Bitcoin BTC price decides where to go nextAlmost all indicators are at extremely critical and decisive points:
1️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:BTC - $68300
2️⃣ BTC.D - 59% and continues to update local highs
3️⃣ USDT.D - 5.25% on the verge of a breakout or rebound upwards
4️⃣ Fear and Greed Index - 73 (greed)
🐳 Blue scenario - a sharp exit from the correction channel and movement towards $77-78k.
💔 Red scenario - correction OKX:BTCUSDT to $64000, and maybe even to $ 61k
Vote which scenario you think is more likely.
We will supplement this idea with interesting charts and our own opinion after we have 100+ votes.
Bitcointrading
Bitcoin: Step-by-Step Action Plan for 2025
Bitcoin has just reached its 60-day cycle low, coinciding with the conclusion of the U.S. election—a critical moment in both markets. If this cycle follows a "right-translated" pattern, we could see BTC maintaining bullish momentum for the next four weeks.
In trading, two types of participants tend to profit: those who spot and act on trends using indicators, market structures, or other strategies, and those who rely on luck by buying at the right time. While luck might bring gains in a market with Bitcoin’s history of strong growth, relying on it is often short-lived. Without the skill to analyze the market, "lucky" traders often lose out in the long run, especially when conditions turn.
For sustainable success, understanding the 60-day cycle and recognizing right-translation as a bullish sign can make all the difference. Watch for potential upward movement in Bitcoin over the coming weeks, but remember to keep an eye on key indicators and manage risk carefully!
What Are the Cycles Telling Us About Bitcoin and Altcoins Right Now?
Bitcoin Confirmed 60-Day Cycle Low: Bullish Setup for the Next 40 Days
Bitcoin's price is showing signs of upward momentum. Our 3-day indicator, which we aimed to see below 20, has started turning upward, suggesting a bullish short-term pattern. Currently, the daily indicator sits around 46—potentially a good entry signal. Over the next 3-4 days, we could see a strong price push, potentially followed by a brief consolidation.
The ideal buying opportunity came at the last cycle bottom of $56,000, with the next best entry at the recent low around $70,000. Now, with Bitcoin confirming its 60-day cycle low at $68,000 and beginning its ascent, a right-translated cycle could mean a climb over the next 40 days, providing ample time for gains.
While the 1-week indicator (red line) is above 80, it’s holding steady, indicating a continued bullish phase. Although this weekly indicator may dip to 20 within the next month or two, bringing another buying opportunity, strong uptrends can mean that waiting could result in missed profits. Stay alert for potential pullbacks, but the momentum is favoring the bulls!
Don't sleep on open profits - always take profits on the cycle tops!
BTC Weekly Chart is Showing Major StrengthThe last weekly close and open for BTC have broken the overall weekly structure of consolidation. A weekly close above the support would confirm this. Things are looking good for BTC in the bigger picture. Hold on to your hats, we have a year of volatility coming to us.
Not financial advice.
Do your own DD.
Thanks for looking at the idea.
Politics vs Profits | The US elections & Crypto Harris, Trump, or Crypto ? Only One Goes Brrrr !
1/ The crypto market typically dips ahead of US elections
In 2016, there was a 10% dip, in 2020, a 6% decline, and so far in 2024, a 6% decrease. However, these drops aren't unusual; they can happen without clear triggers on any given day or week. So attributing extra significance to the current dip due to election is overblown it’s just business as usual in crypto
2/ The election results will trigger either a market boom or bust
Markets crave certainty over specific candidates. Once the election is over, investors can look ahead and allocate accordingly. In the grand scheme, Bitcoin and the wider crypto market don’t care who sits in the Oval Office. Whether it’s a red, blue, or mixed government, historically, crypto trends upward over time.
3/ Trump/Harris will be terrible for the economy
While Republicans and Democrats have vast differences (more so now than ever), unity isn’t our forte. How can we bring the nation together? Maybe start with a common interest and go from there
One thing’s certain, both parties have an affinity for money printing , While it’s a headache for the US’s debt situation, it benefits crypto.Why? Because a share of that newly minted money typically flows into crypto assets, which have limited or predictable inflation.
In essence, money printing devalues the US dollar but bolsters the value of scarce assets (like crypto) over time.Regardless of who wins, the money printer is expected to stay active.
While election may provide market clarity, it’s not a sure thing. Close elections can take days to finalize. So, if you feel like panicking, just remember this:
Zoom out → stay calm → remember…In the long run, crypto tends to prevail.
