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Bitcoin BTC price analysis, FOMC 19/03 - FED rateOur previous idea for OKX:BTCUSDT worked out 10 out of 10 Well, let's try to hit it again !) Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price showed growth despite the fact that the Fed left the rate unchanged yesterday #FOMC In short, Powell said that he was "hesitant" to cut the rate now because it is not known how the economy will be affected by the new "economic tariffs and economic wars" that come into effect in early April. In the US, one "grandfather" does not know what to expect from the other "grandfather" )) Nevertheless, #BTCUSD price has every chance of reaching $94k in the coming days. And then, I would like to see a decline in BTC.D and USDT.D, which in turn will allow altcoins to "stop collapsing", and some low-liquid ones, which are easier to pump, will show good growth, such as X Empire. 👀 In general, the last 2 months have been: "not about making money, but about surviving and keeping the deposit, even with a drawdown", but the next 3 months may be very much about making money. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
12
$9.4M Bitcoin Short Squeeze and its Market ImplicationsThe volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market is a well-established fact, but the sheer scale of some trades can still send ripples across the entire ecosystem. Recently, a Bitcoin whale executed a masterful maneuver, closing a $516 million short position with a staggering 40x leverage, pocketing a cool $9.4 million profit in just eight days. This event, occurring shortly after a lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, highlights the intricate interplay between macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment, and the strategic actions of large players. The whale's decision to close the short position immediately following the CPI release is particularly noteworthy. The lower-than-expected inflation figure signaled a potential easing of monetary inflation concerns, a development that is generally viewed favorably by Bitcoin investors. This optimistic signal likely triggered a shift in market sentiment, prompting the whale to capitalize on the impending price surge. The use of 40x leverage amplified both the potential gains and the risks associated with the trade. While it allowed the whale to generate a substantial profit in a short period, it also exposed them to significant losses if the market had moved against their position. This high-risk, high-reward strategy is characteristic of whale activity, where large players leverage their capital and market insights to execute impactful trades. The timing of the trade also underscores the importance of macroeconomic indicators in shaping Bitcoin's price trajectory. The CPI reading, a key measure of inflation, directly influences monetary policy decisions by central banks. Lower inflation can lead to a more dovish stance, potentially resulting in lower interest rates and increased liquidity, both of which are conducive to asset price appreciation, including Bitcoin. Interestingly, Tuesday has emerged as Bitcoin's most volatile day in 2025.2 This heightened volatility can be attributed to the release of key economic data, including the CPI, as well as the influence of global economic trends. Market participants anticipate increased activity on Tuesdays, making it a crucial day for traders and investors to monitor market developments. Despite the recent correction, Bitcoin's long-term outlook remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts believe the bull run is over, citing on-chain metrics and expecting up to 12 months of bearish or sideways price action, others maintain a more optimistic perspective, predicting a potential rally to over $200,000. The recent whale trade, coupled with the resumption of Bitcoin accumulation after three months of distribution, suggests that underlying demand for Bitcoin remains strong.3 This accumulation, particularly by long-term holders, can act as a stabilizing force, mitigating the impact of short-term price fluctuations.4 The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. While the potential for a breakout remains, the presence of significant selling pressure cannot be ignored. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months. The notion that the "Bitcoin bull cycle is over" is supported by some on-chain data, which can reveal information about investor behavior and market trends. However, interpreting on-chain metrics requires a nuanced understanding of the underlying data and its limitations. While these metrics can provide valuable insights, they should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Bitcoin's resilience in the face of market corrections is a testament to its growing adoption and acceptance as a mainstream asset. Despite the current correction, the cryptocurrency's ability to outperform global assets post-Trump election further reinforces its potential as a long-term investment. The whale's $9.4 million profit is a reminder of the potential for substantial gains in the cryptocurrency market. However, it also highlights the inherent risks associated with high-leverage trading. Investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before engaging in such strategies. In conclusion, the Bitcoin whale's strategic short squeeze and the subsequent market reactions underscore the complex interplay of factors influencing Bitcoin's price. Macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment, and the actions of large players all contribute to the cryptocurrency's volatile nature.5 While the long-term outlook remains uncertain, the resumption of Bitcoin accumulation and the potential for a breakout suggest that the market is far from stagnant. Investors should remain vigilant, closely monitoring market developments and adapting their strategies accordingly. The story of the whale's successful trade is a potent reminder of the fortunes that can be made, and lost, in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
