Trade Idea for Bifrost (BNC) - Accumulation StrategyBifrost (BNC) is currently priced around $0.44, reflecting a modest weekly gain of 2.3%. The cryptocurrency has a market cap of approximately $17.2 million and a 24-hour trading volume of $235,526.66. It operates on the Polkadot network and offers unique decentralized finance (DeFi) features through its vTokens, which provide liquidity and staking benefits without the usual lock-up periods associated with staking.
Consider entering at the current price of approximately $0.44. This price is near the 24-hour low, offering a potential rebound point while maintaining exposure to any positive market shifts.
If the price dips further, plan to accumulate more BNC. Consider buying additional BNC at every $0.05 decrease from your initial entry point. This approach allows you to lower your average cost in a controlled manner while capitalizing on price corrections.
Target Price for Scaling Profits: Aim for gradual exits starting at $0.65, a modest but realistic short-term appreciation target. Incrementally increase sell targets by $0.25 as the price climbs, adapting to market conditions and Bifrost’s performance within the DeFi sector.
Bifrost's involvement in the DeFi space and its integration with the Polkadot ecosystem provide a strong foundation for potential growth. Its technology that facilitates liquidity for staked assets could see increased demand as the DeFi sector evolves.
This strategy assumes a higher risk tolerance, as it does not employ a stop loss. This is suitable for investors who are able to withstand potential downturns and have a longer-term perspective on their investment in Bifrost.
The strategy is based on Bifrost’s stable position in the market and its promising technology in the DeFi space. With a market cap ranking of #914 and significant room to grow from its all-time high, BNC presents a viable long-term hold with accumulating buy-ins to leverage price volatility for better averages.
This trade idea is based on the latest market data and Bifrost’s current technological and market standing. Investors should perform their due diligence and consider their financial situation and risk appetite before engaging in the cryptocurrency market. This information is not financial advice
BNC
Bitcoin $73,609 By 25th MAR 2024 Big Bear + Big Bull.
I see the pattern do you?
Big Bear + Big Bull
Small Bear + Small Bull
Big Bear + ( most likely if history does not change big Bull).
Its only when you're halfway through the bull market does the sentiment actually shift and people start to become bullish and the leverage starts.
My guess as I'm also putting money on this is we should see around 73K before the "Bullish people start to get the sign.
$140,000 Halving Price? Bitcoin Traders Should Be Asking Who.
Have to count in the possible event of a straight vertical bitcoin price soon.
1.Extreme Fear on Bitcoin & SPX?
2. Retail is not buying (less and less money)?
There's someone with capital holding the bid at 24.5k-27k relentless purchasing at a slowed pace so when ever retail or "weak hands" are selling the spot BTC price gets held at 26k
MSTR continues to purchase billions and my guess is Blackrock & Fidelity + 10 other firms are allocating right now too.
Using previous S2F movement Bitcoin taps or hits the bottom range of the S2F meaning if this is correct Bitcoin should be near $140,000 by the halving meaning there's a $114,000 discount.
x ≈ 4.3846
My biggest theory on this "conspiracy if you must" is its almost like Gary Gensler is delaying giving institutions time to allocate Bitcoin this would be plausible and believable if Gary Gensler had private convos that he wants US Institutions to own majority Bitcoin BEFORE approving a global ETF.
Rates are paused like I expected due to the Japan situation now how does retail get cheap capital? QE + Stimulus I suspect a QE to be coming in Q1/Q2 2024 meaning institutions know this and won't let retail capitalize from Bitcoin "Or leave it till 2024 before a major move"
Bitcoin is the most coiled up I have ever seen it coming from 2014.
So the final question is does the extreme volatility go up or down? would institutions be purchasing now if they thought it was down? my guess is a strong no.
Remember people today are "Extremely bearish" after Bitcoin has had a -79% correction, not sure where they were for 2021-2023.
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MVRV Z-Score is a bitcoin chart that uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where Bitcoin is extremely over or undervalued relative to its 'fair value'.
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Human Psychology Never Changes. Impossible right?
The one thing i love about market cycles & historic charts is that you can pull up charts from 1900s and 2000s and you see the same fear & greed patterns forming.
Always the greed forming from strong positions and fear from weak positions.
All I see online is
"bearish" "stock collapse"
"housing collapse"
"Bitcoin collapse (10K) (lol)"
"Student debt crisis"
When in reality,
1.Liquidity in the trillions is on the sideline.
2.FRED has paused rate hikes (as I expected they cannot afford the debt)
3.Inflation (for now) has been cut off
4.QE / YCC is almost needed to control bond yields + stimulate GDP growth to avoid mass unemployment
5.Bitcoin is a few months away from a Spot ETF approval.
This has to be the most bullish setup I have actually ever seen for high growth assets, timing on the other hand. . you can clearly see mature assets go longer in the period of "depression".