November is off to a roaring start with several significant market events – and that’s just in the first week! But before we look ahead, let’s review October to see where we stand:
1/ October Recap
Expectations were high for ‘Moontober,’ and it delivered (though gains were modest).
October saw:
- $ BTC up 11%, with the broader crypto market up 10%
- US Bitcoin ETFs purchased 5.83 times more CRYPTOCAP:BTC than was mined in October.
This demand and limited supply helped push the total crypto market cap out of an 8 month descending trend, signaling a potential reversal.
2/ Macro Outlook
Now, on to November. This week features two major macro events:
- US Elections – Tuesday, Nov 5th
- Rate Cuts – Thursday, Nov 7th
Markets expect a 0.25% rate cut. Though smaller than September’s 0.50% cut, it could ease market pressure.Lower borrowing costs reduce debt servicing expenses, freeing up cash for spending and potentially boosting both the economy and crypto markets.
The bonus? Historically, Bitcoin’s average return in November is +43%
If this trend holds, we could see CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $100k by month’s end!
Cross your fingers, toes, and eyes!
3/ Token Unlocks
October had $5.4B worth of token unlocks, creating potential sell pressure. Thankfully, November’s unlocks are lighter at $2.6B, which may limit that pressure.
4/ Earnings Reports
This week brings earnings from:
- Franklin Templeton (managers of the AMEX:EZBC Bitcoin ETF)
- Arm (semiconductor architecture designers)
- Qualcomm (wireless tech products)
- Sony (self-explanatory)
But November 20th is the main event, with Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) – the AI powerhouse – reporting earnings.That’s November in a nutshell.
We’ll be here daily with updates as events unfold
Bitcoin and Crypto US Election Day Forecast and Bullish TargetsHi everyone,
In this video I break down how my Bitcoin forecast over the last few weeks has been playing out (nearly exactly) and where we likely go from here...
I think Bulls are in control, and we'll see Bitcoin at ATH to $80k in the coming weeks...
We review an article form POMP today, saying that who wins the election isn't really that important, and showing very bullish outomes after every previous election cycle...
But I do think a Trump win is likely, and will propel Bitcoin higher faster.
We look at the DXY and how that's rolling over nicely here, potentially taking us to "Bitcoin Rally Zone" and even the Vall-halla "Bitcoin Super Pump Rally Zone" where prices can really PUMP!
I'm hearing more and more people talk about an early left-translated cycle and parabolic blow-off top by the end of THIS year, followed by an everything bubble bursting and deflationary bust.
This is where a Trump win could save the long-tail of the 4-year cycle, by saving the economy.
If nothing else, a Trump win would be more pro-crypto because it's not jus him but a very pro-crypto cabinet with RFK, Elan Musk, Cythia Lummis, and more.
But we're not here to talk about politics!
It's the markets reaction to the news, that matters.
I've said 100 times THIS year and EVERY year... "Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news".
Lastly, I review my now Top 11 factors that could push Bitcoin to $100, $150k, and even $200k.
And the charts showing the same... Interesting that the 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618 almost perfectly align with $100k, $150k, and $250k.
I also show how these targets can be achieved by measured moves of the Bitcoin Bull-Flag breakouts, using 2 different scenarios.
Let me know what you think below, and as always would appreciate a like, tip or share with someone you like in the crypto world!
I we can get to 100 likes, I'll do more of these on a regular basis.. and do an end of week post-election breakdown.
Thanks, and thanks again to TradingView for making this great platform we all use.
Brett Fogle
Moonstream Crypto
Bitcoin Analysis==>>DUMP==>>Filling GapsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently moving in the Support zone ($70,100-$68,420) and near the Support line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin was able to complete main wave 4 ( although with a little irregular movement ).
I expect Bitcoin will break the Support line soon , and the main wave 5 can be finished in one of the Potential Reversal Zones(PRZs) and filling the CME Gaps one by one .
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCUSD: Breaking above the Cup pattern and turning parabolic to Bitcoin just turned bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 58.731, MACD = 2509.900, ADX = 22.826) as it touched this week the ATH of March. Every Cycle has traded inside a Cup pattern and when the ATH top broke, the price turned parabolic. The last Cycle Top was priced on the 1.618 Fib and the one before on the 2.382 Fib. Consequently the worst case scenario for the top of this Cycle is 175,000.
