ALL ABOUT FIBONACCIFibonacci retracement levels serve as indispensable tools for evaluating retracement potential and identifying targets
This analytical scheme is most effective in market trends. In a market with an upward trend, the traders' goal is to determine the correction potential and strategically identify entry points for long positions. Conversely, in a downtrend, the focus shifts to evaluating correction potentials and tactically identifying entry points for short positions.
By utilizing Fibonacci levels with precision and insight, traders can navigate market dynamics with greater clarity and strategic foresight.
Operating rules:
●Identify the trend and work according to it
●To determine the correction potential for uptrend use the grid below up.
●To determine the correction potential for downtrend use a top-down grid.
●Find Swing High and Swing Low for correct using the tool.
1. For an uptrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from HL to HH.
After breaking the downtrend from LL to HH.
2. For a downtrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from LH to LL.
After breaking the uptrend from HH to LL.
Settings for corrective movements:
0.5 - fair price (equilibrium).
0.62; 0.705; 0.79 - OTE zone (optimal entry into a deal).
Unlike the standard values, this is a modified version with the highest mathematical expectation of price reversal.
To open a position, we are always interested in the price behavior above or below the 0.5 value.
The smart money will always look to buy at a discount and sell at a premium.
Therefore, to open a short position we always look at the price above 0.5, which is considered a premium. And to open long positions, we look at the behavior of prices below 0.5, which is considered discount prices.
The OTE zone is an extended grid that is always in the premium market when you are looking for a short position, or in the discount market when you are looking for a long position.
These levels act as an area for the optimal entry point.
Correction of the upward impulse.
Fibonacci lines themselves do not act as support or resistance levels. It is not relevant to trade only on the basis of them. The price turns from specific areas that are displayed on the chart.
Correction of the upward impulse.
The price may go beyond OTE, this does not negate the relevance of the setup, HL is still being formed in the discount market.
Correction of the upward impulse.
Not in all cases, the price corrects to the OTE zone: when it reaches the support zone at the 50% level (equilibrium) or slightly below it, a reversal may already begin, because this moment already implies the start of buying or selling with smart money.
Downward impulse correction.
Make it a rule to open positions only after a correction in the premium or discount market, and skip other opportunities.
Take profit according to Fibonacci
In order to determine where you will take profits, you can use negative values.
Settings for setting takes:
-0.27 – take 1
-0.62 – take 2
-1 – take 3 or closing the position
-1.5 / -2 – take 4
Fibonacci take
Negative Fibonacci values can be used effectively on every trade, but try to prioritize the chart to identify more precise zones where price may reverse.
Bitcon
Will they allowed to go higher?It's unlikely that governments would intentionally allow altcoins to devalue central tradefi. There are a few scenarios where altcoins could potentially challenge the dominance of fiat currencies:
Cryptocurrency adoption : Widespread adoption of cryptocurrencies could lead to a shift in the global monetary system, potentially reducing the importance of fiat currencies.
Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) : Some central banks are exploring the development of their own digital currencies, which could potentially coexist with altcoins and reduce the influence of traditional currencies.
Decentralized finance (DeFi) : The growth of DeFi platforms, which offer lending, borrowing, and other financial services using cryptocurrencies, could potentially disrupt traditional financial systems and challenge the role of fiat currencies.
So. will they 'really' allow it?
17 year experienced trader talks about BITCOINMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and just want to share my thoughts on Bitcoin. This is a very important video and should be watched carefully.
Bitcoin is getting to the end of the consolidation and very close to a move.
Any questions please hit me up
Bitcoin - Bitcoin reached 60 thousand dollars!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its descending channel
In case of risk aversion in the US stock market or withdrawal of capital from Bitcoin ETFs today, we can witness the continuation of the downward trend. But it is better to enter into sales position within the specified supply zone due to the reward to the more appropriate risk
If Bitcoin reaches the demand zones and continues to risk on sentiment in in the US stock market or invest in ETFs, you can enter into purchase position from these zones
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important
TIAUSDT Soars to New Heights, Hitting All Targets at 5.900!TIAUSDT has experienced a remarkable rally, reaching all set targets and surging to a price of 5.900. This bullish movement reflects strong market demand and positive sentiment among traders. The coin broke through multiple resistance levels, confirming the strength of its upward trend. Several technical indicators, including moving averages and RSI, signaled bullish momentum. The rally has attracted increased buying interest, pushing the price to new highs. Investors are now eyeing the next potential moves as TIAUSDT establishes itself at this elevated level.
Weekly Chart: Bull Flag Pattern Suggests Potential End 2024
Here's some promising news for those hoping Bitcoin will reach $100,000 by the end of the year. We’re observing a bull flag pattern on the weekly chart, which could set the stage for that goal. If everything progresses smoothly, reaching $92,722 is a possibility. Given that it's a U.S. presidential election year, unexpected developments are always possible.
www.fool.com
Bitcoin price looks settled following todays Breakout BTCUSD_2024-08-09_00-06-51_87596.png
As per my last post on Bitcoin which showed Bitcoin's strength in breaking out to the upside today from recent zones, this breakout occurred when Bitcoin was looking very bearish with D Tops across most timeframes. Be aware of a massive cup and handle formation on the weekly chart.
