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Bitcoin's Resilience Amidst Bear Market: A Technical Outlook 📊"DISCLAIMER!! This is a 'worst-case' scenario/theory which is still bullish. Bitcoin also has a "monthly bearish-divergence on monthly, which would be the first time this has printed on the Bitcoin: INDEX chart. Also there are other variables such as black-swans/wars, CME-GAP, Declining volume on this whole 'rally' up. Also the first time Bitcoin has made a new all-time-high before a halving.(Blackrock-manipulation(prolonging bear-market-rally) "" "My current theoretical analysis suggests Bitcoin is testing a breakout from the cyclical triangle pattern observed in the last market cycle. If confirmed, this could signal the end of the bear market. There are speculations that BlackRock may have engaged in strategic market activities, potentially inflating Bitcoin's value to create a bullish sentiment during a bear market rally. This orchestrated optimism is believed to have sustained the price levels." Revisiting Triangular Patterns: A Classic Continuation? 🔺✨ Bitcoin's recent price actions suggest a retest of the structural integrity within a macro triangular pattern. Despite the bearish sentiments, the chart displays a potential 'higher low,' indicating an underlying strength. This scenario, if supported by volume and market participation, could signal the tapering off of the bear market. Black Swan Events and Market Dynamics 🦢🔄 The term 'Black swans' references unforeseen events with substantial market impact. The chart alludes to such events as pivotal in Bitcoin's trajectory, though it's critical to recognize that market manipulation allegations like those suggested against Black Rock require substantial evidence and are beyond technical analysis purview. Bullish Sentiments and Market Manipulation Claims 📈⚖️ While the narrative of market manipulation can influence short-term price movements, long-term trends in Bitcoin have shown resilience to such factors. The claim that bullish sentiments have artificially sustained prices is challenging to substantiate without concrete data. Higher-Low: The Bullish Bastion ⬆️🛡️ The chart points to a 'higher-low' formation, a classic bullish signal. This pattern reflects buyers stepping in at higher price levels than previous lows, suggesting an upward momentum. Bear Market Exit: A Technically Supported Theory? 🐻🔚 The conclusion that Bitcoin is testing the last cycle's triangle apex could be indicative of a bear market conclusion. However, this would need validation through other indicators like moving averages, RSI, and MACD, beyond the scope of the current visual data. Takeaway: Analyzing the Apex 🎯📝 Bitcoin's endurance of a macro 'higher-low' amidst a bearish cycle suggests optimism. However, reliance on a single pattern or market rumors for prediction is precarious. A holistic technical analysis, incorporating diverse indicators and market sentiment, provides a more robust framework for future price movement speculation. Conclusion: Informed Caution Is Key 🔍🔑 While the theory presents an optimistic case for Bitcoin, prudent investors should seek confirmation through a broad technical lens, mindful of market volatility and the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies. 📈 Please note: This analysis does not constitute financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Always conduct thorough research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Shibunacci
BlackRock Hits Record $10.5 Trillion in Assets Under ManagementIn a financial feat that has stunned market analysts, BlackRock ( NYSE:BLK ) has shattered records, boasting a staggering $10.5 trillion in assets under management (AUM) in the first quarter. This milestone, coupled with a remarkable 36% surge in profit, underscores BlackRock's dominance in the global investment landscape. The surge in AUM, propelled by a robust rebound in global equity markets, reflects investor confidence in BlackRock's prowess in navigating volatile market conditions. As expectations of rate cuts by major central banks gained traction, investors flocked to BlackRock ( NYSE:BLK ), driving a remarkable 15% increase in AUM compared to the previous year. While the investment advisory and administration fees soared nearly 8.8% to $3.63 billion, total net inflows experienced a dip to $57 billion from $110 billion a year earlier. This softness in inflows is attributed to cautious investor behavior, with many waiting on the sidelines for interest rate cuts before reentering riskier assets. Analysts foresee a resurgence in asset management industry flows post-interest rate cuts, anticipating a migration of cash reserves from the sidelines into riskier assets. BlackRock's total revenue surged 11% to $4.73 billion in the quarter, fueled by higher performance fees, technology revenue, and the impact of surging markets on average AUM. BlackRock's robust performance extends beyond traditional investment management. Its technology revenue witnessed a remarkable 10.9% jump to $377 million, indicative of sustained demand for its Aladdin investment management platform. This platform has become indispensable for retail and institutional clients globally, including sovereign wealth funds, insurance companies, and large corporations. The company's stellar financial performance is further underscored by its impressive net income of $1.57 billion, or $10.48 per share, in the first quarter, compared to $1.16 billion, or $7.64 per share, a year earlier. While BlackRock's shares have experienced a slight dip of about 3.2% this year, underperforming the benchmark S&P 500 index, its commanding position in the asset management industry remains unchallenged. As markets continue to evolve, BlackRock's unwavering commitment to innovation and excellence positions it for continued success in navigating the complexities of the global financial landscape.