The current BTC chart, incorporating my 'flash-crash' thesisThis chart illustrates the current Bitcoin pattern, with my 'April flash crash thesis.' I believe we will see another thrust lower into the green box ranges before a spring into the fifth wave. However, the fifth wave will be a "false breakout," as a flash crash in mid to late April is likely to occur, intentionally designed to sweep liquidity by liquidating overleveraged positions and triggering stop losses—driving price past the previous low set in the green box, only for the market to recover shortly thereafter and continue its breakout to the upside. This breakout will likely push beyond the pattern, taking out the all-time high, and setting a new high somewhere in the 20K to 25K range. There could be some opportunities in the next 4 to 6 weeks, but with opportunity comes risk. Always use a proper risk management strategy suited to your skill level and wallet size. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by MetaShackle
2 Options, Keeping it simpleBTC is currently within its long-term ascending channel but has shown strong rejection at the upper boundary (~$100K). A pullback toward the mid-channel support (~$70K-$75K) seems likely, aligning with historical retracement patterns. Indicators Show Weakness: RSI Divergence suggests a slowdown in momentum. MACD hints at a potential bearish crossover. 📉 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $95K - $100K (Upper trendline) Support: $75K (Mid-channel), $60K (Lower trendline) 📈 Scenario 1: BTC consolidates and regains strength for a new ATH attempt. 📉 Scenario 2: A deeper correction to the lower trendline before continuation. Needs to really break $95k first.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptoFallen
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market. We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic. 1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year. But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit. 2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ). It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!) 😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours.... We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...) ⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
by P_S_trade
4
Bitcoin: 74k-72k Line in the Sand!Hello everyone! First of all happy international women's day to all the ladies out there! (Don't forget to get flowers guys) Bitcoin is approaching a key area with extremely strong support, but several indicators also mark the line in the sand for the current bullmarket for Bitcoin. Weekly - Fib: 38.2% of the complete trend retracement (15.5k - 109.4k) - MA: 50 SMA (75.4k) - S/R: 70k-74k Strong supply/resistance area A consistent pattern emerges on Bitcoin's chart: breaks below the 50-week SMA (black line) after an all-time high (red arrows) have reliably indicated bear markets. Similarly, reclaiming the 50-week SMA (green arrows) has historically confirmed bull runs toward fresh all-time highs. 3D - Fib: 61.8% of the retracement from previous range low to current high (49.5k - 109.4k) - MA: 100 SMA (77k) On the 3-day chart, the 100 SMA has acted as strong support during this bull market. Bitcoin revisited the moving average on 5 individual occasions and bounced off it. Despite briefly closing below it twice, BTC quickly reclaimed it with the following candle. A potential correction to $70,000 is possible for Bitcoin. To maintain the bull market, it's crucial for bulls to find support there and drive the price back above the 3-day 100 SMA and the weekly 50 SMA. Happy trading! Pat
INDEX:BTCUSD
by BitcoinEasyIO
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis – Possible Move📉 Recent Price Action: Bitcoin has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. However, a downtrend trendline has been broken, signaling a potential reversal or at least a relief rally. 📌 Key Observations: Fibonacci Levels: The price recently bounced from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (~$81,051), a strong support zone. Support Zone (~$82,325 - $83,700): Price is currently testing a previous resistance-turned-support level. Liquidity Grab & Rebound: If BTC holds above $83,700, we could see a bullish push. 🚀 Potential Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin maintains support above $83,700, it could retest $86,500 - $89,500, aligning with key Fibonacci extension levels. A strong break above $89,500 could push BTC toward the $91,000 - $92,500 supply zone (marked in blue). ⚠️ Bearish Risk: Losing the $82,325 support could lead to another retest of the $79,000 level. A rejection at $86,500 - $89,500 could bring consolidation before a clearer trend emerges.
