BTC Price Targets $44K & $15K - ETHBTC & BTC.DIn this video, we dive deep into the current bearish market structure
Focusing also on ETH/BTC and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). Understanding these key indicators is crucial for gauging the broader market trend and positioning yourself for potential moves ahead.
We’ll start by breaking down ETH/BTC, analyzing the weakness in Ethereum’s price action relative to Bitcoin, and what this could mean for altcoins in general. Next, we’ll examine the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart, which is showing a shift in capital allocation within the crypto space. This movement could signal Bitcoin's growing dominance as altcoins lag behind.
Lastly, we discuss two critical Bitcoin price targets: the near-term resistance at $44,000, and the potential downside scenario to $15,000. These levels could define the next big moves for Bitcoin and the overall market direction.
Make sure to watch until the end to get a complete picture of the market’s current state and how to navigate it!
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Bitcoinsginals
Bitcoin Voume Flow(Bitcoin )This new discovery is mind blowing , yet more confirmation that the bottom is in.
It's been a long time since I went over the volume data for Bitcoin and last night when I started I realised I stumbled onto something amazing.
Indicator overview
DepthHouse Volume Flow indicator is used to help determine trend direction strictly based on Negative and Positive volume data.
- Moving Average crossovers are used to help determine a possible trend change or retracement.
- The area cloud on the bottom is calculated by the difference of the moving averages. This could be used to help determine the trending volume strength.
Bullish Cross to All time highs (Yellow)
So if we start in 2011 when we get the first bullish cross for bitcoin you can see it took 670days to reach an all time high and guess what so did the other two cycles , 670days exactly. We have had three bullish crosses so far and each has resulted in a cycle top at the same time.
Bearish cross to all time high (Green)
We got the first bearish cross in 2014 and it takes 1157 days to hit all time high and guess what ..... we did exactly the same this cycle , it took 1157 days to hit all time high .
Bearish cross to Bullish cross (Blue)
It takes exactly 488 days from bearish cross to bullish cross .
Bearish Cross to Capitulation (Red)
This one is by far the most amazing , from Bearish cross to capitulation it takes 92 days , yes we have done the same thing now three cycles in a row , from the bearish cross it takes four monthly candles to hit capitulation and we have done the same this cycle so far , yet more confirmation that the first cycle bottom is in.
So if the cycle keeps on repeating and so far it has started the exact same way with bearish cross to capitulation within 92days, then that means the next bullish cross happens to land in July 2023! The date july 2023! lines up with a very powerful marco Fib date I have for Bitcoin , I have known for a while now that the next major marco event for Bitcoin is in July 2023!
So if the bullish cross is in July 2023 then 670days later would be the new all time high of the cycle in May 2025! one year after the halving event which would also line up with 1157 days from Bearish cross to all time high!
So with all this new information I'm working on a new roadmap for Bitcoin which will look something like this.
The only thing I have left to figure out is when does the second capitulation event for Bitcoin occur , it's near impossible to figure it out because the second capitulation events are sometimes linked to black swan events. This is why I have been going over the Dow Jones. Trying to fit a black swan crash there with the second capitulation bitcoin phase is a difficult task but I think I have done it.
Bitcoin hits all time high in May 2025 at 150k.
ETHEREUM, Massive FORMATION Likely To SHIFT DYNAMICS!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about Ethereum on the 4-day timeframe perspectives. In recent times the Cryptocurrency Market Space has moved into important watershed moments in which we need to determine the appropriate destinies with the given indications and prospects. There is an increasing regulatory eagerness that is projected onto the Cryptocurrency market while it seems that there are building two parties, those who want stronger regulation of Cryptocurrency and even seize it much more as it is seen till now while there are those who want to support the Bitcoin continuation of technological development and are positively directed towards Bitcoin adoption and legal tender developments as we recently see with for example Mexican senators considering a legal tender adoption like it has been seen in El Salvador while there are other countries considering this fundamental step as well. In this mixed signals environment, it is highly necessary to also consider the technical factors to come up with a realistic perspective on where the market is heading.
