Bitcoinshort
Short-Term Bearish Setup with Potential Entry PointsBitcoin is showing weakness on the 4-hour time frame but hasn't completely broken the daily swing low to confirm a mid-term downtrend. The 4-hour chart is bearish, and I'm expecting another small leg up to the premium level (above the 0.5 Fibonacci level). I've marked two potential entry areas with star icons and their targets.
Two Great Entries:
Short Limit: 70,750 (1-hour FVG Area)
Second Entry: 69,553 (only after the first limit is hit or missed)
Stop Loss: 71,712 (above the recent swing high)
Target: 63,123
Good luck!
Yes, Bitcoin can also do this - next move to watch out1️⃣ Bitcoin is retracing to its 60-day low, giving risk-takers a chance to enter the market’s next leg up right now 🪙.
No rush, wait patiently.
So, are we going to go up in November?
It all depends on the next 10 days. If Bitcoin can hold above $65,000–$66,000 while the 3-day indicator resets, it’ll be a prime opportunity to re-enter the market. If Bitcoin fails to hold that level, we may need to wait for the 1-week (red line) indicator to reset instead.
📈 Bitcoin has rallied 34% from September to November, hitting overbought on all cycle indicators. Just like in 2021 , the 2-week cycle (light blue line at the bottom) indicates mid-term growth, while other indicators are beginning to retrace. 🔄
📉 If history repeats (and it might), the ideal re-entry will be when the 3-day indicator (violet line) dips below 20.
Let’s stop gambling and start making sustainable money in crypto.
Bitcoin Bitcoin in exciting situation . Regardless bitcoin future price expectations and the dream to become 80k per coin .. there is fact that the level of 65800 is very important . I expect that down trend will continue to 65800 then 59,335 levels and the bear will lead . Target to buy cheaper in analysis .
Is $btc Bitcoin's Channel about to do the Most or the Least? Bitcoin is in a Very huge falling channel!
Current Price: 65600
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Price action has rejected upper trend line Resistance 6 times - steadily creating lower highs.
Currently, Price action is at this Major resistance. Will it reject again? It remains to be seen!
A break above this major resistance will lead to ALL time highs and a continuation of the bull run.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Up Resistances: 70.4k, 74.8k, 80.2k
Note: #BTC remains bullish if price action stays above the 200EMA (red Moving Average)
Another rejection of this upper channel resistance will lead to down supports up to 50.5k.
What will it be?
High Probability Bitcoin Setup – HTF FVG + OTE Near Buyside LiqBitcoin has been consolidating within a defined range for months. Recently, a sell-side liquidity sweep indicated a potential reversal. Price is now reacting to a higher timeframe daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), sitting above a short-term high/buyside liquidity. If Bitcoin closes below this buyside level, it sets up a high probability retracement toward the next sell-side liquidity target at 58,000.
DYOR :)
Bitcoin 4h tradeLocal 4h trade for BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️Waiting full fill or test 4h fvg
➡️Perfect scenario if we will see drop closer to Thursday to 59152
➡️But most likely we will hold the block around 61200
➡️4h money outflow BTC.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Bitcoin ARE WE CORRECTING DOWN & T0 WHERE ???? Hey Traders
I take a quick dive into Bitcoin: currently it appears we are making our way down with some signals from candlesticks such as our lucky hammer which indicates bearish thinking.
Question is where do we go from here and can we punch back up or will sink further down to 50K and below ?
Must watch
Comment, like follow if you liked this video and found it useful or tell me what you think you see will happen with Bitcoin
MB Trader
Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure: Analysis Based on USDT.DAs of October 2024, Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of heightened bearish pressure, with USDT (Tether) market cap dominance signaling significant shifts in investor sentiment and risk management across the cryptocurrency markets. The USDT.D (USDT dominance) chart reflects market behavior that points towards reduced confidence in speculative assets such as Bitcoin, with the increase in USDT dominance indicating that traders are moving funds into stable assets. Let’s explore this in further detail, combining technical analysis with fundamental and geopolitical factors.
Sentiment Shift: USDT Dominance on the Rise
The chart indicates that USDT dominance is currently trending upward, hovering at around 5.7%. With a clear upward trajectory from its lows of 3.8%, this suggests that more market participants are parking their capital in USDT. This rising USDT dominance is often interpreted as a bearish signal for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as it implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, rather than taking on the risk of volatile crypto assets.
Notably, the price action of USDT dominance is testing key Bollinger Band levels. The red bands, indicating higher volatility zones, suggest that there is a heightened probability of a further spike in dominance. As USDT dominance pushes higher into the Bollinger Band range, Bitcoin and other speculative assets face selling pressure. The chart shows a growing preference for stability, which coincides with Bitcoin's decreasing speculative appeal in the current environment.
