BITCOIN 15 MIN BREAKDOWNHELLO AGAIN TRADERS, HERE IS MY MORNING BREAKDOWN
Currently I see three interesting levels for us, as I wrote yesterday evening again during the Asian session there was a bigger move which however caused the market to open itself. When I look at the overnight volumes there were substantial orders around $16560 from where bitcoin fell, its first stop was around $16419 and then made a short term bottom around $16100 - $16175. Then the last orders where I see a support zone are at $15800.
In between these zones as I marked in the chart on the right you can see that there is a gap of trading volume so Bitcoin just flew through there last night but the markets tend to fill these gaps back in and take orders from the top where there is liquidity.
Therefore, I would say today we will go back to the $16419 level and that is where we will decide if we have made a bottom for a short-term uptrend in December at where we are currently or from $16419 to $16560 we will go into a short again.
There will be very little volume in the London session at the moment, I can only go long when we get back to $16160 - $16180 from there we will bounce towards the last volume at $16419 and above, although the dollar fell on the London opening and Bitcoin didn't get much traction.
Bitcoinusd
WEN 10k BTC?We may have to move February's flash crash too June.... anticipate a slow rolling crab market that see's gradual capitulation over time as consumers are roiled alive by inflation. Less new money is entering, and others are exiting ahead of a potential market collapse. Rents are being raised to cover increases to homeowner mortgages. It is what it is...
There are other more desireable start ups doing actual business. You may be safer in small cap startups that produce an ebita.
Bitcoin has no reasons to grow?Hello, everyone!
After reaching the maximal target for the local corrective wave 4 the Bitcoin price started to decline. Yesterday most of analysts changed their mind from bearish to bullish and after today’s dump as I can see the number of bulls has even increased. Do we have any reasons for optimism?
Let’s take a look at the 4h time frame of BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. Here we have the clear range bounds. Earlier price formed the deviation lower than range’s bottom, yesterday we saw deviation to the upside. Moreover we can see the some kind of support and resistance trendlines. Bitcoin has formed the fake out to the downside and yesterday was the fake out to he upside. I consider that there are no more liquidity for the growth and BTC has the only way to the downside.
If the price will break support trendline to the downside the huge crash is incoming. I am sure it will. Expect local bounce with the further dump.
Best regards, Ivan
BTCUSDT 15 % pump possibleThe price created beautiful ranges that you can observe on 4h timeframe.
Currently the price got rejected at $16800 and we´re expecting the price to move down to retest the support at $16120 or even the bottom of the range. If it happens it may be a good entry for a long position.
Entries, Take profit levels and final target for this trade are shown in the chart
Don´t forget to place a stop loss as if we break the support , we may see a sharp move down towards $10 000 -$12 000.
Good luck
Bitcoin (BTC) may complete another price reversal moveHi dear members , hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Bitcoin (BTC)
Ona 4-hr time frame, BTC may complete the final leg of bullish reversal Shark move.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade
possible Bitcoin price movement for the nearest weekToday we will consider the possible BTCUSDT price movement for the coming days/weeks.
After all, if a pattern of reversal and trend change is forming now, it is important to understand where the safe buying zones are.
If we talk about the Bitcoin price, then you can try to buy it if you see sharp buybacks from the liquidity zone of $15800-16000.
If sellers do not manage to lower the BTCUSD price below $16135 at all, it will be a super strong signal to buy, because it means that sellers are weak and buyers are aggressive.
Well, then buyers can start to drive the BTCUSDT price up, and break the stops of shorts. Each break of the shorts' stops can only accelerate growth because aggressive closing of the shorts is a buy order on the market price.
So buyers can very quickly drive the BTCUSDT price into the liquidity zone of $19-20k even before the end of November.
If you are interested in our global view on the possible future of the BTC price, we invite you to watch:
Speaking about altcoins, you should start buying them when BTC sellers confirm their strength. Also, in our opinion, you should first all pay attention and buy altcoins that have stopped updating the lows of 2022, for example, such as XRP
In the comments, share the altcoins you think are strong and worthy of attention and purchase. And we, in turn, will analyze some of them next week and will publish them here.
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Bitcoin – liquidity collection will cause the dump!Hello, everyone!
The target from the previous article has been reached and I think that Bitcoin will not grow above the current price. The upside correction has been finished and now it’s time to see the new deep dive.
