EURUSD UNDER PRESSURE: ANALYSISEURUSD came under pressure this afternoon as ECB President Draghi stated a significant amount of monetary stimulus is needed. The data out of Europe has been poor of late
with the chances of a rate hike in 2019 slim to none for the Eurozone.
This was re-iterated by Draghi and we could see EURUSD move back towards 1.1300 by the end of the week.
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USDCAD BACK AT 1.3300: ANALYSISUSDCAD is back to the key resistance and psychological level of 1.3300.
If price rejects here we could see further downside to this market as the BoC last week suggested a return to their gradual hikes.
If price breaks above the 1.3300 the 50.0 Fib offers another resistance zone.
DXY SHORT TERM RANGE: ANALYSISUSD is currently sitting in a 1hr range. A breakout lower in the US session would indicate further downside for the USD.
Watch major currency pairs for USD short opportunities. Fed Chairman Powell testifies today and his comments will be closely watched by investors looking for any signs of monetary policy talk.
NZDUSD REMAINS BULLISH: ANALYSISIn this video update, we take a look at how the NZDUSD is finishing this week.
We expected the NZD to benefit from the potential USD weakness this week and it rallied significantly.
If the market remains bullish we expect further upside next week as long as the USD can continue to move lower.
This along with the AUD will be under pressure as the trade war between Trump and China continues however any positive news will push these currencies higher.
USD RESISTANCE AT $95.60 (UPDATE)In yesterdays update we looked at the DXY and if we saw a close below the key lows we can look for further downside.
The 4hr chart shows price pulling back to the previous lows around $95.60 with 38.2 Fibonacci retracement confluence. If price can find resistance here we can look for the USD to move significantly lower.
USDNOK AT KEY SUPPORTThe Norwegian Dollar has benefited off the back of the current rise in the price of Oil.
USD weakness continues with Fed members talking of potential rate hikes.
Currently, price is testing the key support of 8.4500 and price could move higher from here.
If price holds and moves back to the resistance we could see a head and shoulders pattern forming and further downside.
GOLD PULLBACKS LIKELYGold has been moving significantly higher as of late largely due to the US government shutdown fueling the fire for safe-haven assets.
Typically through January, precious metals perform well and this is likely to continue however we must see some pullbacks first before getting back on the bull run. If price retraces back to the key support level of $1270.00 we can look for long opportunities, Our moving averages remain bullish adding confluence to the idea.
USDNOK DOWNSIDE TO CONTINUEUSDNOK looks likely to continue lower after forming a head and shoulders pattern on the 4hr chart.
The weekly chart is in an uptrend however price has recently tested a key area of resistance.
With the USD weakness combined with stabilizing oil prices, the NOK could see further upside pushing this chart lower.
If price retraces to the head and shoulders neckline we can look for potential shorting opportunities down to the key support.
DXY QUICK UPDATE...BREAKOUTIn this video update, we take a quick look at the DXY and how the USD is shaping up after closing below a key support zone.
If price continues to fall EURUSD should break and close above the 1.1500 level confirming a move higher.
Keep an eye on the 4hr chart here as it may pullback to the key support zone before moving any lower.
USDCAD BREAKING LOWERUSDCAD has been the chart to watch lately as CAD strength wiped the floor with other currencies of recent.
Combing this with the USD weakness and the stabilising Oil price, USDCAD has been in focus for us.
Price is currently sitting at the key level of 1.3300 after breaking out of a key supporting trendline. The moving averages on the daily timeframe
look to be turning bearish and if price re-test the supporting trendline as resistance we can look for shorting opportunities in line
with the strength and weakness of the currencies.
AUDUSD UPSIDE CONTINUATIONAUDUSD was affected recently by the poor data out of China causing a considerable move lower.
However, with the USD weakness price soon recovered and the 4hr formed higher highs showing the potential for
price to continue higher.
Looking at the 4hr timeframe we can see the moving averages have turned bullish and if price retraces back to the
minor support we can look for long opportunities on bullish price action.
EURUSD BREAK HIGHEREURUSD again has headed towards the minor resistance of the wedge pattern as the USD continues to move lower.
We expect USD downside despite the good data recently due to the recent FOMC member speeches. The majority of the
FOMC is trying to put the brakes on which they continue to hike interest rates. The market has taken this negatively giving the major currency
pairs a boost with EURUSD, in particular, heading towards the key highs of 1.1500. If price can break and close above the key highs we should expect price
to continue higher.
US30 OUTLOOK. BEARISH YEAR AHEADIn this video update, we take a look at the US30 and how it could be shaping up for the year ahead.
We could see a short-term rise in the market before seeing significant downside. The upside will largely come from the USD
weakness if it can break lower, however, with the slowdown in the Chinese economy we could see further downside back into the key support.
USD DOWNSIDE EXPECTEDIn this video update, we discuss the recent move on the DXY as we have seen the index break out of a key range between 97.50 and 96.20.
With the decline in the Bond market, it begs the question, will the USD follow suit?
Typically, when the 10 and 30 yr US bonds decline the USD follows over time and those markets have dropped significantly through December.
If the USD does breakdown further we expect the support zone of 94.00 to be the overall target of the move lower.
WHY WE ARE SEEING LARGE MOVES IN THE SAFE HAVEN CURRENCYIn this video update, we take a look at USDJPY as overnight APPL revealed their Q1 data which showed a potential slowdown in the Chinese economy. This caused investors to move their money from risk on to risk off with JPY and Gold benefiting from the poor data. Looking at the technicals price has bounced from the support of 105.20 however the move has been exaggerated due to low liquidity and we could see prices re-test this support again.
CADCHF DOWNSIDE CONTINUATIONOnce again focusing on the CAD weakness. CADCHF has been down trending nicely and we have managed to ride the wave lower.
Price still has a small way to go before hitting the key support of 0.7760. If price can retrace back to the 50% fib and previous structure lows
we can look for bearish continuation here.