Rising ATR: Volatility Building in the Market
The Average True Range (ATR) percentage on the chart points towards increased volatility, sitting at 32.6%, and climbing to a peak of 46.9%. This heightened volatility, indicated by the widening ATR band, signals increasing uncertainty in the market. Historically, such volatility is often followed by bearish moves for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
As volatility grows, traders and institutions typically seek refuge in less volatile assets, pushing them towards USDT or other stablecoins. The increase in ATR% suggests a continued trend of traders reducing their exposure to Bitcoin in favor of more stable investments. The consistent rise in the ATR percentage alongside the growing USDT dominance strongly suggests that the market expects a period of heightened turbulence for Bitcoin.
Fundamental Analysis: Stubborn Inflation, Central Bank Tightening, and Institutional Pullback
Bitcoin’s bearish sentiment can be linked to broader macroeconomic factors, where persistent inflation and tight monetary policies continue to hamper speculative markets. Inflationary pressures remain a concern globally, especially in regions like the United States and Europe, where central banks have adopted a more aggressive stance to tighten monetary policies.
The Federal Reserve’s ongoing interest rate hikes, aimed at curbing inflation, have made riskier investments like Bitcoin less attractive. Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of speculative assets, as borrowing costs rise and liquidity contracts. The shift to USDT reflects the broader flight to safety as investors await a clearer signal from central banks regarding future economic stability.
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has also tapered. Many firms that entered the space during the 2021 bull market are now pulling back, reducing their exposure to cryptocurrencies. Institutions are becoming more risk-averse as concerns about tightening financial conditions, higher bond yields, and slowing global growth take center stage. This reduced demand from major market players further adds downward pressure on Bitcoin.
Geopolitical Factors: Global Uncertainty
Geopolitical instability is another critical factor weighing down Bitcoin's outlook. Ongoing conflicts, notably in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, have led to considerable uncertainty in global markets. Investors are now factoring in geopolitical risk alongside economic risk, leading to a preference for safer assets.
Additionally, regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency markets, particularly stablecoins and decentralized finance, has escalated over the past year. US regulators, for example, are increasing oversight on Tether and other stablecoin providers, but ironically, this has not diminished the market's reliance on USDT as a safe haven. The market's trust in Tether amid rising scrutiny indicates a broader retreat from volatile assets like Bitcoin and a preference for liquid, USD-pegged stablecoins.
Moreover, China’s continued crackdown on cryptocurrency activities and Europe’s regulatory frameworks have dampened enthusiasm in the space. These geopolitical tensions contribute to the bearish outlook, as regional instability and regulatory pressures keep risk appetite low.
Bitcoin's Path Forward
Considering these factors, Bitcoin faces significant headwinds in the near term. The chart analysis, with rising USDT dominance and escalating volatility, presents a clear bearish picture. Coupled with the current macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop, Bitcoin is likely to experience downward pressure as market participants continue to seek safety in USDT.
The combination of central bank tightening, heightened global risk, and regulatory challenges makes it difficult for Bitcoin to regain the speculative momentum it enjoyed during previous bull markets. While Bitcoin has historically shown resilience, its ability to recover in the current environment looks increasingly uncertain.
In conclusion, the growing dominance of USDT in the crypto market reflects a broader shift away from risk assets like Bitcoin. With rising volatility and macroeconomic challenges, the bearish pressure on Bitcoin is likely to persist in the coming months, barring any major shifts in the global financial or regulatory landscape. Investors should remain cautious and consider hedging strategies as the cryptocurrency market enters a more uncertain phase.
BTC - All the talk and hype has one reason...to lure you in to buying NOW.
Do you really think the big investors are gonna buy at these levels?
I doubt.
First, they lure you in.
Then they throw you over the Cliff and rob your bag of Bitcoin when price is tanking.
Until I see a full bar outside of the U-MLH of the red downsloping Pitchfork, I'm not adding.
But, when it comes down to the red Center-Line, then I'm ready to buy aggressively.
You might be too optimistic about #BTC!Investors are hopeful that risk assets like Bitcoin could see strong gains if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points instead of the previously anticipated 25 basis points.
However, Bank of America (BofA) urges caution. They recommend not overreacting to any initial market reaction after the Federal Reserve's September meeting. According to BofA, the real focus should be on the Fed’s dot plot, which could have a bigger impact than the actual rate cut.