THE only option for the FRED is to start QE to drop the DXY bailing out Japan that's buying their bonds (JPY currently collapsing).
Now the main question is the future is looking like the FRED will slowly drop rates "SLOWLY" meaning realestate is going to become a dead market it won't collapse but its growth is now capped.
Meaning all this stuck capital $47 trillion in US real estate alone is dead money.
The FRED will make the choice to allow risk assets and stocks to fly, capping the real-estate growth cutting off inflation from the "housing side".
People are going to wake up one day towards the end of 2023 with a Bitcoin price at $90,000 on CNBC and that's then the real FOMO is going to kick in.
Only thing bears have going for them is China invading Taiwan leading to an all out NATO / EUASIA conflict, lets see how this year ends.
youtu.be
Bitcoin Ignition - 7x Spot ETF + Repeating Fractals 12/16/23
SEC has left us with a spot ETF delay for Cathie Wood's fund, but as most are unexperienced this is actually a good thing and ill explain why.
1.ETF
Blackrock & Fidelity complained to the SEC that approving one fund at a time could and will lead to market manipulation and to an extent they're correct even though its not fair and the other funds just want to get into the action to reap rewards.
This means the SEC will be looking to approve majority of the spot ETFs together on one date and seeing how the next deadline is between 9/1 - 9/2 next month I expect the decisions to be made end of the week on a Friday.
ETF Details
iShares Bitcoin Trust (Blackrock) 1st Deadline 9/2/23
Bitwise Bitcoin ETP Trust (Bitwise) 1st Deadline 9/1/23
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (VanEck) 1st Deadline 9/2/23
Wisdomtree Bitcoin Trust (Wisdomtree) 1st Deadline 9/2/23
Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (Invesco & Galaxy) 1st Deadline 9/2/23
Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust (Fidelity) 1st Deadline 9/2/23
Valkyrie Bitcoin Fund (Valkyrie) 1st Deadline 9/4/23
I still strongly believe this will be the biggest spot ETF launch & biggest inflow in history of financial markets that will make news globally and hyper speed the potential cycle. And people are wondering why the SEC is taking their time making sure they do not screw up the regulation.
2. Enough time
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In 2015
"910d" days peak to major trend breakout, "616d" if you count the first breakdown
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In 2022
"910d" we are here again with the major trend being tested, this time "434d" if you count the breakout to come within the next months
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LMACD crossing the neutral moving average confirms momentum turning extremely bullish
7x Spot ETF's will eventually be launched at the same time latest by early next year
4W TSI about to make a cross point to low time frame momentum picking up
(Red Line) Major trend line is being pressed up against like in 12/16 now 23
The Finale always appears once people did not pay attention and take positions during this time.
Time Is Running Out - Bitcoin MACRO Triangle - BBW COIL
Is it fate or bad luck 2015 Bitfinex liquidity crisis simulated the 2020 liquidity crisis at similar moments on a macro scale?
Zooming out on a large time frame the BBW has never been this coiled up since (2016)
This movement has to break, and Bitcoin has a nice way of making a smaller triangle within the larger Macro Triangle.
Pretty interesting to see how the worst liquidity crisis 2x did not break bitcoins trend, + the biggest leverage (blow out) to the upside with FTX / 3AC also did not break the trend.
Time is short for whatever happens, always seems like forever in the moment.
BTC (Vortex Indicator) + SOPR 4W Great Indicator
When using the Vi with the The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) dividing the realized value (in USD) divided by the value at creation (USD) of a spent output, you get a great trend reading once Bitcoin starts diverging into new trends.
Vi alone is not the best to find market tops but when used with the SOPR we can see once the SOPR passes the 50 mark it confirms the bull market is in early stages
(where we have been for months)
When the SOPR reaches velocities near 75-80 and the Vi gap starts to revert would make sense to take defensive positions / positions from early positions.
Found this recently and will definitely be used to indicate the next peak.
The work has to be done in early stages of the market like aways regardless if its stocks & or Bitcoin, once multiple strong indicators start getting triggered you go defensive, most plan for this during the peak period and fail to accept end.
Why Institutions Want Your Bitcoin - ETF Explained | TRADFI VER
I don't see much talk about what's really going on behind the scenes with Bitcoin and why the Spot ETF Rush suddenly all happen by multiple parties at the same time.
Bitcoiner people never get the real opportunity to step into the real world of how institutions function, behind all the "rigged" arguments they win by staying ahead of the curve and making decisions before majority understand what is happening.
1. Interest rates have failed to contain CPI growth sending it almost vertical (this is really bad).
2. A09 Federal government current expenditures: Interest payments parabolic (this is really bad).
3. Money Market Funds sitting at 5.6T indicating lost of trust in this system has started (extremely bad).
4. FRED is using a false inflation indicator to prevent panic (internal foundation problem bad).
5. SPX is being sent higher due to heavy short interest + the false lower inflation that will send CPI higher.
6. SPY/USM2 debasement sitting on a bigger bubble developing.
Conclusion -
The FRED USD system is borderline about to blow up and institutions knows this and HWNI investors wanting protection.
