🚨Bitcoin is Ready to Go Down again🚨✅ Bitcoin finally managed to break the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($61,100-$58,700) 🟢 and the lower line of the Descending Channel and 100_SMA(Daily) .
🏃♂️Bitcoin is currently pulling back into the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($61,100-$58,700) 🟢 and moving near the 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡.
😱The Fear and Greed Index entered the " Fear zone " again after more than 4 months .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to start going down again and at least to the 🟢 Support zone($57,050-$56,550) 🟢.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoinsignals
BITCOIN testing the 1W MA20, most consistent Bull Cycle Support!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) dropped on the Fed Rate Decision day near the 1W MA20 (green trend-line), the closest it has been to it since the week of October 16 2023 when it broke above it. This level is of considerable important for BTC as it is probably the most consistent Support historically during Bull Cycles.
On this 1W time-frame analysis, you can see why that is. In the past 3 Cycles, this level broke and had 1W candles closing below it only 3 times. None during the 2015 - 2017 run, twice during 2019 - 2021 (one for correcting the Libra euphoria and the other the COVID flash crash) and one during the current 2023 - 2024 run (August - October).
As a result, this is technically the strongest Support that Bitcoin can meet before the ultimate 1W MA50 that is only closed below when the Bear Cycle starts. On top of the above, you can see the 1W CCI testing the top of its Bull Cycle Support Zone (green circle), resembling the tests of September 07 2020 and March 20 2017, both being the most optimal buy entries before the Parabolic Rallies begun.
But what do you think? Will Bitcoin rebound on this critical 1W MA20 Support or close below it for the 4th time in 11 years?? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Bottom of the 6-month Megaphone. Will it hold?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost tested the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the October 12 2023 Low, which is technically the bottom of the 6-month Bullish Megaphone pattern. Having a notable Resistance on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), which is where BTC last failed to make its bullish break-out, if this level holds, then we can expect a strong Bullish Leg such as those of February - March 2024 and October - December 2023 (blue ellipses).
As you can see, each Higher High on the Megaphone pattern has been proportionally higher, the first hit the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, the second hit the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, which is natural for Megaphones. As a result, if the pattern continues, reaching the all important psychological target of $100000 seems more than plausible as it sits just above the 2.0 Fib extension, where based on the pattern it can even reach the 3.0 Fib (127k).
But what do you think? Will the Megaphone's bottom hold and push BTC to 100k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin is Ready to ⚔️Attack⚔️ to Heavy Support zone🏃♂️ Bitcoin is moving near Support lines .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have completed microwave 3 of the main wave 3 and is currently completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to start Going down from the 🔴 Resistance zone($62,940-$62,540) 🔴 and attack the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($61,100-$58,700) 🟢.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️ : The lines of possible waves are hypothetical , and waves can be formed in other ways .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
⚠️Bitcoin Analysis (Mix of Patterns)⚠️👋Hi, everyone. First of all, I apologize for the chart being busy, but I think all the lines and zones are needed to better understand it.
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving in two descending channels : a ⚫️Black Descending Channel⚫️ and a 🟣Purple Descending Channel🟣 . Also, it is currently moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($66,050-$64,520) 🔴and near the Upper line of the descending channel and 50_SMA(Daily) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
📈If we want to look at the chart from the point of view of the Classical and Harmonic patterns , Bitcoin has succeeded in breaking the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern , and it seems that a Bearish 5-0 Harmonic Pattern is forming near the upper line of the 🟣descending channel🟣.
💡Before concluding, let's take a look at the Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) chart.
💡 USDT.D% broke the 🔴 Resistance zone(4.72%-4.53%) 🔴 as I expected and is currently pulling back to this zone, the pullback structure seems to be forming with the Falling Wedge Pattern , I expect USDT.D% to rising again and this It will cause another decline in the cryptocurrency market .👇
🔔I expect Bitcoin to start falling again based on the above explanation.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Sellers seem fully confident again. TIME TO BUY?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit and broke yesterday below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) for the first time in more than 3 months (since January 23 2024). This is progressively turning the majority of news and traders across the market bearish and in full confidence of shorting to even lower prices. Should long-term investors panic?
