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Bitcoinsignals

BITCOIN The Volatility Index points to strong consolidation nextLast time we analyzed Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in relation to the Volatility Index (VIX), was 4 months ago (August 22, see chart below) and was an extremely successful projection as we took advantage of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bottom and predicted the $100k Target, which recently got hit: Once more, we decided to seek the (mostly) negatively correlated patterns of VIX (chart on the right) to determine BTC's (chart on the left) price action in the coming months. Based on VIX's Channel Down, the fact that it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and now is rebounding indicates that BTC may be entering a weekly consolidation phase. As you can see on VIX's chart, every time it broke below the 1W MA50 and started rising, Bitcoin entered a multi-week consolidation phase that sometimes was quick and others many months in length. Its 1W RSI is also at a level that relates to all those consolidation phases. In our opinion this consolidation has more probabilities of being similar to December 04 2023 - January 29 2024, as the post August 2024 rally resembles more the rally that started on August 2023. This highlights the high degree of symmetry within Bitcoin's 2-year Channel Up. If it continues to replicate that huge Bullish Leg, then we might as well see the rally peaking upon a +195.27% rise again. That could target $145000 by May 2025, which technically would also be marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci Channel extension, similar to the March 11 2024 High. So what do you think? Is it possible for Bitcoin to enter a multi-week consolidation now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
4
Bullish Patterns and Bitcoin: A Roadmap to $125KAs anticipated by many, following Trump’s election, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge. On November 14th, it encountered its first notable correction during this upward momentum. In early December, Bitcoin crossed the critical 100k milestone for the first time. However, this achievement was followed by a swift pullback. Since then, dips have consistently been met with strong buying activity, and as of now, the price has stabilized comfortably above this key psychological level. The price action since mid-November reveals the formation of an ascending channel, a technical pattern that historically suggests a 70% probability of continuation to the upside. A decisive breakout above 107k could confirm this bullish scenario, with a measured target for the next leg up around 125k if the pattern fulfills its statistical expectation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Bitcoin Analysis ==>>Ready for Correction!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the Resistance zone($102,280-$101,000) . (We saw the fake break ). According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing 5 impulsive waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . Signs of the completion of the main wave 5 in the one-hour time frame: 1-BTC broke the Uptrend lines . 2- Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern formation 3- Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least the Support zone($99,600-$98,000) in the coming hours . ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $102,540, we should expect a new All-Time High(ATH).⚠️ ⚠️Note: If the Support zone($99,600-$98,000) is broken, we should wait for Bitcoin to fall at least to $96,500.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
37
BITCOIN The three Expansion Phases of the Cycle.We have talked about Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hitting the $100k Target on numerous analyses and one of those was almost 4 months ago (August 26, see chart below), where we introduced the 2-year Channel Up, which has been the dominant pattern since the very beginning of the new Bull Cycle: That piece of analysis was on the 1M time-frame but today we will examine it from the 1W perspective as the horizon narrows. We have made some slight modifications and the one that stands out is that we've classified it on Expansion Phases. The key characteristic of those was the mid-Phase consolidation, which on the previous 2 took place within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range, while the 1W RSI also turned sideways for the first time since the Channel Up bottomed. With this marker, the consolidation phase is easily identifiable and according to it, we are currently on once. As a result, we can assume that we are within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib range of Expansion Phase 3. This indicates that there is still plenty of room to rise. Based on that, a $150k Target is technically plausible before Summer. So do you expect to reach 150000 so fast, if we do at all during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
22
