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BITCOIN Closed above 1D MA50 for the first time in 2 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has closed a 1D candle and is now comfortably trading above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since November 07 2022), turning it into a Support. The pattern since the August 15 High is a Channel Down, within a Falling Wedge (since the June 18 2022 Low). Having lasted for almost 6 months, this can be viewed as a huge accumulation zone. In any case, there are certain fully distinct formation within this pattern. The price action since the FTX crash started on November 06, is quite similar to that since the August 15 High. As you see both peaked on a (red) Channel, made their fist fake-out above the 1D MA50 on the (red) circle, second on the (red) Flag and the price is now back above it as it was on October 25/26, potentially forming the final Channel that will test the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. There is also an inner Lower Highs trend-line involved (dashed). The 1D RSI is also repeating a similar pattern. So where do we stand now? Well a break below the 1D MA50, or even more accurately the Internal (dotted) Higher Lows trend-line) should be bearish targeting the 15500 Support (November 21 Low) or even a Lower Low on the Falling Wedge's bottom. On the upside, a break above the top of the Channel Down/ Wedge, is the first bullish sign but we won't consider it confirmed on its own. Ideally we want to see a closing above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been unbroken since 2021 (December 31), in order to justify a long-term bullish reversal. In that case, potential targets in succession will be the Fibonacci retracement levels, which as you see since the June Low, align (almost) perfectly with Support and Resistance levels. What do you think will happen next? Do you expect BTC to break again below the 1D MA50 or hold it and finally test the 1D MA200 first? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
Bitcoin- Mini bull run in the first semester of 2023?The long-term trend for Bitcoin, in fact, for all the crypto market, is bearish, and there's no question about this, and, to be honest, I'm almost sure we will have new lows in the future( as sure you can be when it comes to markets). However, at this moment, I think we will have a rebound for a few months and, as there's no straight up in a bull trend, the same is no straight down in a bear one. In this post, I will explain my reasons for thinking this, both technically and using common sense, and share my current trade and risk management. Technically: At the beginning of November, Bitcoin has broken under important 18k support and reached 15500. After a retest of the broken support, BtcUsd fell again, but, instead of making a new low, made a higher low and started to consolidate again and even made a small double bottom in the past month or so. Now the neckline of this double bottom is broken (17k) and the target for this is towards 18k resistance. In the eventuality of a rise to 18k, 16300 is confirmed as a higher low and there is a high chance of a break back above 18k which would confirm a false break and a bear trap. This whole outcome could lead to further gains and my first target is 21k. Common sense: First of all, after the 18k break back in November, the drop lacked continuation, instead, we have consolidation and even a lot of bad news came from the crypto market Bitcoin stud still. Second... This "invitation" to sell on a stable market because all will drop is something I don't buy. Selling at 16-17k and rebuying it at 10k would be too simple. My Trade: I know there are a lot of "ifs" in my analysis, but if you traded long enough you know that, in fact, you should work with "ifs" and take a trade step by step. Only idiots have certainties(and know that Bitcoin will go to 1mil or 0, depending on the bias), intelligent people have doubts, I'm not an intelligent man, so I have stop loss...:) So.. here is my personal trade at this moment: Bought at 16700 in anticipation of a break above 17k (so far I'm correct) Stop loss is around 16k, but for the sake of round numbers, let's say 15700 Take profit, at this moment, is at 21k Considering a buy trade of 1Btc, the potential loss is 1000usd and the potential profit si 4k, this would mean 1:4 R: R which for me, as a speculator, is fabulous. As I said, a lot could happen, and if the price is breaking 18k and going towards 20k with buying power I even can aim for 25k and remove TP from 21k. Nevertheless, my potential loss for this trade is already counted for and now is the market's turn. Have a nice trading week! Mihai Iacob
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
21
