Technical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) + trade planTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan
Descending Trading Channel:
Bitcoin appears to be moving within a descending trading channel, with the price gradually testing the lower bounds and trying to break out from this downtrend.
The key resistance for a breakout from this descending channel is around the 64,000 USDT level, while the support is close to the 62,500 USDT level.
A breakout above the upper channel line would indicate a potential bullish reversal and continuation to the upside.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance: The primary resistance zone is around 64,333 USDT (marked on the chart). A breakout above this level may result in the next target being around 66,966 USDT.
Support: The nearest support level is 62,566 USDT. A breakdown below this could push the price towards the lower support area around 59,544.5 USDT.
Momentum Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator is currently showing some positive momentum with green dots indicating potential bullish divergence, suggesting that the price may increase soon.
RSI (14, close): The RSI is hovering around 50, indicating neutral momentum. A break above 50 could indicate a bullish trend, while a drop below could signal a bearish continuation.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stoch (14, 1, 3) shows an overbought condition at 82.78, which may suggest a short-term pullback or consolidation. However, if the upward trend continues, this can be ignored in favor of further bullish momentum.
HMA+ Histogram: The HMA+ (Hull Moving Average) is slightly bullish with a reading of 33.0, indicating that the short-term trend may be shifting toward the upside.
Volume:
The chart shows moderate volume. Higher volume accompanying a breakout above the resistance level will be crucial to confirm the move.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Consider entering a long position if Bitcoin breaks above 64,333 USDT with confirmed volume.
Target 1: The first target would be around 65,000 USDT.
Target 2: If momentum persists, the second target could be 66,966 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support at 62,500 USDT to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: If Bitcoin breaks below 62,566 USDT, consider entering a short position.
Target 1: The first target would be around 61,000 USDT.
Target 2: A further decline could push the price toward 59,544.5 USDT.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the 64,333 USDT level to minimize potential losses.
Summary:
Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal point within a descending channel. If the price breaks above the key resistance at 64,333 USDT, there is potential for a bullish breakout targeting 66,966 USDT. However, if Bitcoin breaks down from the 62,566 USDT support, the bearish scenario could unfold, leading to a possible drop toward the 59,500 USDT zone. Monitoring volume and key indicators like RSI, Stochastic, and HMA+ will be important for confirming the direction.
Bitcoinusdt
Bitcoin - MORE INCREASE? Have to see THIS FIRSTBitcoin has been giving us some positive vibes as buying pressure shows up on lower timeframes. We've even managed to keep the price above $60k - an excellent sign of strength.
However, before considering more upside there really is just ONE thing we need to see - higher lows.
For as long as we are unable to breakout ABOVE the diagonal resistance zone, we'll just be stair stepping down into a slowburn, slow decline until point 4 is established and we're ready to complete the final impulse wave up (4-5).
Making higher lows would result in prices back towards the upper 60's, with a successful retest of the neckline support.
EXTRA FOR EXPERTS - Here's how to use the Bitcoin Dominance chart together with the Altcoin market chart to gauge the next direction of BTC:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
doomslop is endingFor the past 4 months, we've been stuck in a hell range where 80% of active traders are getting destroyed by volatile swings following periods of illiquid, boring PA. That period is ending, rates have been cut, and major companies are making 9-10 figure moves in different sectors. I don't even wanna dive deeper into any of this, but we're probably gonna get some good upside moves barring any black swan global events.
Sep 19, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysisBitcoin is within an approximate horizontal trend channel in the short term, which indicates further development in the same direction. The currency has broken up through resistance at points 61400. This predicts a further rise. In case of negative reactions, there will now be support at points 61400. The currency is assessed as technically positive for the short term.
BITCOIN: Q1 2025 – The Rise Awaits!Something to keep in mind: MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN takes an average of 36 weeks to break above previous all-time highs (ATHs) after halving years.
Considering this, the next potential breakout could be around January 2025. There’s still a long way to go before any significant movement, according to this metric, which aligns with historical trends. I believe people are overly anxious since we've been trading near ATH levels.
We can also use this to identify previous tops and bottoms. Currently, the market remains bullish, and if it triggers the next leg up, the next #Bitcoin top is projected for September 2025.
That’s just a year away!
With historical data, we can attempt to time price movements. History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes...
Will this time truly be different?
Sep 18, 2024 Short term bitcoin analysis Bitcoin has broken the falling trend channel in the short term and reacted strongly up. For the time being, it is difficult to say anything about the future trend direction. The currency is approacing resistance at 61400 points, which may give a negative reaction. However, a break upwards through 61400 points will be a positive signal. The currency is assessed as technically slightly negative for the short term.
