BLX
BTC/USD (Good Monthly Support?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Finally, after 3 months of red candles. The month of July finishes strong
-Bitcoin has a monthly immediate key area of support around 35k-29k dollars
-This is the zone we need to watch for the remaining months of this year 2021
-As long as this area will hold, BTC will remain Bullish until the end of the year
-For now, I'm expecting a few months of sideways trading again
-During this consolidation, Let us see if the Altcoins space will move stronger
-Because most of the time, Altcoins performs better when BTC trade-in range
-I will always keep my watchlist updated and hopefully share some of my public ideas
-See you and Good luck! :)
⚠️Please always read the description⚠️
Thanks for donating 💰 via Tradingview coins bitcoinpam 🙏🎉
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If you need help🙋 don't hesitate to
Send me a message here PolarHusk 😊
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Trading Involves High Risk ⚠️
Not Financial Advice 💸
Exercise Proper Risk Management 💱
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The Next UPs And Downs of BTCAs we Told before the last deep correction
BTC can record New ATH After this correction
Correction happened, and now We are expecting ATH & later , a deeper correction - about 80 to 95 %
So Be careful
Hold altcoins till BTC Records its now ATH - then - get ready to sell again
GL HF
BTC/USD (40k Area Acting Resistance?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Bitcoin is currently testing the mid resistance area after a 40% increased from the 29k region
-This zone is a confluence of previous tops from January 8, May 26, June 15 trading
-Also, the 100 Moving Average is sitting inside this zone
-Take note, the RSI hit the 70 level or overbought territory
-After 9 trading days with all green candles, it is potential painting a red day
-If BTC tops out or slows down from here, expect a mini consolidation range
-A correction is likely to happen if not yet then BTC might break the 42k zone
-Let us wait and see which way the market will go within 24hrs-48hrs
-Good luck traders and stay safe!
⚠️Please always read the description⚠️
Thanks for donating 💰 via Tradingview coins bitcoinpam 🙏🎉
``````````````````````````````````````````````
If you need help🙋 don't hesitate to
Send me a message here PolarHusk 😊
``````````````````````````````````````````````
Trading Involves High Risk ⚠️
Not Financial Advice 💸
Exercise Proper Risk Management 💱
``````````````````````````````````````````````
BTC/USD (New Strength)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Bitcoin finally confirms the weekly key support area
-After a strong recovery back above the 50W MA and hitting the 40k level
-We can say BTC is safe for now in the coming weeks
-But the Bulls can't stay relax because the 40k dollar is acting as a strong barrier
-And also, we have a new CME price gap of around 34k-32k dollars
-We know these gaps are likely to get filled soon
-If you noticed some Altcoins are not doing well during BTC run-up
-It is because the Bitcoin Dominance level increases too by 5%
-The Altcoin space may move weak or slow in the coming days
-Unless the BTC Dominance decreases and Bitcoin moves in a range
-Congrats for the Bulls, let us see if they can make another follow-through
⚠️Please always read the description⚠️
Thanks for donating 💰 via Tradingview coins bitcoinpam 🙏🎉
``````````````````````````````````````````````
If you need help🙋 don't hesitate to
Send me a message here PolarHusk 😊
``````````````````````````````````````````````
Trading Involves High Risk ⚠️
Not Financial Advice 💸
Exercise Proper Risk Management 💱
``````````````````````````````````````````````
More Fib Circles BLX BitcoinDemonstrating the Power of the circle
Red areas = price decline as per hitting an area of the circle
Green areas = support area as per hitting an area of the circle
Linked is my guide to using the circle tool
Really do enjoy using this tool to portray support and resistance zones
Bitcoin Analysis and Commentary BLX Optimal entry point directed on chart
This is along a curve that has extended from the previous bull market top
An observation I can't display on chart is that the 200MA is forming a somewhat "W" pattern, meaning the structure of the 200MA is in the form of a W
Made a little spread between the entry point due to possible error while drawing the curve
it isn't time yet.i took a closer look at this recent rally, and i can't help but feel like something is off about it. my intuition is telling me that this is yet again another phase of distribution before the deeper drop to lower lows.
it would explain the unusual volume spikes in this 34k range.
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my downside projection sits at 25.5k as of this morning, and until the charts tell me otherwise - this will be my primary count going forward.
i could be wrong, but i have to trust my intuition on this one, as it is what got me here in the first place.
we could make one last push to about 36.2k, but the probability of that is very slim as of this moment.
i started layering in shorts as of this morning, and will continue to do so until i am proven wrong.
