DXY at 108.4: The Dollar’s Midlife Crisis—Breakout or Breakdown?Alright, traders, let’s not sugarcoat it. What you’re looking at here isn’t just another chart—it’s the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) standing at the gates of destiny. 💥
🔥 The Setup:
Testing the almighty 108.4 resistance. Will it smash through like a battering ram or faceplant into oblivion? 🤔
Riding the top of the Bollinger Bands like it’s a rollercoaster at peak speed. Overbought much? 🎢
RSI? She’s chilling at 59 —neither here nor there but whispering “don’t count me out just yet.” 🧘♂️
🚀 The Bullish Dream: Break 108.4, and this thing’s flying to the moon (or at least 112). Bulls will party like it’s 1985. 🐂💃
💀 The Bearish Nightmare: Rejected here? Say hello to a pullback at 104, and if things really hit the fan, we’re looking at 100.6. Bears will sip their coffee smugly. 🐻☕
But here’s the kicker: DXY isn’t just a chart—it’s the puppet master pulling the strings of everything from Bitcoin to gold to your morning cup of coffee. ☕ (Yes, inflation is still a thing.)
⚡ Final Word: Whether it breaks or bends, this is the make-or-break moment for the dollar. Get ready for fireworks. 🎇
George out. ✌️ #DXY #DollarIndex #Forex
Bitcoinusd
Near Term Bitcoin LTF Weakness to Establish HTF TR BottomThe New Year is looking bright for Bitcoin with the most recent report from Franklin Templeton predicting “nations to adopt strategic Bitcoin reserves in 2025.” It should be interesting to see how sustainable it will be for Bitcoin to be a practical method to both store and transfer value, given its TPS limitation as more Nations and Institutions become larger players on the chain. I believe this presents an incredible opportunity for quality POW governance tokens to shine and become a very real complementary alternative.
But I digress – what’s up with Big Daddy Bitcoin and the No Santa Rally?
On the LTF (1D) Point and Figure, the formation is currently printing a distribution pattern, forming a Last Point of Supply (LPSY) at a local high of $96,000 to retest the prior local high at $95,400 Bitcoin established after moving into Phase D Distribution of the distribution cycle. True to form in Phase D of a Distribution Cycle, the formation printed the preliminary sign of weakness, dropping to the $91,400 handle before the retest.
The characteristic of Phase D Distribution is a Major Sign of Weakness occurs at the end of Phase D which “Breaks the Ice” of the lower level of support (in this case $90,800). The horizontal price count suggests a potential near-term fall from the current level to the $$86,600 region from a Major Sign of Weakness (MSOW), before a relief rally to “Return to Ice” and subsequent Preliminary Support (PS) and Selling Climax (SC) are established.
The positive take should be on the Higher Time Frame (HTF), this PA is all about establishing the bottom of the new Trade Range, which has recently established the $108,300 handle at the upper limit of this Trade Range. Consolidation within this range should happen for a bit to establish both future direction and build cause within the formation to build potential (much like coiling a spring) for the next move.
Always remember this is not trading advice.
Outside of that, Happy Trading.
Ether Poised to Outshine Bitcoin in 2025: A Deep Dive
The cryptocurrency market is a dynamic and ever-evolving space, with Bitcoin and Ether leading the charge. While Bitcoin has long held the crown as the dominant cryptocurrency, Ether, the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum network, is increasingly being seen as a strong contender for future growth and potential market dominance. Several factors suggest that 2025 could be the year that Ether truly comes into its own, potentially outperforming Bitcoin in terms of price appreciation and adoption.
Ethereum's Technological Advancements
Ethereum's shift to a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism with the Merge in 2022 was a landmark event. This transition significantly reduced Ethereum's energy consumption and laid the groundwork for future scalability improvements. The upcoming "Surge," "Verge," "Purge," and "Splurge" upgrades aim to enhance Ethereum's transaction processing capabilities further, making it more efficient and cost-effective for users. These technological advancements are crucial for Ethereum's long-term growth and its ability to handle increasing transaction volumes.
The Rise of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and NFTs
Ethereum's blockchain serves as the foundation for a vast ecosystem of decentralized applications (dApps), including DeFi protocols and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). The DeFi sector has witnessed explosive growth in recent years, with Ethereum leading the way in terms of total value locked (TVL). NFTs have also gained immense popularity, with Ethereum being the primary platform for their creation and trading. The continued growth of these sectors is expected to drive demand for Ether, as it is the primary currency used within the Ethereum ecosystem.