Let’s take a look at the 4h timeframe of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. I made a mistake with the short entry point at $17300 because I supposed that wave C have been finished there, but wave is extended and I decided to not close the short trade, I told about it yesterday in short update. Now I consider the reversal point, may be we will see one more local pump but it will lead to more severe crash.
$18200 was the magnet zone because of liquidity of short traders. Now there are no any significant liquidity above, but we have a ton of liquidity below, I suppose the next impulsive bearish wave will collect this liquidity next couple of months.
Best regards, Ivan
Bitcoin is on the edge of collapse!Hello, everyone!
It’s time to refresh our global Bitcoin analysis because I have some evidences that the new impulsive wave to the downside is about to happen.
Let’s take a look at the 1D time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. When we analyzing the Elliott waves first of all we have to find the minimal Awesome Oscillator value. It corresponds to the wave 3. I consider wave 3 has been ended at the $15500. Now our purpose is to find the wave 4 top to short the market and catch the wave 5. I have already opened short position at the very top $17300 and told you it here 5 days ago. I suppose that the wave 4 has been already ended because of the AO zero line crossover, but I am ready if BTC will show us another one leg up. Maximal target is $17800 where I can wait the price to enhance short position – it’s 0.38 Fibonacci level.
I want you to notice that the 0.5 and 0.61 Fibonacci levels are unreachable because it will violates the Elliott waves axiom about non-overlaping waves 1 and 4. Hence I am waiting for the crash in the nearest weeks. The probable target for the wave 5 is $13200.
Best regards, Ivan
BTC Daily TA Neutral BullishBTCUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% BTC, 48% Cash.
*Markets rallied on hopes for a lower US November CPI tomorrow morning and if it's lower than in October expect for a continued rally in Cryptos and US Equities; however, if it's higher then a sharp downturn is likely. The last FOMC rate hike of 2022 will be following the day after on 12/14; if it's 50bps then a short-term rally is likely, whereas a 75bps rate hike would likely be bearish. SBF was reportedly finally arrested today in the Bahamas after pulling out from his agreement to testify to US Congress , he will be held in the Bahamas until a formal request for US extradition is made. The EU has placed sanctions on Iran for supplying Russia with drones for their attack on Ukraine in addition to their violent response to social protests .
Cryptos, US Equities, Commodities, VIX, Short-Term US Treasurys, GBPUSD, EURUSD, JPYUSD and NI225 ended today's session up. DXY, Long-Term US Treasurys, US Equity Futures (aside from NASDAQ), CNYUSD, HSI and N100 finished down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; Next GDPNow US Q4 GDP estimate 12/15; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23. *
Price is currently trending sideways at $17100 for a twelfth consecutive session as it approaches a retest of the 50MA at ~$17800 as resistance. Volume finished today's session Moderate (moderate) and broke a three day streak of seller dominance. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $15700, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending down slightly at 50, the next resistance is the upper trendline of the descending channel from January 2021 at ~58 and the next support is at 42.41. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently on the verge of crossing over bearish at 88.29 support. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending sideways at -101, it's still technically testing -232.42 resistance. ADX is currently trending down slightly at 24 as Price continues to trend sideways, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to breakout then it will have to get above the 50MA at ~$17800 as resistance before it can potentially test $19417 resistance . However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the local low of $16200 as support before potentially retesting the uptrend line from March 2017 at $15800 as support . Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $16800.
Bitcoin – bears dominate below this levelHello, everyone!
My last call was quite accurate, after trendline resistance Bitcoin has started it’s dump, but today it faced with difficulties to break down the strong support. Today I defined the invalidation price level and first target if I am correct.
Let’s take a look at the 1h time frame BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. Bitcoin has finished the upward Elliott waves cycle at $17300 where I opened short. This cycle represented wave C of higher degree. Hence I considered that the market is about start new impulsive wave to the downside. Now I suppose that wave 1 have been already ended, wave 2 was represented as the flat correction which hit exactly 0.38 Fibonacci level and dumped to $16700. I think it is the wave 1 inside wave 3. Current bounce is the wave 2 inside wave 3. The most rapid dump is about to start if I am correct.
If you have not still executed short trade, I think is is proper time to do it. Stop loss is tight. Potential reward is great. If I will be wrong it means that Bitcoin will break the $17400 local high and I am not so good as I think about myself and will continue studying trading chaos (of course I will continue anyway).
