BITCOIN - Long Idea Trade Update - Let's Talk About It...In this video, I break down the current trade setup and explain how every wave fits into a larger, predictable structure. If you don’t understand where we are within that structure, you won’t be able to take advantage of the waves ahead.
Now is the perfect time to learn AriasWave, and I’m offering it for free when you sign up with Phemex—visit my website for details. Understanding these patterns is crucial because it will benefit you in the long run. It doesn’t matter which crypto exchange you use if you keep losing money. The goal is to trade independently without relying on anyone else.
Right now, we’re on the verge of massive gains, so get ready to see it unfold. You can either capitalize on these opportunities or simply watch the moves happen—it's your choice. Don't miss out on learning how these markets work and making the most of them!
BLX
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - We have Wave 3 Confirmation...We have had confirmation of Wave 3 In Progress.
I will be initially looking to target the .786 retracement back to the highs.
Check out the related videos down below for the full coverage of this trade.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Target $102,886
Stop: $81,274
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea Update - We Could See One More Low...In this video, I discuss why Bitcoin may still make another low before the Wave 2 correction is fully complete.
Upon closer examination of Wave iv in the previous Wave 5 correction, it appears the level where Wave iv ended was slightly miscalculated.
Technically, Bitcoin should have dipped below the perceived low, but either its strength has prevented this, or the ongoing correction is nearing completion.
The key level to watch is $82,445—if Bitcoin breaks above this, we should continue higher.
However, it’s more likely that we first dip below $81,274 before experiencing a strong upward move.
Pay close attention when Bitcoin makes another low, as the reversal could be sharp, potentially piercing through $82,445, which would confirm the trend shift.
If we make a new low then I would suggest price would turn back up after tagging $81,071.
BITCOIN - Wave 3 of Wave C In Progress - Wave 2 Breakdown...In this video, I break down why I posted the earlier chart (linked below).
After studying this pattern for hours, I finally decoded the Wave 2 correction for Wave C—just in time to take a long trade at support.
A solid protective stop is around $81,274, while a break above $82,759 offers partial confirmation.
The key confirmation level, however, is $88,788. Since that’s still quite far, AriasWave allows for early entries if the analysis proves accurate. Given the large 1-2 formation, I anticipate price moving close to all-time highs, but I’ll keep you updated along the way.
BITCOIN - Wave C In Progress - Wave 2 Ended At 81,274...According to the latest count, Wave 2 of Wave C appears to have completed at the recent lows. I’ll be posting a video soon to explain my analysis.
From here, we should see a steady price increase.
There's no target yet—we need a confirmed break above 88,788 for more certainty—but this count offers an opportunity to enter near the lows for those willing to take the trade.
Stay tuned for the video!
BITCOIN - Small Long Trade Within Wave iii Zig-Zag...In this video, I break down a straightforward long trade based on an internal corrective zig-zag pattern.
This setup demonstrates how to capitalize on short-term trades with a solid risk-reward ratio, securing profits before looking for a re-entry opportunity.
The trade aligns with the anticipation of Bitcoin approaching its recent highs, potentially forming a double top. Currently, the trade has a protective stop at $83,169 and a target of $89,176.
BITCOIN - The Bearish Scenario - Sign's of a Possible Top...In this video, I explore the possibility that Bitcoin may have already hit a temporary peak.
My perspective comes from initially building a bullish case—only to uncover subtle flaws that I chose to set aside.
But as I meticulously documented my observations, those cracks in the bullish argument became impossible to ignore. When I switched to a bearish wave count, some thing began to align, shedding light on areas of the chart that previously seemed uncertain.
These market waves are intricate, requiring patience and a fresh perspective to decipher where we truly stand in the broader pattern.
Only after stepping back and allowing time for meaningful price action does the picture start to come into focus.
I also touch on Ethereum's pattern and the Dow Jones.
