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Natural Gas Goes Kaboom!Profits have been secured I the Natural gas trade. That being said I still think Nat gas equities can push higher. On the UNG chart we just saw the 20 day MA & 50 Day MA bullishly crossover each other. Last time this happened Nat gas had a 4-5 day parabolic move. The bulls must be careful to not push this commodity up too quickly because it makes the pattern less likely to have a continued breakout. We are still putting in Lower weekly highs, so the next test of the most recent pivot high is going to be crucial. If the bulls can trigger the weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern there's going to be a great long continuation opportunity. Until we break the pivot high & create a higher high traders must use caution now that we've had a large move occur. AR, EQT, CPK, LNG are all set to push higher if Nat gas holds these gains.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas: Weak Day / Strong WeekNatural gas had a bit of profit taking today and you can't blame the bulls for trimming especially since we did the same. The Daily chart now needs a couple days of consolidation before another sustainable push. The weekly chart recaptured the 50 Weekly MA...very good near term sign. This can now be used as a support level to trade against for very tight stoploss swing traders. As long as we remain above the breakout neckline we should be likely heading to retest 2.75 & $2.90 Levels below can cause nat gas to fail and fall substantially. Alway remembers the Weekly trend still has Lower highs in place.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas waking up? Nat gas showed some poise today. Holding green in a red market where most commodities saw negative price action. This is impressive to see because Nat gas has a long historical trend of diverging from many commodities. The price action today also saw a red to green reversal further emphasizing the positive potential trend shift. Nat gas stocks were discounted today despite the stronger price action in the commodity. We remain bullish and long UNG, our call positions in the money.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas: are bulls capitulating? The bulls have made 9 attempts at breaking out. All attempts have failed which has led us to this sharp decline. Nat gas is holding the 20 day MA but it does look somewhat vulnerable to going lower. The death cross is getting closer and closer as we approach the 50 MA & 200 MA downtrending intersection. Our members stopped out of the second half of UNG in profits I am now hoping and waiting for a sub $2 pierce retest. we shall see if we get it.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural gas is the downtrend resuming? Nat gas still fits all the criteria for a large downtrend. Lower highs & Lower lows are still in place on the weekly timeframe. This obviously swings probabilities in favour of lower price. However historically were still at some oversold levels. Just because this asset is oversold honest mean it can't go lower. Im watching the daily 50MA & 200MA closely...do we get the death cross formation to occur again? Usually this signal provides a near term bounce but medium term decline.
Editors' picks
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
7
Natural Gas: Do or Die!We secured half of our profits yesterday, however I still think we have a very good chance of higher price. Nat gas needs to make a decision by getting above this key Covid trend line. We are observing another "death cross" formation developing. If price action keeps rejecting the daily 200MA we may go lower. Today inventories came out: consensus was 42B actual -6B This was a dramatic forecast miss & supports higher price / more demand. If Nat gas can get above this key covid trend line, we are well on our way to $3+
AMEX:UNG
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas...bullish turnaround!Nat gas has carved out a nice potential base to move higher. We have seen a failed breakdown whcih usualkly indicates a bullish reversal. They say the biggest moves come from failed patterns an it certainly looks like a failed bearish trendline break. If this is the case, Nat gas has a nice 15-20% upside before things get really interesting. We may be witnessing a weekly inverse head & shouldrs pattern developing. Time will tell but we are long.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas...New All time lows? Natural gas has seen a failed breakout on the daily chart. After this failed breakout occured its been weeks of relentless sell side pressure. We have lost key weekly and daily supports, which doesn't help the bullish case. There is 1 small positive on the daily chart: a positive RSI bullish divergence. Understanding how this commodity works, one should be prepared for a downside case of $1.60. Its not a guarantee but a possibility. The Nat gas resource stocks are mixed and showing sings of volume accumulation. I'm watching the $1.95 Gap fill on Nat Gas very closely. If the bulls defend that area we could rally quickly. Keep your eye om the "Death Cross" signal, usually a buy signal for a short term bounce.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas: Will the bulls ever come back? Another sell side day for nat gas...what else is new? back to the same technical support trend line for Nat gas. technically this is support. If this trend line holds we will see an epic bounce IMO. If we break this are we could be testing $1.90. I believe that this is still a great risk to reward to accumulate for the long term, while understanding there could still be another 20% down if we break this level...so HODL accordingly.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas, Bitcoin & QQQ : Whats the next trade?Natural GAs has had a nice pullback over the last few days. Are we going to see this correction go deeper than the last pullback? Potentially we are observing a failed breakout on the daily chart. Bitcoin: has triggered bearish formations on the hourly chart. Sitting right at intermediate support, BTC needs to hold the 50MA or run the risk of flushing lower. BTC is still chopping in a sideways range that favors lower price action until we break the neckline. QQQ / Nasdaq : In the strongest uptrend. This looks likely to push a bit higher but its nearing major resistance in a very extended move.
AMEX:KRE
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas: The Golden OpportunityNatural gas has seen a nice rejection off of 3.19. A double top on nat gas is observed, does this mean we go lower? In the near term perhaps some more consolidation is needed but the trend is setting up for the infamous golden cross. If we get a bullish cross of the 50MA & 200MA this is a likely long term trend signal. This signals higher probability of a bullish uptrend. As we approach the elections, a potential trump win could influence the price.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital
Natural Gas: A Mega Move is BrewingNatural Gas has been a very volatile asset in recent sessions. The price action in the 4 hour chart has triggered a bullish breakout. The next bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart is starting to take shape. This pattern has not yet triggered. If we see a breakout of this pattern there is about $1.50 of upside from the neckline. Resource stocks are still holding up very well, granted so is the market. A very similar structure is playing out on the weekly chart, regarding the 50 Weekly MA If we see price trade in congruency we should see more upside this week and then potentially we may see some sellers the folling week
AMEX:UNG
by Trading-Capital
1
UNG Natural Gas ETF now rising from its reversal LONG (XNGUSD )UNG on a 120-minute chart has reversed from a long trend down which started in mid -January. This was a steep trend down from the start into mid- March where the trend angle lessened in a period of relative consolidation until May 1st where the reversal occurred. This is a falling wedge breakout with the trendlines of the wedge in thick red and thick green for resistance and support respectively. The VWAP band lines have been downsloping. Price is breaking through the lower band lines and heading toward the mean anchored VWAP line. Price is now above a EMA 100 Keltner Channel which is now trending up. I will take long trades here of both shares and call options. The targets are marked with black horizontal lines from pivots in Jnauary. The are in the levels of 21 and 26 for now. I would not be surprised if UNG moves up and targets the highs of last October at 30 in the upcoming months. Many utility companies this summer will be burning gas to generate electricity needed for air conditioning and demand should be rising.
AMEX:UNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
XNGUSD SPOT NATURAL GAS Slowly getting ready to reverse LONGXNGUSD is here on a 120 minute chart. I can see that it is trying to turn the corner and head up. The RSI is turning up in bullish divergence. While price is below its moving averages, the SMA20 is soon to be in reach. The anchored VWAP lines are approaching a slope decreasing to zero, while price is getting closer to the mean VWAP as those lines go flat. Overall, volumes are on the rise while price is sideways, so there is bullish divergence in the volume trend. Overall, I see XNGUSD setting up for an uptrend. It could be a big one. Time to buckle up before turning the key. there may be some horsepower involved.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
4