BITCOIN This is why $250k is a Cycle Top candidateBitcoin (BTCUSD) is now cruising on the Bull Cycle's most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally. We got the final confirmation as it broke above and now established the 1st Standard Deviation from Above (grey trend-line) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) as the new Support. Having already broken above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, every time BTC flipped the 1st SD into Support while above the ATH, it hit at least the 2nd SD (orange trend-line) before the Cycle Top was priced. This level is currently at $181700 but rising along with the trend What adds a more specific dynamic to the potential Cycle Top though, is that during Bitcoin's 11-year Higher Lows trend-line growth, it posted rallies of at least +1719% on each Cycle. As the Cycles progressed and due to the Law of Diminishing Returns, this rally started lower each time. This shows the great significance of this rally and as a result, on the current Cycle with can estimate from its very bottom (November 2022). This suggests that we can reach at least $250k before or around the time the 2nd SD is tested. In addition, all Cycles have topped after the 1M RSI makes contact with its historic Lower Highs trend-line. So what do you think? Is $250k a strong candidate for a Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
13
Bitcoin Analysis==>>FallingBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is breaking the Support zone($99,600-$98,620) and the lower line of the Descending channel . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin was able to complete Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to fal l at least as far as the width of the descending channel(broken) . ⚠️Note: We can expect more pumps if Bitcoin goes over $99,900. ⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
33
Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum? Correction to 85K LikelyYesterday, Bitcoin experienced another drop, falling from above 100K and reaching a low of just over 94K, briefly touching the ascending trendline that dates back to the time of Trump’s election. While the price action since November 5 has been characterized by higher highs and higher lows—usually a sign of bullish momentum—the broader structure appears to signal a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin is struggling to sustain its highs, raising doubts about its ability to maintain upward momentum, at least for now. Although a new all-time high remains a possibility, I believe it is unlikely that Bitcoin will hold gains above 100K for an extended period. Instead, the more probable scenario involves a correction toward the 85K level. A critical area to monitor lies between 92,500 and 93,000. A decisive break below this support zone would confirm my bearish outlook and could signal the beginning of a deeper correction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
BITCOIN nothing to stop it now! Can top anywhere inside 250-400kMore than 1 year ago (September 05 2023, see chart below), we published the following Bitcoin (BTCUSD) idea, which very illustratively presented the potential course of the new Bull Cycle: As you can see, BTC managed to trade an entire year rising within this green Arc pattern and always below the Cyclical Pivot trend-line that emerged from the bottom of the 2018 Bear Cycle. We made the last update on this chart last August (20 2024), where we called the end of the 5-month correction since March and the start of the new Phase (final Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle. ** The key hold of the 1W MA50 ** The key for that call was the fact that the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) held twice during the August sell-off and supported. As you can see, on all of BTC Bull Cycles, the 1W MA50 has been supporting post Halving and never broke until after the Top and the start of the new Bear Cycle. ** Symmetry of pre and post-Having ** Given that historically the Bull Cycle lasts post-Halving almost the time it lasted from the bottom to the Halving, we should expect its top around December 2025 - January 2026 and if it is on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line, then it could be as high as 400k. However, even on a less optimistic scenario where it lasts 1064 days (152 weeks) from the Bottom (not counting FTX crash), like the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can expect a peak a little over $200000 on the Cyclical Pivot trend-line. ** The 1W RSI series of Tops ** It is important to notice that the 1W RSI is recovering from the overbought volatility correction, having dropped from a massively overbought 88.50 High (March 04) to a practically bearish 45.00 Low (September 02). As this chart shows, BTC tends to top on levels similar to the first 1W RSI of the Cycle, so there is still a lot of way to go before it tops, especially if it follows the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, which had four almost symmetrical such Tops. But what do you think? Are you also expecting Bitcoin to top anywhere within a $250 - $400k range? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