Long
by melikatrader94
22
Bitcoin Price Analysis / Cup and Handle BreakoutOn the weekly Bitcoin chart, we can see a cup and handle pattern, a classic bullish formation: Cup and Handle Formation: The price formed a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a smaller consolidation dip (the handle). This pattern is a sign of long-term accumulation and typically signals a continuation of the uptrend after a breakout. Breakout: Bitcoin broke out of the handle’s resistance, confirming the bullish pattern. The breakout suggests strong buying pressure, pushing the price toward a new peak. Retest Zone: After the breakout, the price is testing the previous resistance (now support). A successful retest could confirm the breakout, setting the stage for another rally. Bitcoin Peak Target: The green arrow suggests a potential price peak if the retest holds and the trend continues upward. Peaks often align with historical halving cycles and market sentiment, so the upward channel could act as a guide for price discovery. Key Levels: Support: The lower yellow trendline. Resistance: The upper yellow trendline. A bounce from support would strengthen the bullish case, while a breakdown could signal a deeper correction.
Long
by Yassine_Houd
Bitcoin Bullish Scenario: Breakout & Retest Idea📈 Bullish Scenario: Breakout & Retest of the $95,000–$99,500 Zone 🚀 🔹 Idea: Price breaks above the strong resistance around $95,000 and holds it as new support on a retest. 🎯 Potential Entry: ✅ Trigger: A clear break and close above $95,000 on the 1H or 4H chart, followed by a pullback to retest $95,000–$96,000 as support. ✅ Confirmation: Enter on the first bullish candle or bullish engulfing pattern confirming the retest holds. 🔻 Stop-Loss Placement: 🔸 Aggressive: Below the breakout zone ($94,000–$94,500). 🔸 Conservative: Below the last swing low prior to the breakout ($92,000–$93,000). 🎯 Targets: 🎯 T1: $99,500 (next immediate resistance). 🎯 T2: $105,000–$109,000 (upper resistance on the chart). 💡 Consider taking partial profit at T1 and moving stop-loss to breakeven. ⚠️ Risk Management Tips: 🔹 Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade. 🔹 If the retest fails quickly and price closes back below $95,000, exit early to minimize losses. 📢 Disclaimer: This is for educational and informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly before making any investment decisions. 📊 What’s your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VidaDeTraderPT
BTC BOTTOM $ - 100% Never Fails (2013 - Today)Bitcoin Weekly Chart Going Back To 10+ Years We are looking at the BitStamp Green Support Line here that has Marked the bottom correctly before 100% of the time for each each bull cycle pump on bitcoin going 3/3 without fail. We are now looking to see if we can go 4/4 and mark the new bottom buy with a quick wick down to the green support currently around 73K+ this week, but as each week closes the bitcoin bottom number will rise as the green support line rises over time. Good luck. Let's see if the 4th time is also the charm.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dogdaddevan
12
Bitcoin: Is the Bull Run Over or Just Taking a Breather?Bitcoin’s dream rally has hit a major roadblock. After falling below $89,000 for the first time since November 2024, fears of a deeper correction have gripped the market. The catalyst? U.S. President Donald Trump’s renewed "Tariff War," imposing 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. This move rattled both traditional and crypto markets, dragging total crypto market capitalization below $3 trillion. With market sentiment plunging to 25—the same levels seen during the FTX collapse—Bitcoin is now sitting at the neckline of a major bearish pattern, raising concerns about whether more downside is ahead. Is Bitcoin’s Structure Still Bullish? 🔹 Descending Parallel Channel – BTC mirrors a pattern from early 2024, when prices dropped to $54,000 before soaring to $109K. 🔹 Key Support at $85,000 – A test of this level could trigger a rebound. 🔹 RSI Declining to 44.39 – Momentum is cooling, but a reversal could be near. 🔹 MACD Still Positive – Despite rising selling pressure, BTC’s weekly MACD suggests a potential bounce. What’s Next for Bitcoin? 📌 Bullish Case – If Bitcoin bounces off support at $85K, a breakout from this descending channel could push it to a new ATH above $112K. 📌 Bearish Case – If BTC fails to hold, it could face extended downside pressure, breaking below key support zones. The bull run isn’t necessarily over, but BTC is at a critical turning point. If history repeats itself, this correction could be the reset needed before a push to new highs.
WHITEBIT:BTCUSDShort
by paul_endeo