support levels.
Moreover, a potential catalyst for a breakout could be the upcoming halving event. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced price rallies following halving events due to decreased supply issuance. This suggests a possibility of upward momentum post-halving.
However, it's important to remember that no one knows with full certainty what will happen; this is all speculation. In summary, considering these factors, two plausible short-term scenarios have been outlined in the chart which I think can play out in the next few weeks!
DYOR, NFA
Please hit the like button to show your support.
I will keep this chart updated and will post more this week.
Thank you
#PEACE
A BTC prediction based on previous cycles suggests a 27% correctA long-term Bitcoin prediction based on its previous cycles suggests that we will witness a 27% correction before the halving. However, between $60,000 and $53,000, it is just a shadow. Afterward, it is expected to enter a bull market phase.
BITCOIN DETAIL ANALYSIS 250K SOON THIS YEARhello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Bitcoin Bullish Fractal Bars Pattern To $100k, $155k, and $250kHere's a slightly different chart showing how Bitcoin will likelyt proceed quickly to $100k once we break the $70K triple-top resistance, which I see happening quickly.
With Fresh NASDAQ:IBIT money continuing to flow into Bitcoin and the markets, this market has plenty of rocket fuel on the sidelines to send this rocket into the stratosphere.
Not only does the previous cycle fractal pattern show how Bitcoin can hit these levels this cycle, it also overlays perfect (with minor adjusting) with the Fibonacci projections that correctly forecasted the prior cycle high at the Fib 3.618 level.
The 3.168 number for this cycle would be $210k but I think it's reasonable to overshoot that this time with all the money on the sidelines waiting to come in. We're already starting to see and hear rumors of Tesla buying, Qatar and potentially other sovereign wealth funds, even China.
How high will Bitcoin go this cycle? Here's a good roadmap for now.
But new information = new dedision.
I'll keep you updated.
What do you think?
Cryptolean Bitcoin BTC Update Bitcoin found a support at $64,360 and is having a bullish pullback, however IMHO, it is temporary.
Below $69,654, BTC will be under bearish pressure.
A sustained price action below $69,654 will push BTC price to re-test $64,360 and, possibly, lower to the key daily support at $59,920.
Bitcoin has to move bullish and break through $73,423 for another bullish extension towards $78,223-$82,353.
Intraday Chart
Bitcoin is testing the bottom of the intraday range zone at $67,227 and below it is a bearish territory.
A bullish rejection of $67,227 will push price to $70,692, however the move will be slow and choppy.
A bearish break-out of $67,227 will lead to a re-test of $65,364 and lower to $61.562-$63,143, the key intraday support.
Like once read!
Thank you.