The answer appears to be 'No' and in fact if anything, this is the time to add more quarterly buy positions. The reason is shown on this 1W chart. Compared to the 2014/ 2017 Cycle, Bitcoin has formed the exact Bull Flag that is currently in 5 times until its eventual top. Each time the Flag bottomed after breaking the 1D MA100 but never touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) until the end of the Bull Cycle. Of course the (green) Ichimoku Cloud also supported below all the way to the top.
It is interesting to also notice the 1W RSI sequence between the two Cycles. Both started with a Channel Up, which in the case of 2014/ 2017 it evolved into a Rectangle for the 2nd part of the Bull Cycle, with the price ranging from ovebrought (85.00 - 90.00) to borderline neutral (55.00). Currently the RSI is attempting to breach the Channel Up, thus flashing resemblances with the March 13-20 2017.
But what do you think? Is this the time to buy BTC again on a Bull Cycle basis or the narrative will be broken and it will test the 1W MA50? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN First red month after 7 straight green. How bad is it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to close today (unless the 1M candle closing is above 71500) the first red month after 7 green monthly candles in a row. The last month of losses was last August (2023) and since then we've experienced an unprecedented rally, fueled primarily by the ETF anticipation and then its confirmation. So is this alarming?
Actually not. Sole 1 month red candles is quite common for BTC during its Bull Cycles and as we see on this chart, historically it tends to display mostly single 1M red candles and in some cases 2 straight red. Only once we've had 3 straight red months during a Bull Cycle and that was on September 2019 but it was when Bitcoin was correcting the abnormal very early rise following the Libra euphoria.
More specifically, when Bitcoin got past each Cycle's Halving, which is the position chronologically we're currently at, it has displayed single red candles 5 times and double 2 times. It is easy to understand that these short monthly corrections are a necessary part to Bitcoin's Bull Cycle especially as we get closer to the final and more aggressive part of the Cycle, which is the parabolic rally.
It is more likely that we will experience a green June and if anything a streak of green monthly candles to follow. If June is red too, we should then experience at least 4 straight green months as it happened on December 2016. In any case it appears that buying now on this red monthly closing is as good of a level as any as BTC prepares for the final parabolic rally of the Cycle.
As a sidenote, have a look at the 1M RSI, which after getting highly overbought on March (above 77.00), dived now back below the 70.00 barrier. This pull-back has more in common with RSI pull-backs like September 2020, March 2017, October 2012, than any other red 1M sequences. This confirms that the parabolic rally is just around the corner.
But what do you think? Are you expecting April to be the last red month in a while? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(15_minute time frame)⏰🏃♂️ Bitcoin is moving near Potential Reversal Zone and Support lines .
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing wave 5 .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
🔔 I expect Bitcoin to reach at least the 🎯Target🎯 I specified on the chart.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Bollinger Squeeze attracting Bulls for 100k and above!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to test the bottom of the Bollinger Bands (BB) on the 3D time-frame for the first time in 3 months (since January 25). Right now the squeeze between the BB basis (blue line) and the bottom (green line) is extremely tight and since the start of 2023 this has been fairly accurate bottom call.
The trend since the November 2022 bottom has been parabolic (green parabola) and thus is most efficiently displayed by the use of the Fibonacci Channel extension levels. After breaking above the 1.0 Fib on the February 12 2024 candle, the recent All Time High (ATH) in mid March 2024 broke even above the 1.5 Fib. Technically on the new Bullish Leg that is about to start after the current squeeze attracts as many buyers as possible, we should reach at least (most likely even break it) the 2.0 Fib.
$110000 is a very realistic target under these conditions and we shouldn't neglect to mention also the BB Width (BBW) consolidating on its bottom, which again is related to high bullish activity and accumulation when performed on the BB green line.
But what do you think? Is this squeeze about to make bulls accumulate and break aggressively to the upside? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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🚀Bitcoin Is Ready to Go Up Again🚀🎉Hi guys, I hope that you have a great weekend .