NYSE:BLKLong
by DEXWireNews
SHOR WELLS FARGO IDEA BACK TO 48 TP KEY FACTORSThe stock price of Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) can be influenced by several key factors: Interest Rates: Wells Fargo is a big beneficiary of rising interest rates. When the Federal Reserve raises its benchmark overnight lending rate, it positively impacts banks. Wells Fargo’s margins widen as yields on interest-earning assets (such as loans) reprice higher with the federal funds rate, while the yields on interest-bearing liabilities (like deposits) remain relatively stable. The recent hawkish stance by the Fed, with expectations of multiple rate hikes, further supports Wells Fargo’s profitability. Earnings Estimates: Analysts’ revisions to earnings estimates play a crucial role. When earnings estimates for a company go up, its stock’s fair value tends to increase as well. Wells Fargo’s expected earnings per share for the current quarter and fiscal year are important indicators. Although the consensus estimates have changed slightly, they still impact investor sentiment. Efficiency Initiatives: Wells Fargo is conducting a multi-year efficiency initiative to cut annual expenses and streamline operations. If successful, this could positively affect the bank’s profitability and stock price. Asset Cap Removal: The asset cap imposed on Wells Fargo since 2018 (due to the phony-accounts scandal) restricts the bank from growing its balance sheet. Investors hope that the removal of this cap will enhance the stock’s valuation and overall performance.
NYSE:WFCShort
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
25/03/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $68975.9 Last weeks low: $64863.9 Midpoint: $60752.0 Our first major pullback took place last week as BTC saw a weekly low of $60,752 , and notably the weekly high didn't manage to top the previous cycles ATH at 69K which does indicate a HTF Bearish Swing Fail Pattern. The 4H 200EMA providing support on multiple occasions and keeping the HTF trend bullish. Both of these price action movements creating a bit of a stalemate/ chop. Looking closely to see which pattern gets broken first. So far any pullback we have seen has been more of a leverage flush than a sustained pullback, V-shaped recoveries as entities such as BlackRock completely absorb any sell pressure. However, we did see a drop in IBIT inflows that were unable to absorb Greyscales GBTC outflows , leading to negative volume and a drop in price. I think if we could see an S/R flip of the previous ATH it would give the greenlight to the rest of the market to continue moving up. Historically a pre-halving dump is normal, a ~20% correction is normal. If we don't flip that S/R level a sweep of the $58K area is not off the table but the closer we get to the halving the less likely that is to happen in my opinion. The altcoin market pulled back with BTC with a few exceptions as usual. Narrative plays like RWA enjoying gains as BlackRock prepare for their $10TRILLION Tokenisation vision starting by depositing $100m USDC on the ETHEREUM blockchain. . This week focusing on ETH based RWA projects for longer term holds could be a good plan to try and front run BlackRock buying. BITCOIN is obviously the main focus as it needs to continue its bullish trend so that the rest of the market can continue to rally. 25 Days to The Halving This weeks focus: - BTC S/R Flip - ETH RWA's
by ProR35
2
Market Update - March 28, 2024 LSE announces launch of new crypto ETNs as BTC ETFs reverse outflow trend: The London Stock Exchange announced this week that they plan to launch BTC and ETH ETNs by the end of May, signaling further ongoing interest in crypto-related products. Coupled with a reversal in BTC ETF outflows, these developments have helped to renew market optimism and push the price of BTC back above the $70K level, a +15% rise from the low of $61K only one week ago. BlackRock steps further into digital assets with launch of BUIDL: The BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund, called BUIDL, will allow qualified investors to earn U.S. dollar yields paid out through blockchain technology, with the fund holding its assets in cash, U.S. Treasury bills, and repurchase agreements. Following BlackRock’s announcement, the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) sector received increased attention, leading to outperformance this week. DOJ charges, CFTC enforcement action, lead to 15% outflows at Kucoin: KuCoin, one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges, saw a 15% drop in the exchange's assets following news that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) had charged KuCoin and two of its founders with violating U.S. Anti-Money Laundering (AML) laws. Also this week, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) also announced it filed a civil enforcement action against Kucoin. Merger news emerges among three of the biggest AI-related tokens in the space: On Wednesday, Bloomberg M&A announced that three of the biggest AI-related tokens in the space, SingularityNet, Fetch.ai, and Ocean Protocol, are in talks to merge their tokens into one single AltSignals (ASI) token in a bid to improve their efforts at developing a decentralized AI platform. Following the merger, the fully diluted value (FDV) would be ~$7.5B. 🇪🇺Topic of the Week: What is MiCA? 👉 Read more here
