Bitcoinpricetrendanalysis
Bitcoin September 17th 20241. Price Action (Candlesticks):
Current Price: The price is hovering around $60,141.67, as indicated by the highlighted value.
Recent Trend: The candlesticks suggest that Bitcoin has been in a sideways trend for the past few weeks. The price seems to be bouncing between support at around $52,500 and resistance at $66,000.
Downward Correction: After hitting the recent high around $66,000, a correction seems to have taken place, as indicated by multiple bearish candles. However, Bitcoin hasn't broken down into lower support levels, suggesting a consolidation phase.
2. Moving Averages (MAs):
White Line: The white line appears to be a long-term moving average (likely a 200-week moving average), which is far above the current price. This implies that Bitcoin's price is still significantly below its all-time highs and could indicate a potential upward target if a bullish trend resumes.
Yellow Line: The yellow line could be a shorter moving average (possibly 50-week), which is closer to the current price and appears to be acting as resistance in recent weeks.
Interaction with MAs: The current price is struggling to stay above the shorter MA (yellow), which suggests that Bitcoin may face more selling pressure if it fails to hold support above it.
3. Indicators:
MACD/RSI at the Bottom: The red and green indicator at the bottom seems to be either an RSI (Relative Strength Index) or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
The red shaded area indicates a bearish trend, while the green shows a bullish trend. Since the red is dominant and the indicator is trending downward, this points to a period of bearish momentum.
The RSI, if that's what the indicator represents, looks to be below the midpoint (around 50), suggesting that Bitcoin is not in overbought territory, but also not deeply oversold. It signals weak momentum in the recent period.
4. Support and Resistance:
Support: There is solid support around the $52,500 level, as seen in previous price action where Bitcoin bounced several times.
Resistance: The $66,000 level seems to be a significant resistance, as price has failed to close above it in recent weeks.
Breakout/Breakdown Potential: If the price breaks below $52,500, we could see a deeper correction, potentially testing lower support levels (around $40,000 or even lower). Conversely, if it breaks above $66,000 with strong volume, Bitcoin could head toward $74,000 or beyond.
5. Volume:
The volume data is not visible in this screenshot, but low volume during this consolidation phase would indicate indecision or a lack of strong buying interest, while increasing volume on upward moves would signal potential breakouts.
6. Longer-Term Outlook:
The long-term moving average (white line) remains above the current price, indicating that Bitcoin's overall long-term trend is still upward, even though there's short- to medium-term bearish pressure.
If Bitcoin can hold the $60,000 range and break the $66,000 resistance, it could retest the highs and continue its uptrend. However, failing to do so might signal a longer consolidation period or even a deeper correction.
Summary:
Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase after a recent correction, with key support at $52,500 and resistance at $66,000.
Momentum indicators suggest the trend is currently weak and slightly bearish.
A breakout above $66,000 could lead to a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $52,500 would signal further bearish action.
This chart presents a critical moment for Bitcoin, where the market is waiting for a decisive move in either direction.
Sep 17, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysis Bitcoin has broken the falling trend channel in the short term and reacted strongly up. For the time being, it is difficult to say anything about the future trend direction. The currency is testing support at points 58000. This could give a positive reaction, but a downward breakthrough of points 58000 means a negative signal. The currency is assessed as technically neutral for the short term.
BITCOIN BLUEPRINT 2.0 - MACRO MATRIXThis is a refined / updated version of my old 'BITCOIN BLUEPRINT' Macro Matrix.
I struggle with finding the right display format for the charts on publishing tradingview ideas. Here is the chart organised so everything is visible.
We are now seeing bitcoin story develop from its negative bias, into a positive one. ETFs have now been approved, aswell as other crypto ETFs. We are 150days post halvening, coming to a potential end for this period and start to move up into the upper Powerlaw band (Red).
The important note is to realise we have 365days+ of Bull Run ahead of us. Anywhere around Mid Sept 2025 could potentially signal a Peak in Price, which precedes approx 1year in declining price actin (Bear Drop).
All time highs & Lows by Cycle:
CYCLE 1: Bull High = $31.50 / Bear Low = $1.85
CYCLE 2 : Bull High = $1140 / Bear Low = $145.5
CYCLE 3 : Bull high = $19170 / Bear Low = $3148
CYCLE 4 : Bull high = $68944 / Bear Low = $15495
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Potential Forecasted Targets:
CYCLE 5 :
Bull High = $300000 - $325000
Bear Low = $58000 - $65000
CYCLE 6:
Bull High = $1000000 - 1150000
Bear Low = $300000 - $325000
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*Note - This is not financial advice, just finding from my own analysis work. The future targets based on forcasts will become more clear once previous cycles have completed. Therefore its best to focus on the next cycle, rather than jumping ahead one cycle. Seeing MIL:1M in CYCLE 6 is exciting!
