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Blackswan

FED CUTS RATES NOW WHAT?!?The FED has cut rates by .50bps and there are more cuts are expected so the meeting in OCT will be on to watch if we get another 50 or even a 25 we will be looking a pumptober. BTC went as high as 64,000 in the days after the decision, if we look at the volume profile we can see we are resting on the top of a big gaps that if broken we could see a drop to 59,000-60,000. I’m cautious here the combination of gold being at an ATH and the QQQ dipping at the end week with the FACT that historically rate cuts have lead to the ST declines plus the future have a negative lead on spot if we can hold this level though I will open of a position long but I will be very fast to take profits. Also options have been approved for IBIT now the OCC and CFTC have to approved them before they list but this is very very bullish. The big boys trade mainly in options due to the fact you can be non directional and well trad fi degens are the OG degens and they like leverage. Overall I’m bullish and I think 2025 will be the banana phase so prepare for opportunities now not that that anyone asked.
Long
by TradeBroInc
Bitcoin - COVID vs RECESSION fear comparison#BTC #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- The monthly chart for Bitcoin is displaying a pattern reminiscent of the 2020 COVID crash chart. In 2020, Bitcoin experienced a similar crash, leading to a significant wick in the monthly chart. We are currently observing a similar pattern in 2024, attributed to the market crash caused by recession fears. I anticipate a recovery in the price similar to what was witnessed in 2020. Such a recovery would confirm the presence of a bull market. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
Triggers for Major Corrections a.k.a. Black SwansIn the world of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, extreme volatility is the norm, not the exception. However , certain unexpected events — the so-called "Black Swans" — can trigger particularly severe corrections. These events, often unforeseen, can send shockwaves through the market, leading to sharp declines in BITSTAMP:BTCUSD value. Here are some real-world scenarios that could potentially trigger such corrections: 1. World Economy While Bitcoin has been around for just over a decade, it's shown a tendency to follow traditional financial markets, particularly the S&P 500. A major global economic crisis — say, a sudden collapse of a large economy like US or the escalation of geopolitical tensions — could lead to a broad retail sell-off across all asset classes. Investors might liquidate Bitcoin holdings to cover losses in traditional assets, triggering a sharp decline in its price. For instance, during the COVID-19 market crash in Feb/March 2020, Bitcoin plummeted( -63% ) alongside global stocks, demonstrating its vulnerability to wider economic turmoil. 2. Regulators Regulate Regulatory risks have always been a shadow hanging over the cryptocurrency market. Imagine if the US or the EU suddenly decided to implement draconian laws against Bitcoin, such as banning institutional investment or severely restricting trading. This isn’t far-fetched; we’ve seen something similar in China in 2021, where a nationwide crackdown on crypto mining and trading led to a significant drop in BITSTAMP:BTCUSD price( -49% in May ). If a similar scenario were to play out in the West, it could easily lead to a mass exodus from the cryptocurrency, causing its value to plummet. 3. Geopolitics Geopolitical tensions have a way of shaking up financial markets. Consider the potential fallout if tensions in the Middle East were to boil over into a full-scale conflict, or if relations between NATO and Russia were to deteriorate further. Such scenarios could trigger global uncertainty, leading to a flight to safer assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries — and a corresponding sell-off in riskier assets like Bitcoin. The war in Ukraine in 2022 caused significant turbulence in BITSTAMP:BTCUSD price( -61% ), and a similar or more severe event could have a chilling effect on Bitcoin. 4. Hacking Bitcoin’s strength lies in its technology, but that’s also a potential point of failure. If there were to be a significant flaw discovered in the BTC protocol, or if a major exchange were to suffer a catastrophic hack, it could erode trust in the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem. We’ve seen echoes of this before: the Mt. Gox hack in 2014 wiped out a substantial portion of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD in circulation at the time, leading to a massive price drop( -38% ). A similar event today could be even more devastating, given the broader adoption of Bitcoin. 5. Fraud In November 2022, the investigation revealed that FTX management, including its founder Sam Bankman-Fried, illegally used customer funds to cover losses of a related company, Alameda Research. This led to a loss of investor and customer confidence, causing a massive withdrawal of funds, which in turn led to the bankruptcy of the exchange - and the subsequent severe correction of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ( -26% ). Thoughts Bitcoin's rollercoaster ride is anything but smooth. Wild swings in price can come from anywhere—regulations, market bubbles, or even major collapses like FTX. For investors, the game is about staying sharp and ready for whatever comes next. The crypto world is full of surprises, and knowing that the next big shock could be just around the corner is key to keeping your cool and making smart moves.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Paramonov95
