Bitcoin Looking for more upsideAfter revisiting a daily bullish order block with a liquidity sweep, Bitcoin demonstrated a strong upward reaction, forming a bullish breaker and a potential daily fair value gap (FVG). However, Bitcoin has not yet closed above the midpoint of the FVG. For me, it’s crucial to wait for a close at least above that level, or ideally above the shaded area. Such a move would present a solid opportunity to target the all-time high and the 113K level as a low-hanging fruit.
Bitcoinpricetrendanalysis
Bitcoin - Waiting to buy Bitcoin keeps retesting $91k area and forming a clear support line. There is a strong anticipation for the price to break above $100k and starts a parabolic leg up for the Bitcoin bull cycle. In am very careful in a situation like this to open a long position because there are a log of traps.
Yesterday's daily candle held $91k support line but now the price is coming down again. Usually the clear support line like this doesn't hold that neatly. I have a feeling the price will have another quick dip below it before going up.
My general bias for Bitcoin is bullish but I think there are a lot of bull traps along the way. It is a perfect condition for market makers to make money by liquidating leverage positions. It is exhausting mentally to open a long position and go through the volatile price moves. So I rather take a conservative position and wait for the right set up to come up in the weekly and daily charts as below:
1) weekly stochastic (9,3,3) lines to cross and start to roll back up. Weekly stochastic gives me a good idea about how the price in the daily chart will travel.
2) draw a descending trendline in MACD and RSI in the daily chart and wait for the lines to cross (must cross!!) and break and close above the descending trendline. Ideally, MAC lines enter the bull zone (above0) and the first green histogram appears.
There are many IFs, but based on my past experiences, when these conditions are met, it removes a lot of market noises (removes mental anguish) and the price moves smoothly in the direction of my bias.
BTCUSDT Analysis: Preparing for a Critical Zone TestThe 4-hour chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook retest of key levels following a sharp breakdown from the resistance near $105,268 . This move is consistent with a broader bearish structure that began forming after rejection at $108,366 . The current trajectory suggests Bitcoin may continue its downward momentum toward a high-probability liquidity zone between $85,883 and $89,510 . Here's why this area deserves close attention:
Technical Breakdown:
1. Descending Trendline Rejection:
The price recently respected the long-term yellow descending trendline, emphasizing the strength of sellers around $102,934.
2. Support Zones:
Immediate support at $96,920 has seen a weak bounce, increasing the likelihood of deeper retracements.
A stronger accumulation zone lies between $85,883 and $89,510 (highlighted in orange), which aligns with historical demand zones and Fibonacci retracement levels.
3. Bearish Momentum:
The rapid fall post-breakout indicates strong bearish momentum, confirmed by increasing sell volumes on key levels. Any short-term pullback toward $96,436 or $98,000 could serve as an opportunity to position for further declines.
4. Indicators and Risk Management:
Divergence signals suggest momentum exhaustion, and traders should anticipate potential short-term volatility. Use tight stop-loss placements and avoid overleveraging. For this setup, a stop-loss above $98,920 is recommended to limit risk.
Trade Plan:
Short Opportunity:
If BTC retraces to $96,436 or $98,000, consider entering short positions with targets in the $89,510–$85,883 range. Stay vigilant and be prepared to pivot based on price action near critical levels.
***
Final Note:
Remember, no strategy is foolproof. Always consider market risks, manage positions carefully, and align trades with your broader portfolio strategy. Let the price action guide your decisions.
BitcoinPossible scenarios
- The charts below present an Elliott Wave analysis on the daily time frame. January is typically a month for corrections, and this January, the price appears to be pulling back into wave 4, with significant support at the 0.3 to 0.5 Fibonacci levels. It seems likely that there will be a quick final leg down, with a potential maximum decline of 15%, which could cause many alt-coins to lose value. However, considering that we are still in a bull run, this correction may be shallow, potentially bottoming out around the 88k to 90k range.
- Blue and white support perfectly matched the targets for C wave and wave 4.
I can not ignore the fact that sometimes C can length on the same level where wave A is (forming double bottom)
- If I zoom in or out on the chart, I might see a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern with a target of $77,000. However, the structure of this H&S pattern isn't perfect, and I've noticed that such patterns are often not very reliable, especially with Bitcoin (BTC). If we consider these patterns, it's also worth noting that a weekly H&S is forming to the upside, targeting an increase of over $200.K.
Bitcoin Idea!"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
"Bitcoin Price Prediction: $30K TargetThis analysis uses historical Bitcoin price patterns during previous bull and bear cycles to predict future market movements. The chart reveals a recurring pattern of sharp corrections following parabolic rises, suggesting that Bitcoin is likely heading toward a $30K price point in its current bearish phase. By aligning current trends with past cycles, this prediction provides a roadmap for investors to navigate potential market downturns and prepare for upcoming opportunities.
