Bitcoin Price Forecast: Potential Bull Run in Q4 2024 & Q1 2025 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) currently holds a strong support level at $55,300. This key level presents a significant opportunity for potential gains. If the support at $55,300 fails, the next critical supports are at $52,000 and $48,500. Given the approaching bull run, we expect a bounce from these levels, particularly in Q4 2024 and Q1 & Q4 2025.
As with previous bull runs, we anticipate substantial volatility during this period. Remembering to exit the market around March or November 2025 is crucial, as the bull run is expected to conclude around this time.
Based on historical data and calculations, the Minimum target for Bitcoin in this bull run is $253,623. If Bitcoin flips the resistance at $253,623 by February 2025, we could see a maximum target of $275,780. Previous bull runs in 2013, 2017, and early 2021 exhibited unexpected price pumps, and we may witness similar volatility this time. While observing resistance zones, it's essential to keep trades active and plan to exit long positions by March or November 2025.
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Bitcoinvolatility
Volatility for Bitcoin is at all-time lowsBoth historical (30 days) and implied volatility for Bitcoins is at all-time low levels.
It seems like trades waiting for news about crypto ETFs approvals.
It might make sense to buy straddle/strangle to put a market neutral positions expecting big move and increase in volatility in Q4/2023.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as good as in historical backtesting.
This post and/or the script don’t provide any financial advice.
BTC Volatility Is Building (Price Projection)BTC has successfully bounced from that Bullish Butterfly and is currently trading above local resistance within a Bull Flag on the lower timeframes. Upon Breaking out of the Flag, I think that we will see a Square Up in price action to recover the 19.5k and 22.4k areas. From there we might pullback where we then could potentially form an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern which could then take us Much Higher but for now my focus will be on the 19.5k level.
Bitcoin Volatility Spike [BEARISH]Something to keep an eye on at the moment is the recent and confirmed spike on the BVOL chart we have seen last week. Furthermore, the BVOL is now finding support at a very key level where if held could see Bitcoin volatility spike again here in the coming hours and days.
As we can see the Bitcoin bulls failed to make a lower low here on the chart which now forces one to become very cautious if you are a Bitcoin bull currently. Longer term everything on the BVOL still looks bullish for the price of Bitcoin but short term, a continued bounce in BTC Volatility could mean a further pullback in Bitcoin here in the coming days. I will be watching closely to see if the BVOL can close back below the light green support line line I have drawn before seeking any further longs.
The second scenario would be a spike up to our red downward sloping trendline that has rejected the BVOL 3 separate occasions on very significant time scales. This area would be an excellent area to begin buying Bitcoin again as well.
For now I will wait and see as it appears retail traders have now been woken out of their slumbers and their sudden irrational FOMO could be setting the table for one last nasty shakeout before Bitcoin decides to run to higher prices again.
Lastly, for the ultra bullish case, a break not just back below my light green support line, but ultimately below my yellow line at 64.44 basis points is the level that must get broken before the floodgates of liquidity can rain down on the asset again. This last check box would almost certainly mean a likely revival of the Bitcoin bull market again.
Bitcoin Trend TradeOn may 14 I published an idea about bitcoin in a bear flag pattern and it broke the pattern. The support levels at 47k and 44k have been reached. Bitcoin seems to be trending lower. The exponential moving averages are trending lower. The relative strength index is way below 50 on the daily chart showing signs of sellers in control and the MACD is showing a very strong momentum to the downside. Now that the bear pattern has broken bitcoin could trend even lower before pulling back to the moving averages for a rally then continuing lower. Bitcoin has been overbought on the monthly chart with readings way over 80. Any instrument with an relative strength index with a reading above 80 should be approached cautiously as profit taking tends to follow overbought readings. How far will bitcoin trend who knows. To get a better picture with all the news and reactions happening best to wait to see when bitcoin pulls back to the 9 and 15 moving averages to see if it strengthens or shows signs of continuing lower. I have nothing against bitcoin I am just a day trader who is here for profit or loss. Win, Lose, or Draw do not get emotionally attached to these products. At the end of the day we are all here to profit not hope.
Good luck and good trading!
BTC historical volatiity chartHi All,
We just got around seeing the nervous chitters with that sudden drop.
I personally switched the majority of my alts towards BTC .... lesson learnt some time back.
Why?
Along with most of the Alts hitting their target or resistance levels in this stage along with these other 2, something tells me its safer to have BTC or US.
Note:
This bitcoin history volatility indicator tells you that a big move is coming, whenever its at the lowest point in volatility
along with the BTC dominance which is approaching the 0.618 retracement level on this impulse, its safer to have more BTC now.
What are your thoughts?
Regards,
S.SAri
This indicator suggests we are going for a drop