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Gemini
LTC, the Sleeping Giant now break out!! its ready to takeoff!!Technical Analysis: #LTC (Monthly Update) #Litecoin now breakout the 238 days accumulation zone, This is just the beginning of new uptrend. #Litecoin is ready to take off and looks too bullish, it will ready to test its previous high and make new ATH at year-end or earlier. 🥰If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in Tradingview😍. Please show your support back🙏, Hit the 👍 LIKE button, Drop some feedback below in the comment✍️! ❤️🤝 Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️🤝 💎 Want me to help you become a better Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let me know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, 💪 #LTCCOIN #CRYPTO #BULLISHRUN #ALTCOIN #UPTREND
Long
by Bitking786
🔥 Bitcoin Near All-Time High: What Does History Tell?In this analysis I want to take a look at Bitcoin's historical behaviour at the moment that it made new all-time highs (ATH's), and make a prediction based on those findings. As seen on the bottom two charts, Bitcoin has ALWAYS reversed substantially from the previous ATH's area of resistance (note: the area around the ATH functions as resistance, not the exact value). 2017: ~33% correction. 2020: ~17% correction. This time it remains to be seen how much we will reverse. Seeing that corrections (and pumps) become less extreme with time, it's likely that it will be less than 17%. In my view, the most likely scenario would be a reversal towards the first yellow area of support (1), which would be around 11% decline from 69k. The worst-case temporary reversal would be a fall towards the second area of support (2), around 25% decline. In the long-term I'm still bullish. However, we have to acknowledge that historical price action is against the bulls. On the other hand, this might be the last time we can buy BTC for these price for the next 1-2 years.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
8
Coinbase Denies Retail Buy-In at 59-60k!Traders, I've been seeing a ton of traders who wanted to buy BTC at 59-60k but their transaction "failed". There is a reason why I am now calling BTC, Blackrock Trading Coin and why I have been extra cynical and skeptical about Blackrock's crypto trading exchange, Coinbase, as well as their entry into the crypto space via ETF. But I won't get into conjecture or conspiracy here. Just watch. You'll witness more shenanigans just like this the higher price goes. Anyways, we can use Coinbase's buying rejection at 59-60k as further proof that this was the bottom of our liquidation flush. Notice how on my chart the wick down touched exactly that top ascending purple trend line. Once hit, we quickly bounced back above my multi-year ascending support/resistance (now support) trend line from 2019. As long as we stay above this line, I am completely comfortable and confident that our upward journey will continue. Remember, there is no escaping the math here. ETFs are simply demanding far more than miners can produce. Only 24% of BTC remains liquid. And there is burgeoning institutional demand for BTC ETFs in a growing number of countries. All this before halving. There is no way to get around these fundamental facts. Fundamentals supersede technical analysis in this case. And this is coming from someone who touts technical analysis most of the time. Fundamentals are priority but we can see that technicals are supporting fundamentals. Look also at that RSI. Finally, it gets a break and is able to drop back below overbought territory. Altcoin RSI readings look even better. I suspect when all the dust settles and price closes out this candle we may even be back above that 64.8k support. But if we're not and we settle anywhere above my multi-year line of support, I remain bullishly biased and expect us to hit our inverse H&S target of 79k soon. Best, Stewdamus
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