Institutional Adoption and Regulatory Clarity
Institutional investors are increasingly showing interest in the cryptocurrency market, and Ethereum is attracting a significant portion of this attention. The approval of spot Ether ETFs in mid-2024 has further legitimized Ether as an investment asset, making it more accessible to both institutional and retail investors. As regulatory clarity surrounding cryptocurrencies improves, institutional adoption is expected to accelerate, further driving demand for Ether.
Bitcoin's Limitations and Challenges
While Bitcoin remains the most well-known cryptocurrency, it faces certain limitations that could hinder its growth potential. Bitcoin's primary use case is as a store of value and a digital currency, while Ethereum offers a much broader range of functionalities through its smart contract capabilities. Additionally, Bitcoin's energy-intensive proof-of-work (PoW) consensus mechanism has raised environmental concerns, which could become a more significant issue as regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrencies intensifies.
Ether's Potential for Outperformance
Several analysts and industry experts believe that Ether has the potential to outperform Bitcoin in 2025. The combination of Ethereum's technological advancements, the growth of DeFi and NFTs, increasing institutional adoption, and the limitations of Bitcoin's technology could create a perfect storm for Ether's price appreciation. While Bitcoin is expected to continue its growth trajectory, Ether's unique value proposition and its central role in the expanding Web3 ecosystem could give it a significant edge.
Conclusion
The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and predicting future price movements with certainty is impossible. However, based on the current trends and developments, Ether appears to be well-positioned for significant growth in 2025. The Ethereum network's ongoing technological advancements, its thriving ecosystem of dApps, and the increasing interest from institutional investors all point towards a bright future for Ether. While Bitcoin will likely remain a dominant force in the cryptocurrency market, Ether's potential for outperformance in 2025 cannot be ignored.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investors should conduct their research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!)
We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that)
Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.”
So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea!
A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k.
And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet)
⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇
then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
Back to the Roots: BitcoinAs predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin was rejected at **$100k** and is now approaching a cycle low. 📉
📊 Current Analysis:
❌ We’re not at the bottom yet, and it’s not time to buy.
🔵 The 1-day indicator (dark blue line) is currently at **68** and looks poised to reverse to the downside, signaling a potential cycle break.
⏳ Even if this doesn’t happen, the 1-day cycle will need approximately a week to return to the **20 range**, marking Bitcoin’s 60-day cycle low.
📍 The low could form anywhere between **$85k and $91k**.
💡 Remember: **Cycles don’t predict prices; they provide timing bands for tops and bottoms.**
🔮 Next Cycle Outlook:
⚠️ The upcoming 60-day Bitcoin cycle doesn’t look promising:
1️⃣ The **1-week indicator** spent a significant amount of time above **80** and is now trending downward.
2️⃣ This cycle reflects the general trend for the next 1-2 months and currently leans **bearish**.
3️⃣ We may need more time before the market reverses to the upside.
✨ Despite this, there are intriguing opportunities in the market right now. More details are available in the **Premium group**.
✅ Stay safe, trust the cycles, and build your wealth.💪
Let me know if you’d like further tweaks! 🚀
BITCOIN - Time to be Bearish!The 3-day chart shows a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.
-A bearish divergence occurs when:
1. Price Action: The asset's price forms higher highs (uptrend).
2. RSI Indicator: The RSI forms lower highs instead of following the price
This divergence suggests that the upward momentum is weakening, even though the price is climbing, which could lead to a potential downtrend or correction.
Based on this a drop to the 80k region is expected, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
This decline perfectly corresponds to the fourth wave of the Elliott Impulse Wave.
Afterward, a significant recovery is expected, representing Bitcoin's final bullish wave in the Elliott Wave cycle (the fifth wave)
My outlook for the chart suggests a decline starting now and lasting until mid-February at most
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin BTC Is Preparing Last Drop To $89k Before The Rally!Merry Christmas, Skyrexians!
Today BINANCE:BTCUSDT started moving again and this move is downward. That's why it causes a lot of emotions. But we warned you in our last analysis that Bitcoin will reach GETTEX:89K at least before the bull run continuation. Today we will take a look in details how this dump can be finished soon.