BITCOIN - Key Buying Area 74K - 76K Range At Wave iv Low...In this video, I break down a potential scenario that could initiate a major surge in Wave v of Wave 5.
If this is the final move, it should be strong—possibly even sharper than Wave iii.
I outline the key buying zone, which represents the lowest point price may reach before reversing into a powerful impulsive move.
My plan is to go long within the $74K–$76K range, adding to the position as momentum builds.
Ideally, I’m targeting $120K, as it aligns with the length of Wave iii.
Based on my analysis, the low for Wave iv is likely around March 31st, with $73,880 acting as key support. Stay tuned for more updates!
BITCOIN - Wave Count Update For Long Trade Idea...A slight shift in the overall interpretation of this structure.
We're still watching for a break above 93K for confirmation, but for those who trade with leverage, this analysis could provide an edge.
If it plays out as expected, we may see a fairly tight stop.
A decisive move higher is needed soon to confidently validate this setup.
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Possible Move Higher Incoming...This video follows up on the chart I posted last night, where I suggested that Bitcoin could break past its all-time highs and potentially double in value from its current levels.
This analysis is based on the AriasWave methodology, which offers a clearer perspective compared to the often-confusing Elliott Wave approach.
Check out the related idea below for the original chart, and in this video, I update that analysis with key levels to watch and potential risks to consider.
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Last Chance For A Big Move Higher...I see a potential scenario where Bitcoin could move higher in Wave iii of Wave 5. If this pattern holds, Wave 5 would extend. For confirmation, we need to see the price break above 93K. However, if Wave ii ended at 76,642, there’s a chance we’re witnessing a 1-2, 1-2 setup that could push through this level. A strong follow-through would open the door for a move to at least 130K, equal to the length of Wave i, or possibly a 1.618 extension to 162K—roughly doubling from current levels.
Despite the broader bearish sentiment, this setup can't be ignored, as our priority is profit. If the price confirms, I’ll post a video update soon. Key support stands at 79,959, with critical support at 76,642.
MicroStrategy - Wave D Since 2002 Just Completed...AriasWave analysis indicates that MicroStrategy, now known as Strategy, is poised for a sharp decline reminiscent of the Dot-Com Bust era.
The anticipated drop in Wave E is expected to coincide with a significant downturn in broader indexes and cryptocurrencies.
Additionally, my latest Bitcoin analysis, set to be released later this week, suggests that Bitcoin has finally peaked, and a price collapse is only a matter of time.
BITCOIN - Long Trade Idea - Entry Confirmed with a Tight Stop...In this video, I walk you through a recount using AriasWave and explain how we can set up a strong trade entry with a tight stop.
The key support level for this trade is at 86,022—if the price drops below this, the trade idea would no longer be valid.
We've already received confirmation with a break above 86,500. Stay tuned for updates, as I’ll provide further insights if the price moves above 95,065, confirming the larger pattern.
BITCOIN - Pattern Suggests The Start Of Another Move Higher...In this video, I go over a long trade I entered this morning, indicating that another upward move is likely.
I break down the corrective waves and explain how they led me to this conclusion.
Regardless of the specific wave we're currently in, the corrective pattern suggests the next move will begin soon from these levels.
The key support level for this trade is $87,823. While I don't have a specific target yet, the price could potentially reach $150K.
BTC has one more leg upBitcoin is currently range-bound and hasn't broken above resistance. In the coming months, be ready for a move higher towards 125-150k. This is the level I'm predicting to be cycle top.
Cyclical analysis tells us this should occur around fall-winter of 2025. I'll be updating this chart as we near cycle top. For now, this is a potential re-entry point <100k
The next bear market will be steeper than most people think in my opinion.
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm,
this was initially a private post,
but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people.
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interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history.
monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math.
and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of.
the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born.
most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early,
watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind.
we will not.