The chart here displays Bitcoins healthy price action as it settles in a rising wedge across 1hr, 2hr and 4hr timeframes.
We won't see these low prices again for a long time is my feeling. The interest rate reduction in the USA is practically in the bag for September and we are ever so close. Also today pleasing figures in unemployment assistance in the USA.
Going forwards to the September I am holding contracts in Silver but I have sold out of Gold as I see much more upside in Silver and potentially even more in Bitcoin. Buy the dips in small parcels that your margin can afford and safe and happy trading to everyone.
Bitcoin and Crypto Go MainstreamMany have always believed Bitcoin and the wider crypto market are a market of their own. Well, not anymore. A lot of times, most market participants sub-consciously forget that human psychology (especially fear and greed) are fundamental to movements in the price of any financial instrument. For example, it is literally not because of a bad jobs report that markets will move up or down but rather the interpretation of that jobs report which will lead to some form of fear or greed and the subsequent market reaction. Many have downplayed the role of the US Federal Reserve on the wider crypto market as well as the impact of economic indicators coming out of the United States.
I will point out just two scenarios which I believe are very fresh in the minds of many crypto investors. Let me begin by going a while back to 2020, when Bitcoin made all time highs. One could argue that it was just time for bitcoin to hit record highs. However, we cannot give a blind eye to the major factor behind the crypto and stock market at that time. It was a year of massive fiscal stimulus which led to free cash encouraging speculative behavior as many dashed to the financial markets to try and double their capital.
As if people sitting at home with money coming in was not enough, the US Federal Reserve maintained historically low interest rates which only added fuel to the fire that was about to turn out to be a massive bubble. These low interest rates meant borrowing cost was cheap and thus, leading to more cash in circulation. It was normal that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies should increase in their valuation due to the free money in circulation creating demand.
Reality stroke when it became apparent that the world was starring at runaway inflation and central banks around the world together with the US federal reserve will have to reduce the money in circulation at a much faster rate than they may have anticipated. It didn't take long when in 2022, people who had their sights set at Bitcoin hitting $300,000 soon saw its price nose dive to $15,000 from a high of about $68,000. It was not only bitcoin as even other cryptocurrencies and stocks sank.
The second scenario is just a few days back August-02-2024 when the markets came to the realization that we may be heading for a recession in the US after unemployment hit 4.3%. leading to bitcoin and stocks dropping so hard that some sit at -10% drops. As i write (August-04-2024), Ethereum is down about 16% in just a day. Back to my point that fear and greed drives markets, it is evident that the fear of a recession is in play and many are cashing out their profits. What should be looked as with optimism is being approached with fear. Markets have been soaring on hopes that the US Federal reserve will cut the high interest rates it put in place early on in 2022 in response to fueling the all time highs of 2020. Now that we finally have reason to believe that they will actually cut the rates, many selling their positions.
I have been long in this game to realize that this is the time for me to buy assets. When I see a 10% drop/correction, I buy and so on and so fort. I don't think those selling are stupid. I want to believe that these are those who bought in early and are taking profits to then reposition. It is wise to reposition because monetary policy coming out of the US drives markets. It fuels fear and greed in these markets. When those interest rates begin dropping, money will be injected in to the economy and with it comes investments from value investing to speculative behaviors. This is what will user the next bull run because it is a cycle that repeats itself over and over. Bitcoin halved in April of 2024 and historically, after a year of halving, it almost always rise a 100% from its value at halving.
I couldn't see a better scenario than what appears to be shaping out. I'm more altcoin friendly because I'm not capitalized enough to be aggressive with Bitcoin. So, all I conclude by saying, with these two scenarios, you can see that Bitcoin if influenced by US monetary policy especially when it comes to interests rates. After having ETFs approved and traded on US stock exchanges, Bitcoin is now mainstream and it only means more stability in its volatility which will highly be shaped by Wall Street. It is mainstream now.
Enjoy!!
$AEROUSD an alt worth watching?COINBASE:AEROUSD Finance (by request):
This altcoin is an AMM for BASE ( NASDAQ:COIN ).
We rejected from the $1 level at the channel bottom as anticipated. This month I hope to see us set a higher low, against the $0.40 cent bottom in July (blue half-circle, around $0.55), ready to re-test the $1 level by the end of the month, assuming CRYPTOCAP:BTC can find its legs. Bear case would be a breakdown of our white trend-line since March, falling to a double bottom at ~$0.40 (red flag)
Remember, the altcoin market is a derivative of the Bitcoin market, so expect the price action of COINBASE:AEROUSD to move with CRYPTOCAP:BTC , but with a higher beta. The exciting setup is that COINBASE:AEROUSD will probably trade with CRYPTOCAP:BTC bullishness - so if we can get into the top half of the channel, there is almost no resistance between ~$1.40 and the channel high at $2.