USD/CAD slips after BoC rate hikeThe Canadian dollar has posted strong gains in Wednesday's North American session. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3146, down 0.63%. On the economic calendar, it has been a busy day, with the Bank of Canada raising interest rates and US inflation falling lower than expected.
The Bank of Canada raised rates by 0.25% on Wednesday, bringing the cash rate to 5.0%. The BoC has delivered 475 basis points in hikes since March 2022 and the aggressive tightening has sent inflation lower. Still, the BoC's rate statement noted that it remains concerned that progress towards the 2% target could stall and that it does not expect to hit the target before mid-2025. This can be considered a hawkish hike and the Canadian dollar has responded with strong gains on Wednesday.
Wednesday's US inflation report should please the Federal Reserve, which has circled high inflation has enemy number one. The June release showed headline inflation falling to 3.0%, down from 4.0% in May. This beat the consensus estimate of 3.1% and was the lowest level since March 2021. Even more importantly, the core rate fell from 5.3% to 4.8%, below the consensus estimate of 5.0%. On a monthly basis, both the headline and core rate came in at 0.2%, below the consensus estimate.
The inflation release was excellent news, but isn't expected to change the Fed's plans to raise rates at the July 27th meeting. The inflation data didn't change market pricing for the July meeting (92% chance of a hike), but did raise the chances of a September hike from 72% prior to the inflation release to 80% after the release.
Although the jobs report on Friday showed nonfarm payrolls declining considerably, wage growth was higher than expected and likely convinced the Fed to raise rates at the July meeting before taking a pause.
There is resistance at 1.3191 and 1.3289
1.3105 and 1.3049 are providing support
BOC
USD/CAD pares gains, Canadian inflation easesThe Canadian dollar is flat on Friday, trading at 1.3258 in the European session.
Canada releases GDP for May later on Friday. The consensus stands at 0.2% m/m, which translates into 2.4% annualized, a respectable gain. If the GDP report beats the consensus, the Canadian dollar could post gains.
Canada's economy showed strength in the first quarter, with a gain of 3.1%. This was higher than expected and was one reason cited by the Bank of Canada in its surprise decision to raise rates earlier this month. I would expect that GDP growth will again be a key factor when the BoC makes its rate decision at the July 12th meeting.
The BoC, like most other major central banks, has aggressively tackled high inflation by raising interest rates. The policy appears to be working, as headline inflation eased to 3.4% in May, down sharply from 4.4% in April. The core rate, which is comprised of three indicators, fell to an average of 3.8% in May, down from 4.2% a month earlier. The drop in inflation is certainly welcome news for the central bank, but the key question is whether inflation is falling fast enough for BoC policy makers.
A third factor in the BoC's decision-making process will be employment. Canada's labour market has shown strong resilience in the face of rising interest rates, although the economy shed jobs in May, after eight straight months of gains. Another decline in new jobs could dampen the Bank's appetite for a rate hike in July.
The US is coming off solid GDP and jobless claims data on Thursday and all eyes are on the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's favourite inflation gauge. The index is expected to remain at 4.7% y/y, which would mean that inflation remains uncomfortably high compared to the target of 2%. We'll also get a look at UoM Consumer Sentiment, which is expected to rise to 63.9 in June, up from 59.2 in May.
USD/CAD is putting pressure on resistance at 1.3254. Next, there is resistance at 1.3328
1.3175 and 1.3066 are providing support
USD/CAD pares gains, Canadian inflation easesThe Canadian dollar spiked and gained 50 points after Canada released the May inflation report but has pared these gains. USD/CAD is unchanged at 1.3158.
Canada's inflation rate fell sharply in May to 3.4%, down from 4.4% in April. As expected, much of that decline was due to lower gasoline prices. Still, this is the lowest inflation rate since June 2021.The core rate, which is comprised of three indicators, fell to an average of 3.8% in May, down from 4.2% a month earlier.
