BTC EN OF 2024**Fundamentals:* *
The reduction of interest rates will favor higher-risk assets, monetary destruction, and monetary stimuli. A 0.50 bp rate cut is expected by the end of 2024. There is high liquidity in the market, with large investors having cash available, indicating a potential market entry.
**BTC Analysis:**
Bitcoin is consolidating right at the resistance of lower highs around $68k.
**Scenario A:**
If this resistance breaks, it could signal the start of a bullish momentum. After breaking through the highs, it would be normal to see some consolidation or a slight pullback. Before the U.S. elections on November 5th, if Trump wins, it could further boost the bullish momentum, leading to a new bull run.
- **Target Price:** $80k - $100k
**Scenario B:**
Consolidation this week and a retest of all-time highs could lead to a pullback to the previous resistance zone before the U.S. elections, followed by a continued upward trend.
Bitcointrading
13% profit 30% in total, bitcoin might do a new higher high Recap: first off all congratulations to everyone who followed my signals, we are on our second trade the first one made more than 16% profit and the second since September 1st made more than 13% and still going strong
Since September 1st I've guided my followers through entry and exit points and thanks to my perfect entry the last panic sale didn't put us in the red even thought I've pleaded every trader to buy Bitcoin and that it will at least go above 65858$ and I've been trolled for saying that now the joke's on you
Bitcoin will continue it's uptred and might do a new higher high
Bitcoin is entering dangerous territoryBitcoin just hit 80 on the 1W (Weekly) cycle and is gearing up for one final push before a 1-1.5 month bearish phase. If reading that sentence made your face go pale, and you're pretending to follow along but don’t fully understand the market right now – this edition is for you.
Making money in crypto isn’t rocket science if you follow cycles. Buy near cycle lows, sell near cycle highs (the hard part). The challenge is identifying those lows and highs.
If this plays out in the current cycle, Bitcoin’s price movement would look something like this:
The truth is, predicting the height of the next cycle is never simple. We’re currently on Day 36 of the 60-day cycle, and we’re still below the mid-cycle high. Typically, this signals a bearish cycle, so we shouldn’t expect new highs until the next cycle low in early November (which means don’t rush to buy now!).
Alternatively, there’s a higher probability we’re in a left-translated daily cycle and on the verge of a downside reversal. A left-translated cycle would look like this:
I know, I know, you don’t like hearing that there are two potential scenarios without a clear short-term trend. But that’s exactly when you need to stay out of the market. That’s exactly when you protect your capital and avoid jumping into trades just because you "feel" like it. Now, take a look at what my 1D, 3D, and 1W Cycle indicators are showing:
My cycle indicators are telling the same story – patience! The 1D Indicator just reversed and looks like it’s targeting the 80s, suggesting a short-term uptrend. Meanwhile, the 3D Indicator just dipped below 20, which is intriguing.
The 1W Cycle Indicator is pushing above 80, signaling danger ahead – Bitcoin is nearing its 1W cycle top, but we could still see one final push upwards.
I’ve even added a Wavetrend Oscillator, which complements my Cycle theory well. It’s currently at 0 – a neutral zone.
When will I be ready to re-enter the market?
I’ll wait until the 1D Indicator drops back to the 20s. By then, the 3D Indicator should be heading up, offering a great opportunity to catch the next pump.
For now, stay safe, protect your capital in cold storage (or a Web3 wallet), and avoid overtrading!
More than 5% profit congratulations to the bullsIt's not too late this is just the beginning
Since October we've seen a major panic sale from bitcoin holders simply because of some uncertainties regarding the political state of the USA
I've entered my trade September 1st at 59036$ and I've been green since then
Bitcoin did only what he was supposed to do which is recover in an explosive way 🧨🧨🧨🧨🧨
It's just the beginning it will at least go above the 65858$ higher high
Bitcoin(BTC) Near Key Resistance- Breakout or Pullback Ahead ??Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance level at $65,420. 🚀 If BTC breaks through, we could see a push toward the next major target at $70,037. However, if it gets rejected, we might head back down to the support zones near $60,258 or even lower toward $57,315. 📉
Both bulls and bears should stay on high alert—this is a pivotal moment for BTC! Whether you’re looking for a breakout or preparing for a pullback, this chart is loaded with opportunities. Get ready to make your move! 💥
Trade what you see
MB Trader
BTCUSD: October is the countdown to the Cycle's Top.Bitcoin is having a strong pullback today, turning the 1D technical outlook bearish (RSI = 40.457, MACD = -31.100, ADX = 28.196). This is no cause for concern as long as the 1W MA50 holds. In addition, every October after a Halving event has been the start of the Cycle rally and interestingly enough the top has always been formed 13-14 months after! This indicates that we still have more than a year of bullish trend ahead of us with the top projected inside November - December 2025.
