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Bitcointechnicalanalysis

BTC bearish ascending wedge 4HRBitcoins moving within this bearish ascending wedge pattern and is also getting held up by some resistance levels. We are seeing a struggle to get above this 49.2K resistance level, we also notice the ichimoku cloud is getting a flip into bearish territory, we could see a pullback coming up soon here, especially if we get rejected off this level for our daily close and due to the bearish ascending wedge. Also looking at the RSI we are getting held up at this resistance that is slightly above the midline, this could pose an issue for us to keep climbing up aswell. Like i have been saying in my recent BTC analysis's we could be in for atleast a 5% pullback which would land us around the 0.5 FIB, now if this happens there is a chance the pullback could go on longer and could see an upwards of 18-24% to the downside, but we will have to dive into that later on and even if that happens. Looking at the MACD we are actually looking pretty good, we have gotten a tiny bounce when it looked like we were going to see a bearish cross, keep in mind we still could for sure if we see a bearish daily close tonight or even some slight downside in PA, since the MA's are so close together it is pretty hard to determine where we are headed on the MACD, we gotta watch it closely, and if we continue bullish like we currently are or even if we see a bearish cross we have to watch for separation in the MA's if we are going to see a real bull/bear cross. Also the histogram shows you a lot especially the momentum the bulls or bears have in that specific MACD cycle! Not financial advice just my opinion!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by JacobR905
WILL BTC HOLD THIS CRUCIAL LEVEL??!BTC has recently seen a lot of upswings with a couple little red days not really pulling back much, as you guys know i personally think we are due for a decent pullback before we really get going and im thinking we could possibly see this soon. We have lost bull momentum after failing to break above 50K we had multiple touches but couldn't seen to hold onto it and now we are seeing a little bit of downside, im currently looking at this 47.3K support level that we keep testing, if we see a close below here today or in the next couple days i think we could see a fall down to the 45K level. We got 3 pullback targets, the 45K level we just talked about is slightly more than -11% from the recent top at 50K, next we have a likely level due to a little momentum shift into the bears hands and thats the 0.3 FIB (i believe is the most likely target for a decent pullback) Next we have the 38K level which is a solid floor IMO, this also could be likely and i think so because, before we go on the next leg of this bull cycle the big players will be looking to liquidate long positions, shake out weak hands and overall put fear back into retail investors, remember they want you to miss out. Looking at the MACD, like i talked about before we wouldn't really know if this was a legit bearish cross until we saw the MA's starting to separate and the histogram producing bigger red bars each day, and what do you know! We are seeing that exactly starting right now, the MA's are starting to take off from eachother and the histogram is making a bigger red bar today! Checking out the RSI we are seeing some downslope here coming out of the overbought zone but we haven't really moved much in the past day and we haven't broken through this support level either, the most important thing is that the RSI stays above that midline so we can stay in a confirmed uptrend, this midline also acts as support. Now the Stoch RSI which goes hand and hand with the RSI, we are seeing a bearish crossover and we are heading almost straight down, so from the technical side of things it really appears we are going to have a pullback and im hoping its a significant one so i can load up some bags, keep in mind too if we do cross this first support level and close below here than these indicators will follow, like the RSI breaking through the support line and the MACD starting to fully separate and have a decent fall as the bears get a little momentum! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
How Much Will BTC Fall??!Looking at BTC again today after daily close and i was onto something when i mentioned earlier, about the bearish looking transition candle. Thought this sort of scenario was likely looking at how we couldn't break 50K and hardly the R2 resistance, Now we are seeing some support coming from February holding us up, it is really hard to say where i think BTC could land but i imagine it would be more than 5% from the recent top. We could see ourselves at the 45K level or even lower at the 0.3 FIB, im thinking due to the growing numbers of longs and being in extreme greed mode we are in for a decent sized pullback, to liquidate long positions, shake out weak hands, mess with emotions. Looking at the RSI we're seeing downward movement coming out of the overbought area and soon coming up on some support from the beginning of this month, we could see a hold up here for sure but keep in mind all that i just mentioned, also some support from the 50. point midline. Looking at the MACD we are seeing a bearish cross that recently printed and the overall structure of both of the MA's is falling slopping too the downside. keep an eye on this though, we have seen similar action like this like i talked about previously, we will know for sure when we start to see the histogram printing bars, if we see growing red bars we are likely in a pullback scenario especially if the orange MA is on top and we start to see big separation in them, the further they spread out the further away a bull cross is. Now the Wavetrend similar to the RSI we are starting to make a downwards move coming out of the sell zone, there's not much indication here on whether we are going to catch support or not, personally i hope we can see a dip i would love to scoop up some bags, Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JacobR905