Bitcoin is going to the Moon PART 2! [S #3 B]How nice, hit all 3 targets from the original post in not even 2 days... NOW FOR PART TWO! I have added a few more targets, TP4, TP5, and TP6. We are currently going up high in altitude and going to be reaching our planet's atmosphere very soon! We should the reach the moon in no time! Bitcoin may dip a bit from the current price but should still make a new ATH. I will be going a bit into what I call my "special indicator" that successfully helped me make the last few recent signals. I call it "MarketAnalyzer FX Alpha 1" and it honestly has been doing a splendid job. It is pointing upwards for Bitcoin, hopefully it won't take too long to hit our next target. Entry: ***USE LOW LEVERAGE IF ANY AT ALL*** $79,200-$80,000 (Original posts entry) If you have not entered yet, new entry could be $86,000-$89,000 TP1: $82,742 ✅ TP2: $85,132 ✅ TP3: $82,742 ✅ TP4: $90,800 TP5: $98,200 TP6: $110,000 For those that have the good entry of $79k-$80k I would move SL to entry. If entering the current entry point, $85,000. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by MarketAnalyzerFX
Bitcoin Roadmap==>>Short term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to pump up late yesterday with the following three News and the important resistance of $100,000 seems to be broken: 1- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: Bitcoin is like gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), not dollars. 2- President Putin says, “Bitcoin, Digital Assets will continue to develop". 3- 'Who's Laughing Now?' NYC Mayor Eric Adams Boasts About Bitcoin Paychecks ⚠️Note: As I said in previous posts, the crypto market has become more dependent on the news and reacts to any development or news in the world, so capital management should be observed more than before.⚠️ Let's now look at the analysis of Bitcoin after yesterday's pump . Bitcoin is currently moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support zone($99,600-$98,620) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 , and we should wait for the start of wave 5 . The wave 4 structure is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) . I expect Bitcoin to start increasing again after the end of wave 4 and attack the Resistance line . If the resistance line breaks, it can at least go up to the previous top($104,088) . ⚠️Note: We should wait for Bitcoin to fall further if Bitcoin goes below the Support line and the Support zone($99,600-$98,620).⚠️ ⚠️Note: Due to the Sharpie movement of wave 3, BTC may not even create a new All-Time High(ATH) (wave 5 will be Truncated). ⚠️ 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
12
BITCOIN Where were you when it broke $100000 ??It is officially history! Bitcoin (BTCUSD) finally broke the ultimate (until the next one!) psychological level of $100000. A price tag that was discussed as myth/ desire/ utopia not so many years ago. Perhaps the level that will go down in history as the future global currency's transition from its retail to the institutional phase (thanks Blackrock!) and on its way towards an eventual mass adoption (Amazon, X, Netflix and others are you listening?). Well this post isn't an analysis. It's a festive one, a well deserved round of victory for HODLers who ignored for so many year the pessimists, the negative ones, the "Bitcoin is a scam", "Bitcoin is a fraud", "Bitcoin is going to zero" ones and kept holding. And those who will keep holding until perhaps $1000000? Who knows? Who can now deny it?? Well, lets have it. In the future you are going to hear the following a lot. "Where were you daddy/ mommy/ grandpa/ grandma, when Bitcoin broke $100000?" Indeed, and it will be a valid question. This will be bigger than the classics of why didn't you buy Amazon, Google etc in the late 90s/ early 00s. Or Gold in the early 1900s (yes great grandpa, that's for you!). So let's wrap it up and this is a call for all of you to answer it and make a fun discussion in the comments section below: " WHAT WERE YOU DOING WHEN BITCOIN BROKE $100k??? " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
20
BITCOIN repeating the November 2023 Channel and targets $140kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up in the past three weeks, basically for the majority of the month of November, following the U.S. elections. It may been struggling currently to break above the $100000 psychological barrier but historical patterns are in favor of a break-out as the very same Channel Up was formed exactly 1 year ago and paved the way for the March 14 2024 High. ** August 2023 vs August 2024 ** As you can see basically, BTC's whole sequence since the August 05 2024 Low is very similar to the one that started again a year before that in August 2023. The similarities are uncanny. Both fractals started with an August decline below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), bottoming inside a Cup pattern that initiated an Accumulation Process. At the same time, the 1D RSI was waving a Bullish Divergence as it has been rising on Higher Lows. ** Golden Cross to November Channel Up ** A 1D Golden Cross was formed