FRED can no longer raise rates without causing the interest debt death spiral to go faster + any BTFP / QE for failed sectors, they cannot lower rates without causing cheaper credit sending the CPI parabolic.
Bitcoin in reality is the only viable option that can be utilized in the smallest period of time, futures Bitcoin ETF's established as needed to purchase future Spot Bitcoin for the Spot ETF.
I can already sense Bitcoin being used as a real price indicator of real world value, critics will be silenced, embarrassed, "tradfi" economist that I have had to listen to for the last decade will go down with the system on why Bitcoin caused this and not recognizing it as an antidote.
When Bitcoin teleports to $500,000 in a matter of 12 months keep records, news articles, magazines, will be more valuable than any NFT and will make a great story.
i.ibb.co (Treasury Historic & current policy projections for debt)
#BNCUSD - Drops are Coming, But How Far?230% profit on that last Long trade. That's ok 😁.
We're now in a position whereby support on the underside will be spread thin and weak, there'll be several layers of support but none should too strong for the price to fall through by at least 40% or more.
This would take us to levels of consolidation seen previously, but in reality the price could drop considerably further!
If you enjoyed or agree with this idea - drop us a comment, like & follow! 😀
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BNCUSD - A few Wicks Attempted a breakout, Now We've got One!Looking back on BNC to the start of December we can it started pushing bullishly upward against the descending channel it's been ranging in for the best part of 2022. This came after a significant bounce off the lower edge of the channel.
You see that huge green candle that's formed today? Well, we got a nice Buy signal from Crypto Tipster yesterday, indicating something big was about to happen, and it sure did!
We're already showing gains of more than 70% on this one, IN ONE DAY!
Keep your eyes on this, it's most certainly one to watch.
Bitcoin global trend analysis (up to $100k during 2021)Just some aggregation of Fundamentals and Technicals:
1) Fundamentals:
- Market stages - Bull Market, Bear Market, Consolidation+Reconsolidation
- Halvings and it's impact to launch of new bull market
- Growth drivers at every timeframe (who drives the bull run). Current cycle "tothemoon" fuel should be institutional investors and banks
2) Technicals:
- Trend analysis based on logarithmic curve from the earlist accessible data
- Strong trend logrific support and resistance zones
- Comparison of LOWs-HIGHs regression with time
All these factors together lead to a forecast of $62500 (the most pessimistic scenario) - $80 000(the most realistic scenario) - $100 000 (the most optimistic) during IV quarter 2020 - IV quarter 2021 depending on accuracy of the calculations, behaviour of next year price movement scenario and of course, most of all, fundamental factors which should effect the price.
Some overhigh up to $300 000k (which in normal conditions should be next bull market possible peak) is also possible but something fundamentally big should happen.
Is Bitcoin still parabolic? Projections to consider.With most bear cycle models showing that Bitcoin is approaching a bottom, it is useful to go back to its original growth pattern. The parabolic curve that has delivered High after High over this decade long time span.
Based on that parabolic pattern we have identified 4 possible growth scenarios leading to the next All Time High using duration and % increase parameters of each cycle.
Scenario (A): High around 53,300. Follows the 2012/2013 Bull Cycle.
This projection suggests that the candle sequence will follow 2012/2013 bullish pattern. High to High measurement 882 days. High estimated for May 2020.
Scenario (B): High around 58,700. Follows the 2015/2017 Bull Cycle.
This projection suggests that the candle sequence will follow 2015/2017 bullish pattern. High to High measurement 1492 days. High estimated for January 2022.
Scenario (C): High around 126,300.
This projection assumes that the High to High sequence increases by +20 bars from the previous one. The June 2011 - November 2013 High to High sequence is measured at 29 bars. The November 2013 - December 2017 is measured at 49 bars. If the next High to High sequence follows this +20 bar pattern then the measurement will be at 69 bars i.e. 2100 days. High estimated for September 2023.
Scenario (D): High around 158,000.
This projection assumes that the High to High sequence increases by +68.96% from the previous one. The June 2011 - November 2013 High to High sequence is measured at 29 bars. The November 2013 - December 2017 is measured at 49 bars, +68.96% of the 29 bars of the previous sequence. If the next High to High sequence follows this +68.96% pattern then the measurement will be at 82 bars i.e. 2496 days. High estimated for October 2024.
Based on a parameter similarity score, the Scenario that appears to be most probable is (B) as its High to High and Low to High measurements are identical to the cycle it immitates.
If you seek more insight on cycle comparisons and projections, see below how we have compared the current Bear Cycle to the 2014/2015 and 2011/2012.
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