Bitcoinshort
A rercurring Topping Pattern - Take (partial) Profit?What's this?
..just a Pattern.
..a recurring pattern.
..a very similar, recurring pattern.
So what is this post good for?
Maybe just a heads-up?
Or just that you can roast me to point out that BTC is stretched, and has a high chance of pulling back or even going South.
However, be happy, not angry §8-)
Bitcoin Rally Faces Key Test Head and Shoulders Pattern in FocusThe rally in Bitcoin could partly be attributed to broader market optimism, often driven by political events. When markets are buoyant, Bitcoin, seen as both a hedge and a speculative asset, benefits from increased risk appetite among investors. That said, Bitcoin’s behavior in relation to politics can be unpredictable.
So, with that in mind, we’re now looking at Bitcoin on a 4-hour chart, and a head and shoulders pattern is forming. If this plays out, we could see Bitcoin break the neckline and drop to $80,064.72. But don’t forget Bitcoin is still bullish, especially with the influx of money following the November 5th victory of the newly elected president. Keep that in mind as we watch this pattern unfold.
If you’re following along, hit that like button. Have a great day!
BTCUSD - Bitcoin roared too high too fastNot because it's Bitcoin. But because it was pushed too fast too far. That's why BTC is stretched and has to come back to Balance.
The yellow Fork, which is a shorter term view (weekly/daily) shows us the super stretch.
It probably will take some weeks for BTC to fall back into the Fork. When it does, it's target is the white Center-Line.
Bitcoin on the Path to Unprecedented Success. Trade plan!Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Chart Observations
Falling Wedge Pattern:
A bullish reversal pattern is forming, indicating potential upward momentum if the price breaks above the resistance trendline.
Breakout scenarios typically target the previous high or a significant resistance level.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around $91,000-$92,000, visible as the upper orange zone.
Support Zone: Around $78,000-$79,000, visible as the lower orange zone.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 38.08, showing oversold conditions and a potential for upward momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: Indicates bullish divergence with oversold conditions, suggesting a potential upward price movement.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Neutral to slightly bullish, sitting at 53.63.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Showing outflows (red), indicating possible selling pressure.
Volume:
Relatively low, suggesting a lack of conviction in either direction. A breakout accompanied by high volume will confirm the next major move.
Divergences:
Visible bullish divergences on the VMC Cipher B suggest a potential reversal if the falling wedge resistance is broken.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Trigger: Break and close above the falling wedge resistance with strong volume confirmation.
Entry: Place a long position at $86,500-$87,000.
Targets:
First Target: $90,000 (conservative).
Second Target: $92,000 (major resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Below the wedge breakout level at $84,500.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 3:1.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
Trigger: Break and close below the wedge support with strong volume.
Entry: Place a short position at $84,000-$83,500.
Targets:
First Target: $80,000 (conservative).
Second Target: $78,000 (lower support zone).
Stop Loss: Above the wedge support at $86,000.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 3:1.
Risk Management
Allocate 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Monitor key levels and indicators, particularly volume spikes, RSI, and stochastic trends.
Keep an eye on macro news and Bitcoin-related announcements that could influence market sentiment.
If the price remains range-bound within the wedge, avoid over-trading and wait for a breakout confirmation.
Ensure all trades are backed by stop-loss orders to manage potential losses effectively.
Think Outside the Box BTC! / Next staion 60-62KBINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello Dear Traders.
📝In this post I will track the BTCUSDT movements as long as it stays inside the Box.
The market has reached the end of its suffering range.
Until Monday, the price of Bitcoin can rise to the level of $61K-$62K.
After that, if the buyers support and the price breaks above the $63K level, the green scenario will be activated, and the price will return to the ceiling of the box.
On the other side, bearish resistance at the $61-62k level will push Bitcoin price down to the initial target of $55k and then $52k.
📡Please share the analysis posts.
💌Thanks for your support and energy.
Is $btc Bitcoin's Channel about to do the Most or the Least? Bitcoin is in a Very huge falling channel!
Current Price: 65600
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Price action has rejected upper trend line Resistance 6 times - steadily creating lower highs.
Currently, Price action is at this Major resistance. Will it reject again? It remains to be seen!
A break above this major resistance will lead to ALL time highs and a continuation of the bull run.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Up Resistances: 70.4k, 74.8k, 80.2k
Note: #BTC remains bullish if price action stays above the 200EMA (red Moving Average)
Another rejection of this upper channel resistance will lead to down supports up to 50.5k.