BofA expects the Fed’s dot plot to show higher interest rate expectations than what the market is currently predicting. Despite this, they believe Fed Chair Jerome Powell will maintain a more cautious, or "dovish," tone in his comments.
What is the dot plot?
The dot plot is a chart that shows where each Federal Reserve member thinks interest rates will be in the coming years. Each dot represents one member’s view. It's a useful guide for understanding where the Fed members sees interest rates in the future.
BTC - TWO Theories - ELLIOT Wave vs FRACTALElliot Wave Theory is an absolute favorite of mine, combined with Wyckoff Method and chart analysis (trendlines and technical indicators). If you've been following; you'll know I've been speaking of a multi-month cycle, specifically a multi month corrective wave before the final impulse wave up (4-5).
Considering we're still in that corrective phase, let's take a look at TWO options from here:
Option 1 , is we retrace around -50%, same as last time. However, this would pose an issue - if we drop lower than (1), it invalidates the Elliot Wave Theory, and also invalidates the bullish cycle. The second problem, is that the previous cycle's increase (2-3) was MUCH bigger than the current 2-3 we are observing. This brings us to option 2.
Option 2 , is that we retrace around the same ratio as the previous cycle. To calculate the ration, we need to see what % we retraced and compare it to the % increase.
We increased 1533.92% (2-3)and retraced 55.25% (3-4). That means it's a 3.6% correction compared to the increase.
For the current cycle, we increased 357.27% (2-3) and retraced 33.76% (3-4). This gives us a 9,45% correction - three times as much as the previous cycle.
You can take this two ways - either we're following a 50% correction, OR we're not falling lower than the current point 4 which is around $49K.
Share your thoughts!
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Collapse Underway -75% ProbableBitcoin is collapsing, it will go deep.
As of right now, I am looking for AT LEAST a -75% selloff, with the expectation that we will soon test the 2018 price level.
This thing might be wiped out entirely.
I really don't have much else to say.
Good luck everyone.
Building resistance in 58K level, possible SHORT lays aheadHi fellow traders,
Bitcoin DERIBIT:BTCUSD.P is declining a bit and making a nice downwards structure on the 1H frame. What we can see is building resistance on the 58K level.
We can see that the short-term foresight shows a possible resistance in the form of a trend-line rejection. Additionally, a possible rejection from the exponential moving average (50 period) lies in the same area of interest.
That building tension gives us a SHORT possibility whenever rejection is confirmed on a lower timeframe, looking forward to that sweet price-action :)
Happy Trading ^^
Friday Market Update - $IBIT, $BTC, $DXY and $SOL ForecastHere's a quick update to the video I posted last week showing a final unfilled Gap on the 4-Hour NASDAQ:IBIT likely pushing price down (We're NOT sure yet how this is correlated, other than the BIG money is playing with Options / Futures and now the NASDAQ:IBIT , which makes Bitcoin a Wall Street product now essentially.
My targets on Bitcoin now are $57k and I'm thinking we may even see a 'news driven' selloff to the $50k - GETTEX:52K range into our buy blocks as shown here.
"Show me the charts, I'll tell you the news" is one of my mantras, and with everyone thinking we go higher here, I'm thinking we have one more shakeout to wipe out some longs.
Last week a well-known short posted that he 'gave in and the Bulls Win' showing his $2.5M loss.
Think the games are over? I think not.
So I'm mostly out of the market, holding some SOL and planning to DCA buy lower at levens I mention in the video.
I also dicuss the DXY bounce, Total Market Cap, and why this weekly candle close is important.
Apologies -- the recording stopped when I tried to update one of my alerts, and I have a Labor Day party to finish planning so no time to-record it.
Have a great weekend everyone, and let's see what Tuesday brings when the big Wall Street traders get back from summer vacation and start putting wall-street money to work.
BTC remains bearish next targets 57.7k and 56kIn this video, I provide an update on my previous trading analysis.
I'll discuss the current targets for the bearish scenario and highlight the key levels to watch. Additionally, I present a bullish counter-idea and explain where the invalidation of the bearish thesis might occur. This way, you'll be well-prepared no matter which direction the market takes. Stay tuned to catch all the important details!
Breakout or breakdown? I'm SHORT here is whyHi fellow traders,
In this idea I have drawn daily supply and demand zones, although the zones of interest exist out of large ranges I think the combination of approaching both a long- and short-term supply zone and a forming rising wedge we are looking at a rejection from the 1h supply zone level.
I will wait on the lower timeframe to confirm the rejection, ideally have a bounce of the bottom of the rising wedge acting as resistance.
What do you think? Are we going to breakdown or breakout?
Happy trading ^^