💸
ps. i talked about this scenario not too long ago, and this false break out of this wedge is the ultimate trap to anyone who doesn't see it coming. i have seen this scenario play out so many times on the smaller timeframes, so i just felt like sharing my opinion on this with you all.
Bitcoin Squaring Up for 35KBitcoin has found support beautifully on my fib levels that I have had plotted for some days now.
I am currently in a large long position from $32000, and I do not plan on taking any profit or closing some of my position until the level just above us is hit around $35k. I am not currently adding to my position but it should be noted that this not a bad time to do so.
Should we continue to hold support here at the .382 fib level, a retest of the next price level at $35000 should ensue. A breaking of the level will have to occur as well to continue the bullish uptrend Bitcoin is trying to form. If it is rejected, expect a retest of our current level again.
The short term moving average are starting to point sharply upward, and typically this has been an indication of a high bullish momentum.
A stop loss or two just below $33579 makes this a low risk high reward trade for those who are experienced.
BTC/USD (29k Last Area of Support?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Bitcoin is saved by the last area of support and 200 Moving Average on 2D TF
-If BTC will continue to move higher in the coming days
-I expect a retest of the 20 Moving Average in this 2D time frame
-This short-term 20MA may act as resistance again as seen in the past
-The Bulls and Bears are differently in a tug of war until the last one surrenders
-The market trading range is getting tighter and tighter each day
-We will soon see breakout direction either up or down
-So please always be prepared and manage your position size correctly
-Good luck and stay safe everyone!
⚠️Please always read the description⚠️
Thanks for donating 💰 via Tradingview coins bitcoinpam 🙏🎉
``````````````````````````````````````````````
If you need help🙋 don't hesitate to
Send me a message here PolarHusk 😊
``````````````````````````````````````````````
Trading Involves High Risk ⚠️
Not Financial Advice 💸
Exercise Proper Risk Management 💱
``````````````````````````````````````````````
btc long setup 7\22.Now that we know where we are, we can safely know where we are going.
Wave 4 corrections tend to be very complex, and very complicated to figure out - which is why i have spend so many days and nights working on this picture; unlike simple corrections which are a piece of cake and take me a few minutes to chart. This was one of the hardest charts I've ever had the pleasure of working on, and it was very much worth the experience.
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I am safely theorizing that we have begun working on Wave (B) of Wave 4 on the highest degree.
Wave B's move in three waves (a-b-c) or (w-x-y).
We can eliminate the w-x-y, as this is a clear impulse-
Leaving us with just one final scenario.
The structure we have begun working on, on July 20th is wave a of the larger Wave B structure of Wave Y of Wave 4 on a highest degree.
When this wave (a) finishes its five wave impulse and tops out at 33,600, we should in theory see a 0.5 ~ 0.618 pull back for the smaller downward wave b move.
Knowing this, we can position ourselves nicely for that wave C swing in the days ahead.
I am projecting this wave c of Wave Y of Wave B of Wave 4 on the highest degree to move to about 40.5k as of this evening.
That is my safe target, and is as high as I am willing to swing a long.
Taking it any higher is playing with fire in my professional and honest opinion.
Buy zone:
0.5 = 31378
0.618 = 30,875
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Sell zone = 40k.
see the full idea via:
"it's just a double three" 👆Been thinking long and hard about this picture, and i think this is the one.
i've been observing the price action these last two nights on the smaller time frames, and noticed that from our july 20th "bottom", there was a shift in momentum, a break of pattern - and a totally new vibe that's entered into this market space. hard for me to explain what i mean, but i'm sure you could see\feel it too. we haven't seen an impulse this clean in quite a long time, which leads me to believe that we are finally in Wave Y of this Wave B correction.
all of the fib relations check out for this flat idea, and i have a few potential targets for you guys.
• Wave Y = 61.8%, 100%, or 123.6% of wave W
• Wave Y can not pass 161.8% of wave W otherwise it will become considered a Wave 3 impulse.
Therefore,
•100% = 37.1k
•123.60% = 39.3k
•161.80% = 43.1k
If btc breaks above 43.1k on this run, then our Wave 4 correction is behind us, and we can expect to see new highs.
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Ps. I've never traded a flat correction before, in fact this is the first time I am seeing one this large with my own eyes. All of these relations are textbook accurate, so I'm going to simply treat these coming days as a learning experience, so I'll know what to expect if we ever come across this sort of structure again.
I appreciate all of your support, and I hope you guys trade safe in these crazy markets.