1
Bitcoin (BTC) - Comparing 2020 vs 2024#BTC/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + After the Bitcoin halving, the expected price correction began in late 2019 and continued through the first quarter of 2020. + In 2020, BTC was anticipated to break out from resistance after 35 weeks of correction. However, due to the unexpected COVID-19 black swan event, the price experienced an even further decline. + Currently, we are observing a similar pattern following the 2024 Bitcoin halving. The price correction began as expected, and last week, there was an additional 33% drop from the peak (compared to a 53% drop in 2020). + If the recovery follows a normal pattern, the price is expected to break out from resistance after 35 weeks of correction, which would occur in November 2024. + If another black swan event were to occur, the price could potentially crash further, dropping to the 37K-40K range. However, this is unlikely unless such an event happens. + Let’s see how this situation unfolds. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by VectorAlgo
Black Swan Incoming (Part 2)The series continues as Bitcoin fails to invalidate my thesis. This is most likely the start of the crash rather than the end. The first diagonal support comes in at 45-48k. Check out Part 1 above first. The Topping Fractal Strikes Again The entire move is orchestrated time and time again. You can see from Part 1 that 7-10 year wallets shifted massive amounts of Bitcoin right when we get this same topping pattern appearing. Coincidence? I think not. This is the third time it's happened now. You can see from the chart above we failed to break retracement levels. Chainlink Fractal What you are currently seeing above is REAL, it is happening. I thought about this possibly happening when I was actively trading this fractal back in 2023. This is the Chainlink fractal from last cycle overlaid to this current cycle. I traded this fractal back in 2023 and when I overlaid and saw that the Covid crash lined up with my Fib time, I thought, is it possible we get a crash in August 2024? I was going over this possibility in 2023! Mind-blowing. If the fractal plays out, that means that the bottom is basically in for LINK and the bull market starts now, with a top in September 2025. Anyways, I will post a different TA on LINK. The Million Dollar Question Is the double bottom in or not? I have wrestled with this question for months, over a year maybe. While all other analysts and everyone else is convinced that the double bottom is in, I have never been 100% sold on it. What do I mean? Well, since the first Bitcoin cycle, we have formed a double bottom before the bull market starts. As you can see, we always form a double bottom. If we repeat history, that means that Bitcoin will retest the 20k area. Everyone is convinced that this is the double bottom, but I have never been sold on this theory, especially when we have a CME GAP at 21k! Mayer Multiple Bands We can see that the last band is at 26k. For now, the worst case would be that price point. USDT Dominance Chart I was watching this closely. We were forming an ascending channel for a while. Bullish for USDT dominance means bad for the market. What is interesting is that we hit the same level in March 2022. Very interesting. Hash Ribbon First Failure? Will the hash ribbon fail completely this time? Last time it fired off a buy signal, it dumped 17% before going on a massive multi-month rally. We are currently down 29% since its buy. Fear and Greed Conclusion "IF" we even get a bull market, it will most likely start in 2025. We need to get interest rates under 2.5% at least. We have never had a bull market with rates so high. First cycle: 0%, second: 0.5-2.5%, and third cycle: 0%.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Sporia
1
We have a Grey Rhino here - Markets are driven by ignoranceThe US long-term bonds have hit new lows, the yield curve has been inverted for two years now, and inflation remains uncertain, meaning interest rates may not ease at all. Yet, stock markets are reaching new highs. We have a "grey rhino" in this market. A grey rhino is a large and visible animal that cannot be ignored. Try not to get too close to them because when they start charging, we can never outrun them. In this market context, we face a big, obvious problem that investors completely ignore until it becomes a crisis. It's different from a "black swan," which is a rare and unpredictable event. When we recognize that there are problems many do not understand, we have already won half the battle. U.S. Treasury Bonds Futures & Options Ticker: ZB Minimum fluctuation: 1/32 of one point (0.03125) = $31.25 2-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
TVC:US02YShort
by konhow
5