What will it be?
Short-Term Bearish Setup with Potential Entry PointsBitcoin is showing weakness on the 4-hour time frame but hasn't completely broken the daily swing low to confirm a mid-term downtrend. The 4-hour chart is bearish, and I'm expecting another small leg up to the premium level (above the 0.5 Fibonacci level). I've marked two potential entry areas with star icons and their targets.
Two Great Entries:
Short Limit: 70,750 (1-hour FVG Area)
Second Entry: 69,553 (only after the first limit is hit or missed)
Stop Loss: 71,712 (above the recent swing high)
Target: 63,123
Good luck!
Yes, Bitcoin can also do this - next move to watch out1️⃣ Bitcoin is retracing to its 60-day low, giving risk-takers a chance to enter the market’s next leg up right now 🪙.
No rush, wait patiently.
So, are we going to go up in November?
It all depends on the next 10 days. If Bitcoin can hold above $65,000–$66,000 while the 3-day indicator resets, it’ll be a prime opportunity to re-enter the market. If Bitcoin fails to hold that level, we may need to wait for the 1-week (red line) indicator to reset instead.
📈 Bitcoin has rallied 34% from September to November, hitting overbought on all cycle indicators. Just like in 2021 , the 2-week cycle (light blue line at the bottom) indicates mid-term growth, while other indicators are beginning to retrace. 🔄
📉 If history repeats (and it might), the ideal re-entry will be when the 3-day indicator (violet line) dips below 20.
Let’s stop gambling and start making sustainable money in crypto.
Bitcoin Bitcoin in exciting situation . Regardless bitcoin future price expectations and the dream to become 80k per coin .. there is fact that the level of 65800 is very important . I expect that down trend will continue to 65800 then 59,335 levels and the bear will lead . Target to buy cheaper in analysis .
High Probability Bitcoin Setup – HTF FVG + OTE Near Buyside LiqBitcoin has been consolidating within a defined range for months. Recently, a sell-side liquidity sweep indicated a potential reversal. Price is now reacting to a higher timeframe daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), sitting above a short-term high/buyside liquidity. If Bitcoin closes below this buyside level, it sets up a high probability retracement toward the next sell-side liquidity target at 58,000.
DYOR :)
Bitcoin 4h tradeLocal 4h trade for BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️Waiting full fill or test 4h fvg
➡️Perfect scenario if we will see drop closer to Thursday to 59152
➡️But most likely we will hold the block around 61200
➡️4h money outflow BTC.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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Bitcoin ARE WE CORRECTING DOWN & T0 WHERE ???? Hey Traders
I take a quick dive into Bitcoin: currently it appears we are making our way down with some signals from candlesticks such as our lucky hammer which indicates bearish thinking.
Question is where do we go from here and can we punch back up or will sink further down to 50K and below ?
Must watch
Comment, like follow if you liked this video and found it useful or tell me what you think you see will happen with Bitcoin
MB Trader
Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure: Analysis Based on USDT.DAs of October 2024, Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of heightened bearish pressure, with USDT (Tether) market cap dominance signaling significant shifts in investor sentiment and risk management across the cryptocurrency markets. The USDT.D (USDT dominance) chart reflects market behavior that points towards reduced confidence in speculative assets such as Bitcoin, with the increase in USDT dominance indicating that traders are moving funds into stable assets. Let’s explore this in further detail, combining technical analysis with fundamental and geopolitical factors.
Sentiment Shift: USDT Dominance on the Rise
The chart indicates that USDT dominance is currently trending upward, hovering at around 5.7%. With a clear upward trajectory from its lows of 3.8%, this suggests that more market participants are parking their capital in USDT. This rising USDT dominance is often interpreted as a bearish signal for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as it implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, rather than taking on the risk of volatile crypto assets.
Notably, the price action of USDT dominance is testing key Bollinger Band levels. The red bands, indicating higher volatility zones, suggest that there is a heightened probability of a further spike in dominance. As USDT dominance pushes higher into the Bollinger Band range, Bitcoin and other speculative assets face selling pressure. The chart shows a growing preference for stability, which coincides with Bitcoin's decreasing speculative appeal in the current environment.