The decline should please policy makers at the Bank of Canada, as inflation slowly but surely moves closer to the 2% target. The BoC cited the surprise upswing in inflation in April as one reason for its decision to hike rates earlier this month. With headline and core inflation falling in May, will that be enough to prevent another rate increase in July? Not so fast. The BoC has said its rate decisions will be data-dependent, and there is the GDP on Friday and employment next week, both of which will factor in the rate decision.
The US released a host of releases today, giving the markets plenty to digest. Durable Goods Orders jumped 1.7% in June, up from an upwardly revised 1.2% in May and crushing the consensus of -1%. The core rate rebounded with a 0.6% gain, up from -0.6% and above the consensus of -0.1%. Later today, the US publishes the Conference Board Consumer Confidence and New Home Sales.
Wednesday is a light day on the data calendar, with the Fed will in the spotlight. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will participate in a "policy panel" at the ECB Banking Forum in Sintra, Portugal, and investors will be looking for some insights into Fed rate policy. As well, the Fed releases its annual "stress tests" for major lenders, which assess the ability of lenders to survive a severe economic crisis. The stress tests will attract more attention than in previous years, due to the recent banking crisis which saw Silicon Valley Bank and two other banks collapse.
There is resistance at 1.3197 and 1.3254
1.3123 and 1.3066 are providing support
USD/CAD- Canadian dollar extends gains despite weak job dataThe Canadian dollar continues to rally. USD/CAD is trading at 1.3328 in the North American session, down 0.22% on the day.
The week wrapped up with Canada's May employment report, which usually is released at the same time as the US job data, but had the spotlight to itself today. The data was a disappointment. Canada's economy shed 17,300 jobs, all of which were full-time positions. This followed an increase of 41,400 in April and missed the consensus of a gain of 23,200. The unemployment rate rose from 5.0% to 5.2%, the first rise since August 2022.
The weak job numbers could signal softness in the labour market, which would have major ramifications for the Bank of Canada's rate path. The Canadian dollar lost 40 points in the aftermath of the release but quickly recovered these losses. We could see more movement from USD/CAD on Monday as the markets digest these numbers.
The US labour market has shown resilience, as we saw last week with a red-hot nonfarm payroll report. Still, some cracks have appeared, such as the jump in the unemployment rate and a low participation rate. The markets are looking for signs that the labour market is cooling off and jumped all over unemployment claims, which surprised on the upside at 261,000, up from 233,000 a week earlier.
A spike in one weekly report isn't all that significant, but the timing of the release close to the Fed meeting may make a Fed pause more likely, and that has sent the US dollar lower against its major rivals.
Central banks continue to wrestle with high inflation, which has remained stubbornly high despite aggressive rate tightening. This week alone, the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada raised rates by 0.25%, surprising the markets which had expected a pause.
The BoC has made clear that its "conditional pause" stance would be data-dependent and perhaps the markets should have paid more attention to the uptick in April inflation and strong GDP growth in the first quarter. The BoC highlighted both of these indicators in its rate statement as factors in its decision to hike rates, and the central bank will be keeping a close eye on economic growth and inflation ahead of the July meeting.
USD/CAD is testing support at 1.3339. Below, there is support at 1.3250
1.3496 and 1.3585 are the next resistance lines
Bullflag resting on band with tight invalidationPretty simple play here. USDCAD tightly coiling up since Sept 2022. Higher lows. Looks like it wants to explode, even a surprise rate hike by the Bank of Canada wasn't enough to sweep the lows. Tight invalidation. US trudging ahead with rate hikes while the market is in disbelief and calling J Powell's bluff. But he's not bluffing. Canada has the bubbliest mortgage market on the planet. They won't be able to follow the US fed lest they ruin a generation of boomers' home equity and retirement.
CAD is clown currency. USD is King.
1.45 first target
Canadian dollar calm ahead of BoC rate announcementThe Canadian dollar is unchanged, trading at 1.3400 in the North American session.
The Bank of Canada meets later today, and the money markets are expecting another pause, which would leave the benchmark rate at 4.5%. The BoC's rate-tightening cycle has been on a "conditional pause", which is another way of saying that rate decisions are data-dependent, especially on inflation and employment reports.