BTCUSD falls and starts recovery after geopolitical spike LONGBitcoin on a 30 minute chart fell with reports of the Israeli active retaliatory strikes in the heart of Iran's military and industrial infrastructure in a unilateral action. Iraq has not launched a responsive action as yet. On the chart, price had been stable and sideways in the 64000 range but fell to about 6000 and then recovered to nearly 62,000. I see this as an opportunity to buy BTCUSD at a 3-4% discount going into the halfing period. I will add to a long position. It end up being averaging down or in the alternative getting a solid base for the run up that pundits say will soon come. My initial target to take profit on 10% of the position and raise the stop loss, based on a Fibonacci level is 66800.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
INDO- an Asian oil company jumps on geopolitical event LONGINDO may have spontaneously did a moonshort buy more likely it was the geopolitical issues of Iran and a hypothetical reginal conflict impacting Iranian oil exports and the effect on oil prices and energy companies everywhere including in Indonesia where INDO is based. The chart shows abrupt volume and volatility out of no where almost instantly. On deeper analysis, INDO started moving about April 1st the same date Israel successfully targeted Iranian generals directing operations through proxies in the ambassadorship complex in Damascus. This chart underscores how geopolitics can and does affect certain markets in real time. The conflict is on pause while both sides and their allies assess strategic options. I believe that INDO could continue but then again its momentum could fail and it could roll over and fall Watching oil price will be a tip off here. Penny stocks are like catching a knife flying in the air and then trying to throw it higher. There is some risk involved in hunting the reward.
AMEX:INDOLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
lets talk about halving Take your time to readCRYPTO:BTCUSD This is not a trend analysis or signal of any kind just my own speculation about what may come to happen after the halving . as we know the last cycle coincided with the fed cutting rates and the money printing going crazy like brrrrr . although we can expect at least another round of rate cuts in 2024 nothing is really guaranteed this cycle . we've been seeing consolidation in the BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart for the last couple months . now I'm not really bearish but what scares me is that last time we had the rate cuts then the halving kicked in and we gone from nearly 3k all the way to 64k before any major correction . If a sell the news event was going to occur after the halving we could expect a few weeks to a couple months of downward selling pressure on bitcoin price before major upside gains . I don't say such scenario will happen but it's better to be prepared incase of such event . what i personally do is just have 50 percent of my capital ready to invest if the markets go down as the result of a black swan event because we do have the institutional support this cycle but at the same time after about 4 years of experience in the markets i know that brokers and institutions love to liquidate the retail before major moves . So i think although the trend is bullish in the long term we might have extra volatility in the short term and it pays to be ready for any possible move . thanks for your time. use this information with due diligence.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Atlas_Tradingclub
Buy VIX Futs with an ETF for simplicity before Santa rally overDowbt Im only one who is front running reversal unjustified market rally with no earning proof driven by inflation that is diminishing no longer supporting earnings JPM'a theory basically mid this pas year but he was correct but too early to the earnings crash party! Now that Dem's fiscal punch bowl is nearly empty adding 7 trillion to national debt in less than a year to help midterms and markets just priced in 5 rate cuts and earnings multiples at 20 (long-term=15) including mag-7 take out mag-7 not so hot). Hard to justify any more growth with excelorating diss-inflation and "black-swan" risk is non-black swan character as so many increasingly potential systemic risk just keep stacking up, plus a corrupted Presidential Administration, Congress, Dept. of Justice, FBI, Dept. of homeland security, school system, universities, and mainstream media have perpetuated/caused the problem with bs employment numbers, omissions and flat out lies as well as staring wars, ruining trade agreements and unleashing the worst inflation in 40 years all about to collapse from sheer societal rejection that will most likely be exposed causing worst crash best described by Jeremy Gratham (just YouTube him if your not familiar with the oldest and most historically-successful "Wall-Streeter perma-bear") NOTICE: Expressions are not recommendation or advice. If you are not competent then obviously should consult what is called an "Advisor" on the subject. Don't blame me if you make a decision based on this as it is only an opinion and past performance does not constitute a reasonable basis for future performance or non-performance as we don't have a time-machine obviously this goes without saying but some really doubt people make it a habit to assume they know with certainty and can guarantee what the future holds and to those I say sit down and humble your self or the market will humble you for yourself in "New York Second," and that is pretty fast. Just saying, don't be a fool and use common sense and trade size and don't blame others for your decisions, and, trade responsibly.
