Bitcoin BTC price decides where to go nextAlmost all indicators are at extremely critical and decisive points:
1️⃣ CRYPTOCAP:BTC - $68300
2️⃣ BTC.D - 59% and continues to update local highs
3️⃣ USDT.D - 5.25% on the verge of a breakout or rebound upwards
4️⃣ Fear and Greed Index - 73 (greed)
🐳 Blue scenario - a sharp exit from the correction channel and movement towards $77-78k.
💔 Red scenario - correction OKX:BTCUSDT to $64000, and maybe even to $ 61k
Vote which scenario you think is more likely.
We will supplement this idea with interesting charts and our own opinion after we have 100+ votes.
Bitcoinusdanalysis
Bitcoin - The battle For a New All-time HighIn this video I discuss Bitcoins sudden rise to within a few hundred dollars of a new all-time high and what we might expect over the next weeks and months. I also discuss what events could prolong the battle for a new all-time high (the US election, wars).
I also look back at the struggle Bitcoin went through to breakout above the 2017 all-time high. I discuss the incredible consistency as fay as elapsed times between the last two market cycles. I share my view that I believe that Bitcoin is still following a 4-year market cycle and that I expect a market cycle peak sometime in late 2025 (baring a black swan event).
I also share my concern about the diminishing returns trend that Bitcoin has experienced over it's entire price history. My belief though is the trend will be broken this cycle, otherwise I wouldn't expect the price of Bitcoin to rise much further than 80K or so. However, I remain very bullish on this market cycle and beyond.
Lets hope that we can get through this election with as little drama as possible and that we have a decisive victory by one side or the other so that we can avoid a prolonged process that will rile up the markets. Anyway, I am remaining positive, I believe the next twelve months or so will be extremely exciting for the crypto markets, and I feel blessed just to be a part of it.
BTC → Bitcoin to $40,000? Or to $80,000? Let's Answer.Hello everyone, I am back! I spent the last couple of months finishing the trading course, which is now live. With that project complete, I am back to the analysis!
My Bitcoin Weekly analysis has not dramatically changed since March 25th. Bitcoin is now staring at the $65,000 to $74,000 resistance zone. A double top has formed after three pushes up, and we have closed below the Weekly 30EMA.
How do we trade this? 🤔
We ought to be looking for a long entry since Bitcoin is bullish on this timeframe. We now have three completed pushes toward the upside ending with a double-top in the resistance zone, we need to at least wait for a two-legged pullback toward the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000. Once successful signal and confirmation candles close above the Weekly 200EMA, it's reasonable to enter a long position at a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Stop loss should be set below the Weekly 200EMA at $32,350, the first take profit at 1:1 Risk/Reward at $51,600 where the stop loss is moved to your entry price, then the final take profit at $61,300 before the Resistance Zone at $65,000.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $42,000
🟥 Stop Loss: $32,350
✅ Take Profit #1: $51,600
✅ Take Profit #2: $61,300
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three pushes up into the Resistance Zone at $65,000 - $74,000
2. Double-top reversal pattern completed inside Resistance Zone
3. Weekly close below the 30EMA, more confirmation of a pullback
4. Wait for a two-legged pullback toward the 200EMA in the Support Zone between $40,000 and $45,000
5. RSI is near 49.00 and below the Moving Average. Wait for contact and a final drop toward 40.00 in concurrence with the price action to enter.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
2022 to 2026 Bitcoin Market Cycle?Obviously, I don't have a crystal ball, however, just for fun I have estimated what the timing of this current market cycle may look like. I haven't made any predictions on the chart as far as the peak price or the price of the next bottom. Although, if the trend of diminishing returns continues I would expect a peak between $80k and $90k. If that trend is broken a peak between $100k and $200k is likely.
What I have done on this chart is laid out the dates when each event may occur. I estimated the dates based off of the average elapsed times between the events from the last two market cycles. In doing this, I am making a big assumption that this market cycle will follow the timing of the last two cycles. So far this assumption appears to be correct. The estimated elapsed time from the bear market bottom on November 21st 2022 to the upcoming halving on April 18th will be 515 days. That is very close to the elapsed times from the last two cycles (542 and 513 days).
But, that doesn't mean that the elapsed times between the remaining events will closely match the past cycles. One recent event that could very possibly alter Bitcoins market cycle is the approval of 11 Bitcoin spot ETFs on January 10th 2024. Bitcoin futures ETFs have been around for seveal years but they differ from a spot ETF. A Bitcoin futures ETF holds Bitcoin futures contracts to get exposure to the price of Bitcoin. A Bitcoin spot ETF buys actual Bitcoin which is then held by a custodian in a secure digital wallet.
