EURGBP BULLISH CHANNEL BREAKOUTEURGBP has been trading within a bullish channel since March this year and on Friday closed significantly outside of it, the pair is also trading above the 20MA, which has provided strong resistance while in the channel. Thursday is obviously the date this week everyone is looking to is both the ECB and BOE rate decisions.
BOE
$GBPUSD idea; 1.705 down to 1.6982H Chart: as this pair has been in a slight over-buy lately with no BoE releases supporting it. I believe we will see a greater decline in this pair. Keeping in mind, I have a strong feeling this pair will be a long-term decline. I'll be opening higher-leveraged units on this pair to ride the coaster. I'll also be taking a quick look at some BoE releases if any this week.
forgot to mention; i'm a high risk trader so this is a 50k-70k unit trade
Take a look at my Linked related ideas for my long-term outlook on GBPUSD.
Finally Hit February Target ... Spot On | $GBP $USD #BOE #ForexFriends,
A lot of paper printing has been going on since we first released a Target-High @ 1.68923 on February 2014. This was a long call asking the position trader to hold tight, but a prop pattern justified the initial call, and back with the right predictive analysis and forecasting system, I am glad to see it attain its final destination as of today - Here was the initial analysis and forecast:
Now that the pattern has come to a close, I would like to add a cautionary note to eager bears. Looking at the chart closer (i.e.: from an initial weekly/daily analytical eye to a wary H4/M15 glance), there is a possibility of a reversal at an incrementally higher level. From a weekly scale, this may be of no particular interest to the position traders, but worth noting, as I am preparing for a potential reversal, which require finer granular approaches.
Indeed, a prop reversal pattern is calling for a top at TG-Hi = 1.69166 - 01 MAY 2014. Most importantly, this potential reversal may also become another position trade opp, as a larger pattern points to a resting target-low at 1.58923.
Considering the scale of the pattern and the timing to completion (similar to the forecast that lead to this particular target-hit), if indeed a reversal occurred, smaller-timeframe trader might simply be aware that a new directional wind may be underway. I recommend that the experienced trader uses his own accustomed armamentarium to affirm or infirm the possibility of such reversal, as I remain available for discussion about your methodology, as well as mine - although I cannot reveal too much of what's proprietary. Nonetheless, feel free to share, discuss and rate using the features offered in TradingView. Much appreciated.
OVERALL:
Major reversal is underway at or near target validation achieved today. A slightly loftier reversal target may exist for the finer granular traders, but in the scale of a larger frame of interest, I am now looking for reversal signs and signals. The directional tag has been turned to Neutral for cautionary reasons explained above, even though the strength remains bullish.
Cheers,
David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
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Trading against a rigged market can be damaging to your health, even lethal. If you itch to put your life savings on the line, talk to your spouse over jasmine tea or some tranquilizing beverage - The appeasement is not for you, but for the spouse against your excitement. Oh, and consult a professional licensed financial adviser or someone who has knowledge of the financial vehicles that designed, packaged and sold you by these same financial institutions against which you trade at a disadvantage. But, before you step into that trap, always do your due diligence, and stop thinking you can outdo the market. Lose only what you wished you would have earned in retrospect, which is what you already got.
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