The Infamous Boeing: Accidents Weight on PriceThe Infamous Boeing: Accidents Weigth on Price
Dear Esteemed Members,
Boeing’s stock price has also dropped by 8.5% since Monday after a plane had to make an emergency landing after a part of its fuselage ripped off mid-air. Another plane was grounded after a window fell out during takeoff. Alaska Airlines decided to inspect all Boeings.
The competition from Airbus, which has secured a deal with the US Air Force to provide 20 A330 Multi Role Tanker Transport aircraft for $3.5 billion. This deal could give Airbus an edge over Boeing in the military aviation market, and also boost its reputation and revenue.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Boeing737max
Boeing Faces Major Setback as Workers Vote to StrikeBoeing Co. (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) is once again facing turbulence, but this time, it's not related to its planes or production flaws. Thousands of Boeing factory workers have overwhelmingly voted to strike, rejecting a tentative contract agreement, sending shockwaves through the aerospace sector. The strike could have substantial financial consequences, not only for Boeing but also for airlines, suppliers, and the broader industry. Here’s an in-depth look at the technical and fundamental aspects of Boeing's current situation.
Union Discontent and Financial Repercussions
The decision by Boeing workers to strike, voting 96% in favor, comes after rejecting a contract that offered a 25% wage increase over four years and a commitment to invest in the Puget Sound region. The workers, represented by the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM), found the deal insufficient, especially against the backdrop of Boeing’s previous issues and ongoing recovery efforts.
Key Factors:
- Financial Strain: Boeing has been struggling with production delays, safety concerns, and a staggering $60 billion debt load. A prolonged strike could worsen these issues, especially if it drags out as the 2008 strike did, costing Boeing $100 million per day.
- Impact on Operations: The strike affects Boeing’s major assembly plants on the West Coast, including Seattle and Portland. This could disrupt the production schedule of key models like the 737 MAX, already under scrutiny by regulators.
- Market Response: Boeing's stock is down 36% year-to-date, reflecting investor concerns over ongoing financial strains and potential production disruptions. With the strike, there is a real risk of further downgrades by rating agencies, putting additional pressure on Boeing’s credit standing.
Technical Outlook
Technically, Boeing’s stock is already on shaky ground, having been in a downward trend for most of the year. The strike news has pushed the stock further down, trading near its lowest levels since November 2022.
Technical Indicators:
Boeing's shares fell around 3% early Friday, breaking below key support levels as the market digested the strike news. The stock is now trading near $180, a critical psychological and historical support zone. A dip below the critical support of $126 will lead to massive sellout as it stands as the major building block holding Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) stock.
The stock has been trading well below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a bearish signal that indicates ongoing downward momentum. A death cross pattern was recently confirmed, suggesting further downside risk.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains oversold, hovering around 40, indicating that while the stock is heavily beaten down, it could still see further selling pressure. The MACD is also trending negative, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
What’s Next for Boeing?
As Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) navigates these troubled waters, the outcome of the strike negotiations will be crucial. The company has expressed its willingness to return to the table, but workers are holding firm on their demands. For investors, the key will be to monitor any updates regarding the length and impact of the strike, especially on Boeing's production capabilities and financial outlook.
Boeing’s challenges are emblematic of broader issues in the aviation industry—supply chain disruptions, rising costs, and workforce discontent. A prolonged strike could set Boeing back in its recovery efforts, delaying production and hurting its reputation further. For now, the market is on edge, watching closely as Boeing seeks to balance financial prudence with the demands of its workforce.
Investor Takeaway
Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) remains a high-risk stock in the near term due to the ongoing strike and financial uncertainties. Investors should be cautious and consider the potential for further declines if the strike continues. Key technical support levels and the company’s ability to resolve union disputes will be critical factors influencing Boeing's stock performance in the weeks ahead.
While the long-term outlook for Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) remains tied to the broader recovery of the aviation industry, the current scenario presents significant short-term headwinds. Navigating these challenges successfully will require careful negotiation, strategic decision-making, and, most importantly, a commitment to restoring the trust of both its workforce and investors.
Wells Fargo Downgrades Boeing Amid Debt Woes and Delayed GoalsBoeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ), once a stalwart of American industrial might, faces significant challenges that have cast a shadow over its future prospects. The aerospace giant's financial woes have worsened as Wells Fargo recently downgraded its stock to “underweight,” slashing the target price to $119—a staggering 32% downside from its last closing price. Here's a deep dive into both the fundamental and technical factors that are driving Boeing's troubles.
Mounting Debt and Delayed Cash Flow Goals
Boeing's financial health is under severe strain as the company grapples with a massive net debt of approximately $45 billion. The debt crisis stems from a series of setbacks, including safety scandals, regulatory curbs on its 737 MAX production, and ongoing supply chain disruptions. As Wells Fargo analyst Matthew Akers notes, Boeing's annual free cash flow (FCF) target of $10 billion, initially projected for 2025-26, now looks unachievable until at least 2027-28.
To get back on track, Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) needs to address its towering debt load before it can consider launching new aircraft development—a critical factor for maintaining market competitiveness against rivals like Airbus (AIR.PA). Wells Fargo estimates that Boeing may need to raise $30 billion in equity to zero out its net debt by 2027, a move that would likely dilute current shareholders. The company's cash flow will remain constrained through 2030 as it prioritizes debt reduction over growth initiatives.
Further complicating matters, Boeing's strategic decision-making is under scrutiny. While deferring the launch of new aircraft could help stabilize cash flow, it risks losing market share to Airbus, which continues to dominate in the commercial aircraft space. A scenario where Boeing focuses solely on debt repayment could lead to stagnation, potentially ceding ground to competitors in the long term.