As when looking at my chart now we can watch there how Ethereum is building this massive ascending-triangle-formation with the coherent wave-count within the formation and the waves A to D almost already completed. Now as seen in my chart, the fact that Ethereum manages to initially bounce within the lower boundary and mark the 150-EMA together with the lower boundary as an important support zone increases the likelihood that the wave E emerges from this point on which will complete the whole wave-count and move into the upper boundary of the whole ascending triangle formation from where a pullback is highly likely as the wave count will be completed and Ethereum has massive resistance in this zone. Once these pullbacks are settled and Ethereum heavily increases with bearish volatility this will complete the whole formation with a breakout below the lower boundary and a continuation is likely to take place. Taking all these factors into the consideration here it is highly urgent to in any case do not underestimate the bearish scenarios that are set up here, in this determination it is pivotal that we are prepared for these scenarios to do not get overwhelmed when they emerge. It does not mean Ethereum has no bullish potential on more long-term perspectives from a fundamental standpoint however technically we need to appropriately measure the signals in the right manner, therefore it will be an important and decisive development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, all the best!
"Genius is eternal patience."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
BITCOIN, With Completion Of THIS Formation 18K Is INEVITABLE!Hello Cryptocurrency Community,
Welcome to this analysis about Bitcoin from the 4-day timeframe perspective. In recent times Bitcoin has shown up with heavy volatilities and increased spreads that should not be underestimated. At the same time, the regulatory voices against Bitcoin have become much more hostile and governments considering to ban Bitcoin or restricting it has become normal. Besides that, the overall economic situation is also shaky and in any case not what it was back before the corona pandemic hit financial markets. An increased inflation rate currently has the effect that more capital is flowing into the markets however if inflation should accelerate more this can have the reversed effect. Besides that, the FED decision upon a balance sheet decrease, stopping of the buyout programs, and possible increase of interest rates can hit markets bearishly as well. In this case, it is inevitable to take a look at the technical factors and this is what I am doing in this analysis, therefore, I detected all the important levels and determinations to consider.
Structural Developments:
Looking at my chart now we can watch there how Bitcoin is developing a massive crucial decisive formation that should not in any case kept from the desk here. As it is seen in my chart Bitcoin has begun to form this paramount ascending wedge formation, such an ascending has a higher tendency to form a devastating bearish reversal of the previously established bullish trend, this possibility is currently omnipresent together with the economical and restriction dynamics. In this whole formation, Bitcoin has already completed the waves A to D with the ending of wave D currently penetrating the lower boundary of the wedge formation from where a bounce has a higher potential now. This bounce will move on with the wave E and once this wave has emerged the final determinations will come when Bitcoin approaches the upper boundary of the ascending wedge formation again because BTC in this upper boundary has the main resistance cluster from where a pullback is likely which will accelerate bearish dynamics together with the decreasing volatility circle and the supply levels in this area.
Upcoming Determinations:
Taking all these factors into the consideration now what will be important here is to watch firstly on how the whole economical situation evolves because when the FED announces to finally decrease the balance sheet and begins with it this will affect the supply dynamics of Bitcoin and in the consequence also the whole pattern has a higher possibility to finalize. The second thing to watch is how Bitcoin moves in this formation because if heavy bearishness is leading to Bitcoin severely pulling back in the formation especially after approaching some little higher this will also increase the likelihood of Bitcoin completing the whole formation. Therefore for now it will be necessary to keep patient and watch out how the situation moves forward, the best thing in such cases is to possibly take opportunities on a short or middle term basis with swing trades or similar rather than just overspeculating the whole market into a one-sighted direction and rushing into the market in and out. In this manner it will be crucial to keep up to date and see how the market dynamics swift to be prepared on the scenarios mentioned, it will be an interesting development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, all the best!
"The high destiny of the market is to explicate rather than to speculate."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.