Let's take a look at the 1 hour timeframe. When Bitcoin has recently reached the top our new Multilayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy closed all long trades and the dump was without any actions. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
After that we have seen the wave A which consists of 5 waves. The next bounce was the wave B zigzag shaped. Today price dropped suddenly and hard, this is the sign that wave C is already in progress. Soon we will see the final target at $89k. From there we can expect the bullish continuation above $120k.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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BTC : All Time High IN - OR Multimonth Playout?Bitcoin has begun a steep drop, and it's likely that the ATH is priced in. This fits my previous idea that the ATH would either be just over or just under 100k.
There is, ofcourse, another option as well - a continuation over the next few months. This is likely if the price of BTC follows a fractal of the previous cycle. It would become likely if we see a strong bounce around the 81-82K zone, pushing us up into the 90's.
But, at the moment, I'm leaning towards the idea that the ATH is in.
It would also makes sense for the ATH to be in, from an Elliot Wave Theory perspective, since we've made a perfect 5 waves. If this is indeed the case, we can look forward to a few more rallies in the altmarket.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin's Rally Loses Steam: A Reversal Pattern Takes Shape● Bitcoin reached a record high of approximately $108,390, driven by strong bullish momentum.
● However, the rally was short-lived as intense selling pressure kicked in, triggering a rapid decline to $92,500 and erasing some of the recent gains.
● The frequent price fluctuations are likely to form a Head & Shoulder pattern, a bearish pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal and further downside.
● A sharp decline is expected if Bitcoin breaches below $91,500.
BTC/USDT: Breaking Free from a Descending Broadening WedgePattern Breakdown:
Descending Broadening Wedge:
Characterized by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), this pattern reflects increasing volatility and a potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
Historically, these patterns often resolve to the upside as buyers reclaim control.
--------------------------------------
Current Structure:
BTC has bounced from the lower boundary of the wedge, showing signs of a bullish reversal.
The price action aligns well with the theoretical breakout strategy depicted in the diagram, highlighting a high-probability long setup.
--------------------------------------
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: The upper boundary of the wedge around $98,000 serves as the first hurdle.
Breakout Target: A successful breakout above $98,000 could push BTC toward the highlighted supply zone at $101,200-$102,000.
Support Levels: Critical support rests near $93,500, where bulls need to maintain control to preserve the bullish outlook.
--------------------------------------
Momentum Indicators:
Volume: A noticeable decline during the wedge's formation suggests consolidation, often preceding a strong breakout.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is turning upward from oversold levels, signaling increasing buying pressure.
--------------------------------------
Trade Setup:
Entry: Watch for a confirmed breakout above $98,000.
Targets: The first target lies at $101,200, with the potential for further upside toward $105,000 if momentum sustains.
Stop Loss: A break below $93,500 invalidates the bullish scenario.
Bitcoin BTC Has Almost Finished Correction: Huge Gains Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
We hope you made a right decision when received the warning sign by our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator from our previous Bitcoin analysis . Now we see that this correction is happening right now and there is some space to go down more but not that much as you may be think.
Let's take a look at the daily BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart. We can see that our indicator has printed the red dot at the top of the wave 3. After that this dump has been started. This is wave 4 and it has the clear target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels. Therefore we can conclude that max target which price can reach before the reversal is 84k, but it's more likely the reversal will happen earlier, at $89k.
When correction will be finished we can expect the wave 5 with the optimistic targets between $120k and $140k. Here is nothing change from the last analysis. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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DAY 2 - Daily BTC Update Yesterday's Update
I’ve dropped the chart to a daily timeframe to analyse signals that upward momentum could return. Here's what I’m seeing:
STOCH RSI: The indicator is nearing a cross, historically pointing to a potential bounce.
0.236 Fibonacci Level: The current candle at this level is a Dragonfly Doji, which, if confirmed by the next few candles, is often a signal for reversal.
Many of you have asked why markets dipped despite the 25bps rate cut. Here’s the insight:
Federal Reserve Outlook: The Fed has signalled fewer rate cuts in 2025, tempering market enthusiasm and creating uncertainty in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
BTC Exchange Net Outflows: Over the past 24 hours, 4,169 BTC have been removed from exchanges, continuing a two-day streak of net outflows. This suggests a decreasing supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, a possible sign that holders are moving assets to cold storage or other off-exchange wallets, signalling confidence in holding for the longer term.
Supply and Demand in Bitcoin
Understanding supply and demand is crucial for interpreting Bitcoin’s price movements:
Supply: When the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges decreases, as we’re seeing now, it often indicates that fewer people are willing to sell. Holders moving BTC to cold storage or off-exchange wallets typically signal confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and reduce the immediate availability for trading.
Demand: If demand for Bitcoin remains constant or increases while supply decreases, basic economic principles suggest that prices will likely rise. Conversely, if demand weakens while supply remains limited, the price can stagnate or fall.
Right now, the net outflows from exchanges suggest supply is tightening, setting the stage for potential upward price pressure if demand increases. Now we need to watch and wait for a TETHER print that often happens with increased demand.
Please give me a like if this has helped and see you again tomorrow :)
Bitcoin Fed Can’t Hold Bitcoin, No Plans Yet To Change Law, Powell Says
Jerome Powell says the Fed isn't allowed to own Bitcoin.
He also says the bank cannot create a stockpile of digital assets.
The market immediately reacted to Powell's statement, sending Bitcoin's price down by 5.7%.Bitcoin Decline Continues: Are Bulls Losing Control?
Bitcoin price extended losses and traded below the $100,000 zone.
BTC is struggling and might continue to move down toward the $92,000 support zone.
Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $102,000 resistance zone.
There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $98,500.
Glassnode's Week on Chain report revealed the similarities between the current Bitcoin uptrend and previous cycles amid changing market conditions. Meanwhile, long-term investors began distributing their tokens at the $100K level, culminating in a new all-time high of $2.1 billion in realized profitsAccording to blockchain analytics firm Glassnode's weekly report, Bitcoin's current price performance has a striking resemblance with the 2015-2018 and 2018-2021 cycles despite the changing dynamics in its market structure.
Like previous cycles, the selling pressure that accompanies sustained price increases has remained but at a much lower pace. The deepest drawdown in this cycle occurred on August 5, 2024, when prices dropped 32% below their peak
Bitcoin | First Line of DefenseBitcoin's first line of defense lies within the blue boxes, marking potential areas of interest. However, there are currently no significant demand zones, making it more prudent to wait for upside breakouts on lower timeframes before considering a buyer's position.
Given the uncertainty around the depth of the ongoing correction, it's wise to maintain some cash reserves to adapt to market movements effectively. Patience and careful observation will be key in navigating this phase.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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Analyzing Bitcoin's price to 200K$Analyzing the BTC/USD Chart
A very interesting pattern is forming on the BTC/USD chart, particularly on the 1-month time frame. After analyzing the chart and considering Bitcoin's historical behavior, I believe we're currently within an uptrend channel—a trend that has been intact for several years now. The price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, suggesting strong upward momentum. This is a significant indicator of Bitcoin's long-term bullish trend.
Larger Timeframe Pattern: The Triangle Formation
Looking at the larger time frame, I observe that a triangle pattern is gradually taking shape. These triangles typically form during periods of consolidation, where price action compresses within converging trendlines. This suggests that we're witnessing a significant pattern of indecision between buyers and sellers.
Crucially, triangles often lead to a breakout once the price is forced to move beyond the confines of the pattern. Given Bitcoin’s history of explosive moves following periods of consolidation, it seems plausible that we are on the verge of another major breakout.
Anticipating a Breakout and Price Movement
If the triangle pattern continues to develop as expected, I anticipate that Bitcoin could break to the upside, potentially seeing substantial price appreciation in the coming years. The extent of this breakout will depend on how the market reacts as the triangle continues to tighten. If sustained demand and interest continue—especially from institutional investors—the breakout could be significant, driving Bitcoin’s price even higher.
Why Bitcoin Could Reach $200,000: Key Factors
I believe there is a strong case for Bitcoin reaching $200,000 for one BTC within the next few years. Here’s why:
a. Long-Term Uptrend Channel
Bitcoin has demonstrated an ability to remain in an uptrend for long periods, even amidst volatility. The structure of higher highs and higher lows points to an ongoing bullish trend, driven by factors such as increasing adoption, technological advancements, and growing recognition of Bitcoin as a store of value.
b. Institutional Adoption
Major institutional players are increasingly embracing Bitcoin. Companies like MicroStrategy, Tesla, and Grayscale have purchased significant amounts, and platforms like PayPal and Fidelity have integrated Bitcoin into their offerings. As institutional demand continues to grow, it could drive Bitcoin’s price much higher.