Bitcoin Bulls Are Not Quitting HereTraders, As you might know, I went short on BTC at 60,500. That was when price lived just under our Multi-Year Support/Resistance TL from 2019. Obviously, I was betting that we would NOT break straight through. I was wrong and as I told my followers in our private chat, I never mind trading a bit of humility for some profit. Bulls have clearly demonstrated that they are in complete and total control. When the charts show me proof that I was wrong and new developments are in the making, I will quickly bow to the data. I know from experience that if I don't, I may lose valuable lost opportunities to profit more in the future if I don't. More evidence of bull control comes in the way of the following technical developments: Confirmation of a break above our TL Bull Flag formed above our TL New BLUE ascending TL spotted from 2022 Target of my Inverse H&S meets BLUE TL Exactly! As you may be aware, I have now exited my BTC short and pending further price action on Monday I may begin to re-enter BTC LONG. Until that time, I will be scouting for laggard altcoins that may still have time to pop further in attempts to play catch up. Apologies to TradingView people but I don't always have time to post all of my trades here. Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
DEVVE Awaiting breakout to double digitsDevve, a layer 1 blockchain with 8m tps focused on ESG just launched and currently sits at a 15M market cap. It has has a French license and perfectly fits the institutional cycle we're in. Check their official website for more info. Breakout is near with testnet launch in March. Already above downwards sloping resistance. A break of $1.50 would lead us towards ATH, which after retest would lead us towards $10. Current supply is only 20M coins. If you read this during Feb/March 2024, you're early.
Long
by cryptobullethbtcxlm
Financial Titans Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThese are the largest financial institutions in the world. BlackRock, BlackStone, State Street Corporation, American Express Company. CME Group, NY Bank of Mellon Corporation, and Vangaurd. This is not a Bank Sector Idea. This is a Financial Conglomerate type of idea rather than individual banks. Because these companies realistically OWN the banks. BlackRock, State Street, and Vanguard are the main three who own most of the stocks and therefore many percentages of tons companies. -The "Dot Com" means they were formed from the Dot Com Bubble. -The Collapse of the Bretton Woods System was in 1973. This is where we switched from a gold standard to the dollar standard. -Black Monday of 1987 was a global market crash which was blamed on Computer Algorithms... HINT HINT: What you are looking at. "algorithms don't describe it well enough.
NYSE:BLK
by MichaelBsul
1
Bitcoin REALISM I am definitely not going to win any popularity competitions with my comments and thoughts. But that's not the point when it comes to making money. The main issue for me still in Crypto Land is the lack of realism. The image on the front cover was from a google search of "realism" I guess the confused face made my day. This is exactly how you need to be looking when you read these points below. I have explained the logic of every major move over the last couple of years and this guys - is no different. So let's start by exploring the reality of market cap for one. When you buy a stock you have a number of stocks in circulation times that by the price and you can get a market cap. Of course, unlike most companies on the exchange Bitcoin CANNOT just issue new stock. We have to remember some Bitcoin are gone and lost forever so this number will likely end up around 20million and not the full 21m. The current Market cap is roughly 19,806,000 x $42,897. Let's call it a little over 820 Billion. At the ATH of $69,000 we saw $1.302 Trillion. Lets look at what is needed and an angle of attack if Bitcoin was to hit $500k by Jan 25, 26, 27, 28 or 2029. This is only one aspect of the story. Prior to the ETF launch people were saying silly things like "Trillions coming in, $100k imminent" Blackrock's largest ETF is roughly $354 Billion. This is the SP500 fund founded back in 2001. So 23 years old roughly now. Here's the actual chart. What does this mean? Well, let's say Blackrock decided to close their biggest ETF and throw it all into Bitcoin. That level would still not take us back to the current ATH. Bullish, Bullish, Bullish - we are still $25,000+ under the current ATH. So what about other ETF's? Obviously the market is bigger than just Blackrock. Let's look at this aspect too. Look at the end of 2021 as the ETF market collectively was at it's high. We are talking about $10Trillion in 8,552 ETF's. I've posted several times about the current COT landscape. Clearly social media Bitcoin is buzzing and everyone is about to become rich, it's different this time and so on. Well, COT says otherwise. Back at the top when everyone was calling for $135,000 I said the reason for the drop would be liquidity. So why is this different? I said there were two likely scenario's on the table as we moved down. The first was we were in an early stage accumulation, we needed to go up to 32k