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BTCUSD: Will it make new All Time High or get rejected?Bitcoin turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.973, MACD = 1675.300, ADX = 39.493) as it is on the 4th straight bullish day, approaching the 73,800 All Time High. The rise is being charged by the 1D Golden Cross formation two days ago and with the 1W time-frame still far from being overbought, we can see this bullish trend extending. If it breaks the ATH, we expect a slower ascend to 80,000 but if the price is rejected on the ATH level, we may see a new test of the 1D MA50 (TP = 67,500) so that the market tests the buying strength once more before breaking the ATH.
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Let's be optimistic about BTC if it is closed above 59.5 KBTC testing the down side of lateral range that have formulated since March 2024. (Testing the Ice)
It will be positive if it is closed above 59500 on the daily time frame and the first target will be 62K
IN 4 HOUR Time Frame , it has broken down trend
The nearby outlook for Bitcoin. Good! But not as good on Daily
This is the Daily and Weekly Charts for Bitcoin.
Both charts have price situated above their 200EMA's (sloping upwards) and this demonstrates a bullish uptrend, the EMA stack is also in correct order with 8EMA stacked on top.
The only thing contrary I found is a short-term Daily bearishness for Bitcoin depicted in the MACD. This simply means that price needs to find support around the 21 EMA, 34 EMA or 55EMA, support which you can see in recent history on the bitcoin chart.
BTCUSD: This is just a huge Bull Flag on the way to 200kBitcoin just turned borderline bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 57.457, MACD = 2355.100, ADX = 20.299), which is very positive long term as the buyers are making their presence felt for the first time since March. Supported by the 1W MA50, it is a huge development that the 1W MACD has formed a Bullish Cross. The same set of formations occurred in April 2020. We believe the two patterns to be similar and this makes the 7 month Megaphone just a mid Cycle Bull Flag. The 2020 pattern peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If that is replicated, then Bitcoin can break 200k by the end of 2025 (TP = 215,000).
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Trading Signal For BTCUSDT Trading Setup:
A Trading Signal is seen in the BTCUSDT Bitcoin (Futures) (1h)
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW
⬇️ Sell now or sell on 67992.80
⭕️SL @ 69331.46
🔵TP1 @ 65151.64
🔵TP2 @ 63002.58
🔵TP3 @ 60532.69
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .
BTCUSD: Broke above the 7 month pattern and turned bullish on 1WBitcoin just turned bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 56.534, MACD = 2298.400, ADX = 20.606) as it crossed over the top (LH) of the 7 month Bearish Megaphone. This is a major bullish breakout and the only one remaining is the R1 level (70,000). This is practically the reason of today's pullback because the price is being rejected just under the R1 level. Still, there is no cause for concern as since Sep 20th, Bitcoin has crossed and sustained trading above its MA trendlind, a sign of a trend reversal.
Furthermore, the Bullish Megaphone that started on the November 2022 bottom just formed a Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD and with the support of the 1W MA50 is now looking to establish the new bullish wave. If similar rallies like the previous waves take place, then Bitcoin can target 100k at least (TP = 100,000), even as early as January 2025.
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BTC Diamond FormationMost everything is in the chart for now and anyone knows if BTC will push down 1 more time before a big rally or go up straight.
we can see that we could form a Diamond Figure (Pink) to 0.618fibo
i don't show indicators but i can say :
Monthly chart show clearly that we are still going down.
Weekly chart have indecision on indicators.
Daily chart have inverted indicators.
we have 3 clear resistances formed by EMAS to breakout :
EMA 50 ---- 7200
EMA 100 ---- 7600
EMA 200 ---- 8000
possibilities after breakout :
1. we could fly to 9000 (DIamond Finished + 0.618 FIBO )
2. we could fly to 8400
possibilities with Rejection :
3. we could retrace one more time to 3700 before a new push. ( Traditional Support )
My advice for now is to wait as spectator and wait for a dip or a breakout.
Happy Tr4Ding & Stay Safe !
Bitcoin BTC price movement by the end of October The CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is at the final stage of a six-month correctional consolidation.
In the next few days, the correction of the OKX:BTCUSDT price to $61000 may become the lowest point where most shorts will need to be closed, as well as the point for a set of longs, as they say “to a full cutlet”
And if everything goes well, then by the end of October, there is a good chance to see the price of #Bitcoin at $68300-69700
And what about altcoins, you ask? They should also be fine, at least BTC.D and USDT.D hint at this.
Write in the comments an altcoin that interests you, and we will analyze it and publish it here
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
BTC EN OF 2024**Fundamentals:* *
The reduction of interest rates will favor higher-risk assets, monetary destruction, and monetary stimuli. A 0.50 bp rate cut is expected by the end of 2024. There is high liquidity in the market, with large investors having cash available, indicating a potential market entry.