Technical Analysis: Breaking Below Key Support Levels
From a technical standpoint, Boeing's stock price has been in a downward spiral, exacerbated by the latest downgrade. Shares plunged over 7% on Tuesday, hitting their lowest intraday level since November 2022. The stock is currently trading below all key moving averages, indicating a strong bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 34, signaling that NYSE:BA is oversold but not yet showing signs of a potential reversal.
The current price action suggests that Boeing could be headed for even lower levels, with the next major support zone around $149. A break below this level could trigger further downside, with limited immediate catalysts to inspire a rebound. The stock's downward trajectory has been punctuated by a series of lower highs and lower lows, a classic indicator of a sustained bearish trend.
Investors should be wary of Boeing's chart, which offers little optimism in the near term. The lack of institutional buying interest and consistent downward pressure point to a potential retest of critical support areas. Moreover, recent volumes have been thin, underscoring a lack of confidence among major players in the market.
A Long Road to Recovery
Boeing's path to recovery is fraught with challenges. The combination of staggering debt, delayed cash flow targets, and potential shareholder dilution paints a bleak picture for the company's near-term outlook. Fundamentally, Boeing needs to address its debt woes and regain investor confidence, while technically, the stock faces significant resistance levels that may cap any upward momentum.
For investors, NYSE:BA currently spells caution. The stock's inability to find a firm footing amid a series of bearish headlines suggests that Boeing's turbulence is far from over. Unless there is a substantial shift in the company's strategy or market conditions, the stock may continue to face downward pressure, making it a risky bet in an already volatile market environment.
Boeing Faces Another Setback: Cracks Discovered in 777X JetlinerBoeing's turbulent year continues as the aerospace giant confronts yet another major issue. During initial test flights of its cutting-edge 777X jetliner, Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) discovered cracks in a critical structural component, adding to a growing list of setbacks for the company.
The Discovery
The cracks were identified during routine inspections following test flights in Hawaii. The affected component is the thrust link, a crucial part that connects the plane’s massive engines to the airframe. This link, made from heavy-duty titanium, is unique to the 777X and integral to the aircraft's overall integrity. The discovery of these cracks has forced Boeing to ground its entire 777X test fleet as engineers work to replace the faulty parts and analyze the root cause.
A Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) spokesperson commented, "During scheduled maintenance, we identified a component that did not perform as designed. Our team is replacing the part and capturing any learnings from the component and will resume flight testing when ready."
Financial and Reputational Impact
This latest incident comes at a time when Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) is already struggling with several other crises. The company’s stock has plummeted more than 30% this year, largely due to a series of safety and mechanical failures. Earlier in January, a door plug detached mid-flight from a Boeing 737 MAX 9 operated by Alaska Airlines, prompting the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to ground expansion plans for the 737 MAX.
The 777X, Boeing’s most advanced commercial aircraft, was initially slated to enter service in 2020. However, due to increased regulatory scrutiny and ongoing safety concerns, this date has been pushed back multiple times, now tentatively set for 2025. The latest discovery of cracks in a key component could delay the 777X's entry into commercial service even further, exacerbating Boeing’s financial woes.
The Bigger Picture
This incident is the latest in a string of safety concerns that have plagued Boeing in recent years, starting with the tragic crashes of two 737 MAX aircraft in 2018 and 2019. Those crashes, which claimed the lives of 346 people, triggered a global grounding of the 737 MAX fleet and resulted in Boeing agreeing to a $243.6 million fine and a three-year probation period as part of a plea deal with the U.S. Department of Justice.
In light of the new issues with the 777X, Boeing’s reputation is once again under scrutiny. The company, which once held an untarnished reputation for safety and innovation, is now viewed with increasing skepticism by regulators, airlines, and the flying public.
Technical Outlook
Boeing's (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) stock experienced a 4.2% decline at the close of Tuesday's trading session, and its Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates an oversold condition at 46. Moreover, the stock is currently trading below the 50, 100, and 200 Moving Averages (MA), signaling a strong bearish trend. A bearish harami candlestick pattern is visible on the daily price chart, further indicating downward pressure. It's apparent that Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) has undergone a series of price corrections and has been confined within a falling wedge pattern for some time now. A potential bullish signal could occur if the stock manages to surpass the 200-day MA, signaling a potential reversal in trend.
Looking Forward
As Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) works to resolve the cracks in the 777X, the company faces significant challenges ahead. Not only must it address the technical flaws in its latest aircraft, but it also needs to restore confidence in its ability to deliver safe and reliable planes. With the aviation industry closely watching, Boeing’s next steps will be crucial in determining whether it can recover from this series of setbacks or if it will continue to struggle in the years to come.
For investors, the situation remains precarious. Boeing shares (NYSE: NYSE:BA ), which have already suffered steep declines, could face further downward pressure if the 777X’s issues lead to additional delays or safety concerns. The company’s ability to rebound from this latest mishap will depend on its response to the crisis and its capacity to regain the trust of both regulators and the public.
Boeing Stock Climbs on CEO Appointment Despite Earnings MissOverview
Dow Jones aerospace giant Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) experienced an unexpected stock rise after appointing a new CEO, despite missing estimates for its second-quarter results. Here’s a comprehensive analysis of Boeing’s recent performance, the challenges it faces, and what the future holds under its new leadership.
Q2 Earnings Report: A Disappointing Performance
Boeing's second-quarter financial results revealed a deepening loss, reporting an adjusted loss of $2.90 per share. This was significantly wider than the FactSet analysts' expected loss of $1.90 per share and a marked increase from the $0.82 per share loss in the same period last year. The company's total revenue fell by 15% to $16.87 billion, missing the estimated $17.35 billion.
