Bitcoin Slammed as Investors Prepare for the Fed Rate HikeBitcoin got slammed as investors brace for another rate hike this week. All risk-on assets are selling off with Dow futures falling 200 points, and the S&P 500 testing relative lows. Bitcoin gave up the $20K's, finding support at $19.5K for a bit. Last night support gave and we tumbled further to support at $18.6K. We are currently seeing support here confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI, but it's also looking quite weak. Additionally, there is a lack of a pivot, suggesing that investors are still not enticed to buy back at these levels. If the selloff continues, then $17.6K is the next target. If we are able to pivot we will likely see strong resistance at $19.5K or $20K.
Blockchain
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For September 16, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin prices completed a rebound to our Mean Res $21,600 and some more as specified on ''Daily Chart Analysis For September 9''. Currently, the crypto is in the process of revisiting our Key Sup $18,900 and completed Outer Coin Dip $18,665 with the possibility of extending to the prevailing move to #2 Outer Coin Dip. There is a slight chance for a breakout to our Mean Res $22,450.
Perfect possible Double Top into the Cosmo?ATOM/USD
Bearish Case
- Double Top can be seen (white line)
- 1hr and 8hr RSI shows a exaggerated bearish divergence
- BTC is retracing, eventually ATOM will follow to in this bear market
Target Zone
- $13.41 (neck line of the bottom of double top)
- $12.81 (0.618 fib retrace)
- $11.60 (0.5 fib retrace & start of double top)
Bullish Case
- May break higher 8hr Histogram showing reversal
Thoughts?
Possible Double Top for LUNALUNA/USD
Bearish Case
- Double Top formed and retested at $6.42 (0.236 fib retrace)
- Exaggerated Bearish Divergence on the 1hr
- Testing to break down of the ascending support line
- MACD on the 4hr looks to be turning bearish
Target Zone
- $4.888 (0.5 fib retrace)
- $4.202 (0.618 fib retrace)
- $1.99 (full retrace) given it is a double top
Bullish Case
- Stays within the supporting trend line and breaks the ascending triangle
Thoughts?
Shorting BTC againIn our last Bitcoin analysis with our TTW (trend-time-weight) system, we clearly positioned our portfolios for a very likely steady decline in the value of BTC with a target of $20K.
Now that we are here, BTC is in a stage 4 (bearish), entering the 210 MA average on the weekly chart (the reference for a bearish market in the mid and long run). Under no circumstances should we find buying opportunities right now if an active trading approach is implemented, only if a passive approach is sought.
Since early summer, BTC has been at a support which, if breached to the downside, the token could reach $11K-$9K levels. The RSI on the weekly chart is clearly bearish, at minus 34, and the MACD is clearly showing a downtrend that we could take advantage of with a quantitative trend-following strategy.
The probability of a trend reversal is actually very small in percentage terms, because the trend should first go through a stage 1, and then stage 2, but now it is still in stage 4, and it is quite a long way off (6-12 months, at least).
In terms of all our chartist, space-temporal, fundamental, economic and manipulative analysis, the most likely scenario is a downtrend to around $11,000 in the next few months.
Of course, we never know the future, and we are also prepared for a bullish pullback even if it is a very unlikely scenario, but professionally I would not see BTC as an interesting buy until the token reaches a value of around $30 000.
Strategy:
- Sell Stop: 16.500.
- 1st Stop Loss (0.25% of our portfolio value): 20.100.
- 2nd Stop Loss (0.5% of the value of our portfolio): 22.000
- 1st Take Profit (50% out): 11.000
- 2nd Take Profit (50% out): 9.000
- Margin requirements, swaps, spreads, execution model..: Depending on the derivatives exchange you use.
Will Litecoin Find Support?Litecoin gave up the $60's, extending as high as $66.94, before crashing back down to support again in the $50's. We broke through several key levels after global markets sold off following red hot US inflation data, which impacted nearly every market including crypto. Litecoin is currently finding support at $55.84, but appears to be hanging on by a thread. If this level gives, then we will have support again in the lower $50 handle at $51.92 namely.
'The Merge' Hangover Slams EthereumEthereum has dumped, despite the fact that the long awaited 'merge' finally happened yesterday. We have been warning you not to get too excited over this and that it would probably end up in a pump and dump. As predicted, we got slammed back to the $1400's from just below $1800. The selloff coincided nicely with a tanking stock market, in addition to gold, and bonds. We appear to be seeing strong support at $1424, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. Our next level of support below is $1341.
Bitcoin Gives Up the $20K'sBitcoin has shown sustained weakeness, edging down, giving up the $20K's. We are finding support at the next level below at $19.5K. Several green triangles on the KRI are suggesting support here. If $19.5K does not hold then we will likely see further support at $18.6K, a longstanding level that has held strong through the toughest of markets. If we are somehow able to rally, we must first solidify $20K before establishing higher levels.
