Boeing: Long Opportunities!As expected, Boeing has recently moved down into our green Target Zone between $146.35 and $113.35. Within this price range, we anticipate the low of the green wave . Once this low is established, we expect the stock to resume its upward trajectory, as the subsequent green wave should have significant potential, targeting levels well above the resistance at $267.54. Our Target Zone can thus serve as an entry point for long positions. To manage risk, traders could place a stop-loss 1% below the lower boundary of the Zone.
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BOEING.... Potentially BULLISH!Price has traded through the swing swing high, and pulled back into the +FVG.
This FVG has a couple of confluences that support higher prices, including a Breakaway Gap, a Balanced Price Range, and an overlapping Weekly +FVG.
I believe the +FVG will hold, and push price higher.
Should the +FVG fail, the Swing Low will become the draw on liquidity.
Boeing's Medium-Term Challenges: Implications for InvestorsBoeing, a cornerstone of the aerospace industry, has outlined ambitious targets for 2025/2026, aiming for a multiyear uptick in airplane production and substantial improvement in its defense sector. However, challenges in meeting these milestones have surfaced, prompting investors to reassess the stock's trajectory and long-term potential.
Management's vision for 2025/2026 includes achieving $10 billion in free cash flow (FCF) after deducting capital spending, a target crucial for Boeing's financial health and investor confidence. Yet, recent setbacks, including manufacturing quality issues and delays in Boeing 737 deliveries, have cast doubt on the feasibility of these goals.
The delay in reaching these targets is not solely due to supply chain disruptions but also stems from persistent manufacturing quality problems, exemplified by recent incidents like the Alaska Airlines flight panel blowout. These challenges have prompted management to postpone 2024 guidance, signaling potential hurdles ahead.
Furthermore, Boeing Defense, Space, and Security (BDS) have consistently reported losses, adding another layer of complexity to Boeing's roadmap. While industry peers face similar margin pressures, Boeing's reliance on fixed-price development programs in a challenging economic environment exacerbates the situation.
Despite these setbacks, Boeing's CFO remains optimistic about reaching the $10 billion FCF target, albeit acknowledging potential delays. The timing of achieving this milestone carries significant implications for investors, with projections suggesting a potential stock return of up to 56% if achieved by 2025.
However, Boeing's current debt obligations underscore the urgency of achieving these targets for debt repayment and future investments. CEO David Calhoun's indication of a new Boeing plane not before 2035 emphasizes the importance of maximizing FCF in the interim.
While Boeing's long-term prospects remain promising, investors must consider the timing nuances of its FCF generation and operational challenges. Other aerospace stocks may offer better short-term prospects, highlighting the need for Boeing to demonstrate consistent operational performance to regain investor confidence.
In conclusion, navigating Boeing's medium-term challenges requires a careful assessment of its ability to overcome manufacturing hurdles and achieve its FCF targets. While the stock holds long-term potential, addressing current setbacks is essential to reinforce investor trust and pave the way for future growth.
Boeing: Aerobatics ✈️Welcome to Boeing’s aerobatics-show! Watch with bated breath as the share is taking off from the magenta-colored zone, propelling toward the resistance at $224.76, which it should conquer soon to conclude the loop of wave 1 in green in the green zone between $251.82 and $288.54. Then, in a death-defying stunt, Boeing should drop back below $224.76 and dive below the support at $173.85 afterward. However, there is a 33% chance that Boeing could curb its boost earlier, slipping below $173.85 prematurely to develop wave alt.2 in green into the green zone between $168.58 and $141.08. In that case, wave alt.1 in green would have already been finished in January.