SasanSeifi| BITCOIN: Will a Pullback Lead to Lower Levels?Hey there, ✌
Bitcoin is currently trading around the $58,500 range. Given the lack of stabilization above the $60,000 level, we could be facing a bearish trend. Additionally, with the recent break below the $59,300 mark, the short-term outlook on the 1-hour chart appears bearish.
We expect that after completing a pullback, the price may move towards the corrective targets of $57,500, $57,000, $56,700, and $56,000.
❌ Key resistance levels to watch are around $59,000 and $59,700.
💢 Keep in mind that this is just my personal perspective and not financial advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and exchange ideas!
Good luck and happy trading! ✌😎
Feel free to reach out if you have any questions – I’m here to help!✌
BITCOIN- end of the bear market (triple bottom pattern?)btc consolidate descending triangle pattern in 3d chart
in addition to triple bottom (Its completion means confirmation of the bullish)
now we need breakout 61k (the 0.618 fibo level )
i expect btc will retest the 68k - 69k soon, remember that RES get weaker each time it's retested.
best regards Ceciliones🎯
Bitcoin Long - If Bitcoin can break the middle line ...If Bitcoin can break the middle line of the channel upwards, then it can be expected to break out of the channel for the first time.
Please note, this analysis is in a 4-hour time frame, and in higher time frames (1 day) stabilization should be done.
Currently, the market shows a greater desire for the price to be stable and not to fall further.
SELL YOUR BTC NOW!I suggest you sell all your bitcoins
The market is extremely bearish!
The annual candle has always been red after the halving! I emphasize always.
In the best case, he will see the price of 25,000 dollars and in the worst case, the price of Bitcoin will be 10,000 dollars.
After this, we can think about bitcoin above 100 or 150 thousand dollars!
BTC (Bitcoin): Resistance BreakoutTrade setup : Price broke back above $60K horizontal resistance and above 200-day moving average (~$63K) to signal resumption of uptrend, with upside potential to $72K. Stop Loss at $59K. Momentum (MACD) is bullish but not overbought yet (RSI < 70), suggesting that there's still gas left in the tank near term.
Pattern : Resistance Breakout. Once a price breaks above a resistance zone, it signals that buyers have absorbed all the supply from sellers at this level and price can resume it's advance. Following a resistance breakout, the next closest resistance zone becomes a price target. Learn to trade key level breakouts in Lesson 7.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Up, Medium-term trend is Strong Down and Long-term trend is Strong Down.
Momentum : Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $56.50, then $50.00.
Bitcoin Update: Possible ScenariosBitcoin has been in consolidation mode for about 6 months, and now it's almost time to make a decisive move.
Considering the market structure, including the highs and lows, I expect BTC to make another low before heading towards a new ATH. We have two important main support levels at $44K and $37K, where the price could bounce back in case of a market crash in the upcoming month.
I find the scenario of support at $37K more probable than the other two scenarios:
a bounce back from the $44K level
or in a bullish scenario, breaking the last high at $70K to make new highs towards $100K
DYOR
BTC (Bitcoin): Approaching ResistanceTrade setup : Break below 200-day MA (~$61.5K) threatens the uptrend and price has made a Lower Low during the current downswing, which is also a negative sign. Price has bounced off from oversold levels (RSI < 30) and reached a stiff resistance zone of $60K - $62K (200-day MA). Price needs to regain the 200-day moving average (~$62K) to signal resumption of uptrend, with upside potential to $72K thereafter.
Pattern : Price is Approaching Resistance , which is a level where it could pause or reverse its recent advance, at least temporarily. Resistance is often a level where price got rejected in the past, or potentially prior Support level that was broken. (concept known as polarity). Once price breaks above resistance, it can advance higher to the next resistance level. Learn to trade key levels in Lesson 7.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Down, Medium-term trend is Strong Down and Long-term trend is Down.
Momentum : Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $56.50, then $50.00.
$30K BTC before end of 2024 is Coming and How to survive the falIf you find this helpful, don't forget to follow and support us with a like.
It’s clear that buyers are struggling, but the pattern of lower highs and lower lows is concerning if they intend to push for $100k before the end of 2024.
It feels like sellers are playing a strategic game, and here's why I think market makers might be up to something.
If you’ve been following my Bitcoin analysis, you’ll know that the GETTEX:48K support target was hit, with the next range likely being $43k to $38k.
You can read more about this short target here:
I previously called for a target drop from $74k to the $30k support, predicting bounces from strong support levels.
Five months ago, when I first advised selling at $74k, many in this community called me foolish, accusing me of hating Bitcoin. But I’m a businesswoman focused on making profitable decisions, not getting emotional about any coin, Bitcoin included.
I’ve stuck by my predictions, and I’ll continue to update you based on the MT Pandora's Box strategy.