Commercial Airplane Segment Struggles
The commercial airplane segment faced severe challenges, with revenue plummeting 32% to $6 billion, driven by a corresponding 32% drop in deliveries. Boeing delivered 92 airplanes during the quarter, maintaining a robust backlog of over 5,400 planes valued at $437 billion. Despite the backlog, the immediate decline in deliveries and revenue underscores the operational difficulties Boeing is grappling with.
Efforts to Improve Safety and Quality
In response to a series of mechanical issues earlier this year, Boeing submitted a comprehensive safety and quality plan to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Current CEO Dave Calhoun emphasized the company’s commitment to enhancing its quality management system, stating, "While we have more work ahead, the steps we're taking will help stabilize our operations."
Production Outlook
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) plans to increase production of its 737 aircraft to 38 planes per month by the end of the year and boost 787 production to five planes per month. These production increases are crucial for Boeing as it aims to recover from recent setbacks and meet growing market demand.
Performance in Other Segments
Boeing's defense, space, and security revenue saw a slight decline of 2% to $6.02 billion. However, the global services segment reported a 3% increase in revenue to $4.89 billion. Despite these mixed results, Boeing's diversified portfolio provides a buffer against the challenges faced in the commercial airplane segment.
Free Cash Flow and Financial Health
A major concern for investors is Boeing’s free cash flow, which was negative $4.3 billion for the quarter, compared to a positive $2.6 billion in the same quarter last year. Managing cash flow effectively will be critical for Boeing as it balances investment in production and innovation with financial stability.
Strategic Acquisition
In early July, Boeing announced a strategic acquisition, agreeing to buy supplier Spirit AeroSystems (NYSE: NYSE:SPR ) for $4.7 billion. This deal, expected to close in mid-2025, aims to enhance Boeing’s supply chain capabilities and support its long-term growth strategy.
Leadership Change: A New CEO
A significant development for Boeing is the appointment of Robert K. "Kelly" Ortberg as the company’s new president and CEO, effective August 8. Ortberg, 64, brings over 35 years of leadership experience in the aerospace industry. He previously led Rockwell Collins, overseeing its integration with United Technologies and later with RTX Corporation.
Ortberg will succeed Dave Calhoun, who announced his plans to retire earlier this year. Calhoun has been with Boeing since 2009 and has served as CEO since January 2020, navigating the company through significant challenges, including the 737 Max crisis and the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Market Reaction
Despite the disappointing earnings report, Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) stock climbed 1.5% early Wednesday on the news of Ortberg’s appointment. The stock has rebounded from its late April lows but remains down more than 28% in 2024, making it one of the worst-performing stocks on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
The stock currently has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 55.31, which suggests that there is a significant potential for strong growth in the near future. This particular figure is especially notable given that the stock has recently demonstrated a falling wedge pattern, a formation that is generally recognized as indicative of impending bullish reversals in the price trend.
This pattern is often interpreted as a precursor to an upward movement in stock prices. As a result, market participants are beginning to anticipate a decisive move toward the pivotal $217 point. Such a movement is expected to further reinforce Boeing's existing rising wedge formation, which aligns with the notion of a bullish shift in the stock's trajectory. Consequently, this anticipated behavior is likely to bolster investor confidence and enthusiasm surrounding the stock, as it suggests a positive turnaround and an upward momentum in its future performance.
Challenges Ahead
Ortberg will face several significant challenges as he steps into his new role. Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) is dealing with persistent financial losses, increased regulatory scrutiny, and a crisis of confidence from airline customers facing delivery delays. Additionally, the company is engaged in tense labor negotiations, with the threat of a strike looming.
Conclusion
Boeing’s Q2 earnings report highlighted ongoing operational and financial challenges. However, the appointment of Kelly Ortberg as CEO brings renewed optimism for the company's future. With his extensive experience and proven leadership in the aerospace industry, Ortberg is well-positioned to steer Boeing through its current difficulties and towards a more stable and prosperous future.
As Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) works to enhance its safety and quality systems, ramp up production, and navigate regulatory and financial hurdles, investors will be closely watching to see if these efforts translate into a sustainable recovery and long-term growth. With a strong backlog, strategic acquisitions, and a focus on operational excellence, Boeing aims to regain its footing and reaffirm its position as a leader in the aerospace industry.
Boeing UpdateI can't say I have had a great past few months holding NYSE:BA , but whatever. I still see value here, I recently flew on a 737 and it went smoothly. I expect the ratio to hold between 3.1 and 3.6 until the company does something right.
If recession is on the horizon, expect cheap NYSE:BA shares in the future. Will be buying the whole way down. One day this will all make sense and I will be extremely rich.
Will provide another Boeing update in a few months.
Hold the line.
Boeing Under Pressure From DOJ For Breach Of 737 MAX Crash DealBoeing ( NYSE:BA ) has breached an agreement with the Justice Department over the 737 Max crashes that killed 346 people in 2018 and 2019, potentially leading to prosecution. The 2021 Deferred Prosecution Agreement (DPA) meant Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) didn't face charges related to the deaths of 346 people in two 737 Max 8 crashes in 2018 and 2019. Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) paid $2.5 billion and promised to strengthen its compliance program. The DPA expired just two days after the Alaska Airlines blowout, which renewed scrutiny of Boeing's quality-control processes. Safety investigators said the 737 Max involved had left Boeing's factory missing key bolts.
The Justice Department said Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) violated the DPA by failing to design, implement, and enforce a compliance and ethics program to prevent and detect violations of US fraud laws throughout its operations. Boeing has until June 13 to respond to the DOJ, and the DOJ is continuing to meet with the families of victims of the 2018 and 2019 crashes to determine whether to bring charges against Boeing. The DOJ will decide whether to prosecute Boeing by July 7. Boeing 0.0% may face fraud charges for violating the terms of its 2021 Deferred Prosecution Agreement with the Department of Justice following the Lion Air Flight 610 and Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 737 MAX crashes.
