SILVER UPSIDE?Looking towards the precious metals Silver has formed a bullish engulfing candle from the previous structure lows highlighting a likely area where the market could find support. Bullish engulfing candles are typically a strong statement of intent and we could see this market rise into the resistance of 14.70 . As Brexit fears rise we could see the move from risk on to risk off sentiment with the buying of safe havens such as silver, gold and JPY.
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SAFE HAVEN BUYING? TAKE A LOOK AT USDJPYWith the recent turmoil in the UK and Europe we are seeing a buying of safe havens currently this includes precious metals such as Gold and Silver. JPY is also the currency safe haven and as we can see currently the JPY is getting stronger after breaking our of the daily supporting trendline. If investors feel the need to buy the safe haven currency we could see prices here decline further back into the key support of 111.75. We are keeping an eye on the 4hr charts for pullbacks to previous lows to get involved.
GBPUSD...BREXIT WEIGHS HEAVYIn today's video we discuss the current situation with GBPUSD and how BREXIT talks have been affecting the market. We see further downside here as resignations from Prime Minister Mays Cabinet start to appear. The resignations show a lack of support for the current agreements and could force Prime Minister May to fight for her position. Technically the large bearish engulfing on the 4hr could be ideal to look for lower timeframe short trades down to the key support of 1.2700. If you are to trade this market do so at a reduced risk due to the swings in the GBP and the uncertainty surrounding it.
OIL SHORTS CONTINUE We have had some great trades on OIL as spoken about before we have been short from $86.00 and we see more downside to come out of the OIL markets. The first weekly support comes in at $62.37 and could rally from here back into the key resistance of $70.44. Looking for short opportunities to the key support and then waiting for a re-test of the resistance before looking for any further shorts. If we see a weekly downtrend form here we could see lows of $30.00 and the 2016 lows.
EURUSD SHORT AS USD STRENGTH CONTINUESEURUSD has been pushed lower of recent due to USD strength but also the weight of Italy and more importantly BREXIT is still heavy here adding pressure to the currency.
Technically the market has just tested key resistance and previous structure lows around 1.13100. We have seen the 1hr chart change cycles and we are now looking for the market
to push higher and re-test 1hr structure resistance before continuing to look for downside. Targets will come in at the previous 4hr and daily lows at 1.1219.
AUDCAD SHORT TERM DOWNSIDEIn today's video updated we look at a trading opportunity on AUDCAD 1hr chart. Currently the market has found resistance at the key weekly zone and looks to be forming a Daily double top pattern.
If the market can pullback into the 1hr area of structure we will look for short opportunities into the neckline support.
NZDUSD FINDING SUPPORTNZDUSD has continued to show strength despite the USD breaking through the $97.00 on the DXY. Technically looking at the daily chart NZDUSD has broken key areas of resistance and looks to be heading up to the next resistance point of 0.6850.
As we can see the support of 0.6715 looks to be holding and if we see a break above yesterdays high we can look for long positions into the next resistance point.
CHFJPY DOWNTREND CONTINUATIONCHFJPY higher timeframe downtrend looks set to continue as the 4hr chart technically has moved back into a downtrend with price forming lower lows and lower highs. If the market continues to downtrend we should see a continuation of this market formation down to the key support of 111.85. Applying our fibs we can see 38.2 fib retracement lines sits slightly above the key lows at 112.96. Looking for the market to retrace to the resistance before continuing lower.
EURJPY DOWNSIDE CONTINUATIONEURJPY has been on our watchlist as we expected further EURO downside. Technically looking at the daily chart we can see the market rejected the key resistance and 50.0 Fib level of 130.12. Recently we have seen the market break a supporting trendline highlighting further downside to come in this market. We are looking for lower timeframe trades down to the key support of 127.35. If this support breaks expect further downside to continue to the 127.2 Fib extension and support of 124.95.
USD STRENGTH IF WE SEE A CLOSE ABOVE $97.00USD strength continues after the FED re-iterated there stance on monetary policy and for a December rate hike to be highly likely. Technically on the USDX price was stuck between a trading range between support of $93.90 and resistance of $97.00. The key here will be to see the close above the key resistance. If we see a clear close above the resistance we could see the USD strength take a hold of the market once again.
BRENT CRUDE COULD SEE LOWER PRICES In this video update we talk about how Brent Crude Oil could continue moving lower if it can hold below the key support at and lows at 70.44. We have been trading short from the highs and looks like price will continue further despite the market looking overextended to the downside.
USDNOK BREAKING KEY TRENDLINE RESISTANCEThe FOMC's latest meeting minutes highlighted the data from the US continues to be good and rate hikes are still likely leading to a boost in the USD. USDNOK we had been monitoring around the key support of 8.3000 to see if the market would break or bounce. Since we have seen the market bounce from this area we could be heading for higher prices especially if the market breaks and closes above the current trendline resistance. The Fibonacci extension of 127.2 sits at highs of 8.6520 where the market could look to target. Looking to our lower timeframes for entries.