The Bank has kept rates on hold since March and is expected to follow suit today, but there have been signals that the rate-hike cycle may not be over. First, April inflation report surprised on the upside after it ticked upwards to 4.4%, up from 4.3% annually, and rose from 0.3% to 0.7% month-to-month. The upswing will be of concern to BoC policy makers, as the central bank is intent on wrestling inflation back to the 2% target.
The second concern is GDP, which hit 3.1% y/y in the first quarter, beating the BoC's forecast of 2.3% growth. Consumer spending has been stronger than anticipated, as many households have sizeable savings from the pandemic which they are spending now that the economy has reopened. BoC policy makers are concerned about the rise in inflation and GDP, and we could see hints about future rate hikes even if the Bank opts to pause at today's meeting.
The Fed meets next week and with a blackout period in place on Fed public engagements, the markets are hunting for clues. Market pricing has been on a roller-coaster as divisions within the Fed over rate policy have made it difficult to determine what the Fed has planned. Currently, the markets are predicting a 78% chance of a pause, which would mark the first hold in rates after 10 straight rate increases.
1.3375 is a weak support line, followed by 1.3250
1.3496 and 1.3585 are the next resistance lines
Bank of Canada Interest Rate DecisionThe USDCAD traded lower, since the start of June, reversing from the 1.3650 price level, now hovering along the 1.34 price level.
Over the last couple of days, the USDCAD had been in a narrow downward range.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) is due to announce its interest rate decision. With the current rates at 4.50%, there has been speculation that a surprise rate hike could be decided (similar to what happened with the RBA and the AUDUSD).
However, I think that the data might not support such a surprise, with the BoC likely to maintain its current interest rate level.
This is likely to cause the USDCAD to trade higher, from this current area of 1.34 toward the immediate resistance level of 1.35.
Looking at USD/CAD ahead of BOC rate decisionDisclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
USDCAD Potential Forecast | 7th June 2023 Fundamental Backdrop
BOC monetary policy statement today, expected to maintain.
Potential bearish pressure coming into USDCAD if BOC hikes.
Technical Confluences
Near term resistance level at 1.36374.
Near term support level 1.33166.
Idea
We believe that the BOC will maintain interest rates and this will solidify the notion that USDCAD will remain in a range-bound market.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER
The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas.
We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades.
Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks.
OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
AUDCAD LongsI'm liking AUDCAD longs for a few reasons. Technical wise we have broken structure and we have a fib at the 61.8 from the swing high to swing low.. Looking at everything from a fundamental standpoint, there is a lot of optimism around the Aussie gaining strength from China reopenings, as well as a Hawkish RBA. Canada on the other hand has decided to pause rates and might continue to do so if the BoC see that inflation is starting to decelerate as well. This trade might take some time as most aussie pairs are slower but overall I like this trade.
USDCAD, post BoC & PPI data releaseFundamental Analysis
Key points:
For the fourth day in a row, USD/CAD has been under some selling pressure on Thursday.
The USD is under pressure as a result of expectations for a pause in the Fed's rate-hike program.
Despite expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is nearing the end of its rate-hiking cycle and turns out to be a key factor exerting pressure on the USD/CAD pair, selling of the US Dollar (USD) continues incessantly for the third consecutive day. In point of fact, the markets appear to be convinced that the US central bank will stop tightening its monetary policy after one more hike next month, as evidenced by the lower-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers released earlier today, Thursday 13th April 2023.
Technical Analysis
From a Technical Analysis standpoint, this is actually a follow-up from our initial bearish analysis that we shared on Friday 24 March (please see link at bottom of this analysis), since then price has been dropping (first top black arrow) from $1.38000 price level. Subsequently we shared another two updates on March 30th and April 3rd, explaining that we were anticipated a pullback and further drop from $1.35555 level (2nd lower black arrow), for more details, please feel free to go back and review those analysis. Since all that time our target was and still is the $1.31200 price zone as shown on weekly chart of the 30th March update.