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) has been charged with fraud following the 737 MAX crashes, which occurred in 2021. The company admitted to deceiving the FAA AEG about the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System (MCAS) and its impact on flight control systems. The Department of Justice (DOJ) stated that a key document published by the FAA AEG lacked information about MCAS, leading to the lack of information in airplane manuals and pilot-training materials for US-based airlines.
Victims' families have criticized the deal as too lenient, while Senators have also questioned it during recent Boeing whistleblower hearings. Senator Johnson argued that this was an overt act, and nobody has been held accountable. Boeing ultimately agreed to pay $2.5 billion to defer prosecution, with the DPA providing for a $500 million crash-victim beneficiaries fund to compensate the heirs, relatives, and legal beneficiaries of the 346 passengers who died in the crashes.
Despite admitting facts but pledging not guilty, Boeing pled not guilty to the charges at an arraignment on January 26, 2023. The United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit published its decision against revising Boeing's DPA on December 15, 2023, but decided the court had ongoing Crime Victims' Rights Act responsibility.
The DOJ argues that it is still in time to prosecute Boeing for a violation of the terms of the DPA and to continue investigating Boeing compliance. The DOJ does not reference the Alaska Airlines door plug blowout in its letter to the court.
Korean Air's Potential Boeing 777X Purchase Stock up 2.25%Korean Air (003490.KS) is reportedly in talks with Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) for the acquisition of at least 10 Boeing 777X jets. This development comes in the wake of Korean Air's recent order of 33 A350 jets from Airbus, signaling a potential shift back to its traditional U.S. supplier. The discussions between Korean Air and Boeing highlight the airline's commitment to enhancing its fleet capabilities amidst evolving market conditions.
Resilience Amidst Challenges:
Despite facing delays in the entry into service of the 777X due to certification issues, Korean Air's interest in the aircraft demonstrates resilience in navigating industry challenges. The airline's willingness to explore opportunities with Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) reflects its confidence in the long-term viability of the 777X and underscores its strategic vision for fleet modernization.
Strategic Implications:
Korean Air's fleet review and potential acquisition of the 777X coincide with its plans to purchase a significant stake in Asiana, a move aimed at consolidating its position in the market. The acquisition of new aircraft, coupled with the integration of Asiana's operations, positions Korean Air for enhanced competitiveness and operational efficiency in a post-pandemic landscape.
Market Response and Investor Confidence:
Boeing's stock performance, despite challenges in its commercial airplane and defense businesses, reflects investor confidence in the company's recovery trajectory. The recent earnings report, which surpassed Street estimates and highlighted positive trends in free cash flow generation, signals progress amidst ongoing market headwinds. Shareholders' contentment with Boeing's performance underscores the resilience of aerospace giants in navigating industry dynamics.
Technical Outlook
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) Stock is up 2.06% due to the fundamentals. The stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.50 with the daily chart showing a pattern of a "Bullish Flag Pattern" on the horizon. Coupled with the fundamentals and technical analysis, NYSE:BA stock is poised for a major bull run in the near to long term.
Conclusion:
Korean Air's potential acquisition of Boeing 777X jets underscores its commitment to fleet modernization and resilience amidst market uncertainties. The strategic discussions between Korean Air and Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) reflect evolving dynamics in the aviation industry, with airlines seeking to optimize fleet capabilities amidst changing passenger demands and operational requirements. As Korean Air navigates these strategic decisions, it reaffirms its position as a key player in the global aviation market, poised for sustainable growth and competitiveness in the years ahead.
Examining the Safety Concerns Surrounding Boeing's 787 Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) has asserted that it has not detected any signs of fatigue on the older 787 aircraft that have undergone significant maintenance, as the company defended its twin-aisle aircraft program before a U.S. Senate hearing scheduled for Wednesday. This comes after a Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) whistleblower, Sam Salehpour, alleged last week that the company had disregarded safety concerns related to the assembly of the 787 and 777 jets operating international routes. Salehpour, who is a quality engineer at Boeing, is set to testify at the Senate hearing on the organization's safety culture.
Salehpour claims that Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) has neglected to adequately "shim," which involves using a thin material to fill small gaps in a manufactured product, a lapse that could result in premature fatigue failure in certain areas of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner over time. Salehpour's claims, which are being investigated by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), encompass observations that he saw workers "jumping on the pieces of the airplane to get them to align."
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) has been dealing with a severe safety crisis that has damaged its reputation since a mid-air panel blowout on a single-aisle plane operated by 737 MAX on January 5th.
On a call with journalists on Monday, two senior Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) executives stated that there were no indications of airframe fatigue among the nearly 700 in-service Dreamliner jets that had undergone significant maintenance inspections after six and twelve years. "All of these findings have been shared with the FAA," said Steve Chisholm, Boeing's chief engineer for mechanical and structural engineering.
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) suspended deliveries of the 787 widebody jet for more than a year until August 2022 while the FAA investigated quality issues and manufacturing flaws. In 2021, Boeing disclosed that some 787 airplanes had shims that were not the correct size, and some aircraft had sections that did not meet skin-flatness requirements.
According to Lisa Fahl, vice president of Boeing Commercial Airplanes airplane programs engineering, the 787, which was introduced in 2004, had a gap allowance specification of five-thousandths of an inch within a five-inch area, or "the thickness of a human hair." She claimed that reports of workers jumping on plane parts were "not part of our process."
Debra Katz, Salehpour's attorney, stated in an email that her client had attempted for years to access data that would address his worries about the safety of gaps in the 787. "Before accepting any data provided by Boeing, it should be confirmed by independent experts and the FAA," Katz advised.
Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun to Step Down Amid Safety CrisisIn a significant development for the aviation industry, Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) CEO Dave Calhoun's impending departure by year-end signals a major shakeup at the aerospace giant. The move comes amidst a deepening safety crisis exacerbated by a mid-air incident involving a 737 MAX plane in January, prompting a wave of management changes aimed at restoring confidence in the beleaguered company.
Stan Deal, President and CEO of Boeing Commercial Airplanes, will retire, paving the way for Stephanie Pope to assume leadership in that crucial division. Meanwhile, the appointment of former Qualcomm CEO Steve Mollenkopf as the new chair of the board heralds a fresh chapter in Boeing's leadership.
The decision to overhaul Boeing's management structure follows weeks of turmoil, with the January incident serving as the latest blow to the company's reputation and financial performance. The incident, which saw an Alaska Airlines-operated MAX 9 jet experience a mid-air panel blowout, underscored lingering safety concerns and prompted a reevaluation of Boeing's operational practices.
Since taking the helm in the aftermath of the 2018 and 2019 crashes that claimed nearly 350 lives, Calhoun has grappled with a series of safety crises and regulatory challenges. Despite efforts to address these issues, Boeing's stock has plummeted, reflecting investors' skepticism about the company's ability to navigate its way out of the crisis.
Analysts and investors have welcomed the leadership shakeup as a positive step for Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) but emphasize the importance of selecting the right successor to Calhoun. With the company facing heavy regulatory scrutiny and production constraints, restoring trust and addressing cultural challenges will be paramount for the incoming CEO.
Patrick Shanahan, CEO of Spirit AeroSystems and a former Boeing executive, emerges as a potential candidate to lead Boeing through this tumultuous period. His deep industry knowledge and experience could prove instrumental in steering the company towards recovery and rebuilding its reputation.
Boeing's crisis has not only strained its relationship with airlines but also provided an opening for its main rival, Airbus, to capitalize on. The recent order wins by Airbus from key Asian customers underscore the urgency for Boeing to address its underlying issues and regain its competitive edge in the market.
As Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) braces for a period of transition, the focus shifts to the incoming leadership and their ability to instill a culture of accountability and excellence. With the aerospace industry at a crossroads, the decisions made in the coming months will shape Boeing's trajectory for years to come, with implications reaching far beyond the company itself.
Boeing Stock Plummets Amidst DOJ Investigation & Safety ConcernsBoeing ( NYSE:BA ), the aerospace giant synonymous with innovation and air travel, finds itself in turbulent skies once again as its stock takes a nosedive following reports of a Department of Justice (DOJ) investigation and safety incidents involving its aircraft.
The latest blow to Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) reputation comes as reports surface of injuries resulting from a "technical problem" on a LATAM flight involving a Boeing aircraft. Additionally, the DOJ's probe into an Alaska Airlines flight where a door panel came loose raises further concerns about the company's safety protocols and regulatory compliance.
The DOJ's investigation, which includes interviews with pilots, flight attendants, and passengers, could have significant ramifications for Boeing. The scrutiny extends to whether Boeing may have violated a previous settlement related to the infamous 737 MAX crashes in 2018 and 2019. Any findings of non-compliance could result in charges of defrauding the U.S. government or an extension of Boeing's probationary period.
These developments compound Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) already precarious situation, with ongoing investigations into its manufacturing and safety processes. Recent incidents, such as a pilot reporting stuck rudder pedals in a Boeing 737 Max 8 and a "technical event" on a LATAM Airlines flight resulting in injuries to passengers and crew, further underscore the challenges facing the company.
Amidst the storm of controversy, Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) has remained tight-lipped, declining to comment on the DOJ's reported investigation. However, Alaska Airlines, one of Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) major clients, asserts its cooperation with authorities while maintaining that it is not a target of the investigation.
The market's response to these developments has been swift and severe, with Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) shares plummeting more than 23% since the beginning of 2024. Investor confidence has been shaken by mounting concerns about Boeing's ability to navigate regulatory scrutiny and ensure the safety of its aircraft.
As Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) grapples with the fallout from these incidents, the road ahead appears fraught with challenges. Restoring trust and addressing safety concerns will be paramount for the aerospace giant to regain its footing in the industry.
In conclusion, Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) stock woes underscore the high stakes involved in maintaining safety and compliance standards in the aviation sector. As authorities continue to investigate, the spotlight remains firmly fixed on Boeing's response and its commitment to ensuring the safety of passengers and crew worldwide.
BA- Buy the recovery? or take partial profits? LONGBoeing had a near disastrous start to 2024 with a Malaysian part falling off a MAX jet at 36,000.
Incidentally, going viral is that an iPhone survived the plunge fully functional. 20% got
shaved off the market cap. I bought the low with calls at $215 expiring March 15'24. They did
80% for the week and 16% today. News catalysts are that an East Indian airline company placed
a contract for the purchase of 100 jets of uncertain model. Delta Airlines also did not pull their
existing contract. These catalysts have allowed price to recover about 1/3 of the plunge. The
15-minute chart demonstrates the super trend reversal better than the 60 minute which is
shown here on the idea. The relative volume indicator is about 3 X the running mean showing
trader interest uptick. BA could short squeeze where short sellers quickly buy to cover &
capture profit while the synergistic rise is compounded by near buyers coming in to get ahead
of the chasing? The caution is that the POC line on the intermediate
term volume profile is $ 210 and so getting contracts extended above that has increased
risk based on price distance from the POC. The uptrend instead of a true recovery could be
simply a correction in the overall downtrend. I will take some of the week's profit off
the table and keep a close watch on the price action.