DOW JONES TO MOVE HIGHER (US30)We have been sitting out of the indices after recent volatility made it difficult to judge the moves. Instead we have decided to let the market find its path before getting involved. The great thing about technical analysis is the strict rules you follow to keep you out of making poor decisions. Before going long we wanted to see the direction confirmed by waiting for the daily higher high which we have now seen. The recent highs around 25880.0 would be a likely area for the market to re-test before seeing the market return to all time highs.
USDSEK (EURUSD BABY BROTHER)USDSEK often gets overlooked by retail traders as they see this market as having a mind of its own however, this market
can be traded instead of the EURUSD due to its strong correlations. If you use the compare tool in tradingview add this chart
to the EURUSD chart and you will see when EURUSD goes long, this chart goes short and vice versa.
Often the EURUSD can become cluttered and the USDSEK could show clearer trading opportunities.
Technically we have been waiting for price to break the key supporting trendline, price completed this on the Daily chart
and now we are looking for the continued short trades after it re-tested the key resistance at 9.0200.
EURCHF STILL AT KEY RESISTANCEEURCHF hasn't performed the way we expected but again it is back into the key resistance of 1.1470 where we could see some downside.
USDCHF is at a key resistance and if this holds we could see further downside out of this market.
We will only be looking for short opportunities if and only if the 4hr breaks the supporting trendline and previous lows around the 1.1430.
The reason being the market will have broken key supporting levels and start to form lower lows.
EURCAD CONTINUATION SHORTEUR continues to be our weak currency and USDCAD is stalling at the key trendline resistance suggesting we could see some CAD strength.
EURCAD technically has been a bit of a messy chart to work with however the market formed a lower low in price after falsely breaking out of
a resistance. Now the market has re-tested the resistance and printed a bearish pin candle. Adding fibs we can see we have a 38.2 fib confluence at the resistance also
adding weight to our trading idea. In our telegram group we our short looking for a 2:1 trade.
USDCAD SHORT IN PLAYUSDCAD has been struggling for a while at the key weekly resistance trendline. If you take a look at the weekly chart you can see that the market could not close above the trendline resistance.
This gives us an idea that the market cannot sustain buying at this point. Moving to our 4hr timeframe we can see a minor resistance level was broken and close below around the 1.3120 level.
We have highlighted this level with arrows and was a deciding factor in taking a short position here making sure our stops are above highs to protect us from market fluctuations.
Technically we have a minor support sitting down at the 1.3050 which if price breaks and closes below we can look for continuation trades short with key support down at the key support at 1.2900.
EURUSD CONTINUED UPSIDE EXPECTEDWe have been relatively quiet on the EUR as we expected further downside to come out of the cross pairs involving the currency.
We have been anticipating a relief to the USD however which is aiding to the current bid on the EURUSD.
Technically we can see that the 4hr timeframe has formed a higher high and looks to be heading to the key resistance at 1.1540.
Applying Fibs we can see the current candle high shows the 61.8 fib sits back at the structure support of 1.1444 and would be a likely area
to look for a long opportunity.
WTI CRUDE OIL TO RE-TEST RESISTANCEWTI and BRENT has been a great source of trades for us this past month and downside looks likely to continue however we would like to see the market retrace after breaking through the key support level around 64.80.
Seasonally Crude Oil through the end of November to the middle of December sees significant downside which lines up with the technical analysis currently shown on the chart.
The 4hr trend is down and could just continue to fall, a bearish set up at the lows may offer us a good return on investment. Ideally we want to see the re-test of the double top neckline from the Daily chart is it offers a greater return.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS COMPLETION ON USDMXNWe have been monitoring USDMXN for a potential short opportunity as the USD looks to be failing to move higher.
We have seen price move higher as of late due to the increase of interest rates in the US however we are now at a key resistance zone.
Looking at price it printed a head and shoulders pattern at the key resistance potential showing further downside to come.
If we see the market pullback into the neckline we could look for bearish price action to short down into the key support of 19.6000.
NZDCHF LOOKING FOR RELIEF ALSOJust as with AUDCHF we have been trading this market long successfully and now we are approaching a key resistance up at 0.6720 with 1.618 Fib extension confluence.
This market is almost mirror imaging AUDCHF and could be traded instead of the AUDCHF pair. Again counter-trend traders here could look for short opportunity back into key highs.
Look for double top patterns or the market to create lower lows before executing a short trade. We could see the market pullback into the key highs at 0.6600 before seeing more upside
in line with trend.