and back down to the low 20's. This would allow us to travel much higher and sustain such a large move. The second option was bearish. Well, I guess the second move played out. The momentum is still clearly not with us - we are still FWB:25K + under the current ATH - not what one would or should expect after 12 Bitcoin specific ETF's obtaining approval & launching. Look at the momentum People seem to fall into the echo chamber and all logic leaves the building. I have been at this game a long, long time. Seen it all before and I am sure I will see it again. This does not mean I am Bearish or anti Bitcoin - not for one second. I am one of the lucky ones in at the right time, sold a lot on the way up and happy with the current holdings. All I am trying to emphasis here - is don't get sucked into the void which is not supported by ANY sound logic. I recently watched a couple of video's with Warren Buffet, another with Jim Rickards. They both explained something very interesting in a very clear way. Although Anti Bitcoin - what they said made a lot of sense. The same lesson kinda applies to things like gold. When you buy an asset, the asset can produce for you. So assume you buy a house - you get rental income each month and with the price of the property going up over time you make gains there. Buy a business same thing - Buffet explained this using a farm as the example. Sell grains, cows or whatever you farm. Over time you still hold the asset. This isn't true for the likes of diamonds, gold or Bitcoin. Hence it fits into the greater fool theory. If I sell you my last bitcoin I picked up for less than $200. You buy it all today at $42,850. You have to find someone else willing to pay you more than the $42,850 in the future. For me, this is the main reason I don't personally care up or down or sideways here. But many in the echo chamber do. The average price across the breakeven addresses are around $37k - this is Breakeven not profit. So imagine majority of the retail crowd with an average entry after DCA'in at $37k. These are all things to keep in mind when your playing shorter term moves. ETF's are structured in such a way long term growth can be expected, volatility get's somewhat reduced. You noticed what's happened on the weekends since the launch? So whilst I expect it to go up in the long run. We need a healthy pullback as to be expected. This gives more time for real accumulation to happen - but this will also put some stress on that average (BE) level of $37k. Just keep this in mind and one more thing if you want to comment on "oh your wrong - up only" give some logic to support it or I won't bother responding. This move will take time. For me, nothing has changed since 2022. We are not ready for new highs - YET... Anyway enjoyed or not I thought it was worth another educational post. Stay safe! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
74
Wyckoff Schematic #1: Distribution for #BTC USDBlackRock is making a big move into Bitcoin with an ETF aimed at wealthy baby boomers. They are a huge financial company with $9 trillion in assets under management. BlackRock bought 11,500 Bitcoins, diving into the market, expecting a big comeback. Despite the leviathan's moves, market's reaction to ETF approvals is erratic. The market is reacting to rumors with schizophrenia. Bitcoin's price drops below $43,000, and traders don't seem to be reacting much to the ETF rumors. This "sell-the-news" effect is not a sign of a positive This isn't a sign of a strong trend. It's the sound of uncertainty. It's like the crowd leaving the theater before the play is over. And there's more. The delay in the Ethereum ETF by American bank TD Cowen disrupts market optimism. It shows that not everything is good in the rules, and not every opportunity in crypto will be accepted. This news alone could start a bearish turn. It may lead to $40K support being seen as a trapdoor to lower lows. The market sentiment has become neutral after ETF, and it's like the calm before a storm. The dip under $42,000 is not a discount—it's a warning shot. Traders eyeing support at $40K might find themselves not at the bottom. It's a precipice with a market ready to capitulate. Now, let's turn our gaze to the two scenarios laid out before us in the tale of two charts. If we keep going down, the Wyckoff Method shows that we're in for a big surprise. This isn't a methodical distribution. It's a tactical retreat by smart money. Retail holders are left to play a game of musical chairs. The music has stopped and there are no chairs left. If we surge up, breaking resistance, the recent top at $49,000 might be just a pitstop. It could be an 'Upthrust' (UT), followed by 'Upthrust After Distribution' (UTAD). This wouldn't show a market going back, but a market getting ready to jump past $50,000 like it's easy. The market is at a turning point. Big