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CONTEXT:
As noted prior - we are seeing dveelopments in the BTC space. Most notably, the programability of BTC. With projects such as Fractal Bitcoin, TAPROOT, RUNES, BRC20, CAT20, OPNET, OPCAT and many many others paves the way for a fresh narrative other than digital gold.
Total Crypto Market Cap H&S Invalidation and ForecastWith a quiet week ahead of the CPI and PPI due out this week, it's a good time to look at the Macro chart structure.
Sometimes simpler is better, and I've had great success using simple formations like the H&S pattern, which beats Elliot Wave hands down most of the time.
In this case, we were looking at a potential inverse Head and Shoulders on the Total Market Cap last week, but that has now been invalidated leaving us with this new wedge formation and a new lower high trendline.
I think we have some unclear or negative economic data this week and likely see prices fall across the board and the TOTAL market cap here dip down into the buy range (Green boxes based on aggregate buy limit orders on the order books and using our Order Block Detector).
Then we rally into the FOMC and ahead of a possible 50 basis point rate cut surprise, and kicking off a rip-roaring Q4 October to December rally and off to new ATH's on BTC.
September is seasonally a down month, so I'd expect more chop until the above plays out.
And of course, new information = new decision, so we have to remail open to anything.
Some are calling for a re-test of the yearly open around $44k as Bitcion usually does re-test this level at least once during the year, and as of yet hasn't. But I think we'll hold $50k bitcoin on a closing basis and will be buying in the $50k - GETTEX:52K range, as Bitcoin will likely lead the rally, followed by Solana and ETH.
Our multi-time frame radar indicator is mixed, so I'm waiting for this to turn Green and our other signals to also turn Bullish, namely our ERI and TSI (Early Reveral Indicator and Trend Strength Indicator - not shown).
We'll have to play it week by week and see what opportunities present.
Good luck trading, this has been a very difficult area to predict and forecast, and as we can see, there's still heavy sell pressure above.
However, on another chart study I shared with M3 members yesterday, there's a massive macro Bull-Flag formation on the TOTAL market cap, with a measured move of $4.8T if and when we can solidly break to new ATH.
Our weekly signals show we're oversold and poised to break higher soon, just like we saw in September 2023 and before the big rally we've been enjoying all year!
Like and comment below for more like this, and I'll do my best to keep you posted!
Remember! Remember! The 5th of November!Thursday... the 5th of November 2020... CRYPTOCAP:BTC pumped nearly 7% in one day.
We were 30ish days into the parabolic phase of the 3rd bull cycle for #Bitcoin.
It was trading at $14,911.
The holders had no idea that CRYPTOCAP:BTC would continue to climb an additional 335% over another 5 months, reaching a local ATH of $64,895 on April 14th 2021.
Here we are on September 6th, 2024. CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped to $52,546 or (-3.8%) for the day.
Septembers are a sore subject when it comes to financial markets and Bitcoin in particular.
Across the Post-Halving years, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will drop -2% historically.
Considering CRYPTOCAP:BTC has tested local lows across the 5th and 6th of the last 3 months;
July 5-6th low: $53,499
August 5-6th low: $49,050
September 5-6th low: $52,546 (so far)
It is almost like someone is trolling the Holders...
The focus of this chart is to consider the above and the following.
Have we found our local bottom this early in September? ($52,546)
How will Bitcoin react to the upcoming 25 bps Fed Rate cut? ($50,000 vs $60,000)
Will our price position entering the parabolic phase affect the overall gains over the next 6 months? (90% vs 480%)
Where will our new ATH fall next April/May? ($100,000 vs $305,000)
Let me know how bearish or bullish you think the future of Bitcoin is.
BTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDBTCUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
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BTC - Distribution of volume from the top- Wyckoff distribution
- Downward movement on the higher timeframes
- all the Influencers keep putting everyone in longs.
and we're falling and falling.
if you like the idea, please "Like" it. This is the best "Thanks!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and please yourself and your friends.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) 12/08/2024Bias as of drawing this idea is Bearish...
62K appears to be holding resistance as price falls to test for support.
A failure could mean a new test of 50k again, a failure to find a support could mean we see a test of 40k and then 30k.
Finding support above 60k would change bias...
70k would also have to be broken and tested for support for any continuation up.
Bitcoin 4hr Setup Bitcoin is currently experiencing a pullback, having dropped 2,000 pips over the past seven days. Several key factors are converging around the $60,000 level, making it a critical area of interest. These factors include the psychological round number of $60,000, previous market structure, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, and the presence of both an upward and a downward trend line intersecting near this price. Additionally, there's a notable rejection point in this vicinity. Given these confluences, I anticipate a reaction around this level, potentially leading to further downward movement.
