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Blackswan

BTC: Price action is getting tight!The price has undergone multiple retests of the lower boundary of the triangle formation, indicating a weakening trend! Considering the upward momentum observed in the DXY, a break below the triangle formation is expected. In such an event, it is anticipated that the price will reach a minimum of 24.8k. However, if the DXY continues its upward momentum and the stock markets experience further declines, it is conceivable that additional downward movement beyond that level may ensue!
Short
by MBM_Crypto
10
BTC - Bearish retest of the neckline!It is apparent that the price has breached below the neckline and subsequently undergone a bearish retest. However, the price has failed to regain the neckline, indicating a potential shift in momentum toward the downside. Should the price further break below the support zone, there is a strong possibility of moving toward the 24k mark. Furthermore, it should be mentioned that the volume is currently very low! This indicates a more significant move is coming! Last time the volume was this low, the price went from 40k to 27k in only two days! When meme coins start pumping, you know the overall rally is coming to an end. We are precisely in that phase, in my opinion. Memecoins have recently been pumping while the overall market has shown significant weakness. I suggest everyone avoid Altcoins as the BTC dominance is expected to climb higher! Moreover, the price of Bitcoin was recently rejected from the bear market downtrend resistance, indicating a potential move to the previous bottom of $15.5k, which is consistent with the concept of the price following a pattern reminiscent of the 2021 summer period. It's also worth mentioning that the S&P 500 has been showing some weakness, and since BTC typically moves in lockstep with the S&P 500, it can be prudent to monitor its movement. The bear market probability index is currently at an all-time high, which suggests that the ongoing rally could be considered the biggest bull trap ever witnessed in the history of Bitcoin. While relying on a solitary model is insufficient for drawing definitive conclusions, numerous indicators suggest a downward price trend in this case. Lastly, the market is experiencing a notable increase in fear, likely due to multiple factors simultaneously impacting the market. Based on historical precedent, it is reasonable to anticipate significant downward market movements should prior trends repeat themselves.
Short
by MBM_Crypto
14
Rule No1. Law of Rythm $777 "Understanding the Law of Rhythm in trading means recognizing the natural ebb and flow of the markets. By adapting to the different cycles, traders can make more informed decisions and increase their chances of success. It's not just only about 'what goes up must come down' - it's about timing and strategy. #TradingTips #MarketCycles" The Law of Rhythm is a trading law that states that the market moves in a rhythmic pattern, alternating between periods of expansion and contraction. This law suggests that markets, just like nature, have a natural ebb and flow. According to the Law of Rhythm, traders should pay close attention to the current market cycle and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. This means that traders should be aware of the different stages of the market, such as the accumulation phase, markup phase, distribution phase, and markdown phase. By understanding the Law of Rhythm and the various stages of the market, traders can make more informed trading decisions. For example, during the accumulation phase, traders may want to look for oversold securities that are likely to increase in value during the markup phase. Similarly, during the distribution phase, traders may want to consider short-selling overbought securities that are likely to decline in value during the markdown phase. Overall, the Law of Rhythm emphasizes the importance of understanding the natural cycles of the market and using this knowledge to make more profitable trades. In a Blackswan Event, I expect Bitcoin $ 777
BNC:BLXLong
by skylordzx
Visualizing the Current Market in Relation to Past RecessionsIt is helpful to view past recession trajectories to get a visual idea of where we are at the moment. I chose the recessions which were most relevant to today's market conditions. The 01 (purple) and 08-09 (dark blue) recessions were the first "modern" recessions where MMT was being implemented and tech made up a significant chunk of the market. The 70 (reddish brown) and 73-75 (green) recessions were the first stagflation recessions of the 70s. Finally, the Great Depression (light blue) is shown as a worst case scenario. If this current period mirrors history, a bounce or sideways movement through the rest of 2022 wouldn't be surprising. While a depression trajectory is possible, I don't believe it is most likely at this point.