Best regards, Ivan
Bitcoin Bounced As Predicted! What's Next?From our previous idea, we can see that Bitcoin played out perfectly :)
BTC bounced off of our upwards channel and continued to the 200 EMA (as we previously predicted). Now I'm watching to see if it can break above that 200 EMA (17,300 level). If not, then I'm looking to retest the bottom of the channel again (16,800).
If Bitcoin does break the 200 EMA then I'm looking for it to touch the 17, 640 level (major resistance).
If you enjoyed my TA, please leave a comment or send me a PM :)
BTC Bounced Perfectly Off Our Support!Looking at BTC on the 4hr chart, we can see it continues to be in our upwards channel, bouncing PERFECTLY off of the bottom of the channel/horizontal support at $16,750.
Right now I'm expecting it to continue upwards and retest the previous resistance of $17,167 (red line) which also coincides with the 200 EMA a little higher at $17,300. If it breaks both of those levels, we're going to $17,640.
If Bitcoin can't break the $17,167 level, then I'm expecting it to come back down to $16,736 and if that breaks then unfortunately we're going to $15,900 (next major support).
I'm also watching the Wave Fusion indicator for any major signals that coincide with said support/resistance levels.
If you enjoyed my TA or have any questions about it or the indicators used, please leave a comment below or send me a PM :)
Check out my profile for other indicators and trading alpha! Thanks for reading!
Analysis of the latest Bitcoin movement up or downAs you can see, Bitcoin broke the ceiling, but the ceiling was falsely broken and reversed, and according to the principles, it should hit the bottom of the channel, i.e. 15,000, but according to my analysis, it is. According to the arrow, the two modes are decreasing and falling or increasing. And it grows. These days are fateful BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Trading opportunity for BTCUSDT Based on technical factors there is a Sell position in :
📊 BTCUSDT
🔴 Sell Now 16794.10
🧯Stop loss 17203.00
🏹 Target 1 16361.20
🏹 Target 2 15803.37
🏹 Target 3 15000.00
💸RISK : 1%
We hope it is profitable for you ❤️
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Bitcoin is moving exactly as predicted!Hello, everyone!
My last forecast on Bitcoin has been perfectly completed. I don’t want to be too self confident but it looks like I have now better understanding of the Trading Chaos by Bill Williams. It is the best motivation for me to continue studying and practicing this approach and I hope my articles are useful for you. What is next?
Let’s take a look at 1h time frame of the BTCUSDT chart of the WhiteBit exchange. Wave 5 reached the minimal target at $17400 where I have successfully executed short trade. I decided that wave 5 have been ended because of the divergence with the Awesome oscillator. Moreover the wave 4 minimal condition have been met – the zero line crossover on the AO. I wanna tell you that you should confirm Elliott waves with the AO, because without it there is the high probability of misunderstanding the waves counting.
The previous Elliott waves cycle have completed the corrective wave C and now I consider the new bearish wave 5 have been started. Watch out my analysis updates because the market is alive and we have to change our decisions when market shows us the new information.
Best regards, Ivan
Daily BTCUSD ThoughtsIdea for BTCUSD
Showing two circles along bear trends, both with compatible double tops
What im waiting for is the move out of this slump we are in, it will be a sharp one (in green circle). As was the move back up to the trend line in the first circle.
A larger channel can be drawn in pale white.
Daily thoughts
BTC Rejects at our Trend Line! I tried to be as detailed as possible with the TA above. Please boost if you enjoyed this thread :)
Bitcoin has been in an upward channel for the past two weeks and just rejected perfected off of the upwards channel resistance at $17,400. It broke down through the micro support of $17,167 and I believe it will reach our next target of $16,700 before having a relief bounce to retest the new resistance of $17,167 and possiblly climbing to $17,640 (our next MAJOR resistance).
If we continue to break the $16,700 support and break down out of the channel, then my next MAJOR support for BTC is $15,900 and $15,600 which were our previous supports Nov 13th and Nov 21st. I'm personally waiting for another buy/sell signal from Wave Fusion, especially if it coincides with a support/resistance level.
If you enjoyed my TA or have any questions about the indicators used and how to gain access (Wave Fusion), then comment below or send me a PM :)
Thanks for reading!