Rising ATR: Volatility Building in the Market
The Average True Range (ATR) percentage on the chart points towards increased volatility, sitting at 32.6%, and climbing to a peak of 46.9%. This heightened volatility, indicated by the widening ATR band, signals increasing uncertainty in the market. Historically, such volatility is often followed by bearish moves for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
As volatility grows, traders and institutions typically seek refuge in less volatile assets, pushing them towards USDT or other stablecoins. The increase in ATR% suggests a continued trend of traders reducing their exposure to Bitcoin in favor of more stable investments. The consistent rise in the ATR percentage alongside the growing USDT dominance strongly suggests that the market expects a period of heightened turbulence for Bitcoin.
Fundamental Analysis: Stubborn Inflation, Central Bank Tightening, and Institutional Pullback
Bitcoin’s bearish sentiment can be linked to broader macroeconomic factors, where persistent inflation and tight monetary policies continue to hamper speculative markets. Inflationary pressures remain a concern globally, especially in regions like the United States and Europe, where central banks have adopted a more aggressive stance to tighten monetary policies.
The Federal Reserve’s ongoing interest rate hikes, aimed at curbing inflation, have made riskier investments like Bitcoin less attractive. Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of speculative assets, as borrowing costs rise and liquidity contracts. The shift to USDT reflects the broader flight to safety as investors await a clearer signal from central banks regarding future economic stability.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has also tapered. Many firms that entered the space during the 2021 bull market are now pulling back, reducing their exposure to cryptocurrencies. Institutions are becoming more risk-averse as concerns about tightening financial conditions, higher bond yields, and slowing global growth take center stage. This reduced demand from major market players further adds downward pressure on Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Factors: Global Uncertainty
Geopolitical instability is another critical factor weighing down Bitcoin's outlook. Ongoing conflicts, notably in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, have led to considerable uncertainty in global markets. Investors are now factoring in geopolitical risk alongside economic risk, leading to a preference for safer assets.
Additionally, regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency markets, particularly stablecoins and decentralized finance, has escalated over the past year. US regulators, for example, are increasing oversight on Tether and other stablecoin providers, but ironically, this has not diminished the market's reliance on USDT as a safe haven. The market's trust in Tether amid rising scrutiny indicates a broader retreat from volatile assets like Bitcoin and a preference for liquid, USD-pegged stablecoins.
Moreover, China’s continued crackdown on cryptocurrency activities and Europe’s regulatory frameworks have dampened enthusiasm in the space. These geopolitical tensions contribute to the bearish outlook, as regional instability and regulatory pressures keep risk appetite low.
Bitcoin's Path Forward
Considering these factors, Bitcoin faces significant headwinds in the near term. The chart analysis, with rising USDT dominance and escalating volatility, presents a clear bearish picture. Coupled with the current macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop, Bitcoin is likely to experience downward pressure as market participants continue to seek safety in USDT.
The combination of central bank tightening, heightened global risk, and regulatory challenges makes it difficult for Bitcoin to regain the speculative momentum it enjoyed during previous bull markets. While Bitcoin has historically shown resilience, its ability to recover in the current environment looks increasingly uncertain.
In conclusion, the growing dominance of USDT in the crypto market reflects a broader shift away from risk assets like Bitcoin. With rising volatility and macroeconomic challenges, the bearish pressure on Bitcoin is likely to persist in the coming months, barring any major shifts in the global financial or regulatory landscape. Investors should remain cautious and consider hedging strategies as the cryptocurrency market enters a more uncertain phase.
BTC - All the talk and hype has one reason...to lure you in to buying NOW.
Do you really think the big investors are gonna buy at these levels?
I doubt.
First, they lure you in.
Then they throw you over the Cliff and rob your bag of Bitcoin when price is tanking.
Until I see a full bar outside of the U-MLH of the red downsloping Pitchfork, I'm not adding.
But, when it comes down to the red Center-Line, then I'm ready to buy aggressively.
You might be too optimistic about #BTC!Investors are hopeful that risk assets like Bitcoin could see strong gains if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points instead of the previously anticipated 25 basis points.
However, Bank of America (BofA) urges caution. They recommend not overreacting to any initial market reaction after the Federal Reserve's September meeting. According to BofA, the real focus should be on the Fed’s dot plot, which could have a bigger impact than the actual rate cut.
BofA expects the Fed’s dot plot to show higher interest rate expectations than what the market is currently predicting. Despite this, they believe Fed Chair Jerome Powell will maintain a more cautious, or "dovish," tone in his comments.
What is the dot plot?
The dot plot is a chart that shows where each Federal Reserve member thinks interest rates will be in the coming years. Each dot represents one member’s view. It's a useful guide for understanding where the Fed members sees interest rates in the future.