So now, Price is coming to a zone from where it is likely to bounce off from and make another pullback, before moving down again. That pullback maybe deeper than expected, and we also don’t negate the fact that price may very well go through this level and if so that we should expect a bigger reaction from $1.33000 price level (see projections on chart). All in all, we believe USD/CAD is still bearish regardless if makes a pullback or creates some range in between.
US CPI and BoC Rate Today!A 6 day up move was broken yesterday with the Dollar falling below local support at 1.34900. The losses have continued today, however price looks to be holding as the market awaits the CPI and BoC rate news at 1:30pm and 3:00pm respectively. The Bloomberg's survey median forecast calls for a 0.4% increase in the core rate which if correct would lead to the expectation of a Fed hike once more this year.
From a technical perspective the key levels to watch are 1.35600 and 1.34100, which is the top and bottom of the 6 day move. Looking back at recent CPI releases, the reaction has been relatively muted if there isn't a big surprise. However if the data does surprise a 100 pip move isn't uncommon.
CADJPY Seen In A Fifth Wave-Time For A Rally? With crude trading at support, with inflation in Japan coming down to 3.3%, with XXX/JPY pairs seen in oversold/extended structures, with a wedge on USDJPY, with five waves down on CADJPY I think it can be time for some recovery. Stocks also hold support for now.
USDCAD Outlook 21 March 2023The USDCAD traded lower through the trading session yesterday as the DXY continued to weaken. The price reversed from the 1.3745 resistance level, down toward the key support level of 1.3650.
Today, the Canadian CPI is due to be released and is expected to indicate a slowdown in overall inflation growth with the Median CPI y/y (Forecast: 4.8% Previous: 5.0%) and the Trimmed CPI y/y (Forecast: 4.9% Previous: 5.1%).
Recently the Bank of Canada paused on its rate hikes, to allow time for the effects of the previous rate hikes to be reflected.
A slowdown in inflation growth would be supportive of their recent decision to pause and could reinforce a continuation of the decision. This could result in some strengthening of the Canadian dollar.
The USDCAD is likely to retrace to test the 1.37 round number level and 50% Fibonacci retracement level. However, if the USDCAD breaks below 1.3650, the next key support level would be at 1.3560.
USDCAD Outlook 9th March 2023Overnight, the Bank of Canada (BoC) released its decision to hold interest rates at the 4.50% level. This was in line with the overall market forecast.
However, the decision to hold rates saw the Canadian Dollar weaken (while the DXY remained on its bullish uptrend), resulting in the USDCAD claiming new highs, testing the 1.38 resistance area.
If the DXY gains further strength and breaks out to the upside, the USDCAD could first retrace briefly to test the upward trendline, before continuing to climb higher, with the next key resistance level at 1.39.
Alternatively, if the price action develops to signal a rejection of the 1.38 resistance level, the price could retrace down to the intermediate support level of 1.3740.
Canadian dollar eyes Ivey PMIThe Canadian dollar is coming off a relatively quiet week but that could change as there a host of key releases this week. Ivey PMI kicks things off later today, followed by the Bank of Canada rate decision on Wednesday and the February employment report on Friday.
Canada's Ivey PMI recorded a massive rebound in January, climbing from 33.4 all the way to 60.1 points. A reading above 50.0 points to expansion. The reading is expected to remain strong in February, with an estimate of 57.7 points.
Canada's economy ended 2022 in an unimpressive fashion, posting a growth rate of 0.0% y/y in the fourth quarter, compared to 2.3% in Q3. This was much lower than the market estimate of 1.5% and the Bank of Canada's projection of 1.3%. On a monthly basis, December GDP contracted by 0.1%, down from 0.0% in November and below the estimate of 0.0%.
The Bank of Canada meets on Tuesday and is widely expected to hold rates at 4.50%. A non-move would be significant, as the BoC hasn't taken a pause since the current rate-tightening cycle began in January 2023. Governor Macklem has signalled to the markets that he wants to take a pause in tightening, and the weak GDP report will support the BoC easing off the rate pedal as the economy shows signs of slowing. The steep hike in rates has pushed inflation lower, as it fell to 5.9% in January, down from 6.3% a month earlier.