**BTC Analysis:**
Bitcoin is consolidating right at the resistance of lower highs around $68k.
**Scenario A:**
If this resistance breaks, it could signal the start of a bullish momentum. After breaking through the highs, it would be normal to see some consolidation or a slight pullback. Before the U.S. elections on November 5th, if Trump wins, it could further boost the bullish momentum, leading to a new bull run.
- **Target Price:** $80k - $100k
**Scenario B:**
Consolidation this week and a retest of all-time highs could lead to a pullback to the previous resistance zone before the U.S. elections, followed by a continued upward trend.
13% profit 30% in total, bitcoin might do a new higher high Recap: first off all congratulations to everyone who followed my signals, we are on our second trade the first one made more than 16% profit and the second since September 1st made more than 13% and still going strong
Since September 1st I've guided my followers through entry and exit points and thanks to my perfect entry the last panic sale didn't put us in the red even thought I've pleaded every trader to buy Bitcoin and that it will at least go above 65858$ and I've been trolled for saying that now the joke's on you
Bitcoin will continue it's uptred and might do a new higher high
Bitcoin is entering dangerous territoryBitcoin just hit 80 on the 1W (Weekly) cycle and is gearing up for one final push before a 1-1.5 month bearish phase. If reading that sentence made your face go pale, and you're pretending to follow along but don’t fully understand the market right now – this edition is for you.
Making money in crypto isn’t rocket science if you follow cycles. Buy near cycle lows, sell near cycle highs (the hard part). The challenge is identifying those lows and highs.
If this plays out in the current cycle, Bitcoin’s price movement would look something like this:
The truth is, predicting the height of the next cycle is never simple. We’re currently on Day 36 of the 60-day cycle, and we’re still below the mid-cycle high. Typically, this signals a bearish cycle, so we shouldn’t expect new highs until the next cycle low in early November (which means don’t rush to buy now!).
Alternatively, there’s a higher probability we’re in a left-translated daily cycle and on the verge of a downside reversal. A left-translated cycle would look like this:
I know, I know, you don’t like hearing that there are two potential scenarios without a clear short-term trend. But that’s exactly when you need to stay out of the market. That’s exactly when you protect your capital and avoid jumping into trades just because you "feel" like it. Now, take a look at what my 1D, 3D, and 1W Cycle indicators are showing:
My cycle indicators are telling the same story – patience! The 1D Indicator just reversed and looks like it’s targeting the 80s, suggesting a short-term uptrend. Meanwhile, the 3D Indicator just dipped below 20, which is intriguing.
The 1W Cycle Indicator is pushing above 80, signaling danger ahead – Bitcoin is nearing its 1W cycle top, but we could still see one final push upwards.
I’ve even added a Wavetrend Oscillator, which complements my Cycle theory well. It’s currently at 0 – a neutral zone.
When will I be ready to re-enter the market?
I’ll wait until the 1D Indicator drops back to the 20s. By then, the 3D Indicator should be heading up, offering a great opportunity to catch the next pump.
For now, stay safe, protect your capital in cold storage (or a Web3 wallet), and avoid overtrading!
More than 5% profit congratulations to the bullsIt's not too late this is just the beginning
Since October we've seen a major panic sale from bitcoin holders simply because of some uncertainties regarding the political state of the USA
I've entered my trade September 1st at 59036$ and I've been green since then
Bitcoin did only what he was supposed to do which is recover in an explosive way 🧨🧨🧨🧨🧨
It's just the beginning it will at least go above the 65858$ higher high
Bitcoin(BTC) Near Key Resistance- Breakout or Pullback Ahead ??Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance level at $65,420. 🚀 If BTC breaks through, we could see a push toward the next major target at $70,037. However, if it gets rejected, we might head back down to the support zones near $60,258 or even lower toward $57,315. 📉
Both bulls and bears should stay on high alert—this is a pivotal moment for BTC! Whether you’re looking for a breakout or preparing for a pullback, this chart is loaded with opportunities. Get ready to make your move! 💥
Trade what you see
MB Trader
BTCUSD: October is the countdown to the Cycle's Top.Bitcoin is having a strong pullback today, turning the 1D technical outlook bearish (RSI = 40.457, MACD = -31.100, ADX = 28.196). This is no cause for concern as long as the 1W MA50 holds. In addition, every October after a Halving event has been the start of the Cycle rally and interestingly enough the top has always been formed 13-14 months after! This indicates that we still have more than a year of bullish trend ahead of us with the top projected inside November - December 2025.
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