BITCOIN Perfect symmetry with 2015 shows recovery is imminentBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been practically flat since the early November FTX crash, which was a big blow fundamentally for the market. On the 1W time-frame, this is not the first time though we see similar RSI and MACD behavior. On this chart we compare Bitcoin's price action since the April 2021 High to the Bear Cycle of 2014/15. ** The true Cycle High ** As you see there are certain striking similarities. First of all, as we've mentioned numerous times on Tradingshot , BTC's true technical top of the previous Bull Cycle was in April 2021. The October/ November 2021 rise was the extension at the peak of the tech bubble caused by trillions of 2020 rescue packages. ** Lower Highs, 1W MA50/100, RSI and MACD ** The first similarity is that the duration between each Cycle's High 1 and High 2, which is where the Lower Highs trend-line (dashed) started, was 30 weeks in 2021 and 27 weeks in 2014. During that time, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting. After the price broke below it, following the start of the Lower Highs trend-line, it hit the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). During that whole time, the 1W MACD was on a decreasing rate, as the red histogram shows, while the 1W RSI formed an identical print. After a rejection on the Lower Highs trend-line, Bitcoin broke below the 1W MA100 and dropped significantly, forming the lowest RSI level. That started a Higher Lows (RSI) trend-line, which is holding to this day. At the same time the MACD has flattened. It is also interesting to see that the duration from the RSI Low up until the Bearish Cross between the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100 was 12 weeks in 2022 and 13 weeks in 2015. Again almost perfect symmetry between the two fractals. ** Where are we today? ** Getting closer to today, this time BTC maintains a considerably distance from its 1W MA50 (roughly at 26700 now) that it was in May/ June 2015 after breaking above the Lower Highs (dashed) trend-line. A rejection on the 1W MA50 caused one last low before the recovery started with Bitcoin never looking back on Higher Highs and Higher Lows. This time however the MACD is already near the same distance as in July 2015. The last low in August 2015 was 18 weeks after the 1W MA50/100 Bearish Cross. Today, we are on the 17th week since the September 05 2022 1W MA50/100 Bearish Cross. Does this mean that the recovery is imminent? It looks like even with a few weeks of delay, Bitcoin may be close to starting the first rally of the next Bull Cycle and never look back. Do you agree? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
Will Bitcoin rise back above 20k in the start of 2023?In the past months, Bitcoin trading was boring, to say the least with the ranges becoming smaller and smaller. However, the recent low is above the previous one which could be an indication of some gains in store for the main crypto. More, since mid-December BtcUsd formed a double bottom with confirmation above 17k. A break above this pattern could lead to a rise at 18k resistance and in the longer term, would confirm 16k as a higher low and Bitcoin could rise even to 21k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
25
BITCOIN The January effect. Bottom's in?January of 2023 finds Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on an interesting place. There is a recurring pattern on every BTC Cycle in relation to the January after a Bear Market. As this 1W chart shows, every time Bitcoin is sitting within the MA350 (green trend-line) and Multiple 2 (blue trend-line), the market has already formed its Bottom and the price either consolidates or starts rising almost immediately. This has previously happened on January 2019, January 2015 and January 2015. After the price broke above Multiple 2, it never looked back (exception COVID March 2020 Black Swan event) and rose for 1.5 - 2 years. At the time of the January bottoms, the PSO was historically oversold at -1.00. Same level it is now. Do you think we have a new "January effect" and the market has bottomed? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
17
BITCOIN Happy New Year! 2023 the Year of Recovery?First and foremost on this second trading day of 2023, the TradingShot team would like to wish everyone on this community a Happy New Year, may each and everyone's goals be achieved! 2022 ended, took a whole of negative fundamentals with it (war, LUNA, FTX) and closed the yearly candle in (deep) red. As you see on this 12M (12 month) time-frame, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) had another two red 12M candles throughout its history and naturally those were the Bear Cycle years. Three green yearly candles followed after 2014 just as another three after the 2018 Bear Cycle candle. Technically, the year that follows the red 12M candle is a recovery candle that hits and closes around the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line). That level is currently at 37627.10 and running flat (sideways). Do you expect history to repeat itself following the 2022 Bear Cycle candle and close 2023 around $37k before the Bull Cycle really takes off? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
14