AMEX:UVIXLong
by CurrencyCapital
1
Is BTC forming an Ending Diagonal?Whether it marks a local top or the end of a 1-year-long uptrend, there's a growing sentiment that Bitcoin is due for a reversal soon. I've attempted to use channels, harmonic patterns, and Elliott Wave theory in this analysis. Just to let you know, I haven't ruled out the possibility of BTC setting new lows, which means that this rise could be a corrective wave from an Elliott Wave perspective. My premise is that we're completing the final 5th wave of, perhaps, a C wave, with the tail end forming a diagonal pattern. If the diagonal completes without truncating, I expect it to form the harmonic pattern known as the Sea Pony, which would set targets around 47k to 49.6k (I see 47.6-48k). A weaker outcome might result in the Black Swan pattern, potentially capping the ceiling around 45.6k. Additionally, there's a scenario where the E wave truncates without fully extending, drawing attention to the yellow channel. There's a green box between 37.6k and 35.8k, a potential rebound area even if the chart is in a bullish correction scenario. If a decline starts soon, we might see the movement touch either the bottom of the yellow channel or the green box, likely both. It's still unclear whether the ascending channel will ultimately act as support, as it seems to be a resistance. The ascending channels will also be useful for measuring the price range if there's a clear break. Special thanks to @Hewhomustnotbenamed, who is the author of the indicators I used here to illustrate the harmonic patterns.
by jackrabbitrage
GOOGLE:BAT/BALCK SWAN/Wolfe WaveGOOGLE:BAT/BALCK SWAN/Wolfe Wave Google/Alphabet is one of the “Magnificent Seven” and the performance of recent months is indisputable. However, even though the fundamentals are all green, there may be a "Black Swan" nestling within Mountainview society, this black swan might even have the face of the Department of Justice. Indeed, for several days, judges have been digging into the past to find out whether Google would not have abused and used financial manipulation to obtain this dominant position in search engines. Whether we subscribe to this conspiracy theory or not, we cannot neglect the fact that the government will want to make an example and deprive Google of its current privileges - such as, for example, being the default search engine at Apple - this hypothesis could even justify the probability of a severe correction, even if, in the long term, it should not have too much impact either. Add to that the fact that the Magnificent Seven are tired after their 2023 rally and you have a "perfect storm" looming over Mountain View.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
2
NASDAQ - NQ Black-Swan ScenarioThe Red Pitchfork is a Pendulum-Fork. It grabs the biggest Swings and projects the most probable path of price, like in this chart. The Count starts at P0 and relies on the REAL Swings that I teach you guys & gals. Therefore the Bump from the green Support-Line is NOT a Up-Swing. It's just the center part of a Sine-Wave. Then P3 is created, breaking the Support from the Low of P1, and continues up to the Center-Line of the Orange Pitchfork at P4. Since we know that a) price has a high chance to turn in the opposite direction after reaching the Center-Line AND b) The Pivot Count ends and restarts at P5 AND c) Price is still trading within the Red Pendulum-Fork ...we have a 80% Chance to reach the Center-Line of the Pendulum Fork around 1100 or even lower. By when? No clue yet, but have to drink another Coffee to read in the Ground again later §8-) OK, I admit, that's a kind of a Black-Swan event. But, I just follow my rules, my Framework and that is what I currently see. The opposite side of this is, that the 0-3/5 Count is just a simple "Flag", and price Skyrockets to the green Center-Line of the Green Fork, around 16050 - 16250, Taking the overall World situation, the incredible debt of countries like the USA, EU and others into the Blue-Print, I vote for the first scenario. My Helmet sits tight. Peace4TheWorld!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
27
10 Black Swan Events that Shook the marketsBlack Swans are highly unpredictable events that go beyond what is usually expected of a situation. One definition I like is this. A Black Swan is where an event can cause the market to move 10 standard deviations away from the norm. When this happens they could potentially have severe and wide-reaching consequences. You’ll see the market will jump erratically and even cause a halt in trading activity completely. So when you spot a Black Swan. Just take it easy from trading the markets that can be affected. Here are 10 Black Swan Events that I can think of that had an impact on the markets. 2008 Global Financial Crisis Triggered by the collapse of the US housing market, it led to a worldwide banking crisis and severe global economic downturn. COVID-19 Pandemic An unprecedented global health crisis that had significant repercussions on global economies and markets in 2020. Dotcom Bubble Burst (2000) The dramatic rise (due to greed and optimism) and fall (due to fear and panic) of internet companies in the late 1990s led to a severe market correction. Brexit (2016) Britain’s unexpected decision to leave the EU had immediate impacts on global markets. Japanese Asset Price Bubble Burst (1992) This led to a lost decade of economic stagnation in Japan. (Have you seen the Nikkei! And can you imagine holding stocks from 1992?) Swiss Franc Unpegging (2015) The Swiss National Bank’s sudden decision to remove the cap on the Franc’s value against the Euro led to extreme currency volatility. (Forex trading was a nightmare seeing some prices drop hundreds of pips). September 11 Attacks (2001) The terrorist attacks had immediate and long-term effects on global economies and markets. (I was too young to worry so I missed this one.) Fukushima Nuclear Disaster (2011) Triggered by a massive earthquake and tsunami, it had significant impacts on global energy markets. (I remember holding oil stocks while driving. And I came home to R120,000 loss). Flash Crash (2010) The US stock market crash, triggered by a high-frequency trading algorithm, sent a financial shockwave around the world. (Fat fingers caused by unknown factors). Oil Price Negative (2020) For the first time in history, the price of US oil turned negative due to low demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. Which Black Swan event affected you the most?