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the 🟢 Support zone($63,370-$62,790) 🟢. Also, Bitcoin managed to break the Resistance lines and is currently completing the pullback .
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Potential Reversal Zone and upper Resistance line .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
🗺️Bitcoin Roadmap🗺️⏰(15-minute time frame)⏰🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($65,700-$64,500) 🔴.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing the main wave 4 in the 15-minute time frame .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to Drop again and break the 🟢 Support zone($63,370-$62,790) 🟢.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN This is where historically the fun begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has successfully tested and held the Mayer Multiple (MM) Mean (red trend-line) and is now consolidating. As you can see by the green arrows, this is the point where historically the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle begins, as even in the occasions where the MM Mean broke marginally (July 2013), the rebound that followed was even more impressive and strong.
We can actually get a progression out of those sequences as if we measure the Fibonacci extensions from the MM Mean's Low and the High before it, we can see that Cycle 1 peaked marginally above Fib 2.0, Cycle 2 was +2 Cycle 1's Fib i.e. 4.0 and Cycle 3 was +2 Cycle 2's Fib i.e. 6.0. We can assume, of course always with the relative degree of uncertainty that Cycle 4 might be +2 Fib more of Cycle 3's Fib i.e. 6.0 + 2.0 = 8.0.
Unrealistic or not, that gives us a $300000 projection and is undeniably technical as those are the exact High-to-Low measurements at the time it touched the MM Mean.
But what do you think? Is it possible for BTC to peak at such a high level on this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Can it hit $110k this Summer?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to test it as a Resistance following the bearish break-out last week but got rejected. This is a discouraging sign short-term for any bullish attempt but it very consistent with all previous bottoms since the November 21 2022 market bottom.
** The 0.382 Fibonacci **
As you can see, all major rallies since that date pulled-back and found enough Support on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level exactly. Then once they closed a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, the new Bullish Leg was confirmed. On both bullish sequences, the top was priced on the -1.0 Fibonacci extension exactly. The above conditions indicate extremely high symmetry and consistency on this pattern.
** The MACD Bullish Cross **
At the same time, the emergence of a 1D MACD Bullish Cross came right after the bottom. Today BTC is about to complete such Bullish Cross. In fact since the November 2022 bottom only 1 out of 6 MACD Bullish Crosses failed to deliver a new High shortly (May 27 2023) and still this was insignificant as BTC formed another that broke above the 1D MA50 only 20 days later.
** 110k this Summer? **
It is therefore obvious that the last condition that needs to be fulfilled in order to have a legitimate case for a new Bullish Leg, is for Bitcoin to close a 1D candle above the 1D MA50. When it does, the next most likely Target according to this model, i.e. the -1.0 Fibonacci extension, is $110000. Unrealistic as it may seem, this Target wouldn't just hit Fib -1.0 on the horizontal but also the top of the (blue) Channel Up and the 2.0 Fibonacci Channel extension. And all this is possible by the end of this Summer.
Do you think this is a legitimate price to expect this soon that high? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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🔥Hours before Bitcoin Halving 2024🔥🔥 Bitcoin Halving 2024 is less than 10 hours away.
💡Before the Halving 2024 , Bitcoin seemed to have experienced an increase due to this happening .
🏃♂️Bitcoin managed to break the Resistance lines/Downtrend line and is currently moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($66,050-$64,520) 🔴.
🌊In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 3 and is currently looking to complete wave 4 .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to break the 🔴 Resistance zone($66,050-$64,520) 🔴 with the help of wave 5 please break and at least rise to the 🎯 Target 🎯 I specified on the chart.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Is an aggressive break-out imminent?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is struggling to break and close above the All Time High (ATH) Resistance having almost completed 6 weeks of sideways consolidation and candle closings below it. On any other occasion, that would be a bearish signal, an inability of the market to find enough willing buyers to push it to a new High. But with BTC's historic cycles this has proved to be just a stepping stone before the most aggressive phase, the non-stop rally that drives the Cycle to its peak.