c. Scarcity and Supply Dynamics
Bitcoin operates on a deflationary model, with a fixed supply of only 21 million coins. As demand increases, especially with Bitcoin’s growing use as a hedge against inflation, its price should naturally rise. The increasing amount of Bitcoin held long-term by investors and institutions reduces the available supply in the market, which could further drive up prices.
d. Global Economic Trends
The current macroeconomic environment, with rising inflation and potential fiat currency devaluation, makes Bitcoin an increasingly attractive alternative asset. Bitcoin is being viewed more and more as a “safe haven” asset—similar to gold—which strengthens the case for higher prices as more people look for stores of value outside traditional financial systems.
e. Technological and Network Upgrades
Bitcoin continues to evolve with improvements like the Lightning Network, which enhances scalability and transaction speeds. As Bitcoin’s infrastructure grows, its real-world use case increases, making it more valuable and usable for daily transactions, which in turn could further elevate its price.
f. Psychological Factors and FOMO
The Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) is a powerful force in financial markets, especially in the cryptocurrency space. As Bitcoin’s price begins to climb toward higher levels, it will likely attract more retail and institutional investors, accelerating its growth. A significant rally towards $200,000 could be fueled by this psychological factor.
Conclusion: The Road to $200,000
While Bitcoin's price movements are never without volatility, I believe that if it continues to follow the patterns we see on the chart, the breakout from the triangle could drive Bitcoin's price to $200,000 or even higher in the next few years. The fundamental factors supporting Bitcoin’s long-term growth—such as institutional adoption, scarcity, economic conditions, technological upgrades, and FOMO—make this projection plausible.
COIN 260 - 273 AFTER EARNINGS ?Why Coinbase Could Soar to $260 Post-Earnings
Coinbase, the renowned cryptocurrency exchange platform, has been making headlines with its impressive financial performance. As we approach the next earnings release, there’s a palpable buzz around the possibility of the stock price hitting the $260 mark. Here are some compelling reasons why this could become a reality:
Strong Earnings Report: Coinbase recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.04 for the quarter, significantly surpassing analysts’ consensus estimates1. This positive surprise is a testament to the company’s robust revenue generation and cost management strategies.
Revenue Growth: The company’s net revenue reached $905 million in the fourth quarter, marking a 45.2% increase from the previous quarter2. This surge in revenue reflects Coinbase’s ability to attract and retain a substantial user base, despite the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market.
Profitability: For the first time since the fourth quarter of 2021, Coinbase reported a net income of $273 million2. This return to profitability could be a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and operational efficiency.
Market Position: With a mission to increase economic freedom worldwide, Coinbase has established itself as a leading platform in the crypto economy3. Its comprehensive suite of services, including trading, staking, and safekeeping, positions it well to capitalize on the growing interest in cryptocurrencies.
Analyst Optimism: Some analysts have set high price targets for Coinbase, with predictions reaching as high as $2764. This optimism is fueled by the company’s consistent performance and the expanding adoption of crypto assets.
Technological Edge: Coinbase is not just a marketplace for crypto transactions; it’s also a technology provider that enables developers to create innovative crypto products3. This dual role could be a key driver in the company’s future growth and stock price appreciation.
Macro Factors: The broader financial market’s sentiment towards cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can significantly impact Coinbase’s stock. Positive developments in the crypto space often translate into increased trading volumes and higher revenues for exchanges like Coinbase.
Bitcoin Punches 108k Bulls up Bears Down!Bitcoin www.tradingview.com has broke past $108K, and the next key resistance levels are $110K and $112K . The $110K zone acts as psychological resistance where profit-taking is expected, while $112K aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the last breakout, a major target for traders watching harmonic patterns like AB=CD.
Key Indicators and Patterns
1. Bullish Flag Breakout: Bitcoin’s flag pattern breakout pushed prices with strong momentum.
2. MACD: A bullish crossover on the daily chart signals continuation potential.
3. RSI: At 74, momentum remains strong, though nearing overbought conditions
4. Volume Spike: Institutional buying has validated the breakout—big money moves faster than your ex on payday.
If Bitcoin clears $112K, the next target aligns near $120K-132k based on extended Fibonacci levels. For now, bulls are pounding the bears harder than a heavyweight boxer, and momentum indicators favor continued upside.
Congratulations to everyone for reaching this milestone—let’s stay focused and keep riding this bull like it owes us rent! Don't forget to follow to keep get daily updates!