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
BTC: Double top formation could play out!Based on the double-top formation, it seems apparent that the price may decrease. If the price falls below the critical support zone, there could be a potential downward move to 18k. Additionally, due to the DXY's strengthening, it is expected that the price of btc will decrease shortly. Furthermore, Keeping an eye on the fair value gap and CME gap below current price levels is prudent. These gaps tend to get filled at some point, and the way BTC looks now, the gaps are expected to be filled soon! It is important to underscore that absolute certainty regarding market direction remains elusive. However, multiple indicators currently align to suggest a bearish market sentiment. Notably, the current inversion of the yield curve has reached magnitudes reminiscent of the conditions observed in 1928. This historical parallel is concerning, as it casts unfavorable implications for the overall economic landscape. With regards to the BMS band: In previous years, the bull market support band (b.m.s. band) has been an excellent indicator of a shift in the market. When the price gets below the band, the price tends to get into a bear phase. And when the price breaks above and holds above the band, the price tends to start a new bullish trend. As of now, the price has closed below the b.m.s. band for the first time this year. This potentially marks the start, or some would say continuation, of the downtrend that many people had been discussing. In my humble opinion, this confirms a more significant downtrend. The market has shown a lot of weakness for the past many months. I'm expecting 21k at first and 15k after that. For now, one should stay away from Altcoins as they can drop another 70-80% should BTC drop a lot further. With regards to DXY In the past few weeks, the DXY index has been showing some strength, and the current bullish momentum is amplified by the price breaking above the falling channel! It is reasonable to mention that the index is currently approaching a high resistance zone, and if that zone is broken, the index could be seen at the 108 level. The reason why the DXY is so interesting to watch is due to the fact that Stocks and cryptocurrencies have an inverted price action to DXY. DXY can, therefore, be used as an inverted indicator to tell the possible direction of Stocks and cryptocurrencies. Stocks and cryptocurrencies are expected to go lower if DXY keeps its bullish momentum and keeps rising.