BA Trade Setup into Earnings by Fib Retrace / Volume ProfileBA is shown on a marked up 120 minute chart with a Volume Profile and Fibonnaci retracement
levels as well as the trend angle reversal at the consolidation upon finding support at the
bottom of the high-volume area of the profile. The fib levels suggest targets. Risk in the trade
is after earnings reports of "beats" will drive the action higher or "misses" will cause a down
trajectory. Volatility will increase as the earnings date quickly approaches. Some traders may
want to close a winning trade just before earnings or take a predominant partial close leaving
the the rest to move through the storm looking for blue sky.
I have a risk appetite here. I will take call options for February 5th striking OTM at $240.
I will cut them no later than 24 hours before earnings or when they hit 200% if that happens
beforehand.
Boeing in Talks to Buy Spirit AeroSystemsBoeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ), the aerospace giant, is reportedly in discussions to acquire Spirit AeroSystems, its struggling former subsidiary. The potential merger comes as both companies grapple with persistent quality issues and cost pressures related to the production of the 737 MAX aircraft.
Spirit AeroSystems, which was spun off by Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) in 2005, has faced challenges in recent years, leading to concerns about aircraft deliveries and financial stability. The prospect of Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) acquiring Spirit underscores the aerospace giant's efforts to address these issues by bringing the supplier back under its umbrella.
While Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) and Spirit have yet to confirm the discussions, reports suggest that talks are underway, with Spirit exploring strategic options and engaging in preliminary discussions with Boeing ( NYSE:BA ). The move could provide Boeing with greater control over manufacturing processes, potentially alleviating some of the quality concerns that have plagued its aircraft production.
The news of the potential acquisition has sparked market excitement, with shares of Spirit soaring over 13% while Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) stock experienced a slight decline. Analysts view the move as an opportunity for Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) to address Spirit's challenges and achieve cost savings through economies of scale.
However, the acquisition also raises questions about regulatory risks and potential hurdles associated with integrating Spirit back into Boeing's operations. The aerospace industry is closely monitored by regulatory authorities, particularly in light of recent incidents such as the January 5th incident involving a 737 MAX plane.
Despite the challenges, industry analysts believe that bringing Spirit back into the fold could benefit both companies in the long run. By consolidating manufacturing operations, Boeing may be better positioned to improve quality control and streamline production processes.
Additionally, the acquisition could provide a lifeline for Spirit, which has faced cash flow problems and quality issues in recent quarters. With Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) support, Spirit may be able to stabilize its operations and regain investor confidence.
Overall, the potential acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems by Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) represents a strategic move aimed at addressing quality concerns and enhancing operational efficiency in the aerospace industry.
Boeing Faces Yet Another Setback737 Max Fuselage Issues Cast a Shadow on Production
In a recent development, aerospace giant Boeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) has encountered a fresh hurdle in the form of misdrilled holes on approximately 50 undelivered 737 Max jets, raising concerns about potential delays in deliveries. The setback, discovered by a supplier's employee, has prompted Boeing ( NYSE:BA )to initiate rework measures, shedding light on ongoing challenges in the production process. While Boeing refrained from disclosing the supplier responsible, industry sources point to Spirit Aerosystems (SPR), the provider of the affected fuselages.
Drawback
This incident comes on the heels of a mid-air scare on January 5, where a section of a 737 Max 9 fuselage detached during an Alaska Airlines (AAL) flight. The ensuing investigation and subsequent grounding of the 737 Max 9 by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) not only disrupted operations but also cast a spotlight on Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) production quality. In response, the aerospace giant has intensified its efforts to address and rectify potential issues.
The Fuselage Problem:
The misdrilled holes on the 737 Max jets represent a critical lapse in the manufacturing process, as even seemingly minor deviations can impact the structural integrity and safety of the aircraft. Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) acknowledgment of the issue underscores the gravity of the situation and raises questions about the effectiveness of existing quality control measures.
Supplier Involvement:
With Spirit Aerosystems identified as the supplier of the fuselages in question, attention is now turning to the relationship between Boeing and its key suppliers. This incident could potentially strain these partnerships, as both Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) and Spirit Aerosystems may face heightened scrutiny and pressure to ensure stringent quality checks in their collaboration.
Impact on Deliveries:
As Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) addresses the fuselage problems, concerns linger about potential delays in the delivery schedule for the 737 Max jets. The aerospace industry is already grappling with supply chain challenges and heightened scrutiny from aviation authorities. Any further disruptions to production and delivery timelines could have cascading effects on airlines relying on the timely integration of new aircraft into their fleets.
Regulatory Oversight:
In response to recent incidents, the FAA has heightened its production oversight, signaling a more proactive stance in ensuring the safety and compliance of Boeing's aircraft. This increased scrutiny adds an additional layer of pressure on Boeing ( NYSE:BA ), necessitating a comprehensive review of its production processes and quality control protocols.
Conclusion:
Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) latest setback with misdrilled holes on 737 Max fuselages amplifies existing concerns about the company's production quality and its ability to navigate challenges in a demanding aerospace industry. As the aerospace giant works to address these issues, industry stakeholders, investors, and aviation enthusiasts alike will be closely monitoring developments, hoping for a swift resolution to ensure the continued safety and reliability of Boeing's aircraft.
Boeing Faces Battle as 737 Max Concerns Halt 2024 Guidance
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ), one of the world's leading aircraft manufacturers, has navigated a turbulent fourth quarter marked by a narrower-than-expected loss and a subsequent surge in stock value. However, the company now faces fresh challenges as it suspends forward guidance for 2024 amid safety concerns following a mid-flight incident involving a Boeing 737 Max 9 aircraft. In the aftermath, Boeing's CEO, Dave Calhoun, emphasizes a renewed commitment to quality control and customer support.
Mixed Fortunes in Q4 2023
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) reported a smaller loss than anticipated for the fourth quarter of 2023. Despite the challenging aviation landscape, the company's revenue of $22.02 billion exceeded analyst expectations. The net loss of $30 million represents a marked improvement compared to the $663 million loss reported for the same period in the previous year. Earnings per share also demonstrated progress, narrowing from a loss of $1.75 to 47 cents per share.