BITCOIN, Wyckoff Dynamics to Setup HUGE ALTERATION!Hello Community, the year 2022 has finished and the start of 2023 has been initiated. The year 2022 was a year of extremely volatile market conditions showing the results of a longer series of economic events like fallouts in supply chains and partial sectors on the verge of a completely new way of overthinking their place in the economy causing the financial markets to reiterate the positions of assets and showing massive disruptions within the financial markets and so also in the cryptocurrency market, huge chain-reaction events triggered massive volatility within the markets and caused the central banks to intervene against inflationary pressures spreading with the roots in several factors which fuel the heavy inflation like energy shortage, monetary expansion, and supply chain disruptions. And in all of this market turmoil remain Bitcoin and the Cryptocurrency market while the price action was highly volatile with many peaks and valleys continuously through the year 2022 the technological adoption and preparedness of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency to be adopted on a mass scale have not declined to pre-levels seen before 2022. Now with these given factors established in 2022 the question of how the dynamics will develop through the next times moving forward into 2023. With this lineup, it is preeminent to consider the technical analysis components as I have done it in my Wyckoff analysis put together the puzzle pieces of fundamentals and market behavior in the visual element of technical price action. In my chart, you can watch the underlying Wyckoff dynamics within the Bitcoin price action and I am going to discuss them in the following, where Bitcoin is standing now out of the Wyckoff perspective and what movements are likely to be expected when applying the Wyckoff projections during the current market phase. Completed Phases Phase A: Within the first phase of the Wyckoff accumulation dynamics to be watched with Bitcoin massive selling pressure hit the market and Bitcoin moved into important support zones to first establish the PS- Preliminary Support point where Bitcoin moved into previous supports and an initial inner price action bounce has showed up indicating that the area between $19,500 and $20,500 can be a good point of support for a potential reversal. Once Bitcoin completed the PS Bitcoin moved into the final SC- Selling Climax point where the most selling pressure in the whole structure unloaded in the price action and Bitcoin reached the initial low of $17,700 from where the first bounce emerged. Now the AR- Automatic Rally was driven by investor's and trader's silver lining to see a fast and strong recovery in the whole cryptocurrency market and a relief rally because of faster Web3, Metaverse, and NFT adoption and developments, this rally has been partially fulfilled with some solid volume coming in to establish new highs that preceded the PS lows. Phase B: The second phase B has been the phase in which the market literally prepared on the FTX collapse that caused Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies to dump sharply. The significant factor here is the 40- Moving Average of Bitcoin because the price action the whole time stayed below the 40-MA marked in blue in my chart this was the first important indication for Bitcoin to dump more sharply as Bitcoin did not managed to form new highs and indeed this was also a difficult time as the market also struggled because of the Luna, Celsius, and Voyager Digital crashes aftereffects. And then the final trigger for the massive dump and sharp decline to the downside has been the final FTX collapse with the information of misuse of customer funds in the FTX exchange the market reacted immediately on this news and Bitcoin as well as the whole Cryptocurrency price plummeted heavily to initiate the phase C in the Wyckoff accumulation dynamic. Phase C: This is the most determining phase in the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic to watch in my Bitcoin price chart because after the heavy FTX collapse the market managed to hold crucial support below the previous support level at the $15,500 zone and do not break below this level which was an important sign of strength within the market and Bitcoin showing that there is still potential for a reversal after the market crashes. while data showed that Bitcoin holders accumulate further Bitcoin and smart money market operator's open interest also increases in Bitcoin this caused the main stabilization in this area and Bitcoin initially rallied to test the previous support which is now still resistance at the $18,000 level. what is important in this phase C is also that right after the market crashed major volume moved into the market and caused the initial price rally, higher volume at such lower prices is always an central indicator of price stabilization. Upcoming Phases Phase D1: Now as Bitcoin initiated the final test of the spring which is the most determining part of the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic this is a phase where Bitcoin is finally in the end-stage of the decision phase and when Bitcoin managed to bounce in this test area again and show a solid support dynamic from where Bitcoin breaks out above the $18,200 level this will be the sign that Bitcoin has the abilities to continue further and finish the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic as it is appropriate. Also a really paramount factor, in this case, will be the fact that when Bitcoin bounces above the $18,200 level this will be a setup from where Bitcoin also bounced above the 40-MA marking a final reversal of the 40-MA as the resistance and confirming it as support. With this setup, Bitcoin will provide the final cornerstone of a further completion of the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic. Phase D2 and Phase E: As phase D is the phase in which Bitcoin shows the final completion of the whole accumulation the second stage of phase D is where the initiation process into a new volatility area is going to emerge. Once Bitcoin has finalized the test and the breakout above the $18,200 zone together with the 40-MA this will be the point where Bitcoin is likely to bounce above the $21,400 resistance and above this area forming an LPS- Last Point of Supply in which Bitcoin will have good chances to stay above the previous resistance and confirm it as support, also a goos factor, in this case, will be when Bitcoin increases the volume moving forward to offer a final bounce into the upper areas and showing an SOS- Sign of Strength in which the volatility, price action, and volume should bounce massively to complete the whole Wyckoff accumulation with the final breakout into the phase E and continuation of the established positive trend dynamics. Now as I described the underlying factors of the Bitcoin Wyckoff accumulation dynamics going on here we can already see that Bitcoin is moving into a really interesting and amazing decision phase in which Bitcoin will decide if the ability to convert into a massive expansion potential despite seemingly negative macroeconomic developments will unfold again as it happened several times in the past. What has to be mentioned is that this is not the first time Bitcoin is in such a market phase and it always turned out to be a silver lining as Bitcoin and the Cryptocurrency market always managed to come back stronger as established before and return to new heights. Especially as inflation is on a way to lower levels than established during 2022 and the FED looking to slow down more aggressive rate hikes this has good potential to be an additional positive factor contributing to the fact that Bitcoin completes the Wyckoff accumulation dynamic as it is projected. I am going to monitor the dynamic and see how the developments move in the further trading sessions. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching. Hopefully, everybody of you had a good start to the New Year of 2023 and in this manner let us move into the New Year together and celebrate a New Year also for Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency. The information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
by VincePrince
30
BITCOIN always rallied when these 3 indicators alignedThis is our last Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart for 2022 and brings together the CN10Y (purple line), the U.S. Dollar Index (green trend-line) and the LTCBTC pair (orange trend-line). We've mentioned countless times in the past the importance of the DXY on Bitcoin and the strong effect that Litecoin (LTC) has as a leading indicator. Recently we've also made cases of the strong correlation of China's Bond Yields with BTC. This cross study brings together all three and compares their price action against BTC. As you see, since BTC's early days, every time the CN10Y made a V-shaped reversal and started to rebound breaking its Lower Highs trend-line, while the DXY started to fall after a rejection on its Higher Highs trend-line and the LTCBTC pair broke above its Falling Wedge, Bitcoin was in the early stages of a hyper aggressive rally. With the stock markets not at their best but having posted a 2 month recovery, while the cryptocurrency market's credibility viciously hammered by the FTX and LUNA collapses, will this strong 3 indicator emergence be enough to put Bitcoin back into long-term bullish territory? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN The complete Cycle mapping. Will you miss out on this?This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame. The current and past Cycles have been classified into Bull (green Channel) and Bear (red Channel). With an (unorthodox) use of the Pitchfan we identified the key trend-lines that have historically shaped both Bull and Bear Cycles and might continue to do so in the future. The recent Bear Cycle has been driven by the 0.7 Pitchfan F (dotted). The new Bull Cycle should evolve around the 1.0 PF (solid blue) as the last two have mostly traded below their respective lines but peaked exactly after hitting them. This is of particular interest to us as the 1.0 (Bull Cycle) blue line leads to the 0.8 (Bear Cycle) orange line. Long-term investors should consider their crossing as the High of the next Bull Cycle may form there. As to when to buy? Well where couldn't be a better time than now. The recent FTX low has been 1428 days since the bottom of the 2018 Bear Cycle, which is the exact same time as it took itself from the previous (2014) Cycle. Moreover the STOCH RSI is at the level where BTC historically bottomed and started the new Bull Cycle. Do you think this is a unique long-term buy opportunity for Bitcoin and if so can the next top be near 200k? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