What will the BoC do after tomorrow's rate decision? The BoC would love to pause rates throughout the year, but Macklem has made clear that a pause is dependent on supportive data. There is also the complication that the Federal Reserve is likely to continue hiking several more times this year, and the BoC does not want to fall too far out of sync with rate levels in the US.
In the US, this week's key events are Fed Chair Powell's semi-annual testimony before Congress and the nonfarm payroll report, both of which could move the US dollar. If Powell provides any hints about further rate hikes, the US dollar could respond with gains.
Nonfarm payrolls was red-hot in January with 517,000 new jobs, but this is expected to be a one-time bump, with the estimate for February standing at 200,000. The surprisingly resilient labour market has the Fed concerned about wage pressures, and a strong wage growth release could raise market expectations of higher rates.
1.3701 and 1.3784 are the next resistance lines
1.3571 is a weak support line, followed by 1.3478
Key news events for the weekIt might be a big week head for the markets.
Monday
CHF CPI data release. The inflation gauge for the Swiss is expected to be lower than previous, signaling a slowdown in inflation growth. Could result in some weakness in the CHF if markets anticipate no more rate hikes to come from the SNB.
Tuesday
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision. Another 25bps rate hike to come? However, the AUDUSD has often traded lower following the release of the news. Could the same thing happen again?
Fed Chair Powell testifies during the US session. This could lead to increased volatility on the DXY, but watch what Powell says! Pivot? Or continue with the rate increases?
Wednesday
Bank of Canada (BoC) is set to hold rates at 4.50%. Unlikely that we'll see a surprise given how recent Canadian CPI has been released lower than previous (signaling a possible reversal in inflation).
Friday
Bank of Japan (BoJ) is set to announce its monetary policy decision. This is Kuroda's last monetary policy meeting as Governor. While a surprise is unlikely, he might lay the foundations for his predecessor. Expect significant volatility on the Japanese Yen.
Since it is the first Friday of the month, look out for the release of the US Non-Farm Employment Change (NFP). The data shouldn't surprise like the previous month, however, some stability in the employment data could see markets reconsider the FOMC's stance on further rate hikes, leading the DXY to trade lower.
Whatever the news, watch out for my daily posts on the specific currency pairs as I update you on possible setups and price levels. Also, tune in to the Daily Live Stream at 3pm (GMT+8)!
USDCAD: Expecting a breakout and push up to 1.38With public holiday's in both USA and Canada tomorrow, I expect a quiet start to the week for this pair.
On Tuesday it's Canada CPI which has been falling. Bank of Canada have just paused its rate rises as it expects inflation to come down to around 3% by mid-year and 2% in 2024, so if inflation continues to fall this should be negative for the CAD.
On the other-hand, the DXY strength I've posted about in recent ideas seems to be materialising and I'm expecting a push up to test 105.2 - 105.6, particularly with the FED stating 'the battle with inflation certainly isn't won', and recent other economic data supporting the chances of the US avoiding recession. The FED still has room for manoeuvre and may be looking at another 0.5pt hike in the pending FMOC minutes, which will be good for the dollar.
From a technical perspective, price is bouncing off the 200MA (8hr) and above the 50MA and 100MA, which are about to cross, and so I am bullish bias.
If the fundamentals play out as I expect, I'll be looking to get in long on this pair before the breakout of a quick for a quick scalp, and then monitoring for a rise up to 1.38 following the break and retest.
USD/CAD eyes retail salesThe Canadian dollar is unchanged on Friday, trading at 1.3466 in the European session. We could see some volatility in the North American session, as Canada releases retail sales.
The markets are bracing for a downturn in retail sales for November, with a forecast of -0.5% m/m for the headline figure and -0.4% for the core rate. This follows a strong report in October, as the headline reading was 1.4% and core retail sales at 1.7%. If the releases are as expected or lower, it could be a rough day for the Canadian dollar.