BTC Pullback in Sight!!?BTC bulls are clearly loosing some strength and momentum here after failing to breakthrough the 50k level at the 0.2 FIB, we poked a wick above here slightly but it was not enough! we had a nice close yesterday with us slightly above the R2 resistance but couldn't keep the momentum going, now we are seeing a darth maul candle as i like to call it and aswell known as a transition candle! I think at this point we are due for a little bit of downside like i have been talking about previously, i think likely we could see anywhere from -18% to -24% as shown on the rectangles, keep in mind these are drawn and measured from the top wick above 50K so the pullbacks could be slightly less if we look at it from today forward. The wave trend has been chilling up in the sell area (top zone) for quite some time now and we are just starting to see a curl slightly pointing to the downside! We could see a sort of reset for our indicators hopefully looking at a potential drop to the bottom of the wavetrend before we start heading back up! Also the MACD has been moving very very flat recently and we are not seeing nearly enough momentum, we notice the MA's are in and out of bull and bear crosses moving flat and unpredictable, this is where i think a bear cross and pullback are going to come into play. The histogram doesn't really look good at all we are seeing tiny flat green candles which followed by the same sort of red candles, we are seeing no growth in our bars this MACD cycle and is a clear sign of momentum slowing way down! Im personally really hoping we see this pullback/dip i think its going to provide a very nice buying opportunity and a possible great long entry, will be looking to add to my bags if we see something like this play out! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
1
Daily BTC Close Analysis!Bitcoins continuing to push up towards 50K with another touch of the level last night, however we seem to be really struggling to get up and above the R2 resistance from the pivot points, we are currently a hair above this level but we will definitely have to watch this going into our daily close! If we don't get a close above 50K tonight or even tomorrow my thoughts are that we are going to see a pullback, if we can't breakthrough the bulls will continue to loose momentum and in turn the bears will get a bit and most likely drive the price down, most likely too the 0.3 FIB level or around 42K. Checking out the RSI we are in the overbought area and sort of moving flat not really up or down. I think sooner than later we are going to have too see some drawdown, and this is where im looking at the Stoch RSI we notice we are starting to loose some momentum and our blue is starting to curl downwards towards the orange in what looks like a soon to be bearish cross and a drawdown, this could have the regular RSI come on down with it and most likely price action. I think we are due for a decent sized pullback or cooloff just based on how much we have recently ran up, aswell as major exchanges and whales are looking to liquidate long positions and shake weak hands out of the market. Just my opinion not financial advice!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JacobR905
Possible dip coming for BTC?Bitcoin has been pushing up very nice recently with us almost touching 50K, we didnt quite make it and we are getting held up by the R2 resistance level from the pivot points indicator. We are still looking very bullish especially on the upcoming weekly close same goes with our upcoming daily close. gonna be honest i would love to see a drop or pullback here to try and get in a nice couple buys for this next run. I think we could see a pullback but more a shakeout before we really start taking off, whales want to get as many weak hands out of the market, also liquidating buy stop losses. We do seem to be facing some troubles getting fully above the R2 resistance and this could pose an opportunity for some bear momentum. Looking at the MACD we are actually getting a bullish cross which of course play out but we can just as quickly see a fakeout to a bearish cross, if we see a run we focus on the direction of the MA's and the separation they have between each other, also the histogram we want to see greater green bars day after day not a flat looking histogram near the midline. We are starting to see an overall flip for the EMA ribbons which is very nice to see, we are definitely getting some bull momentum but once we start to see an actual full flip with all the ribbons separating is when we will be very very bullish (green ribbons on top) Now the RSI is actually overbought on the daily and we are starting to see a curl coming to the downside, this is another reason why i think its possible for a little pullback, we have been in and out of overbought since the end of july. The main thing here is the RSI staying above the midline, we need to keep hold of the confirmed uptrend! Not financial advice just my opinion!