right when the November Channel Up patterns emerged. By that time, the price was already on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of the August decline. At the moment we are on the stage past a 1D MACD Death Cross, which led to a December bullish break-out to a new High. ** Next step = $140k ** A mere test of the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, would translate to a $140k price tag on Bitcoin. Based on the striking similarities and extremely high degree of symmetry with the pattern a year ago, it may become a reality as early as February 2025. But what do you think? Is symmetry with last year about to kick in and force a bullish break-out to 140k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN $150k doesn't seem so unrealistic now, does it?Almost 4 months ago (August 14, see chart below), we made a bold prediction of a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) target at $150000 by early 2025, while the price was still at $60k: This was received with a lot of skepticism at the time but with the price now almost on the $100k psychological barrier, the idea looks more and more realistic. It is time to revisit this chart and made some slight modifications based on the price action that was followed. The price is now off the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range where it consolidated from March 2024 until October 2024. The enormous rise/ break-out is attributed of course to a large extent on the U.S. elections and the euphoria that followed. We are only 1 month outside this range and the price is already much higher. Last month's candle is very similar to November 2020 and May 2017. In comparison, that was when the most aggressive (parabolic) rallies of those Bull Cycles started. In 2017 from May to December, it was on a 71.5° angle. On the next Cycle from November 2020 to April 2021, it was on a 68.5° angle, i.e. 3° lower. If that's a progression by any means, then we can assume that the 2024 - 2025 parabolic rally could be on a 65.5° angle (-3° from the previous Cycle). That gives a potential target of $300k as early as May 2025, assuming we could have a Double Top Cycle as in 2021. In any case, it will be interesting to see if the current Cycle also makes a blow-off top (like the last two) outside/ above the Channel Up that started back on the December 2013 High. Unrealistic as it may seem now, the $150k Target is very plausible technically as it is just below the top of that multi-year Channel Up. If the $300k blow-off top (red Arcs) comes, then all the better, but a long-term investor may consider to start taking profits while the price is inside the Channel Up and starts being cautious once we break above it in the red Arcs. So what do you think? Do you view $150k as technically realistic as this pattern indicates? And if so, can Bitcoin even make a blow-off top near $300k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
21
Bitcoin will Go Down Again!?Yesterday's data, including GDP , Core PCE , and Unemployment Claims , indicate persistent inflationary pressures and a relatively strong U.S. labor market. This could increase the likelihood of continued hawkish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve , typically strengthening the dollar and putting downward pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) . Conversely, if markets interpret these figures as nearing the end of the Fed's rate hike cycle , it could be a bullish signal for Bitcoin . Bitcoin has managed to break the Ascending Channel in the last two days. (as I expected in the previous post ). Currently, Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($97,642-$97,180) and near the lower line of the ascending channel and Important Resistance line . Yesterday's upward movement can be considered a pullback to the ascending channel (broken). One of the signs of the completion of a pullback can be the Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern ( You can see this pattern in the 4-hour time frame ). According to the theory of Elliott waves, Bitcoin seems to be completing a corrective wave , a Zigzag corrective(ABC) wave structure. Also, considering that USDT.D%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) will again follow an upward trend and BTC.D%( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) will follow a downward trend , Bitcoin may be corrected again. Maybe the conditions( In terms of Correction ) of Altcoins will be better than Bitcoin. I expect Bitcoin to start falling again after the pullback completes , and the first target is the CME Gap($93,835-$93,720) , and then attack the Support zone($90,000-$88,700) again. 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 ⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above Resistance zone($97,642-$97,180), we can expect it to touch $100,000.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
51