Stay tuned—this rejection at the $GETTEX:64K-$62k range is likely to push prices down to the $FWB:42K-$38k support.
DON'T LOSE HOPE: BTC LOVES DecembersOver the past few years, BTC has shows affinity for Decembers.
If you've been following for a while, you'll know I've been on about this "multi-month" cycle that eventually leads to another BTC ATH before the bearish cycle starts.
And it's been exactly that - a mulltimoth period of sideways trading and corrections. However, considering how BTC usually increases in Decembers I'm inclined to say we may yet see our final ATH in the last quarter of the year; specifically towards the end of the year.
Currently in the 4h, we can see a strong V-shaped recovery after a dip to 49 000.
The dip doesn't bother me in the least bit, because this is the original target I had from Elliot Wave analysis months ago:
We're still making higher lows, and even if we trade just over and under 60K for a period I will sleep easy.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin BTC price + CPI US 15.05 will stir up the marketHere is a chart of #BTCUSDT on the 12-hour timeframe.
At first glance, it looks nothing special: a prolonged consolidation on falling trading volumes, everything is natural and natural.
But tomorrow, at 15.05 at lunchtime with the close of the 12hr candlestick, everything can change.
Tomorrow is the announcement of the "fresh" US CPI rate.
Forecast: inflation will decrease from 3.5% to 3.4%.
Declining inflation = a good signal for the growth of financial markets.
But the tweet from Mr. Biden adds some "spice".
President Biden: wants to give new home buyers $400 per month for 2 years to help people with housing.
This is either a pre-election promise or a good opportunity to start the “printing press”
And now for a bit of conspiracy theorizing:
Let's assume for a moment that Biden knows a little more than we do. And tomorrow it will be announced that inflation has fallen not to 3.4% but to 3.2% or even 3%.
This will definitely cause a powerful surge and growth in the market.
The last thing that comes to mind is how massively $ were printed and distributed in the spring of 2020 as financial aid during COVID-19.
Do you remember how the crypto market grew then in 20\21 from an additional portion of “retail's crazy money”?)
So where do you think the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price will go in 24 hours?
👍 towards $71000
👎🏿 towards $56500
BTCUSDT#Bitcoin chart update: We've reached the bottom point, and I'm starting my buys from here. It slightly broke the descending trend support and continues to hold on the Fibonacci 0.618 support. It also dipped and relieved at the 49k support. Since last night, over 1 billion dollars in futures liquidity has been wiped out. In other words, technical analysis and indicators are loudly indicating a rise. The scenario I'm expecting is illustrated on the chart.
BTCUSD/D Is it an opportunity or a long slide for BTCUSD?Long-term BTCUSD analysis:
The drop from the peak of 70000 shows us a new profit-taking zone for Bitcoin. Currently, the selling pressure is still very strong, which also presents a long-term opportunity for holding BTCUSD and Bitcoin.
The short-term trading trend remains SELL.
Key price ranges to note are: 46000-48000 and 37000-42000. It is predicted that BTCUSD could reach 80000 this year.
We should seize the opportunity to buy this long-term BTCUSD.
Recommendation:
Plan 1: SELL BTCUSD zone 59000- 60000
SL 62500
TP 55800 - 52500 - 49000.
Plan 2: BUY BTCUSD zone 47000-48000
SL 45000
TP 52000 - 58000 - 80000 - open.
Plan 3: BUY BTCUSD zone 37000 - 40000
SL 35000
TP 45000 - 52000 - 59000 - 80000.
BTC (Bitcoin): Approaching ResistanceTrade setup : Price got oversold (RSI ~ 30) near $56.5K support and bounced back up. It broke back above 200-day MA (~$58.7K) and above $60K key level, which signaled resumption of uptrend, and is now approaching our near-term target of $72K. Now we look for the right entry opportunity in Uptrend.
We wait for price to either 1) break above $72K to signal continuation of uptrend, with +10% upside potential to $79K next, or 2) pull back near $60K support for another swing trade entry in Uptrend with 20% upside potential back to $72K.
Pattern : Price is Approaching Resistance , which is a level where it could pause or reverse its recent advance, at least temporarily. Resistance is often a level where price got rejected in the past, or potentially prior Support level that was broken. (concept known as polarity). Once price breaks above resistance, it can advance higher to the next resistance level. Learn to trade key levels in Lesson 7.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Up, Medium-term trend is Strong Up and Long-term trend is Neutral.
Momentum is Bullish but inflecting. MACD Line is still above MACD Signal Line but momentum may have peaked since MACD Histogram bars are declining, which suggests that momentum could be nearing a downswing. Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $60K, then $56.5K. Nearest Resistance Zone is $72K