As we all know the amount of available Bitcoin is finite, and with the upcoming halving each block will produce half as much (3.125 per block mined). The approval of the spot Bitcoin ETFs will dramatically widen access to the world’s largest cryptocurrency for not only institutional investors but also retail investors. This additional demand for Bitcoin could very well exacerbate the already tight market supply driving up the price faster than previous cycles.
Only time will tell how this current market cycle will play out. It will be interesting to use these estimated event dates to gauge how this cycle compares to the previous cycles. If we see Bitcoin hit a new all-time high well before the estimated date it could mean that we could see a left translated cycle. However, it could also mean that the additional demand from the ETFs will drive the price of BTC to levels beyond what most analysts believe is possible.
BITCOIN TO GO SHORTBitcoin just broke through the inflection point towards the value area and has reacted with the value area. This could mean that there is a very high possibility of Bitcoin going short for the next months. This means that 2024 could overall be a "short" year for BTC.
So what could this mean for investors concerning Bitcoin ?,
Firstly it means that if price presents opportunities to buy , we could expect short asset holding periods on Bitcoin.
Secondly, this first quarter will be the best time to sell of BTC assets as the prices for selling Bitcoin for the year may currently be at its highest value.
Thirdly, the 4th quarter of the year might be the best time to buy BTC at low and good prices for holdings.
I provide personal BTC investment advices, so if you will want more insights and information on when to buy, hold and sell your Bitcoin assets, kindly DM me here on trading view and i will reach out .
Also if you found this information helpful please do like , share and comment on your thoughts and do follow me for more as well.
Thanks for reading
BITCOIN: A REJECTION OR A BREAKOUT?Hello traders,
BTC failed to break above the $44k once again. Does it mean there's no hope for a breakout? Well, to answer that let us dive deeper into this analysis.
- The $44k has become a strong sentiment for BTC; somehow, it fails to break and close above this resistance again.
- If a rejection is repeated then $40.5k to $40.8k will once again be a strong support but before reaching that low, BTC will be holding another support between FWB:42K to $43k.
- Talking about the breakout, BTC has a lot more to offer in this bull run. It doesn't matter if BTC gets rejected again, I would consider it as a good opportunity to accumulate more. Do you remember when $30k was a strong sentiment for BTC, we all expected a breakout above the $30k resistance. The same thing with $44k, sooner or later we will see a breakout.
That's it for now. I hope you find this post helpful.
Christmas Eve is 4 days away, so have a great time with your friends and family. Don't take a lot of trading stress. Together we will make it big.
Regards,
Team Dexter.
The price of Bitcoin has soared driven by market optimismLast Friday, Bitcoin fell to US 19,569. How desperate the market was at that time, and how enthusiastic it is now. In just one week, the Bitcoin market has undergone a shocking reversal, breaking through the previous high in one fell swoop and reaching above US 27,000.
In terms of daily structure, Bitcoin has broken the previous horizontal pressure level. At this stage, it is in a vacuum zone. Bitcoin price analysis has been slowly rising since the beginning of this week, and more buying pressure has been observed in the market. Pressure.As tokens are supported by strong buying pressure and good technical prospects, market sentiment remains optimistic, and the bullish momentum is expected to continue, with the next level of pressure around 30,000.
From the four-hour level, it can be seen that the last downward pullback was at the position of 0.382. Next, I think the possibility of constructing an equidistant ABCD is very large. As shown in the figure, Point D is far from being reached. The rise in the past two days has formed a complete breakthrough in the previous chip-intensive area. If there is a pullback in a short period of time, I think the pullback may as well be an opportunity to participate in long-term.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
BTC: Short at high levels and long at low levels
Yesterday, Bitcoin fell below the previous low during trading, hitting a new low. This indicates that the first phase of the decline is complete. However, there is a flaw in that it is still 500 points away from the critical support level of 21500. The probability of a rebound at this point is gradually increasing, but since the trend is still bearish, shorting at high levels is still the main strategy.
The trading strategy is to short at 23600, with a stop loss at 24200, and a target of 21500 to 21400. Alternatively, if it falls to 21400, go long with a stop loss at 20900 and a target of 23600.
Don't let past regrets interrupt your current plans, and don't let anxiety and worries disrupt your steps forward.
As winter fades into spring and the sun rises and sets, every moment is precious. By appreciating the present and living each moment to the fullest, we can reap the rewards of a rich and fulfilling life.
