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ridethepig | GBPUSD Market Commentary 2020.07.20On the GBP side, all quiet on Brexit news with cable and EURGBP stuck within tight ranges defined last week. Here actively selling cable with the European close at 1.262x, risk is entering back into the picture via virus anxiety we will see USD better bid than it 'should' be. I suspect we will have BOE on the wires at some point later in the week talking down the moves and keeping things tight. Better outflows for GBP will start once Brexit enters back under the microscope. I still think the UK will receive another major hammer towards 1.15 and 1.10 along with consumers drowning via inflation. The strategy remains, continue to sell GBP on rallies as the dark storm clouds approach, tracking closely 1.262x resistance for sellers loading (we are here) and fading 0.908x lows in EURGBP. As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
Short
by ridethepig
1
ridethepig | EURGBP Market Commentary 2020.07.08📍 The following position comes after a temporary concession break of 0.90x strong support. After sellers came crumbs away the first time, buyers felt at liberty to allow the breach and trap more on the counterplay. The mysterious trap is coming and buyers wish to occupy the 0.90xx handle rather fast to rule out any cheap entries. At the right moment, we can double down on momentum as price develops . Let me say a few quick words about the birth of this position; it is closely linked to the GBP devaluation via Brexit and the history of protectionism positional plays... First there was the complete control of Downing Street and the Treasury, the "no-deal" hijacking was only possible from this populists. 📌 Then came the stratagem of a covid flank which rendered the first 1.15xx test, sellers could not breakdown without profit taking and loading a second barrel. Moreover, the GBP weakness can be played in the crosses: Admitting the damage of Brexit is worth considering for those still thinking this environment is +ve for GBP. The threat of negative rates would mark the official surrender. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
Long
by ridethepig
14
ridethepig | EURGBP Positional Play📍 EURGBP What are we trading here? A counter any false conceptions that we will see a Brexit deal. All headlines produce an immediate effect for trading: wait patiently and quiet and justify fades: Here the static weakness of GBP can clearly be recognised. Any idea of pullbacks into support will be short-lived. These remain our key loading zones with positional swings! - In this case, Buyers will refuse sellers the freeing breakdown to prevent any cheap entries. A ruthless strategy from Downing Street to avoid any extension flanks, and try rather to operate under the premise of No-deal. The strongest hands will be rewarded; one should hang on to the bearish UK story as long as possible. Thanks all for keeping the support coming with likes, charts, comments and as usual keep the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
Long
by ridethepig
15
BUY EURGBPAfter the market was moving in a clear direction during the first 2 weeks of the month, this week we see retention and correction in almost all places. In these moments it is extremely important to be patient so that we can achieve the best possible results in the future! At this point, in our opinion, the best option remains with EURGBP! The price broke the trend line and bounced exactly from 61.8 Fibonacci (0.8862-0.9025). This gives us reason to believe that the correction is over and we will see higher values. Resistance levels: 0.9037 0.9071 0.9172 Critical level for the analysis - 0.8862 NB! Today from 11:00 GMT- BoE Interest Rate Decision Do you have active positions?
Long
by ForexTrendline
77
Dax daily: 18 Jun 2020We were unsure about the price development yesterday as no hints were present. We clearly defined the range of 12 151 - 12 494 and the price stayed there all day long. The session was a slow one with the range being relatively narrow. Dax was moving sideways just to close the day near break even. Our zones remain unchanged. Important zones Resistance: 12 494 Support: 12 151 Statistics for today Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application Macroeconomic releases 09:30 CEST - SNB Policy Rate + Statement Today's session hypothesis Dax opens the day with a small descending gap. We anticipate the retest of yesterday's close and trading in the defined range. The nearest S/R zones will play a major role and the price action around either of these will be a decisive factor for further price estimation. The breakout will be a major focus for us. We have a day filled with macroeconomic events so stay alert.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by FTMO
ridethepig | GBP Market Commentary 2020.06.15The long run positional struggle for buyers which comes from their immobility to find positives in the Brexit debacle. It is extremely important to note the coming years of UK growth are harmed via the presence of protectionism, the fundamentals have widely been discussed here: With Brexit headlines entering back into play, focus will shift towards NDB repricing as there is little encouragement to see here. The GBP is getting hit badly as expected all last week with EURGBP flirting with the break above 0.90x again. Actively looking to add cable shorts on any rallies into 1.255x. Look to target 1.237x below with stops above 1.265x.