14
BITCOIN has always started a rally when Dow did this.This is the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI) against Bitcoin (BTCUSD) illustrated by the black trend-line. Every since September and the touch of its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), Dow has been rallying, having recovered more than 50% of the 2022 losses. With regards to Bitcoin, perhaps the most important development is that Dow is rebounding after its 2M RSI bounced off the Support that is holding for more than 10 years (since 2011). This level has always started BTC's strong rally within Dow's Secular Macro Bull Cycle (SMBC). At the same time the LMACD made a Bullish Cross shortly after. Right now the indicator is close to making the first Bullish Cross since October 2020. Is this time different? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJI
by TradingShot
9
BITCOIN: Local Update, Next Formation to Point to Final Setup!Hello Community, Welcome to this Update-Analysis of Bitcoin on the local timeframe perspective of mine. Since my recent analysis of the local timeframe perspective of Bitcoin, the major inverse head-and-shoulder formation I mentioned has finally been completed and Bitcoin moved on to reach out to all projected target zones appropriately. To have a better view on the technical developments going on here I changed the timeframe from the 2-hour to the 4-hour timeframe perspective as the formation Bitcoin is forming here has extended. As when looking at my chart now we can watch there how Bitcoin since moving into the final inverse head-and-shoulder target zones has firstly pulled back below the ascending trendline again and is now forming an interesting decisive formation from where further determinations need to be awaited. Especially important in this case is the $16740 support marked in my chart in orange which is also the price equilibrium of the channel Bitcoin is forming in this area. The Price-Equilibrium-Channel marked in orange in my chart is the region from where Bitcoin will show up with the final breakout either in the upper or lower direction. Now it is essential to notice here that Bitcoin has still strong support confirmed by the 60-MA and as long as Bitcoin is holding above this support it is a base from where Bitcoin has a higher likelihood possibility to build upon and form a final bullish breakout as seen in my chart rather than breaking to the downside and confirming the MA as resistance. Therefore as long as Bitcoin remains above the support zone the possibility for a final breakout is 65% and if this scenario emerges Bitcoin will run into the $17600 resistance again, if Bitcoin manages to breakout above this resistance there are even more potentials activated. For now the final confirmation will point to the final scenario and once this happened further conclusions are going to arise. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching. Let's move forward together. The information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
by VincePrince
5
The AMAZING BITCOIN MERRY CHRISTMAS CYCLE!Hello Community, Welcome to this Merry Christmas View 2022 on Bitcoin of mine. The year of 2022 is nearing to be completed and to this occasion, Bitcoin is on the edge to a historical pattern to start again, this pattern is what I have detected in analyzing the Bitcoin chart and this pattern is pointing out that Bitcoin is building this paramount Merry Christmas Cycle which already completed three times in Bitcoins past always completing with a historical high on the Christmas Period of each ending cycle. Also when looking at my chart we can watch there that within each cycle Bitcoin is forming several new all-time highs each one formed within the Christmas Eve of each year. An amazing characteristic of each cycle is also that within the beginning of the cycle marked with the letter A in my chart a new low is formed which ends the bear market and starts the new Christmas Cycle. Therefore, as Christmas is emerging this year again this means that the cycle is likely to start from this point on again as seen in my chart, and in this context, the projection of the cycle expansion is also seen in my chart with Bitcoin to touch the upper boundary of the ascending channel again with the ending of the fourth historical Christmas Cycle. The important thing here with the underlying empirical significance of the cycle is that it always worked perfectly in the past which means that there is a very high possibility given that Bitcoin shows up with the exact same cycle again. Especially when the lower ascending trendline of the huge ascending channel holds in the next months it will be a sure indication for the cycle to have emerged again and to continue over the upcoming Christmas Eves. In any case it will be a very interesting time ahead for Bitcoin and the whole Cryptocurrency market as Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency are being more and more adopted in the classical financial economy there is a solid reason to constitute that the Cryptocurrency journey has not even reached its climax yet. In this manner, a Merry Christmas to everybody, have a joyful time with you and your families to unwrap the delights of Christmas! The information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by VincePrince