forces are pulling in different directions. BlackRock getting into Bitcoin could have a big impact, either positive or negative. It's like a potential leader who might guide people in the wrong direction. The charts show caution. The news indicates change. The best strategy prepares for volatility with strong logic and risk control. Prepare for the worst, hope . To make the most out of it, just remember that the world of cryptocurrency is always changing. So, stay grounded and embrace the fact that change is the only constant. In the world of cryptocurrency, things always change. There's a chance of a big crash or a huge rally, and the risks are very high. The aggressive play here involves more than just looking at charts and news. It's also about understanding the situation. The smart money, the institutions—they're making their moves in broad daylight. If the market goes up again, BlackRock's buying of a lot of Bitcoin when the price was low could be a great move. It shows that the current prices might just be a phase before a big increase. This isn't just how the market works. It's like a very risky game of chess, but with digital money. If the market turns bearish, the Wyckoff structure may lead to a landslide. This would serve as a stark reminder of the law of action and reaction. The crash, if it comes, will not be gentle. When the market turns and support levels weaken, it will show how harsh markets can be. In this volatile mix, the news of ETF approvals and delays is like throwing gasoline on the fire. It's the kind of fuel that could either ignite the market to new heights or burn the hopes of many to ashes. After ETF approvals and delays, market sentiment is uncertain. It can either lead to a big change or signal a surprising move. This is not a market for the indecisive. This market is for people who are brave enough to handle a big drop or are sure enough to go along with a big increase. As news comes out, the story changes, and this makes the future of Bitcoin more mysterious. In such times, be aggressive. Don't just watch, be actively prepared for contingencies. Keep your eyes wide open, your decisions data-driven, and your investments diversified. The big crash, if it's on the horizon, will be ruthless. The big rally, if it's in the cards, will be exuberant. The winner pivots with precision. They are backed by insight and unshaken by crypto currents. Proceed with caution, but proceed nonetheless. This is the world of crypto. Here, the courageous succeed and the cautious endure. Choose your path wisely. school.stockcharts.com
Long
by osodatsismoso
1
15/01/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $48987.12 Last weeks low: $45231.94 Midpoint: $41476.76 Following such a historical week with the approval of the BTC ETF's on Wednesday 10th of January. BITCOIN reached a local high of 49K, since then price has fallen towards 41.5K (15% drop). Price action this week is hard to predict as the ETF narrative has been driving BTC and crypto for quite a while now, with this even over and price falling after the news broke we are now at a crossroads where being bullish here could easily be punished, the halving is months away and the majority of smart money have made nearly 3x gains in one year predominantly due to the ETF narrative and the selling pressure is now high as investors have made substantial gains. On the other hand we have BlackRock who just acquired $10m (11,500 BTC) and other funds looking to do the same, FOMO in these situations can play a huge part as retail investors simply won't want to take the risk and see prices fall lower before buying as they're scared prices will just leave them behind soon. ETF funds obviously want to buy cheap and they are the market makers which would indicate a want for lower prices. A 30% drop is common place in a bull market, BTC would therefore go from 49k to 34K which is nearly in line with the 33K FVG which seems the logical target to me. I think if we see that level it would be towards the end of the week/ next week.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ProR35
🔥 Ethereum ETF Hype At The PERFECT Moment: Time To Shine!Now that BTC's spot ETF is officially live, investment banks like Blackrock have already started talking about a potential ETH ETF. Interestingly enough, this happened at the perfect moment, TA-wise. Right as the ETH/BTC valuation has hit a major support, bullish ETH news comes in, which naturally has lead to a big bounce in the ETH/BTC price (ETH is outperforming BTC). What a coincidence... With ETH getting it's time in the sun, we might actually confirm the bullish channel on the ETH/BTC pair and continue the bullish trend all the way towards the top resistance. With ETH's ETF to be announced, this value will likely continue to go up. Do you think ETH will outperform BTC over the next few months/years?