Short
by ridethepig
ridethepig | GBP/AUD Outlook📍 Overview This chart comes after a conversation with @Alamakota. Brexit move played in this game was triggered in Jun 2016, you will notice on the Q chart how four years after buyers demonstrated a full retrace, before sellers rejected the highs and there we have the winning move. The UK is entering into the house of economic bondage in the ST and MT. Covid has put additional pressure on the pursuit of UK weakness; buyers were forced to flee and risks of a no-deal are rising again. As we discussed together earlier in the year in this Brexit chapter will make it difficult to conjure any reason to hold GBP and as such investors would rather avoid the unnecessary risk. The GBPUSD outlook will be also a function of how much artificial USD devaluation we see from global CB's to help keep EM alive. This makes the preferred vehicles of expressing weaker GBP clear, the connection between GBP vs EUR and JPY will be unprotected. Despite the risk associated with NDB, Downing Street have managed to get this across the line and pushed the UK into the blackhole. This "trap" in wave ii was much praised. The fact that it is a strategic goal to pump and dump the currency was not really considered by anybody. But the goal is and will remain to shake out soft retail hands and not allow any easy entries for the central knee-jerk reactions, while in the long run the crumbling continues. Risks to the thesis come from: => UK softening Brexit tone and looking for possible extensions => China-Australia trade protectionism In our case, short-term and medium-term / daily and weekly charts will come over the weekend as we dig deeper into the set-up. Hope I am wrong but looks like the UK is at the start of a difficult and costly journey. A more natural continuation is expected.
Short
by ridethepig
8
ridethepig | Gilt Yields Breaking the GridlockThe best move, since the breakout of the consolidation after an early basing development is to work the heat of the bid. It is much more about the political configuration than and how to work against the economic pain coming from Brexit. As well as moves in Pound and UK Equities becoming clear, Rishi Sunak now playing the tax cuts, which combined with the overdraft extensions and BOE front loaded cuts allows us to completely paralyse sterling buyers in the majority. The latest squeeze is a false liberation!! It will only manage to create enough energy for further weakness !! The isolated Pound will fall and go on to occupy the lows once more, we can open a new cable chart for those wanting to trade the flows live. By calling to their aid the tax cuts, Yields will be forced to spike into the highs and force our opponent onto the back-foot. If price escapes the highs in a freeing momentum break, we can see a surplus of tempo once inflation hits shore. This demonstrates how deadly the paralysing of Downing Street was from Cameron.
TVC:GB10YLong
by ridethepig
Looking to play another support rejection GBPAUDFundamental case: Overvalued AUD against Australian equities. BJ's lockdown extension caused short term selling and I predict GBP will continue up. Sentiment/PA: Key level for this pair; just as we're seeing on many other pairs, there's an order block (in yellow) controlling the next wave of direction - this level is holding the selling since 1.9500. Still a seller's market and a big challenge for a buy case. Technicals: Market is rejecting 1.9000, with a small double bottom. Market is neutral at best until price is above demand. Entry criteria: A rejection of support. Make sure to follow my ideas. Follow me on twitter @thecolour_red and instagram @madebyforex. - Happy trading.
Long
by madebyforex
1
BOEING - Fundamental vs Technical Analysis -Stand AsideNYSE:BA LSE:BOE Based on Technical Analysis seems that the Market should keep going down to level 120 USD (OPTION A) Stochastic it can keep moving in oversold before turning up, confirming that it can go down. Fundamental analysis, overall info on airspace business are negative, but the good news of the BONDS might give a boost to the stock. Boeing Bonds on Thursday peaked at more than $70 billion allowing it to borrow as mush as $25 billion Boeing has $39 billion in debt as of the end of March. In conclusion, stand aside from BOEING.
NYSE:BA
by Mauriello
BOEING Stock Analysis - "Stand Aside"Option A - Based on technical approach I would stand aside because I am not convinced about those descending prices and volume at the breaking point, but, I am tented to go long due to the Channel Pattern, volume (increased at the previous opportunity of price to rise) and the Symmetrical pattern that with the channel pattern makes the continuation signal stronger - Go long up to the level 180 Option B - 95 Dollar - Based on Fundamental Info (Reduction of shares and employees)
BLong
by Mauriello