Bitcoin: Long at this position
Hello everyone, after a big drop, Bitcoin has been consolidating and today I'm sharing my view on Bitcoin using a 15-minute chart.
As you can see on the chart, there are clear and regular box ranges. Since there are such clear signals, we certainly can't ignore them. I have marked the specifics on the chart, and it will be clearer for you to compare it.
My trading strategy is to buy in the current range of 22300-21800, with a target near 22900-23800. This is relatively certain, and the probability of profit is relatively high .
The reason for this trading strategy is that I believe Bitcoin will rebound to fill the gap created by the recent big drop.
Thank you for your attention and support. I will continue to update my trading strategy. If you have any questions, please leave a comment and I will help you with the most reliable solution in a responsible manner.
Have a great day!
Bitcoin TA 2022 - Yearly Candle Pattern-LifeCycle Of Bitcoin.Hello everyone, hope you all are doing good.
As I saw many people focusing on Yearly Candle patterns of Bitcoin, so I thought to make a Bitcoin Analysis and Observe it in a bigger perspective.
This Bitcoin Analysis is not a financial advice, cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and highly risky, so please do research before trading.
It's a New Year season, so I Wish everyone a Happy new year-2023 to you all.
Please don't feel bad about me on my current Bitcoin Analysis, since chart speaks everything, am sorry to say but Bitcoin looks bad as of now, the trend is breaking down,
If the current year candle-2022 closes above 29k than we are safe and can expect the continuation of trend in upside direction.
No means it's a point of concern for every one of us.
I also explained everything in the chart, please check it in detail.
Thank you,
and please like and share my idea/comment if you have any questions.
BTC Huge Buy Opportunity BINANCE:BTCUSDT
The perfect descending broadening wedge pattern has just been formed and broken by Bitcoin. If we manage to break through the 24800 level, we could very well witness a rise to 29-30k in a matter of weeks.
Another factor contributing to the bullish moment is that many people are bearish. The fear and greed index value also exhibits signs of fear.
As the saying goes, opportunities to buy arise when everyone is afraid.
SL: 20K
TP: 28K
If we can break $30k, we might experience another upward trend to $35k.
Warning: This is not investment advice.
BTCUSD Chart. New resistance levels. Details of the launchI tried 4 times to record a video on this. It kept failing. in this chart. continued form the last. You can see bitcoin is in a small sell off area. Lots of sideways time leaves people to want to pull out profit. I did. and I am ready to buy again. As I was trying to point out in the video, there is a pattern if you zoom out or look at the linked chart you can see in the macro view that the last two major consolidation points noted in orange end with a drop to a bottom resistance then a level up bounce. This is what the whole market is anticipating. But there is a possibility for that bounce to hit the 27 to 29 k line before it sky rockets, or actually to skyrocket. This is the super buy-zone that will get hit hard, and be followed by heavy profit and heavy greed and then another drop. Or goal as investors is to ride the beast and wave our hats looking like we got this. For me this work is how i feel the micro tensions of sinew and strength and gear my balance for the the next buck.
BTC WYCKOFF PHASES! Buy on retest of accumulation range.Hello my beauties.
Here are the phases of BTC according to Wyckoff. Pretty neat, uh? It was inside a trading range, and it broke it to the upside completing a SOS that will lead it to create higher highs through a mark-up.
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
Is this a bull trap? Bitcoin needs to close above 37.3k firstOn May 23, 2021 I said
"Bitcoin needs to close above 49k for 1 to 2 weeks to confirm Bitcoin is bullish again.
In the meantime, I believe Bitcoin will trade ways,
have a dead cat bounce and trade between the green and red zone,
and in a few weeks capitulation below $30k to confirm a bottom.
The weekly RSI is still trending down..."
Bitcoin closed below 30k last week.
Now Bitcoin is above 38k.
But could be a bull trap in the making....
We need to see Bitcoin at least close above the 0.236 fib line at 37.3k on the weekly chart,
in order to increase the possibility that Bitcoin has bottomed.
It's going to be an interesting week, especially with the Robinhood IPO on Thursday.
BTC WYCKOFF DISCTRIBUTION ANALYSISPSY—preliminary supply, where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching.
BC—buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price.
AR—automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR.
SOW—sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant.
LPSY—last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest.
UTAD—upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance.
Credits: school.stockcharts.com
THIS IS MY OWN IDEA ONLY. This is not a financial advise. Educational Purpose Only