Suspension of Forward Guidance
Despite the positive financial report, Boeing has decided to suspend its forward guidance for the year 2024. The decision comes on the heels of a mid-flight incident involving a Boeing 737 Max 9, raising safety concerns and prompting a cooperative investigation with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). The move indicates the seriousness of the situation and reflects Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) commitment to addressing potential issues before providing investors with future projections.
Production Adjustments and Quality Control Focus
In light of ongoing safety concerns, Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) has announced production adjustments to its flagship 737 MAX and 787 Dreamliner models. The company plans to cap 737 MAX production at 38 planes per month until the FAA completes its quality checks. Simultaneously, Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) will maintain a production rate of five 787 Dreamliners per month, with an eventual increase to 10 per month.
Boeing's CEO, Dave Calhoun, emphasized a company-wide commitment to improving quality control. In a message to employees, Calhoun stated, "We will simply focus on every next airplane while doing everything possible to support our customers, follow the lead of our regulator, and ensure the highest standard of safety and quality in all that we do."
Stock Market Response
Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) stock witnessed a brief surge, rising over 3% in early trading following the Q4 earnings report. However, the stock has experienced a notable downturn, losing more than 17% of its value over the past month. The market's response indicates investor caution as the company grapples with safety concerns and the suspension of forward guidance.
Conclusion
Boeing's ( NYSE:BA ) recent financial performance reflects a mixed picture of resilience amid adversity. While the fourth-quarter results show improvement, the suspension of 2024 guidance underscores the gravity of the safety concerns surrounding the 737 Max series. Boeing's commitment to quality control and cooperation with regulatory authorities will undoubtedly shape its path forward. As the aviation giant faces a challenging period, stakeholders eagerly await developments and the company's strategic responses to ensure a safe and prosperous future.
Boeing: Descent to $130Overview
Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) has had a rough several years due to the controversy surrounding its MAX series. Just recently, an incident occurred during a flight on the West Coast where a part of the fuselage blew off during an ascent and required a prompt emergency landing. Fortunately everyone onboard made it safely back to the airport. This follows years after the two fatal Boeing MAX crashes in 2018-2019.
Technical Analysis
This is a new one for me. The BA 1D chart doesn't reveal any obvious patterns and, if anything, was in the process of forming an ascending triangle which is bullish. In light of the breaking news I am fairly confident that the ascending triangle will become invalid then transform into a months long descending triangle.
Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, I am expecting decent support around $130. Of course there will always be plenty of opportunity for scalping in-between now and then as the current share price is sitting around $249.
Fundamental Analysis
I will assess the balance sheet and provide a fundamental analysis sometime this weekend. However, I don't believe even a good balance sheet will alleviate the coming selling pressure. The markets are reactive to news and a healthy balance sheet would only mean certain recovery at a later time.
Is Boeing a buy before earnings? LONGThis is a daily Boeing chart with the idea on the chart in the text. There may be a good entry
before earnings using a stop loss under the POC line and an ultimate target of the projected
trendline resistance at $280-$300 if all goes well fundamentally with an FAA investigation
and its sequelae. A megaphone pattern demonstrates increasing volatility in price action which
is something some traders take to the bank. My analysis is that this may be a safe swing trade
until the report of the 24Q2 earnings in about 100 days.
Akasa Air's Ambitious Boeing Order Positions India for GrowthIndia's emerging airline, Akasa Air, has placed a historic order for 150 Boeing 737 MAX planes, signaling a significant leap forward in the country's aviation sector. The CEO of Akasa Air, Vinay Dube, announced the purchase of 737 MAX 10 and 737 MAX 8-200 jets, emphasizing the company's commitment to becoming one of the top 30 leading airlines globally.
This move is a significant boost for Boeing ( NYSE:BA ), especially amid the recent global scrutiny surrounding its 737 MAX 9 jet after a panel incident on an Alaska Airlines flight. Akasa Air's strategic decision to exclude the MAX 9 from its order demonstrates a cautious approach, aligning with India's aviation regulator's recent affirmation of the satisfactory completion of checks on the 737 8 MAX aircraft.
The order is not only a testament to Akasa's confidence in Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) but also highlights India's emergence as a major player in the aviation market. Civil Aviation Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia praised the landmark order, celebrating Akasa Air as the first Indian airline to achieve a firm order book of over 200 aircraft within just 17 months of operations.
India, now the third-largest buyer of planes globally, is experiencing remarkable growth in its civil aviation sector. Speaking at the "Wings India" aviation conference, Minister Scindia expressed optimism about India's aviation trajectory, emphasizing its role as a key driver of economic development, social progress, tourism, trade, and job creation.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ambitious goal of constructing 80 airports by 2025 aligns with the surging demand for air travel in the country. With the aviation market becoming fiercely competitive, global aerospace giants are actively pursuing opportunities in India, given its status as the world's fifth-largest economy and one of the fastest-growing air travel markets.
Akasa Air, translating to "sky" in Sanskrit, is positioning itself as an ultra-low-cost carrier, aiming to offer tickets at prices lower than its competitors. This unique market approach, coupled with its substantial Boeing order, reflects the airline's determination to capture a significant share of India's burgeoning middle-class travel market.
As India continues its upward trajectory in the aviation industry, the government's commitment to infrastructure development and the increasing demand for air travel are propelling the nation into a prominent position on the global aviation stage. Akasa Air's ambitious Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) order exemplifies India's resilience and potential for exponential growth in the civil aviation sector.