🌙
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tp - 753k
BITCOIN - MEGA BUBBLE ALERT - The Top Is Very Close Now...Bitcoin and many other markets seem to be approaching the end of a significant cycle, signaling the conclusion of what may be the largest bubble in modern history.
In this video, I share my latest analysis using the AriasWave methodology to explain why I believe this trend, which began in 2008, is finally nearing its completion.
While it’s speculative, I estimate that we could be approaching the final peak by March. The increasingly weaker and more complex structure of this move suggests to me that it’s a fragile impulsive wave, indicating an impending reversal.
Just a quick reminder: AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave. I developed AriasWave over an 8-year period with the goal of achieving a more accurate understanding of wave analysis, leveraging modern technology to refine the process.
If you would like to learn more, visit the website.
path to 100kgm,
as we continue to consolidate and fear begins to rise, it becomes blatantly clear to me as to what is truly going on.
we're clearly in a fourth wave.
fourth waves are notorious for creating fear, uncertainty, and doubt. they make you question weather the trend is truly over, they bore you with sideways price action which makes you hand over your hard earned coin to the one who is re-accumulating, in preparation for the next mark-up phase.
the person who is accumulating will buy everything you have to sell, 1:1. not a penny more.
whenever you run out of coin to sell, the accumulator will begin the mark-up phase, and you will likely begin to fomo back into the market after awhile, which will cause an aggressive \ parabolic push up.
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this is a time for accumulation,
not for capitulation.
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w5 target = 100k
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🌙
bitcoin hits 749k into 2025.gm,
in previous cycles, the duration from cycle low to cycle high has typically been roughly 1,000–1,100 days. currently, we are 742 days in, which suggests we still have about a year until the "expected top." this projected top also aligns with the global liquidity index in q4 of 2025.
the way i interpret this current structure is straightforward:
from the november 2022 low to the march 2024 high, the price action visually resembles five waves up. this is followed by a clean three-wave correction into august of 2024.
from the low in august of 2024, bitcoin appears to have formed a clean five-wave impulse to the upside and is now approaching a top. in theory, once this top is established, we should expect a three-wave corrective move to backtest the previous support. this support corresponds to the 2021/2024 highs and the previous accumulation zone.
hypothetically, backtesting the prior supply zone would likely liquidate many late long positions, providing a full sentiment reset. this reset could allow bitcoin to rebound with significant force, potentially reaching unprecedented levels.
my estimated upside target for q4 2025 is approximately $749,000.
✌️
ps. in my last bullish trade, i pulled at 9,000% trade on btc... and 42 alt trades, some of which ran as high as 22,000%.
view last bull post here:
BITCOIN BLX 1 Month Now, the Monthly chart is nothing to F with!
Take a look at the RSI with it at the bottom by the blue line, every time it was down there the next move up was a Bull run.
The Stochastic RSi is already curling up with the mouth opening about to gasp some air as it heads to the up side. Can we see continuation? KKEP AN EYE ON THIS!
A lot point to a Run to the upside is near, don't sleep on this.
CPI numbers tomorrow morning will cause Volatility, be ready. 8:30 am ET/ 5:30AM PT <---
Good Luck Out There!
$btc Weekly Analysis Historically, price between these green lower level consolidation is a low risk buy for long term hodlers. But as you can clearly see, bitcoin is heading for lower and lower volatility until one day the trend breaks.
If you scroll right you can see the bull band and bear band come to a point.... what will happen then God only knows. If lower band breaks and we retouch the previous resistance at 7k, obviously my statement is void because my trend lines are broke.
Also the whole c0vid-crash is so weird to me, was it a red herring, does the support price achieved (around) 3/18/20 still hold value even though it could be a 'red herring'? I say absolutely it matters and we should incorporate that support price in our charting and calculations.
DISCLAIMER======= ' [ ]
My Log regression is not calculated with anything but the curve tool, please take it with a grain of salt, if i have any algebra friends with knowledge of logarithmic regression please feel free to reach out as your input would be greatly appreciated.