Bitcoin Daily Chart
Bitcoin is showing several confluences on the daily chart around the $60,000 level. After a 1,000-pip rally without any significant pullback, a retracement seems likely, as the price may need to dip before resuming its upward momentum. This time, I anticipate that Bitcoin might close below the 200-day moving average during the pullback. However, once it completes this downward move, I expect the price to eventually close above the 200-day moving average and begin a climb toward the top of the current channel.
#BTC/USDT TA + Altcoin Strategy, Don't Repeat this mistake!!Welcome to this quick update, everyone.
**BTC Update:**
Yesterday, BTC made a low of 62,300 on Binance but quickly bounced back, closing around 65,354.02 with a beautiful Hammer candle on the Daily chart. While the 4-hour chart still looks bearish, the Daily chart is holding strong around the $63k support level, with the 100 SMA acting as a key support line. This price action is promising.
**My Strategy:**
I'm staying on the sidelines for now, waiting for another Daily candle to confirm if this price action sustains. The Weekly close will provide more clarity. Currently, the market is choppy, which isn't ideal for trading futures. My strategy remains the same; I'm expecting the market to show some fireworks in the next 3-4 weeks. There may be one last dip before a rally, so I'm keeping some USDT in reserve. By the end of this month, I plan to buy 5 strong altcoins that I believe will perform well in the next 6 months. Follow me for the list!
**Trading Advice:**
Don't lose money on futures; this is the best time to build a strong portfolio on spot. If your portfolio is small and you plan to trade futures, make sure you're taking profits on every move. Even the best traders get beaten by the market; the only thing that matters is your position size. If you lose your monthly P&L in a single trade, it simply means you're being greedy and not learning from your mistakes. Don't do this!
I hope this helps! If it did, please hit the like button to support my content and share your views, comments, questions, or chart requests in the comment section.
Thank you, and #PEACE!
BTCUSDAfter doing top-down analysis I can see that we've hit the monthly resistance level and was unable to break through it. Although major influencers and government official have spoken about FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD going to ATH's as of right now it's not happening. We are in a premium array so i'm looking to short sell for a bit.
Will #Bitcoin repeat its past moves?#Bitcoin 1W chart;
Let's try to look at the Bitcoin picture from a more distant and different angle;
First of all, the positive divergence of the MVRV indicator with the breakout of the rising top in October 2020 signaled the beginning of a movement in the market.
MVRV is an indicator used to determine the overbought or oversold conditions of the market.
In May 2021, we see that the first top began to decline (2nd vertical yellow line), again with negative divergence.
Subsequently, the 1/RSI divergence at the second top signaled that the downward start of the cycle was now possible. We can say that the manipulation area here was the foam of the 2021 cycle. We can say that those who read this place well left the market with good gains in time.
With the start of the bear cycle, the next first positive signal came in April 2023. With the 2/RSI giving a positive divergence, it showed us that the direction of the market was about to change.
With the test of the Ath level in March 2024, the 4/RSI divergence formed with the 2021 top showed us that the rise was over for now. Subsequently, the 3/RSI divergence formed at this level showed us the direction of the market a little. I tried to warn you as much as I could in this regard.
The area indicated by the orange arrow below shows us that an extreme buying period has not yet started in the market and therefore we have not yet entered the cycle we call mega bull.
Let's talk about the target... According to my estimates, I foresee that this cycle may be between 102k and 120k.
I hope this was useful information for you. If you like it, I would be very happy if you can share it to support.
BTC Long - Take Profit Targets (Short Term/Scalp)🚀 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Soaring High! 🚀
My positions are crushing it! 🤑 Time to start locking in some gains. 😎
Scaling out in these zones:
#BTC: $59.5K - $63.5K 🎯
Already de-risked 25% as we hit the lower end of my targets. Smart money secures profits along the way! 😉
Remember, this is NOT financial advice. Do your own research and trade responsibly! 🧠
Thank you
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How Much further do we go?bitcoin on the weekly, analyzed previous price action and previous "death crosses "and noticed at each point of cross bitcoin continued to slide in price anywhere from 40-60%. This has me looking at bitcoin with a hard eye. It's very possible we see 43k, which gives me a bit more confluence , with the RSX telling us that a reverse isn't in just yet.
BITCOIN ( UNDER TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )BITCOIN
HELLO TRADER S
Tendency the price trade below turning level at 56,752 , indicates is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 56,752 , indicates if the price stabilizing below this level reach support level , if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a black line around 59,383 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 54,488 , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price stable below turning level reach this level
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to rising a turning level around 56,752 , after dropping to the support level around 54,488 , then stable below this level reach 52,454 , if the price breaking turning level reach a resistance level by 59,383 , then stabilizing above this level reach a 63,383
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 59,383 , 63,383
SUPPORT LEVEL : 54,488 , 52,454