The 3W LMACD indicates that the market is proportionally on that exact same level that it normally is when it tests the prior ATH, before it breaks it. With the LMACD trading within a Channel Down since the very beginning, this test happens when it hits the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level. When the LMACD's blue line starts approaching the 0.786 level, this is when BTC closes above its ATH and starts rallying strongly (blue circle).
The final part of this phase is the peak formation (red Rectangle) and it happes when the LACD approaches the top of the Channel and reverses before it makes a Bearish Cross. We estimate this to take place within the (admittedly) wide range of 150000 - 300000, depending on market conditions and relevant global demand from ETFs.
But what do you think? Do you expect Bitcoin to rise parabolically if it closes above the ATH level? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Halving only few hours away! Youre NOT READY for this rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is less than a day (only a few hours) away from the new Halving and naturally all eyes are on this historic event, the 4th in succession. We all know the fundamental specifics and how a -50% less Supply can drive the price higher as long as Demand stays intact.
What people may not know (or may not be able to comprehend) is the pure magnitude of the rally that is about to begin in the next few weeks. Let's put all into technical context in order to understand just how high BTC can go.
** Fibonacci Channel and Mayer Multiple Bands **
We are all familiar with the Channel Up that started on the December 2017 High. With some variations, it has been so far very consistent. The application of the Fibonacci Channel retracement levels and the Mayer Multiple Bands, helps us get a good understand of the relative position we might be at compared to the previous Cycle.
** Have we been here before? **
As you can see, BTC has been consolidating since the March 04 1W candle within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci Channel range. At the same time, the Mayer Multiple Standard Deviation Upper 1 level (grey line) is supporting, in fact it was touched this week. The is a similar price action amoung the exact same levels we had from November 16 to December 07 2020. Interestingly enough, the 1W CCI sequences that preceded this between the two fractals, are also similar.
** How high can we go? **
As for how high the Cycle can rise to? The previous Cycle peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from the previous High to the bottom). The same specification gives us $170000. But besides the 1.618, the price reached the top of the Channel Up and the MM STD Upper 2 (orange line), making a rise from the consolidation's low of +300%. If this happens again, BTC can even reach $240000.
This is far from an unrealistic range projection, $170k - $240k, for the Cycle High. But what do you think? Will we fall somewhere between or higher/ lower? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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BITCOIN Is this simply a big Bull Flag?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched today the bottom of the Channel Down pattern that started a month ago on the March 14 High. Ever since is posted Lower Highs and Lower Lows, dropping under the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the long-term trend for months has been a parabolic rally, this pattern can be seen just as a big Bull Flag, a necessary short-term pull-back before new Highs.
As BTC is approaching the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), it is important to know that the last time it did was on January 23 and it held it as Support, closing the 1D candle above it. Technically that is the tolerance limit, in order to the uptrend to stay valid with low entry buyers.
The January 23 Low initiated a rebound that peaked marginally above the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, the March 14 High. If the same pattern is repeated, we can see $95000 by June.
How probable do you think that is? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN May 2020 VS April 2022 Halving. Striking similarities.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is only a few days before the new Halving event and is already below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 months, having broken the previous Ascending Triangle pattern.
This is a sequence that we have seen before during the previous Halving (May 11 2020). Of course the Halving took place at the start of the Ascending Triangle and not after it broke but we want to grasp the general picture and as you see the price action around this critically important fundamental event is very similar.
The goal now is for BTC to hold its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) intact as it did in June 2020 (also held it last time on January 23 2024, which delivered a remarkable rebound) and attract new long-term buyers. Notice also the similar 1D RSI Falling Wedge patterns.
The 2020 Triangle reached its 2.0 Fibonacci extension, so that is our next medium-term Target at $90000.
Do you think the 2020 fractal will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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BITCOIN Holding the ATH Zone! Is this like 2017?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a sharp decline on Saturday and is now in the process of recovering. The 1W candle wick dived as low as the low of almost 30 days back (March 20), extending the 1-month consolidation since March 13 High. This is of course directly related to the fundamental aspect of BTC's Halving, which is due at the end of the week and historically exerts high volatility onto the market.