BTCUSDT LongBased on the previous analysis, we anticipated that the price might be bearish based on the retracement it made on the 50% mark.
Well, it retraced but did not manage to go through the Order Block at 92150, which might be a signature that the price might be drawn to the DOL at 100,000
Entry at 95600, tp 1 at 97570 and Tp 2 at 100,700 and SL 93750.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish DivergenceTechnical Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) – Regular Bearish Divergence
Hello!
T he recent technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) highlights the presence of a regular bearish divergence between the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. This divergence, marked by the yellow lines on the chart, signals a potential reversal in the short-term trend and suggests a bearish outlook for the coming days or weeks.
Understanding the Divergence
A regular bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset forms higher highs, while the RSI forms lower highs. This indicates weakening momentum, even as the price reaches new peaks. The yellow lines on the TradingView chart clearly illustrate this pattern for Bitcoin.
Price Action: Bitcoin has recorded higher highs on the price chart.
RSI Behavior: The RSI indicator, however, has failed to mirror this pattern, instead forming lower highs. This discrepancy points to diminishing bullish momentum and the likelihood of an upcoming price correction.
Short-Term Bearish Implications
Given the regular bearish divergence, Bitcoin’s price is expected to experience a pullback in the short term. Traders should be cautious, as this divergence often precedes a period of downward movement. Key support levels, such as $93,000 and $92,000, should be monitored closely to assess the depth of the correction.
Long-Term Bullish Outlook
While the short-term trend leans bearish, the long-term perspective for Bitcoin remains bullish. Several macroeconomic factors, including increasing institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and a growing use case for cryptocurrencies, continue to support the long-term upward trajectory of BTC. This macroeconomic backdrop suggests that any short-term price corrections could present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
Key Takeaways
The yellow lines on the TradingView chart highlight a regular bearish divergence between Bitcoin’s price and the RSI indicator.
This divergence signals a likely short-term bearish trend, with a potential price correction on the horizon.
Long-term trends remain bullish, supported by macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s robust fundamentals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Signals Potential Corrective Phase TargetsLooking at the recent BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory, we can observe a clear and compelling price structure. The market has completed a textbook Impulse Wave pattern (1-5), with Wave 5 reaching a notable peak around 109,000 USDT. This aligns perfectly with Elliott Wave principles, where Wave 5 typically extends beyond the peak of Wave 3, which is exactly what we witnessed.
The market has now transitioned into a Corrective Wave pattern (A-B-C). We've already witnessed the completion of Wave A's downward movement, followed by Wave B's characteristic short-term rebound. Currently, price action suggests we're in Wave C, which traditionally implies further downside potential.
Particularly noteworthy are the three projected target levels for Wave C:
87,847 USDT
82,270 USDT
66,149 USDT
These targets align beautifully with Fibonacci retracement levels, a tool that consistently demonstrates remarkable synergy with Elliott Wave Theory. The lowest target at 66,149 USDT could represent a significant base formation, especially if selling pressure intensifies in response to market conditions.
The chart's notation of "Wave(C) OnSet" is significant, indicating we're entering the initial phase of Wave C. This wave could potentially extend to any of the three target levels in the near term. As the price approaches these projected levels, we might see the emergence of a new bullish cycle.
I anticipate that if the BTC price drops below 90k, the significance of the Corrective wave (C) across all three levels will become even more pronounced. This could indicate substantial selling pressure, making any potential recovery in the upcoming period more challenging.
However, prudent analysis requires careful attention to support level confirmations and corresponding trading volumes at each target. In practical trading scenarios, price movement doesn't always reach the lowest projected targets. Wave C might be truncated, or conversely, could extend beyond our projections. This underscores the importance of incorporating additional technical analysis tools to form a comprehensive trading strategy.
This wave structure presents an intriguing setup, and it will be fascinating to observe how price action develops in relation to these projections. Remember that successful trading requires a holistic approach, combining wave analysis with other technical indicators and careful risk management.
BTC/USD "Bitcoin" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bearish Side🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
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Goal 🎯: 90,000
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Bitcoin's Rally Loses Steam: A Reversal Pattern Takes Shape● Bitcoin reached a record high of approximately $108,390, driven by strong bullish momentum.
● However, the rally was short-lived as intense selling pressure kicked in, triggering a rapid decline to $92,500 and erasing some of the recent gains.
● The frequent price fluctuations are likely to form a Head & Shoulder pattern, a bearish pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal and further downside.
● A sharp decline is expected if Bitcoin breaches below $91,500.