SP:SPX
by Cryptogold14
2
bitcoin, it is until its notbearish market structure remains sfp of the previous lower high until this changes we remain in bearish territory no one wants capo to be right but until this is broken he could very well be right "biggest bull trap ever" - would give him legendary status if we descend to lows now Imagine 15k May, 12k August not sure where 100mma would be by then as its slowly creeping up, maybe 150ema could prove an ultimate bear target (over to you to look at time frames) ;-)
Short
by TBTS
Black Swan Event: The Biggest Crypto Market Risk!In today’s article, we will be discussing a risk known as Black Swan Event. Now what is the Black Swan and why it is considered as the most unexpected event in the course of any economic crisis is the greater factor to be discussed. The most unexpected event that has the maximum possibility to occur in the market is called Black Swan, this term was first coined by NYU professor and economist Nassim Nicholas Taleb. The main attributes that shape the possibilities of Black Swan events: Unpredictability Potential Severities Widespread impact According to Taleb: A black swan is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences. They are impossible to predict due to their extreme rarity, yet have catastrophic consequences, it is important for people to always assume a black swan event is a possibility, whatever it may be, and to try to plan accordingly. Some believe that diversification may offer some protection when a black swan event does occur. Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, severe impact, and the widespread insistence they were obvious in hindsight. Extrapolating, using statistics based on observations of past events is not helpful for predicting black swans, and might even make us more vulnerable to them. The last key aspect of a black swan is that as a historically important event, observers are keen to explain it after the fact and speculate as to how it could have been predicted. Such retrospective speculation, however, does not actually help to predict future black swans as these can be anything from a credit crisis to a war. What is the impact on Institutional markets? We know that somehow, we can use normal factors of prediction and probability over mass numbers of people like the result predicting based on Normal distribution curve, for such things, even the extrapolation method is not working. Hence Black Swan can take the market in any form that is not predefined, that can attack a market with several forms like crashing of prices and regulatory risk of digital exchanges. What are the two different types of Black Swan risk? Black Swan occurs within two types one is the positive impact and another one is a negative impact, now the inability to predict the accurate possibilities is the driving force behind the execution of the Black Swan event. Any clampdown on the trading of cryptocurrencies and other digital money can directly crash the prices of other currencies. The crackdown of Cryptocurrency exchanges by any third parties or other factors can also be counted as the Black Swan effect, many particular exogenous events can be forced to occur like: Inverse Volatility The crackdown of Crypto exchanges Regulatory risk of Crypto exchanges Low liquidity and low trading volume Having said that, 2022 has been the year of the “Black Swan” throughout the world of cryptocurrency. From the fall of LUNA to the insolvency of 3AC, Celsius, FTX and now BlockFi, the market has taken major hits in value and credibility. Each one of these events seemingly was viewed as a once in a lifetime event. To sum up, the Black Swan event is described in the following summarized manner: This event is so rare that it has many unknown possibilities occurring suddenly. Also, the impact is so huge that it can have a catastrophic effect. The hindsight conclusion if the prediction comes as true. Conclusion At last, one could conclude that many events could turn into a Black Swan in crypto trading such as, Network Congestion where everyone is rushing to have Ethereum and it subsequently raises the price of gas. In this case, when Black Swan occurs, the problem increases tenfold times and also this affects the liquidation process and also low-value transfers can simply attack the blockchain system. If you liked it, make sure to support with a like, follow and a comment! Best Regards, CryptoQueens.
Education
by Crypto_Queens_Official
23
Perfect automated detection of BlackSwan & Butterfly PRZ - ShortA bearish-type BlackSwan pattern occurred within the resistance zone of 1.8100-1.8220. (In this resistance zone , there was a rebound in 17 Oct, 16 Mar,...) If the price rises to 1.8354, a bearish-type Butterfly pattern could occur. Also on the daily chart, bearish-type BlackSwan pattern is occurring. Short after seeing the rebound. *Harmonic patterns and support/resistance zones are automatically detected using the indicators below. - Harmonic auto-detect PRO - Support/Resistance Zone Auto PRO
Short
by HarmonicLab
1