Long
by FieryTrading
7
Time is everythingA lot of people see a Bitcoin pullback, a drop or a red candle as a negative thing. Clearly this is lack of experience, lack of understanding and only ever seeing re-assurance of the one bias they can comprehend. Many people believe my posts to be negative or anti Bitcoin - you could not be more wrong, as a very early holder, I simply don't care - up down or sideways. It's been kind to me and I will say it was more luck than judgement. Right place, right time. But as a professional trader, money manager and tech investor - I have seen my fair share of market trends, hype, realism and shocks in the market to know. Time is all it takes. You can go back over SPX for example and If you buy and hold the trend has only been up. Obvious its one of indices designed to go up. This does not make it a "get rich quick scheme" For me the problem lies in the cult esq mentality and the desire to get rich quick. When you have, or manage a larger fund - time is always less of an issue, when a Limited partner of a fund told me the company hold period was 15-20 years on average, it took a while to let that sink in. 1% of a lot of money is a lot of money, 1% of a $10,000 pushes you to want more - hence jumping on the up only bandwagon. You need to remember; Last year I posted two options for Bitcoin; I said my preferred route put us in early stage accumulation. The second option went back even further than that, it's the Evil move I said I would hope Composite Man would not be as cruel. Unfortunately with the move from 32k to 48k region, it's clear now the second play has in-fact been the one playing out. --------------------------------------------------------------------------- So here's some rational logic - the medicine most DO NOT WANT to swallow. People seem to throw the same argument - ETF & Halving - They have very little else to contribute. So let's look at what an ETF is and does. An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) itself doesn't inherently stabilize an asset. However, the structure and mechanics of an ETF can have certain features that may contribute to perceived stability or liquidity in the underlying assets it represents. Here's how: Diversification: ETFs often hold a diversified portfolio of assets. By pooling together various assets like stocks, bonds, or commodities, they spread risk. This diversification can help mitigate the impact of poor performance in a single asset on the overall value of the ETF. Arbitrage Mechanism: ETFs have a unique creation and redemption mechanism. Authorized Participants (usually large financial institutions) can create or redeem ETF shares in large blocks, usually known as creation units. This process involves exchanging a basket of assets for ETF shares or vice versa. This helps to keep the market price of the ETF close to the Net Asset Value (NAV) of its underlying assets, promoting stability. Liquidity: ETFs are traded on stock exchanges, providing investors with liquidity. The ability to buy or sell shares throughout the trading day at market prices contributes to the perception of stability. The underlying assets might not be as easily tradable, but the ETF itself can be bought or sold like a stock. Market Makers: In the secondary market, market makers play a crucial role in providing liquidity. They continuously quote buy and sell prices for the ETF shares, helping to ensure that there is a smooth and efficient market. This can reduce the impact of large buy or sell orders on the market price. Now for some extra therapy, we also need to look at the realistic timeframes these large players operate at. Blackrock's most popular ETF is their SPX (S&P500) fund. with it's inception around 2001 I believe. $354BN. Now if we look at Bitcoin's market cap - we dropped from $1.3 Trillion at the 69k High down to around 300Billion at the 15k low region. So working out market cap is simple current price of Bitcoin x coins in circulation. (just over 19m). This is just highlighting the obvious; Blackrock is not going to empty the SPX fund and stick $350Billion in a newly established fund. Again time, they have enough money to not need to force or risk anything on a large scale. But what is interesting is the point above about market makers. In Wall Street terms, a market maker is a financial institution or individual that facilitates the buying and selling of financial instruments in a market. Market makers play a crucial role in ensuring liquidity and maintaining orderly trading in financial markets, including stock exchanges. Here are key aspects of what market makers do: Liquidity Providers: Market makers stand ready to buy or sell a financial instrument (such as stocks, bonds, or options) at publicly quoted prices. This activity provides liquidity to the market, allowing investors to execute trades quickly and efficiently. Bid and Ask Prices: Market makers quote bid and ask prices for a security. The bid price is the price at which they are willing to buy, and the ask price is the price at which they are willing to sell. The difference between these prices is known as the bid-ask spread. Order Execution: When an investor places a market order to buy or sell a security, the market maker ensures that the trade is executed promptly by matching it with their own inventory or finding a counterparty in the market. Risk Management: Market makers take on some level of risk by holding an inventory of securities. To manage this risk, they continuously adjust their bid and ask prices based on market conditions and changes in the supply and demand for the securities. Arbitrage Opportunities: Market makers may engage in arbitrage, exploiting price differences between related financial instruments or markets. This helps ensure that the prices of the same or similar securities are consistent across different trading