ETHEREUM Is it copying Bitcoin's 2014/17 Cycle towards $50k???Ethereum (ETHUSD) hasn't yet made a new All Time High (ATH), in contrast to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but that isn't necessarily a negative development as it can highlight its enormous upside potential. ** ETH 2022/25 vs BTC 2014/17 ** A idea that strengthens this notion is today's analysis where you see ETH's current (2022 - 2025) Cycle against BTC's 2014 - 2017. As you can see so far the two Cycle's have been very similar with Ethereum replicating both the Bear Cycle and so far the majority of Bitcoin's past Bull Cycle. ** The Phases ** For more efficient comparison purposes, we have classified the Cycle in phases with the start being the bottom formation (Green Phase) below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and within the 0.236 - 0.0 Fibonacci Zone. That gives way to the 1st rally (Blue Phase) within the 0.5 - 0.236 Fib with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) established as the Support. What follows is the 2nd Rally (Orange Phase) within the 0.786 - 0.5 Fib Zone and consolidation. ** October Bullish Cross and $50k?? ** The October 1W MACD Bullish Cross (Oct 2016 for BTC, Oct 2024 for ETH) signals the transition to the final stage (Yellow Phase) of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally to new ATH. For Bitcoin that peaked near the 2.382 Fibonacci extension. If that seems unrealistic for Ethereum's price today (the 2.382 Fib is just above $50k!!) in terms of market cap (and rightly so) just consider the impact that the ETFs' capital inflows have on the market. It remains to be seen, but nonetheless, ETH has enormous upside from here onwards and we're sure that even a +100% rally from the current price would be welcomed by the majority of the market. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did. Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two. We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest. I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs. Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
2
BITCOIN Happy Thanksgiving with history on Bulls' side!!Happy Thanksgiving to everyone! As every year, we pay our tribute on this day with a historic run of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on Thanksgiving days! Last year (see chart below) we made a $80000 call for today and we couldn't be happier that the market surpassed that: This year we bring you a (much) simpler fact and that's the number of bearish signals on that day. Bitcoin has lived through 14 Thanksgiving days (excluding of course today) and only 3 have resulted in immediate bearish activity (2021, 2014 and 2013). Even the November 23 2017 Thanksgiving that was near the Cycle top, gave another 3 years of +150% gains before peaking. You can see the previous Thanksgivings by scrolling left through the chart but it is obvious that due to BTC's cyclical behavior, the vast majority of Thanksgiving is an excellent time to invest. And today is no different as we still have almost another full year of Bull Cycle ahead of us (even more so its most aggressive part!). Whatever trading actions you decide to make today, we wish you a blessed Thanksgiving! So do you think this is a buy opportunity as history suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN rejected on the 1st real Resistance of the Bull Cycle.Yesterday's brutal Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rejection caught the majority of the market off guard. There are a few fundamental reasons, there is the exhaustion of the post-election euphoria, there is the psychological weight of the $100000 barrier. However there is one major technical reason that has gone under the radar and we'll explain it to you below. ** The Fibonacci Channel and the 0.236 Fib ** As you can see on this chart, the underlying pattern has been a Fibonacci Channel going through the last 3 Cycles (including the current one). The pattern started with a strong rebound on its bottom (green circle) that formed the December 2013 Top. That Cycle Top was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Cycle and that is a level that rejected rallies during Bull Cycles on June 24 2019 and May 11 2024. ** The '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' ** That is the Fib trend-line that (more recently) rejected the uptrend on November 22. We can call this the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' as this is the first major rejection level that a Bull Cycle faces before the eventual Top. That high during the last 2 Cycles has been on the 0.0 Fibonacci level, technically the top of the Channel (red circles). The red spot on the current Cycle in late 2025 doesn't represent a projection but is an illustration for comparison purposes. ** Top timing and the 1W MA50 ** On a side-note, it is interesting to observe that the duration of each of the past Bull Cycles has been roughly 150 weeks (1050 days) so a repeat of this pattern would give us a High towards the end of September/ early October. It is much better to try to time the High and sell that put an actual price tag on it. Equally interesting is the fact that even though BTC is on a technical rejection, the current rally started on the August 05 2024 Low, exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically, as long as this trend-line holds, the cyclical bullish wave should stay intact. But what do you think? Do you think the 0.236 Fib i.e. the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' will extend the correction? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
34
MicroStrategy Acquires 55,500 BTC More Amidst Market Intrigue MicroStrategy, the leading corporate Bitcoin holder, has once again made headlines, acquiring an additional 55,500 BTC for a staggering $5.4 billion between November 18 and 24, 2024. This brings their total holdings to 386,700 BTC, purchased at an average of $56,761 per Bitcoin. As the fourth-largest Bitcoin holder globally, trailing only Satoshi Nakamoto, Binance, and BlackRock, MicroStrategy continues its unwavering commitment to its Bitcoin Strategy, a vision initiated by co-founder Michael Saylor in August 2020. Fundamental Analysis MicroStrategy’s strategic Bitcoin accumulation has solidified its position as a market leader in institutional crypto adoption. This most recent purchase represents a 35.2% quarter-to-date (QTD) and 59.3% year-to-date (YTD) BTC yield, outperforming most traditional financial assets. The market has responded favorably: - MSTR stock surged 6%, indicating investor confidence in the Bitcoin-centric approach. - The company briefly entered the top 100 publicly traded US companies**, showcasing its growing influence. - Speculation is rife regarding its potential inclusion in the **Nasdaq 100** during the annual re-ranking announcement on December 13. In comparison, MARA Holdings, the second-largest Bitcoin-holding public company, remains significantly behind, with only 33,875 BTC. MicroStrategy’s aggressive approach has redefined corporate investment strategies, further legitimizing Bitcoin’s role in financial portfolios. Speculations Around Satoshi Nakamoto Adding intrigue to Bitcoin’s narrative, researchers from BTCparser have unearthed a conspiracy theory involving wallets attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto. These wallets, inactive since 2010, allegedly began liquidating BTC in November 2019, selling $176 million worth in November 2024 alone. The theory speculates deliberate profit-taking while maintaining anonymity, fueling debates about Bitcoin’s creator’s involvement in the market. Technical Analysis At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading 3 lower, consolidating within a falling trend channel. This phase may signify temporary weakness or a precursor to a significant breakout. Key technical insights: - Support Levels: Immediate support exists in the $90,500–$94,700 range, with $85,000 acting as a critical fallback if bearish momentum strengthens. - Resistance Levels: Breaking $100,000 could trigger a rally into uncharted territory, testing market resilience. Supply dynamics will likely determine if this milestone results in a price squeeze or continued upward momentum. - Indicators: Bitcoin’s RSI and moving averages suggest mixed signals, reflecting consolidation. However, the formation of a Falling wedge pattern hints at potential bullish reversal. If Bitcoin breaches $100,000, we predict a rapid ascent to $180,000, supported by increasing demand from institutions and retail investors alike. However, failure to hold key support levels could lead to corrections toward mid-$80,000, signaling potential accumulation opportunities for long-term holders. Market Outlook The intersection of MicroStrategy’s aggressive accumulation, evolving narratives around Satoshi Nakamoto, and Bitcoin’s technical positioning paints a compelling picture. While Bitcoin faces near-term volatility, the long-term trajectory remains bullish, with institutional adoption and mainstream interest fueling its rise. As Bitcoin flirts with the $100,000 milestone, the question is no longer if but when it will redefine its historic peak. Amid speculation and strategic accumulation, Bitcoin continues to solidify its status as the apex asset of the digital economy. Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 before year-end, or will resistance levels delay the inevitable? Stay tuned.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Correction Started!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started pumping again today with the help of the following two News : 1-Chinese Court Declares Bitcoin and Crypto Ownership Legal. 2-Trump Plans White House Crypto Advisor Role. These days, Bitcoin is more influenced by the news than before. Bitcoin managed to break the Important resistance lines with the help of the above news . Since Bitcoin does NOT have a previous price history at current prices , its analysis is associated with challenges, but I will try to analyze it for you with technical analysis tools and other parameters . Bitcoin reacted well to the new Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .But Bitcoin could not touch the magic number of $100,000 ; one of the reasons for not touching this number is many sell orders that were exactly on the number of $100,000. According to the Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin has entered five new impulsive waves after breaking the important resistance lines. It completed the main wave 5 . It seems that we can wait for Bitcoin correction waves . In terms of Classic Technical Analysi s, Bitcoin seems to be completing the Bump phase and entering the Run phase of the Bump-and-Run Top Pattern .