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BTC Holding Above EMA200: Will We See a Jump to $66K?📈 📈
BTC/USD is currently holding strong above the EMA200, which is a key indicator of support. If the current support level continues to hold, we could see a significant move up towards the $66K resistance. However, if the support fails, we may see a retest of the $60K support zone before any potential recovery.
Interestingly, the Stochastic RSI on the 4-hour chart is signaling that the market is in an oversold condition, which increases the likelihood of a bounce back in the near term. The next few moves are crucial—keep an eye on these levels and manage your risk carefully.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoUpdate
Bitcoin update 5000$ in a rowbtc exactly reacted where the supply area and gave 2000$ in sell side and upside almost gave 3000++ points and also market still running in sell side
📌 Please support me with your likes 🤞🏻 and comments 💬 to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your any opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Davis 🥰
Hit the like 🤞🏻 button to !! Motive some energy !!🥇
📌 Note :
⨻ Check the live market updates and analysis yourself before buy 📈🔺 or sell 📉🔻
⨺ Am not giving any advisory or signals its just my idea for upgrade my knowledge 📚 in trading
⨹ This is my pre and post market analysis to improve my trading journey 🚀
⨂ Am Not suggesting anyone to buy or sell ❌ am just giving my views 👀
⫸ You are responsible for your trading ✅ not me ❌ ⫷
HAPPY TRADING 🥰
BTCUSD: An insane rally is starting courtesy of the USDT Dom.Bitcoin is rebounding today aggressively on the 1D MA50, being only neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.075, MACD = 23.455, ADX = 23.455), indicating that the upside potential is tremendous. One correlating asset in particular is showing that an insane rally is about to start, and that's the USDT Dominance. It is about to make a bearish reversal which on October 12th 2023, kickstarted the last strong rally of Bitcoin. We expect 100k to be met on this one.
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BTC at Critical Support: Strategy for the Breakout or Further DeBTC is currently holding strong around the $60K support level, but the overall trend is still showing a downtrend on the hourly chart, with the price trading below the EMA21, EMA50, and EMA200. The market is at a crucial point, and patience is key to avoiding unnecessary risks. Here's my detailed strategy for short-term trading in this scenario:
1. If the trend breaks out:
- I'll wait for confirmation of a breakout above the current trendline.
After the breakout, I will enter a buy position on the pullback, targeting an entry around $60,900 and a stop-loss set just below $59,900 to manage my risk.
- My take-profit target 1 is $63,100, and my take-profit target 2 is $66,000, where I expect potential resistance. This setup ensures I'm following the trend with minimal risk.
2. If the downtrend continues:
I'll hold off on any immediate trades and wait for the price to reach the next support zone around $58K-$57K, as highlighted on the daily chart.
- I will only consider entering a position if the price manages to go above the EMA21 and EMA50, signalling potential bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal.
If the price breaks below $57K, I’ll reassess the situation, as further downside to GETTEX:52K -$50K could be possible.
Advice: It’s important to remember that no trade is guaranteed, and risk is always involved. My approach is to wait for clear signals before entering any position, ensuring the risk is managed correctly. I’ll also closely watch for volume spikes and any potential news influencing market movement.
Finally, with the market being highly volatile, this is *not financial advice*. I always recommend doing your own research and making sure you're comfortable with the risk involved before making any trade decisions. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and remember that sometimes the best trade is the one you don’t take!
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCommunity #RiskManagement #NotFinancialAdvice
BTCUSD: $69000 for the next Channel Up High.Bitcoin is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.493, MACD = 1450.700, ADX = 46.244) as it is extending a Channel Up since the Sep 6th low. The 4H MA50 has supported three times with the latest being just yesterday (Sep 26th). The two before initiated bullish waves of +9.06% and +11.39%. For as long as the 4H MA50 supports, we expect this Channel Up to test the top of the six month Channel Down (TP = 69,000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) + trade planTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan
Descending Trading Channel:
Bitcoin appears to be moving within a descending trading channel, with the price gradually testing the lower bounds and trying to break out from this downtrend.
The key resistance for a breakout from this descending channel is around the 64,000 USDT level, while the support is close to the 62,500 USDT level.
A breakout above the upper channel line would indicate a potential bullish reversal and continuation to the upside.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance: The primary resistance zone is around 64,333 USDT (marked on the chart). A breakout above this level may result in the next target being around 66,966 USDT.
Support: The nearest support level is 62,566 USDT. A breakdown below this could push the price towards the lower support area around 59,544.5 USDT.
Momentum Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator is currently showing some positive momentum with green dots indicating potential bullish divergence, suggesting that the price may increase soon.
RSI (14, close): The RSI is hovering around 50, indicating neutral momentum. A break above 50 could indicate a bullish trend, while a drop below could signal a bearish continuation.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stoch (14, 1, 3) shows an overbought condition at 82.78, which may suggest a short-term pullback or consolidation. However, if the upward trend continues, this can be ignored in favor of further bullish momentum.
HMA+ Histogram: The HMA+ (Hull Moving Average) is slightly bullish with a reading of 33.0, indicating that the short-term trend may be shifting toward the upside.
Volume:
The chart shows moderate volume. Higher volume accompanying a breakout above the resistance level will be crucial to confirm the move.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above 64,333 USDT with confirmed volume.
Target 1: The first target would be around 65,000 USDT.
Target 2: If momentum persists, the second target could be 66,966 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support at 62,500 USDT to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: If Bitcoin breaks below 62,566 USDT, consider entering a short position.
Target 1: The first target would be around 61,000 USDT.
Target 2: A further decline could push the price toward 59,544.5 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the 64,333 USDT level to minimize potential losses.
Summary:
Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal point within a descending channel. If the price breaks above the key resistance at 64,333 USDT, there is potential for a bullish breakout targeting 66,966 USDT. However, if Bitcoin breaks down from the 62,566 USDT support, the bearish scenario could unfold, leading to a possible drop toward the 59,500 USDT zone. Monitoring volume and key indicators like RSI, Stochastic, and HMA+ will be important for confirming the direction.
Bitcoin - MORE INCREASE? Have to see THIS FIRSTBitcoin has been giving us some positive vibes as buying pressure shows up on lower timeframes. We've even managed to keep the price above $60k - an excellent sign of strength.
However, before considering more upside there really is just ONE thing we need to see - higher lows.
For as long as we are unable to breakout ABOVE the diagonal resistance zone, we'll just be stair stepping down into a slowburn, slow decline until point 4 is established and we're ready to complete the final impulse wave up (4-5).
Making higher lows would result in prices back towards the upper 60's, with a successful retest of the neckline support.
EXTRA FOR EXPERTS - Here's how to use the Bitcoin Dominance chart together with the Altcoin market chart to gauge the next direction of BTC:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC shortWe have ASK disbalance in this range. And it was not real growth, cuz it was a growth without market purchases. Perhaps we can see the price a little higher until we go down but it's doesn't matter. The buyer works only with limit demand, and the seller still here and wait for the time to sell. Z-coef 1D almost on the critical short zone, so we will see a dump soon.
Sep 19, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysisBitcoin is within an approximate horizontal trend channel in the short term, which indicates further development in the same direction. The currency has broken up through resistance at points 61400. This predicts a further rise. In case of negative reactions, there will now be support at points 61400. The currency is assessed as technically positive for the short term.
Sep 18, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysis Bitcoin has broken the falling trend channel in the short term and reacted strongly up. For the time being, it is difficult to say anything about the future trend direction. The currency is approacing resistance at 61400 points, which may give a negative reaction. However, a break upwards through 61400 points will be a positive signal. The currency is assessed as technically slightly negative for the short term.
MicroStrategy’s Bold Bitcoin Play: $700 Mln in BTC AcquisitionIn a move that highlights its unwavering commitment to Bitcoin, MicroStrategy, led by its CEO Michael Saylor, has announced a fresh $700 million debt offering to acquire more Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). This marks the second such offering in just one month as the company aggressively expands its Bitcoin holdings. Known for its bullish stance on Bitcoin, MicroStrategy has now accumulated a staggering 244,800 BTC as part of its Treasury Reserve Asset (TRA) strategy.
The Latest Debt Offering
The newly proposed $700 million debt offering comes in the form of Convertible Senior Notes, which will be available only to qualified institutional investors. MicroStrategy plans to use the proceeds from this offering to redeem $500 million of its 6.125% Senior Secured Notes due 2028. After settling these debts, the remaining funds will be directed toward acquiring additional Bitcoin and other general corporate purposes.
This is not MicroStrategy's first foray into issuing convertible notes to fund its Bitcoin strategy. The company has previously conducted similar offerings, raising billions of dollars to support its growing Bitcoin portfolio. In June of this year, it made an $800 million offering, followed by a $1.1 billion Bitcoin purchase, which added 18,300 BTC to its reserves.