Bitcoin: Hold now, buy laterHello,
Bitcoin is a clear uptrend as the price is above the moving averages, as the picture on the left side of the chart shows. Technical indicators like Ultimate Oscillator, ADX, MOM, and MACD are bullish. However, RSI indicators are overbought, which means Bitcoin might go higher, but there'll be a better time to buy when the market corrects the overbought conditions. I hold my Bitcoins, but I won't buy any more until the upcoming correction, which might come soon.
Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin | First Line of DefenseBitcoin's first line of defense lies within the blue boxes, marking potential areas of interest. However, there are currently no significant demand zones, making it more prudent to wait for upside breakouts on lower timeframes before considering a buyer's position.
Given the uncertainty around the depth of the ongoing correction, it's wise to maintain some cash reserves to adapt to market movements effectively. Patience and careful observation will be key in navigating this phase.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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btc long"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Navigating Bitcoin BTC Bull Market: $120k+ After CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
Tonight Bitcoin has printed another one leg up and touched our previous final target at $107k without correction. What does it mean? It means that targets for this bull run are going to be much higher. Anyway, the warning sign of correction is about to be flashed. Let's try to understand what is happening!
On the daily time frame we market the Elliott waves. Taking into account the maximum value of Awesome Oscillator (AO) current growth is still wave 3 because price reached new high but divergence on AO has happened without zero line cross. It means that currently BINANCE:BTCUSDT is printing wave 5 inside major 3. The big warning is the potential red dot printed by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , to see the confirmation we need to wait daily close, so everything can be changed. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
After printing red dot previously we have seen the drops in most of cases, so now it can be wave 4. Wave 4 has the target at 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci level. We suppose that price reach $86k and find support there for the new impulse to the upside. If we assume that wave 3 is finished here and wave 4 will be finished at the pointed out target, the wave 5 has the target zone between $120k and $140k. Anyway, it can be easily recalculated, we will update you with all changes.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Could Bitcoin Fall to Zero ? A Closer Look at CBDCs.Bitcoin's journey began in 2008, when an anonymous figure under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto introduced it through a white paper titled Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Nakamoto’s vision was to create a decentralized currency, free from government or central bank control, using blockchain technology. The first block, called the genesis block, was mined in January 2009, marking the birth of Bitcoin.
Despite Nakamoto's critical role in Bitcoin's inception, his true identity remains a mystery, leading to much speculation over the years. Some have theorized that he could be a single individual, while others suggest that Nakamoto could be a group of people or even a government agency. After releasing the software and participating in the early days of the network, Nakamoto gradually withdrew from public involvement, leaving the Bitcoin community to grow independently. This disappearance into the shadows has only added to the intrigue and mystique surrounding the cryptocurrency's origins.
While Nakamoto remains a key figure in Bitcoin's history, he has remained silent since 2011, with no clear explanation as to why he stepped back.
1. BIS: The Puppet Master of Global Finance
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is often referred to as the "central bank of central banks" due to its unique role in fostering international monetary and financial cooperation. Established in 1930, it serves as an umbrella organization for central banks worldwide, providing a platform for collaboration and offering banking services to them. The BIS is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland, and its primary objectives are to promote financial stability, monitor economic trends, and facilitate communication between global central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and others.
Over time, the BIS has played a crucial role in shaping global monetary policies, overseeing financial markets, and fostering agreements between the world's leading financial institutions. It is instrumental in setting regulatory standards and guidelines that many countries' central banks follow. This level of control and influence positions the BIS at the centre of international financial governance, which is critical when discussing the future of currencies, including Bitcoin and the potential shift to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
As a body that influences the direction of global banking, the BIS has been actively involved in discussing and exploring the future of digital currencies. Given the growing interest in decentralized cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, the BIS has expressed concerns over the stability of decentralized systems and has advocated for centralized digital currencies to ensure that monetary policy can remain under control, furthering the possibility of a CBDC rollout in the future.
3. Why Bitcoin’s Fall to Zero Could Be a Strategic Move
Now, with global economies struggling under record-high debt levels, central banks might see Bitcoin as a bubble ready to pop. The BIS could leverage its influence to push for a CBDC revolution, positioning these centralized digital currencies as “safer” and more reliable alternatives to Bitcoin. By orchestrating a dramatic collapse in Bitcoin, the narrative could shift, convincing the public that decentralized currencies are unstable and unsustainable.
CBDCs are fundamentally different from Bitcoin:
- Fully controlled by central banks.
- Allow tracking and surveillance of every transaction.
- Provide central banks the ability to impose negative interest rates or freeze funds.
This shift would mark a return to centralized control, with individuals losing the financial freedom Bitcoin promised.