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i entertained this flat idea the other night, but the liquidity hunt the other day really threw me off.
which would put our wave C target ranging between 14~20k depending on where this wave b move tops out.
a deep dive into the projected downside target.i made a post on february 4th calling the top of btc at 60k - i was off by 5k \\ you can view that post down below.
also made a post back in march, warning everyone about the massive signs of weakness i was seeing.
my projected downside target back then was between 10k~15k, but i've come a long way in this learning journey, so i'm here to say that we will not be seeing 10k.
we could though, get all the way down to 14k as that would be the 123.60% fib extension (aka wave 5 target of wave c) - which would keep our 11 year grand cycle count still in tact.
the bullish invalidation for the 11 year move would be at 13831.41 (via the bitcoin liquid index chart) each exchange varies in price, but i think the blx is the universal chart which matters the most - so let's go with that number.
you don't want to know what would happen to btc if 13831.41 was breached - matter of fact, let's not even talk about it.
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if you press alt + i on your tv chart, you are able to inverse it. i find it much easier to chart downtrends from this perspective - so that is precisely what i did here.
as you can see: wave 3 of wave (a) hit the 1.618% fib extension, wave 4 hit the 0.386% fib retracement, and wave 5 is projected to hit anywhere between 14~18k via the 100%~123.60% fib extension.
this is probably not something any of you want to hear right now, but it is not like i am making this number up, it is simply what the chart tells me as of this evening.
Wave A target = 25k
Wave B target = 43k
Wave C target = 14k.
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Bitcoin 277k top? The factor of 10. Bitcoin long term perspective using line chart and focusing on the scale factor 10.
The factor of 10 starting at 1k.
1k -> 10k -> 100k -> 1M
2013 top $1177 (-88.23% of next 10 factor - 10,000)
2017 top $19764 (-80.24% next 10 factor - 100,000)
Difference between above
-8% approx. Then project that against next 10
factor 1million.
My projection is june 2023 top so
2023 top $277k (-72.22% of next 10 factor - 1million). That is approximately 5.4 Trillion market cap for bitcoin.
Black top resistance line connects 1k to 10k once these prices were reached on the monthly timeframe respectively. Blue top resistance connects 10k to 64k top which leads to a 100K price around february 2022. I expect we reach 130k and retrace as projected in pink arrow. Then continue for another swing higher to form a rising wedge (see my related post for clear illustration)
Next bear market low I have projected as $50,684 around june 2024 approximately 1 year after the 277k ATH projection, an approx -81.70% retrace and around the date of the next bitcoin halving.
This is simply an observation and projection from the observation, it does not imply certainty. Time is important in terms of how long was spent at 1k and 10k which we can forecast for the subsequent 100k (should it happen) that I may discuss at a later stage. Always adapt strategy according to what market tells you. For now let’s see how it plays out as this is a 2-3year projection, anything can happen.
Good luck.
BTC/USD (Warning Signal?)💎Technical Analysis Summary💎
BTC/USD
-Warning sign for BTC, the price closes below the 50W Moving Average
-It is now trading below the weekly key area of support
-If BTC is unable to get above the 33k area in the coming days
-Please be cautious and manage your position sizes
-Because we don't know how far BTC will go if this downward continues
-Good luck traders and stay safe!
⚠️Please always read the description⚠️
Thanks for donating 💰 via Tradingview coins bitcoinpam 🙏🎉
``````````````````````````````````````````````
If you need help🙋 don't hesitate to
Send me a message here PolarHusk 😊
``````````````````````````````````````````````
Trading Involves High Risk ⚠️
Not Financial Advice 💸
Exercise Proper Risk Management 💱
``````````````````````````````````````````````
"the grim reality of a bear market"correction might take longer to play out than i anticipated.
watch the US markets for confirmation of a bottom.
the moment SPY finishes this correction, i'm jumping back into crypto.
100% cash for now, protecting my capital.
good luck, and trade safe 💸
SPY projection:
"the cross roads"bitcoin is at a crossroad right now, as it has been trying to confirm this impulse for these last couple of days to no success.
bulls are defending this local gz with their all, but time is running out as momentum could seize at any moment.
tonight will be attempt number 3. if we can confirm this move to 33k, then we're buying the dip at 31,900 with conviction for the continued move to upside of about 39k.
bullish invalidation: 31026.0
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if we do break down below the area of invalidation, view the short term bearish scenario for the long downside targets via:
be ready in either direction.we don't gamble around here, and entertain both sides equally.
only get into setups which are clean, and safe.
btc is currently in a very strong squeeze on the daily, and is about to fire off hard one of these days.
so long as we don't take out the low from friday, we're game for a move to the upside (to about 39k)
if we do take out the low from Friday, we're buying between 23~25k with conviction.
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if we break up and out of here, view the bull case via: