Surprise Mothafuqueurs!!!This is the dip! If you wait, you might fomo at 50k. Fomo is a hell of a thing.
Hash ribbons already printed a buy weeks back.
NVT Is now preparing for the meal to come. The feast on FIAT will be glorious especially while the bears sit and watch. Not the Chicago Bears but the bear market blues drummers. They're going to starve this winter as the summer was not bountiful and hibernation will tough.
The key word is SURPRISE. It won't be a smooth ride up.
Not financial advice.
BLX
Rumors of Bitcoins demise have been greatly exaggerated. Bitcoin is now out of a bear market and is in it's initial phase of the bull market. That's not what the news is saying. The news says the worst is yet to come, I don't agree. Let's have a look.
First, the green and red zone is Gaussian Channel. It turns red in bear markets and green in bull markets. Once it turns green it stays green for the entire bull market. Well sir, it's not green, it's still red. Yes this is a lagging indicator, by the time it turns green bitcoin will be preparing to enter the next phase of the bull market.
Down below we have the crypto fear and greed indicator. I have drawn a yellow line where the support for this indicator should most likely stay the entire bull run. The corrections should go to the NEUTRAL area of 47. It is possible for it go lower like 46 45 in fear but It should recover quickly. A substantial break of this zone would likely mean the bull market is over.
How do we know all this stuff? How can we verify it? WE would look left on the chart. History may not repeat exactly, but it does rhyme.
This is my analysis of the bear market transitioning into a bull market. From last September I was calling for the Bull market to start in March of 2023. Look a the break out candle. Mid March, NAILED IT!!
We can see when prices fell in November that the fear and greed was actually rising creating a bullish divergence.
I don't expect prices to fall below into this yellow shaded section again. That doesn't mean it can't, if it does, it will not last long in my opinion. It will get bought up very quick.
Please feel free add comments or ask questions down below.
Thanks for looking
WeAreSar0shi
The bear trap is set. The 2023 bear trap
AS we can see on January 20th Bitcoin broke the down trend it has been in for over one year now. Recently the resistance was tested and was made in to support as Bitcoin took a strong bounce off of it. WE can clearly see this in the chart with the highlighted oval.
Above that we have the bear trap zone and the fomo zone A break and hold of the 25.4k level leads to the setting of the bear trap. This bear trap zone goes all the way to 32k above that is the fomo zone and it goes to 47k and possibly even higher. These ar eth e levels to look for in the coming weeks.
Another thing of note to look for is that Bitcoin could retest the break out zone at a later date {shown with the blue arrow} and as long as it holds it could then lead to the bear trap.
What to look for
The RSI will be a dead give away on what move comes first as I have drawn the down trend that it is in at the moment. If this should break above the down trend then it will do with the price and confirm the move.
Thanks for looking
Hit the like and subscribe for hot off the press charts.
WeAreSatoshi
Stay blessed in 2023.
Bitcoin Flippening Theory Based On AriasWaveSince embarking on the creation of AriasWave, my primary objective has been to delve into corrections and unravel their expansive potential. My focus extended to scrutinizing the potency and characteristics inherent in 5-Wave movements, as they often offer insights into their upward limits. Regarding the Bitcoin pattern, from the outset, I harbored reservations about its purely impulsive nature, except for the cyclical pumps associated with halving events. While I don't predict Bitcoin's descent to zero, I discern indications that it may lag behind in performance compared to other projects efficiently fulfilling similar functions.
This isn't a dismissal of Bitcoin's revolutionary impact, as it undeniably fueled innovation. I remain open to all possibilities, but prudence dictates acknowledging superior risk/reward scenarios when alternatives with greater efficacy present themselves. Hence, I propound my flippening theory, shedding light on the potential future displacement of Bitcoin by various alt-coins, contingent upon their respective patterns.
BTC 115k USD 2025 trendlines and speculative trajectoryFollowing the 4-Year-Cycle theory, the last quarter of 2025 should mark the top of the current BTC cycle. Here you have long term trendlines and a speculative trajectory towands this possible right-translated cycle peak.
If 2025 mirrors the 2021 price action, an intermediate top might be performed in spring 2025.
Cryptocurrency Renaissance - Igniting a New EraI'm consistently labeled a permanent bear, but my stance shifts when there's a valid reason for optimism. Employing AriasWave, I meticulously explore various scenarios daily, reporting only on counts that align with the prevailing circumstances. Lately, I've observed a shift in counts favoring a more bullish outlook, and my videos reflect my current perspective. Numerous cryptocurrencies are yet to experience significant movement, but their fate is intertwined with the broader crypto market cap. Essentially, they're interconnected, akin to the subconscious connection among humans. The greatest rewards will be reaped by those who anticipate the trend before it unfolds.
BLX Year by YearYear by Year Bitcoin (BLX) logarithmic chart, ready for a Massive Explode in 2024.
.....................................................................................................................
We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature.
and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
BITCOIN - Massive Bull Run Incoming but Not So Fast...A groundbreaking era is emerging in a financial category with the potential to empower individuals in their struggle against formidable adversaries like big government and central banks.
The populace is attributing value to a novel medium of exchange crafted by and for the people.
According to AriasWave analysis, we have the opportunity to liberate ourselves by establishing our own reservoir of wealth, free from the constraints imposed by the affluent 1%.
While this elite group fixates on the percentage gains of Bitcoin, there exist a handful of alternative cryptocurrencies poised to outshine the market in terms of percentage gains.
AriasWave will substantiate these assertions and more through in-depth analysis to be shared in the upcoming days, weeks, and months.
This comprehensive examination will encompass cross pairs and other indicators, shedding light on the potential for substantial corrections and vigilantly monitoring potential setbacks for certain cryptocurrencies along the journey.
sit by myself, talking to da moon pt2🌙𝑏𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝑦𝑜𝑢 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑 𝑎𝑛𝑦 𝑓𝑢𝑟𝑡𝘩𝑒𝑟, 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑡 #𝟷:
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𝑤𝑒𝑙𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑚𝑦 𝑝𝑎𝑔𝑒, 𝑚𝑦 𝑛𝑎𝑚𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝑒𝑙𝑜 - 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑖 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑤𝑖𝑡𝘩 𝑡𝘩𝑒 𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑠.
𝑖 𝑑𝑜𝑛'𝑡 𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑦 𝑐𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑤𝘩𝑖𝑐𝘩 𝑤𝑎𝑦 𝑡𝘩𝑒 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑔𝑜𝑒𝑠, 𝑖 𝑠𝑖𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑦 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑒 𝑡𝘩𝑒 𝑑𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑡 𝑠𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑚𝑦 𝑜𝑤𝑛 𝑢𝑛𝑖𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑒𝑠.
---
𝑖𝑛 𝑎𝑢𝑔𝑢𝑠𝑡, 𝑤𝘩𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑦𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑡𝘩𝑜𝑢𝑔𝘩𝑡 𝑏𝑡𝑐 𝘩𝑎𝑑 𝑏𝑜𝑡𝑡𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑑,
𝑖 𝑚𝑎𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑜𝑠 𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡𝘩𝑒 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑙𝑑 𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑢𝑡 𝑤𝘩𝑎𝑡 𝑤𝑎𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒.
𝑠𝑎𝑑 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑡 𝑖𝑠, 𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑦 𝑓𝑒𝑤 𝑝𝑒𝑜𝑝𝑙𝑒 𝑙𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑑.
𝑛𝑜𝑤 𝑤𝑒'𝑟𝑒 𝘩𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑑𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟,
𝑡𝘩𝑒 𝑤𝘩𝑜𝑙𝑒 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑙𝑑 𝑖𝑠 𝑏𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑠𝘩 𝑎𝑡 𝑡𝘩𝑒 "𝑏𝑜𝑡𝑡𝑜𝑚",
𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑖'𝑚 𝑡𝘩𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑜𝑢𝑡 𝑎 𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑔𝑎𝑖𝑛,
>𝑏𝑢𝑡 𝑡𝘩𝑖𝑠 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑡𝘩𝑒 𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑙𝑠 𝑤𝘩𝑜 𝘩𝑎𝑣𝑒 𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑒𝑎𝑟.
𝑖 𝑡𝘩𝑖𝑛𝑘 𝑏𝑡𝑐 𝑔𝑜𝑒𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑎𝑡𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑡 𝟸𝟿𝑘 𝑏𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝘩𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑜𝑤𝑛 𝑡𝑜 𝟼𝑘.
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𝑡𝘩𝑖𝑠 𝑖𝑠 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑑𝑣𝑖𝑐𝑒, 𝑖'𝑚 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑑𝑣𝑖𝑠𝑜𝑟.
𝑑𝑜𝑛'𝑡 𝑎𝑠𝑘 𝑚𝑒 𝑤𝘩𝑎𝑡 𝑚𝑦 𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑦 𝑜𝑟 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑝 𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑖𝑠.
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𝑚𝑎𝑦 𝑡𝘩𝑒 𝑑𝑑𝑠 𝑏𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟.
♠
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𝑒𝑡𝘩𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑢𝑚 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑦:
Why are you sitting on your hands?There are numerous indicators screaming buy for the last 4 months. we are in the best buy zone of our time RIGHT NOW!!. The evidence is over whelming that the bottom is in!!! Why are you waiting? Why are you listening to the news? is it different this time? Not really.
In previous history by the time the lower BLUE band flashed the CM ADX the bear market was ending . so lowered prices preceded the blue. This time was different... what?? yes it was. the BLUE flashed and then the price followed, however the stochastics are CM MACD is about to cross up and this is a bullish indicator. One other trend is this blue buy zone is getting smaller every time it happens.
The bear market looks like it will be ending by March/April of 2023.
Thanks for looking
comments and questions down below.
Protesting Your Acquiescence!Stop denying the facts!
Your acquiescence is just fear, conquer it and you will see and think clearly!
The bottom is in, everything you need is right in front of you!
Come, March with me into April and beyond. REMEMBER, WE ARE SATOSHI!!
If you need help comment below.
*Look first, then jump. Tradingview.com*
The Grand Inquisitor & Kenobi #2This chart is to be looked at like an inquisition.
You are the Grand inquisitor and Kenobi is Bitcoin . You simply track him to gauge possible future movements. Prices points and time lines are all hypothetical, but are based off past movements. This charts purpose is to get a greater perspective on where we are and where we might be going, seeing the big picture . So, will Kenobi be predictable or does he have some tricks up his sleeve.
In the chart we can clearly see diminishing returns and also there are signs of possibly lengthened cycles, however I'm not fully convinced of that just yet.
I hope so far you can follow up to this point. If you are having trouble understanding please ask in the comments.
Thank you for looking
WeAreSat0shi
The Grand Inquisitor & Kenobi!I do believe that the trend line we are currently on, eventually will break, but when? We are currently testing it with this drop in June of 2022. In my opinion if we break this trend line in the near future (RED) then we will obviously drop much lower possibly even breaking 10k. If not, I see either a retracement (BLUE) then dump and go lower. Or, hit new highs and the eventual break it in the ensuing bear market afterwards (YELLOW) that restarts the cycle over.
So the question of the Grand Inquisitor is... Where Is Kenobi on this timeline?
Be careful, Kenobi is clever.
Let me know what you think down below.
This chart is just for fun with long term outlook. It is not financial advice.
The strongest evidence that bulls are gaining momentumSo here we have The CM ultimate Moving average MFA on the 2 week time frame with the PI Cycle Bottom. On the bottom we have the Stochastic RSI. Combining these three indicators is showing a very powerful case for the bottom being in and that we will in the next few weeks flip bullish. The interactions of these indicators go back all the way to 2011.
The PI cycle bottom is has been modified to only on show the short MA and the color has been changed to orange while the long MA has been deleted to keep the chart clean as it's not useful in this chart.
As we can see here for the entire bitcoin history, when ever the PI SHORT MA has crossed into the ULTIMATE MA it sparked the beginning of the downfall and the ULTIMATE MA only weeks later turned red and prices would start to plummet. The bear market on every occasion has ended when the PI SHORT MA crosses back up through the ULTIMATE MA and shortly after would confirm the bull market by turning Green again. We also have the stochastic backing all this movement by showing the rise in momentum.
This indicator is so good it even caught the COVID crash of 2020 and warned that trouble was brewing weeks in advance.
So... where are we now on the timeline? It's showing that not only is the bottom in most likely but the the bull market could be only weeks away as the stochastics have made a cross up and momentum is building. also the PI SHORT has stopped it's downward momentum and is preparing for it's eventual cross up of the ULTIMATE MA.
The only question left is, where do you stand? Have you bought the dip or are you waiting for lower prices?
My evaluation from this analysis is that we are at least half way through the bear the market.
Please feel free to ask questions or add any comments below
Thanks for your looking and please hit the like.
*Chart analysis is risk management... There is always risk, hence the reward*
BITCOIN - Expect Lower Prices From Here...Currently, we find ourselves at the peak of Wave D, and these levels are likely unsustainable for much longer before the anticipated reversal takes full effect. I anticipate a substantial downward movement from the current levels to around the $10,000 area. Following this bottoming out, I expect a minimum 700% upward movement to reach all-time highs before culminating in Wave 5, marking the final upward move within the entire pattern since 2008. While I have a reasonably clear idea of what follows afterward, let's observe how this scenario unfolds for now.
Possible Channel Break Re-testsA quick look at how Bitcoin could drop as low as 25-26k or even 22-23 and remain bullish.
Bitcoin first broke above an inverted HS, which ultimately led to a parallel channel breakout on the weekly chart.
We haven't yet re-tested the top of that channel.
A re-test doesn't always occur, but if it does a re-test at 25-26k is easily still bullish and remains above both pattern breaks.
There's also the possibility of a pullback below the inverted HS that still remains above the channel if a re-test occurs but gets dragged out for weeks. A prolonged re-test could pullback below the inverted HS, yet remain above the parallel channel, going as low as 22-23k or even lower (below 20k) if it is prolonged further.
BTC new Elliot Wave 1 thru 5 market has started!I have recently published an idea that we could be in wave B of a ABC correction, where the C wave would have a very violent downtrend, anywhere from 11k to 3k for BTC final wave. But looking closer at the charts and going back to the books, it has come to my attention that, a B wave on a ABC pattern, can too go above the wave A initial, or top of wave 5! To recognize a wave C we need to look for that 1,2,3,4,5 down pattern. That is exactly what we had with something that began looking like a double top, but it was actually correction waves A and B. So after wave B went above the prior top, wave C had a 1 thru 5 pattern. I do believe we are now part of wave 3 minor, of this major wave 1 in a new bull cycle! My opinion is that if we get a extended 1.618 wave 3 to 75k, we will get a reverse wave 4, that its measure could indicate what the final BTC top. By measuring wave 4 retrace, and having a target of -1.236 or -1.618.
Please feel free to share your own opinion. Thank you
DXY May Signal Next Crash Across Stock and Crypto MarketsWithin the four panels above are comparisons of major US market and the international Bitcoin indices with the US Dollar Index, $TVC:DXY. From top left to right:
TVC:DJI
SP:SPX
NASDAQ:NDX
BNC:BLX
As we can plainly see, each one acts a a near mirror image going back to 2017.
When looking at correlation via an indicator, like Correlation Coefficient, we would see regular swings from negative to positive on various timeframes and settings.
Yet, when viewing both indices over the years as shown above, there are several observations:
it becomes clear that there is a macro negative correlation between the dollar index and these major stock and crypto indices.
There is also a consistent tendency for both to correct and eventually meet near the middle and/or see a crossover to the other side.
Strong opposing reactions occur between these valleys of one meet or cross with peaks of the other (meeting in the middle or crossing), and when peaks of one drift furthest apart from valleys of the other.
DXY often reaches local highs or lows prior to these market indices reaching lows or highs, or vice versa. One can act to forward indicate the direction of the other.
It's certainly possible that any of these markets could instead signal DXY's next move, or even move together at the same time with it (both of which have occurred before and even in cases on the chart above).
However, there has been a pattern since 2017 of DXY making local highs or lows prior to the indices above making their local lows or highs, at least when leading up to major spikes in DXY and crashes in markets, bringing them nearer to the middle.
Should DXY move up and back above 105-106 and then 112, and continue, it may signal the end of these recoveries we've been seeing over the last year, and could point to crashes across markets.
My present theory is that we may see something like double-tops with slightly higher or slightly lower highs, across many of these markets, and as DXY ranges between 101-106. This, leading to a breakout of that range and a move back above 112.
Should DXY turn down hard instead, we may see extended recoveries and new ATHs until it bounces again off monthly support and heads back up.
Many of the stock indices shown above are already near double-tops with potentially a bit more room to run up. Bitcoin hasn't yet caught up and has a lower weekly RSI, so it may be the last one to make a strong recovery before we see a downturn.
*** related ideas linked in the related ideas section ****
Thank you for reading!
-dudebruh :)
BITCOIN - Clarification of the Expected Moves Ahead...In my previous video, I initiated the initial stages of planning for some upcoming trades using AriasWave, which allows me to anticipate market movements at specific junctures. Now that we've analyzed the intricacies of this extensive zig-zag pattern, I'm able to present a variety of trade ideas for the upcoming moves. Rather than overwhelming you with ideas that may not align with our objectives, I've patiently awaited the right signals that indicate we now have a solid foundation to work from. I'm just beginning to explore these new concepts for this very reason. If my assessment of our current position is accurate, these trades should be relatively straightforward to execute. It's time to put these ideas into actionable trading opportunities, and the results will speak for themselves.
Next bull market starts by March 2023Hi fellow cryptopians and crypto enthusiasts. I am going to make a fairly bold claim here today.
First off we have a bitcoin hash ribbon buy signal quickly approaching us (within two weeks) which could pump us to 50k. If this does happen it should be followed by a correction that gets boring for 4 to 5 months and should spark the new bull run by march 2023 the latest.
This analysis should not be taken as financial advice as it's just for fun but lets follow and see where it leads.
Having said all that I do believe the bottom is in and we are a very strong accumulation until march or mid next year.
*
Patience is key to success*