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC Ramping Up For Weekly Close!Bitcoins looking very bullish coming to our weekly close tomorrow, we are seeing a month long of higher highs each weekly candle and a very close push to 50K. I previously said in a TA awhile ago i think we would see a 50K BTC before we really see a decent pullback and i honestly switched my view because i didn't think it was going to playout but now we could be back on track with that prediction, if we do see a pullback i don't think it will last long buyers will be looking to eat up the dip including me. Plus it would be a very healthy move for our overall structure. None the less though we are still looking insanely bullish on a lot of indicators, first of all the EMA ribbons haven't flipped bearish on the weekly at all, we had a slight pinch in the ribbons but now we are starting to open back up with bullish momentum, the more we see the ribbons push up and separate the more momentum the bulls have and the market has. The MACD looks very very good we are almost getting a bullish cross, i think we will see it in the next day or so, we ideally want to see a explosion like move from the blue MA, separating away from the orange. We will likely see a very nice run coming up soon due to the fact that we don't see bull or bear crosses often on the weekly MACD, last time we saw a bearish cross was around the end of april and last time we saw a bullish cross was in OCT 2020! Exciting times in crypto right now we are getting closer and closer to ATH's and could see a nice resume to our cycle soon enough, even if we do get a pullback i think it would be a healthy one that is needed. Not financial advice just my opinion!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by JacobR905
VERY IMPORTANT LEVEL FOR BTCBitcoins starting to curl to the downside as i predicted would happen at some point, we are coming up on a very key level which is support at 44.5k, we have already wicked below this level and since then have come back up but what i will definitely be looking for is whether we close our daily above or below this level. I feel like a pullback is due for btc and the market after running up hot, a pullback here would definitely be healthy. I think it is likely we see something like this play out, we have more support at the R1 which is now turned to support but i feel like a reasonable pullback target is the 0.3 FIB and would even be happy if we saw a drop all the way too the 38.6K support level, i think this would provide very good entry spots for longing the market. Looking at the WaveTrend oscillator we have topped out it looks like and we are just now starting to curl to the downside from the very top zone, this definitely plays into my pullback thesis as this also shows we are due for a pullback, and keep in mind it isn't uncommon. We could see some catches on supports on the wavetrend like the uptrend support ive drawn or even the midline of the wavetrend. Either way i think we are in for a pullback of some kind to cool off and build some structure and i view this as very positive because i will for sure be buying the dip at these potential great entries! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC Pullback on the HorizonBitcoins been running up hot recently but it looks pretty clear we are running out of steam here which is nothing unusual, we are seeing a couple doji candles right now and they lean to the less bullish side of green candles, day isn't over yet though we could see a further decline in todays candle going into close. Remember though pullbacks are necessary and healthy for our overall structure, we have weak support at 44.5k which is pretty unlikely to hold so i figure the 0.3 FIB is a pretty likely target aswell as the next option that is, the 38k level which is longterm and strong, i doubt we would go any further than that. Looking at the MACD too we see that the blue MA is coming down on the orange and we are getting pretty close to a bearish cross, unless we get an unlikely bounce, the histogram aswell is coming down towards the midline and each bar has been getting less and less, looking like we could see a little bit of a red cycle here on the daily MACD. The RSI and Stoch RSI both are overbought and seem to be starting the return to the downside, what is key here for the regular RSI is that we don't drop below that midline and if we do we need to come back up shortly after, this is due to the fact that confirmed movement above this midline is considered in an uptrend and movement below is a considered downtrend, after the past couple months BTC and crypto don't need to go back into a downtrend lol. i personally think this pullback will be a last effort to shake out any weakhands before the return to the bull cycle! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC Pullback Coming soon!??Bitcoins pullback may be coming sooner than we thought or atleast i thought, i've thought about it for a bit and came to a likely scenario, if we think about how the major crypto players and whales move markets we could likely assume that we have to be in for a pullback before we takeoff back into our ultra bullish cycle, now a move like this (which is very common) eliminates or shakes out a lot of weak hands and liquidates tons of trade positions, also it really messes with peoples overall emotions when it comes to crypto which is their hard earned money and that can tend to make people make irrational decisions. holding is key remember that. Now to the technical side of things, we are currently right above a weaker support line at almost 44500$ and we are seeing a bearish day and of course bear candle, if this continues and we close off the day with a red candle this gives the bears some momentum, which personally i think will shred right through this support level due to it being weaker. I have a likely path drawn out which might be a bit conservative but we would soon land on the 0.3 FIB level which is a pretty strong support and could definitely hold but again if we think about the bigger players they likely would want more fear for retail investors so we come down to potentially our next level at 38613$ which again is a very strong level that has been around for months now. With the bollinger bands i think if we start to see a pullback the midline of the bb's which act as support will most likely closely line up with the 0.3 FIB, could be wrong but either way i think pullbacks are a blessing especially in times like these, they can provide you with very good entry points. Both the RSI and Stoch RSI are dipping, we are starting to see the blue crossover the orange bearish on the stoch RSI and on both we are in the overbought zones, starting to curl downwards too, definitely think there is something coming and i hope i am right and able to catch it! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC to 50K then a pullback!BTC has flipped longer term resistance back into support and we are pushing up towards that 50K level , i think we are going to see a push upto here but it is pretty heavy resistance so i wouldn't be surprised if we saw a bounce that turns into a pullback, as you can see in my drawing i think we are going to touch 50K but then come down to the green support we just flipped, afterwards i think this level will hold and we will go back to attempt to break the 0.2 FIB/50K and i think we will have the momentum to do so, what is key is that we have that restest of 50K and hold it, we cant shoot right through without retesting this level to build up support. Looking at the bollinger bands we are getting back to almost riding the top band which is key for igniting a big run as we have seen in the past, remember too the midline on the BB's acts as support if we are above it and i think when we see that push to 50K that midline support will line up around the green longer term support drew. The MACD still has some gas left as we continue to push upwards with the Blue MA separating slightly from the orange, this is apart of the reason i think we still got room to climb to the 50K level, before then most likely seeing a bearish cross. The Wave trend aswell i think has some gas left in the tank after we just reached the top of the zone, we don't always see an immediate fall after we reach the top, i mean just look at ETH our WT has been in the top zone for like a week now lol. We are still pushing upwards and could see one final push upto 50K before then coming back down on the pullback, resetting our indicators ideally and to get ready for that next run up! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by JacobR905
2
50K Bitcoin coming soon!!?Bitcoin has been continuing to push upwards after having a few day cooloff, we have pushed right through the R1 resistance and what im looking for here is a hold for daily close, this will look super bullish if we can pull it off! Im looking for a push upto the 0.2 FIB level or aprx 50K, i think this level is definitely achievable but the thing will be can we breakthrough this level, we may get rejected the first time but after a couple im sure we can break it. Also we will be faced with the R2 resistance which will be another challenge. Taking a look at the MACD we remain looking bullish, we had a very nice bullish bounce from the blue MA, we are starting to see greater separation which is key, we got to stay away from that bearish cross, Histogram aswell looking good with out bars growing each day rather than flattening out, if we can keep seeing growth in the green bars we should expect some nice upcoming green days. Finally the Hash ribbons which are super important and a very legendary indicator, as you can see we are slowly coming out of the consolidation phase and we could soon be seeing that rare "buy" signal, historically this buy signal was followed with massive gains, and looking at the depth and dragged out consolidation period i woud say my 50K price target is very very conservative. Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by JacobR905
BTC Possible Bull Flag?!!After Bitcoins beautiful runup i talked about the possibility for a cooloff day or a few and i think we might just be seeing that now, also it looks as we could see a bull flag forming which in most cases ends up swinging to the upside after the flag is completed. For this to be true we will need to see wicks or touches on the support and resistances, following a similar channel i have drawn, the top resistance of the flag is more accurate than the bottom support as because we haven't closed out the day yet and we could still see more downside, and thats even if we get a bull flag here. I do think we are going to get a little pullback which is normal after runs like this, i think that because looking at these indicators there isn't another "technical" way to think lmao. So the Wave trend oscillator is looking pretty bearish as we nearly crossed into the sell zone with are wav e now looking like its topped out, we most likely will be heading down here before starting another wave upwards, there are times where we do hover in the top area for a little bit. Looking at the coppock curve we notice the same thing but with this indicator we don't really have any jagged movement, for the most part we see smooth transitions between waves and when we see a top of the zone wave we usually see a "crash" tp the bottom then repeat, and as you can see we do look like we are starting atleast a bit of a comedown, there definitely is a chance both the WT and CC don't bottom out and we find some support maybe halfway through the zones. Now finally the MACD we see still decent separation in the MA's but the blue one is coming down pretty hard towards our orange, we could for sure see a bearish cross coming up soon, or we could see a bounce off like i talked about in the last BTC TA, this is also part of the reason we may not see a bigger pullback because since our blue MA got so far from our orange it allows us to have those few red days without actually getting a bearish cross, same thing for the WT & CC they could both find quick support which would be ideal! Not financial advice just my opinion
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JacobR905
BTC primed for a move to the bullish pivot point!Bitcoins moving up quick after i predicted we would see 28K before we saw a bigger move up to possibly 40K and that just about happened perfectly, we got the bounce a little over the 28K level and we have been pushing up since! Now what i think is likely is we could see a little breather day maybe even a slight red candle but it looks like we are ready to keep moving after that! If we can get a daily close here above the 0.5 FIB level that would be very bullish, we aren't too far away from that pivot point where we can really rebound to the bullish upside. Looking at the bollinger bands you guys might know what i am gonna say lol.. but we are getting super close to grabbing ahold of that top band where we could then really start to go for a ride to the upside, this is where my prediction for a little breather day comes from, if we can settle cool off and find footing above this 0.5 fib level we have a very good chance of getting ahold of that top bollinger band, and thats why i think we are going to climb to that bullish pivot point! Checking out the macd we got a very nice bullish cross where we are now seeing big separation in the MA's the blue is taking off from the orange, which is definitely a positive sign, also gives us some room to have that cooloff day without getting a bearish cross! Think overall the crypto market is starting to heat up again with BTC dominance slowly falling back down we should be back to it in no time! But like i have said before i am more neutral until we cross that 40K mark, than my view is switched to bullish and if we cross below 30k and stay under i would be bearish! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by JacobR905
UPCOMING BTC REJECTION!??As i have shared in my previous TA's i expected a drop to the 28K level before then coming back up as shown by my drawing and we we're very close to hitting that exactly! Now taking a look here we got a possible upcoming rejection for BTC, Looking at the bollinger bands we are fast approaching the midline on the bands and this is for the time being resistance and we could possibly see a bit of a bounce off here pushing us a little bit downwards, but i do think we are going to be starting our recovery as we speak. Now also something that correlates perfectly with the bollinger band resistance is the RSI, as you can see we had a longer term uptrend support on the RSI that is now flipped into resistance and this level has proven to be pretty strong, we are a few hairs away from this resistance just like the midline on the bb's and thats why i believe we could definitely see a rejection here for the time being. Now if we do break this uptrend resistance we then face resistance of the actual midline on the RSI, so for the time being i think we are going to see a bounce off to the downside, if i was a betting man i would easily bet on a rejection here. looking at the pivot points we do have a fair ways to go before reaching that pivot line where we could then reverse to the bullish side of things, i have said before a few times, if we are in between 30k and 40k i am neutral, for the reasoning of because we have been in sideways movement between these levels since may and i don't think it would be logical to be bullish or bearish until we either break 40k or we break 30K, the sideways movement is unpredictable and is way to hard to predict exactly where we are headed again until either of these levels are broken! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC 28K!!?As i was talking about previously btc has begun a slight pullback out of the bottom of the wedge and we got a bounce today around 30K which has held us up so far, we could still see that 28K level i was talking about before, there is still lots of bearish momentum pushing us down. There is a chance that we start to recover but i wouldn't go that far yet especially without a successful retest of the 30K level we bounced from today. we are still in a very dangerous spot as our candles are riding the bottom of the bollinger bands which almost always gives us some downside, we havent really seen a big drop along the BB's but like i said this pullback could still be going on and waiting will be the only thing that can provide those answers. The RSI has dropped pretty hard aswell with us not even coming back to the uptrend support to retest it. we are getting closer to the oversold area but still have a bit to go, thats another reason i think we could still see some downside which would more than likely push that RSI into the oversold area before then coming back up with price. The Hash ribbons aswell are still extending in this capitulation phase, and for the real bull run to start back up again i personally have to wait for these hash ribbons atleast finish the capitulation cycle but ultimately print that legendary buy signal, at that point i would be fully confident in a btc and full crypto market recovery and ultimately the next leg up in this bull run! Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC Fall is sparkedBitcoin's broken out of the bottom of our descending triangle and is looking pretty shaky as of right now. looking at the RSI we blew right through the uptrend support and we are now falling towards the bottom of the RSI channel, still a bit away from oversold aswell. Also yesterday we saw a bearish cross on the daily MACD but we aren't seeing much separation in the MA's so that is something to watch. Something that is a little worrying for BTC as of right now is the bollinger bands, we are directly sitting on the bottom band and we definitely see a big dragdown if this continues. I think we are going to see this pullback and i think it is pretty likely that we see a 28K atleast BTC price, from there if thats all that we fall i would say we will see a pretty quick recovery. Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC 28K before 40K!?Bitcoins following along its sideways path and we are almost at the end of this wedge/ pennant. It does look like we are going to slip out of the bottom of this pattern and i believe a pullback is coming before we have our next leg upwards. I think we are due for a pullback not for the fact that we have been shooting up in price but the technical fact that a lot of indicators are shorter term bearish. We see the EMA ribbons which i have talked about before are fully spread out bearish and is constantly pushing down on us with bearish momentum, and this type of indicator doesn't flip back and forth in the matter of a few days time it usually takes quite awhile like a few weeks or a months time, we gotta start to see the full flip to the bullish side before i could say we are definitely back into a bull market, theres just too much momentum on the bears side right now. Also the bollinger bands have been squeezing pretty hard on our candles and that always tells us that a big move is coming, the problem is it doesnt show any direction, but as we keep pushing closer and closer to that bottom band we risk having a significant fall riding the bottom band. i would say it is likely we see atleast 28K before pushing back up, we have a potential zone we could further fall to and thats 26.5K or the 0.6 FIB level. Finally the MACD is hanging on by a thread for the bulls we are any day or even minute about to see a bearish cross which i think is going to spark this pullback, unless somehow we reverse the MA's and the Blue starts heading back up, which personally i think is highly unlikely. Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC AT RISK OF PULLBACK!We are quickly approaching the apex point of this wedge/ pennant and BTC is looking a bit shaky right now in my eyes, we got big time rejected off the midline of the bollinger bands and aswell the top of the wedge now cruising towards the bottom of the wedge. What catches my eye the most is that if we breakdown further and out of the bottom of this wedge we will be sitting on the bottom bollinger band which could result in a huge fall with not super strong support to catch us. we would likely fall to 28.5K support but my worries are if that level breaks due to the huge bear momentum from the bottom bb we could see a bigger fall all the way to 26.5K aprx or the 0.6 Fib Level. The Macd has been pretty stagnant over the past couple days and we are almost about to see a potential bearish cross that could jumpstart this pullback, the blue MA is quickly coming up on the orange with both ma's beginning to turn to the downside, aswell the histogram has gotten very weak and is looking like we are going to see some red bars in the next day or two. Now one of my favorite indicators the hash ribbons, this is a very very powerful indicator that rarely prints a buy signal, but when it does huge gains follow, i highly suggest back testing the hash ribbons to see what im talking about, now we have seen 2 periods of capitulation recently with the first round not printing a buy and this round being very extended, if we do see a buy i imagine it will be after a pullback or nearing the end of july. Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
30K BTC!!Bitcoins continuing on this sideways path but has recently been really sticking to the 0.5 FIB level. We seem to be getting held up here and we are now facing 0.5 FIB resistance and also the midline on the bollinger bands, we are seeing some more squeezing from the bb's and if we keep going this way we could get a big move in either direction. I think we could see some movement soon and i think it'll be to the downside, most likely 30K but even our pivot point at 28K i think either of these levels will provide us with a bounce back up afterwards though. We do have be careful with the bollinger bands though because if we start to slip and start printing candles on that bottom band we could see a fast move downwards maybe even bringing us to the 0.6 FIB level. The MACD aswell i believe is a little overdue for a bearish cross after we have been seeing lots of green on the histogram, we did get a small bearish cross a little bit ago, but didn't last very long and didn't really fall at all. I believe we will see some more bearish or sideways movement until august before resuming our bull cycle, and i look at these times as great accumulation periods. Not financial advice just my opinion!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JacobR905