venues. Maintaining Orderly Markets: Market makers contribute to the overall stability and efficiency of financial markets by preventing excessive volatility and ensuring a continuous flow of trading. It's important to note that market makers profit from the bid-ask spread and trading volumes. While they facilitate trading and provide liquidity, they also manage their own risks. Market makers can be institutions like investment banks or specialized firms with expertise in particular markets. They play a crucial role in the smooth functioning of financial markets by facilitating the buying and selling of securities. ============================================= Market makers have been referred to another type of Composite Man. The term "Composite Man" is associated with the Wyckoff Method, a technical analysis approach to understanding the stock market. The Wyckoff Method was developed by Richard D. Wyckoff, a stock market trader and educator from the early to mid-20th century. According to this method, the Composite Man represents a hypothetical market manipulator or a group of large market participants who have the power to influence the market. In Wyckoff's view, the Composite Man is an entity that accumulates or distributes stocks in a way that leaves footprints on the price and volume charts. The actions of the Composite Man are believed to be observable through the analysis of price and volume patterns, helping traders and investors anticipate potential future price movements. Here are the key ideas associated with the Composite Man in the Wyckoff Method: Accumulation and Distribution: The Composite Man is thought to go through phases of accumulating or distributing a particular stock or market. During accumulation, the Composite Man is buying, and during distribution, they are selling. Wyckoff Price Cycle: The Wyckoff Method outlines a price cycle that includes phases such as Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and Markdown. Traders using this method attempt to identify these phases on price charts to make more informed decisions. Smart Money: The Composite Man is sometimes referred to as the "smart money" because it is assumed to have more information and resources than individual retail traders. Monitoring the actions of the smart money is believed to provide insights into potential market trends. When I posted posts like this from the 65k high, it was due to these footprints being visible from space. As the price moved up from the 28k region to the current ATH. Similar thing. I am not here trying to drag it or you down, I am here trying to help see logic in the charts. As the move moved up, we had a fake ETF release, in essence thus pricing in the actual ETF. This is why for me, this scenario is the most likely in the current environment. Composite Man/Market makers are happy to use the fear and greed index, which is currently tilting heavy towards the greed side. Against retail traders who see ONLY UP as the only scenario available. The space is becoming more like a cult and it's feel more and more like the simple definition of a pyramid scheme. Again, I am not saying that's what it is - I am in at the bottom my cards are on the table. The space has become "if your friends join, they also need to invite more people, and the cycle continues. The person at the top gets money from everyone below, and the people at the bottom hope to make money by bringing in more people." The problem is, there's no real product or service being sold. The only way people make money is by getting others to join. Eventually, it becomes harder for everyone to find new people, and those at the bottom end up losing money because there aren't enough new members to support the structure. This kind of scheme is not fair or sustainable and can cause a lot of people to lose their money. Especially when the big boys get involved with very little regulation covering the people at the bottom. Just remember everyone was saying "anti banks, anti institutional yet celebrating the ETF's like a win" the issue here is it's likely to stabilise the asset, slowing the phases and cycles down to a more mellow growth curve over the next 20 years. In the grand scheme of things, it's great for the industry, but we can expect more manipulation prior to regulation, post regulation the percentage gains will narrow. Keep all of this in mind and remember it's what the majority wanted. Stay safe! have fun and see you on the next post. Hate comments always welcome - just please back them up with some logic and show you have more than 3 brain cells. 😉 Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
20
5 Investors Betting Big on Pinduoduo (PDD) StockNASDAQ:PDD is soaring higher after a blowout third-quarter earnings report. Let’s take a look at Pinduoduo’s largest shareholders: 1. Sequoia Capital: 48.23 million shares. Sequoia acquired 45.04 million shares during Q3. 2. Baillie Gifford: 35.66 million shares. Baillie acquired 4.5 million shares during Q3. 3. BlackRock: 27.87 million shares. BlackRock acquired 3.73 million shares during Q3. 4. Vanguard: 24.10 million shares. Vanguard acquired 6.63 million shares during Q3. 5. FMR: 17.63 million shares. FMR acquired 4.33 million shares during Q3.
NASDAQ:PDDLong
by tradingconmike
Chainlink #LINK Bullback scenario's, mini head & shoulders20-30% pullbacks are normal occurrences and healthy, to allow for profit taking , and also leverage traders to give back money to the market. UP ONLY is a sign that the bullmarket is ending! If everyone is winning and everyone is in profit... who is going to buy your coins? So we can see the mini H&S with log and linear targets giving about a 30% pullback form the recent local high Doesn't have to go all the way there of course and may actually reverse before the full target is met at around the $13 level ...
BINANCE:LINKUSDLong
by BallaJi
1