Today's retail sales release is the final major event prior to the Bank of Canada's meeting on January 25th. The markets have priced in a 25-bp increase, but a hold is also a possibility, especially with December inflation falling to 6.3%, down from 6.8%.
The BoC has raised rates by some 400 basis points in the current rate-tightening cycle, which began in March 2022. Similar to the market outlook on the Fed's rate policy, there is significant speculation that the BoC could wind up its tightening at the first meeting of 2023 and then keep rates on hold.
The BoC has said that future hikes will be determined by economic data, and there are signs of strength in the economy despite the Bank's aggressive rate policy. GDP expanded by 2.9% in Q3 which was stronger than expected and job growth sparkled in December, with over 100,000 new jobs. The markets will be looking for clues about future rate policy from the rate statement and BoC Governor Macklem post-meeting comments.
1.3455 is a weak support line, followed by 1.3328
1.3582 and 1.3707 are the next resistance lines
Canadian dollar shrugs as CPI declinesIt has been a quiet day in the currency markets, and the Canadian dollar has followed suit. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3386, down 0.15%.
Inflation in Canada slowed to 6.3% y/y in December, down from 6.8% a month earlier and matching the consensus. On monthly basis, the decline was noticeable at -0.6%, compared to 0.0% in November and the forecast of -0.1%. Core CPI fell to 5.4% y/y, down from 5.8% in November and below the forecast of 6.1%. The driver of the drop in inflation was a sharp decline in gasoline prices. Food prices, however, remain high and rose by 11% in December, a slight improvement over the November read of 11.4%. The Canadian dollar shrugged off the drop in inflation and remains close to the 1.34 round-figure mark.
The drop in inflation suggests that the Bank of Canada's aggressive rate cycle is having the desired effect, although inflation remains much higher than the BoC's target of 2%. The BoC holds its rate meeting next week, and the markets have priced in a 25- basis point hike, which would bring the cash rate to 4.50%. If inflation continues to downtrend, the expected hike next week could signal the end of the current rate-tightening cycle.
The BoC has said that future hikes would be determined by economic data, and there are signs of economic strength despite the rate hikes. GDP is expected to rise 1.2% y/y in Q4 and job growth sparkled in December, with over 100,000 new jobs. The markets are expecting a 25-bp hike next week, but it's uncertain what the central bank has planned after that. The markets will be looking for clues about future rate policy from the rate statement and BoC Governor Macklem post-meeting comments.
USD/CAD is testing support at 1.3389. Below, there is support at 1.3328
1.3455 and 1.3546 are the next resistance lines
USD/CAD eyes Bank of Canada meetThe Canadian dollar is slightly lower on Tuesday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3620, up 0.24%.
The Bank of Canada has been aggressive in its tightening, including a whopping full-point hike in July, which brought the cash rate to 2.50%. The BoC has been gradually easing since then, raising rates by 75 bp and then 50 bp, bringing the cash rate to 3.75%. Will the trend continue on Wednesday? According to the markets, probably yes. There is a 72% chance of a 25 bp move, with a 28% likelihood of a second straight 50 bp move.
At the October meeting, there was a 50/50 split over whether the BoC would raise rates by 50 or 75 bp, and the Bank opted for the more conservative move. With the Canadian economy showing signs of slowing down amidst an uncertain global outlook, a modest 25-bp hike would make sense. Still, it must be remembered that inflation remains very high at 6.9% and the BoC has shown that it is willing to keep the rate pedal on the floor if necessary. If the BoC goes for the 50 bp increase, it would be viewed as a hawkish surprise which would likely boost the Canadian dollar.
What can we expect from the BoC in 2023? The terminal rate is projected at around 4.5%, which would mean several more rate hikes early in the New Year. Of course, rate policy will be heavily dictated by key data such as employment, consumer spending and inflation. In addition, the BoC will want to keep pace (or close to it) with the Federal Reserve, which is widely expected to raise rates by 50 bp next week.
USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.3619. Above, there is resistance at 1.3762
There is support at 1.3502 and 1.3359