BTC Dominance about to fall hard!!?Bitcoins dominance has been ranging from 48% to about 40% as of late and i think we are going to start to see a hard fall upcoming in the next week or 2. We are getting some support around 45% dominance and i believe once we see a full break of this level we are going to start to see this fall, we have a unusual gap at 44-43% and i think we could see a fill as thats usually how gaps go, at some point they usually all get filled. Looking at the MACD we are seeeing heavy downside and getting bigger separation in the MA's, so it looks like we are due for more downside over the next few days, after a very prolonged upside. Also something to keep an eye on is that RSI, we are seeing currently a break of the 50. midline and if we can hold underneath we could see ourselves in a confirmed downtrend again for BTC dominance, this would be very positive for the market in general, after the initial drop BTC could see some smaller moves 5-10% most likely and then alt coins will start to explode probably will be posting 20+% inna day like we have seen before these big corrections. Now this isn't guaranteed in any way but it is likely at some point we see BTC dominance crash again, now this could play out in a weeks time or even a months time. Now looking at the bollinger bands we are starting to see some squeezing with the bands compressing the candles, now almost all of the time this indicates that we are due to see a big move in the coming days/weeks. The only problem is it doesn't indicate what direction that'll be and thats why we incorporate other indicators to try and find that direction. This also ties into a big crash because if we do see this gap fill and a break of current support we will end up most likely right on the bottom bollinger band, and this would be huge because almost everytime price action rides the bottom band we see a medium to large size move to the downside. Not financial advice just my opinion!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by JacobR905
2
Very important close for Bitcoin!!!Bitcoin has recently been cruising around the 0.5 FIB above and below and now we are coming up on our monthly close and this is very important. it looks like we are going to see a very close one as we sit almost right on the 0.5 FIB on the daily and monthly. If we do see a close below the 0.5 we could see another bearish sideways month for BTC and crypto. Not 100% convinced even if we close above the 0.5 FIB though, we have lots of indicators that need to flip back fully bullish. The EMA ribbons being just about flipped fully bearish we need to see a start of resistance and ultimately get some bullish momentum going, that also could happen in july if we start to see some bull momentum we could start the longer process of al the indicators working their way back to bullish. Looking at the bollinger bands we aren't really in any danger of slipping more it looks like since we are far away from the bottom band. But we are getting rejected a couple times in a row now by the midline showing we are still trend for the most part downwards. Which brings me to my next point, the RSI rejected off the midline again and we are heading back down, and this might sound like a broken record but we need to get above the 50. point and hold it if we want to be in a confirmed uptrend again. Until then we are considered in a confirmed downtrend. Lastly the MACD we are seeing a recent buy signal but not much action with now our blue MA starting to curl down towards the orange and its looking like we could see a bearish cross soon, unless we bounce off. It's really hard to tell exactly where we are going because of all the sideways movement but i guess we will see another couple weeks to a month of sideways, slight down and up movement while hopefully those important indicators start to recover, especially the 50 day SMA and 200 day SMA, we really need to start seeing a recovery with those as we recently experienced one of the most bearish indicators out there known as the "Death Cross" Not financial advice just my opinion!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JacobR905
BTC Monthly cooldownLooking at bitcoins monthly chart and the first thing i realized and said to myself is "this could easily be just a cooloff or correction in the macro perspective" and that is exactly what i think. We had an explosive 6 months previous to these 3 and it really does make sense that we need a break or cooldown, and that goes for everything, we need structure/ supports/ floors in order to keep heading up, now if all continues this way we will have a decent looking monthly close for bitcoin. The key here is to definitely stay above the 0.5 FIB level like we managed to do last month and even better would be to close above last months close around 36K. Even if we don't do any of this we could still see another month of bearish momentum which is kind of likely looking at everything from a technical standpoint, but the point is this will be a tiny blip on the macroscale and a much needed cooloff, 6 months of super bullish momentum and im thinking 4 months of cooloff and then we should be back to it. Also this sort of scenario doesn't faze me really, i actually like it for the fact that i can buy more crypto at discounted prices. If you truly believe in blockchain and crypto as beneficial for the future you shouldn't worry and do not let the emotions cause you to make poor decisions, this whole space may feel like we are late but in fact we are super early imo, big companies and institutions only started buying last year and even looking at that is a very very small number of "big money" compared to what can come, countries are starting to adopt crypto and that in itself should say something! Not financial advice just my opinion
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by JacobR905