4. Was This the Plan All Along?
It’s not far-fetched to believe that Bitcoin’s rise and fall have been part of a larger test. During the pandemic, Bitcoin surged on the back of mass media promotions and institutional FOMO. Billionaires like Elon Musk promoted Dogecoin and Bitcoin, fuelling speculative buying. Yet, when the dust settled, the same institutions that promoted Bitcoin quietly accumulated it during crashes.
With Bitcoin at $100,000 now, the euphoric belief in its unstoppable rise mirrors past market bubbles. Could this be the final phase of Bitcoin’s journey before an engineered collapse leads to the introduction of CBDCs as the “solution”?
5. What’s Next?
If Bitcoin does crash to zero, it will be a defining moment for cryptocurrencies and global finance. CBDCs would emerge as the dominant narrative, backed by the BIS and central banks, with promises of stability, security, and control. However, it would come at the cost of financial freedom and decentralization.
Disclaimer:
The post explores possibilities based on historical trends, institutional behaviours, and emerging global financial strategies. While I am not claiming that Bitcoin will inevitably fall to zero, we cannot ignore the potential for this to occur, especially as major players like the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) push for a centralized currency system under the guise of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
The BIS, as the central bank of central banks, is focused on pushing for a centralized, controlled financial system, and this has implications for decentralized systems like Bitcoin. They are aiming to promote their agenda of centralization, and in doing so, they seek to control the masses through monetary power, which is in direct opposition to the fundamental principles behind Bitcoin’s decentralized nature.
This is not final financial advice, nor am I claiming Bitcoin will necessarily collapse to zero. However, the possibility cannot be ignored, especially when considering the global financial forces at play. I urge you to think critically and keep an open mind regarding these dynamics. What we are witnessing may just be the beginning of a new chapter in the future of money and its control. Let’s keep a close eye on how this unfolds.
What Do You Think? Could Bitcoin's journey be part of a larger plan to usher in CBDCs? Are we witnessing the twilight of decentralized finance? Share your thoughts and perspectives below, and share this to make people aware :)
Bitcoin's Big Moves: What’s Happening Now and What Could Be NextBitcoin has been making big waves recently, and many are wondering: where is it headed next? I'll try to break it down step by step (NFA of course), combining technical insights and real-world factors to create a clearer picture.
1. Looking at the chart, Bitcoin’s price has been on a strong upward journey over the past few months. It’s already seen two major six-month periods of growth in recent years, each followed by a pause or a pullback.
2. Right now, Bitcoin is testing a key level near $99,500, a price many traders are watching closely.
What Could Happen Next?
Bitcoin is still in a strong position for long-term growth. While we might see a dip in the short term, it could be a great opportunity for a swing trade to $140,000, especially with more institutions and everyday investors entering the space.
At that levels, we would be expecting a dip, if compared to the behavior of gold in past years. Gold, often seen as a safe haven during uncertain times, has shown similar U-shaped patterns where prices drop slightly before soaring higher.
For now, patience is key. Stay tuned to global developments that could influence the next big move
Why Is Bitcoin Movement as such?
1. Institutional Interest:
Big financial players are diving into Bitcoin. Recent news about Bitcoin-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has drawn massive investments. These ETFs make it easier for everyday investors to put money into Bitcoin without having to buy and store the actual cryptocurrency.
2. Global Trends and Inflation: Around the world, economic uncertainty is pushing people to look for alternative investments. Bitcoin is often called "digital gold" because, like gold, it’s limited in supply and isn’t tied to any government currency. This makes it attractive during times of inflation or when traditional markets are shaky.
3. Rising Popularity of the Network: Behind the scenes, Bitcoin’s network is stronger than ever. The technology powering it, known as the "hash rate," is at record levels, showing that the system is both secure and thriving.
#BTCUSDT: Bitcoin to 100k is not far now! Get ready In our previous chart, we identified a potential swing buy planning area at 60k, where we anticipated a price reversal. The price subsequently reversed and is currently at 68k. Examining the price behavior in this pattern, we observe a Wyckoff strategic pattern on the two-day timeframe. The pattern has been completed, and the price is currently in a distribution phase. Potential targets include an all-time high, with 80k as the next target, followed by 90k and a final target of 100k. While this may seem optimistic, we base our actions on observed price behavior, which currently indicates the potential for a significant move. We appreciate your feedback and encourage you to follow for more insights.
Bitcoin Cycle Top Expectation: Fibonacci Targets $160K-$180KAs Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 milestone, this analysis leverages Fibonacci extensions to highlight potential targets for the current market cycle. Historical trends suggest that Bitcoin’s cycle tops often align with major Fibonacci levels, making the $160K-$180K zone a key area of interest.
This zone represents a strong convergence of resistance based on both technical levels and psychological significance, where a potential cycle top could form. The chart provides a visual breakdown of these targets, with additional possible extensions if momentum overextends.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.