Can Litecoin Hold $60?Litecoin is holding its range after testing and rejecting higher levels in the $60's after US inflation data came in unexpectedly hot. We are currently wavering about the $60 mark, with some volatility above and below. We do not seem to even have the strength to test $61.75 the next level above, let alone make a run for $64.37 again. If we fall further then $55.84 is sure to provide support.
How Will 'The Merge' Impact Ethereum?As predicted yesterday, Ethereum saw great support at $1547, confirmed by multiple green triangles on the KRI. We are currently ranging, bouncing back and forth between this level and $1653. Recall that $1653 is the first of a series of resistance levels which extend through the $1700's. These are sure to provide resistance unless serious momentum comes through. We are seeing the anticipated lack of enthusiasm over 'the merge' which happened about 4 hours ago at the time of this writing.
Bitcoin Holds $20KBitcoin has edged lower, but is finding good support around $20K. We gave up $20.7K entirely, but are holding just above $19.5K. A wick tested this level and it held strong. Green triangles on the KRI further confirm the support here. If we are able to pivot, then $20.7K is almost sure to provide prohibitive resistance. If current levels break, then we will likely see support at $18.6K.
Litecoin Rejects Higher LevelsLitecoin showed real promise of regaining the $60's or pressing higher. We spiked up to $66.96, achieving yet another level higher than $64.37, our previous target. However we rejected this level hard, and smashed through $64.37 back to the base of support at $60. Currently we are clinging onto $60 for dear live, with the price at the time of this writing sitting about $59.47 or so. If this does not hold then $55.84 should provide support. If not, we expect the base of the $50's to hold as a floor for now.
Ethereum Dumps As CPI Comes in HotEthereum was trekking in the $1700's yesterday, after making an attempt for $1800, which failed earlier this week. After CPI data came in, it dumped back down to $1547, which was our target from yesterday. We are currently finding good support there, but if not, $1424 is the next level down. If we are able to pivot we will face immediate resistance from $1653, and a cluster of levels in the $1700's. We warned you not to get too excited about 'the merge', which some thought would take ETH back to $2K or higher, and this is exactly why.
How Will CPI and the Fed Impact the Crypto Market?Bitcoin was edging higher, hoping that a reasonable CPI print yesterday would give risk on assets the green light to rally. Unfortunately, CPI came in red hot, suggesting that the Fed will double down their tightening efforts in order to get it under control. Bitcoin rejected $22.4K, and smashed through $20.7K. Currently we are clinging to support at $20K with $19.5K the next level to provide support. It will take some time for BTC to recover from this, but we must break through $22.4K before considering higher levels.
September 14 BTCUSD BingX Chart Analysis and Today's HeadlineBingX’s Bitcoin Chart
According to CoinShare, digital asset investment products saw outflows totalling US$63m, the 5th consecutive week of outflows. Bitcoin is down 8.75% over the last 24 hours and fell to an intraday low of $19,860.82. The largest cryptocurrency plummeted alongside the traditional equity market as the U.S core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased more than expected, rising to 6.3% from 5.9% in July. This suggests that the Fed will stick to its aggressive hiking plans and keep monetary policy restrictive for longer-than-expected. FedWatchTool shows that the probability of the Fed raising rates by 100 basis points next week has been significantly increased to 38%. If this happens, the BTC/USDT pair could decline further.
Today’s Cryptocurrency Headline
KKR Makes Its PE Fund Accessible to Individuals via Blockchain
Private equity giant KKR, which had $471 billion in assets under management at the end of 2021, will offer its Health Care Strategic Growth Fund on Avalanche through a partnership with Securitize. Qualified investors (with $5 million in investable assets) will be able to invest in KKR's health-care fund through a tokenized feeder fund on the Avalanche blockchain after setting up an account with Securitize and going through KYC and AML accreditation. After one year of holding, investors will be able to sell it to other qualified investors on a secondary market managed by Securitize.
Disclaimer: BingX does not endorse and is not responsible for or liable for any content, accuracy, quality, advertising, products, or other materials on this page. Readers should do their own research before taking any actions related to the company. BingX is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in the article.
Bitcoin Testing Key Resistance LevelBitcoin is edging higher, but is facing stiff resistance at $22.4K, the level we identified yesterday. We are seeing steep resistance here confirmed by red triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV is still bullish, but may not register enough momentum to suggest the divergence needed to break through. If we do, then $23.9K is the next target. If we reject current levels, we should see support at $20.7K.
Can Ethereum Hold the $1700's?Ethereum made a run for $1800, falling just short of this target, and careening through several levels of support below. We have broken into that cluster of levels in the mid $1700's that we have discussed many times, and appear to be finding support just above $1653, a familiar level tested by ETH from above and below many times as of late. This level should continue to provide support, but if not, then $1547 should provide further support if we break through. If we are able to pivot, we will see if ETH has enough momentum to break through to our target of $1821, but we will need to see more momentum come through.