Alaska Air Group: Double BottomOverview
Alaska Airlines is a subsidiary for Alaska Air Group. If you aren't familiar with the verbiage, this means that Alaska Air Group ( NYSE:ALK ) is the umbrella company that owns Alaska Airlines. In light of the Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) mishap that occurred yesterday in Oregon and in addition to the current trend on ALK's 1D chart, I believe ALK will correct to $30-31.
Technical Analysis
According to the 1D chart, ALK has been on the trajectory of a double bottom since July 2023. The last dip in the double bottom formation rests around $30-31 which I believe will approach sooner than expected due to ALK's grounding of an entire fleet of Boeing 737 MAX-9s. As long as nothing else negative comes to light, I believe ALK will begin its rise to $57 sometime after arriving around the second dip of the double bottom.
Market Psychology Speculations
I believe Boeing will catch most of the negative press but that doesn't mean Alaska Air Group is off the hook. Because ALK's subsidiary has also been in the headlines, I think the double bottom is going to accelerate. Alaska Airlines has received bad press twice in the last 12 months for narrowly avoiding aircraft-related catastrophes; the first concerning an off-duty pilot that attempted to cut off the engines mid-flight.
All that said, after the initial dust has settled, I believe the markets will forgive ALK and a potential recovery will begin. Kudos should be given for having the proper procedures in place that helped return both aircrafts back to the ground safely without incident. The next major factor that needs to be considered is how the grounding of an entire fleet will affect their balance sheets for the upcoming Q4 Earnings Call.
Fundamental Analysis
I will perform a fundamental analysis within the next few days. Due to market reactivity I don't believe a healthy balance sheet will cushion the share price until after the Q4 Earnings Release.
Boeing's 737 Max Woes Deepen: A Gaping Hole Raises New Concern
Boeing, the aviation giant, is once again under intense scrutiny as its best-selling plane, the 737 Max, faces fresh safety concerns. The recent incident involving an Alaska Airlines jetliner, where a gaping hole appeared mid-flight, has prompted federal officials to issue a temporary grounding of some Boeing 737 Max planes. This emergency order by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) affects approximately 171 planes globally, dealing another blow to Boeing's beleaguered Max lineup.
The Incident:
On Friday, an Alaska Airlines Boeing 737 Max 9 experienced a terrifying mid-air incident, with a window panel blowing out just seven minutes after takeoff from Portland, Oregon. The sudden loss of cabin pressure resulted in oxygen masks dropping, and a child's clothes being pulled off due to the rapid decompression. Despite the harrowing ordeal, the pilots managed a safe emergency landing, and all 171 passengers and six crew members emerged unharmed.
Grounding and Inspections:
In response to the incident, the FAA mandated immediate inspections of Max 9 planes operated by U.S. airlines or flown in the United States by foreign carriers. Alaska Airlines swiftly grounded its entire fleet of 65 Max 9s for inspections and maintenance, causing disruptions to its schedule. United Airlines, which inspected 33 of its 79 Max 9s, reported around 60 canceled flights due to the grounding.
Potential Impact on Boeing:
The extent of the damage to Boeing's reputation and brand hinges on the outcome of investigations into the cause of the blowout. If the incident is linked to a manufacturing issue, Boeing may face increased pressure to revamp its processes, potentially slowing down the delivery of new planes.
This incident comes on the heels of the Max lineup's troubled history, with two deadly crashes in 2018 and 2019 leading to a global grounding for nearly two years. Boeing's rush to get the Max approved quickly and questions about safety procedures resulted in a $2.5 billion settlement with federal prosecutors in 2021.
Ongoing Challenges for Boeing:
Boeing has estimated that fallout from the previous crashes has cost the company over $20 billion. Despite settling with most families of crash victims, the Max has faced additional challenges, from delays due to supplier issues to concerns about the anti-ice system and loose bolts in the rudder-control system.
Conclusion:
Boeing finds itself at a critical juncture once again, grappling with renewed safety concerns surrounding its 737 Max planes. The company's response to the investigation findings and the corrective measures it implements will significantly impact its reputation and future sales. As aviation authorities delve into the incident, the broader aerospace industry watches closely, mindful of the potential ripple effects on Boeing's standing as a leader in commercial aviation.
Boeing and US Partner To Boost Sustainable Aviation Fuel In APECBoeing (NYSE:BA), in collaboration with the U.S. Department of Transportation and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), has taken a significant step towards environmental sustainability by spearheading an initiative to increase the use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) across Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) nations. This move aligns with the International Civil Aviation Organization's (ICAO) goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.
The aerospace giant has outlined a comprehensive strategy to overcome the current limitations of SAF, which currently accounts for only 0.1% of international jet fuel consumption. Recognizing the urgent need to scale up SAF supplies, Boeing's Chief Sustainability Officer Chris Raymond highlighted the importance of this initiative for meeting environmental targets in aviation.
Boeing is not only advocating for policy changes but is also actively involved in various collaborations to educate stakeholders about sustainable aviation fuels. These efforts include researching innovative technologies alongside Zero Petroleum, exploring bio feedstock opportunities worldwide, supporting Japan's ACT FOR SKY program for domestic SAF commercialization, and aiming to ensure its fleet is fully compatible with SAF by 2030.
The company has already made substantial progress by incorporating over 7 million gallons of SAF into its commercial operations. This initiative within APEC, supported by the U.S., represents a broader commitment to sustainable energy practices and is part of Boeing's participation in the World Energy Council's initiatives.
Through these efforts, Boeing and its partners aim to empower APEC member states with the tools and knowledge necessary to transition towards a more sustainable aviation industry, thereby contributing significantly to global efforts to reduce carbon emissions in air travel.
Price Momentum
BA is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and near its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors are still evaluating the share price, and the stock is still trying to generate some momentum. This is a Positive sign for the stock's future value.