34
BITCOIN - One Channel, Two Breakout Scenarios!Hello Community, the year of 2023 is coming to an end and before the year is ending I spotted major signs in Bitcoin that will build the cornerstones for the Bitcoin price action development moving forward into 2023. These signs are what I am going to discuss in this analysis. If you already watched my previous ideas you already saw that there are massive bullish indications on the more middle and long-term perspective with Bitcoin having the potential to show up with a huge rally moving into the weeks and months of 2023. Nevertheless, on the more shorter term perspectives there are still fluctuations and potentials of volatility developments into both directions till Bitcoin finally found the trend that will complete the paramount formation on the long term. Therefore, as when looking at my chart we can watch there how Bitcoin is trading in this major parallel channel formation that is inclined to the upside with support within the lower boundary and resistance within the upper boundary. Now what is important here to notice is that Bitcoin has a stronger support within the lower boundary as it bounced there more often and the buying volume is also higher than the selling volume. This means that there is a solid potential given for Bitcoin to finally bounce above the primary desceding resistance line marked in red which will create the first bearish invalidation. When Bitcoin settles above this area there are further bullish potentials given otherwise when this does not happen and Bitcoin confirms the resistance this will result in the invalidation of the bullish scenario and completion of the whole channel as a bear-flag. Taking these two scenarios into perspective the bullish scenario currently has a higher possibility given nevertheless this can change also again if Bitcoin should show up with more intense selling pressure. In any case, what is necessary here is to await the final confirmations with Bitcoin either breaking out the upper resistance or the lower support till further measurements can be made. Once the final confirmation has settled the percentage height of the channel formation can be used as a measurement to the final target zone of the breakout this will result in a target of $18,000 when the bullish breakout settles and a target of $14,000 when the bearish breakout settles. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, Let's move forward together. The information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
by VincePrince
7
BITCOIN The RSI is the key and is hanging from a thread.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1D time-frame is consolidating while the RSI just bounced on its Higher Lows trend-line that started after the FTX crash (November 09). This is as tight as it can get in terms of a Support as throughout the whole year, when the RSI broke below its Higher Lows, the price dropped aggressively (red zones). Right now we are on a hold or break point. Do you think this pattern will continue and a break below the RSI Higher Lows will deliver a new drop of at least -26% (that would push the price to around 13500) or this time is different? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
10
Bitcoin could rise above 20k in medium termBack at the beginning of November, Bitcoin has broken under important 18k zone support and had 2 or 3 spikes under 16k. The drop was expected, considering that it was the fourth month of consolidation before the break. However, the main crypto didn't continue to drop as low as one would expect and instead bounced back up from 16k. This for me is a bullish sign and a relief rally could come next. Technically, 16k offers support, and 18k and slightly above zone is resistance. In the eventuality of a new rise and test of this resistance, I expect a break above, and bulls could look for a rise to the next important level at around 21k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4