👇 It also seems that USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) will have an upward trend , which can cause Bitcoin correction . I expect Bitcoin to attack the lower line of the ascending channel after approaching the Resistance zone($97,642-$97,180) . 🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏 ⚠️ Note: If Bitcoin goes above $98,700, we can expect it to touch $100,000. ⚠️ ⚠️ Note: Bitcoin can start to rise again from the lower line of the ascending channel. ⚠️ ⚠️ Note: We should expect a deeper correction if Bitcoin goes below the Support zone($95,600-$92,000) and breaks the lower line of the ascending channel ⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
114
BITCOIN rally cant get caught anymore and SPXRUT ratio shows whyIt's beyond doubt now that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the new Parabolic Rally (PR), technically the most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle. We've made numerous analyses in the past explaining on time why we expected this break-out to take place after 7 months of accumulation. What we bring to you today is the SPX/RUT ratio, the correlation of the S&P500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (RUT) indices against BTC and how it confirms that this rally will now accelerate to a pace that it won't be easy to get caught (i.e. bought). The SPX/RUT ratio is displayed by the blue trend-line. The ratio is particularly helpful during Bitcoin's Parabolic Rally phase as their correlation is mostly a negative one, meaning when the ratio falls, Bitcoin rises. On this chart, this correlation is present on a cyclical basis. This means that during every Cycle, it displays a behavioral pattern that is common. The key characteristic here is the Lower Highs pattern that the ratio forms every Cycle around the Halving time. As you can see, when SPX/RUT peaks (red circle) and starts forming Lower Highs, Bitcoin stars its Parabolic Rally (green arc). On the 1st Lower High, BTC's rally is already underway and has entered the stage where due to the sheer buying pressure and aggression, getting an entry is difficult. The Lower Highs on SPX/RUT also signify a shift from big capitalization stocks to low, i.e. an increasing appetite for riskier assets and that transcends to the Bitcoin market as well. So what do you think? Does the SPX/RUT ratio indicate that we've started the part of BTC's rally that is hard to catch? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
BITCOIN Pi Cycle Theory aiming at $120k at least!Following Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) new All Time High in the aftermath of the U.S. elections, we've established on previous posts that we've entered the final year (12 months) of this Bull Cycle. This is clearly visible by the use of the Sine Waves as shown on this 1W chart. ** Pi Cycle ** The new aspect we're bringing to you today is the Pi Cycle indicator, which has proven to be as consistent as any other at projecting the long-term price action of Bitcoin. As you can see every Cycle Top has been considerably above the Top Pi Band (red trend-line) and we're currently trading $30k below where this level is now. This means that it is only a matter of time for BTC to 'attack' $120k and break it. ** 1W RSI kickstarting the aggression ** We are at a point where the new rally phase that started after the price tested, held and rebounded on the 1W MA50 back in early August, will start getting more and more aggressive. The final bullish signal was given last week after the 1W RSI closed above 70.00 (vertical orange dashed line). As you can see, during the previous two Cycles, every time Bitcoin closed the 1W RSI above 70.00, the Cycle peaked 54 weeks later (roughly 365 days). There is no reason to expect otherwise this time also, as this projected date (week of November 24 2025) falls exactly on the Sine Wave's Top. Notice also that during the most aggressive part of the Parabolic Rally, the 1D MA100 (blue trend-line) tends to Support. And before that, when that crosses above the Bottom Pi band (green trend-line), the indicator gives a confirmed buy signal for the whole Cycle. ** Timing the market is everything ** The question now is how high can the price get? Well according to those estimates, a peak above the Top Pi Band can be anywhere within the $150k - $200k range, and that could be a conservative estimate. But lucky enough, with technical tools like the one we present to you today, we can time the market (thus our exits/ sells) almost perfectly and get out as high as possible, without having an absolute Target in mind. But what do you think? Are you also expecting the rally to start getting even more aggressive and break above $120k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11