Buy even from a technical point of view, those two sell-offs found Support and held the (red) All Time High (ATH) Zone, which is the range taken from the closings of the previous ATH candles. As we can see on the right chart, it was the exact case on the 2014/ 2017 Cycle, which is the Cycle that we first here most tightly correlated Bitcoin's current Cycle.
More specifically, the March 20 and April 10 2017 1W candles, were both contained at the bottom of the ATH Zone and sharply extended the rally right after. This means that the Halving event can be the ideal fundamental 'excuse' to kick-start the rest of the technical rally and fulfil the pattern.
But what do you think? Will history be repeated once more? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Can Go Down by 🚨Classical Patterns🚨🚨Bitcoin started to fall again after the news of a possible War between Iran and Israel and reacted well to the 🟢 Heavy Support zone($61,100-$58,690) 🟢.
🏃♂️Bitcoin is currently moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($66,100-$64,500) 🔴.
📈It also seems that Bitcoin has managed to break the lower line of the Symmetrical triangle , and at the same time, it is forming an Eve & Adam Double Top .
🔔I expect Bitcoin to continue falling again , at least to the Pitchfork line .
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: If Bitcoin can go above the 🔴 Resistance zone($66,100-$64,500) 🔴, we can expect an increase in Bitcoin.
❗️⚠️Note⚠️❗️: An important point you should always remember is capital management and lack of greed.
Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSDT ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin- Bulls held strong, so no need to worryThe recent geopolitical tensions have impacted BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , further highlighting that it is not merely a safe haven but rather a risky asset.
However, this drop appears to be primarily an emotional reaction. The technical level that I've been discussing for quite some time, originating from the 62k zone, has held strong. Following this dip, the price has reversed and is currently trading with almost a 10% rise from the recent bottom.
Medium to long-term bulls need not fret as long as the aforementioned level remains intact.
My strategy remains unchanged: buying dips in anticipation of a new all-time high in the 80k neighborhood.
Bitcoin RoadMap 2024/2025The thesis I will present today will go over the idea that Bitcoin will repeat its first cycle over a longer length of time. There are a lot of theories on where Bitcoin is going next, and it's been interesting seeing so many different perspectives.
Every 4 years, Bitcoin follows through with its cycle, and we are now in the 4th cycle. So, what if it repeats the first cycle?
The first cycle is a interesting one , we had two tops, one big move followed by a 75% correction and after 231days we put in a higher high.
Last cycle nearly every single logarithmic model I was using broke expect the one you see in the main chart above, I know every model breaks eventually but until then we will base are projections around it.
The fact is there is not much room left from here , if Bitcoin repeats the same move and time then we looking at July at around 113k for a major 2024 top , for over 500 days now Bitcoin has been moving 100% every 120-140 days with the last move only taking 50days.
What is interesting is it took 1200days from Pi cycle cross to cross , if it repeats the next cross is in July and a my projected cross which will most likely not be very accurate since moving averages will move a lot depending on price but late October 2024 would be the cross.
Monthly RSI is the lowest its ever been in history coming back into all time high.
2Week RSI putting in nearly perfect lower highs since the start.
Bitcoin all time high consolidation pattern looking like it did last cycle in 2020 when it was back at 20k.
Looking over at my time cycles , it takes 1400days from cycle top to top this would put a cycle high in September 2025 from November 2021. It also lines up with my time fib in September 2025.
Elliott wave indicator is flashing a wave 5 both of NAS100 and Bitcoin , as you can see by going back in time its not 100% perfect and calling the top but pretty close most of the time , as you can see last cycle it was off by 3 weekly candles.
We are making lower highs on the Weekly and higher highs in price so bearish divergence could be forming here.
stochastic RSI pointing down and MACD histogram printing two lighter colours but as you can see stochastic last bullrun we were going down the entire time Bitcoin was going up.
Conclusion
There are some warning signs but there weak compared to the bullish signs , candle structure is still making lower highs from 4hour upwards and we forming same pattern as we did last cycle before massive run.
This is how I think it plays out , last phase of the first run is coming until end of July then massive correction into end of year and continuation of the bull run till cycle top September 2025.