BITCOIN Has a mountain to climb but theres light down the tunnelIndeed Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is far from being at its best shape as not onlt was it rejected last week on the 2D MA50 (blue trend-line) but the RSI did so also on a Resistance Zone holding since last March. The pattern since the June low is a Falling Wedge and that won't seen to be able to break to the upside unless the price breaks above the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) which by the first week of January should enter the Falling Wedge. Only then, after breaking this trend-line that has been intact since December 31 2021, can we expect Bitcoin to turn bullish long-term. Until then, the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Falling Wedge poses as the next rejection point/ Resistance. The only indication showing that there may be light down the tunnel for Bitcoin is the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). This has been dropping significantly since September 26 and even though as you see on the chart they have a negative correlation, Bitcoin broke this after the FTX crash. With the Dollar continuing to drop, it would appear that when the crypto market gets past this fundamental effect of fear and uncertainty it left, it will shoot up aggressively to cover the lost ground to the upside. Do you think the market is far from getting back to normal again and capitalize the Dollar drop? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN 50% of stocks above 1D MA200 = RallyThis is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame compared to the S&P500 index (SPX) illustrated by the blue trend-line. The indicator below (black trend-line) shows that historically when 50% of the S&P500 stocks break above their 1D MA200, both Bitcoin and the S&P500 start a rally soon. Initially a few weeks of volatility takes place but the process already kicks in. Bitcoin's RSI is displayed in orange to give a better perspective of where we could be historically compared to prior bottoms. As you see, it tends to lag behind the stocks' indicator when it breaks above 50% . Do you think the pattern will be repeated again? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN Pivot rejection, important 4H MA50 test! Buy or sell?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) immediately got rejected upon entering the 18200 - 18900 Pivot Zone (blue), which as we mentioned in our previous analysis was the former Support Zone from June until November (having multiple rebounds/ circles) now turned into a Resistance. The price broke again below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is headed towards the Support of the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). This is a critical Support level as within the greater Falling Wedge pattern that started on the June 18 Low, every time the price broke below it after a Lower High, a major sell-off was initiated. However all Lower Highs (peaks) within the Falling Wedge, have take place after BTC broke above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), even marginally (green circles - August 15, September 13 and November 05). This hasn't happened yet on this Nov/ Dec rally and the 1D MA100 is currently just above yesterday's peak, inside the Pivot Zone and a little lower than the Falling Wedge's top (Lower Highs trend-line). As a result, unless the 4H MA50 breaks, we still believe there is (at least) some upside left on this BTC rally. Perhaps the 1D RSI can give an additional edge to finding the top after it enters its Resistance Zone. Below the 4H MA50, we expect 16000 to be tested while even a Lower Low on the Wedge's bottom is possible. As for the long-term, only a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which is unbroken for nearly 1 year (since December 31 2021), can restore the bullish trend and confirm the new Bull Cycle. So what do you think? Is there one left High to make or Bitcoin will break below the 4H MA50 first? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN Can a 5th straight monthly inflation drop save the day??The talk of the day is the U.S. CPI which moments ago came out lower than expected (7.1% against a 7.3% forecast), marking the 5th straight month that inflation dropped. This is in fact the 2nd straight month of lower than expected CPI. The question is, will this be enough to mark the end of the Bear Cycle on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and save the day? Well that also depends on the Fed which tomorrow decides upon the new Interest Rate. Technically though, BTC broke today above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in over 1 month (since November 08) and the FTX crash. Even though that is a strong bullish signal alone on the short-term, the picture is more complicated on the long-term. As you see, the price has been trading within a Channel Down since the July 26 low. The RSI on the 1W time-frame though has been on a Channel Up, signaling a Bullish Divergence here, potentially hinting to a long-term bullish break-out. Until then, the focus is on the Resistance levels in the form of the Fibonacci levels within this Channel Down. But perhaps the biggest pressure will be on the (red) Pivot Zone, which from June 18 until November 08 had multiple test and hold events, and now is the Symmetrical Resistance. A break above should happen at the same time the price breaks above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. Beyond that point, we will be looking for a break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to confirm the uptrend, as it has been untouched for nearly 1 year (since December 31 2021). That would target the 22800 Resistance (1) and 25275 Resistance (2) on the medium-term. On the other hand, a Pivot and Channel top rejection will be a bearish signal targeting at least the 0.5 Channel Fib. Which scenario do you think is more likely? Is the CPI and Fed coming to the rescue? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN Historical Buy Signal is flashingBitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on the 1W MA350 (red trend-line) following the FTX crash. A rare indicator, the Gaussian Channel (GC), remains red but based on previous Cycles, by the time it turns green, Bitcoin already has the first mini rally of the new Bull Cycle. The previous two GC Cycles from the end of the previous red period to the end of the next red period extended for 1260 and 1280 days respectively. If the 1280 day max is repeated during this Cycle also then the GC should flash green by January 30 2023. That means that historically there isn't much time left to start the 1st rally of the new Bull Cycle. Also by using the Fibonacci extension and retracement levels we see that the first two Cycles topped a little over the 1.414 Fib extension, while the bottoms of the first three Cycles have been above the 0.618 Fib retracement level. As diminishing returns are in effect on each Cycle, which in theory should narrow Bitcoin's channel long-term, the last Cycle topped lower on the 1.236 Fib (which is where the last High before the Top was formed in the previous two Cycles). If the channel does narrow down, then we bottom should also be higher and the next candidate would be the 0.5 Fib, which is slightly below the recent November low. With the Gaussian Channel pattern pointing to the 1st rally soon, the MA350 holding and the 0.5 Fib potentially the new Cyclical Support, we have perhaps the strongest buy signal of this Cycle flashing right now. Do you think that's the best time to buy? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
20
BITCOIN and S&P500 Has a 10 year Bull phase just started?A 1 year correction which is nothing but common throughout Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) existence, has done its work well in spreading fear and doubt at the market during this inflationary stock crisis in 2022. In times like this what helps the most is to maintain a long-term perspective and look at how history reacted in similar situations. We thought that nothing can help us get a better grasp at the situation than look into how Bitcoin compares to the major stock index the S&P500 (SPX). On this 1M time-frame, Bitcoin is displayed by the orange trend-line while the S&P500 by the blue. We are looking into the S&P500's price action since the Great Depression. As you see the index repeats through history four major phases: * The Bear Phase (red), where the index gets into a Megaphone pattern and has two major correction sequences. It breaks initially below the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) and then below the 1M MA200 (black trend-line). * The Accumulation Phase (blue), where the index starts recovering from the Bear Phase and breaks above both the 1M MA100 and MA200, turning sideways. This is technically the most efficient/ earliest available level to enter the market. * The Expansion Phase (yellow), where the index established trading above the 1M MA100/200 (never breaks them until the next Bear Phase) and makes the first multi-year rise. This Phase is marked by three "smaller" correction periods (red ellipses). * The Bull Phase (green), where the index recovers from the last small correction and rises aggressively to form the top before the new Bear Phase. It tends to last around 10 years. This year's correction (2022) is the third one of the Expansion Phase and as the price remains above the 1M MA100, it is more likely that with the correction already completed, S&P500 has entered its new Bull Phase. The chart clearly shows that Bitcoin's 12 year period of immense growth has only been during the S&P500's Accumulation and Expansion Phases. This suggests that we may haven't seen yet it's strongest growth to come during the stock market's new Bull Phase! The correlation of Bitcoin's tops and bottoms to those of the S&P500 is more than obvious. Most market participants say that this time is different due to the soaring inflation and aggressive rate hikes. But hasn't this also been the narrative in the late 70s? Still the market found the mechanisms to grow in the Expansion Phase that followed and the new technologies (internet etc) to inflate it to immense highs in the 90s until the eventual crashes of the 00s. It may seem like a different reason each time but the behavior is always cyclical with repeating patterns and phases, the narrative in the past 100 years can be whatever the news decide it to be. But the market will continue printing and printing the same patterns as human behavior stays the same. So what do you think, are we about to witness the growth of a lifetime on both Bitcoin and stocks in the next 10 years? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
SP:SPXLong
by TradingShot
11