BTC - Minor Consolidation into the DropBitcoin will need to break up and out of the descending channel in order for
a reversal.
BTC has been well correlated to 10Yr Note Yields, it no longer is performing
to the prior Analogue.
Traders are closely watching $42K, the Gap could fill @ 32,600 into February
or March - Although the CLoud appears supportive until January 31, thereafter
Price may begin to decline once again.
It will be a process of grinding up Distribution after the Failure to close over our
Price objective $69,000.
With changes coming to Regulation in 2022 it will most certainly be an interesting
year ahead for BTC.
A Panic of sorts may be underlying the Trade over the next few months, the chart
structure on Lnnger duration timeframes is weakening.
______________________________________________________________________
BTC would need to close over 50,635 in order to revere the Downtrend.
Bito
Opened: BITO February 18th 23/42 Short Strangle... for a 1.48 credit.
Comments: Selling premium in the bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund with same delta'd strikes on both sides. High 30-day implied at 76.1%. 1.48 on buying power effect of 22.20; 6.7 ROC %-age at max; 3.3% at 50% max. You know the drill: look to take profit at 50% max; manage sides on approaching worthless/side test.
Closed: BITO January 21st 25/44 Short Strangle... for an .80 debit.
Comments: Filed this for a 1.60 credit (See Post Below; out here via good-until-cancelled order to take profit at 50% max. .80/$80 profit. 3.3% ROC as a function of buying power effect.
Although implied volatility has contracted a bit, will consider re-upping in the February cycle after New Year's, assuming the strikes above 40 get populated. Currently, the February 18th 40 short call is the highest available strike, with a delta of .29.
Opening (Margin): BITO January 21st 25/44 Short Strangle... for a 1.59 credit.
Comments: Selling ~16 delta premium in high implied BITO (30-day at 82%). Unfortunately, because the broker's basically requiring that this particular underlying be cash-secured, the ROC isn't very sexy as a function of buying power effect: $159 credit on a buying power effect of $2416 or 6.6% at max/3.3% at 50% max.
In any event, will look to take profit at 50% max; manage sides on approaching worthless or side test.
Closed: BITO December 17th 2 x 25/2 x 28/49/55* Double Double... for a .75 debit.
Comments: In for 1.49 (See Post Below), out today at 50% max via a good until cancelled order, a .74 ($74) profit. 30-day is still good in this underlying at 85.2%, so may re-up when the January monthly gets a little shorter in duration. (It's currently 59 days out).
* -- I had to squeeze in the strikes on the chart in order to get them to show due to BITO's limited data set.
Is BITO Finding Its footing?BITO, a Proshares ETF strategy for Bitcoin futures, has filled the gap created on the daily chart at around $40. I'm interested in taking a position in this instrument but had my doubts when I saw the bearish engulfing candle on the daily created back on 11/10/21.
The crypto bulls really don't like BITO because the fund doesn't hold any actual Bitcoin, but rather values on the future price movements of Bitcoin. BTC/USD seems to be on a fairly strong uptrend, but as we all know BTC can turn on a dime.
BITO has good daily volume (over 9 millions shares daily). If it can clear $44.28 and hold, I will look to go long.
Bitcoin - The only certain product in the market.-While the equity market is recovering and still has the fear of a drop in it, the Crypto market is bullish and keeps rising non-stop.
-Now where to open a spread or a leap? Well here comes the BITO for the help! With the low price and bullish rising underlying, it is a one-stop instrument for spread investors!
-We see the current levels as a safe entry for a spread or a leap. Stay safe and good luck to everyone!
Opening (Small Account): BITO December 17th 2 x 25/28/49/55Double Double for a 1.49 credit.
Comments: Can't resist the 78.5% 30-day implied here. Going with a delta neutral double double iron condor to accommodate awful call side skew here -- twice the number of contracts on the put side as on the call, with the call side spread twice the width of the put side. Will look to take profit at 50% max.
First matured & clear Technical Analysis for BitCoin as long as we stay above this ma, and we creep a lil bit higher and higher to allow the moving averages to align themselves correctly. We will be ready for 100k soon. Although if that yellow crosses above the lighter yellow on daily, and this MFI indicator is at that dangerous level. GET OUT
BITO: $41 | BTC: $63,000 Fwd Price $550k by 20224when Gold at $200 first issued an etf sometime in 2003 it's price went to $1800
that was a an 800% price upside in 7 years
in currenty times 2021 with all the technology and access to markets.. that 7 years may just be recuded to 7months or maybe even weeks
next halving is 204 around March.. and $550k BTC should be around that area
CRYPTO ETF - THE ESCAPE ROUTE FOR PROFIT??AMEX:BITO
I'm not a fundamentally based trader, however, there are times where a theoretical story seems likely to supplement the technical analysis side of the (bit)coin.
Technically: Most IPOs are pretty obvious as to what is support and resistance are after a few days of trading. Therefore, mapping out potential levels in the future become easier - especially if happens to align with large round numbers. The areas shaded are in my opinion the ONLY places I would pay attention to.
Fundamentally: Bitcoin is at HI's again, and crypto is prevalent in the news with the launch of its first ETF (paving way for others). If anyone is looking to get out of bitcoin near its all-time HI, double top, then we need buyers. These ETFs are providing the liquidity for the sellers aka the escape artists to profit from the buyers and new players into the crypto world. We may see absorption of this buying (temporarily?) before we see bitcoin, crypto, and BITO ETF suffer some.
Small moves in the grand scheme of things where you can still profit.
Just an idea....
Canadians trade Bitcoin within RRSP? Bull and Bear?Looks like all the Canadians stuck with toxic dollar=based high priced equity can buy in fake Bitcoin via ETF. Complete junk but highly tradable. For Bitcoin when the Bull is running (like now), BUY HBIT
When the bear returns, switch to cash-is-trash or BITI to go bear on Bitcoin.
Use the leverage. On this trading style we will be fairly agreesive since we prefer to be in cash since the legacy markets run on obsolete banksters hours and systems.
Move to the new world of internet money. The truth. And until there is a true physically based backed Bitcoin ETF, trade this ETF scams. Heck a lot better than any mutual funds.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - TRUST YOURSELF - VERIFY EVERTHING ELSE.
"Wall Street Bitcoin" Lovely baby chart on the 15minWell, as someone who is extremely critical of toxic Wall Street Instruments. I am impressed with this "futures" BS "Bitcoin-link" instrument of mass destruction. Fortunately, Bitcoin, unlike manipulated gold and silver commodity markets, is a world-wide, distributed and battle hard spaceship.
Gifted to us by the gods not though gold but though MATH AND TRUTH! And the charts over today's first trading day on crook street (banksters hours) shows a lovely 15 min period chart ending with a warm bullish engulfing candle. Warms my heart.
Enjoy the ride people. Trust yourself first. And verify the rest!
Notes: First date trading:
$40.88 OPEN
24.284M VOLUME
BITO is NOT an investment because it's decays with futures contract roll overs. Great swing trade position. As we break 65K, BLUE SKY BREAKOUTS to .... (TBC)
Breaking through WEEKLY Moving average 50This is so exciting my friends, this is the first time ever since MAY 2018 that the price is above weekly moving average 50.
Does it mean that another big bang in #Bitcoin #btc is going to happen this year? :)
To be honest I am getting ready for a $80000 Bitcoin this year.
You can find out more about this in my previous ideas, so feel free to check those and give me your comments.
Please let me know about your idea about this break out in the comments.
Thank you and good Luck.