MicroStrategy’s Unstoppable Bitcoin Streak
MicroStrategy began its Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) acquisition spree in August 2020, becoming one of the first publicly traded companies to adopt Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) as a primary reserve asset. Over the years, the company has consistently used debt to bolster its Bitcoin reserves, reinforcing its belief in Bitcoin as a long-term store of value.
This strategy has often paid off for the company, especially in times of Bitcoin price appreciation. Most notably, MicroStrategy’s stock (MSTR) has soared as a direct result of its Bitcoin investments. After recent acquisitions, MSTR’s stock price surged by 18.74%, outpacing the broader market and gaining value even when other stocks faced volatility.
Bitcoin’s Current Market Dynamics
Despite MicroStrategy's massive Bitcoin purchase plans, the cryptocurrency itself has experienced some downward pressure. At the time of writing, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is down 2% after showing strength in previous weeks. This pullback is intriguing as it comes amid positive sentiment surrounding Bitcoin's recent performance and broader adoption.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 48, indicating a potential for a bullish reversal. The key pivot point for Bitcoin remains at $70,000, a level that traders and analysts are closely watching. If Bitcoin can break through this resistance, it could set off another significant rally, supported by the increasing institutional interest exemplified by companies like MicroStrategy.
Institutional Impact and MSTR Stock
MicroStrategy’s continued commitment to Bitcoin reflects a growing trend of institutional adoption of the cryptocurrency. With its relentless accumulation of Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), MicroStrategy is making a bold bet on the long-term potential of the digital asset. As more institutions and corporations follow suit, Bitcoin could further cement its status as a mainstream financial asset.
For MicroStrategy, its aggressive Bitcoin strategy has not only bolstered its stock but also differentiated the company from its peers. MSTR has consistently outperformed other tech stocks, thanks in large part to its Bitcoin holdings. As the company continues to issue convertible debt and acquire more Bitcoin, investors will keep a close eye on both the price of Bitcoin and the value of MSTR stock.
Conclusion
MicroStrategy's latest $700 million debt offering underscores its confidence in Bitcoin’s future. With 244,800 CRYPTOCAP:BTC already in its reserves and plans to accumulate more, the company is betting on Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) as a core part of its corporate strategy. While Bitcoin faces near-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains promising, especially with institutional players like MicroStrategy continuing to lead the charge. If Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) can breach the $70,000 pivot, MicroStrategy’s bullish strategy could prove even more lucrative for both the company and its investors.
The Power of Probability: Navigating BTCUSD Longs with PrecisionSeveral key fundamentals support a bullish outlook for BTCUSD. Increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation continues to drive demand.
There's growing interest in Bitcoin ETFs, potentially broadening investor access. Recent political developments, such as President Biden's unexpected withdrawal from the 2024 election, have introduced volatility in traditional markets, potentially making Bitcoin more attractive as an alternative investment.
Additionally, on-chain metrics show a shift towards Bitcoin accumulation, especially among large wallets and long-term holders, suggesting renewed market confidence.
I'm utilizing probabilities to position myself for long trades in BTCUSD. By focusing on high-probability setups, I can identify favorable entry points where the risk-reward ratio is advantageous for long positions
1D:
2H:
Let's discuss our strategies and learn from each other!
BITCOIN: W-shaped recovery targeting Resistance at 68k.Bitcoin is almost overbought on the 1H time-frame due to the current buying pressure but on the 1D chart it remains borderline neutral (RSI = 53.457, MACD = -719.220, ADX = 22.714) suggesting that this rally should technically still have some momentum behind it. The first notable Resistance is the 1D MA50, which should be tested today, but in our opinion will break as it seems that the prevailing pattern since the July High is a W-shaped recovery.
In addition the market has formed a Triple Bottom Zone on the July 5th, August 5th and September 6th Lows, a quite interesting feat as there is a 1 month gap between each. That favors the development of the last part of the W-shaped recovery. Once a 1D candle closes over the 1D MA50, we don't expect any Resistance until the LH Zone. Our target is at the bottom of that zone (TP = 68,000).
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when moon sir? 69k when bear sir? 37666.33red lines - sell or watch zone for bull trend continuation
orange lines - touch already
green lines - accumulation zone (with DCA)
BULLRUN confirmation after 69000 retest (at least on small tf).
BEARMARKET? we don`t talk things like this here :)
But personally i think that we have around 40% chance for a new low under 47000.
Altcoins? other story...NOV or next year