Short
by MBM_Crypto
19
Finally some movement $BTCChart Analysis: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:INJUSDT The Bitcoin market shows signs of stirring from its slumber! As anticipated in our preceding commentaries, BTC is making its way towards the 18k zone. However, the strength to break through significant resistance points eluded it, just as we discussed in our earlier videos. Notably, there has been an adjustment in our projection of the massive cup and handle pattern. The recent trend line breach on the weekly chart likely invalidates this pattern. A confirmation of a double top pattern is evident. Following this, BTC retested the newly established resistance and took the downward trajectory, just as predicted. So, what lies ahead for Bitcoin? The forecast suggests a few more sluggish days of price oscillations, potentially culminating in a liquidation sweep or a retest of the longstanding trend line. Should this play out, it presents an opportune moment to initiate a short position and ride the price down towards the 18k area (though this target may shift as we approach it). It's essential to note that now isn't the ideal time to short; the current position is too extended from the EMA. It's wise to await a retracement. Risk Management: Navigating the volatile crypto market necessitates meticulous risk management. As you consider potential positions, align your size and strategy with your risk tolerance. Tools like trailing stop losses can be invaluable in preserving accumulated profits as the market evolves in your favor. Disclaimer: Please remember, this analysis is shared for educational insights and is not a financial recommendation. We urge you to conduct your own comprehensive research and, if needed, seek advice from a financial consultant before making any trading decisions. Trade safe!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by mammamia2
2
🔔18k incoming? 🔔📈 Chart Analysis: Quick update on the current slow sideways market Recent Developments: Small flag pattern on BTC break up would indicate 35k is next a break down would suggest that our mini bull run is over for now! BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:INJUSDT INJ broke out of the flag and hit target 1 however showing very toppy signs with a double top in stage 3 that is still valid. it also is producing a small flag patten so if we break out of that it is likely that my topping theory will be invalidated! 🔔 Risk Management: It's imperative to tailor your position size in accordance with your risk appetite. Employ astute risk management tactics, such as trailing stop losses, to safeguard your profits as the price advances in your favor. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mammamia2
10 Black Swan Events that shook the marketsBlack Swans are highly unpredictable events that go beyond what is usually expected of a situation. One definition I like is this. A Black Swan is where an event can cause the market to move 10 standard deviations away from the norm. When this happens they could potentially have severe and wide-reaching consequences. You’ll see the market will jump erratically and even cause a halt in trading activity completely. So when you spot a Black Swan. Just take it easy from trading the markets that can be affected. Here are 10 Black Swan Events that I can think of that had an impact on the markets. 2008 Global Financial Crisis Triggered by the collapse of the US housing market, it led to a worldwide banking crisis and severe global economic downturn. COVID-19 Pandemic An unprecedented global health crisis that had significant repercussions on global economies and markets in 2020. Dotcom Bubble Burst (2000) The dramatic rise (due to greed and optimism) and fall (due to fear and panic) of internet companies in the late 1990s led to a severe market correction. Brexit (2016) Britain’s unexpected decision to leave the EU had immediate impacts on global markets. Japanese Asset Price Bubble Burst (1992) This led to a lost decade of economic stagnation in Japan. (Have you seen the Nikkei! And can you imagine holding stocks from 1992?) Swiss Franc Unpegging (2015) The Swiss National Bank’s sudden decision to remove the cap on the Franc’s value against the Euro led to extreme currency volatility. (Forex trading was a nightmare seeing some prices drop hundreds of pips). September 11 Attacks (2001) The terrorist attacks had immediate and long-term effects on global economies and markets. (I was too young to worry so I missed this one.) Fukushima Nuclear Disaster (2011) Triggered by a massive earthquake and tsunami, it had significant impacts on global energy markets. (I remember holding oil stocks while driving. And I came home to R120,000 loss). Flash Crash (2010) The US stock market crash, triggered by a high-frequency trading algorithm, sent a financial shockwave around the world. (Fat fingers caused by unknown factors). Oil Price Negative (2020) For the first time in history, the price of US oil turned negative due to low demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. Which Black Swan event affected you the most? Let me know in the comments?
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
2
Massive resistance ahead! 18k or 35k where next? Chart Analysis: Recent Developments: The chart has recently exhibited a classic 'Cup and Handle' pattern which broke out and evolved splendidly. Following this, there was a pullback to the breakout level, which culminated in an impeccable falling wedge, as we had anticipated in our preceding video. Subsequently, there was a remarkable breakout, and we successfully reached our initial target - the apex of the falling wedge. This has brought us face-to-face with the most formidable resistance encountered since the inception of the bear market. Will we break through? Only time will tell. What Lies Ahead? At this very moment, the chart is forming yet another colossal 'Cup and Handle' pattern, and we are teetering on the brink of a breakout. Should this breakout materialize, we can anticipate a continuation of the upward trend until any signs of faltering. It's crucial to remain vigilant for indications of potential reversals. Conversely, if this attempt is unsuccessful, the chart could potentially plummet to the 18k level before the halving. It's advisable to proceed with caution and employ stop losses. Risk Management: It's imperative to tailor your position size in accordance with your risk appetite. Employ astute risk management tactics, such as trailing stop losses, to safeguard your profits as the price advances in your favor. Disclaimer: Please note that this analysis is intended solely for educational purposes and must not be construed as financial advice. It's of paramount importance to undertake your own due diligence and seek counsel from a financial advisor prior to making any trading decisions. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BITSTAMP:BCHUSD KUCOIN:INJUSDT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mammamia2